AMAT Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-11: Consensus 0.39, Bullish Bias
Today's Cohort
The live cohort_analyze pull on AMAT anchored at 2026-05-11 returned 264 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.39. The 5-day forward median is +0.69% with IQR [-2.21%, +3.10%] and hit-rate 57%. The 10-day median is +0.86%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-4.86%, +7.96%].
- n=264, 5d median +0.69%, IQR [-2.21%, +3.10%]
- Hit-rate: 57%
- Cohort consensus: 0.39
- Top 5d feature: hy_oas (positive direction)
Dominant Feature
The dominant 5-day feature is hy_oas with positive direction (importance 2.01). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on AMAT today — independent of any specific catalyst.
How To Read The Consensus
Consensus 0.39 is moderate — analogs partially agree but lack strong directional concentration. Modest sizing, conformal band [-4.86%, +7.96%] is your defined-risk envelope. Don't overweight a coin-flip cohort.
Search AMAT on chartlibrary.io for the live cohort, distribution chart, and feature attribution.
Ready to try Chart Library?
Anchor any ticker + date — see what history says about your setup, with cohort statistics, feature attribution, and AI narrative.
Try it freeLearn the methodology
Chart Library is built on four canonical concepts. Read the pillars to understand what backs the numbers in this post:
Related Articles
SOFI Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-11: Consensus 0.34, Bearish Bias
Today's notable cohort on SOFI: n=276, consensus 0.34, 5d median -0.85%, IQR [-4.55%, +3.13%]. Top feature: sector_etf=XLF.
GME Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-11: Consensus 0.24, Bearish Bias
Today's notable cohort on GME: n=243, consensus 0.24, 5d median -0.96%, IQR [-4.63%, +2.88%]. Top feature: credit_spread_state=normal.
CSCO Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-11: Consensus 0.51, Flat Central Tendency
Today's notable cohort on CSCO: n=245, consensus 0.51, 5d median +0.21%, IQR [-3.73%, +2.82%]. Top feature: sector_etf=XLU.