$VG
Business
Venture Global develops and operates LNG export projects, pipelines and shipping assets. It sells commissioning cargoes under shorter-term arrangements before projects enter long-term commercial contracts. Profit depends on recognized LNG volumes, liquefaction fees, feed-gas costs and the transition between those sales regimes. Major construction programs require project debt and restricted reserves, while subsidiary preferred and minority owners have claims separate from public common shares.
Three drivers
- Recognized LNG volume and commissioning versus commercial fee mix
- Project completion, cash construction spend and capitalized interest
- Project debt, restricted cash and subsidiary/common distributions
Thesis
Our view
Large consolidated EBITDA can coexist with a substantial funding requirement. The key test is fee economics as Plaquemines reaches commercial operation and CP2 ramps, measured after construction, debt service and subsidiary claims rather than against cargo growth alone.
What changes it
Reliable commissioning, lower construction cash needs and durable post-COD margins would strengthen the case. Delays, adverse merchant fees, funding restrictions or legal cash outcomes could outweigh shipment growth.
Scenario ranges
Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.
Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)
| Fiscal quarter | 2025Q3 2024-09-30 | 2025Q4 2024-12-31 | 2025Q1 2025-03-31 | 2025Q2 2025-06-30 | 2025Q3 2025-09-30 | 2025Q4 2025-12-31 | 2026Q1 2026-03-31 | 2026Q2 2026-06-30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($M) | 926.01 | 1,524.0†2 | 2,894.03 | 3,101.04 | 3,329.01 | 4,445.0†2 | 4,599.03 | 4,578.04 |
| Gross profit ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income ($M) | 189.05 | 594.0†6 | 1,080.07 | 1,038.08 | 1,320.05 | 1,718.0†6 | 1,151.07 | 2,188.08 |
| Net income ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EPS, diluted ($) | -0.159 | — | 0.1510 | 0.1411 | 0.169 | — | 0.1910 | 0.5111 |
| Diluted shares (M) | 2,350.012 | — | 2,643.013 | 2,635.014 | 2,641.012 | — | 2,635.013 | 2,643.014 |
| Cash ($M) | — | 3,608.015 | 3,605.016 | 2,247.017 | 1,879.018 | 2,355.019 | 1,599.020 | 3,120.019 |
| Long-term debt ($M) | — | 29,086.021 | 29,130.022 | 29,774.023 | 31,743.024 | 33,393.025 | 36,456.026 | 41,527.025 |
| Cash from operations ($M) | 280.0†27 | 673.0†28 | 1,114.029 | 1,458.0†30 | 1,883.0†27 | 2,111.0†28 | 763.029 | 2,072.0†30 |
| Capex ($M) | 3,803.0†31 | 3,659.0†32 | 3,466.033 | 2,980.0†34 | 3,294.0†31 | 3,625.0†32 | 3,181.033 | 3,719.0†34 |
| Free cash flow ($M) | -3,523.0†35 | -2,986.0†36 | -2,352.0†37 | -1,522.0†38 | -1,411.0†35 | -1,514.0†36 | -2,418.0†37 | -1,647.0†38 |
Estimates · base scenario
| Period | Revenue ($M) | EPS ($) | As of | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 4,965.7 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2026Q4 | 4,965.7 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q1 | 4,275.9 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q2 | 4,117.8 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
LNG commissioning fees, commercial conversion and project funding
Calibrate H2 2026 LNG fee contribution to the company EBITDA midpoint after reported H1, using export-cargo guidance, explicit size/sales timing and the midpoint of disclosed unsold-fee sensitivity. Feed-gas recovery adds revenue and cost equally. FY2027 replaces that calibration with separate post-COD SPA, precontracted commissioning and merchant mix assumptions, including CP2 volume only in H2. Deduct noncash expenses for operating profit; bridge EBITDA to cash after expensed cash interest, taxes and working capital. Gross cash construction includes capitalized interest. Subsidiary/common distributions, past redemption and principal are separate cash uses.
Reported anchors and guidance
| Measure | Period | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint | FY2026 | 8,900.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| FY2026 EBITDA sensitivity per $1/MMBtu on unsold cargos midpoint | FY2026 | 195.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| H1 revenue | H1 2026 | 9,177.00 | reported. Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 common net income | H1 2026 | 1,835.00 | reported. Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 cfo | H1 2026 | 2,835.00 | reported. Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 capex | H1 2026 | 6,900.00 | reported. Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 CFO less capex | H1 2026 | -4,065.00 | derived. Consolidated cash deficit before financing claims. |
| H1 subsidiary distributions | H1 2026 | 210.00 | reported. Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 preferred redemption | H1 2026 | 1,743.00 | reported. Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 debt principal | H1 2026 | 4,083.00 | reported. Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 debt draws | H1 2026 | 11,630.00 | reported. Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| cash | June/September 2026 | 3,120.00 | reported. USD millions. Redeemed CP Funding units differ from outstanding VGLNG Series A preferred/NCI interests. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| restricted cash | June/September 2026 | 1,470.00 | reported. USD millions. Redeemed CP Funding units differ from outstanding VGLNG Series A preferred/NCI interests. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| debt face | June/September 2026 | 42,386.00 | reported. USD millions. Redeemed CP Funding units differ from outstanding VGLNG Series A preferred/NCI interests. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| current debt carrying | June/September 2026 | 287.00 | reported. USD millions. Redeemed CP Funding units differ from outstanding VGLNG Series A preferred/NCI interests. Source · 2026-08-11 |
| new revolver commitment | June/September 2026 | 3,000.00 | reported. USD millions. Redeemed CP Funding units differ from outstanding VGLNG Series A preferred/NCI interests. Source · 2026-09-02 |
| H2 residual costs net of other contribution | H2 2026 | 1,190.06 | derived. Calibration residual, not separately disclosed operating expense or segment guidance. |
| 2026 contracted fee revenue per TBtu sold | FY2026 | 5.05 | reported. $5.05/MMBtu equals $5.05M for each TBtu sold; excludes feed-gas recovery. Company says 91% of annual cargos contracted. Source · 2026-08-11 |
Downside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | CFO less cash capex ($M) | Gross cash capex incl. capitalized interest ($M) | Consolidated revenue ($M) | Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | Debt principal repayments ($M) | Common cash dividends ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after distributions and principal ($M) | CP Funding preferred redemption ($M) | Subsidiary preferred/NCI distributions ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 1,268.07 | -2,731.93 | 4,000.00 | 4,532.19 | 2,118.07 | 80.00 | 100.00 | 1,828.07 | -3,086.93 | 0.00 | 175.00 |
| 2026Q4 | 1,343.07 | -2,856.93 | 4,200.00 | 4,532.19 | 2,118.07 | 80.00 | 100.12 | 1,806.07 | -3,077.05 | 0.00 | 40.00 |
| 2027Q1 | 124.15 | -3,875.85 | 4,000.00 | 3,214.06 | 994.15 | 150.00 | 100.24 | 655.15 | -4,306.09 | 0.00 | 180.00 |
| 2027Q2 | 81.11 | -3,818.89 | 3,900.00 | 3,181.40 | 876.11 | 150.00 | 100.36 | 515.11 | -4,114.26 | 0.00 | 45.00 |
| FY2026 | 5,446.14 | -9,653.86 | 15,100.00 | 18,241.38 | 8,099.14 | 4,243.00 | 289.13 | 6,973.14 | -16,353.99 | 1,743.00 | 425.00 |
| FY2027 | -366.07 | -14,966.07 | 14,600.00 | 13,137.39 | 3,513.93 | 600.00 | 401.69 | 2,025.93 | -16,417.77 | 0.00 | 450.00 |
Base scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | CFO less cash capex ($M) | Gross cash capex incl. capitalized interest ($M) | Consolidated revenue ($M) | Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | Debt principal repayments ($M) | Common cash dividends ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after distributions and principal ($M) | CP Funding preferred redemption ($M) | Subsidiary preferred/NCI distributions ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 1,818.50 | -1,581.50 | 3,400.00 | 4,965.73 | 2,518.50 | 80.00 | 100.00 | 2,228.50 | -1,936.50 | 0.00 | 175.00 |
| 2026Q4 | 1,843.50 | -1,756.50 | 3,600.00 | 4,965.73 | 2,518.50 | 80.00 | 100.12 | 2,206.50 | -1,976.62 | 0.00 | 40.00 |
| 2027Q1 | 1,183.74 | -2,216.26 | 3,400.00 | 4,275.86 | 1,953.74 | 150.00 | 100.24 | 1,614.74 | -2,646.51 | 0.00 | 180.00 |
| 2027Q2 | 981.40 | -2,218.60 | 3,200.00 | 4,117.84 | 1,706.40 | 150.00 | 100.36 | 1,345.40 | -2,513.96 | 0.00 | 45.00 |
| FY2026 | 6,497.00 | -7,403.00 | 13,900.00 | 19,108.46 | 8,900.00 | 4,243.00 | 289.13 | 7,774.00 | -14,103.13 | 1,743.00 | 425.00 |
| FY2027 | 3,826.77 | -8,073.23 | 11,900.00 | 16,968.39 | 6,886.77 | 600.00 | 401.69 | 5,398.77 | -9,524.93 | 0.00 | 450.00 |
Upside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | CFO less cash capex ($M) | Gross cash capex incl. capitalized interest ($M) | Consolidated revenue ($M) | Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | Debt principal repayments ($M) | Common cash dividends ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after distributions and principal ($M) | CP Funding preferred redemption ($M) | Subsidiary preferred/NCI distributions ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 2,141.57 | -1,258.43 | 3,400.00 | 5,263.94 | 2,791.57 | 80.00 | 100.00 | 2,501.57 | -1,613.43 | 0.00 | 175.00 |
| 2026Q4 | 2,166.57 | -1,333.43 | 3,500.00 | 5,263.94 | 2,791.57 | 80.00 | 100.12 | 2,479.57 | -1,553.55 | 0.00 | 40.00 |
| 2027Q1 | 2,370.88 | -829.12 | 3,200.00 | 5,533.78 | 3,090.88 | 150.00 | 100.24 | 2,751.88 | -1,259.36 | 0.00 | 180.00 |
| 2027Q2 | 2,005.74 | -994.26 | 3,000.00 | 5,237.59 | 2,700.74 | 150.00 | 100.36 | 2,339.74 | -1,289.62 | 0.00 | 45.00 |
| FY2026 | 7,143.14 | -6,656.86 | 13,800.00 | 19,704.88 | 9,446.14 | 4,243.00 | 289.13 | 8,320.14 | -13,356.99 | 1,743.00 | 425.00 |
| FY2027 | 8,204.64 | -2,895.36 | 11,100.00 | 21,727.79 | 11,114.64 | 600.00 | 401.69 | 9,626.64 | -4,347.06 | 0.00 | 450.00 |
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
| Input / calculation | Period / case | Value / unit | Evidence or assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| H1 revenue h1_revenue | H1 2026 / shared | 9,177.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 adj ebitda h1_adj_ebitda | H1 2026 / shared | 3,863.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 operating income h1_operating_income | H1 2026 / shared | 3,339.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 cfo h1_cfo | H1 2026 / shared | 2,835.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 capex h1_capex | H1 2026 / shared | 6,900.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 subsidiary distributions h1_subsidiary_distributions | H1 2026 / shared | 210.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 common dividends h1_common_dividends | H1 2026 / shared | 89.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 preferred redemption h1_preferred_redemption | H1 2026 / shared | 1,743.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 debt principal h1_debt_principal | H1 2026 / shared | 4,083.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 consolidated net income h1_consolidated_net_income | H1 2026 / shared | 2,042.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 common net income h1_common_net_income | H1 2026 / shared | 1,835.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 da h1_da | H1 2026 / shared | 511.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 sbc h1_sbc | H1 2026 / shared | 27.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 expensed cash interest h1_expensed_cash_interest | H1 2026 / shared | 768.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 capitalized interest h1_capitalized_interest | H1 2026 / shared | 595.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 debt draws h1_debt_draws | H1 2026 / shared | 11,630.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 finance fees h1_finance_fees | H1 2026 / shared | 506.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 nci cash h1_nci_cash | H1 2026 / shared | 75.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 series a cash h1_series_a_cash | H1 2026 / shared | 135.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 cp2 capex h1_cp2_capex | H1 2026 / shared | 5,613.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported USD millions. CP2 cash capex is from the cash-flow discussion; segment capital expenditures also include financed amounts. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 CFO less capex h1_fcf | H1 2026 / shared | -4,065.00 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated cash deficit before financing claims. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_capex). |
| H1 distributions redemption and principal h1_claims | H1 2026 / shared | 6,125.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes one-time redemption and refinancing principal; new financing is intentionally separate. Formula: sum(h1_subsidiary_distributions, h1_common_dividends, h1_preferred_redemption, h1_debt_principal). |
| H1 cash after modeled claims h1_cash_after_claims | H1 2026 / shared | -10,190.00 USD_millions | derived: Not the change in cash: excludes $11.630B draws and other investing/financing flows. Formula: subtract(h1_fcf, h1_claims). |
| cash cash | June/September 2026 / shared | 3,120.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Redeemed CP Funding units differ from outstanding VGLNG Series A preferred/NCI interests. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| restricted cash restricted_cash | June/September 2026 / shared | 1,470.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Redeemed CP Funding units differ from outstanding VGLNG Series A preferred/NCI interests. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| debt face debt_face | June/September 2026 / shared | 42,386.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Redeemed CP Funding units differ from outstanding VGLNG Series A preferred/NCI interests. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| current debt carrying current_debt_carrying | June/September 2026 / shared | 287.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Redeemed CP Funding units differ from outstanding VGLNG Series A preferred/NCI interests. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| cp funding preferred remaining cp_funding_preferred_remaining | June/September 2026 / shared | 0.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Redeemed CP Funding units differ from outstanding VGLNG Series A preferred/NCI interests. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| new revolver commitment new_revolver_commitment | June/September 2026 / shared | 3,000.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Redeemed CP Funding units differ from outstanding VGLNG Series A preferred/NCI interests. Primary source · 2026-09-02 |
| FY2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance low ebitda_guide_low | FY2026 / shared | 8,700.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| FY2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance high ebitda_guide_high | FY2026 / shared | 9,100.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| Midpoint divisor two | Model / shared | 200.0% ratio | assumption: Arithmetic constant. |
| FY2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance endpoint sum ebitda_guide_sum | FY2026 / shared | 17,800.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(ebitda_guide_low, ebitda_guide_high). |
| FY2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint ebitda_guide | FY2026 / shared | 8,900.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(ebitda_guide_sum, two). |
| FY2026 EBITDA sensitivity per $1/MMBtu on unsold cargos low unsold_sensitivity_low | FY2026 / shared | 180.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| FY2026 EBITDA sensitivity per $1/MMBtu on unsold cargos high unsold_sensitivity_high | FY2026 / shared | 210.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| FY2026 EBITDA sensitivity per $1/MMBtu on unsold cargos endpoint sum unsold_sensitivity_sum | FY2026 / shared | 390.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(unsold_sensitivity_low, unsold_sensitivity_high). |
| FY2026 EBITDA sensitivity per $1/MMBtu on unsold cargos midpoint unsold_sensitivity | FY2026 / shared | 195.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(unsold_sensitivity_sum, two). |
| Total 2026 export-cargo midpoint annual_cargos | FY2026 / shared | 50,900.0% ratio | assumption: Calculated midpoint of CP 149-154 plus Plaquemines 351-364 cargos; counts represented as dimensionless. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 exported cargos h1_cargos | H1 2026 / shared | 25,700.0% ratio | reported: Exported count, not sales-recognized cargo equivalent. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H1 LNG sales recognized, TBtu h1_sales_tbtu | H1 2026 / shared | 94,720.0% ratio | reported: TBtu equals million MMBtu; unit represented as a dimensionless physical quantity for normalization. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| 2026 contracted fee revenue per TBtu sold contracted_fee | FY2026 / shared | 5.05 USD_millions | reported: $5.05/MMBtu equals $5.05M for each TBtu sold; excludes feed-gas recovery. Company says 91% of annual cargos contracted. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| 2026 unsold fee revenue per TBtu sold, midpoint unsold_fee | FY2026 / shared | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Arithmetic midpoint of $12.50-$13.50/MMBtu assumed in guidance; not all-in sales price. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| July 31 Class A plus Class B shares common_shares | July 2026 / shared | 2,500.09 shares_millions | reported: 531,488,393 Class A plus 1,968,604,458 Class B, in millions; not diluted EPS denominator. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| September common dividend per A/B share declared_common_dps | 2026Q3 / shared | 0.04 USD_per_share | reported: Declared dividend payable September 30; later dividends need future declarations. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| September aggregate common dividend estimate declared_common_cash | 2026Q3 / shared | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk aggregate from July 31 A+B shares times declared $0.04; assumes unchanged shares through September record date. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| Remaining 2026 export cargos h2_cargos | H2 2026 / shared | 25,200.0% ratio | derived: Annual midpoint less reported H1. Formula: subtract(annual_cargos, h1_cargos). |
| LNG cargo size, TBtu cargo_size | Model / shared | 375.0% ratio | assumption: Desk normalized size, compared with Q2 exported 478.3 TBtu across 127 cargos; not volumes sold 466.4 TBtu. |
| Recognized sales / contemporaneous exports sales_timing | Model / shared | 98.0% ratio | assumption: Desk shipment/recognition factor; no assertion that each exported cargo is already recognized. |
| H2 recognized LNG sales TBtu baseline h2_volume | H2 2026 / shared | 92,610.0% ratio | derived: Physical volume baseline before fee mix. Formula: multiply(h2_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| H2 unsold fee-sensitive volume, TBtu unsold_volume | H2 2026 / shared | 19,500.0% ratio | assumption: Desk physical-volume equivalent of the $195M midpoint sensitivity for a $1/MMBtu fee move; approximates guidance sensitivity, not disclosed exact cargo size. Primary source · 2026-08-11 |
| H2 contracted sales TBtu baseline contracted_volume | H2 2026 / shared | 73,110.0% ratio | derived: Remaining forecast recognized sales less fee-sensitive equivalent. Formula: subtract(h2_volume, unsold_volume). |
| H2 contracted fee revenue h2_fixed_fee | H2 2026 / shared | 3,692.05 USD_millions | derived: Volume TBtu times normalized $M fee per TBtu. Formula: multiply(contracted_volume, contracted_fee). |
| H2 unsold fee revenue h2_unsold_fee | H2 2026 / shared | 2,535.00 USD_millions | derived: Company guidance price midpoint and sensitivity baseline. Formula: multiply(unsold_volume, unsold_fee). |
| H2 fee revenue at guidance price baseline h2_fee_baseline | H2 2026 / shared | 6,227.06 USD_millions | derived: Excludes feed-gas recovery. Formula: sum(h2_fixed_fee, h2_unsold_fee). |
