$U
Business
Unity sells development software through Create and advertising/monetization services through Grow. Strategic advertising execution and creator subscriptions now drive the forward business after the April ironSource Ads sunset and August Supersonic sale. Publisher payments, equity compensation and convertible maturities affect the cash retained from that growth.
Three drivers
- Strategic Grow advertising performance and publisher economics
- Create subscription adoption after the portfolio reset
- Cash conversion, stock compensation and note settlement
Thesis
Our view
The current operating question is whether strategic growth can offset the removed businesses while expanding cash earnings. Q3 strategic revenue guidance is $540M-$550M, versus $486.4M in Q2. Strong EBITDA is relevant, but GAAP costs, publisher-payable timing and two note maturities must remain visible.
What changes it
Track strategic revenue separately from discontinued streams; compare reported cash conversion with publisher-payable movements, compensation expense and debt settlement choices.
Scenario ranges
Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.
Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)
| Fiscal quarter | 2024Q3 2024-09-30 | 2024Q4 2024-12-31 | 2025Q1 2025-03-31 | 2025Q2 2025-06-30 | 2025Q3 2025-09-30 | 2025Q4 2025-12-31 | 2026Q1 2026-03-31 | 2026Q2 2026-06-30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($M) | 446.51 | 457.1†2 | 435.03 | 440.94 | 470.61 | 503.1†2 | 508.23 | 546.54 |
| Gross profit ($M) | 334.55 | 341.6†6 | 321.07 | 326.78 | 350.35 | 373.9†6 | 156.67 | 434.88 |
| Operating income ($M) | -127.19 | -123.7†10 | -127.911 | -118.812 | -125.99 | -106.5†10 | -351.411 | -32.212 |
| Net income ($M) | -124.713 | -122.7†14 | -77.615 | -108.816 | -126.413 | -90.0†14 | -347.615 | -23.616 |
| EPS, diluted ($) | -0.3117 | — | -0.1918 | -0.2619 | -0.3017 | — | -0.8018 | -0.0519 |
| Diluted shares (M) | 398.820 | — | 411.921 | 417.622 | 424.320 | — | 434.321 | 437.922 |
| Cash ($M) | 1,405.323 | 1,517.724 | 1,541.225 | 1,691.026 | 1,898.627 | 2,055.828 | 2,140.929 | 2,352.028 |
| Long-term debt ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cash from operations ($M) | 122.4†30 | 112.2†31 | 13.032 | 133.1†33 | 155.4†30 | 121.4†31 | 71.332 | 205.6†33 |
| Capex ($M) | 7.2†34 | 6.4†35 | 5.736 | 6.4†37 | 4.1†34 | 2.8†35 | 4.836 | 3.7†37 |
| Free cash flow ($M) | 115.2†38 | 105.8†39 | 7.3†40 | 126.7†41 | 151.3†38 | 118.7†39 | 66.5†40 | 202.0†41 |
Estimates · base scenario
| Period | Revenue ($M) | EPS ($) | As of | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 565.0 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2026Q4 | 589.0 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q1 | 569.0 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q2 | 609.0 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
Strategic advertising growth after the portfolio reset
Separate strategic Grow, strategic Create and divested/sunset non-strategic revenue. Q3 base combines $382.5M Grow and $162.5M Create, both within the component ranges, to match the $545M strategic midpoint; independent range midpoints do not add exactly. $20M non-strategic revenue is added once. Adjusted gross profit less cash operating expense gives EBITDA, followed by explicit ordinary equity compensation, amortization, depreciation and restructuring bridges to GAAP operating earnings. Cash conversion includes net cash interest, taxes, restructuring and working capital; disposal proceeds and note principal sit below free cash flow.
Reported anchors and guidance
| Measure | Period | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| q2 grow | June 2026 | 328.95 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| q2 create | June 2026 | 157.46 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| q2 non strategic | June 2026 | 60.06 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| Q3 strategic revenue midpoint | 2026Q3 | 545.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| Q3 adjusted EBITDA midpoint | 2026Q3 | 187.50 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| H1 operating income | H1 2026 | -383.63 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 cfo | H1 2026 | 276.91 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 CFO less PP&E | H1 2026 | 268.42 | derived. Gross PP&E cash purchases. |
| q2 publisher inflow | June 2026 | 63.11 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| cash | June 2026 | 2,351.99 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| publisher payables | June 2026 | 440.67 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| china redeemable interest | June 2026 | 266.73 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| notes 2026 | June 2026 | 557.72 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| notes 2027 | June 2026 | 1,000.00 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| notes 2030 | June 2026 | 690.00 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| Supersonic disposal consideration | August 4, 2026 | 40.00 | reported. Cash purchase price subject to customary post-closing adjustments, not sales. Source · 2026-08-06 |
Downside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | CFO less cash PP&E ($M) | Cash PP&E ($M) | Consolidated revenue ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) | Business disposal proceeds ($M) | Convertible cash settlement ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after disposal and note settlement ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 98.83 | 92.83 | 6.00 | 543.00 | 154.83 | 424.83 | 40.00 | 0.00 | -21.17 | 132.83 |
| 2026Q4 | 142.35 | 136.35 | 6.00 | 535.00 | 138.35 | 418.05 | 0.00 | 557.72 | -35.65 | -421.37 |
| 2027Q1 | 43.00 | 35.00 | 8.00 | 500.00 | 107.00 | 390.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.00 | 35.00 |
| 2027Q2 | 77.34 | 69.34 | 8.00 | 514.00 | 111.34 | 401.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -58.66 | 69.34 |
| FY2026 | 518.09 | 497.60 | 20.49 | 2,132.71 | 591.65 | 1,434.24 | 40.00 | 557.72 | -440.45 | -20.13 |
| FY2027 | 344.01 | 312.01 | 32.00 | 2,121.00 | 485.01 | 1,659.81 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | -200.99 | -687.99 |
Base scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | CFO less cash PP&E ($M) | Cash PP&E ($M) | Consolidated revenue ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) | Business disposal proceeds ($M) | Convertible cash settlement ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after disposal and note settlement ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 152.50 | 146.50 | 6.00 | 565.00 | 187.50 | 459.60 | 40.00 | 0.00 | 11.50 | 186.50 |
| 2026Q4 | 202.76 | 196.76 | 6.00 | 589.00 | 192.76 | 479.46 | 0.00 | 557.72 | 18.76 | -360.96 |
| 2027Q1 | 119.96 | 111.96 | 8.00 | 569.00 | 167.96 | 463.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 | 111.96 |
| 2027Q2 | 166.56 | 158.56 | 8.00 | 609.00 | 189.56 | 497.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.56 | 158.56 |
| FY2026 | 632.17 | 611.68 | 20.49 | 2,208.71 | 678.73 | 1,530.42 | 40.00 | 557.72 | -353.37 | 93.95 |
| FY2027 | 728.80 | 696.80 | 32.00 | 2,545.00 | 820.80 | 2,079.60 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 134.80 | -303.20 |
Upside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | CFO less cash PP&E ($M) | Cash PP&E ($M) | Consolidated revenue ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) | Business disposal proceeds ($M) | Convertible cash settlement ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after disposal and note settlement ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 164.80 | 158.80 | 6.00 | 580.00 | 204.80 | 483.80 | 40.00 | 0.00 | 28.80 | 198.80 |
| 2026Q4 | 227.22 | 221.22 | 6.00 | 627.00 | 222.22 | 523.92 | 0.00 | 557.72 | 48.22 | -336.50 |
| 2027Q1 | 154.50 | 146.50 | 8.00 | 625.00 | 207.50 | 523.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.50 | 146.50 |
| 2027Q2 | 215.40 | 207.40 | 8.00 | 690.00 | 243.40 | 579.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.40 | 207.40 |
| FY2026 | 668.93 | 648.44 | 20.49 | 2,261.71 | 725.49 | 1,599.08 | 40.00 | 557.72 | -306.61 | 130.71 |
| FY2027 | 963.70 | 931.70 | 32.00 | 2,945.00 | 1,075.70 | 2,474.50 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 389.70 | -68.30 |
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
| Input / calculation | Period / case | Value / unit | Evidence or assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| H1 revenue h1_revenue | H1 2026 / shared | 1,054.71 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 gross profit h1_gross_profit | H1 2026 / shared | 591.36 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 operating income h1_operating_income | H1 2026 / shared | -383.63 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 adj ebitda h1_adj_ebitda | H1 2026 / shared | 298.47 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 cfo h1_cfo | H1 2026 / shared | 276.91 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 capex h1_capex | H1 2026 / shared | 8.49 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 disposal cash h1_disposal_cash | H1 2026 / shared | 0.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 debt principal h1_debt_principal | H1 2026 / shared | 0.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 sbc total h1_sbc_total | H1 2026 / shared | 157.11 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 sbc ordinary h1_sbc_ordinary | H1 2026 / shared | 152.44 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 da h1_da | H1 2026 / shared | 212.73 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 publisher cash inflow h1_publisher_cash_inflow | H1 2026 / shared | 24.63 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 CFO less PP&E h1_fcf | H1 2026 / shared | 268.42 USD_millions | derived: Gross PP&E cash purchases. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_capex). |
| H1 cash after disposal h1_after_disposal | H1 2026 / shared | 268.42 USD_millions | derived: No H1 Supersonic disposal cash. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, h1_disposal_cash). |
| H1 cash after note principal h1_cash_after_claims | H1 2026 / shared | 268.42 USD_millions | derived: No H1 principal repayment. Formula: subtract(h1_after_disposal, h1_debt_principal). |
| q2 grow q2_grow | June 2026 / shared | 328.95 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| q2 create q2_create | June 2026 / shared | 157.46 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| q2 non strategic q2_non_strategic | June 2026 / shared | 60.06 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| q2 adj ebitda q2_adj_ebitda | June 2026 / shared | 160.19 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| q2 cfo q2_cfo | June 2026 / shared | 205.62 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| q2 publisher inflow q2_publisher_inflow | June 2026 / shared | 63.11 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| cash cash | June 2026 / shared | 2,351.99 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| restricted cash restricted_cash | June 2026 / shared | 5.13 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| publisher payables publisher_payables | June 2026 / shared | 440.67 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| china redeemable interest china_redeemable_interest | June 2026 / shared | 266.73 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| notes 2026 notes_2026 | June 2026 / shared | 557.72 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| notes 2027 notes_2027 | June 2026 / shared | 1,000.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| notes 2030 notes_2030 | June 2026 / shared | 690.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Supersonic disposal consideration supersonic_proceeds | August 4, 2026 / shared | 40.00 USD_millions | reported: Cash purchase price subject to customary post-closing adjustments, not sales. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Q3 strategic revenue low q3_strategic_low | 2026Q3 / shared | 540.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Q3 strategic revenue high q3_strategic_high | 2026Q3 / shared | 550.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Midpoint divisor two | Model / shared | 200.0% ratio | assumption: Arithmetic constant. |
