$WULF
Business
TeraWulf develops power-connected data centers and is transitioning Lake Mariner from Bitcoin mining to long-term HPC hosting. New projects expand the contracted footprint, but utility power approval, construction completion, delivered IT capacity and rent commencement occur at different times. The near-term model is driven by Lake Mariner commissioning and the later Justified campus ramp.
Three drivers
- Average critical IT MW accepted by paying tenants
- Rental revenue and site cash margins during the ramp
- Construction commitments, financing and retained cash
Thesis
Our view
The transition is already visible in revenue: HPC contributed $31.9M of $44.8M Q2 revenue. The next question is how the 102 MW delivered after CB3 becomes 438 MW at Lake Mariner and how much funding is consumed before the 401 MW Justified project produces rent. A power agreement improves project readiness but does not equal rent-producing capacity. Our scenarios connect delivery timing to rental income, site cash margins and construction spending.
What changes it
Accepted critical IT MW, initial rent and cash capex are the deciding evidence. Delayed CB4/CB5 delivery, weaker initial rent realization or a more expensive funding mix weaken the case; predictable commissioning and cash conversion strengthen it.
Scenario ranges
Named downside/base/upside operating assumptions; not probabilities, price targets or the short-horizon market-memory bands.
Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)
| Fiscal quarter | 2024Q3 2024-09-30 | 2024Q4 2024-12-31 | 2025Q1 2025-03-31 | 2025Q2 2025-06-30 | 2025Q3 2025-09-30 | 2025Q4 2025-12-31 | 2026Q1 2026-03-31 | 2026Q2 2026-06-30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($M) | 27.11 | 35.0†2 | 34.43 | 47.64 | 50.61 | 35.8†2 | 34.03 | 44.84 |
| Gross profit ($M) | 10.85 | 9.3†6 | 7.07 | 22.08 | 29.05 | 8.1†6 | 20.47 | 8.98 |
| Operating income ($M) | -15.79 | -51.4†10 | -59.611 | -15.612 | -24.79 | -86.3†10 | -162.111 | -140.412 |
| Net income ($M) | -22.713 | -29.2†14 | -61.415 | -18.416 | -455.113 | -126.6†14 | -427.615 | -939.916 |
| EPS, diluted ($) | -0.0617 | — | -0.1618 | -0.0519 | -1.1317 | — | -1.0118 | -1.9419 |
| Diluted shares (M) | 382.120 | — | 383.121 | 386.922 | 401.620 | — | 423.021 | 485.722 |
| Cash ($M) | 23.923 | 274.124 | 218.225 | 90.026 | 711.327 | 3,266.428 | 2,630.029 | 2,619.228 |
| Long-term debt ($M) | 0.030 | 0.031 | — | — | — | 3,052.232 | 3,060.232 | — |
| Cash from operations ($M) | -20.9†33 | -42.7†34 | 56.535 | -54.8†36 | -36.7†33 | -88.2†34 | -17.635 | -136.7†36 |
| Capex ($M) | 20.7†37 | 153.6†38 | 93.739 | 119.9†40 | 231.6†37 | 615.0†38 | 523.039 | 855.6†40 |
| Free cash flow ($M) | -41.7†41 | -196.4†42 | -37.2†43 | -174.8†44 | -268.3†41 | -703.2†42 | -540.5†43 | -992.3†44 |
Estimates · base scenario
| Period | Revenue ($M) | EPS ($) | As of | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 72.8 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2026Q4 | 120.3 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q1 | 172.7 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q2 | 210.1 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance. |
Delivered IT capacity, rental economics and build funding
Model Lake Mariner and Justified separately using average rent-producing critical IT MW in each quarter. Lake Mariner uses an explicit assumed annual rent per MW. Justified starts with disclosed base contract value divided by its 20-year term and scales by active capacity, with a haircut for early-year rent versus lifetime average. Add mining, then deduct cash site costs, overhead, net interest and other cash uses. FY2026 includes reported H1; FY2027 is a desk extension.
Reported anchors and guidance
| Measure | Period | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Mariner critical IT MW after CB3 | Disclosed capacity | 102.00 | reported. Critical IT capacity; only delivered and rent-producing capacity generates modeled revenue. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| Lake Mariner full contracted critical IT MW | Disclosed capacity | 438.00 | reported. Critical IT capacity; only delivered and rent-producing capacity generates modeled revenue. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| Justified contracted critical IT MW | Disclosed capacity | 401.00 | reported. Critical IT capacity; only delivered and rent-producing capacity generates modeled revenue. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| Justified base contract revenue | 20-year term | 19,000.00 | reported. Approximately $19B base contract value; extensions are excluded. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| June unrestricted cash | 2026Q2 | 2,619.19 | reported. 10-Q reported amount converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| June total restricted cash | 2026Q2 | 409.42 | derived. Current and noncurrent restricted balances; not unrestricted parent cash. |
| H1 cash after PP&E and deposits | H1 2026 | -1,508.17 | derived. Excludes $231.350M asset acquisitions and financing cash flows. |
Downside scenario
| Period | Cash construction capex ($M) | Revenue ($M) | HPC revenue ($M) | Cash after capex proxy ($M) | Cash before capex proxy ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 800.00 | 53.66 | 42.75 | -907.90 | -107.90 |
| 2026Q4 | 850.00 | 84.84 | 76.50 | -940.58 | -90.57 |
| 2027Q1 | 1,000.00 | 118.92 | 112.50 | -1,063.12 | -63.12 |
| 2027Q2 | 1,100.00 | 139.49 | 135.00 | -1,144.00 | -44.00 |
| FY2026 | 3,028.51 | 217.28 | 172.20 | -3,356.65 | -328.13 |
| FY2027 | 4,250.00 | 604.26 | 589.50 | -4,401.93 | -151.93 |
Base scenario
| Period | Cash construction capex ($M) | Revenue ($M) | HPC revenue ($M) | Cash after capex proxy ($M) | Cash before capex proxy ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 700.00 | 72.84 | 60.00 | -773.22 | -73.22 |
| 2026Q4 | 700.00 | 120.27 | 110.00 | -734.97 | -34.97 |
| 2027Q1 | 800.00 | 172.70 | 165.00 | -791.23 | 8.77 |
| 2027Q2 | 900.00 | 210.13 | 205.00 | -853.24 | 46.76 |
| FY2026 | 2,778.51 | 271.88 | 222.95 | -3,016.36 | -237.85 |
| FY2027 | 3,600.00 | 886.38 | 868.41 | -3,385.14 | 214.86 |
Upside scenario
| Period | Cash construction capex ($M) | Revenue ($M) | HPC revenue ($M) | Cash after capex proxy ($M) | Cash before capex proxy ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 650.00 | 97.26 | 82.50 | -693.42 | -43.42 |
| 2026Q4 | 650.00 | 166.19 | 154.00 | -639.76 | 10.24 |
| 2027Q1 | 750.00 | 218.63 | 209.00 | -691.32 | 58.68 |
| 2027Q2 | 850.00 | 247.32 | 240.90 | -756.00 | 94.00 |
| FY2026 | 2,678.51 | 342.23 | 289.45 | -2,841.36 | -162.84 |
| FY2027 | 3,350.00 | 1,092.75 | 1,070.29 | -2,899.72 | 450.28 |
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
| Input / calculation | Period / case | Value / unit | Evidence or assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| One quarter of a year quarter | Model / shared | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Arithmetic time conversion. |
| Average divisor two | Model / shared | 200.0% ratio | assumption: Arithmetic constant. |
| H1 consolidated revenue h1_revenue | H1 2026 / shared | 78.78 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q reported amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| H1 HPC revenue h1_hpc_revenue | H1 2026 / shared | 52.95 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q reported amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| H1 GAAP operating cash flow h1_cfo | H1 2026 / shared | -154.30 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q reported amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| H1 Bitcoin sale proceeds, investing h1_btc_sales | H1 2026 / shared | 24.64 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q reported amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| H1 PP&E purchases and deposits h1_capex | H1 2026 / shared | 1,378.51 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q reported amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| June unrestricted cash h1_cash | 2026Q2 / shared | 2,619.19 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q reported amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| June current restricted cash h1_restricted_current | 2026Q2 / shared | 142.94 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q reported amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| June noncurrent restricted cash h1_restricted_noncurrent | 2026Q2 / shared | 266.48 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q reported amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Q2 mining revenue h1_q2_mining | 2026Q2 / shared | 12.84 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q reported amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| H1 cash interest paid h1_cash_interest | H1 2026 / shared | 131.07 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q reported amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| June total restricted cash h1_restricted_cash | 2026Q2 / shared | 409.42 USD_millions | derived: Current and noncurrent restricted balances; not unrestricted parent cash. Formula: sum(h1_restricted_current, h1_restricted_noncurrent). |
| H1 operating cash plus Bitcoin proceeds h1_cash_before_capex | H1 2026 / shared | -129.66 USD_millions | derived: Bitcoin-sale proceeds are classified in investing, so this is not GAAP CFO. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, h1_btc_sales). |
| H1 cash after PP&E and deposits h1_cash_after_capex | H1 2026 / shared | -1,508.17 USD_millions | derived: Excludes $231.350M asset acquisitions and financing cash flows. Formula: subtract(h1_cash_before_capex, h1_capex). |
| Lake Mariner critical IT MW at June 30 lake_june | Disclosed capacity / shared | 81.00 MW | reported: Critical IT capacity; only delivered and rent-producing capacity generates modeled revenue. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Lake Mariner critical IT MW after CB3 lake_july | Disclosed capacity / shared | 102.00 MW | reported: Critical IT capacity; only delivered and rent-producing capacity generates modeled revenue. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Lake Mariner full contracted critical IT MW lake_full | Disclosed capacity / shared | 438.00 MW | reported: Critical IT capacity; only delivered and rent-producing capacity generates modeled revenue. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Justified contracted critical IT MW justified_full | Disclosed capacity / shared | 401.00 MW | reported: Critical IT capacity; only delivered and rent-producing capacity generates modeled revenue. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| One MW normalization one_mw | Model / shared | 1.00 MW | assumption: Arithmetic unit normalization; not additional capacity. |
