ABNB Cohort Snapshot 2026-06-03: Consensus 0.65, Bullish Bias

Today's Cohort

The live cohort_analyze pull on ABNB anchored at 2026-06-03 returned 255 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.65. The 5-day forward median is +0.54% with IQR [-1.59%, +2.93%] and hit-rate 55%. The 10-day median is +0.56%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-3.72%, +5.42%].

• n=255, 5d median +0.54%, IQR [-1.59%, +2.93%]
• Hit-rate: 55%
• Cohort consensus: 0.65
• Top 5d feature: days_since_ath (positive direction)

Dominant Feature

The dominant 5-day feature is days_since_ath with positive direction (importance 1.42). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on ABNB today — independent of any specific catalyst.

How To Read The Consensus

Consensus 0.65 is in the high band — analogs agree on direction. This is an environment where the IQR is tradeable: stops at the 10th percentile (-3.72%), targets at the 75th percentile (+2.93%). Position sizing scales with the consensus.