| Q3 strategic revenue endpoint sum q3_strategic_sum | 2026Q3 / shared | 1,090.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q3_strategic_low, q3_strategic_high). |
| Q3 strategic revenue midpoint q3_strategic | 2026Q3 / shared | 545.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q3_strategic_sum, two). |
| Q3 adjusted EBITDA low q3_ebitda_low | 2026Q3 / shared | 185.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Q3 adjusted EBITDA high q3_ebitda_high | 2026Q3 / shared | 190.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Q3 adjusted EBITDA endpoint sum q3_ebitda_sum | 2026Q3 / shared | 375.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q3_ebitda_low, q3_ebitda_high). |
| Q3 adjusted EBITDA midpoint q3_ebitda | 2026Q3 / shared | 187.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q3_ebitda_sum, two). |
| Strategic Grow revenue downside_2026q3_grow | 2026Q3 / downside | 365.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue downside_2026q3_create | 2026Q3 / downside | 158.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue downside_2026q3_non_strategic | 2026Q3 / downside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 543.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_grow, downside_2026q3_create, downside_2026q3_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin downside_2026q3_adj_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | 81.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit downside_2026q3_adj_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / downside | 439.83 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q3_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC downside_2026q3_cogs_sbc | 2026Q3 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization downside_2026q3_cogs_amort | 2026Q3 / downside | 6.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation downside_2026q3_cogs_depr | 2026Q3 / downside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments downside_2026q3_cogs_adjustments | 2026Q3 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_cogs_sbc, downside_2026q3_cogs_amort, downside_2026q3_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / downside | 424.83 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adj_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring downside_2026q3_cash_opex | 2026Q3 / downside | 285.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / downside | 154.83 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adj_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost downside_2026q3_cash_restructuring | 2026Q3 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance downside_2026q3_ordinary_sbc | 2026Q3 / downside | 88.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization downside_2026q3_amortization | 2026Q3 / downside | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation downside_2026q3_depreciation | 2026Q3 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring downside_2026q3_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q3 / downside | 176.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_ordinary_sbc, downside_2026q3_amortization, downside_2026q3_depreciation, downside_2026q3_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / downside | -21.17 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income downside_2026q3_net_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / downside | -15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes downside_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use downside_2026q3_wc_use | 2026Q3 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments downside_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / downside | 56.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_net_cash_interest, downside_2026q3_cash_tax, downside_2026q3_wc_use, downside_2026q3_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / downside | 98.83 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E downside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E downside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / downside | 92.83 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation downside_2026q3_sale_weight | 2026Q3 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash downside_2026q3_disposal_cash | 2026Q3 / downside | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, downside_2026q3_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter downside_2026q3_repay_2026_weight | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement downside_2026q3_repay_2026 | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, downside_2026q3_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter downside_2026q3_repay_2027_weight | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement downside_2026q3_repay_2027 | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, downside_2026q3_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement downside_2026q3_debt_principal | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_repay_2026, downside_2026q3_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash downside_2026q3_cash_with_disposal | 2026Q3 / downside | 132.83 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q3_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement downside_2026q3_cash_after_claims | 2026Q3 / downside | 132.83 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cash_with_disposal, downside_2026q3_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue downside_2026q4_grow | 2026Q4 / downside | 375.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue downside_2026q4_create | 2026Q4 / downside | 160.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue downside_2026q4_non_strategic | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 535.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_grow, downside_2026q4_create, downside_2026q4_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin downside_2026q4_adj_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 81.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit downside_2026q4_adj_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | 433.35 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_revenue, downside_2026q4_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC downside_2026q4_cogs_sbc | 2026Q4 / downside | 7.30 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization downside_2026q4_cogs_amort | 2026Q4 / downside | 6.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation downside_2026q4_cogs_depr | 2026Q4 / downside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments downside_2026q4_cogs_adjustments | 2026Q4 / downside | 15.30 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cogs_sbc, downside_2026q4_cogs_amort, downside_2026q4_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | 418.05 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adj_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring downside_2026q4_cash_opex | 2026Q4 / downside | 295.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / downside | 138.35 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adj_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost downside_2026q4_cash_restructuring | 2026Q4 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance downside_2026q4_ordinary_sbc | 2026Q4 / downside | 91.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization downside_2026q4_amortization | 2026Q4 / downside | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation downside_2026q4_depreciation | 2026Q4 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring downside_2026q4_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q4 / downside | 174.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_ordinary_sbc, downside_2026q4_amortization, downside_2026q4_depreciation, downside_2026q4_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / downside | -35.65 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income downside_2026q4_net_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / downside | -15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes downside_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use downside_2026q4_wc_use | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments downside_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / downside | -4.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_net_cash_interest, downside_2026q4_cash_tax, downside_2026q4_wc_use, downside_2026q4_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / downside | 142.35 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E downside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E downside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / downside | 136.35 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation downside_2026q4_sale_weight | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash downside_2026q4_disposal_cash | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, downside_2026q4_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter downside_2026q4_repay_2026_weight | 2026Q4 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement downside_2026q4_repay_2026 | 2026Q4 / downside | 557.72 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, downside_2026q4_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter downside_2026q4_repay_2027_weight | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement downside_2026q4_repay_2027 | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, downside_2026q4_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement downside_2026q4_debt_principal | 2026Q4 / downside | 557.72 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_repay_2026, downside_2026q4_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash downside_2026q4_cash_with_disposal | 2026Q4 / downside | 136.35 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_fcf, downside_2026q4_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement downside_2026q4_cash_after_claims | 2026Q4 / downside | -421.37 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cash_with_disposal, downside_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue downside_2027q1_grow | 2027Q1 / downside | 340.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue downside_2027q1_create | 2027Q1 / downside | 160.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue downside_2027q1_non_strategic | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 500.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_grow, downside_2027q1_create, downside_2027q1_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin downside_2027q1_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 81.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit downside_2027q1_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | 405.00 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q1_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC downside_2027q1_cogs_sbc | 2027Q1 / downside | 7.60 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization downside_2027q1_cogs_amort | 2027Q1 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation downside_2027q1_cogs_depr | 2027Q1 / downside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments downside_2027q1_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q1 / downside | 14.10 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cogs_sbc, downside_2027q1_cogs_amort, downside_2027q1_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | 390.90 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adj_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring downside_2027q1_cash_opex | 2027Q1 / downside | 298.