| Justified base contract revenue justified_contract | 20-year term / shared | 19,000.00 USD_millions | reported: Approximately $19B base contract value; extensions are excluded. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Justified base contract years justified_term | Contract / shared | 2,000.0% ratio | reported: Disclosed base term; used only to compute a lifetime average. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Justified lifetime-average annual revenue justified_annual_average | Annual / shared | 950.00 USD_millions | derived: Base contract value divided by years; NOT first-year contractual rent. Formula: divide(justified_contract, justified_term). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW downside_2026q3_lake_mw | 2026Q3 / downside | 95.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW downside_2026q3_lake_units | 2026Q3 / downside | 9,500.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(downside_2026q3_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW downside_2026q3_rent_per_mw | 2026Q3 / downside | 1.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue downside_2026q3_lake_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 42.75 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_lake_units, downside_2026q3_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW downside_2026q3_justified_mw | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity downside_2026q3_justified_fraction | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(downside_2026q3_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent downside_2026q3_justified_realization | 2026Q3 / downside | 80.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue downside_2026q3_justified_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, downside_2026q3_justified_fraction, quarter, downside_2026q3_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue downside_2026q3_hpc_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 42.75 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_lake_revenue, downside_2026q3_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline downside_2026q3_mining_factor | 2026Q3 / downside | 85.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue downside_2026q3_mining | 2026Q3 / downside | 10.91 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, downside_2026q3_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 53.66 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_hpc_revenue, downside_2026q3_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin downside_2026q3_hpc_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | 40.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution downside_2026q3_hpc_cash | 2026Q3 / downside | 17.10 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_hpc_revenue, downside_2026q3_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin downside_2026q3_mining_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution downside_2026q3_mining_cash | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_mining, downside_2026q3_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution downside_2026q3_site_cash | 2026Q3 / downside | 17.10 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_hpc_cash, downside_2026q3_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead downside_2026q3_corp | 2026Q3 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance downside_2026q3_interest | 2026Q3 / downside | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses downside_2026q3_other | 2026Q3 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses downside_2026q3_uses | 2026Q3 / downside | 125.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_corp, downside_2026q3_interest, downside_2026q3_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy downside_2026q3_cash_before_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | -107.90 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_site_cash, downside_2026q3_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits downside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | 800.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy downside_2026q3_cash_after_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | -907.90 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cash_before_capex, downside_2026q3_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW downside_2026q4_lake_mw | 2026Q4 / downside | 170.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW downside_2026q4_lake_units | 2026Q4 / downside | 17,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(downside_2026q4_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW downside_2026q4_rent_per_mw | 2026Q4 / downside | 1.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue downside_2026q4_lake_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 76.50 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_lake_units, downside_2026q4_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW downside_2026q4_justified_mw | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity downside_2026q4_justified_fraction | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(downside_2026q4_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent downside_2026q4_justified_realization | 2026Q4 / downside | 80.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue downside_2026q4_justified_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, downside_2026q4_justified_fraction, quarter, downside_2026q4_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue downside_2026q4_hpc_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 76.50 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_lake_revenue, downside_2026q4_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline downside_2026q4_mining_factor | 2026Q4 / downside | 65.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue downside_2026q4_mining | 2026Q4 / downside | 8.34 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, downside_2026q4_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 84.84 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_hpc_revenue, downside_2026q4_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin downside_2026q4_hpc_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 45.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution downside_2026q4_hpc_cash | 2026Q4 / downside | 34.43 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_hpc_revenue, downside_2026q4_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin downside_2026q4_mining_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution downside_2026q4_mining_cash | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_mining, downside_2026q4_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution downside_2026q4_site_cash | 2026Q4 / downside | 34.43 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_hpc_cash, downside_2026q4_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead downside_2026q4_corp | 2026Q4 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance downside_2026q4_interest | 2026Q4 / downside | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses downside_2026q4_other | 2026Q4 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses downside_2026q4_uses | 2026Q4 / downside | 125.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_corp, downside_2026q4_interest, downside_2026q4_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy downside_2026q4_cash_before_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | -90.57 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_site_cash, downside_2026q4_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits downside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | 850.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy downside_2026q4_cash_after_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | -940.58 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cash_before_capex, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW downside_2027q1_lake_mw | 2027Q1 / downside | 250.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW downside_2027q1_lake_units | 2027Q1 / downside | 25,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(downside_2027q1_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW downside_2027q1_rent_per_mw | 2027Q1 / downside | 1.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue downside_2027q1_lake_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 112.50 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_lake_units, downside_2027q1_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW downside_2027q1_justified_mw | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity downside_2027q1_justified_fraction | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(downside_2027q1_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent downside_2027q1_justified_realization | 2027Q1 / downside | 80.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue downside_2027q1_justified_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, downside_2027q1_justified_fraction, quarter, downside_2027q1_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue downside_2027q1_hpc_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 112.50 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_lake_revenue, downside_2027q1_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline downside_2027q1_mining_factor | 2027Q1 / downside | 50.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue downside_2027q1_mining | 2027Q1 / downside | 6.42 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, downside_2027q1_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 118.92 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_hpc_revenue, downside_2027q1_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin downside_2027q1_hpc_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 55.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution downside_2027q1_hpc_cash | 2027Q1 / downside | 61.88 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_hpc_revenue, downside_2027q1_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin downside_2027q1_mining_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution downside_2027q1_mining_cash | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_mining, downside_2027q1_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution downside_2027q1_site_cash | 2027Q1 / downside | 61.88 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_hpc_cash, downside_2027q1_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead downside_2027q1_corp | 2027Q1 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance downside_2027q1_interest | 2027Q1 / downside | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses downside_2027q1_other | 2027Q1 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses downside_2027q1_uses | 2027Q1 / downside | 125.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_corp, downside_2027q1_interest, downside_2027q1_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy downside_2027q1_cash_before_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | -63.12 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_site_cash, downside_2027q1_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits downside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | 1,000.