ALPHAFORGE RESEARCH · COMPANY FILE · AI INFRASTRUCTURE & POWER

$GRRR

Gorilla Technology Group Inc. · Nasdaq · SIC 7372 · CIK 1903145 · revision 10 as of 2026-09-26

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Research status

Evidence awaiting review · 43 pending evidence leads

Financial accounts through
2026-06-30
Authored update
2026-09-20
Source scan
Full model review
Not recorded
Latest event review
Not recorded
Oldest pending lead
Open evidence leads
  • 6-K filed 2026-10-08
  • GRRR’s New Deal Comes With A $2B Revenue Potential – Third Data Center Infra Deal In A Month Gets Retail Eyeing $100 Mark For The Stock - Stocktwits
  • GRRR Stock Tanks On Pricing $125M Note Offering – Retail Sees A Buying Opportunity Amid The Sell-Off - Stocktwits
  • Gorilla Technology Group Inc. (GRRR) Wins Taiwan AI Contract Worth Tens of Millions - TradingView
  • GRRR Stock Slides Premarket Despite A $2B AI Deal With Supermicro — Here's Why - Stocktwits

Leads require verification; they are not established material changes.

A published model and a successful scan do not establish a completed review. Status describes current monitoring; every promotion requires fresh checks.

Research status JSON

Business

Gorilla sells security, network and smart-city systems and is deploying AI compute infrastructure in Asia. Customer acceptance drives project revenue; commissioned capacity and workload utilization drive compute services. Collections and project financing determine how reported growth converts into usable cash.

Three drivers

  1. Accepted project work and compute commissioning
  2. Utilization, service mix and execution margin
  3. Contract-asset collections and hardware funding

Thesis

Our view

The revenue target is achievable only if installed equipment becomes accepted and utilized capacity. Revenue growth alone does not establish self-funded expansion.

What changes it

Track commissioning, contract assets, collections, equipment cash and financing terms against the revenue ramp.

Scenario ranges

Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.

Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)

Fiscal quarter2024Q3
2024-09-30
2024Q4
2024-12-31
2025Q1
2025-03-31
2025Q2
2025-06-30
2025Q3
2025-09-30
2025Q4
2025-12-31
2026Q1
2026-03-31
2026Q2
2026-06-30
Revenue ($M)20.1133.9†218.3321.1†426.5135.6†228.2350.1†4
Gross profit ($M)9.5110.1†26.437.0†49.9110.5†26.03-2.1†4
Operating income ($M)-6.01-62.7†2-4.23-4.9†40.41-5.0†2-41.13-6.1†4
Net income ($M)-7.81-58.6†2-4.63-3.9†4-0.01-2.7†2-37.03-9.9†4
EPS, diluted ($)————————
Diluted shares (M)————————
Cash ($M)——————98.45179.45
Long-term debt ($M)————————
Cash from operations ($M)——-10.73-1.9†4——6.63-11.0†4
Capex ($M)————————
Free cash flow ($M)————————

† derived (Q4 = fiscal year minus the first three quarters; year-to-date cash flows differenced; FCF = CFO − capex). Superscripts are the provenance notes below.

Estimates · base scenario

PeriodRevenue ($M)EPS ($)As ofBasis
2026Q349.0—2026-09-20Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2026Q478.0—2026-09-20Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q195.0—2026-09-20Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q2111.2—2026-09-20Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.

Accepted projects, commissioned compute and the funding gap

Operating scenarios · reviewed 2026-09-20 · USD millions unless labeled otherwise · our assumptions, not consensus

Separate accepted project work from available compute-service revenue. Apply an explicit commissioning/utilization share to potential compute sales; signed GPU programs are not immediate recognized revenue. Carry separate project and service margins, overhead, SBC, cash interest, collections and capital deployment. Base FY2026 clears the $200M company floor; FY2027 $475M matches the midpoint of the August target but remains a deployment scenario.

Reported anchors and guidance

MeasurePeriodValueBasis
Reported revenueH1 202678.36reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-24
Reported gross profitH1 20263.84reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-24
Reported operating incomeH1 2026-47.18reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-24
Reported cfoH1 2026-4.34reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-24
Reported project spendH1 202614.10reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-24
H1 cash after disclosed deploymentH1 2026-18.44derived. Rounded equipment and project deployment, not net investing cash flow.
cashJune 2026179.36reported. USD millions; June bond is face principal, not its discounted carrying amount. Source · 2026-08-24
receivables contract assetsJune 2026145.30reported. USD millions; June bond is face principal, not its discounted carrying amount. Source · 2026-08-24
derivative liabilityJune 202648.20reported. USD millions; June bond is face principal, not its discounted carrying amount. Source · 2026-08-24
june bond principalJune 2026107.00reported. USD millions; June bond is face principal, not its discounted carrying amount. Source · 2026-06-02
July convertible face principalJuly 2026125.00reported. New financing for Batam; gross principal, not cash added again to June balance. Source · 2026-07-17
Quarterly coupon on $232M face principalQuarter run rate4.35derived. Excludes other borrowing costs, discount accretion and future financing.
Q3 planning range midpoint2026Q349.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
FY2026 revenue floorFY2026200.00management guidance. At least $200M, not a closed range. Source · 2026-08-24
FY2027 revenue target midpointFY2027475.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.

Downside scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow proxy ($M)Revenue ($M)Gross profit proxy ($M)Equipment and project cash deployment ($M)Operating income before future FX/marks ($M)Cash after project deployment ($M)
2026Q3-27.8543.505.5666.00-14.00-93.85
2026Q4-33.3259.609.83110.00-14.27-143.32
2027Q1-38.1375.0014.76132.00-13.88-170.13
2027Q2-44.0589.0018.58110.00-14.60-154.05
FY2026-65.51181.4619.24190.10-75.45-255.61
FY2027-188.14383.0081.86412.50-59.94-600.64

Base scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow proxy ($M)Revenue ($M)Gross profit proxy ($M)Equipment and project cash deployment ($M)Operating income before future FX/marks ($M)Cash after project deployment ($M)
2026Q3-18.6749.0010.1860.00-7.82-78.67
2026Q4-16.5778.0020.28100.00-2.02-116.57
2027Q1-17.9595.0026.90120.000.30-137.95
2027Q2-20.43111.2532.42100.001.52-120.43
FY2026-39.58205.3634.30174.10-57.02-213.68
FY2027-87.70475.00139.70375.007.50-462.70