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / downside | 107.00 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adj_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost downside_2027q1_cash_restructuring | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance downside_2027q1_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q1 / downside | 94.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization downside_2027q1_amortization | 2027Q1 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation downside_2027q1_depreciation | 2027Q1 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring downside_2027q1_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q1 / downside | 167.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_ordinary_sbc, downside_2027q1_amortization, downside_2027q1_depreciation, downside_2027q1_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / downside | -60.00 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q1_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income downside_2027q1_net_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / downside | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use downside_2027q1_wc_use | 2027Q1 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments downside_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / downside | 64.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_net_cash_interest, downside_2027q1_cash_tax, downside_2027q1_wc_use, downside_2027q1_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / downside | 43.00 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E downside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E downside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation downside_2027q1_sale_weight | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash downside_2027q1_disposal_cash | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, downside_2027q1_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter downside_2027q1_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement downside_2027q1_repay_2026 | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, downside_2027q1_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter downside_2027q1_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement downside_2027q1_repay_2027 | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, downside_2027q1_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement downside_2027q1_debt_principal | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_repay_2026, downside_2027q1_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash downside_2027q1_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q1 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q1_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement downside_2027q1_cash_after_claims | 2027Q1 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_with_disposal, downside_2027q1_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue downside_2027q2_grow | 2027Q2 / downside | 350.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue downside_2027q2_create | 2027Q2 / downside | 164.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue downside_2027q2_non_strategic | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 514.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_grow, downside_2027q2_create, downside_2027q2_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin downside_2027q2_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 81.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit downside_2027q2_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | 416.34 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC downside_2027q2_cogs_sbc | 2027Q2 / downside | 7.90 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization downside_2027q2_cogs_amort | 2027Q2 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation downside_2027q2_cogs_depr | 2027Q2 / downside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments downside_2027q2_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q2 / downside | 14.40 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cogs_sbc, downside_2027q2_cogs_amort, downside_2027q2_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | 401.94 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adj_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring downside_2027q2_cash_opex | 2027Q2 / downside | 305.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / downside | 111.34 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adj_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost downside_2027q2_cash_restructuring | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance downside_2027q2_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q2 / downside | 97.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization downside_2027q2_amortization | 2027Q2 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation downside_2027q2_depreciation | 2027Q2 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring downside_2027q2_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q2 / downside | 170.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_ordinary_sbc, downside_2027q2_amortization, downside_2027q2_depreciation, downside_2027q2_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / downside | -58.66 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income downside_2027q2_net_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / downside | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use downside_2027q2_wc_use | 2027Q2 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments downside_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / downside | 34.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_net_cash_interest, downside_2027q2_cash_tax, downside_2027q2_wc_use, downside_2027q2_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / downside | 77.34 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E downside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E downside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / downside | 69.34 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation downside_2027q2_sale_weight | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash downside_2027q2_disposal_cash | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, downside_2027q2_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter downside_2027q2_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement downside_2027q2_repay_2026 | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, downside_2027q2_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter downside_2027q2_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement downside_2027q2_repay_2027 | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, downside_2027q2_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement downside_2027q2_debt_principal | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_repay_2026, downside_2027q2_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash downside_2027q2_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q2 / downside | 69.34 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q2_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement downside_2027q2_cash_after_claims | 2027Q2 / downside | 69.34 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_with_disposal, downside_2027q2_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue downside_2027q3_grow | 2027Q3 / downside | 370.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue downside_2027q3_create | 2027Q3 / downside | 168.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue downside_2027q3_non_strategic | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 538.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_grow, downside_2027q3_create, downside_2027q3_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin downside_2027q3_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 81.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit downside_2027q3_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | 435.78 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q3_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC downside_2027q3_cogs_sbc | 2027Q3 / downside | 8.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization downside_2027q3_cogs_amort | 2027Q3 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation downside_2027q3_cogs_depr | 2027Q3 / downside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments downside_2027q3_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q3 / downside | 14.70 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cogs_sbc, downside_2027q3_cogs_amort, downside_2027q3_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | 421.08 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adj_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring downside_2027q3_cash_opex | 2027Q3 / downside | 310.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / downside | 125.78 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adj_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost downside_2027q3_cash_restructuring | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance downside_2027q3_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q3 / downside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization downside_2027q3_amortization | 2027Q3 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation downside_2027q3_depreciation | 2027Q3 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring downside_2027q3_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q3 / downside | 173.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_ordinary_sbc, downside_2027q3_amortization, downside_2027q3_depreciation, downside_2027q3_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / downside | -47.22 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income downside_2027q3_net_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / downside | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use downside_2027q3_wc_use | 2027Q3 / downside | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments downside_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / downside | 29.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_net_cash_interest, downside_2027q3_cash_tax, downside_2027q3_wc_use, downside_2027q3_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / downside | 96.78 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E downside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E downside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / downside | 88.78 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation downside_2027q3_sale_weight | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash downside_2027q3_disposal_cash | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, downside_2027q3_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter downside_2027q3_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement downside_2027q3_repay_2026 | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, downside_2027q3_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter downside_2027q3_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement downside_2027q3_repay_2027 | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, downside_2027q3_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement downside_2027q3_debt_principal | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_repay_2026, downside_2027q3_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash downside_2027q3_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q3 / downside | 88.78 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q3_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement downside_2027q3_cash_after_claims | 2027Q3 / downside | 88.78 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_with_disposal, downside_2027q3_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue downside_2027q4_grow | 2027Q4 / downside | 395.