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy downside_2027q1_cash_after_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | -1,063.12 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_before_capex, downside_2027q1_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW downside_2027q2_lake_mw | 2027Q2 / downside | 300.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW downside_2027q2_lake_units | 2027Q2 / downside | 30,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(downside_2027q2_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW downside_2027q2_rent_per_mw | 2027Q2 / downside | 1.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue downside_2027q2_lake_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 135.00 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_lake_units, downside_2027q2_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW downside_2027q2_justified_mw | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity downside_2027q2_justified_fraction | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(downside_2027q2_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent downside_2027q2_justified_realization | 2027Q2 / downside | 80.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue downside_2027q2_justified_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, downside_2027q2_justified_fraction, quarter, downside_2027q2_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue downside_2027q2_hpc_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 135.00 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_lake_revenue, downside_2027q2_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline downside_2027q2_mining_factor | 2027Q2 / downside | 35.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue downside_2027q2_mining | 2027Q2 / downside | 4.49 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, downside_2027q2_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 139.49 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_hpc_revenue, downside_2027q2_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin downside_2027q2_hpc_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 60.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution downside_2027q2_hpc_cash | 2027Q2 / downside | 81.00 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_hpc_revenue, downside_2027q2_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin downside_2027q2_mining_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution downside_2027q2_mining_cash | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_mining, downside_2027q2_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution downside_2027q2_site_cash | 2027Q2 / downside | 81.00 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_hpc_cash, downside_2027q2_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead downside_2027q2_corp | 2027Q2 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance downside_2027q2_interest | 2027Q2 / downside | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses downside_2027q2_other | 2027Q2 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses downside_2027q2_uses | 2027Q2 / downside | 125.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_corp, downside_2027q2_interest, downside_2027q2_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy downside_2027q2_cash_before_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | -44.00 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_site_cash, downside_2027q2_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits downside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | 1,100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy downside_2027q2_cash_after_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | -1,144.00 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_before_capex, downside_2027q2_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW downside_2027q3_lake_mw | 2027Q3 / downside | 360.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW downside_2027q3_lake_units | 2027Q3 / downside | 36,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(downside_2027q3_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW downside_2027q3_rent_per_mw | 2027Q3 / downside | 1.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue downside_2027q3_lake_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 162.00 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_lake_units, downside_2027q3_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW downside_2027q3_justified_mw | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity downside_2027q3_justified_fraction | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(downside_2027q3_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent downside_2027q3_justified_realization | 2027Q3 / downside | 80.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue downside_2027q3_justified_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, downside_2027q3_justified_fraction, quarter, downside_2027q3_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue downside_2027q3_hpc_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 162.00 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_lake_revenue, downside_2027q3_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline downside_2027q3_mining_factor | 2027Q3 / downside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue downside_2027q3_mining | 2027Q3 / downside | 2.57 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, downside_2027q3_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 164.57 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_hpc_revenue, downside_2027q3_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin downside_2027q3_hpc_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 60.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution downside_2027q3_hpc_cash | 2027Q3 / downside | 97.20 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_hpc_revenue, downside_2027q3_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin downside_2027q3_mining_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution downside_2027q3_mining_cash | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_mining, downside_2027q3_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution downside_2027q3_site_cash | 2027Q3 / downside | 97.20 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_hpc_cash, downside_2027q3_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead downside_2027q3_corp | 2027Q3 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance downside_2027q3_interest | 2027Q3 / downside | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses downside_2027q3_other | 2027Q3 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses downside_2027q3_uses | 2027Q3 / downside | 125.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_corp, downside_2027q3_interest, downside_2027q3_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy downside_2027q3_cash_before_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | -27.80 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_site_cash, downside_2027q3_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits downside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | 1,150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy downside_2027q3_cash_after_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | -1,177.80 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_before_capex, downside_2027q3_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW downside_2027q4_lake_mw | 2027Q4 / downside | 400.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW downside_2027q4_lake_units | 2027Q4 / downside | 40,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(downside_2027q4_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW downside_2027q4_rent_per_mw | 2027Q4 / downside | 1.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue downside_2027q4_lake_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 180.00 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_lake_units, downside_2027q4_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW downside_2027q4_justified_mw | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity downside_2027q4_justified_fraction | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(downside_2027q4_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent downside_2027q4_justified_realization | 2027Q4 / downside | 80.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue downside_2027q4_justified_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, downside_2027q4_justified_fraction, quarter, downside_2027q4_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue downside_2027q4_hpc_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 180.00 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_lake_revenue, downside_2027q4_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline downside_2027q4_mining_factor | 2027Q4 / downside | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue downside_2027q4_mining | 2027Q4 / downside | 1.28 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, downside_2027q4_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 181.28 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_hpc_revenue, downside_2027q4_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin downside_2027q4_hpc_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 60.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution downside_2027q4_hpc_cash | 2027Q4 / downside | 108.00 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_hpc_revenue, downside_2027q4_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin downside_2027q4_mining_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution downside_2027q4_mining_cash | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_mining, downside_2027q4_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution downside_2027q4_site_cash | 2027Q4 / downside | 108.00 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_hpc_cash, downside_2027q4_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead downside_2027q4_corp | 2027Q4 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance downside_2027q4_interest | 2027Q4 / downside | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses downside_2027q4_other | 2027Q4 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses downside_2027q4_uses | 2027Q4 / downside | 125.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_corp, downside_2027q4_interest, downside_2027q4_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy downside_2027q4_cash_before_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | -17.00 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_site_cash, downside_2027q4_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits downside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | 1,000.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy downside_2027q4_cash_after_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | -1,017.00 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_before_capex, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| FY2026 Revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / downside | 217.28 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue). |