Upside scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow proxy ($M)Revenue ($M)Gross profit proxy ($M)Equipment and project cash deployment ($M)Operating income before future FX/marks ($M)Cash after project deployment ($M)
2026Q3-13.3953.9014.1169.00-4.54-82.39
2026Q4-6.6587.4027.95115.004.90-121.65
2027Q1-2.14114.5039.56138.0012.11-140.14
2027Q2-0.08136.5048.72115.0016.87-115.08
FY2026-24.38219.6645.91198.10-46.82-222.48
FY20273.80590.00213.20431.2577.00-427.45
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
Input / calculationPeriod / caseValue / unitEvidence or assumption
Reported revenue
h1_revenue
H1 2026 / shared78.36
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-24
Reported gross profit
h1_gross_profit
H1 2026 / shared3.84
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-24
Reported operating income
h1_operating_income
H1 2026 / shared-47.18
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-24
Reported cfo
h1_cfo
H1 2026 / shared-4.34
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-24
Reported project spend
h1_project_spend
H1 2026 / shared14.10
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-24
H1 cash after disclosed deployment
h1_cash_after_deployment
H1 2026 / shared-18.44
USD_millions
derived: Rounded equipment and project deployment, not net investing cash flow. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_project_spend).
cash
cash
June 2026 / shared179.36
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; June bond is face principal, not its discounted carrying amount. Primary source · 2026-08-24
receivables contract assets
receivables_contract_assets
June 2026 / shared145.30
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; June bond is face principal, not its discounted carrying amount. Primary source · 2026-08-24
payables
payables
June 2026 / shared91.71
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; June bond is face principal, not its discounted carrying amount. Primary source · 2026-08-24
derivative liability
derivative_liability
June 2026 / shared48.20
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; June bond is face principal, not its discounted carrying amount. Primary source · 2026-08-24
june bond principal
june_bond_principal
June 2026 / shared107.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; June bond is face principal, not its discounted carrying amount. Primary source · 2026-06-02
July convertible face principal
july_bond_principal
July 2026 / shared125.00
USD_millions
reported: New financing for Batam; gross principal, not cash added again to June balance. Primary source · 2026-07-17
Convertible annual cash coupon
bond_coupon
2026 onward / shared7.5%
ratio
reported: Contractual coupon on June and July notes. Primary source · 2026-07-17
Quarter fraction
quarter
Model / shared25.0%
ratio
assumption: Time conversion.
June and July face principal
bond_principal
July 2026 / shared232.00
USD_millions
derived: Principal includes both series. Formula: sum(june_bond_principal, july_bond_principal).
Quarterly coupon on $232M face principal
bond_cash_interest
Quarter run rate / shared4.35
USD_millions
derived: Excludes other borrowing costs, discount accretion and future financing. Formula: multiply(bond_principal, bond_coupon, quarter).
Q3 planning range low
q3_revenue_guide_low
2026Q3 / shared48.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-24
Q3 planning range high
q3_revenue_guide_high
2026Q3 / shared50.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-24
Midpoint divisor
two
Model / shared200.0%
ratio
assumption: Arithmetic constant.
Q3 planning range endpoint sum
q3_revenue_guide_sum
2026Q3 / shared98.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q3_revenue_guide_low, q3_revenue_guide_high).
Q3 planning range midpoint
q3_revenue_guide
2026Q3 / shared49.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q3_revenue_guide_sum, two).
FY2026 revenue floor
fy26_floor
FY2026 / shared200.00
USD_millions
management guidance: At least $200M, not a closed range. Primary source · 2026-08-24
FY2027 revenue target low
fy27_revenue_target_low
FY2027 / shared450.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-24
FY2027 revenue target high
fy27_revenue_target_high
FY2027 / shared500.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-24
FY2027 revenue target endpoint sum
fy27_revenue_target_sum
FY2027 / shared950.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy27_revenue_target_low, fy27_revenue_target_high).
FY2027 revenue target midpoint
fy27_revenue_target
FY2027 / shared475.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy27_revenue_target_sum, two).
Project work available for acceptance
downside_2026q3_project_reference
2026Q3 / downside38.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
downside_2026q3_acceptance
2026Q3 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
downside_2026q3_projects
2026Q3 / downside38.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_project_reference, downside_2026q3_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
downside_2026q3_service_potential
2026Q3 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
downside_2026q3_commissioned_utilization
2026Q3 / downside55.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
downside_2026q3_services
2026Q3 / downside5.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_service_potential, downside_2026q3_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
downside_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / downside43.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_projects, downside_2026q3_services).
Project gross margin
downside_2026q3_project_margin
2026Q3 / downside10.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
downside_2026q3_project_gross
2026Q3 / downside3.80
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_projects, downside_2026q3_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
downside_2026q3_service_margin
2026Q3 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
downside_2026q3_service_gross
2026Q3 / downside1.76
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_services, downside_2026q3_service_margin).
Gross profit
downside_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / downside5.56
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_project_gross, downside_2026q3_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
downside_2026q3_cash_opex
2026Q3 / downside14.56
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
downside_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / downside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
downside_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
downside_2026q3_operating_costs
2026Q3 / downside19.56
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_cash_opex, downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
downside_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / downside-14.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
downside_2026q3_pre_wc
2026Q3 / downside-9.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_da).
Other borrowing interest
downside_2026q3_other_interest
2026Q3 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
downside_2026q3_tax
2026Q3 / downside1.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
downside_2026q3_wc
2026Q3 / downside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
downside_2026q3_cash_claims
2026Q3 / downside18.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, downside_2026q3_other_interest, downside_2026q3_tax, downside_2026q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / downside-27.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_pre_wc, downside_2026q3_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
downside_2026q3_project_spend
2026Q3 / downside66.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
downside_2026q3_cash_after_deployment
2026Q3 / downside-93.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
downside_2026q4_project_reference
2026Q4 / downside42.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
downside_2026q4_acceptance
2026Q4 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
downside_2026q4_projects
2026Q4 / downside42.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_project_reference, downside_2026q4_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
downside_2026q4_service_potential
2026Q4 / downside32.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
downside_2026q4_commissioned_utilization
2026Q4 / downside55.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
downside_2026q4_services
2026Q4 / downside17.60
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_service_potential, downside_2026q4_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
downside_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / downside59.60
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_projects, downside_2026q4_services).
Project gross margin
downside_2026q4_project_margin
2026Q4 / downside10.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
downside_2026q4_project_gross
2026Q4 / downside4.20
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_projects, downside_2026q4_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
downside_2026q4_service_margin
2026Q4 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
downside_2026q4_service_gross
2026Q4 / downside5.63
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_services, downside_2026q4_service_margin).
Gross profit
downside_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / downside9.83
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_project_gross, downside_2026q4_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
downside_2026q4_cash_opex
2026Q4 / downside16.80
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
downside_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / downside3.30
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
downside_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / downside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
downside_2026q4_operating_costs
2026Q4 / downside24.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cash_opex, downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
downside_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / downside-14.27
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
downside_2026q4_pre_wc
2026Q4 / downside-6.97
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_operating_income, downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_da).
Other borrowing interest
downside_2026q4_other_interest
2026Q4 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
downside_2026q4_tax
2026Q4 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
downside_2026q4_wc
2026Q4 / downside19.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
downside_2026q4_cash_claims
2026Q4 / downside26.35
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, downside_2026q4_other_interest, downside_2026q4_tax, downside_2026q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / downside-33.32
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_pre_wc, downside_2026q4_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
downside_2026q4_project_spend
2026Q4 / downside110.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
downside_2026q4_cash_after_deployment
2026Q4 / downside-143.32
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
downside_2027q1_project_reference
2027Q1 / downside42.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
downside_2027q1_acceptance
2027Q1 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
downside_2027q1_projects
2027Q1 / downside42.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_project_reference, downside_2027q1_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