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue downside_2027q4_create | 2027Q4 / downside | 174.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue downside_2027q4_non_strategic | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 569.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_grow, downside_2027q4_create, downside_2027q4_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin downside_2027q4_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 81.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit downside_2027q4_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | 460.89 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_revenue, downside_2027q4_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC downside_2027q4_cogs_sbc | 2027Q4 / downside | 8.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization downside_2027q4_cogs_amort | 2027Q4 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation downside_2027q4_cogs_depr | 2027Q4 / downside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments downside_2027q4_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q4 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cogs_sbc, downside_2027q4_cogs_amort, downside_2027q4_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | 445.89 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adj_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring downside_2027q4_cash_opex | 2027Q4 / downside | 320.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / downside | 140.89 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adj_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost downside_2027q4_cash_restructuring | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance downside_2027q4_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q4 / downside | 103.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization downside_2027q4_amortization | 2027Q4 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation downside_2027q4_depreciation | 2027Q4 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring downside_2027q4_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q4 / downside | 176.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_ordinary_sbc, downside_2027q4_amortization, downside_2027q4_depreciation, downside_2027q4_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / downside | -35.11 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income downside_2027q4_net_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / downside | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use downside_2027q4_wc_use | 2027Q4 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments downside_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / downside | 14.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_net_cash_interest, downside_2027q4_cash_tax, downside_2027q4_wc_use, downside_2027q4_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / downside | 126.89 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E downside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E downside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / downside | 118.89 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation downside_2027q4_sale_weight | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash downside_2027q4_disposal_cash | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, downside_2027q4_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter downside_2027q4_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement downside_2027q4_repay_2026 | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, downside_2027q4_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter downside_2027q4_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q4 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement downside_2027q4_repay_2027 | 2027Q4 / downside | 1,000.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, downside_2027q4_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement downside_2027q4_debt_principal | 2027Q4 / downside | 1,000.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_repay_2026, downside_2027q4_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash downside_2027q4_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q4 / downside | 118.89 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_fcf, downside_2027q4_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement downside_2027q4_cash_after_claims | 2027Q4 / downside | -881.11 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_with_disposal, downside_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / downside | 2,132.71 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / downside | 1,434.24 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / downside | -440.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / downside | 591.65 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / downside | 518.09 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Cash PP&E ($M) downside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / downside | 20.49 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash PP&E ($M) downside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / downside | 497.60 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Business disposal proceeds ($M) downside_fy2026_disposal_cash | FY2026 / downside | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_disposal_cash, downside_2026q3_disposal_cash, downside_2026q4_disposal_cash). |
| Convertible cash settlement ($M) downside_fy2026_debt_principal | FY2026 / downside | 557.72 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_debt_principal, downside_2026q3_debt_principal, downside_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_after_claims | FY2026 / downside | -20.13 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_claims, downside_2026q3_cash_after_claims, downside_2026q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / downside | 2,121.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / downside | 1,659.81 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / downside | -200.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / downside | 485.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / downside | 344.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Cash PP&E ($M) downside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / downside | 32.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash PP&E ($M) downside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / downside | 312.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q4_fcf). |
| Business disposal proceeds ($M) downside_fy2027_disposal_cash | FY2027 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_disposal_cash, downside_2027q2_disposal_cash, downside_2027q3_disposal_cash, downside_2027q4_disposal_cash). |
| Convertible cash settlement ($M) downside_fy2027_debt_principal | FY2027 / downside | 1,000.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_debt_principal, downside_2027q2_debt_principal, downside_2027q3_debt_principal, downside_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_after_claims | FY2027 / downside | -687.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_claims, downside_2027q2_cash_after_claims, downside_2027q3_cash_after_claims, downside_2027q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Strategic Grow revenue base_2026q3_grow | 2026Q3 / base | 382.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue base_2026q3_create | 2026Q3 / base | 162.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue base_2026q3_non_strategic | 2026Q3 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 565.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_grow, base_2026q3_create, base_2026q3_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin base_2026q3_adj_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / base | 84.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit base_2026q3_adj_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / base | 474.60 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q3_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC base_2026q3_cogs_sbc | 2026Q3 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization base_2026q3_cogs_amort | 2026Q3 / base | 6.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation base_2026q3_cogs_depr | 2026Q3 / base | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments base_2026q3_cogs_adjustments | 2026Q3 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_cogs_sbc, base_2026q3_cogs_amort, base_2026q3_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / base | 459.60 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adj_gross_profit, base_2026q3_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring base_2026q3_cash_opex | 2026Q3 / base | 287.10 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / base | 187.50 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adj_gross_profit, base_2026q3_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost base_2026q3_cash_restructuring | 2026Q3 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance base_2026q3_ordinary_sbc | 2026Q3 / base | 88.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization base_2026q3_amortization | 2026Q3 / base | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation base_2026q3_depreciation | 2026Q3 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring base_2026q3_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q3 / base | 176.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_ordinary_sbc, base_2026q3_amortization, base_2026q3_depreciation, base_2026q3_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / base | 11.50 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income base_2026q3_net_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / base | -15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes base_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use base_2026q3_wc_use | 2026Q3 / base | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments base_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / base | 35.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_net_cash_interest, base_2026q3_cash_tax, base_2026q3_wc_use, base_2026q3_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / base | 152.50 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E base_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E base_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / base | 146.50 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation base_2026q3_sale_weight | 2026Q3 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash base_2026q3_disposal_cash | 2026Q3 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, base_2026q3_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter base_2026q3_repay_2026_weight | 2026Q3 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement base_2026q3_repay_2026 | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, base_2026q3_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter base_2026q3_repay_2027_weight | 2026Q3 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement base_2026q3_repay_2027 | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, base_2026q3_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement base_2026q3_debt_principal | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_repay_2026, base_2026q3_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash base_2026q3_cash_with_disposal | 2026Q3 / base | 186.50 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q3_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement base_2026q3_cash_after_claims | 2026Q3 / base | 186.50 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cash_with_disposal, base_2026q3_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue base_2026q4_grow | 2026Q4 / base | 420.