| FY2026 HPC revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_hpc_revenue | FY2026 / downside | 172.20 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_hpc_revenue, downside_2026q3_hpc_revenue, downside_2026q4_hpc_revenue). |
| FY2026 Cash before capex proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_before_capex | FY2026 / downside | -328.13 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_cash_before_capex, downside_2026q3_cash_before_capex, downside_2026q4_cash_before_capex). |
| FY2026 Cash construction capex ($M) downside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / downside | 3,028.51 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| FY2026 Cash after capex proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_after_capex | FY2026 / downside | -3,356.65 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_capex, downside_2026q3_cash_after_capex, downside_2026q4_cash_after_capex). |
| FY2027 Revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / downside | 604.26 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue). |
| FY2027 HPC revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_hpc_revenue | FY2027 / downside | 589.50 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_hpc_revenue, downside_2027q2_hpc_revenue, downside_2027q3_hpc_revenue, downside_2027q4_hpc_revenue). |
| FY2027 Cash before capex proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_before_capex | FY2027 / downside | -151.93 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_before_capex, downside_2027q2_cash_before_capex, downside_2027q3_cash_before_capex, downside_2027q4_cash_before_capex). |
| FY2027 Cash construction capex ($M) downside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / downside | 4,250.00 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| FY2027 Cash after capex proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_after_capex | FY2027 / downside | -4,401.93 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_capex, downside_2027q2_cash_after_capex, downside_2027q3_cash_after_capex, downside_2027q4_cash_after_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW base_2026q3_lake_mw | 2026Q3 / base | 120.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW base_2026q3_lake_units | 2026Q3 / base | 12,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(base_2026q3_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW base_2026q3_rent_per_mw | 2026Q3 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue base_2026q3_lake_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 60.00 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_lake_units, base_2026q3_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW base_2026q3_justified_mw | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity base_2026q3_justified_fraction | 2026Q3 / base | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(base_2026q3_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent base_2026q3_justified_realization | 2026Q3 / base | 85.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue base_2026q3_justified_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, base_2026q3_justified_fraction, quarter, base_2026q3_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue base_2026q3_hpc_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 60.00 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_lake_revenue, base_2026q3_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline base_2026q3_mining_factor | 2026Q3 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue base_2026q3_mining | 2026Q3 / base | 12.84 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, base_2026q3_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 72.84 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_hpc_revenue, base_2026q3_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin base_2026q3_hpc_margin | 2026Q3 / base | 55.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution base_2026q3_hpc_cash | 2026Q3 / base | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_hpc_revenue, base_2026q3_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin base_2026q3_mining_margin | 2026Q3 / base | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution base_2026q3_mining_cash | 2026Q3 / base | 1.28 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_mining, base_2026q3_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution base_2026q3_site_cash | 2026Q3 / base | 34.28 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_hpc_cash, base_2026q3_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead base_2026q3_corp | 2026Q3 / base | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance base_2026q3_interest | 2026Q3 / base | 67.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses base_2026q3_other | 2026Q3 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses base_2026q3_uses | 2026Q3 / base | 107.50 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_corp, base_2026q3_interest, base_2026q3_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy base_2026q3_cash_before_capex | 2026Q3 / base | -73.22 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_site_cash, base_2026q3_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits base_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / base | 700.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy base_2026q3_cash_after_capex | 2026Q3 / base | -773.22 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cash_before_capex, base_2026q3_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW base_2026q4_lake_mw | 2026Q4 / base | 220.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW base_2026q4_lake_units | 2026Q4 / base | 22,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(base_2026q4_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW base_2026q4_rent_per_mw | 2026Q4 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue base_2026q4_lake_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 110.00 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_lake_units, base_2026q4_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW base_2026q4_justified_mw | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity base_2026q4_justified_fraction | 2026Q4 / base | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(base_2026q4_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent base_2026q4_justified_realization | 2026Q4 / base | 85.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue base_2026q4_justified_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, base_2026q4_justified_fraction, quarter, base_2026q4_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue base_2026q4_hpc_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 110.00 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_lake_revenue, base_2026q4_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline base_2026q4_mining_factor | 2026Q4 / base | 80.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue base_2026q4_mining | 2026Q4 / base | 10.27 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, base_2026q4_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 120.27 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_hpc_revenue, base_2026q4_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin base_2026q4_hpc_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 65.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution base_2026q4_hpc_cash | 2026Q4 / base | 71.50 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_hpc_revenue, base_2026q4_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin base_2026q4_mining_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution base_2026q4_mining_cash | 2026Q4 / base | 1.03 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_mining, base_2026q4_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution base_2026q4_site_cash | 2026Q4 / base | 72.53 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_hpc_cash, base_2026q4_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead base_2026q4_corp | 2026Q4 / base | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance base_2026q4_interest | 2026Q4 / base | 67.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses base_2026q4_other | 2026Q4 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses base_2026q4_uses | 2026Q4 / base | 107.50 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_corp, base_2026q4_interest, base_2026q4_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy base_2026q4_cash_before_capex | 2026Q4 / base | -34.97 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_site_cash, base_2026q4_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits base_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / base | 700.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy base_2026q4_cash_after_capex | 2026Q4 / base | -734.97 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cash_before_capex, base_2026q4_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW base_2027q1_lake_mw | 2027Q1 / base | 330.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW base_2027q1_lake_units | 2027Q1 / base | 33,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(base_2027q1_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW base_2027q1_rent_per_mw | 2027Q1 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue base_2027q1_lake_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 165.00 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_lake_units, base_2027q1_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW base_2027q1_justified_mw | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity base_2027q1_justified_fraction | 2027Q1 / base | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(base_2027q1_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent base_2027q1_justified_realization | 2027Q1 / base | 85.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue base_2027q1_justified_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, base_2027q1_justified_fraction, quarter, base_2027q1_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue base_2027q1_hpc_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 165.00 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_lake_revenue, base_2027q1_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline base_2027q1_mining_factor | 2027Q1 / base | 60.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue base_2027q1_mining | 2027Q1 / base | 7.70 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, base_2027q1_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 172.70 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_hpc_revenue, base_2027q1_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin base_2027q1_hpc_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 70.