SMCI today looks like SM did in Nov 2021
SMCI's chart over the last 30 trading days is a 76% shape match for SM in Nov 2021 — its closest historical analog across a decade of market data. In the 15 trading days after that point, SM went -19%.
The forward path is SM's actual history after that date — not a prediction for SMCI. A close shape match is a starting point for research, not a signal. Different stocks with similar charts can do very different things next.
How we find the twin
We embed SMCI's recent daily chart into a 256-dimension shape vector and search millions of historical chart windows for the nearest match by shape, then re-score the finalists on the exact window shown so the lines actually overlap. The match is amplitude-aware, so it's a real twin — not just "both went up."
See SMCI's full cohort of historical analogs — the distribution of what they all did next, with calibrated confidence:
SMCI cohort →Open in Chart Library