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue base_2026q4_create | 2026Q4 / base | 169.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue base_2026q4_non_strategic | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 589.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_grow, base_2026q4_create, base_2026q4_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin base_2026q4_adj_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 84.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit base_2026q4_adj_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 494.76 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_revenue, base_2026q4_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC base_2026q4_cogs_sbc | 2026Q4 / base | 7.30 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization base_2026q4_cogs_amort | 2026Q4 / base | 6.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation base_2026q4_cogs_depr | 2026Q4 / base | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments base_2026q4_cogs_adjustments | 2026Q4 / base | 15.30 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cogs_sbc, base_2026q4_cogs_amort, base_2026q4_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 479.46 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adj_gross_profit, base_2026q4_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring base_2026q4_cash_opex | 2026Q4 / base | 302.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / base | 192.76 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adj_gross_profit, base_2026q4_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost base_2026q4_cash_restructuring | 2026Q4 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance base_2026q4_ordinary_sbc | 2026Q4 / base | 91.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization base_2026q4_amortization | 2026Q4 / base | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation base_2026q4_depreciation | 2026Q4 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring base_2026q4_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q4 / base | 174.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_ordinary_sbc, base_2026q4_amortization, base_2026q4_depreciation, base_2026q4_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / base | 18.76 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income base_2026q4_net_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / base | -15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes base_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use base_2026q4_wc_use | 2026Q4 / base | -10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments base_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / base | -10.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_net_cash_interest, base_2026q4_cash_tax, base_2026q4_wc_use, base_2026q4_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / base | 202.76 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E base_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E base_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / base | 196.76 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation base_2026q4_sale_weight | 2026Q4 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash base_2026q4_disposal_cash | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, base_2026q4_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter base_2026q4_repay_2026_weight | 2026Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement base_2026q4_repay_2026 | 2026Q4 / base | 557.72 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, base_2026q4_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter base_2026q4_repay_2027_weight | 2026Q4 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement base_2026q4_repay_2027 | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, base_2026q4_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement base_2026q4_debt_principal | 2026Q4 / base | 557.72 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_repay_2026, base_2026q4_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash base_2026q4_cash_with_disposal | 2026Q4 / base | 196.76 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_fcf, base_2026q4_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement base_2026q4_cash_after_claims | 2026Q4 / base | -360.96 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cash_with_disposal, base_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue base_2027q1_grow | 2027Q1 / base | 400.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue base_2027q1_create | 2027Q1 / base | 169.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue base_2027q1_non_strategic | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 569.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_grow, base_2027q1_create, base_2027q1_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin base_2027q1_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 84.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit base_2027q1_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / base | 477.96 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q1_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC base_2027q1_cogs_sbc | 2027Q1 / base | 7.60 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization base_2027q1_cogs_amort | 2027Q1 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation base_2027q1_cogs_depr | 2027Q1 / base | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments base_2027q1_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q1 / base | 14.10 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cogs_sbc, base_2027q1_cogs_amort, base_2027q1_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / base | 463.86 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adj_gross_profit, base_2027q1_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring base_2027q1_cash_opex | 2027Q1 / base | 310.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / base | 167.96 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adj_gross_profit, base_2027q1_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost base_2027q1_cash_restructuring | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance base_2027q1_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q1 / base | 94.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization base_2027q1_amortization | 2027Q1 / base | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation base_2027q1_depreciation | 2027Q1 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring base_2027q1_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q1 / base | 167.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_ordinary_sbc, base_2027q1_amortization, base_2027q1_depreciation, base_2027q1_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / base | 0.96 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q1_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income base_2027q1_net_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / base | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use base_2027q1_wc_use | 2027Q1 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments base_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / base | 48.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_net_cash_interest, base_2027q1_cash_tax, base_2027q1_wc_use, base_2027q1_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / base | 119.96 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E base_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E base_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / base | 111.96 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation base_2027q1_sale_weight | 2027Q1 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash base_2027q1_disposal_cash | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, base_2027q1_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter base_2027q1_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q1 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement base_2027q1_repay_2026 | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, base_2027q1_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter base_2027q1_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q1 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement base_2027q1_repay_2027 | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, base_2027q1_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement base_2027q1_debt_principal | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_repay_2026, base_2027q1_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash base_2027q1_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q1 / base | 111.96 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q1_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement base_2027q1_cash_after_claims | 2027Q1 / base | 111.96 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_with_disposal, base_2027q1_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue base_2027q2_grow | 2027Q2 / base | 430.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue base_2027q2_create | 2027Q2 / base | 179.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue base_2027q2_non_strategic | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 609.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_grow, base_2027q2_create, base_2027q2_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin base_2027q2_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 84.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit base_2027q2_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / base | 511.56 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q2_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC base_2027q2_cogs_sbc | 2027Q2 / base | 7.90 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization base_2027q2_cogs_amort | 2027Q2 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation base_2027q2_cogs_depr | 2027Q2 / base | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments base_2027q2_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q2 / base | 14.40 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cogs_sbc, base_2027q2_cogs_amort, base_2027q2_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / base | 497.16 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adj_gross_profit, base_2027q2_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring base_2027q2_cash_opex | 2027Q2 / base | 322.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / base | 189.56 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adj_gross_profit, base_2027q2_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost base_2027q2_cash_restructuring | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance base_2027q2_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q2 / base | 97.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization base_2027q2_amortization | 2027Q2 / base | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation base_2027q2_depreciation | 2027Q2 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring base_2027q2_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q2 / base | 170.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_ordinary_sbc, base_2027q2_amortization, base_2027q2_depreciation, base_2027q2_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / base | 19.56 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income base_2027q2_net_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / base | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use base_2027q2_wc_use | 2027Q2 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments base_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / base | 23.