ABNB Cohort Snapshot 2026-05-29: Consensus 0.60, Bullish Bias

Today's Cohort

The live cohort_analyze pull on ABNB anchored at 2026-05-29 returned 270 historical analogs with a consensus score of 0.60. The 5-day forward median is +0.64% with IQR [-1.48%, +3.04%] and hit-rate 58%. The 10-day median is +1.00%. Conformal 80% band on the 5-day forward: [-3.04%, +5.08%].

• n=270, 5d median +0.64%, IQR [-1.48%, +3.04%]
• Hit-rate: 58%
• Cohort consensus: 0.60
• Top 5d feature: yield_curve_state=inverted (positive direction)

Dominant Feature

The dominant 5-day feature is yield_curve_state=inverted with positive direction (importance 0.93). Analogs where this feature was on-side shifted forward returns in the same direction. For traders, this is the underlying macro/regime read on ABNB today — independent of any specific catalyst.

How To Read The Consensus

Consensus 0.60 is in the high band — analogs agree on direction. This is an environment where the IQR is tradeable: stops at the 10th percentile (-3.04%), targets at the 75th percentile (+3.04%). Position sizing scales with the consensus.