| H2 company EBITDA midpoint residual h2_ebitda_target | H2 2026 / shared | 5,037.00 USD_millions | derived: Annual company midpoint less reported H1. Formula: subtract(ebitda_guide, h1_adj_ebitda). |
| H2 residual costs net of other contribution h2_residual_cost | H2 2026 / shared | 1,190.06 USD_millions | derived: Calibration residual, not separately disclosed operating expense or segment guidance. Formula: subtract(h2_fee_baseline, h2_ebitda_target). |
| Recognized volume delivery downside_2026q3_execution | 2026Q3 / downside | 95.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| H2 quarterly allocation downside_2026q3_half | 2026Q3 / downside | 50.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu downside_2026q3_volume | 2026Q3 / downside | 43,989.8% ratio | derived: Equal H2 baseline allocation; cargo acceptance can change timing. Formula: multiply(h2_volume, downside_2026q3_half, downside_2026q3_execution). |
| Contracted fee volume TBtu downside_2026q3_fixed_volume | 2026Q3 / downside | 34,727.2% ratio | derived: 2026 contracted mix, not long-term SPA-only mix. Formula: multiply(contracted_volume, downside_2026q3_half, downside_2026q3_execution). |
| Unsold fee-sensitive TBtu downside_2026q3_merchant_volume | 2026Q3 / downside | 9,262.5% ratio | derived: Equivalent volume sensitivity. Formula: multiply(unsold_volume, downside_2026q3_half, downside_2026q3_execution). |
| Contracted fee revenue downside_2026q3_fixed_fees | 2026Q3 / downside | 1,753.73 USD_millions | derived: Contracted 2026 fee is distinct from feed-gas revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_fixed_volume, contracted_fee). |
| Unsold fee revenue per TBtu downside_2026q3_merchant_fee | 2026Q3 / downside | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Normalized $M per TBtu; equivalent to dollars per MMBtu. Base is company guidance midpoint. |
| Unsold fee revenue downside_2026q3_merchant_fees | 2026Q3 / downside | 1,018.88 USD_millions | derived: Unsold price scenario. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_merchant_volume, downside_2026q3_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue downside_2026q3_fee_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 2,772.60 USD_millions | derived: Calibrated annual guidance already incorporates expected Phase 1 COD timing. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_fixed_fees, downside_2026q3_merchant_fees). |
| Cost delivery stress downside_2026q3_cost_factor | 2026Q3 / downside | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Residual operating costs net of other contribution downside_2026q3_cash_costs | 2026Q3 / downside | 654.53 USD_millions | derived: Guidance calibration; not an independently disclosed cost forecast. Formula: multiply(h2_residual_cost, downside_2026q3_half, downside_2026q3_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu downside_2026q3_feed_gas | 2026Q3 / downside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue downside_2026q3_feed_gas_recovery | 2026Q3 / downside | 1,759.59 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_volume, downside_2026q3_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy downside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 4,532.19 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_fee_revenue, downside_2026q3_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / downside | 2,118.07 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_fee_revenue, downside_2026q3_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization downside_2026q3_da | 2026Q3 / downside | 275.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation downside_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions downside_2026q3_other_adjustments | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions downside_2026q3_noncash_deductions | 2026Q3 / downside | 290.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_da, downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / downside | 1,828.07 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress downside_2026q3_legal_cash_stress | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield downside_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / downside | 450.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes downside_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / downside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use downside_2026q3_wc_use | 2026Q3 / downside | 300.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress downside_2026q3_cfo_uses | 2026Q3 / downside | 850.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_cash_interest, downside_2026q3_cash_tax, downside_2026q3_wc_use, downside_2026q3_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / downside | 1,268.07 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex downside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | 4,000.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex downside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / downside | -2,731.93 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend downside_2026q3_series_a_cash | 2026Q3 / downside | 135.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution downside_2026q3_nci_cash | 2026Q3 / downside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions downside_2026q3_subsidiary_distributions | 2026Q3 / downside | 175.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_series_a_cash, downside_2026q3_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July downside_2026q3_share_growth | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash downside_2026q3_shares | 2026Q3 / downside | 2,500.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, downside_2026q3_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline downside_2026q3_dividend_share_factor | 2026Q3 / downside | 100.0% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(downside_2026q3_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration downside_2026q3_dividend_factor | 2026Q3 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends downside_2026q3_common_dividends | 2026Q3 / downside | 100.00 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, downside_2026q3_dividend_share_factor, downside_2026q3_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption downside_2026q3_preferred_redemption | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance downside_2026q3_debt_principal | 2026Q3 / downside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal downside_2026q3_claims | 2026Q3 / downside | 355.00 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_subsidiary_distributions, downside_2026q3_common_dividends, downside_2026q3_preferred_redemption, downside_2026q3_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal downside_2026q3_cash_after_claims | 2026Q3 / downside | -3,086.93 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q3_claims). |
| Recognized volume delivery downside_2026q4_execution | 2026Q4 / downside | 95.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| H2 quarterly allocation downside_2026q4_half | 2026Q4 / downside | 50.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu downside_2026q4_volume | 2026Q4 / downside | 43,989.8% ratio | derived: Equal H2 baseline allocation; cargo acceptance can change timing. Formula: multiply(h2_volume, downside_2026q4_half, downside_2026q4_execution). |
| Contracted fee volume TBtu downside_2026q4_fixed_volume | 2026Q4 / downside | 34,727.2% ratio | derived: 2026 contracted mix, not long-term SPA-only mix. Formula: multiply(contracted_volume, downside_2026q4_half, downside_2026q4_execution). |
| Unsold fee-sensitive TBtu downside_2026q4_merchant_volume | 2026Q4 / downside | 9,262.5% ratio | derived: Equivalent volume sensitivity. Formula: multiply(unsold_volume, downside_2026q4_half, downside_2026q4_execution). |
| Contracted fee revenue downside_2026q4_fixed_fees | 2026Q4 / downside | 1,753.73 USD_millions | derived: Contracted 2026 fee is distinct from feed-gas revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_fixed_volume, contracted_fee). |
| Unsold fee revenue per TBtu downside_2026q4_merchant_fee | 2026Q4 / downside | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Normalized $M per TBtu; equivalent to dollars per MMBtu. Base is company guidance midpoint. |
| Unsold fee revenue downside_2026q4_merchant_fees | 2026Q4 / downside | 1,018.88 USD_millions | derived: Unsold price scenario. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_merchant_volume, downside_2026q4_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue downside_2026q4_fee_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 2,772.60 USD_millions | derived: Calibrated annual guidance already incorporates expected Phase 1 COD timing. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_fixed_fees, downside_2026q4_merchant_fees). |
| Cost delivery stress downside_2026q4_cost_factor | 2026Q4 / downside | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Residual operating costs net of other contribution downside_2026q4_cash_costs | 2026Q4 / downside | 654.53 USD_millions | derived: Guidance calibration; not an independently disclosed cost forecast. Formula: multiply(h2_residual_cost, downside_2026q4_half, downside_2026q4_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu downside_2026q4_feed_gas | 2026Q4 / downside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue downside_2026q4_feed_gas_recovery | 2026Q4 / downside | 1,759.59 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_volume, downside_2026q4_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy downside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 4,532.19 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_fee_revenue, downside_2026q4_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / downside | 2,118.07 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_fee_revenue, downside_2026q4_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization downside_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / downside | 295.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation downside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / downside | 17.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions downside_2026q4_other_adjustments | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions downside_2026q4_noncash_deductions | 2026Q4 / downside | 312.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_da, downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / downside | 1,806.07 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress downside_2026q4_legal_cash_stress | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield downside_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / downside | 475.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes downside_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / downside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use downside_2026q4_wc_use | 2026Q4 / downside | 200.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress downside_2026q4_cfo_uses | 2026Q4 / downside | 775.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cash_interest, downside_2026q4_cash_tax, downside_2026q4_wc_use, downside_2026q4_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / downside | 1,343.07 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex downside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | 4,200.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex downside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / downside | -2,856.93 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend downside_2026q4_series_a_cash | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution downside_2026q4_nci_cash | 2026Q4 / downside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions downside_2026q4_subsidiary_distributions | 2026Q4 / downside | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_series_a_cash, downside_2026q4_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July downside_2026q4_share_growth | 2026Q4 / downside | 3.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash downside_2026q4_shares | 2026Q4 / downside | 2,503.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, downside_2026q4_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline downside_2026q4_dividend_share_factor | 2026Q4 / downside | 100.1% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(downside_2026q4_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration downside_2026q4_dividend_factor | 2026Q4 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends downside_2026q4_common_dividends | 2026Q4 / downside | 100.12 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, downside_2026q4_dividend_share_factor, downside_2026q4_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption downside_2026q4_preferred_redemption | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance downside_2026q4_debt_principal | 2026Q4 / downside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal downside_2026q4_claims | 2026Q4 / downside | 220.12 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_subsidiary_distributions, downside_2026q4_common_dividends, downside_2026q4_preferred_redemption, downside_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal downside_2026q4_cash_after_claims | 2026Q4 / downside | -3,077.05 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_fcf, downside_2026q4_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan downside_2027q1_cargo_baseline | 2027Q1 / downside | 13,000.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor downside_2027q1_volume_factor | 2027Q1 / downside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos downside_2027q1_cargos | 2027Q1 / downside | 11,700.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_cargo_baseline, downside_2027q1_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu downside_2027q1_volume | 2027Q1 / downside | 42,997.5% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs downside_2027q1_spa_share | 2027Q1 / downside | 55.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share downside_2027q1_commission_share | 2027Q1 / downside | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume downside_2027q1_one | 2027Q1 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share downside_2027q1_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q1 / downside | 65.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_spa_share, downside_2027q1_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share downside_2027q1_merchant_share | 2027Q1 / downside | 35.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_one, downside_2027q1_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q1_spa_fee | 2027Q1 / downside | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue downside_2027q1_spa_fees | 2027Q1 / downside | 591.22 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_volume, downside_2027q1_spa_share, downside_2027q1_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q1_commission_fee | 2027Q1 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue downside_2027q1_commission_fees | 2027Q1 / downside | 214.99 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_volume, downside_2027q1_commission_share, downside_2027q1_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q1_merchant_fee | 2027Q1 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue downside_2027q1_merchant_fees | 2027Q1 / downside | 902.95 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_volume, downside_2027q1_merchant_share, downside_2027q1_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue downside_2027q1_fee_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 1,709.15 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_spa_fees, downside_2027q1_commission_fees, downside_2027q1_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget downside_2027q1_cost_budget | 2027Q1 / downside | 650.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress downside_2027q1_cost_factor | 2027Q1 / downside | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution downside_2027q1_cash_costs | 2027Q1 / downside | 715.00 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_cost_budget, downside_2027q1_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu downside_2027q1_feed_gas | 2027Q1 / downside | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue downside_2027q1_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q1 / downside | 1,504.91 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_volume, downside_2027q1_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy downside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 3,214.06 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fee_revenue, downside_2027q1_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / downside | 994.15 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_fee_revenue, downside_2027q1_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization downside_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / downside | 315.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation downside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / downside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions downside_2027q1_other_adjustments | 2027Q1 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions downside_2027q1_noncash_deductions | 2027Q1 / downside | 339.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_da, downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / downside | 655.15 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q1_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress downside_2027q1_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield downside_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / downside | 500.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / downside | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use downside_2027q1_wc_use | 2027Q1 / downside | 250.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress downside_2027q1_cfo_uses | 2027Q1 / downside | 870.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_interest, downside_2027q1_cash_tax, downside_2027q1_wc_use, downside_2027q1_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / downside | 124.15 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q1_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex downside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | 4,000.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex downside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / downside | -3,875.85 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend downside_2027q1_series_a_cash | 2027Q1 / downside | 135.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution downside_2027q1_nci_cash | 2027Q1 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions downside_2027q1_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q1 / downside | 180.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_series_a_cash, downside_2027q1_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July downside_2027q1_share_growth | 2027Q1 / downside | 6.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash downside_2027q1_shares | 2027Q1 / downside | 2,506.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, downside_2027q1_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline downside_2027q1_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q1 / downside | 100.2% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(downside_2027q1_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration downside_2027q1_dividend_factor | 2027Q1 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends downside_2027q1_common_dividends | 2027Q1 / downside | 100.24 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, downside_2027q1_dividend_share_factor, downside_2027q1_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption downside_2027q1_preferred_redemption | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance downside_2027q1_debt_principal | 2027Q1 / downside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal downside_2027q1_claims | 2027Q1 / downside | 430.24 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_subsidiary_distributions, downside_2027q1_common_dividends, downside_2027q1_preferred_redemption, downside_2027q1_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal downside_2027q1_cash_after_claims | 2027Q1 / downside | -4,306.09 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q1_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan downside_2027q2_cargo_baseline | 2027Q2 / downside | 13,500.