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_net_cash_interest, base_2027q2_cash_tax, base_2027q2_wc_use, base_2027q2_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / base | 166.56 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E base_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E base_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / base | 158.56 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation base_2027q2_sale_weight | 2027Q2 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash base_2027q2_disposal_cash | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, base_2027q2_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter base_2027q2_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q2 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement base_2027q2_repay_2026 | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, base_2027q2_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter base_2027q2_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q2 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement base_2027q2_repay_2027 | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, base_2027q2_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement base_2027q2_debt_principal | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_repay_2026, base_2027q2_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash base_2027q2_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q2 / base | 158.56 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q2_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement base_2027q2_cash_after_claims | 2027Q2 / base | 158.56 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_with_disposal, base_2027q2_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue base_2027q3_grow | 2027Q3 / base | 465.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue base_2027q3_create | 2027Q3 / base | 190.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue base_2027q3_non_strategic | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 655.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_grow, base_2027q3_create, base_2027q3_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin base_2027q3_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 84.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit base_2027q3_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / base | 550.20 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q3_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC base_2027q3_cogs_sbc | 2027Q3 / base | 8.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization base_2027q3_cogs_amort | 2027Q3 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation base_2027q3_cogs_depr | 2027Q3 / base | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments base_2027q3_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q3 / base | 14.70 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cogs_sbc, base_2027q3_cogs_amort, base_2027q3_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / base | 535.50 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adj_gross_profit, base_2027q3_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring base_2027q3_cash_opex | 2027Q3 / base | 335.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / base | 215.20 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adj_gross_profit, base_2027q3_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost base_2027q3_cash_restructuring | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance base_2027q3_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q3 / base | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization base_2027q3_amortization | 2027Q3 / base | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation base_2027q3_depreciation | 2027Q3 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring base_2027q3_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q3 / base | 173.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_ordinary_sbc, base_2027q3_amortization, base_2027q3_depreciation, base_2027q3_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / base | 42.20 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income base_2027q3_net_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / base | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use base_2027q3_wc_use | 2027Q3 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments base_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / base | 18.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_net_cash_interest, base_2027q3_cash_tax, base_2027q3_wc_use, base_2027q3_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / base | 197.20 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E base_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E base_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / base | 189.20 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation base_2027q3_sale_weight | 2027Q3 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash base_2027q3_disposal_cash | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, base_2027q3_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter base_2027q3_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q3 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement base_2027q3_repay_2026 | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, base_2027q3_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter base_2027q3_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q3 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement base_2027q3_repay_2027 | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, base_2027q3_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement base_2027q3_debt_principal | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_repay_2026, base_2027q3_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash base_2027q3_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q3 / base | 189.20 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q3_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement base_2027q3_cash_after_claims | 2027Q3 / base | 189.20 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_with_disposal, base_2027q3_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue base_2027q4_grow | 2027Q4 / base | 510.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue base_2027q4_create | 2027Q4 / base | 202.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue base_2027q4_non_strategic | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 712.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_grow, base_2027q4_create, base_2027q4_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin base_2027q4_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 84.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit base_2027q4_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / base | 598.08 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_revenue, base_2027q4_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC base_2027q4_cogs_sbc | 2027Q4 / base | 8.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization base_2027q4_cogs_amort | 2027Q4 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation base_2027q4_cogs_depr | 2027Q4 / base | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments base_2027q4_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q4 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cogs_sbc, base_2027q4_cogs_amort, base_2027q4_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / base | 583.08 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adj_gross_profit, base_2027q4_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring base_2027q4_cash_opex | 2027Q4 / base | 350.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / base | 248.08 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adj_gross_profit, base_2027q4_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost base_2027q4_cash_restructuring | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance base_2027q4_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q4 / base | 103.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization base_2027q4_amortization | 2027Q4 / base | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation base_2027q4_depreciation | 2027Q4 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring base_2027q4_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q4 / base | 176.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_ordinary_sbc, base_2027q4_amortization, base_2027q4_depreciation, base_2027q4_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / base | 72.08 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income base_2027q4_net_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / base | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use base_2027q4_wc_use | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments base_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_net_cash_interest, base_2027q4_cash_tax, base_2027q4_wc_use, base_2027q4_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / base | 245.08 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E base_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E base_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / base | 237.08 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation base_2027q4_sale_weight | 2027Q4 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash base_2027q4_disposal_cash | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, base_2027q4_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter base_2027q4_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q4 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement base_2027q4_repay_2026 | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, base_2027q4_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter base_2027q4_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement base_2027q4_repay_2027 | 2027Q4 / base | 1,000.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, base_2027q4_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement base_2027q4_debt_principal | 2027Q4 / base | 1,000.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_repay_2026, base_2027q4_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash base_2027q4_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q4 / base | 237.08 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_fcf, base_2027q4_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement base_2027q4_cash_after_claims | 2027Q4 / base | -762.92 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_with_disposal, base_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) base_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / base | 2,208.71 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) base_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / base | 1,530.42 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / base | -353.37 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) base_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / base | 678.73 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) base_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / base | 632.17 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo). |
| Cash PP&E ($M) base_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / base | 20.49 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash PP&E ($M) base_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / base | 611.68 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q4_fcf). |
| Business disposal proceeds ($M) base_fy2026_disposal_cash | FY2026 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_disposal_cash, base_2026q3_disposal_cash, base_2026q4_disposal_cash). |