downside_2027q1_service_potential
2027Q1 / downside60.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
downside_2027q1_commissioned_utilization
2027Q1 / downside55.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
downside_2027q1_services
2027Q1 / downside33.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_service_potential, downside_2027q1_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
downside_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / downside75.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_projects, downside_2027q1_services).
Project gross margin
downside_2027q1_project_margin
2027Q1 / downside10.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
downside_2027q1_project_gross
2027Q1 / downside4.20
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_projects, downside_2027q1_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
downside_2027q1_service_margin
2027Q1 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
downside_2027q1_service_gross
2027Q1 / downside10.56
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_services, downside_2027q1_service_margin).
Gross profit
downside_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / downside14.76
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_project_gross, downside_2027q1_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
downside_2027q1_cash_opex
2027Q1 / downside19.04
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
downside_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / downside3.60
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
downside_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / downside6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
downside_2027q1_operating_costs
2027Q1 / downside28.64
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_opex, downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
downside_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / downside-13.88
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
downside_2027q1_pre_wc
2027Q1 / downside-4.28
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_da).
Other borrowing interest
downside_2027q1_other_interest
2027Q1 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
downside_2027q1_tax
2027Q1 / downside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
downside_2027q1_wc
2027Q1 / downside26.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
downside_2027q1_cash_claims
2027Q1 / downside33.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, downside_2027q1_other_interest, downside_2027q1_tax, downside_2027q1_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / downside-38.13
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_pre_wc, downside_2027q1_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
downside_2027q1_project_spend
2027Q1 / downside132.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
downside_2027q1_cash_after_deployment
2027Q1 / downside-170.13
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
downside_2027q2_project_reference
2027Q2 / downside45.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
downside_2027q2_acceptance
2027Q2 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
downside_2027q2_projects
2027Q2 / downside45.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_project_reference, downside_2027q2_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
downside_2027q2_service_potential
2027Q2 / downside80.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
downside_2027q2_commissioned_utilization
2027Q2 / downside55.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
downside_2027q2_services
2027Q2 / downside44.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_service_potential, downside_2027q2_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
downside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / downside89.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_projects, downside_2027q2_services).
Project gross margin
downside_2027q2_project_margin
2027Q2 / downside10.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
downside_2027q2_project_gross
2027Q2 / downside4.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_projects, downside_2027q2_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
downside_2027q2_service_margin
2027Q2 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
downside_2027q2_service_gross
2027Q2 / downside14.08
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_services, downside_2027q2_service_margin).
Gross profit
downside_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / downside18.58
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_project_gross, downside_2027q2_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
downside_2027q2_cash_opex
2027Q2 / downside21.28
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
downside_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / downside3.90
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
downside_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / downside8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
downside_2027q2_operating_costs
2027Q2 / downside33.18
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cash_opex, downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
downside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / downside-14.60
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
downside_2027q2_pre_wc
2027Q2 / downside-2.70
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_da).
Other borrowing interest
downside_2027q2_other_interest
2027Q2 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
downside_2027q2_tax
2027Q2 / downside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
downside_2027q2_wc
2027Q2 / downside32.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
downside_2027q2_cash_claims
2027Q2 / downside41.35
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, downside_2027q2_other_interest, downside_2027q2_tax, downside_2027q2_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / downside-44.05
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_pre_wc, downside_2027q2_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
downside_2027q2_project_spend
2027Q2 / downside110.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
downside_2027q2_cash_after_deployment
2027Q2 / downside-154.05
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
downside_2027q3_project_reference
2027Q3 / downside48.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
downside_2027q3_acceptance
2027Q3 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
downside_2027q3_projects
2027Q3 / downside48.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_project_reference, downside_2027q3_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
downside_2027q3_service_potential
2027Q3 / downside100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
downside_2027q3_commissioned_utilization
2027Q3 / downside55.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
downside_2027q3_services
2027Q3 / downside55.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_service_potential, downside_2027q3_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
downside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / downside103.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_projects, downside_2027q3_services).
Project gross margin
downside_2027q3_project_margin
2027Q3 / downside10.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
downside_2027q3_project_gross
2027Q3 / downside4.80
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_projects, downside_2027q3_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
downside_2027q3_service_margin
2027Q3 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
downside_2027q3_service_gross
2027Q3 / downside17.60
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_services, downside_2027q3_service_margin).
Gross profit
downside_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / downside22.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_project_gross, downside_2027q3_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
downside_2027q3_cash_opex
2027Q3 / downside23.52
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
downside_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / downside4.20
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
downside_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
downside_2027q3_operating_costs
2027Q3 / downside37.72
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cash_opex, downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
downside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / downside-15.32
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
downside_2027q3_pre_wc
2027Q3 / downside-1.12
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_da).
Other borrowing interest
downside_2027q3_other_interest
2027Q3 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
downside_2027q3_tax
2027Q3 / downside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
downside_2027q3_wc
2027Q3 / downside39.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
downside_2027q3_cash_claims
2027Q3 / downside48.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, downside_2027q3_other_interest, downside_2027q3_tax, downside_2027q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / downside-49.97
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_pre_wc, downside_2027q3_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
downside_2027q3_project_spend
2027Q3 / downside93.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
downside_2027q3_cash_after_deployment
2027Q3 / downside-143.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
downside_2027q4_project_reference
2027Q4 / downside50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
downside_2027q4_acceptance
2027Q4 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
downside_2027q4_projects
2027Q4 / downside50.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_project_reference, downside_2027q4_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
downside_2027q4_service_potential
2027Q4 / downside120.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
downside_2027q4_commissioned_utilization
2027Q4 / downside55.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
downside_2027q4_services
2027Q4 / downside66.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_service_potential, downside_2027q4_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
downside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / downside116.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_projects, downside_2027q4_services).
Project gross margin
downside_2027q4_project_margin
2027Q4 / downside10.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
downside_2027q4_project_gross
2027Q4 / downside5.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_projects, downside_2027q4_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
downside_2027q4_service_margin
2027Q4 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
downside_2027q4_service_gross
2027Q4 / downside21.12
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_services, downside_2027q4_service_margin).
Gross profit
downside_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / downside26.12
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_project_gross, downside_2027q4_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
downside_2027q4_cash_opex
2027Q4 / downside25.76
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
downside_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / downside4.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
downside_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / downside12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