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor downside_2027q2_volume_factor | 2027Q2 / downside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos downside_2027q2_cargos | 2027Q2 / downside | 12,150.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_cargo_baseline, downside_2027q2_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu downside_2027q2_volume | 2027Q2 / downside | 44,651.2% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs downside_2027q2_spa_share | 2027Q2 / downside | 65.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share downside_2027q2_commission_share | 2027Q2 / downside | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume downside_2027q2_one | 2027Q2 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share downside_2027q2_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q2 / downside | 75.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_spa_share, downside_2027q2_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share downside_2027q2_merchant_share | 2027Q2 / downside | 25.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_one, downside_2027q2_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q2_spa_fee | 2027Q2 / downside | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue downside_2027q2_spa_fees | 2027Q2 / downside | 725.58 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_volume, downside_2027q2_spa_share, downside_2027q2_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q2_commission_fee | 2027Q2 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue downside_2027q2_commission_fees | 2027Q2 / downside | 223.26 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_volume, downside_2027q2_commission_share, downside_2027q2_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q2_merchant_fee | 2027Q2 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue downside_2027q2_merchant_fees | 2027Q2 / downside | 669.77 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_volume, downside_2027q2_merchant_share, downside_2027q2_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue downside_2027q2_fee_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 1,618.61 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_spa_fees, downside_2027q2_commission_fees, downside_2027q2_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget downside_2027q2_cost_budget | 2027Q2 / downside | 675.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress downside_2027q2_cost_factor | 2027Q2 / downside | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution downside_2027q2_cash_costs | 2027Q2 / downside | 742.50 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_cost_budget, downside_2027q2_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu downside_2027q2_feed_gas | 2027Q2 / downside | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue downside_2027q2_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q2 / downside | 1,562.79 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_volume, downside_2027q2_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy downside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 3,181.40 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_fee_revenue, downside_2027q2_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / downside | 876.11 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_fee_revenue, downside_2027q2_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization downside_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / downside | 335.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation downside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / downside | 21.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions downside_2027q2_other_adjustments | 2027Q2 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions downside_2027q2_noncash_deductions | 2027Q2 / downside | 361.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_da, downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / downside | 515.11 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress downside_2027q2_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield downside_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / downside | 525.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / downside | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use downside_2027q2_wc_use | 2027Q2 / downside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress downside_2027q2_cfo_uses | 2027Q2 / downside | 795.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cash_interest, downside_2027q2_cash_tax, downside_2027q2_wc_use, downside_2027q2_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / downside | 81.11 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex downside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | 3,900.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex downside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / downside | -3,818.89 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend downside_2027q2_series_a_cash | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution downside_2027q2_nci_cash | 2027Q2 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions downside_2027q2_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q2 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_series_a_cash, downside_2027q2_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July downside_2027q2_share_growth | 2027Q2 / downside | 9.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash downside_2027q2_shares | 2027Q2 / downside | 2,509.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, downside_2027q2_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline downside_2027q2_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q2 / downside | 100.4% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(downside_2027q2_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration downside_2027q2_dividend_factor | 2027Q2 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends downside_2027q2_common_dividends | 2027Q2 / downside | 100.36 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, downside_2027q2_dividend_share_factor, downside_2027q2_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption downside_2027q2_preferred_redemption | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance downside_2027q2_debt_principal | 2027Q2 / downside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal downside_2027q2_claims | 2027Q2 / downside | 295.36 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_subsidiary_distributions, downside_2027q2_common_dividends, downside_2027q2_preferred_redemption, downside_2027q2_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal downside_2027q2_cash_after_claims | 2027Q2 / downside | -4,114.26 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q2_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan downside_2027q3_cargo_baseline | 2027Q3 / downside | 14,500.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor downside_2027q3_volume_factor | 2027Q3 / downside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos downside_2027q3_cargos | 2027Q3 / downside | 13,050.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_cargo_baseline, downside_2027q3_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu downside_2027q3_volume | 2027Q3 / downside | 47,958.8% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs downside_2027q3_spa_share | 2027Q3 / downside | 75.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share downside_2027q3_commission_share | 2027Q3 / downside | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume downside_2027q3_one | 2027Q3 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share downside_2027q3_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q3 / downside | 85.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_spa_share, downside_2027q3_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share downside_2027q3_merchant_share | 2027Q3 / downside | 15.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_one, downside_2027q3_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q3_spa_fee | 2027Q3 / downside | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue downside_2027q3_spa_fees | 2027Q3 / downside | 899.23 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_volume, downside_2027q3_spa_share, downside_2027q3_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q3_commission_fee | 2027Q3 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue downside_2027q3_commission_fees | 2027Q3 / downside | 239.79 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_volume, downside_2027q3_commission_share, downside_2027q3_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q3_merchant_fee | 2027Q3 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue downside_2027q3_merchant_fees | 2027Q3 / downside | 431.63 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_volume, downside_2027q3_merchant_share, downside_2027q3_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue downside_2027q3_fee_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 1,570.65 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_spa_fees, downside_2027q3_commission_fees, downside_2027q3_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget downside_2027q3_cost_budget | 2027Q3 / downside | 700.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress downside_2027q3_cost_factor | 2027Q3 / downside | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution downside_2027q3_cash_costs | 2027Q3 / downside | 770.00 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_cost_budget, downside_2027q3_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu downside_2027q3_feed_gas | 2027Q3 / downside | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue downside_2027q3_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q3 / downside | 1,678.56 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_volume, downside_2027q3_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy downside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 3,249.21 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_fee_revenue, downside_2027q3_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / downside | 800.65 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_fee_revenue, downside_2027q3_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization downside_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / downside | 355.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation downside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / downside | 23.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions downside_2027q3_other_adjustments | 2027Q3 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions downside_2027q3_noncash_deductions | 2027Q3 / downside | 383.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_da, downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / downside | 417.65 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress downside_2027q3_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield downside_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / downside | 550.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / downside | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use downside_2027q3_wc_use | 2027Q3 / downside | 200.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress downside_2027q3_cfo_uses | 2027Q3 / downside | 870.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cash_interest, downside_2027q3_cash_tax, downside_2027q3_wc_use, downside_2027q3_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / downside | -69.35 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex downside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | 3,500.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex downside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / downside | -3,569.35 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend downside_2027q3_series_a_cash | 2027Q3 / downside | 135.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution downside_2027q3_nci_cash | 2027Q3 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions downside_2027q3_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q3 / downside | 180.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_series_a_cash, downside_2027q3_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July downside_2027q3_share_growth | 2027Q3 / downside | 12.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash downside_2027q3_shares | 2027Q3 / downside | 2,512.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, downside_2027q3_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline downside_2027q3_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q3 / downside | 100.5% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(downside_2027q3_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration downside_2027q3_dividend_factor | 2027Q3 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends downside_2027q3_common_dividends | 2027Q3 / downside | 100.48 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, downside_2027q3_dividend_share_factor, downside_2027q3_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption downside_2027q3_preferred_redemption | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance downside_2027q3_debt_principal | 2027Q3 / downside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal downside_2027q3_claims | 2027Q3 / downside | 430.48 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_subsidiary_distributions, downside_2027q3_common_dividends, downside_2027q3_preferred_redemption, downside_2027q3_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal downside_2027q3_cash_after_claims | 2027Q3 / downside | -3,999.83 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q3_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan downside_2027q4_cargo_baseline | 2027Q4 / downside | 16,000.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor downside_2027q4_volume_factor | 2027Q4 / downside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos downside_2027q4_cargos | 2027Q4 / downside | 14,400.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_cargo_baseline, downside_2027q4_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu downside_2027q4_volume | 2027Q4 / downside | 52,920.0% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs downside_2027q4_spa_share | 2027Q4 / downside | 80.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share downside_2027q4_commission_share | 2027Q4 / downside | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume downside_2027q4_one | 2027Q4 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share downside_2027q4_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q4 / downside | 90.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_spa_share, downside_2027q4_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share downside_2027q4_merchant_share | 2027Q4 / downside | 10.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_one, downside_2027q4_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q4_spa_fee | 2027Q4 / downside | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue downside_2027q4_spa_fees | 2027Q4 / downside | 1,058.40 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_volume, downside_2027q4_spa_share, downside_2027q4_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q4_commission_fee | 2027Q4 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue downside_2027q4_commission_fees | 2027Q4 / downside | 264.60 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_volume, downside_2027q4_commission_share, downside_2027q4_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu downside_2027q4_merchant_fee | 2027Q4 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue downside_2027q4_merchant_fees | 2027Q4 / downside | 317.52 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_volume, downside_2027q4_merchant_share, downside_2027q4_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue downside_2027q4_fee_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 1,640.52 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_spa_fees, downside_2027q4_commission_fees, downside_2027q4_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget downside_2027q4_cost_budget | 2027Q4 / downside | 725.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress downside_2027q4_cost_factor | 2027Q4 / downside | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution downside_2027q4_cash_costs | 2027Q4 / downside | 797.50 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_cost_budget, downside_2027q4_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu downside_2027q4_feed_gas | 2027Q4 / downside | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue downside_2027q4_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q4 / downside | 1,852.20 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_volume, downside_2027q4_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy downside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 3,492.72 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_fee_revenue, downside_2027q4_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / downside | 843.02 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_fee_revenue, downside_2027q4_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization downside_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / downside | 375.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation downside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions downside_2027q4_other_adjustments | 2027Q4 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions downside_2027q4_noncash_deductions | 2027Q4 / downside | 405.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_da, downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / downside | 438.02 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress downside_2027q4_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q4 / downside | 500.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield downside_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / downside | 575.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / downside | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use downside_2027q4_wc_use | 2027Q4 / downside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress downside_2027q4_cfo_uses | 2027Q4 / downside | 1,345.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cash_interest, downside_2027q4_cash_tax, downside_2027q4_wc_use, downside_2027q4_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / downside | -501.98 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex downside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | 3,200.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex downside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / downside | -3,701.98 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend downside_2027q4_series_a_cash | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution downside_2027q4_nci_cash | 2027Q4 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions downside_2027q4_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q4 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_series_a_cash, downside_2027q4_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July downside_2027q4_share_growth | 2027Q4 / downside | 15.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash downside_2027q4_shares | 2027Q4 / downside | 2,515.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, downside_2027q4_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline downside_2027q4_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q4 / downside | 100.6% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(downside_2027q4_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration downside_2027q4_dividend_factor | 2027Q4 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends downside_2027q4_common_dividends | 2027Q4 / downside | 100.60 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, downside_2027q4_dividend_share_factor, downside_2027q4_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption downside_2027q4_preferred_redemption | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance downside_2027q4_debt_principal | 2027Q4 / downside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal downside_2027q4_claims | 2027Q4 / downside | 295.60 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_subsidiary_distributions, downside_2027q4_common_dividends, downside_2027q4_preferred_redemption, downside_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal downside_2027q4_cash_after_claims | 2027Q4 / downside | -3,997.58 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_fcf, downside_2027q4_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / downside | 18,241.38 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / downside | 8,099.14 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / downside | 6,973.14 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / downside | 5,446.14 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash capex incl. capitalized interest ($M) downside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / downside | 15,100.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash capex ($M) downside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / downside | -9,653.86 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Subsidiary preferred/NCI distributions ($M) downside_fy2026_subsidiary_distributions | FY2026 / downside | 425.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_subsidiary_distributions, downside_2026q3_subsidiary_distributions, downside_2026q4_subsidiary_distributions). |