| Convertible cash settlement ($M) base_fy2026_debt_principal | FY2026 / base | 557.72 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_debt_principal, base_2026q3_debt_principal, base_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement ($M) base_fy2026_cash_after_claims | FY2026 / base | 93.95 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_claims, base_2026q3_cash_after_claims, base_2026q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) base_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / base | 2,545.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) base_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / base | 2,079.60 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / base | 134.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) base_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / base | 820.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) base_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / base | 728.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo). |
| Cash PP&E ($M) base_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / base | 32.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash PP&E ($M) base_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / base | 696.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q4_fcf). |
| Business disposal proceeds ($M) base_fy2027_disposal_cash | FY2027 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_disposal_cash, base_2027q2_disposal_cash, base_2027q3_disposal_cash, base_2027q4_disposal_cash). |
| Convertible cash settlement ($M) base_fy2027_debt_principal | FY2027 / base | 1,000.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_debt_principal, base_2027q2_debt_principal, base_2027q3_debt_principal, base_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement ($M) base_fy2027_cash_after_claims | FY2027 / base | -303.20 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_claims, base_2027q2_cash_after_claims, base_2027q3_cash_after_claims, base_2027q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Strategic Grow revenue upside_2026q3_grow | 2026Q3 / upside | 395.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue upside_2026q3_create | 2026Q3 / upside | 165.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue upside_2026q3_non_strategic | 2026Q3 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 580.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_grow, upside_2026q3_create, upside_2026q3_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin upside_2026q3_adj_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 86.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit upside_2026q3_adj_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / upside | 498.80 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q3_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC upside_2026q3_cogs_sbc | 2026Q3 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization upside_2026q3_cogs_amort | 2026Q3 / upside | 6.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation upside_2026q3_cogs_depr | 2026Q3 / upside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments upside_2026q3_cogs_adjustments | 2026Q3 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_cogs_sbc, upside_2026q3_cogs_amort, upside_2026q3_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / upside | 483.80 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adj_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring upside_2026q3_cash_opex | 2026Q3 / upside | 294.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / upside | 204.80 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adj_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost upside_2026q3_cash_restructuring | 2026Q3 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance upside_2026q3_ordinary_sbc | 2026Q3 / upside | 88.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization upside_2026q3_amortization | 2026Q3 / upside | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation upside_2026q3_depreciation | 2026Q3 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring upside_2026q3_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q3 / upside | 176.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_ordinary_sbc, upside_2026q3_amortization, upside_2026q3_depreciation, upside_2026q3_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / upside | 28.80 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income upside_2026q3_net_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / upside | -15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes upside_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use upside_2026q3_wc_use | 2026Q3 / upside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments upside_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_net_cash_interest, upside_2026q3_cash_tax, upside_2026q3_wc_use, upside_2026q3_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / upside | 164.80 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E upside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E upside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / upside | 158.80 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation upside_2026q3_sale_weight | 2026Q3 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash upside_2026q3_disposal_cash | 2026Q3 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, upside_2026q3_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter upside_2026q3_repay_2026_weight | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement upside_2026q3_repay_2026 | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, upside_2026q3_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter upside_2026q3_repay_2027_weight | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement upside_2026q3_repay_2027 | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, upside_2026q3_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement upside_2026q3_debt_principal | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_repay_2026, upside_2026q3_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash upside_2026q3_cash_with_disposal | 2026Q3 / upside | 198.80 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q3_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement upside_2026q3_cash_after_claims | 2026Q3 / upside | 198.80 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cash_with_disposal, upside_2026q3_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue upside_2026q4_grow | 2026Q4 / upside | 450.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue upside_2026q4_create | 2026Q4 / upside | 177.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue upside_2026q4_non_strategic | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 627.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_grow, upside_2026q4_create, upside_2026q4_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin upside_2026q4_adj_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 86.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit upside_2026q4_adj_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 539.22 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_revenue, upside_2026q4_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC upside_2026q4_cogs_sbc | 2026Q4 / upside | 7.30 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization upside_2026q4_cogs_amort | 2026Q4 / upside | 6.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation upside_2026q4_cogs_depr | 2026Q4 / upside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments upside_2026q4_cogs_adjustments | 2026Q4 / upside | 15.30 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cogs_sbc, upside_2026q4_cogs_amort, upside_2026q4_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 523.92 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adj_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring upside_2026q4_cash_opex | 2026Q4 / upside | 317.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / upside | 222.22 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adj_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost upside_2026q4_cash_restructuring | 2026Q4 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance upside_2026q4_ordinary_sbc | 2026Q4 / upside | 91.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization upside_2026q4_amortization | 2026Q4 / upside | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation upside_2026q4_depreciation | 2026Q4 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring upside_2026q4_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q4 / upside | 174.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_ordinary_sbc, upside_2026q4_amortization, upside_2026q4_depreciation, upside_2026q4_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / upside | 48.22 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income upside_2026q4_net_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / upside | -15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes upside_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use upside_2026q4_wc_use | 2026Q4 / upside | -5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments upside_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / upside | -5.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_net_cash_interest, upside_2026q4_cash_tax, upside_2026q4_wc_use, upside_2026q4_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / upside | 227.22 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E upside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E upside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / upside | 221.22 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation upside_2026q4_sale_weight | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash upside_2026q4_disposal_cash | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, upside_2026q4_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter upside_2026q4_repay_2026_weight | 2026Q4 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement upside_2026q4_repay_2026 | 2026Q4 / upside | 557.72 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, upside_2026q4_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter upside_2026q4_repay_2027_weight | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement upside_2026q4_repay_2027 | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, upside_2026q4_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement upside_2026q4_debt_principal | 2026Q4 / upside | 557.72 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_repay_2026, upside_2026q4_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash upside_2026q4_cash_with_disposal | 2026Q4 / upside | 221.22 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_fcf, upside_2026q4_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement upside_2026q4_cash_after_claims | 2026Q4 / upside | -336.50 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cash_with_disposal, upside_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue upside_2027q1_grow | 2027Q1 / upside | 445.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue upside_2027q1_create | 2027Q1 / upside | 180.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue upside_2027q1_non_strategic | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 625.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_grow, upside_2027q1_create, upside_2027q1_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin upside_2027q1_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 86.