downside_2027q4_operating_costs
2027Q4 / downside42.26
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cash_opex, downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
downside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / downside-16.14
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
downside_2027q4_pre_wc
2027Q4 / downside0.36
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_operating_income, downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_da).
Other borrowing interest
downside_2027q4_other_interest
2027Q4 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
downside_2027q4_tax
2027Q4 / downside6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
downside_2027q4_wc
2027Q4 / downside45.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
downside_2027q4_cash_claims
2027Q4 / downside56.35
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, downside_2027q4_other_interest, downside_2027q4_tax, downside_2027q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / downside-55.99
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_pre_wc, downside_2027q4_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
downside_2027q4_project_spend
2027Q4 / downside77.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
downside_2027q4_cash_after_deployment
2027Q4 / downside-132.99
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_project_spend).
Revenue ($M)
downside_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / downside181.46
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
downside_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / downside19.24
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_gross_profit).
Operating income before future FX/marks ($M)
downside_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / downside-75.45
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
downside_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / downside-65.51
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo).
Equipment and project cash deployment ($M)
downside_fy2026_project_spend
FY2026 / downside190.10
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_project_spend, downside_2026q3_project_spend, downside_2026q4_project_spend).
Cash after project deployment ($M)
downside_fy2026_cash_after_deployment
FY2026 / downside-255.61
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_deployment, downside_2026q3_cash_after_deployment, downside_2026q4_cash_after_deployment).
Revenue ($M)
downside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / downside383.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / downside81.86
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_gross_profit).
Operating income before future FX/marks ($M)
downside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / downside-59.94
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / downside-188.14
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo).
Equipment and project cash deployment ($M)
downside_fy2027_project_spend
FY2027 / downside412.50
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_project_spend, downside_2027q2_project_spend, downside_2027q3_project_spend, downside_2027q4_project_spend).
Cash after project deployment ($M)
downside_fy2027_cash_after_deployment
FY2027 / downside-600.64
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_deployment, downside_2027q2_cash_after_deployment, downside_2027q3_cash_after_deployment, downside_2027q4_cash_after_deployment).
Project work available for acceptance
base_2026q3_project_reference
2026Q3 / base40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
base_2026q3_acceptance
2026Q3 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
base_2026q3_projects
2026Q3 / base40.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_project_reference, base_2026q3_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
base_2026q3_service_potential
2026Q3 / base12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
base_2026q3_commissioned_utilization
2026Q3 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
base_2026q3_services
2026Q3 / base9.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_service_potential, base_2026q3_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
base_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / base49.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_projects, base_2026q3_services).
Project gross margin
base_2026q3_project_margin
2026Q3 / base16.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
base_2026q3_project_gross
2026Q3 / base6.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_projects, base_2026q3_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
base_2026q3_service_margin
2026Q3 / base42.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
base_2026q3_service_gross
2026Q3 / base3.78
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_services, base_2026q3_service_margin).
Gross profit
base_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / base10.18
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_project_gross, base_2026q3_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
base_2026q3_cash_opex
2026Q3 / base13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
base_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / base3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
base_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
base_2026q3_operating_costs
2026Q3 / base18.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_cash_opex, base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
base_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / base-7.82
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q3_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
base_2026q3_pre_wc
2026Q3 / base-2.82
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_da).
Other borrowing interest
base_2026q3_other_interest
2026Q3 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
base_2026q3_tax
2026Q3 / base1.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
base_2026q3_wc
2026Q3 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
base_2026q3_cash_claims
2026Q3 / base15.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, base_2026q3_other_interest, base_2026q3_tax, base_2026q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / base-18.67
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_pre_wc, base_2026q3_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
base_2026q3_project_spend
2026Q3 / base60.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
base_2026q3_cash_after_deployment
2026Q3 / base-78.67
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
base_2026q4_project_reference
2026Q4 / base48.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
base_2026q4_acceptance
2026Q4 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
base_2026q4_projects
2026Q4 / base48.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_project_reference, base_2026q4_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
base_2026q4_service_potential
2026Q4 / base40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
base_2026q4_commissioned_utilization
2026Q4 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
base_2026q4_services
2026Q4 / base30.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_service_potential, base_2026q4_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
base_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / base78.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_projects, base_2026q4_services).
Project gross margin
base_2026q4_project_margin
2026Q4 / base16.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
base_2026q4_project_gross
2026Q4 / base7.68
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_projects, base_2026q4_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
base_2026q4_service_margin
2026Q4 / base42.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
base_2026q4_service_gross
2026Q4 / base12.60
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_services, base_2026q4_service_margin).
Gross profit
base_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / base20.28
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_project_gross, base_2026q4_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
base_2026q4_cash_opex
2026Q4 / base15.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
base_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / base3.30
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
base_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / base4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
base_2026q4_operating_costs
2026Q4 / base22.30
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cash_opex, base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
base_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / base-2.02
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_gross_profit, base_2026q4_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
base_2026q4_pre_wc
2026Q4 / base5.28
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_operating_income, base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_da).
Other borrowing interest
base_2026q4_other_interest
2026Q4 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
base_2026q4_tax
2026Q4 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
base_2026q4_wc
2026Q4 / base15.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
base_2026q4_cash_claims
2026Q4 / base21.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, base_2026q4_other_interest, base_2026q4_tax, base_2026q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / base-16.57
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_pre_wc, base_2026q4_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
base_2026q4_project_spend
2026Q4 / base100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
base_2026q4_cash_after_deployment
2026Q4 / base-116.57
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
base_2027q1_project_reference
2027Q1 / base50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
base_2027q1_acceptance
2027Q1 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
base_2027q1_projects
2027Q1 / base50.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_project_reference, base_2027q1_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
base_2027q1_service_potential
2027Q1 / base60.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
base_2027q1_commissioned_utilization
2027Q1 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
base_2027q1_services
2027Q1 / base45.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_service_potential, base_2027q1_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
base_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / base95.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_projects, base_2027q1_services).
Project gross margin
base_2027q1_project_margin
2027Q1 / base16.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
base_2027q1_project_gross
2027Q1 / base8.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_projects, base_2027q1_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
base_2027q1_service_margin
2027Q1 / base42.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
base_2027q1_service_gross
2027Q1 / base18.90
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_services, base_2027q1_service_margin).
Gross profit
base_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / base26.90
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_project_gross, base_2027q1_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
base_2027q1_cash_opex
2027Q1 / base17.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
base_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / base3.60