| Common cash dividends ($M) downside_fy2026_common_dividends | FY2026 / downside | 289.13 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_common_dividends, downside_2026q3_common_dividends, downside_2026q4_common_dividends). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption ($M) downside_fy2026_preferred_redemption | FY2026 / downside | 1,743.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_preferred_redemption, downside_2026q3_preferred_redemption, downside_2026q4_preferred_redemption). |
| Debt principal repayments ($M) downside_fy2026_debt_principal | FY2026 / downside | 4,243.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_debt_principal, downside_2026q3_debt_principal, downside_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_after_claims | FY2026 / downside | -16,353.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_claims, downside_2026q3_cash_after_claims, downside_2026q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / downside | 13,137.39 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / downside | 3,513.93 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / downside | 2,025.93 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / downside | -366.07 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash capex incl. capitalized interest ($M) downside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / downside | 14,600.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash capex ($M) downside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / downside | -14,966.07 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q4_fcf). |
| Subsidiary preferred/NCI distributions ($M) downside_fy2027_subsidiary_distributions | FY2027 / downside | 450.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_subsidiary_distributions, downside_2027q2_subsidiary_distributions, downside_2027q3_subsidiary_distributions, downside_2027q4_subsidiary_distributions). |
| Common cash dividends ($M) downside_fy2027_common_dividends | FY2027 / downside | 401.69 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_common_dividends, downside_2027q2_common_dividends, downside_2027q3_common_dividends, downside_2027q4_common_dividends). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption ($M) downside_fy2027_preferred_redemption | FY2027 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_preferred_redemption, downside_2027q2_preferred_redemption, downside_2027q3_preferred_redemption, downside_2027q4_preferred_redemption). |
| Debt principal repayments ($M) downside_fy2027_debt_principal | FY2027 / downside | 600.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_debt_principal, downside_2027q2_debt_principal, downside_2027q3_debt_principal, downside_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_after_claims | FY2027 / downside | -16,417.77 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_claims, downside_2027q2_cash_after_claims, downside_2027q3_cash_after_claims, downside_2027q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Recognized volume delivery base_2026q3_execution | 2026Q3 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| H2 quarterly allocation base_2026q3_half | 2026Q3 / base | 50.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu base_2026q3_volume | 2026Q3 / base | 46,305.0% ratio | derived: Equal H2 baseline allocation; cargo acceptance can change timing. Formula: multiply(h2_volume, base_2026q3_half, base_2026q3_execution). |
| Contracted fee volume TBtu base_2026q3_fixed_volume | 2026Q3 / base | 36,555.0% ratio | derived: 2026 contracted mix, not long-term SPA-only mix. Formula: multiply(contracted_volume, base_2026q3_half, base_2026q3_execution). |
| Unsold fee-sensitive TBtu base_2026q3_merchant_volume | 2026Q3 / base | 9,750.0% ratio | derived: Equivalent volume sensitivity. Formula: multiply(unsold_volume, base_2026q3_half, base_2026q3_execution). |
| Contracted fee revenue base_2026q3_fixed_fees | 2026Q3 / base | 1,846.03 USD_millions | derived: Contracted 2026 fee is distinct from feed-gas revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_fixed_volume, contracted_fee). |
| Unsold fee revenue per TBtu base_2026q3_merchant_fee | 2026Q3 / base | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Normalized $M per TBtu; equivalent to dollars per MMBtu. Base is company guidance midpoint. |
| Unsold fee revenue base_2026q3_merchant_fees | 2026Q3 / base | 1,267.50 USD_millions | derived: Unsold price scenario. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_merchant_volume, base_2026q3_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue base_2026q3_fee_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 3,113.53 USD_millions | derived: Calibrated annual guidance already incorporates expected Phase 1 COD timing. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_fixed_fees, base_2026q3_merchant_fees). |
| Cost delivery stress base_2026q3_cost_factor | 2026Q3 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Residual operating costs net of other contribution base_2026q3_cash_costs | 2026Q3 / base | 595.03 USD_millions | derived: Guidance calibration; not an independently disclosed cost forecast. Formula: multiply(h2_residual_cost, base_2026q3_half, base_2026q3_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu base_2026q3_feed_gas | 2026Q3 / base | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue base_2026q3_feed_gas_recovery | 2026Q3 / base | 1,852.20 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_volume, base_2026q3_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy base_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 4,965.73 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_fee_revenue, base_2026q3_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / base | 2,518.50 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_fee_revenue, base_2026q3_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization base_2026q3_da | 2026Q3 / base | 275.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation base_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions base_2026q3_other_adjustments | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions base_2026q3_noncash_deductions | 2026Q3 / base | 290.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_da, base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / base | 2,228.50 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress base_2026q3_legal_cash_stress | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield base_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / base | 450.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes base_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / base | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use base_2026q3_wc_use | 2026Q3 / base | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress base_2026q3_cfo_uses | 2026Q3 / base | 700.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_cash_interest, base_2026q3_cash_tax, base_2026q3_wc_use, base_2026q3_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / base | 1,818.50 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex base_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / base | 3,400.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex base_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / base | -1,581.50 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend base_2026q3_series_a_cash | 2026Q3 / base | 135.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution base_2026q3_nci_cash | 2026Q3 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions base_2026q3_subsidiary_distributions | 2026Q3 / base | 175.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_series_a_cash, base_2026q3_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July base_2026q3_share_growth | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash base_2026q3_shares | 2026Q3 / base | 2,500.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, base_2026q3_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline base_2026q3_dividend_share_factor | 2026Q3 / base | 100.0% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(base_2026q3_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration base_2026q3_dividend_factor | 2026Q3 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends base_2026q3_common_dividends | 2026Q3 / base | 100.00 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, base_2026q3_dividend_share_factor, base_2026q3_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption base_2026q3_preferred_redemption | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance base_2026q3_debt_principal | 2026Q3 / base | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal base_2026q3_claims | 2026Q3 / base | 355.00 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_subsidiary_distributions, base_2026q3_common_dividends, base_2026q3_preferred_redemption, base_2026q3_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal base_2026q3_cash_after_claims | 2026Q3 / base | -1,936.50 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q3_claims). |
| Recognized volume delivery base_2026q4_execution | 2026Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| H2 quarterly allocation base_2026q4_half | 2026Q4 / base | 50.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu base_2026q4_volume | 2026Q4 / base | 46,305.0% ratio | derived: Equal H2 baseline allocation; cargo acceptance can change timing. Formula: multiply(h2_volume, base_2026q4_half, base_2026q4_execution). |
| Contracted fee volume TBtu base_2026q4_fixed_volume | 2026Q4 / base | 36,555.0% ratio | derived: 2026 contracted mix, not long-term SPA-only mix. Formula: multiply(contracted_volume, base_2026q4_half, base_2026q4_execution). |
| Unsold fee-sensitive TBtu base_2026q4_merchant_volume | 2026Q4 / base | 9,750.0% ratio | derived: Equivalent volume sensitivity. Formula: multiply(unsold_volume, base_2026q4_half, base_2026q4_execution). |
| Contracted fee revenue base_2026q4_fixed_fees | 2026Q4 / base | 1,846.03 USD_millions | derived: Contracted 2026 fee is distinct from feed-gas revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_fixed_volume, contracted_fee). |
| Unsold fee revenue per TBtu base_2026q4_merchant_fee | 2026Q4 / base | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Normalized $M per TBtu; equivalent to dollars per MMBtu. Base is company guidance midpoint. |
| Unsold fee revenue base_2026q4_merchant_fees | 2026Q4 / base | 1,267.50 USD_millions | derived: Unsold price scenario. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_merchant_volume, base_2026q4_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue base_2026q4_fee_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 3,113.53 USD_millions | derived: Calibrated annual guidance already incorporates expected Phase 1 COD timing. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_fixed_fees, base_2026q4_merchant_fees). |
| Cost delivery stress base_2026q4_cost_factor | 2026Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Residual operating costs net of other contribution base_2026q4_cash_costs | 2026Q4 / base | 595.03 USD_millions | derived: Guidance calibration; not an independently disclosed cost forecast. Formula: multiply(h2_residual_cost, base_2026q4_half, base_2026q4_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu base_2026q4_feed_gas | 2026Q4 / base | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue base_2026q4_feed_gas_recovery | 2026Q4 / base | 1,852.20 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_volume, base_2026q4_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy base_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 4,965.73 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_fee_revenue, base_2026q4_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / base | 2,518.50 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_fee_revenue, base_2026q4_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization base_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / base | 295.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation base_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / base | 17.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions base_2026q4_other_adjustments | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions base_2026q4_noncash_deductions | 2026Q4 / base | 312.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_da, base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / base | 2,206.50 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress base_2026q4_legal_cash_stress | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield base_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / base | 475.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes base_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / base | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use base_2026q4_wc_use | 2026Q4 / base | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress base_2026q4_cfo_uses | 2026Q4 / base | 675.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cash_interest, base_2026q4_cash_tax, base_2026q4_wc_use, base_2026q4_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / base | 1,843.50 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex base_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / base | 3,600.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex base_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / base | -1,756.50 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend base_2026q4_series_a_cash | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution base_2026q4_nci_cash | 2026Q4 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions base_2026q4_subsidiary_distributions | 2026Q4 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_series_a_cash, base_2026q4_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July base_2026q4_share_growth | 2026Q4 / base | 3.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash base_2026q4_shares | 2026Q4 / base | 2,503.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, base_2026q4_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline base_2026q4_dividend_share_factor | 2026Q4 / base | 100.1% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(base_2026q4_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration base_2026q4_dividend_factor | 2026Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends base_2026q4_common_dividends | 2026Q4 / base | 100.12 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, base_2026q4_dividend_share_factor, base_2026q4_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption base_2026q4_preferred_redemption | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance base_2026q4_debt_principal | 2026Q4 / base | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal base_2026q4_claims | 2026Q4 / base | 220.12 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_subsidiary_distributions, base_2026q4_common_dividends, base_2026q4_preferred_redemption, base_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal base_2026q4_cash_after_claims | 2026Q4 / base | -1,976.62 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_fcf, base_2026q4_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan base_2027q1_cargo_baseline | 2027Q1 / base | 13,000.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor base_2027q1_volume_factor | 2027Q1 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos base_2027q1_cargos | 2027Q1 / base | 13,000.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_cargo_baseline, base_2027q1_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu base_2027q1_volume | 2027Q1 / base | 47,775.0% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs base_2027q1_spa_share | 2027Q1 / base | 50.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share base_2027q1_commission_share | 2027Q1 / base | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume base_2027q1_one | 2027Q1 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share base_2027q1_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q1 / base | 60.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_spa_share, base_2027q1_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share base_2027q1_merchant_share | 2027Q1 / base | 40.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_one, base_2027q1_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q1_spa_fee | 2027Q1 / base | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue base_2027q1_spa_fees | 2027Q1 / base | 597.19 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_volume, base_2027q1_spa_share, base_2027q1_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q1_commission_fee | 2027Q1 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue base_2027q1_commission_fees | 2027Q1 / base | 286.65 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_volume, base_2027q1_commission_share, base_2027q1_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q1_merchant_fee | 2027Q1 / base | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue base_2027q1_merchant_fees | 2027Q1 / base | 1,719.90 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_volume, base_2027q1_merchant_share, base_2027q1_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue base_2027q1_fee_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 2,603.74 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_spa_fees, base_2027q1_commission_fees, base_2027q1_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget base_2027q1_cost_budget | 2027Q1 / base | 650.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress base_2027q1_cost_factor | 2027Q1 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution base_2027q1_cash_costs | 2027Q1 / base | 650.00 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_cost_budget, base_2027q1_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu base_2027q1_feed_gas | 2027Q1 / base | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue base_2027q1_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q1 / base | 1,672.12 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_volume, base_2027q1_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy base_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 4,275.86 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fee_revenue, base_2027q1_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / base | 1,953.74 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_fee_revenue, base_2027q1_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization base_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / base | 315.