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution base_2027q1_hpc_cash | 2027Q1 / base | 115.50 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_hpc_revenue, base_2027q1_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin base_2027q1_mining_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution base_2027q1_mining_cash | 2027Q1 / base | 0.77 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_mining, base_2027q1_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution base_2027q1_site_cash | 2027Q1 / base | 116.27 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_hpc_cash, base_2027q1_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead base_2027q1_corp | 2027Q1 / base | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance base_2027q1_interest | 2027Q1 / base | 67.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses base_2027q1_other | 2027Q1 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses base_2027q1_uses | 2027Q1 / base | 107.50 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_corp, base_2027q1_interest, base_2027q1_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy base_2027q1_cash_before_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 8.77 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_site_cash, base_2027q1_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits base_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 800.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy base_2027q1_cash_after_capex | 2027Q1 / base | -791.23 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_before_capex, base_2027q1_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW base_2027q2_lake_mw | 2027Q2 / base | 410.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW base_2027q2_lake_units | 2027Q2 / base | 41,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(base_2027q2_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW base_2027q2_rent_per_mw | 2027Q2 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue base_2027q2_lake_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 205.00 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_lake_units, base_2027q2_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW base_2027q2_justified_mw | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity base_2027q2_justified_fraction | 2027Q2 / base | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(base_2027q2_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent base_2027q2_justified_realization | 2027Q2 / base | 85.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue base_2027q2_justified_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, base_2027q2_justified_fraction, quarter, base_2027q2_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue base_2027q2_hpc_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 205.00 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_lake_revenue, base_2027q2_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline base_2027q2_mining_factor | 2027Q2 / base | 40.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue base_2027q2_mining | 2027Q2 / base | 5.13 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, base_2027q2_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 210.13 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_hpc_revenue, base_2027q2_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin base_2027q2_hpc_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 75.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution base_2027q2_hpc_cash | 2027Q2 / base | 153.75 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_hpc_revenue, base_2027q2_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin base_2027q2_mining_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution base_2027q2_mining_cash | 2027Q2 / base | 0.51 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_mining, base_2027q2_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution base_2027q2_site_cash | 2027Q2 / base | 154.26 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_hpc_cash, base_2027q2_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead base_2027q2_corp | 2027Q2 / base | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance base_2027q2_interest | 2027Q2 / base | 67.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses base_2027q2_other | 2027Q2 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses base_2027q2_uses | 2027Q2 / base | 107.50 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_corp, base_2027q2_interest, base_2027q2_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy base_2027q2_cash_before_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 46.76 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_site_cash, base_2027q2_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits base_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 900.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy base_2027q2_cash_after_capex | 2027Q2 / base | -853.24 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_before_capex, base_2027q2_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW base_2027q3_lake_mw | 2027Q3 / base | 438.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW base_2027q3_lake_units | 2027Q3 / base | 43,800.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(base_2027q3_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW base_2027q3_rent_per_mw | 2027Q3 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue base_2027q3_lake_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 219.00 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_lake_units, base_2027q3_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW base_2027q3_justified_mw | 2027Q3 / base | 20.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity base_2027q3_justified_fraction | 2027Q3 / base | 5.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(base_2027q3_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent base_2027q3_justified_realization | 2027Q3 / base | 85.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue base_2027q3_justified_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 10.07 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, base_2027q3_justified_fraction, quarter, base_2027q3_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue base_2027q3_hpc_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 229.07 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_lake_revenue, base_2027q3_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline base_2027q3_mining_factor | 2027Q3 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue base_2027q3_mining | 2027Q3 / base | 3.21 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, base_2027q3_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 232.28 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_hpc_revenue, base_2027q3_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin base_2027q3_hpc_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 75.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution base_2027q3_hpc_cash | 2027Q3 / base | 171.80 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_hpc_revenue, base_2027q3_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin base_2027q3_mining_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution base_2027q3_mining_cash | 2027Q3 / base | 0.32 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_mining, base_2027q3_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution base_2027q3_site_cash | 2027Q3 / base | 172.12 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_hpc_cash, base_2027q3_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead base_2027q3_corp | 2027Q3 / base | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance base_2027q3_interest | 2027Q3 / base | 67.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses base_2027q3_other | 2027Q3 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses base_2027q3_uses | 2027Q3 / base | 107.50 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_corp, base_2027q3_interest, base_2027q3_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy base_2027q3_cash_before_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 64.62 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_site_cash, base_2027q3_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits base_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 1,000.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy base_2027q3_cash_after_capex | 2027Q3 / base | -935.38 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_before_capex, base_2027q3_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW base_2027q4_lake_mw | 2027Q4 / base | 438.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW base_2027q4_lake_units | 2027Q4 / base | 43,800.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(base_2027q4_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW base_2027q4_rent_per_mw | 2027Q4 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue base_2027q4_lake_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 219.00 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_lake_units, base_2027q4_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW base_2027q4_justified_mw | 2027Q4 / base | 100.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity base_2027q4_justified_fraction | 2027Q4 / base | 24.9% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(base_2027q4_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent base_2027q4_justified_realization | 2027Q4 / base | 85.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue base_2027q4_justified_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 50.34 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, base_2027q4_justified_fraction, quarter, base_2027q4_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue base_2027q4_hpc_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 269.34 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_lake_revenue, base_2027q4_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline base_2027q4_mining_factor | 2027Q4 / base | 15.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue base_2027q4_mining | 2027Q4 / base | 1.93 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, base_2027q4_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 271.27 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_hpc_revenue, base_2027q4_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin base_2027q4_hpc_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 75.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution base_2027q4_hpc_cash | 2027Q4 / base | 202.01 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_hpc_revenue, base_2027q4_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin base_2027q4_mining_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution base_2027q4_mining_cash | 2027Q4 / base | 0.19 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_mining, base_2027q4_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution base_2027q4_site_cash | 2027Q4 / base | 202.20 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_hpc_cash, base_2027q4_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead base_2027q4_corp | 2027Q4 / base | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance base_2027q4_interest | 2027Q4 / base | 67.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses base_2027q4_other | 2027Q4 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses base_2027q4_uses | 2027Q4 / base | 107.50 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_corp, base_2027q4_interest, base_2027q4_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy base_2027q4_cash_before_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 94.70 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_site_cash, base_2027q4_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits base_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 900.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy base_2027q4_cash_after_capex | 2027Q4 / base | -805.30 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_before_capex, base_2027q4_capex). |