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
base_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / base6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
base_2027q1_operating_costs
2027Q1 / base26.60
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_opex, base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
base_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / base0.30
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q1_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
base_2027q1_pre_wc
2027Q1 / base9.90
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_da).
Other borrowing interest
base_2027q1_other_interest
2027Q1 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
base_2027q1_tax
2027Q1 / base3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
base_2027q1_wc
2027Q1 / base20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
base_2027q1_cash_claims
2027Q1 / base27.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, base_2027q1_other_interest, base_2027q1_tax, base_2027q1_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / base-17.95
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_pre_wc, base_2027q1_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
base_2027q1_project_spend
2027Q1 / base120.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
base_2027q1_cash_after_deployment
2027Q1 / base-137.95
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
base_2027q2_project_reference
2027Q2 / base55.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
base_2027q2_acceptance
2027Q2 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
base_2027q2_projects
2027Q2 / base55.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_project_reference, base_2027q2_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
base_2027q2_service_potential
2027Q2 / base75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
base_2027q2_commissioned_utilization
2027Q2 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
base_2027q2_services
2027Q2 / base56.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_service_potential, base_2027q2_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
base_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / base111.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_projects, base_2027q2_services).
Project gross margin
base_2027q2_project_margin
2027Q2 / base16.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
base_2027q2_project_gross
2027Q2 / base8.80
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_projects, base_2027q2_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
base_2027q2_service_margin
2027Q2 / base42.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
base_2027q2_service_gross
2027Q2 / base23.62
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_services, base_2027q2_service_margin).
Gross profit
base_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / base32.42
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_project_gross, base_2027q2_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
base_2027q2_cash_opex
2027Q2 / base19.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
base_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / base3.90
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
base_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / base8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
base_2027q2_operating_costs
2027Q2 / base30.90
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cash_opex, base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
base_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / base1.52
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q2_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
base_2027q2_pre_wc
2027Q2 / base13.42
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_da).
Other borrowing interest
base_2027q2_other_interest
2027Q2 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
base_2027q2_tax
2027Q2 / base4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
base_2027q2_wc
2027Q2 / base25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
base_2027q2_cash_claims
2027Q2 / base33.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, base_2027q2_other_interest, base_2027q2_tax, base_2027q2_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / base-20.43
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_pre_wc, base_2027q2_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
base_2027q2_project_spend
2027Q2 / base100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
base_2027q2_cash_after_deployment
2027Q2 / base-120.43
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
base_2027q3_project_reference
2027Q3 / base60.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
base_2027q3_acceptance
2027Q3 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
base_2027q3_projects
2027Q3 / base60.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_project_reference, base_2027q3_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
base_2027q3_service_potential
2027Q3 / base90.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
base_2027q3_commissioned_utilization
2027Q3 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
base_2027q3_services
2027Q3 / base67.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_service_potential, base_2027q3_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
base_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / base127.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_projects, base_2027q3_services).
Project gross margin
base_2027q3_project_margin
2027Q3 / base16.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
base_2027q3_project_gross
2027Q3 / base9.60
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_projects, base_2027q3_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
base_2027q3_service_margin
2027Q3 / base42.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
base_2027q3_service_gross
2027Q3 / base28.35
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_services, base_2027q3_service_margin).
Gross profit
base_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / base37.95
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_project_gross, base_2027q3_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
base_2027q3_cash_opex
2027Q3 / base21.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
base_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / base4.20
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
base_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
base_2027q3_operating_costs
2027Q3 / base35.20
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cash_opex, base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
base_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / base2.75
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q3_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
base_2027q3_pre_wc
2027Q3 / base16.95
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_da).
Other borrowing interest
base_2027q3_other_interest
2027Q3 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
base_2027q3_tax
2027Q3 / base5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
base_2027q3_wc
2027Q3 / base30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
base_2027q3_cash_claims
2027Q3 / base39.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, base_2027q3_other_interest, base_2027q3_tax, base_2027q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / base-22.90
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_pre_wc, base_2027q3_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
base_2027q3_project_spend
2027Q3 / base85.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
base_2027q3_cash_after_deployment
2027Q3 / base-107.90
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
base_2027q4_project_reference
2027Q4 / base65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
base_2027q4_acceptance
2027Q4 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
base_2027q4_projects
2027Q4 / base65.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_project_reference, base_2027q4_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
base_2027q4_service_potential
2027Q4 / base101.67
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
base_2027q4_commissioned_utilization
2027Q4 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
base_2027q4_services
2027Q4 / base76.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_service_potential, base_2027q4_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
base_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / base141.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_projects, base_2027q4_services).
Project gross margin
base_2027q4_project_margin
2027Q4 / base16.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
base_2027q4_project_gross
2027Q4 / base10.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_projects, base_2027q4_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
base_2027q4_service_margin
2027Q4 / base42.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
base_2027q4_service_gross
2027Q4 / base32.03
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_services, base_2027q4_service_margin).
Gross profit
base_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / base42.43
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_project_gross, base_2027q4_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
base_2027q4_cash_opex
2027Q4 / base23.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
base_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / base4.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
base_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / base12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
base_2027q4_operating_costs
2027Q4 / base39.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cash_opex, base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
base_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / base2.93
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_gross_profit, base_2027q4_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
base_2027q4_pre_wc
2027Q4 / base19.43
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_operating_income, base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_da).
Other borrowing interest
base_2027q4_other_interest
2027Q4 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
base_2027q4_tax
2027Q4 / base6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
base_2027q4_wc
2027Q4 / base35.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
base_2027q4_cash_claims
2027Q4 / base45.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, base_2027q4_other_interest, base_2027q4_tax, base_2027q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / base-26.42
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_pre_wc, base_2027q4_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
base_2027q4_project_spend
2027Q4 / base70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
base_2027q4_cash_after_deployment
2027Q4 / base-96.42
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_project_spend).
Revenue ($M)
base_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / base205.36
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
base_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / base34.30
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q4_gross_profit).
Operating income before future FX/marks ($M)
base_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / base-57.02
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
base_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / base-39.58
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo).
Equipment and project cash deployment ($M)