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation base_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / base | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions base_2027q1_other_adjustments | 2027Q1 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions base_2027q1_noncash_deductions | 2027Q1 / base | 339.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_da, base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / base | 1,614.74 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q1_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress base_2027q1_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield base_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / base | 500.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / base | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use base_2027q1_wc_use | 2027Q1 / base | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress base_2027q1_cfo_uses | 2027Q1 / base | 770.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_interest, base_2027q1_cash_tax, base_2027q1_wc_use, base_2027q1_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / base | 1,183.74 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q1_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex base_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 3,400.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex base_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / base | -2,216.26 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend base_2027q1_series_a_cash | 2027Q1 / base | 135.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution base_2027q1_nci_cash | 2027Q1 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions base_2027q1_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q1 / base | 180.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_series_a_cash, base_2027q1_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July base_2027q1_share_growth | 2027Q1 / base | 6.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash base_2027q1_shares | 2027Q1 / base | 2,506.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, base_2027q1_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline base_2027q1_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q1 / base | 100.2% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(base_2027q1_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration base_2027q1_dividend_factor | 2027Q1 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends base_2027q1_common_dividends | 2027Q1 / base | 100.24 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, base_2027q1_dividend_share_factor, base_2027q1_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption base_2027q1_preferred_redemption | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance base_2027q1_debt_principal | 2027Q1 / base | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal base_2027q1_claims | 2027Q1 / base | 430.24 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_subsidiary_distributions, base_2027q1_common_dividends, base_2027q1_preferred_redemption, base_2027q1_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal base_2027q1_cash_after_claims | 2027Q1 / base | -2,646.51 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q1_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan base_2027q2_cargo_baseline | 2027Q2 / base | 13,500.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor base_2027q2_volume_factor | 2027Q2 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos base_2027q2_cargos | 2027Q2 / base | 13,500.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_cargo_baseline, base_2027q2_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu base_2027q2_volume | 2027Q2 / base | 49,612.5% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs base_2027q2_spa_share | 2027Q2 / base | 60.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share base_2027q2_commission_share | 2027Q2 / base | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume base_2027q2_one | 2027Q2 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share base_2027q2_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q2 / base | 70.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_spa_share, base_2027q2_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share base_2027q2_merchant_share | 2027Q2 / base | 30.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_one, base_2027q2_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q2_spa_fee | 2027Q2 / base | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue base_2027q2_spa_fees | 2027Q2 / base | 744.19 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_volume, base_2027q2_spa_share, base_2027q2_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q2_commission_fee | 2027Q2 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue base_2027q2_commission_fees | 2027Q2 / base | 297.68 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_volume, base_2027q2_commission_share, base_2027q2_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q2_merchant_fee | 2027Q2 / base | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue base_2027q2_merchant_fees | 2027Q2 / base | 1,339.54 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_volume, base_2027q2_merchant_share, base_2027q2_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue base_2027q2_fee_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 2,381.40 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_spa_fees, base_2027q2_commission_fees, base_2027q2_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget base_2027q2_cost_budget | 2027Q2 / base | 675.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress base_2027q2_cost_factor | 2027Q2 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution base_2027q2_cash_costs | 2027Q2 / base | 675.00 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_cost_budget, base_2027q2_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu base_2027q2_feed_gas | 2027Q2 / base | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue base_2027q2_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q2 / base | 1,736.44 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_volume, base_2027q2_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy base_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 4,117.84 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_fee_revenue, base_2027q2_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / base | 1,706.40 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_fee_revenue, base_2027q2_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization base_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / base | 335.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation base_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / base | 21.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions base_2027q2_other_adjustments | 2027Q2 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions base_2027q2_noncash_deductions | 2027Q2 / base | 361.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_da, base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / base | 1,345.40 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress base_2027q2_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield base_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / base | 525.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / base | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use base_2027q2_wc_use | 2027Q2 / base | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress base_2027q2_cfo_uses | 2027Q2 / base | 725.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cash_interest, base_2027q2_cash_tax, base_2027q2_wc_use, base_2027q2_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / base | 981.40 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex base_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 3,200.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex base_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / base | -2,218.60 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend base_2027q2_series_a_cash | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution base_2027q2_nci_cash | 2027Q2 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions base_2027q2_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q2 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_series_a_cash, base_2027q2_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July base_2027q2_share_growth | 2027Q2 / base | 9.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash base_2027q2_shares | 2027Q2 / base | 2,509.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, base_2027q2_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline base_2027q2_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q2 / base | 100.4% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(base_2027q2_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration base_2027q2_dividend_factor | 2027Q2 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends base_2027q2_common_dividends | 2027Q2 / base | 100.36 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, base_2027q2_dividend_share_factor, base_2027q2_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption base_2027q2_preferred_redemption | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance base_2027q2_debt_principal | 2027Q2 / base | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal base_2027q2_claims | 2027Q2 / base | 295.36 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_subsidiary_distributions, base_2027q2_common_dividends, base_2027q2_preferred_redemption, base_2027q2_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal base_2027q2_cash_after_claims | 2027Q2 / base | -2,513.96 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q2_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan base_2027q3_cargo_baseline | 2027Q3 / base | 14,500.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor base_2027q3_volume_factor | 2027Q3 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos base_2027q3_cargos | 2027Q3 / base | 14,500.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_cargo_baseline, base_2027q3_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu base_2027q3_volume | 2027Q3 / base | 53,287.5% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs base_2027q3_spa_share | 2027Q3 / base | 70.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share base_2027q3_commission_share | 2027Q3 / base | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume base_2027q3_one | 2027Q3 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share base_2027q3_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q3 / base | 80.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_spa_share, base_2027q3_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share base_2027q3_merchant_share | 2027Q3 / base | 20.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_one, base_2027q3_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q3_spa_fee | 2027Q3 / base | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue base_2027q3_spa_fees | 2027Q3 / base | 932.53 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_volume, base_2027q3_spa_share, base_2027q3_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q3_commission_fee | 2027Q3 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue base_2027q3_commission_fees | 2027Q3 / base | 319.73 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_volume, base_2027q3_commission_share, base_2027q3_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q3_merchant_fee | 2027Q3 / base | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue base_2027q3_merchant_fees | 2027Q3 / base | 959.18 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_volume, base_2027q3_merchant_share, base_2027q3_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue base_2027q3_fee_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 2,211.43 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_spa_fees, base_2027q3_commission_fees, base_2027q3_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget base_2027q3_cost_budget | 2027Q3 / base | 700.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress base_2027q3_cost_factor | 2027Q3 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution base_2027q3_cash_costs | 2027Q3 / base | 700.00 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_cost_budget, base_2027q3_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu base_2027q3_feed_gas | 2027Q3 / base | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue base_2027q3_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q3 / base | 1,865.06 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_volume, base_2027q3_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy base_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 4,076.49 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_fee_revenue, base_2027q3_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / base | 1,511.43 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_fee_revenue, base_2027q3_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization base_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / base | 355.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation base_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / base | 23.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions base_2027q3_other_adjustments | 2027Q3 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions base_2027q3_noncash_deductions | 2027Q3 / base | 383.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_da, base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / base | 1,128.43 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress base_2027q3_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield base_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / base | 550.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / base | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use base_2027q3_wc_use | 2027Q3 / base | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress base_2027q3_cfo_uses | 2027Q3 / base | 790.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cash_interest, base_2027q3_cash_tax, base_2027q3_wc_use, base_2027q3_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / base | 721.43 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex base_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 2,800.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex base_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / base | -2,078.57 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend base_2027q3_series_a_cash | 2027Q3 / base | 135.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution base_2027q3_nci_cash | 2027Q3 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions base_2027q3_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q3 / base | 180.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_series_a_cash, base_2027q3_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July base_2027q3_share_growth | 2027Q3 / base | 12.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash base_2027q3_shares | 2027Q3 / base | 2,512.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, base_2027q3_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline base_2027q3_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q3 / base | 100.5% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(base_2027q3_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration base_2027q3_dividend_factor | 2027Q3 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends base_2027q3_common_dividends | 2027Q3 / base | 100.48 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, base_2027q3_dividend_share_factor, base_2027q3_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption base_2027q3_preferred_redemption | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance base_2027q3_debt_principal | 2027Q3 / base | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal base_2027q3_claims | 2027Q3 / base | 430.48 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_subsidiary_distributions, base_2027q3_common_dividends, base_2027q3_preferred_redemption, base_2027q3_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal base_2027q3_cash_after_claims | 2027Q3 / base | -2,509.05 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q3_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan base_2027q4_cargo_baseline | 2027Q4 / base | 16,000.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor base_2027q4_volume_factor | 2027Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos base_2027q4_cargos | 2027Q4 / base | 16,000.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_cargo_baseline, base_2027q4_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu base_2027q4_volume | 2027Q4 / base | 58,800.0% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs base_2027q4_spa_share | 2027Q4 / base | 70.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share base_2027q4_commission_share | 2027Q4 / base | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume base_2027q4_one | 2027Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share base_2027q4_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q4 / base | 80.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_spa_share, base_2027q4_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share base_2027q4_merchant_share | 2027Q4 / base | 20.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_one, base_2027q4_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q4_spa_fee | 2027Q4 / base | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue base_2027q4_spa_fees | 2027Q4 / base | 1,029.00 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_volume, base_2027q4_spa_share, base_2027q4_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q4_commission_fee | 2027Q4 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue base_2027q4_commission_fees | 2027Q4 / base | 352.80 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_volume, base_2027q4_commission_share, base_2027q4_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu base_2027q4_merchant_fee | 2027Q4 / base | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue base_2027q4_merchant_fees | 2027Q4 / base | 1,058.40 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_volume, base_2027q4_merchant_share, base_2027q4_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue base_2027q4_fee_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 2,440.20 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_spa_fees, base_2027q4_commission_fees, base_2027q4_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget base_2027q4_cost_budget | 2027Q4 / base | 725.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress base_2027q4_cost_factor | 2027Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution base_2027q4_cash_costs | 2027Q4 / base | 725.00 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_cost_budget, base_2027q4_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu base_2027q4_feed_gas | 2027Q4 / base | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue base_2027q4_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q4 / base | 2,058.00 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_volume, base_2027q4_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy base_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 4,498.20 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_fee_revenue, base_2027q4_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / base | 1,715.20 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_fee_revenue, base_2027q4_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization base_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / base | 375.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation base_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / base | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions base_2027q4_other_adjustments | 2027Q4 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions base_2027q4_noncash_deductions | 2027Q4 / base | 405.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_da, base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / base | 1,310.20 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress base_2027q4_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield base_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / base | 575.