| FY2026 Revenue ($M) base_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / base | 271.88 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue). |
| FY2026 HPC revenue ($M) base_fy2026_hpc_revenue | FY2026 / base | 222.95 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_hpc_revenue, base_2026q3_hpc_revenue, base_2026q4_hpc_revenue). |
| FY2026 Cash before capex proxy ($M) base_fy2026_cash_before_capex | FY2026 / base | -237.85 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_cash_before_capex, base_2026q3_cash_before_capex, base_2026q4_cash_before_capex). |
| FY2026 Cash construction capex ($M) base_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / base | 2,778.51 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex). |
| FY2026 Cash after capex proxy ($M) base_fy2026_cash_after_capex | FY2026 / base | -3,016.36 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_capex, base_2026q3_cash_after_capex, base_2026q4_cash_after_capex). |
| FY2027 Revenue ($M) base_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / base | 886.38 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue). |
| FY2027 HPC revenue ($M) base_fy2027_hpc_revenue | FY2027 / base | 868.41 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_hpc_revenue, base_2027q2_hpc_revenue, base_2027q3_hpc_revenue, base_2027q4_hpc_revenue). |
| FY2027 Cash before capex proxy ($M) base_fy2027_cash_before_capex | FY2027 / base | 214.86 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_before_capex, base_2027q2_cash_before_capex, base_2027q3_cash_before_capex, base_2027q4_cash_before_capex). |
| FY2027 Cash construction capex ($M) base_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / base | 3,600.00 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex). |
| FY2027 Cash after capex proxy ($M) base_fy2027_cash_after_capex | FY2027 / base | -3,385.14 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_capex, base_2027q2_cash_after_capex, base_2027q3_cash_after_capex, base_2027q4_cash_after_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW upside_2026q3_lake_mw | 2026Q3 / upside | 150.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW upside_2026q3_lake_units | 2026Q3 / upside | 15,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(upside_2026q3_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW upside_2026q3_rent_per_mw | 2026Q3 / upside | 2.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue upside_2026q3_lake_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 82.50 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_lake_units, upside_2026q3_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW upside_2026q3_justified_mw | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity upside_2026q3_justified_fraction | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(upside_2026q3_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent upside_2026q3_justified_realization | 2026Q3 / upside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue upside_2026q3_justified_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, upside_2026q3_justified_fraction, quarter, upside_2026q3_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue upside_2026q3_hpc_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 82.50 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_lake_revenue, upside_2026q3_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline upside_2026q3_mining_factor | 2026Q3 / upside | 115.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue upside_2026q3_mining | 2026Q3 / upside | 14.76 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, upside_2026q3_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 97.26 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_hpc_revenue, upside_2026q3_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin upside_2026q3_hpc_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 65.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution upside_2026q3_hpc_cash | 2026Q3 / upside | 53.62 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_hpc_revenue, upside_2026q3_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin upside_2026q3_mining_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution upside_2026q3_mining_cash | 2026Q3 / upside | 2.95 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_mining, upside_2026q3_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution upside_2026q3_site_cash | 2026Q3 / upside | 56.58 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_hpc_cash, upside_2026q3_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead upside_2026q3_corp | 2026Q3 / upside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance upside_2026q3_interest | 2026Q3 / upside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses upside_2026q3_other | 2026Q3 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses upside_2026q3_uses | 2026Q3 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_corp, upside_2026q3_interest, upside_2026q3_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy upside_2026q3_cash_before_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | -43.42 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_site_cash, upside_2026q3_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits upside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | 650.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy upside_2026q3_cash_after_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | -693.42 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cash_before_capex, upside_2026q3_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW upside_2026q4_lake_mw | 2026Q4 / upside | 280.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW upside_2026q4_lake_units | 2026Q4 / upside | 28,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(upside_2026q4_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW upside_2026q4_rent_per_mw | 2026Q4 / upside | 2.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue upside_2026q4_lake_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 154.00 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_lake_units, upside_2026q4_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW upside_2026q4_justified_mw | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity upside_2026q4_justified_fraction | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(upside_2026q4_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent upside_2026q4_justified_realization | 2026Q4 / upside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue upside_2026q4_justified_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, upside_2026q4_justified_fraction, quarter, upside_2026q4_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue upside_2026q4_hpc_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 154.00 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_lake_revenue, upside_2026q4_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline upside_2026q4_mining_factor | 2026Q4 / upside | 95.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue upside_2026q4_mining | 2026Q4 / upside | 12.19 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, upside_2026q4_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 166.19 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_hpc_revenue, upside_2026q4_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin upside_2026q4_hpc_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 70.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution upside_2026q4_hpc_cash | 2026Q4 / upside | 107.80 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_hpc_revenue, upside_2026q4_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin upside_2026q4_mining_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution upside_2026q4_mining_cash | 2026Q4 / upside | 2.44 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_mining, upside_2026q4_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution upside_2026q4_site_cash | 2026Q4 / upside | 110.24 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_hpc_cash, upside_2026q4_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead upside_2026q4_corp | 2026Q4 / upside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance upside_2026q4_interest | 2026Q4 / upside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses upside_2026q4_other | 2026Q4 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses upside_2026q4_uses | 2026Q4 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_corp, upside_2026q4_interest, upside_2026q4_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy upside_2026q4_cash_before_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 10.24 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_site_cash, upside_2026q4_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits upside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 650.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy upside_2026q4_cash_after_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | -639.76 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cash_before_capex, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW upside_2027q1_lake_mw | 2027Q1 / upside | 380.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW upside_2027q1_lake_units | 2027Q1 / upside | 38,000.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(upside_2027q1_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW upside_2027q1_rent_per_mw | 2027Q1 / upside | 2.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue upside_2027q1_lake_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 209.00 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_lake_units, upside_2027q1_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW upside_2027q1_justified_mw | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity upside_2027q1_justified_fraction | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(upside_2027q1_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent upside_2027q1_justified_realization | 2027Q1 / upside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue upside_2027q1_justified_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, upside_2027q1_justified_fraction, quarter, upside_2027q1_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue upside_2027q1_hpc_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 209.00 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_lake_revenue, upside_2027q1_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline upside_2027q1_mining_factor | 2027Q1 / upside | 75.