base_fy2026_project_spend
FY2026 / base174.10
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_project_spend, base_2026q3_project_spend, base_2026q4_project_spend).
Cash after project deployment ($M)
base_fy2026_cash_after_deployment
FY2026 / base-213.68
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_deployment, base_2026q3_cash_after_deployment, base_2026q4_cash_after_deployment).
Revenue ($M)
base_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / base475.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / base139.70
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q4_gross_profit).
Operating income before future FX/marks ($M)
base_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / base7.50
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / base-87.70
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo).
Equipment and project cash deployment ($M)
base_fy2027_project_spend
FY2027 / base375.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_project_spend, base_2027q2_project_spend, base_2027q3_project_spend, base_2027q4_project_spend).
Cash after project deployment ($M)
base_fy2027_cash_after_deployment
FY2027 / base-462.70
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_deployment, base_2027q2_cash_after_deployment, base_2027q3_cash_after_deployment, base_2027q4_cash_after_deployment).
Project work available for acceptance
upside_2026q3_project_reference
2026Q3 / upside42.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
upside_2026q3_acceptance
2026Q3 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
upside_2026q3_projects
2026Q3 / upside42.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_project_reference, upside_2026q3_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
upside_2026q3_service_potential
2026Q3 / upside14.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
upside_2026q3_commissioned_utilization
2026Q3 / upside85.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
upside_2026q3_services
2026Q3 / upside11.90
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_service_potential, upside_2026q3_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
upside_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / upside53.90
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_projects, upside_2026q3_services).
Project gross margin
upside_2026q3_project_margin
2026Q3 / upside20.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
upside_2026q3_project_gross
2026Q3 / upside8.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_projects, upside_2026q3_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
upside_2026q3_service_margin
2026Q3 / upside48.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
upside_2026q3_service_gross
2026Q3 / upside5.71
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_services, upside_2026q3_service_margin).
Gross profit
upside_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / upside14.11
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_project_gross, upside_2026q3_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
upside_2026q3_cash_opex
2026Q3 / upside13.65
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
upside_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / upside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
upside_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
upside_2026q3_operating_costs
2026Q3 / upside18.65
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_cash_opex, upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
upside_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / upside-4.54
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
upside_2026q3_pre_wc
2026Q3 / upside0.46
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_da).
Other borrowing interest
upside_2026q3_other_interest
2026Q3 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
upside_2026q3_tax
2026Q3 / upside1.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
upside_2026q3_wc
2026Q3 / upside8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
upside_2026q3_cash_claims
2026Q3 / upside13.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, upside_2026q3_other_interest, upside_2026q3_tax, upside_2026q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / upside-13.39
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_pre_wc, upside_2026q3_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
upside_2026q3_project_spend
2026Q3 / upside69.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
upside_2026q3_cash_after_deployment
2026Q3 / upside-82.39
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
upside_2026q4_project_reference
2026Q4 / upside50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
upside_2026q4_acceptance
2026Q4 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
upside_2026q4_projects
2026Q4 / upside50.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_project_reference, upside_2026q4_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
upside_2026q4_service_potential
2026Q4 / upside44.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
upside_2026q4_commissioned_utilization
2026Q4 / upside85.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
upside_2026q4_services
2026Q4 / upside37.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_service_potential, upside_2026q4_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
upside_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / upside87.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_projects, upside_2026q4_services).
Project gross margin
upside_2026q4_project_margin
2026Q4 / upside20.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
upside_2026q4_project_gross
2026Q4 / upside10.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_projects, upside_2026q4_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
upside_2026q4_service_margin
2026Q4 / upside48.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
upside_2026q4_service_gross
2026Q4 / upside17.95
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_services, upside_2026q4_service_margin).
Gross profit
upside_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / upside27.95
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_project_gross, upside_2026q4_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
upside_2026q4_cash_opex
2026Q4 / upside15.75
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
upside_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / upside3.30
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
upside_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / upside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
upside_2026q4_operating_costs
2026Q4 / upside23.05
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cash_opex, upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
upside_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / upside4.90
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
upside_2026q4_pre_wc
2026Q4 / upside12.20
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_operating_income, upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_da).
Other borrowing interest
upside_2026q4_other_interest
2026Q4 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
upside_2026q4_tax
2026Q4 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
upside_2026q4_wc
2026Q4 / upside12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
upside_2026q4_cash_claims
2026Q4 / upside18.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, upside_2026q4_other_interest, upside_2026q4_tax, upside_2026q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / upside-6.65
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_pre_wc, upside_2026q4_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
upside_2026q4_project_spend
2026Q4 / upside115.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
upside_2026q4_cash_after_deployment
2026Q4 / upside-121.65
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
upside_2027q1_project_reference
2027Q1 / upside55.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
upside_2027q1_acceptance
2027Q1 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
upside_2027q1_projects
2027Q1 / upside55.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_project_reference, upside_2027q1_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
upside_2027q1_service_potential
2027Q1 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
upside_2027q1_commissioned_utilization
2027Q1 / upside85.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
upside_2027q1_services
2027Q1 / upside59.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_service_potential, upside_2027q1_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
upside_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / upside114.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_projects, upside_2027q1_services).
Project gross margin
upside_2027q1_project_margin
2027Q1 / upside20.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
upside_2027q1_project_gross
2027Q1 / upside11.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_projects, upside_2027q1_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
upside_2027q1_service_margin
2027Q1 / upside48.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
upside_2027q1_service_gross
2027Q1 / upside28.56
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_services, upside_2027q1_service_margin).
Gross profit
upside_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / upside39.56
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_project_gross, upside_2027q1_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
upside_2027q1_cash_opex
2027Q1 / upside17.85
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
upside_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / upside3.60
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
upside_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / upside6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
upside_2027q1_operating_costs
2027Q1 / upside27.45
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_opex, upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
upside_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / upside12.11
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
upside_2027q1_pre_wc
2027Q1 / upside21.71
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_da).
Other borrowing interest
upside_2027q1_other_interest
2027Q1 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
upside_2027q1_tax
2027Q1 / upside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
upside_2027q1_wc
2027Q1 / upside16.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
upside_2027q1_cash_claims
2027Q1 / upside23.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, upside_2027q1_other_interest, upside_2027q1_tax, upside_2027q1_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / upside-2.14
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_pre_wc, upside_2027q1_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
upside_2027q1_project_spend
2027Q1 / upside138.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
upside_2027q1_cash_after_deployment
2027Q1 / upside-140.14
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
upside_2027q2_project_reference
2027Q2 / upside60.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
upside_2027q2_acceptance
2027Q2 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
upside_2027q2_projects
2027Q2 / upside60.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_project_reference, upside_2027q2_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
upside_2027q2_service_potential
2027Q2 / upside90.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
upside_2027q2_commissioned_utilization
2027Q2 / upside85.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