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / base | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use base_2027q4_wc_use | 2027Q4 / base | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress base_2027q4_cfo_uses | 2027Q4 / base | 775.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cash_interest, base_2027q4_cash_tax, base_2027q4_wc_use, base_2027q4_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / base | 940.20 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex base_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 2,500.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex base_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / base | -1,559.80 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend base_2027q4_series_a_cash | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution base_2027q4_nci_cash | 2027Q4 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions base_2027q4_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q4 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_series_a_cash, base_2027q4_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July base_2027q4_share_growth | 2027Q4 / base | 15.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash base_2027q4_shares | 2027Q4 / base | 2,515.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, base_2027q4_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline base_2027q4_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q4 / base | 100.6% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(base_2027q4_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration base_2027q4_dividend_factor | 2027Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends base_2027q4_common_dividends | 2027Q4 / base | 100.60 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, base_2027q4_dividend_share_factor, base_2027q4_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption base_2027q4_preferred_redemption | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance base_2027q4_debt_principal | 2027Q4 / base | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal base_2027q4_claims | 2027Q4 / base | 295.60 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_subsidiary_distributions, base_2027q4_common_dividends, base_2027q4_preferred_redemption, base_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal base_2027q4_cash_after_claims | 2027Q4 / base | -1,855.40 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_fcf, base_2027q4_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) base_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / base | 19,108.46 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) base_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / base | 8,900.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / base | 7,774.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) base_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / base | 6,497.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash capex incl. capitalized interest ($M) base_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / base | 13,900.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash capex ($M) base_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / base | -7,403.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q4_fcf). |
| Subsidiary preferred/NCI distributions ($M) base_fy2026_subsidiary_distributions | FY2026 / base | 425.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_subsidiary_distributions, base_2026q3_subsidiary_distributions, base_2026q4_subsidiary_distributions). |
| Common cash dividends ($M) base_fy2026_common_dividends | FY2026 / base | 289.13 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_common_dividends, base_2026q3_common_dividends, base_2026q4_common_dividends). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption ($M) base_fy2026_preferred_redemption | FY2026 / base | 1,743.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_preferred_redemption, base_2026q3_preferred_redemption, base_2026q4_preferred_redemption). |
| Debt principal repayments ($M) base_fy2026_debt_principal | FY2026 / base | 4,243.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_debt_principal, base_2026q3_debt_principal, base_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal ($M) base_fy2026_cash_after_claims | FY2026 / base | -14,103.13 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_claims, base_2026q3_cash_after_claims, base_2026q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) base_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / base | 16,968.39 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) base_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / base | 6,886.77 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / base | 5,398.77 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) base_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / base | 3,826.77 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash capex incl. capitalized interest ($M) base_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / base | 11,900.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash capex ($M) base_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / base | -8,073.23 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q4_fcf). |
| Subsidiary preferred/NCI distributions ($M) base_fy2027_subsidiary_distributions | FY2027 / base | 450.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_subsidiary_distributions, base_2027q2_subsidiary_distributions, base_2027q3_subsidiary_distributions, base_2027q4_subsidiary_distributions). |
| Common cash dividends ($M) base_fy2027_common_dividends | FY2027 / base | 401.69 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_common_dividends, base_2027q2_common_dividends, base_2027q3_common_dividends, base_2027q4_common_dividends). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption ($M) base_fy2027_preferred_redemption | FY2027 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_preferred_redemption, base_2027q2_preferred_redemption, base_2027q3_preferred_redemption, base_2027q4_preferred_redemption). |
| Debt principal repayments ($M) base_fy2027_debt_principal | FY2027 / base | 600.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_debt_principal, base_2027q2_debt_principal, base_2027q3_debt_principal, base_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal ($M) base_fy2027_cash_after_claims | FY2027 / base | -9,524.93 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_claims, base_2027q2_cash_after_claims, base_2027q3_cash_after_claims, base_2027q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Recognized volume delivery upside_2026q3_execution | 2026Q3 / upside | 102.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| H2 quarterly allocation upside_2026q3_half | 2026Q3 / upside | 50.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu upside_2026q3_volume | 2026Q3 / upside | 47,231.1% ratio | derived: Equal H2 baseline allocation; cargo acceptance can change timing. Formula: multiply(h2_volume, upside_2026q3_half, upside_2026q3_execution). |
| Contracted fee volume TBtu upside_2026q3_fixed_volume | 2026Q3 / upside | 37,286.1% ratio | derived: 2026 contracted mix, not long-term SPA-only mix. Formula: multiply(contracted_volume, upside_2026q3_half, upside_2026q3_execution). |
| Unsold fee-sensitive TBtu upside_2026q3_merchant_volume | 2026Q3 / upside | 9,945.0% ratio | derived: Equivalent volume sensitivity. Formula: multiply(unsold_volume, upside_2026q3_half, upside_2026q3_execution). |
| Contracted fee revenue upside_2026q3_fixed_fees | 2026Q3 / upside | 1,882.95 USD_millions | derived: Contracted 2026 fee is distinct from feed-gas revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_fixed_volume, contracted_fee). |
| Unsold fee revenue per TBtu upside_2026q3_merchant_fee | 2026Q3 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Normalized $M per TBtu; equivalent to dollars per MMBtu. Base is company guidance midpoint. |
| Unsold fee revenue upside_2026q3_merchant_fees | 2026Q3 / upside | 1,491.75 USD_millions | derived: Unsold price scenario. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_merchant_volume, upside_2026q3_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue upside_2026q3_fee_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 3,374.70 USD_millions | derived: Calibrated annual guidance already incorporates expected Phase 1 COD timing. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_fixed_fees, upside_2026q3_merchant_fees). |
| Cost delivery stress upside_2026q3_cost_factor | 2026Q3 / upside | 98.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Residual operating costs net of other contribution upside_2026q3_cash_costs | 2026Q3 / upside | 583.13 USD_millions | derived: Guidance calibration; not an independently disclosed cost forecast. Formula: multiply(h2_residual_cost, upside_2026q3_half, upside_2026q3_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu upside_2026q3_feed_gas | 2026Q3 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue upside_2026q3_feed_gas_recovery | 2026Q3 / upside | 1,889.24 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_volume, upside_2026q3_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy upside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 5,263.94 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_fee_revenue, upside_2026q3_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / upside | 2,791.57 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_fee_revenue, upside_2026q3_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization upside_2026q3_da | 2026Q3 / upside | 275.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation upside_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions upside_2026q3_other_adjustments | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions upside_2026q3_noncash_deductions | 2026Q3 / upside | 290.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_da, upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / upside | 2,501.57 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress upside_2026q3_legal_cash_stress | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield upside_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / upside | 450.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes upside_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use upside_2026q3_wc_use | 2026Q3 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress upside_2026q3_cfo_uses | 2026Q3 / upside | 650.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_cash_interest, upside_2026q3_cash_tax, upside_2026q3_wc_use, upside_2026q3_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / upside | 2,141.57 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex upside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | 3,400.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex upside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / upside | -1,258.43 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend upside_2026q3_series_a_cash | 2026Q3 / upside | 135.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution upside_2026q3_nci_cash | 2026Q3 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions upside_2026q3_subsidiary_distributions | 2026Q3 / upside | 175.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_series_a_cash, upside_2026q3_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July upside_2026q3_share_growth | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash upside_2026q3_shares | 2026Q3 / upside | 2,500.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, upside_2026q3_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline upside_2026q3_dividend_share_factor | 2026Q3 / upside | 100.0% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(upside_2026q3_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration upside_2026q3_dividend_factor | 2026Q3 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends upside_2026q3_common_dividends | 2026Q3 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, upside_2026q3_dividend_share_factor, upside_2026q3_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption upside_2026q3_preferred_redemption | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance upside_2026q3_debt_principal | 2026Q3 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal upside_2026q3_claims | 2026Q3 / upside | 355.00 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_subsidiary_distributions, upside_2026q3_common_dividends, upside_2026q3_preferred_redemption, upside_2026q3_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal upside_2026q3_cash_after_claims | 2026Q3 / upside | -1,613.43 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q3_claims). |
| Recognized volume delivery upside_2026q4_execution | 2026Q4 / upside | 102.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| H2 quarterly allocation upside_2026q4_half | 2026Q4 / upside | 50.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu upside_2026q4_volume | 2026Q4 / upside | 47,231.1% ratio | derived: Equal H2 baseline allocation; cargo acceptance can change timing. Formula: multiply(h2_volume, upside_2026q4_half, upside_2026q4_execution). |
| Contracted fee volume TBtu upside_2026q4_fixed_volume | 2026Q4 / upside | 37,286.1% ratio | derived: 2026 contracted mix, not long-term SPA-only mix. Formula: multiply(contracted_volume, upside_2026q4_half, upside_2026q4_execution). |
| Unsold fee-sensitive TBtu upside_2026q4_merchant_volume | 2026Q4 / upside | 9,945.0% ratio | derived: Equivalent volume sensitivity. Formula: multiply(unsold_volume, upside_2026q4_half, upside_2026q4_execution). |
| Contracted fee revenue upside_2026q4_fixed_fees | 2026Q4 / upside | 1,882.95 USD_millions | derived: Contracted 2026 fee is distinct from feed-gas revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_fixed_volume, contracted_fee). |
| Unsold fee revenue per TBtu upside_2026q4_merchant_fee | 2026Q4 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Normalized $M per TBtu; equivalent to dollars per MMBtu. Base is company guidance midpoint. |
| Unsold fee revenue upside_2026q4_merchant_fees | 2026Q4 / upside | 1,491.75 USD_millions | derived: Unsold price scenario. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_merchant_volume, upside_2026q4_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue upside_2026q4_fee_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 3,374.70 USD_millions | derived: Calibrated annual guidance already incorporates expected Phase 1 COD timing. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_fixed_fees, upside_2026q4_merchant_fees). |
| Cost delivery stress upside_2026q4_cost_factor | 2026Q4 / upside | 98.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Residual operating costs net of other contribution upside_2026q4_cash_costs | 2026Q4 / upside | 583.13 USD_millions | derived: Guidance calibration; not an independently disclosed cost forecast. Formula: multiply(h2_residual_cost, upside_2026q4_half, upside_2026q4_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu upside_2026q4_feed_gas | 2026Q4 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue upside_2026q4_feed_gas_recovery | 2026Q4 / upside | 1,889.24 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_volume, upside_2026q4_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy upside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 5,263.94 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_fee_revenue, upside_2026q4_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / upside | 2,791.57 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_fee_revenue, upside_2026q4_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization upside_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / upside | 295.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation upside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / upside | 17.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions upside_2026q4_other_adjustments | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions upside_2026q4_noncash_deductions | 2026Q4 / upside | 312.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_da, upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / upside | 2,479.57 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress upside_2026q4_legal_cash_stress | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield upside_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / upside | 475.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes upside_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use upside_2026q4_wc_use | 2026Q4 / upside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress upside_2026q4_cfo_uses | 2026Q4 / upside | 625.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cash_interest, upside_2026q4_cash_tax, upside_2026q4_wc_use, upside_2026q4_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / upside | 2,166.57 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex upside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 3,500.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex upside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / upside | -1,333.43 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend upside_2026q4_series_a_cash | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution upside_2026q4_nci_cash | 2026Q4 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions upside_2026q4_subsidiary_distributions | 2026Q4 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_series_a_cash, upside_2026q4_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July upside_2026q4_share_growth | 2026Q4 / upside | 3.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash upside_2026q4_shares | 2026Q4 / upside | 2,503.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, upside_2026q4_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline upside_2026q4_dividend_share_factor | 2026Q4 / upside | 100.1% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(upside_2026q4_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration upside_2026q4_dividend_factor | 2026Q4 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends upside_2026q4_common_dividends | 2026Q4 / upside | 100.12 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, upside_2026q4_dividend_share_factor, upside_2026q4_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption upside_2026q4_preferred_redemption | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance upside_2026q4_debt_principal | 2026Q4 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal upside_2026q4_claims | 2026Q4 / upside | 220.12 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_subsidiary_distributions, upside_2026q4_common_dividends, upside_2026q4_preferred_redemption, upside_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal upside_2026q4_cash_after_claims | 2026Q4 / upside | -1,553.55 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_fcf, upside_2026q4_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan upside_2027q1_cargo_baseline | 2027Q1 / upside | 13,000.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor upside_2027q1_volume_factor | 2027Q1 / upside | 108.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos upside_2027q1_cargos | 2027Q1 / upside | 14,040.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_cargo_baseline, upside_2027q1_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu upside_2027q1_volume | 2027Q1 / upside | 51,597.0% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs upside_2027q1_spa_share | 2027Q1 / upside | 45.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share upside_2027q1_commission_share | 2027Q1 / upside | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume upside_2027q1_one | 2027Q1 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share upside_2027q1_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q1 / upside | 55.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_spa_share, upside_2027q1_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share upside_2027q1_merchant_share | 2027Q1 / upside | 45.