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue upside_2027q1_mining | 2027Q1 / upside | 9.63 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, upside_2027q1_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 218.63 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_hpc_revenue, upside_2027q1_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin upside_2027q1_hpc_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 75.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution upside_2027q1_hpc_cash | 2027Q1 / upside | 156.75 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_hpc_revenue, upside_2027q1_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin upside_2027q1_mining_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution upside_2027q1_mining_cash | 2027Q1 / upside | 1.93 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_mining, upside_2027q1_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution upside_2027q1_site_cash | 2027Q1 / upside | 158.68 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_hpc_cash, upside_2027q1_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead upside_2027q1_corp | 2027Q1 / upside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance upside_2027q1_interest | 2027Q1 / upside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses upside_2027q1_other | 2027Q1 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses upside_2027q1_uses | 2027Q1 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_corp, upside_2027q1_interest, upside_2027q1_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy upside_2027q1_cash_before_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 58.68 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_site_cash, upside_2027q1_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits upside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 750.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy upside_2027q1_cash_after_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | -691.32 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_before_capex, upside_2027q1_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW upside_2027q2_lake_mw | 2027Q2 / upside | 438.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW upside_2027q2_lake_units | 2027Q2 / upside | 43,800.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(upside_2027q2_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW upside_2027q2_rent_per_mw | 2027Q2 / upside | 2.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue upside_2027q2_lake_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 240.90 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_lake_units, upside_2027q2_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW upside_2027q2_justified_mw | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity upside_2027q2_justified_fraction | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(upside_2027q2_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent upside_2027q2_justified_realization | 2027Q2 / upside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue upside_2027q2_justified_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, upside_2027q2_justified_fraction, quarter, upside_2027q2_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue upside_2027q2_hpc_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 240.90 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_lake_revenue, upside_2027q2_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline upside_2027q2_mining_factor | 2027Q2 / upside | 50.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue upside_2027q2_mining | 2027Q2 / upside | 6.42 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, upside_2027q2_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 247.32 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_hpc_revenue, upside_2027q2_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin upside_2027q2_hpc_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 80.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution upside_2027q2_hpc_cash | 2027Q2 / upside | 192.72 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_hpc_revenue, upside_2027q2_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin upside_2027q2_mining_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution upside_2027q2_mining_cash | 2027Q2 / upside | 1.28 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_mining, upside_2027q2_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution upside_2027q2_site_cash | 2027Q2 / upside | 194.00 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_hpc_cash, upside_2027q2_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead upside_2027q2_corp | 2027Q2 / upside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance upside_2027q2_interest | 2027Q2 / upside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses upside_2027q2_other | 2027Q2 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses upside_2027q2_uses | 2027Q2 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_corp, upside_2027q2_interest, upside_2027q2_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy upside_2027q2_cash_before_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 94.00 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_site_cash, upside_2027q2_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits upside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 850.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy upside_2027q2_cash_after_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | -756.00 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_before_capex, upside_2027q2_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW upside_2027q3_lake_mw | 2027Q3 / upside | 438.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW upside_2027q3_lake_units | 2027Q3 / upside | 43,800.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(upside_2027q3_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW upside_2027q3_rent_per_mw | 2027Q3 / upside | 2.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue upside_2027q3_lake_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 240.90 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_lake_units, upside_2027q3_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW upside_2027q3_justified_mw | 2027Q3 / upside | 60.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity upside_2027q3_justified_fraction | 2027Q3 / upside | 15.0% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(upside_2027q3_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent upside_2027q3_justified_realization | 2027Q3 / upside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue upside_2027q3_justified_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 31.98 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, upside_2027q3_justified_fraction, quarter, upside_2027q3_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue upside_2027q3_hpc_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 272.88 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_lake_revenue, upside_2027q3_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline upside_2027q3_mining_factor | 2027Q3 / upside | 30.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue upside_2027q3_mining | 2027Q3 / upside | 3.85 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, upside_2027q3_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 276.73 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_hpc_revenue, upside_2027q3_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin upside_2027q3_hpc_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 80.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution upside_2027q3_hpc_cash | 2027Q3 / upside | 218.31 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_hpc_revenue, upside_2027q3_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin upside_2027q3_mining_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution upside_2027q3_mining_cash | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.77 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_mining, upside_2027q3_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution upside_2027q3_site_cash | 2027Q3 / upside | 219.08 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_hpc_cash, upside_2027q3_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead upside_2027q3_corp | 2027Q3 / upside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance upside_2027q3_interest | 2027Q3 / upside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses upside_2027q3_other | 2027Q3 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses upside_2027q3_uses | 2027Q3 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_corp, upside_2027q3_interest, upside_2027q3_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy upside_2027q3_cash_before_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 119.08 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_site_cash, upside_2027q3_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits upside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 900.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy upside_2027q3_cash_after_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | -780.92 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_before_capex, upside_2027q3_capex). |
| Average rent-producing Lake Mariner IT MW upside_2027q4_lake_mw | 2027Q4 / upside | 438.00 MW | assumption: Desk within-quarter delivery/acceptance assumption; capped at disclosed 438 MW full capacity. |
| Lake Mariner MW / one MW upside_2027q4_lake_units | 2027Q4 / upside | 43,800.0% ratio | derived: Normalize critical IT capacity for per-MW rental economics. Formula: divide(upside_2027q4_lake_mw, one_mw). |
| Annual HPC revenue per Lake Mariner MW upside_2027q4_rent_per_mw | 2027Q4 / upside | 2.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk effective revenue per critical IT MW including lease and variable billings. This is not a disclosed contractual rent or a forecast contract repricing. |
| Lake Mariner revenue upside_2027q4_lake_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 240.90 USD_millions | derived: Average MW times annual revenue per MW times one quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_lake_units, upside_2027q4_rent_per_mw, quarter). |
| Average rent-producing Justified IT MW upside_2027q4_justified_mw | 2027Q4 / upside | 200.00 MW | assumption: Desk commissioning scenario. Company targets first capacity H2 2027 and full delivery starting 2028. |
| Justified active share of full IT capacity upside_2027q4_justified_fraction | 2027Q4 / upside | 49.9% ratio | derived: Average delivered MW divided by contracted 401 MW. Formula: divide(upside_2027q4_justified_mw, justified_full). |