upside_2027q2_services
2027Q2 / upside76.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_service_potential, upside_2027q2_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
upside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / upside136.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_projects, upside_2027q2_services).
Project gross margin
upside_2027q2_project_margin
2027Q2 / upside20.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
upside_2027q2_project_gross
2027Q2 / upside12.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_projects, upside_2027q2_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
upside_2027q2_service_margin
2027Q2 / upside48.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
upside_2027q2_service_gross
2027Q2 / upside36.72
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_services, upside_2027q2_service_margin).
Gross profit
upside_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / upside48.72
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_project_gross, upside_2027q2_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
upside_2027q2_cash_opex
2027Q2 / upside19.95
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
upside_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / upside3.90
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
upside_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / upside8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
upside_2027q2_operating_costs
2027Q2 / upside31.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cash_opex, upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
upside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / upside16.87
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
upside_2027q2_pre_wc
2027Q2 / upside28.77
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_da).
Other borrowing interest
upside_2027q2_other_interest
2027Q2 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
upside_2027q2_tax
2027Q2 / upside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
upside_2027q2_wc
2027Q2 / upside20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
upside_2027q2_cash_claims
2027Q2 / upside28.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, upside_2027q2_other_interest, upside_2027q2_tax, upside_2027q2_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / upside-0.08
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_pre_wc, upside_2027q2_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
upside_2027q2_project_spend
2027Q2 / upside115.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
upside_2027q2_cash_after_deployment
2027Q2 / upside-115.08
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
upside_2027q3_project_reference
2027Q3 / upside65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
upside_2027q3_acceptance
2027Q3 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
upside_2027q3_projects
2027Q3 / upside65.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_project_reference, upside_2027q3_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
upside_2027q3_service_potential
2027Q3 / upside110.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
upside_2027q3_commissioned_utilization
2027Q3 / upside85.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
upside_2027q3_services
2027Q3 / upside93.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_service_potential, upside_2027q3_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
upside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / upside158.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_projects, upside_2027q3_services).
Project gross margin
upside_2027q3_project_margin
2027Q3 / upside20.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
upside_2027q3_project_gross
2027Q3 / upside13.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_projects, upside_2027q3_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
upside_2027q3_service_margin
2027Q3 / upside48.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
upside_2027q3_service_gross
2027Q3 / upside44.88
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_services, upside_2027q3_service_margin).
Gross profit
upside_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / upside57.88
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_project_gross, upside_2027q3_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
upside_2027q3_cash_opex
2027Q3 / upside22.05
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
upside_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / upside4.20
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
upside_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
upside_2027q3_operating_costs
2027Q3 / upside36.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cash_opex, upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
upside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / upside21.63
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
upside_2027q3_pre_wc
2027Q3 / upside35.83
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_da).
Other borrowing interest
upside_2027q3_other_interest
2027Q3 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
upside_2027q3_tax
2027Q3 / upside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
upside_2027q3_wc
2027Q3 / upside24.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
upside_2027q3_cash_claims
2027Q3 / upside33.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, upside_2027q3_other_interest, upside_2027q3_tax, upside_2027q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / upside1.98
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_pre_wc, upside_2027q3_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
upside_2027q3_project_spend
2027Q3 / upside97.75
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
upside_2027q3_cash_after_deployment
2027Q3 / upside-95.77
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_project_spend).
Project work available for acceptance
upside_2027q4_project_reference
2027Q4 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted proportion
upside_2027q4_acceptance
2027Q4 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accepted project revenue
upside_2027q4_projects
2027Q4 / upside70.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_project_reference, upside_2027q4_acceptance).
Potential quarterly service sales
upside_2027q4_service_potential
2027Q4 / upside130.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Commissioned and utilized share
upside_2027q4_commissioned_utilization
2027Q4 / upside85.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized compute services
upside_2027q4_services
2027Q4 / upside110.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_service_potential, upside_2027q4_commissioned_utilization).
Revenue
upside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / upside180.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_projects, upside_2027q4_services).
Project gross margin
upside_2027q4_project_margin
2027Q4 / upside20.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Project gross profit
upside_2027q4_project_gross
2027Q4 / upside14.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_projects, upside_2027q4_project_margin).
Compute-service gross margin
upside_2027q4_service_margin
2027Q4 / upside48.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Compute-service gross profit
upside_2027q4_service_gross
2027Q4 / upside53.04
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_services, upside_2027q4_service_margin).
Gross profit
upside_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / upside67.04
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_project_gross, upside_2027q4_service_gross).
Cash overhead and execution costs
upside_2027q4_cash_opex
2027Q4 / upside24.15
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Share-based compensation
upside_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / upside4.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Depreciation and amortization
upside_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / upside12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash overhead SBC and depreciation
upside_2027q4_operating_costs
2027Q4 / upside40.65
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cash_opex, upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_da).
Operating income before future FX and marks
upside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / upside26.39
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_operating_costs).
Operating profit plus noncash costs
upside_2027q4_pre_wc
2027Q4 / upside42.89
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_operating_income, upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_da).
Other borrowing interest
upside_2027q4_other_interest
2027Q4 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash tax
upside_2027q4_tax
2027Q4 / upside6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Receivable/inventory use net of payables
upside_2027q4_wc
2027Q4 / upside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Interest taxes and working-capital use
upside_2027q4_cash_claims
2027Q4 / upside38.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(bond_cash_interest, upside_2027q4_other_interest, upside_2027q4_tax, upside_2027q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / upside4.04
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_pre_wc, upside_2027q4_cash_claims).
Equipment and project cash deployment
upside_2027q4_project_spend
2027Q4 / upside80.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after project deployment
upside_2027q4_cash_after_deployment
2027Q4 / upside-76.46
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_project_spend).
Revenue ($M)
upside_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / upside219.66
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
upside_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / upside45.91
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_gross_profit).
Operating income before future FX/marks ($M)
upside_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / upside-46.82
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
upside_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / upside-24.38
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo).
Equipment and project cash deployment ($M)
upside_fy2026_project_spend
FY2026 / upside198.10
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_project_spend, upside_2026q3_project_spend, upside_2026q4_project_spend).
Cash after project deployment ($M)
upside_fy2026_cash_after_deployment
FY2026 / upside-222.48
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_deployment, upside_2026q3_cash_after_deployment, upside_2026q4_cash_after_deployment).
Revenue ($M)
upside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / upside590.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / upside213.20
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_gross_profit).
Operating income before future FX/marks ($M)
upside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / upside77.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / upside3.80
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo).
Equipment and project cash deployment ($M)
upside_fy2027_project_spend
FY2027 / upside431.25
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_project_spend, upside_2027q2_project_spend, upside_2027q3_project_spend, upside_2027q4_project_spend).
Cash after project deployment ($M)
upside_fy2027_cash_after_deployment
FY2027 / upside-427.45
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_deployment, upside_2027q2_cash_after_deployment, upside_2027q3_cash_after_deployment, upside_2027q4_cash_after_deployment).