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_one, upside_2027q1_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q1_spa_fee | 2027Q1 / upside | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue upside_2027q1_spa_fees | 2027Q1 / upside | 580.47 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_volume, upside_2027q1_spa_share, upside_2027q1_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q1_commission_fee | 2027Q1 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue upside_2027q1_commission_fees | 2027Q1 / upside | 361.18 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_volume, upside_2027q1_commission_share, upside_2027q1_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q1_merchant_fee | 2027Q1 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue upside_2027q1_merchant_fees | 2027Q1 / upside | 2,786.24 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_volume, upside_2027q1_merchant_share, upside_2027q1_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue upside_2027q1_fee_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 3,727.88 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_spa_fees, upside_2027q1_commission_fees, upside_2027q1_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget upside_2027q1_cost_budget | 2027Q1 / upside | 650.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress upside_2027q1_cost_factor | 2027Q1 / upside | 98.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution upside_2027q1_cash_costs | 2027Q1 / upside | 637.00 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_cost_budget, upside_2027q1_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu upside_2027q1_feed_gas | 2027Q1 / upside | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue upside_2027q1_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q1 / upside | 1,805.89 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_volume, upside_2027q1_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy upside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 5,533.78 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fee_revenue, upside_2027q1_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / upside | 3,090.88 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_fee_revenue, upside_2027q1_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization upside_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / upside | 315.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation upside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / upside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions upside_2027q1_other_adjustments | 2027Q1 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions upside_2027q1_noncash_deductions | 2027Q1 / upside | 339.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_da, upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / upside | 2,751.88 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q1_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress upside_2027q1_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield upside_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / upside | 500.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / upside | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use upside_2027q1_wc_use | 2027Q1 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress upside_2027q1_cfo_uses | 2027Q1 / upside | 720.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_interest, upside_2027q1_cash_tax, upside_2027q1_wc_use, upside_2027q1_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / upside | 2,370.88 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q1_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex upside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 3,200.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex upside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / upside | -829.12 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend upside_2027q1_series_a_cash | 2027Q1 / upside | 135.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution upside_2027q1_nci_cash | 2027Q1 / upside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions upside_2027q1_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q1 / upside | 180.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_series_a_cash, upside_2027q1_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July upside_2027q1_share_growth | 2027Q1 / upside | 6.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash upside_2027q1_shares | 2027Q1 / upside | 2,506.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, upside_2027q1_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline upside_2027q1_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q1 / upside | 100.2% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(upside_2027q1_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration upside_2027q1_dividend_factor | 2027Q1 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends upside_2027q1_common_dividends | 2027Q1 / upside | 100.24 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, upside_2027q1_dividend_share_factor, upside_2027q1_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption upside_2027q1_preferred_redemption | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance upside_2027q1_debt_principal | 2027Q1 / upside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal upside_2027q1_claims | 2027Q1 / upside | 430.24 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_subsidiary_distributions, upside_2027q1_common_dividends, upside_2027q1_preferred_redemption, upside_2027q1_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal upside_2027q1_cash_after_claims | 2027Q1 / upside | -1,259.36 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q1_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan upside_2027q2_cargo_baseline | 2027Q2 / upside | 13,500.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor upside_2027q2_volume_factor | 2027Q2 / upside | 108.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos upside_2027q2_cargos | 2027Q2 / upside | 14,580.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_cargo_baseline, upside_2027q2_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu upside_2027q2_volume | 2027Q2 / upside | 53,581.5% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs upside_2027q2_spa_share | 2027Q2 / upside | 55.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share upside_2027q2_commission_share | 2027Q2 / upside | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume upside_2027q2_one | 2027Q2 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share upside_2027q2_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q2 / upside | 65.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_spa_share, upside_2027q2_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share upside_2027q2_merchant_share | 2027Q2 / upside | 35.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_one, upside_2027q2_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q2_spa_fee | 2027Q2 / upside | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue upside_2027q2_spa_fees | 2027Q2 / upside | 736.75 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_volume, upside_2027q2_spa_share, upside_2027q2_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q2_commission_fee | 2027Q2 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue upside_2027q2_commission_fees | 2027Q2 / upside | 375.07 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_volume, upside_2027q2_commission_share, upside_2027q2_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q2_merchant_fee | 2027Q2 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue upside_2027q2_merchant_fees | 2027Q2 / upside | 2,250.42 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_volume, upside_2027q2_merchant_share, upside_2027q2_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue upside_2027q2_fee_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 3,362.24 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_spa_fees, upside_2027q2_commission_fees, upside_2027q2_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget upside_2027q2_cost_budget | 2027Q2 / upside | 675.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress upside_2027q2_cost_factor | 2027Q2 / upside | 98.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution upside_2027q2_cash_costs | 2027Q2 / upside | 661.50 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_cost_budget, upside_2027q2_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu upside_2027q2_feed_gas | 2027Q2 / upside | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue upside_2027q2_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q2 / upside | 1,875.35 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_volume, upside_2027q2_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy upside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 5,237.59 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_fee_revenue, upside_2027q2_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / upside | 2,700.74 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_fee_revenue, upside_2027q2_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization upside_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / upside | 335.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation upside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / upside | 21.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions upside_2027q2_other_adjustments | 2027Q2 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions upside_2027q2_noncash_deductions | 2027Q2 / upside | 361.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_da, upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / upside | 2,339.74 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress upside_2027q2_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield upside_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / upside | 525.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / upside | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use upside_2027q2_wc_use | 2027Q2 / upside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress upside_2027q2_cfo_uses | 2027Q2 / upside | 695.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cash_interest, upside_2027q2_cash_tax, upside_2027q2_wc_use, upside_2027q2_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / upside | 2,005.74 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex upside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 3,000.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex upside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / upside | -994.26 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend upside_2027q2_series_a_cash | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution upside_2027q2_nci_cash | 2027Q2 / upside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions upside_2027q2_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q2 / upside | 45.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_series_a_cash, upside_2027q2_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July upside_2027q2_share_growth | 2027Q2 / upside | 9.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash upside_2027q2_shares | 2027Q2 / upside | 2,509.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, upside_2027q2_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline upside_2027q2_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q2 / upside | 100.4% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(upside_2027q2_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration upside_2027q2_dividend_factor | 2027Q2 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends upside_2027q2_common_dividends | 2027Q2 / upside | 100.36 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, upside_2027q2_dividend_share_factor, upside_2027q2_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption upside_2027q2_preferred_redemption | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance upside_2027q2_debt_principal | 2027Q2 / upside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal upside_2027q2_claims | 2027Q2 / upside | 295.36 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_subsidiary_distributions, upside_2027q2_common_dividends, upside_2027q2_preferred_redemption, upside_2027q2_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal upside_2027q2_cash_after_claims | 2027Q2 / upside | -1,289.62 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q2_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan upside_2027q3_cargo_baseline | 2027Q3 / upside | 14,500.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor upside_2027q3_volume_factor | 2027Q3 / upside | 108.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos upside_2027q3_cargos | 2027Q3 / upside | 15,660.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_cargo_baseline, upside_2027q3_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu upside_2027q3_volume | 2027Q3 / upside | 57,550.5% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs upside_2027q3_spa_share | 2027Q3 / upside | 60.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share upside_2027q3_commission_share | 2027Q3 / upside | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume upside_2027q3_one | 2027Q3 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share upside_2027q3_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q3 / upside | 70.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_spa_share, upside_2027q3_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share upside_2027q3_merchant_share | 2027Q3 / upside | 30.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_one, upside_2027q3_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q3_spa_fee | 2027Q3 / upside | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue upside_2027q3_spa_fees | 2027Q3 / upside | 863.26 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_volume, upside_2027q3_spa_share, upside_2027q3_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q3_commission_fee | 2027Q3 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue upside_2027q3_commission_fees | 2027Q3 / upside | 402.85 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_volume, upside_2027q3_commission_share, upside_2027q3_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q3_merchant_fee | 2027Q3 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue upside_2027q3_merchant_fees | 2027Q3 / upside | 2,071.82 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_volume, upside_2027q3_merchant_share, upside_2027q3_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue upside_2027q3_fee_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 3,337.93 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_spa_fees, upside_2027q3_commission_fees, upside_2027q3_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget upside_2027q3_cost_budget | 2027Q3 / upside | 700.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress upside_2027q3_cost_factor | 2027Q3 / upside | 98.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution upside_2027q3_cash_costs | 2027Q3 / upside | 686.00 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_cost_budget, upside_2027q3_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu upside_2027q3_feed_gas | 2027Q3 / upside | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue upside_2027q3_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q3 / upside | 2,014.27 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_volume, upside_2027q3_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy upside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 5,352.20 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_fee_revenue, upside_2027q3_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / upside | 2,651.93 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_fee_revenue, upside_2027q3_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization upside_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / upside | 355.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation upside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / upside | 23.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions upside_2027q3_other_adjustments | 2027Q3 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions upside_2027q3_noncash_deductions | 2027Q3 / upside | 383.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_da, upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / upside | 2,268.93 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress upside_2027q3_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield upside_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / upside | 550.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / upside | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use upside_2027q3_wc_use | 2027Q3 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress upside_2027q3_cfo_uses | 2027Q3 / upside | 750.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cash_interest, upside_2027q3_cash_tax, upside_2027q3_wc_use, upside_2027q3_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / upside | 1,901.93 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex upside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 2,600.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex upside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / upside | -698.07 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend upside_2027q3_series_a_cash | 2027Q3 / upside | 135.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution upside_2027q3_nci_cash | 2027Q3 / upside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions upside_2027q3_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q3 / upside | 180.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_series_a_cash, upside_2027q3_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July upside_2027q3_share_growth | 2027Q3 / upside | 12.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash upside_2027q3_shares | 2027Q3 / upside | 2,512.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, upside_2027q3_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline upside_2027q3_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q3 / upside | 100.5% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(upside_2027q3_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration upside_2027q3_dividend_factor | 2027Q3 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends upside_2027q3_common_dividends | 2027Q3 / upside | 100.48 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, upside_2027q3_dividend_share_factor, upside_2027q3_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption upside_2027q3_preferred_redemption | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance upside_2027q3_debt_principal | 2027Q3 / upside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal upside_2027q3_claims | 2027Q3 / upside | 430.48 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_subsidiary_distributions, upside_2027q3_common_dividends, upside_2027q3_preferred_redemption, upside_2027q3_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal upside_2027q3_cash_after_claims | 2027Q3 / upside | -1,128.55 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q3_claims). |
| Standalone project export-cargo plan upside_2027q4_cargo_baseline | 2027Q4 / upside | 16,000.0% ratio | assumption: Desk combined project output; includes CP2 only in H2, not incremental double-counted shipments. |
| Cargo delivery factor upside_2027q4_volume_factor | 2027Q4 / upside | 108.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Exported cargos upside_2027q4_cargos | 2027Q4 / upside | 17,280.0% ratio | derived: No 2028-2030 expansions or China Gas contract volume. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_cargo_baseline, upside_2027q4_volume_factor). |
| Recognized LNG sales TBtu upside_2027q4_volume | 2027Q4 / upside | 63,504.0% ratio | derived: Includes recognition lag separately from exported cargo counts. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_cargos, cargo_size, sales_timing). |
| Recognized volume sold under post-COD SPAs upside_2027q4_spa_share | 2027Q4 / upside | 65.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Precontracted commissioning share upside_2027q4_commission_share | 2027Q4 / upside | 10.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| All recognized volume upside_2027q4_one | 2027Q4 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SPA plus precontracted commissioning share upside_2027q4_nonmerchant_share | 2027Q4 / upside | 75.0% ratio | derived: Mutually exclusive price buckets. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_spa_share, upside_2027q4_commission_share). |