| Initial rent / lifetime-average rent upside_2027q4_justified_realization | 2027Q4 / upside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk discount to lifetime-average revenue to avoid treating 20-year contract average as first-year rent. |
| Justified revenue upside_2027q4_justified_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 106.61 USD_millions | derived: Lifetime-average annual contract revenue scaled for active MW, time and initial-rent realization. Formula: multiply(justified_annual_average, upside_2027q4_justified_fraction, quarter, upside_2027q4_justified_realization). |
| HPC revenue upside_2027q4_hpc_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 347.51 USD_millions | derived: Modeled rental and variable billings from Lake Mariner and Justified only. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_lake_revenue, upside_2027q4_justified_revenue). |
| Mining revenue / Q2 baseline upside_2027q4_mining_factor | 2027Q4 / upside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk remaining mining footprint and hashprice assumption as the site moves toward HPC. |
| Mining revenue upside_2027q4_mining | 2027Q4 / upside | 2.57 USD_millions | derived: Reported Q2 mining revenue times desk remaining-business factor. Formula: multiply(h1_q2_mining, upside_2027q4_mining_factor). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 350.08 USD_millions | derived: HPC plus mining; no revenue for long-dated power pipeline. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_hpc_revenue, upside_2027q4_mining). |
| HPC cash contribution margin upside_2027q4_hpc_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 80.0% ratio | assumption: Desk ramp margin after site cash operating costs; excludes depreciation and corporate costs. Not GAAP segment profit. |
| HPC cash contribution upside_2027q4_hpc_cash | 2027Q4 / upside | 278.01 USD_millions | derived: HPC revenue times explicitly assumed ramp cash margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_hpc_revenue, upside_2027q4_hpc_margin). |
| Mining cash contribution margin upside_2027q4_mining_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk cash mining contribution before corporate and financing costs. |
| Mining cash contribution upside_2027q4_mining_cash | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.51 USD_millions | derived: Assumes produced Bitcoin is monetized in the same quarter. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_mining, upside_2027q4_mining_margin). |
| Site cash contribution upside_2027q4_site_cash | 2027Q4 / upside | 278.52 USD_millions | derived: Before corporate costs and financing. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_hpc_cash, upside_2027q4_mining_cash). |
| Cash corporate overhead upside_2027q4_corp | 2027Q4 / upside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Net cash interest allowance upside_2027q4_interest | 2027Q4 / upside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Other working-capital and tax uses upside_2027q4_other | 2027Q4 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash-use assumption; interest begins from H1 cash interest of $131.072M but does not forecast exact debt draws or payment dates. |
| Corporate and other cash uses upside_2027q4_uses | 2027Q4 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | derived: Positive cash uses; excludes debt principal and acquisitions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_corp, upside_2027q4_interest, upside_2027q4_other). |
| Cash before capex proxy upside_2027q4_cash_before_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 178.52 USD_millions | derived: Analytical cash economics including mining sales; not GAAP CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_site_cash, upside_2027q4_uses). |
| Construction cash capex and deposits upside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 850.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk construction-spend scenario across existing and newly contracted sites; not guidance. Delay/overrun costs exceed early revenue effects in downside. |
| Cash after capex proxy upside_2027q4_cash_after_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | -671.48 USD_millions | derived: Before asset sales, acquisitions, new financing, restricted reserves and debt principal. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_before_capex, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| FY2026 Revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / upside | 342.23 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue). |
| FY2026 HPC revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_hpc_revenue | FY2026 / upside | 289.45 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_hpc_revenue, upside_2026q3_hpc_revenue, upside_2026q4_hpc_revenue). |
| FY2026 Cash before capex proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_before_capex | FY2026 / upside | -162.84 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_cash_before_capex, upside_2026q3_cash_before_capex, upside_2026q4_cash_before_capex). |
| FY2026 Cash construction capex ($M) upside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / upside | 2,678.51 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| FY2026 Cash after capex proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_after_capex | FY2026 / upside | -2,841.36 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_capex, upside_2026q3_cash_after_capex, upside_2026q4_cash_after_capex). |
| FY2027 Revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / upside | 1,092.75 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue). |
| FY2027 HPC revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_hpc_revenue | FY2027 / upside | 1,070.29 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_hpc_revenue, upside_2027q2_hpc_revenue, upside_2027q3_hpc_revenue, upside_2027q4_hpc_revenue). |
| FY2027 Cash before capex proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_before_capex | FY2027 / upside | 450.28 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_before_capex, upside_2027q2_cash_before_capex, upside_2027q3_cash_before_capex, upside_2027q4_cash_before_capex). |
| FY2027 Cash construction capex ($M) upside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / upside | 3,350.00 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| FY2027 Cash after capex proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_after_capex | FY2027 / upside | -2,899.72 USD_millions | derived: Sum of first-half reported bridge and forecast H2 for 2026; sum of four modeled quarters for 2027. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_capex, upside_2027q2_cash_after_capex, upside_2027q3_cash_after_capex, upside_2027q4_cash_after_capex). |
Model boundaries
- Initial operating scenarios without full GAAP earnings, a debt maturity schedule or equity valuation.
- Average critical IT MW is distinct from utility power MW, nameplate capacity and quarter-end announced capacity. Lease activation schedules and initial contractual rent per MW are not fully disclosed.
- The Justified lifetime average is not contractual first-year rent. An explicit realization factor approximates escalators and ramp effects; no optional extensions are included.
- Cash proxies include mining monetization and exclude acquisitions, divestiture receipts, new financing, principal repayment and restricted reserve movements.
- The agreed Abernathy divestiture is not assumed closed cash. Muskie, Chesapeake and Hawkeye do not earn modeled 2026-27 revenue.
Turning power and construction into leased IT capacity
How quickly does delivered HPC capacity cover the cash needed to build the next phase?
June 30 Lake Mariner capacity was 81 MW of critical IT; CB3 raised that to 102 MW in July. Another 336 MW under construction would bring the site to 438 MW. Justified adds a contracted 401 MW of critical IT under a 20-year base agreement of roughly $19B. Kentucky approved 482 MW of utility power on August 24; this is a different measure from usable IT MW. Initial Justified delivery targets H2 2027. H1 GAAP CFO was negative $154.3M, Bitcoin sales contributed $24.6M in investing, and PP&E purchases/deposits used $1,378.5M. Even strong revenue growth therefore needs a financing bridge. The model does not count the agreed Abernathy sale as cash already received.
The competing explanation
A large contracted backlog can coexist with substantial funding needs and little near-term cash retained. Rental economics can be attractive at full utilization while phased commissioning, startup costs, interest and construction deposits consume cash. Faster delivery can still require more financing before it improves shareholder economics.
Risks to track
- Construction or utility delays push rent beyond the modeled quarters.
- Critical IT capacity and gross utility power are not interchangeable.
- Lifetime contract revenue does not disclose first-year rental economics.
- New debt, warrants or equity can dilute the benefit of higher property income.
- Asset-sale closing and proceeds remain separate from recurring operations.
Next checkpoints
- Lake Mariner CB4 phased delivery · Second half of 2026 company target (estimated). Compare delivered critical IT MW, first rent and construction cash used.
- Lake Mariner CB5 phased delivery · Early 2027 company target (estimated). Confirm remaining capacity enters service and site cash margins improve.
- Justified first capacity · Second half of 2027 company target (estimated). Track power readiness, financing, tenant acceptance and first-year rent.
- Abernathy divestiture · Closing event; no assumed date (event driven). Recognize cash only after a confirmed closing and net-proceeds disclosure.
Data coverage and open work
- Initial operating scenarios without full GAAP earnings, a debt maturity schedule or equity valuation.
- Average critical IT MW is distinct from utility power MW, nameplate capacity and quarter-end announced capacity. Lease activation schedules and initial contractual rent per MW are not fully disclosed.
- The Justified lifetime average is not contractual first-year rent. An explicit realization factor approximates escalators and ramp effects; no optional extensions are included.
- Cash proxies include mining monetization and exclude acquisitions, divestiture receipts, new financing, principal repayment and restricted reserve movements.
- The agreed Abernathy divestiture is not assumed closed cash. Muskie, Chesapeake and Hawkeye do not earn modeled 2026-27 revenue.
What the memory says
State as of the 2026-09-18 close: in a 120-day uptrend, below its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, ordinary volume, closed strong, and some peers moving
| Vs the market, in points | Low | Middle | High | Share up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | -2.2 | +0.0 | +2.1 | 52% |
| 5 sessions | -4.9 | -0.2 | +4.3 | 47% |
| 10 sessions | -6.5 | +0.0 | +5.6 | 50% |
Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side.