AMZN Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-14: Consensus 0.41, Bullish Bias
Today's Cohort
The live cohort_analyze pull on AMZN anchored at 2026-05-14 returned 285 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.41. The 5-day forward median is +1.17% with IQR [-1.70%, +4.12%] and hit-rate 61%. The 10-day median is +1.94%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-6.90%, +7.89%].
- n=285, 5d median +1.17%, IQR [-1.70%, +4.12%]
- Hit-rate: 61%
- Cohort consensus: 0.41
- Top 5d feature: hy_oas (positive direction)
Dominant Feature
The dominant 5-day feature is hy_oas with positive direction (importance 1.51). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on AMZN today — independent of any specific catalyst.
How To Read The Consensus
Consensus 0.41 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. Modest sizing, conformal band [-6.90%, +7.89%] is your defined-risk envelope. Don't overweight a coin-flip cohort.
Search AMZN on chartlibrary.io for the live cohort, distribution chart, and feature attribution.
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