ABNB Cohort Snapshot 2026-06-05: Consensus 0.66, Bullish Bias

Today's Cohort

The live cohort_analyze pull on ABNB anchored at 2026-06-05 returned 257 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.66. The 5-day forward median is +0.51% with IQR [-1.60%, +2.79%] and hit-rate 54%. The 10-day median is +0.59%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-3.63%, +5.04%].

• n=257, 5d median +0.51%, IQR [-1.60%, +2.79%]
• Hit-rate: 54%
• Cohort consensus: 0.66
• Top 5d feature: momentum_5d (negative direction)

Dominant Feature

The dominant 5-day feature is momentum_5d with negative direction (importance 1.49). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on ABNB today — independent of any specific catalyst.

How To Read The Consensus

Consensus 0.66 is in the high band — analogs agree on direction. This is an environment where the IQR is tradeable: stops at the 10th percentile (-3.63%), targets at the 75th percentile (+2.79%). Position sizing scales with the consensus.