CEG Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-21: Consensus 0.26, Bearish Bias
Today's Cohort
The live cohort_analyze pull on CEG anchored at 2026-05-21 returned 277 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.26. The 5-day forward median is -1.68% with IQR [-5.92%, +3.85%] and hit-rate 41%. The 10-day median is -2.05%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-10.00%, +8.94%].
- n=277, 5d median -1.68%, IQR [-5.92%, +3.85%]
- Hit-rate: 41%
- Cohort consensus: 0.26
- Top 5d feature: sector_etf=XLB (negative direction)
Dominant Feature
The dominant 5-day feature is sector_etf=XLB with negative direction (importance 1.24). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on CEG today — independent of any specific catalyst.
How To Read The Consensus
Consensus 0.26 is low — historical analogs disagree on direction. The IQR is wide. Recommendation: wait for resolution (an earnings print, a macro catalyst, or simply a price move that strengthens the consensus).
Search CEG on chartlibrary.io for the live cohort, distribution chart, and feature attribution.
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