Model boundaries

From equipment delivery to collected project cash

Research reviewed 2026-09-20

Can Gorilla turn its contracted AI buildout into margins and cash before the next funding need?

H1 revenue rose to $78.4M, but gross profit was $3.8M, IFRS operating loss $47.2M and operating cash use $4.3M. Equipment/project cash deployment was about $14.1M. June cash $179.4M was supported mainly by financing, while receivables and contract assets were $145.3M. The company raised $107M June and $125M July convertible principal at 7.5% coupons. August guidance set Q3 revenue at $48-50M, FY2026 at least $200M and a $450-500M 2027 target. September 8 confirmed Yotta equipment deliveries, not completed commissioning. Potential additional GPUs are excluded until contracted and ready.

The competing explanation

Acceptance can pull sales forward while hardware, staffing and interest absorb cash. Fixed-price work, FX, customer concentration and commissioning delays can overwhelm projected service margins.

Risks to track

Next checkpoints

Data coverage and open work

This review: First operating model through September 20; includes September Yotta delivery milestone and both convertible series.

What the memory says

State as of the 2026-09-25 close: in a 120-day uptrend, above its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, quiet volume, closed weak, and some peers moving

300 similar days

Vs the market, in pointsLowMiddleHighShare up
1 session-2.5-0.2+2.145%
5 sessions-6.8-0.3+6.146%
10 sessions-8.8-0.3+8.449%
1 month (21 sessions)-12.7-0.3+14.648%
3 months (63 sessions)-25.6-0.0+24.650%
6 months (126 sessions)-32.8+4.7+49.956%
1 year (252 sessions)-38.4+14.3+91.868%

Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side. In the D7 test (403 anchors, 2023-2025) the 1-month band held 76% of outcomes, 3-month 77%, 6-month 76%, 1-year 75%, against a nominal 80%; the analog pool under-represents names that later delisted.

Notes on this name

Scorecard: 1 note scored; 1 inside the 5-session band (100% coverage)

Next report date: not dated. Undated in the latest note (https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/grrr-contracts-cash-dilution-20260914): Preserve September 11 as the completed-session baseline and append September 14 closing data, then September 18 and September 25 closes for five- and ten-session observations

Provenance

  1. [1] reported: Direct quarterly statement; retrieved 2026-09-20T14:10:07.119855+00:00 from https://investors.gorilla-technology.com/gorilla-technology-reports-record-revenue-in-q3-issues-2026-guidance/
  2. [2] derived: Annual less H1 less Q3; paired sources in source list; retrieved 2026-09-20T14:10:07.119855+00:00 from https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1903145/000143774926012385/grrr20241231_20f.htm
  3. [3] reported: Direct quarter; retrieved 2026-09-20T13:56:36.854564+00:00 from https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1903145/000143774926018444/ex_944447.htm
  4. [4] derived: H1 less directly reported Q1; paired source in source list; retrieved 2026-09-20T13:56:36.854564+00:00 from https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1903145/000143774926028827/ex_974012.htm
  5. [5] reported: Period-end cash; retrieved 2026-09-20T13:56:36.854564+00:00 from https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1903145/000143774926018444/ex_944447.htm

What the author read

Compiled 2026-09-26T11:15:44.362025+00:00 · authored c74ad0719dc9 · generated 8d998e13b3a1 · JSON

Daily notes · Scorecard