CEG Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-28: Consensus 0.33, Bearish Bias
Today's Cohort
The live cohort_analyze pull on CEG anchored at 2026-05-28 returned 289 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.33. The 5-day forward median is -1.08% with IQR [-5.02%, +4.21%] and hit-rate 45%. The 10-day median is -1.92%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-9.13%, +9.04%].
- n=289, 5d median -1.08%, IQR [-5.02%, +4.21%]
- Hit-rate: 45%
- Cohort consensus: 0.33
- Top 5d feature: has_news=false (positive direction)
Dominant Feature
The dominant 5-day feature is has_news=false with positive direction (importance 1.13). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on CEG today — independent of any specific catalyst.
How To Read The Consensus
Consensus 0.33 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. Modest sizing, conformal band [-9.13%, +9.04%] is your defined-risk envelope. Don't overweight a coin-flip cohort.
Search CEG on chartlibrary.io for the live cohort, distribution chart, and feature attribution.
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