| Remaining merchant volume share upside_2027q4_merchant_share | 2027Q4 / upside | 25.0% ratio | derived: No double-counted sales mix. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_one, upside_2027q4_nonmerchant_share). |
| spa fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q4_spa_fee | 2027Q4 / upside | 2.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| spa fee revenue upside_2027q4_spa_fees | 2027Q4 / upside | 1,031.94 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_volume, upside_2027q4_spa_share, upside_2027q4_spa_fee). |
| commission fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q4_commission_fee | 2027Q4 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| commission fee revenue upside_2027q4_commission_fees | 2027Q4 / upside | 444.53 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_volume, upside_2027q4_commission_share, upside_2027q4_commission_fee). |
| merchant fee revenue per TBtu upside_2027q4_merchant_fee | 2027Q4 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk normalized $M per TBtu, equivalent to $/MMBtu. SPA fee is not the reported 2026 contracted commissioning fee. |
| merchant fee revenue upside_2027q4_merchant_fees | 2027Q4 / upside | 1,905.12 USD_millions | derived: Recognized physical volume times its specific mix and fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_volume, upside_2027q4_merchant_share, upside_2027q4_merchant_fee). |
| LNG fee revenue upside_2027q4_fee_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 3,381.59 USD_millions | derived: Post-COD conversion can lower unit margin even as shipments grow. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_spa_fees, upside_2027q4_commission_fees, upside_2027q4_merchant_fees). |
| Operating cost/contribution budget upside_2027q4_cost_budget | 2027Q4 / upside | 725.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost execution stress upside_2027q4_cost_factor | 2027Q4 / upside | 98.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Operating costs net of other contribution upside_2027q4_cash_costs | 2027Q4 / upside | 710.50 USD_millions | derived: Desk consolidated residual covering operating, corporate and development costs after non-GAAP adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_cost_budget, upside_2027q4_cost_factor). |
| Feed-gas recovery per TBtu upside_2027q4_feed_gas | 2027Q4 / upside | 3.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk all-in pass-through recovery; same value added to cost, zero EBITDA effect. |
| Feed gas recovery revenue upside_2027q4_feed_gas_recovery | 2027Q4 / upside | 2,222.64 USD_millions | derived: Not the fixed liquefaction fee. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_volume, upside_2027q4_feed_gas). |
| Consolidated revenue proxy upside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 5,604.23 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated normalization; net other contribution sits in the cost calibration. Not a sum of intercompany segment sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_fee_revenue, upside_2027q4_feed_gas_recovery). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / upside | 2,671.09 USD_millions | derived: Feed-gas recovery and cost cancel; NCI included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_fee_revenue, upside_2027q4_cash_costs). |
| Depreciation and amortization upside_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / upside | 375.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Stock compensation upside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Other adjusted-EBITDA to operating-income deductions upside_2027q4_other_adjustments | 2027Q4 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allowance; no automatic derivative fair-value gain or financing gain repetition. |
| D&A equity expense and other deductions upside_2027q4_noncash_deductions | 2027Q4 / upside | 405.00 USD_millions | derived: All are already excluded from this EBITDA proxy. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_da, upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_other_adjustments). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / upside | 2,266.09 USD_millions | derived: Does not forecast financing gains, NCI allocation or common EPS. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_noncash_deductions). |
| Additional litigation cash stress upside_2027q4_legal_cash_stress | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Illustrative incremental cash shock; not a loss estimate, reserve, probability or cap on unresolved damages. Could occur outside this quarter. |
| Expensed cash interest net of cash yield upside_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / upside | 575.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash interest excluding construction interest included in cash capex; no derivative mark treated as cash. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / upside | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net working-capital and other operating cash use upside_2027q4_wc_use | 2027Q4 / upside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Expensed interest taxes working capital and legal cash stress upside_2027q4_cfo_uses | 2027Q4 / upside | 745.00 USD_millions | derived: No preferred or common distributions deducted inside CFO. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cash_interest, upside_2027q4_cash_tax, upside_2027q4_wc_use, upside_2027q4_legal_cash_stress). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / upside | 1,926.09 USD_millions | derived: Explicit cash-cost bridge; does not equal common distributable cash. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_cfo_uses). |
| Gross cash construction and other capex upside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 2,300.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk project spending including capitalized interest, deposits and shipping. No second deduction of capitalized interest. |
| CFO less cash capex upside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / upside | -373.91 USD_millions | derived: Before project financing and capital-holder distributions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| VGLNG Series A cash dividend upside_2027q4_series_a_cash | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Semiannual $135M payment assumption at 9% on outstanding Series A; declarations required. Distinct from redeemed CP Funding units. |
| Calcasieu non-controlling cash distribution upside_2027q4_nci_cash | 2027Q4 / upside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Subsidiary preferred and NCI distributions upside_2027q4_subsidiary_distributions | 2027Q4 / upside | 45.00 USD_millions | derived: Do not subtract NCI EBITDA from CFO again; only the distribution is a separate cash use. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_series_a_cash, upside_2027q4_nci_cash). |
| Additional common shares since July upside_2027q4_share_growth | 2027Q4 / upside | 15.00 shares_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Class A plus Class B shares for dividend cash upside_2027q4_shares | 2027Q4 / upside | 2,515.09 shares_millions | derived: Desk share progression, not diluted EPS shares. Formula: sum(common_shares, upside_2027q4_share_growth). |
| Shares relative to July baseline upside_2027q4_dividend_share_factor | 2027Q4 / upside | 100.6% ratio | derived: Normalize shares before multiplying aggregate dividend cash. Formula: divide(upside_2027q4_shares, common_shares). |
| Dividend rate relative to September declaration upside_2027q4_dividend_factor | 2027Q4 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Future board declaration required. Base repeats the $0.04/share rate; not a perpetual obligation. |
| Common cash dividends upside_2027q4_common_dividends | 2027Q4 / upside | 100.60 USD_millions | derived: Aggregate cash estimate, adjusted for explicit share progression. Formula: multiply(declared_common_cash, upside_2027q4_dividend_share_factor, upside_2027q4_dividend_factor). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption upside_2027q4_preferred_redemption | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: These specific units were fully redeemed by June; VGLNG Series A remains outstanding. |
| Existing-facility scheduled principal allowance upside_2027q4_debt_principal | 2027Q4 / upside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk repayment allowance, not a complete facility amortization/refinancing forecast. New September revolver draws and later repayment are excluded until specified. |
| Distributions redemption and principal upside_2027q4_claims | 2027Q4 / upside | 295.60 USD_millions | derived: Financing claims, separate from operating expense and cash capex. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_subsidiary_distributions, upside_2027q4_common_dividends, upside_2027q4_preferred_redemption, upside_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal upside_2027q4_cash_after_claims | 2027Q4 / upside | -669.52 USD_millions | derived: Before new borrowing and issuance fees; negative values indicate funding demand, not automatic insolvency. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_fcf, upside_2027q4_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / upside | 19,704.88 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / upside | 9,446.14 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / upside | 8,320.14 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / upside | 7,143.14 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash capex incl. capitalized interest ($M) upside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / upside | 13,800.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash capex ($M) upside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / upside | -6,656.86 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Subsidiary preferred/NCI distributions ($M) upside_fy2026_subsidiary_distributions | FY2026 / upside | 425.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_subsidiary_distributions, upside_2026q3_subsidiary_distributions, upside_2026q4_subsidiary_distributions). |
| Common cash dividends ($M) upside_fy2026_common_dividends | FY2026 / upside | 289.13 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_common_dividends, upside_2026q3_common_dividends, upside_2026q4_common_dividends). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption ($M) upside_fy2026_preferred_redemption | FY2026 / upside | 1,743.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_preferred_redemption, upside_2026q3_preferred_redemption, upside_2026q4_preferred_redemption). |
| Debt principal repayments ($M) upside_fy2026_debt_principal | FY2026 / upside | 4,243.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_debt_principal, upside_2026q3_debt_principal, upside_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_after_claims | FY2026 / upside | -13,356.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_claims, upside_2026q3_cash_after_claims, upside_2026q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / upside | 21,727.79 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue). |
| Consolidated adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / upside | 11,114.64 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / upside | 9,626.64 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / upside | 8,204.64 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash capex incl. capitalized interest ($M) upside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / upside | 11,100.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash capex ($M) upside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / upside | -2,895.36 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q4_fcf). |
| Subsidiary preferred/NCI distributions ($M) upside_fy2027_subsidiary_distributions | FY2027 / upside | 450.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_subsidiary_distributions, upside_2027q2_subsidiary_distributions, upside_2027q3_subsidiary_distributions, upside_2027q4_subsidiary_distributions). |
| Common cash dividends ($M) upside_fy2027_common_dividends | FY2027 / upside | 401.69 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_common_dividends, upside_2027q2_common_dividends, upside_2027q3_common_dividends, upside_2027q4_common_dividends). |
| CP Funding preferred redemption ($M) upside_fy2027_preferred_redemption | FY2027 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_preferred_redemption, upside_2027q2_preferred_redemption, upside_2027q3_preferred_redemption, upside_2027q4_preferred_redemption). |
| Debt principal repayments ($M) upside_fy2027_debt_principal | FY2027 / upside | 600.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_debt_principal, upside_2027q2_debt_principal, upside_2027q3_debt_principal, upside_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after distributions and principal ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_after_claims | FY2027 / upside | -4,347.06 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_claims, upside_2027q2_cash_after_claims, upside_2027q3_cash_after_claims, upside_2027q4_cash_after_claims). |
Model boundaries
- Guidance is consolidated adjusted EBITDA, including non-controlling interests, not free cash or common earnings. The 2026 calibrated residual combines operating costs and other contribution; it is not a disclosed segment margin.
- One TBtu equals one million MMBtu. A $1/MMBtu fee therefore produces $1M per TBtu sold. Cargo count, cargo size and recognized sales timing remain separate. Exported cargos are not identical to sales recognized.
- The $5.05/MMBtu contracted 2026 fee is not a disclosed perpetual post-COD SPA fee. FY2027 SPA, commissioning and merchant fees are explicit desk assumptions. Feed-gas recovery is modeled as a neutral pass-through, not LNG profit.
- Plaquemines Phase 1 targets Q4 2026 COD and Phase 2 mid-2027; CP2 first LNG targets H2 2027. Timing, output, sales mix and construction spend can move together. Expansion volumes targeting 2028/2029 and China Gas deliveries starting 2030 are outside this horizon.
- Cash PP&E includes capitalized interest and deposits. Forecast expensed cash interest excludes interest capitalized in capex; the model does not subtract the same construction interest twice.
- Forecast cash after claims is before new borrowing, debt issuance fees, acquisitions and changes in restricted reserves. No complete debt/covenant or distributable-parent-cash waterfall is supplied; project restrictions can trap cash.
- The September $3B revolver is a commitment maturing September 1, 2027, not $3B cash already received. No assumed draw is added to CFO or unrestricted cash, and its repayment would need a separate financing schedule if drawn.
- Legal damages remain unresolved. The downside includes an editable $500M cash stress in Q4 2027, not a probability-weighted loss estimate, accounting reserve or worst-case cap; other cases omit incremental stress rather than imply no liability. No EPS or valuation forecast.
From commissioning cargo margins to financed commercial operations
How much LNG fee contribution survives the transition to commercial contracts and the next construction cycle?
H1 revenue was $9.177B, consolidated adjusted EBITDA $3.863B and CFO $2.835B, versus $6.900B cash capex. Consolidated net income of $2.042B differs from $1.835B attributable to common holders. H1 distributions included $135M VGLNG Series A dividends and $75M other NCI cash; $1.743B separately redeemed CP Funding preferred units. Debt principal was $42.386B at June, unrestricted cash $3.120B and restricted cash $1.470B. Annual adjusted EBITDA guidance rose to $8.7B-$9.1B, including NCI, on 500-518 exported cargos. The disclosed $5.05/MMBtu fee for contracted 2026 cargos differs from assumed $12.50-$13.50 on unsold cargos and from total LNG selling price. A $1 fee change on unsold cargos moves annual EBITDA $180M-$210M. Q2 exported volume of 478.3 TBtu also differs from 466.4 TBtu sold. Plaquemines Phase 1 COD targets Q4 2026, Phase 2 mid-2027, and CP2 first LNG H2 2027. September $3B revolving capacity matures in one year; it is not cash received. September China Gas 0.5MTPA starts in 2030 and contributes nothing to this horizon.
The competing explanation
Exceptional commissioning spreads can fade as commercial SPAs start. More LNG production may then generate less fee profit per unit while CP2 and expansions continue consuming cash. Project cash restrictions and preferred/minority distributions separate consolidated results from public-common access to cash.
Risks to track
- Merchant LNG fees and sales-recognition timing can change quickly.
- Construction, testing, remediation and COD dates affect volume and fee mix.
- Project debt, short-dated revolving capacity and covenants can restrict distributions.
- Capitalized interest is a real cash cost even when absent from current interest expense.
- BP damages hearing is scheduled for May 2027; its $3.7B to potentially over $6B claim is unresolved, not a modeled liability estimate. Other customer disputes also remain.
- Storms, plant outages, shipping and regulatory approvals affect delivery.
- Preferred and NCI claims plus both common share classes must be included before common economics are inferred.
Next checkpoints
- Commercial conversion · Q4 2026 and mid-2027 company targets (estimated). Track Plaquemines COD and the actual fee mix, not only cargo counts.
- CP2 and construction funding · Each quarterly filing; first LNG target H2 2027 (estimated). Compare cash construction, capitalized interest, draws and restricted reserves.
- Capital and litigation · September 2027 revolver maturity; May 2027 damages hearing (estimated). Review any draw/repayment plan and actual legal outcomes before updating the cash stress.
Data coverage and open work
- Guidance is consolidated adjusted EBITDA, including non-controlling interests, not free cash or common earnings. The 2026 calibrated residual combines operating costs and other contribution; it is not a disclosed segment margin.
- One TBtu equals one million MMBtu. A $1/MMBtu fee therefore produces $1M per TBtu sold. Cargo count, cargo size and recognized sales timing remain separate. Exported cargos are not identical to sales recognized.
- The $5.05/MMBtu contracted 2026 fee is not a disclosed perpetual post-COD SPA fee. FY2027 SPA, commissioning and merchant fees are explicit desk assumptions. Feed-gas recovery is modeled as a neutral pass-through, not LNG profit.
- Plaquemines Phase 1 targets Q4 2026 COD and Phase 2 mid-2027; CP2 first LNG targets H2 2027. Timing, output, sales mix and construction spend can move together. Expansion volumes targeting 2028/2029 and China Gas deliveries starting 2030 are outside this horizon.
- Cash PP&E includes capitalized interest and deposits. Forecast expensed cash interest excludes interest capitalized in capex; the model does not subtract the same construction interest twice.
- Forecast cash after claims is before new borrowing, debt issuance fees, acquisitions and changes in restricted reserves. No complete debt/covenant or distributable-parent-cash waterfall is supplied; project restrictions can trap cash.
- The September $3B revolver is a commitment maturing September 1, 2027, not $3B cash already received. No assumed draw is added to CFO or unrestricted cash, and its repayment would need a separate financing schedule if drawn.
- Legal damages remain unresolved. The downside includes an editable $500M cash stress in Q4 2027, not a probability-weighted loss estimate, accounting reserve or worst-case cap; other cases omit incremental stress rather than imply no liability. No EPS or valuation forecast.
What the memory says
State as of the 2026-09-18 close: in a 120-day downtrend, above its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, ordinary volume, closed weak, and peers quiet
| Vs the market, in points | Low | Middle | High | Share up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | -1.9 | +0.0 | +1.7 | 50% |
| 5 sessions | -4.5 | +0.4 | +5.6 | 56% |
| 10 sessions | -6.9 | +0.5 | +7.4 | 56% |
Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side.