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit upside_2027q1_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 537.50 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q1_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC upside_2027q1_cogs_sbc | 2027Q1 / upside | 7.60 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization upside_2027q1_cogs_amort | 2027Q1 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation upside_2027q1_cogs_depr | 2027Q1 / upside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments upside_2027q1_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q1 / upside | 14.10 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cogs_sbc, upside_2027q1_cogs_amort, upside_2027q1_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 523.40 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adj_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring upside_2027q1_cash_opex | 2027Q1 / upside | 330.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / upside | 207.50 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adj_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost upside_2027q1_cash_restructuring | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance upside_2027q1_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q1 / upside | 94.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization upside_2027q1_amortization | 2027Q1 / upside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation upside_2027q1_depreciation | 2027Q1 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring upside_2027q1_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q1 / upside | 167.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_ordinary_sbc, upside_2027q1_amortization, upside_2027q1_depreciation, upside_2027q1_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / upside | 40.50 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q1_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income upside_2027q1_net_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / upside | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use upside_2027q1_wc_use | 2027Q1 / upside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments upside_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / upside | 53.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_net_cash_interest, upside_2027q1_cash_tax, upside_2027q1_wc_use, upside_2027q1_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / upside | 154.50 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E upside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E upside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / upside | 146.50 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation upside_2027q1_sale_weight | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash upside_2027q1_disposal_cash | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, upside_2027q1_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter upside_2027q1_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement upside_2027q1_repay_2026 | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, upside_2027q1_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter upside_2027q1_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement upside_2027q1_repay_2027 | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, upside_2027q1_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement upside_2027q1_debt_principal | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_repay_2026, upside_2027q1_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash upside_2027q1_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q1 / upside | 146.50 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q1_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement upside_2027q1_cash_after_claims | 2027Q1 / upside | 146.50 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_with_disposal, upside_2027q1_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue upside_2027q2_grow | 2027Q2 / upside | 495.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue upside_2027q2_create | 2027Q2 / upside | 195.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue upside_2027q2_non_strategic | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 690.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_grow, upside_2027q2_create, upside_2027q2_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin upside_2027q2_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 86.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit upside_2027q2_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 593.40 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC upside_2027q2_cogs_sbc | 2027Q2 / upside | 7.90 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization upside_2027q2_cogs_amort | 2027Q2 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation upside_2027q2_cogs_depr | 2027Q2 / upside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments upside_2027q2_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q2 / upside | 14.40 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cogs_sbc, upside_2027q2_cogs_amort, upside_2027q2_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 579.00 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adj_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring upside_2027q2_cash_opex | 2027Q2 / upside | 350.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / upside | 243.40 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adj_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost upside_2027q2_cash_restructuring | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance upside_2027q2_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q2 / upside | 97.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization upside_2027q2_amortization | 2027Q2 / upside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation upside_2027q2_depreciation | 2027Q2 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring upside_2027q2_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q2 / upside | 170.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_ordinary_sbc, upside_2027q2_amortization, upside_2027q2_depreciation, upside_2027q2_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / upside | 73.40 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income upside_2027q2_net_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / upside | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use upside_2027q2_wc_use | 2027Q2 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments upside_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / upside | 28.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_net_cash_interest, upside_2027q2_cash_tax, upside_2027q2_wc_use, upside_2027q2_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / upside | 215.40 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E upside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E upside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / upside | 207.40 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation upside_2027q2_sale_weight | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash upside_2027q2_disposal_cash | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, upside_2027q2_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter upside_2027q2_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement upside_2027q2_repay_2026 | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, upside_2027q2_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter upside_2027q2_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement upside_2027q2_repay_2027 | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, upside_2027q2_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement upside_2027q2_debt_principal | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_repay_2026, upside_2027q2_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash upside_2027q2_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q2 / upside | 207.40 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q2_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement upside_2027q2_cash_after_claims | 2027Q2 / upside | 207.40 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_with_disposal, upside_2027q2_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue upside_2027q3_grow | 2027Q3 / upside | 555.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue upside_2027q3_create | 2027Q3 / upside | 214.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue upside_2027q3_non_strategic | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 769.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_grow, upside_2027q3_create, upside_2027q3_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin upside_2027q3_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 86.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit upside_2027q3_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 661.34 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q3_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC upside_2027q3_cogs_sbc | 2027Q3 / upside | 8.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization upside_2027q3_cogs_amort | 2027Q3 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation upside_2027q3_cogs_depr | 2027Q3 / upside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments upside_2027q3_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q3 / upside | 14.70 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cogs_sbc, upside_2027q3_cogs_amort, upside_2027q3_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 646.64 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adj_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring upside_2027q3_cash_opex | 2027Q3 / upside | 375.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / upside | 286.34 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adj_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost upside_2027q3_cash_restructuring | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance upside_2027q3_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q3 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization upside_2027q3_amortization | 2027Q3 / upside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation upside_2027q3_depreciation | 2027Q3 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring upside_2027q3_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q3 / upside | 173.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_ordinary_sbc, upside_2027q3_amortization, upside_2027q3_depreciation, upside_2027q3_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / upside | 113.34 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income upside_2027q3_net_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / upside | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use upside_2027q3_wc_use | 2027Q3 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments upside_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / upside | 23.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_net_cash_interest, upside_2027q3_cash_tax, upside_2027q3_wc_use, upside_2027q3_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / upside | 263.34 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E upside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E upside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / upside | 255.34 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation upside_2027q3_sale_weight | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash upside_2027q3_disposal_cash | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, upside_2027q3_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter upside_2027q3_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement upside_2027q3_repay_2026 | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, upside_2027q3_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter upside_2027q3_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement upside_2027q3_repay_2027 | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, upside_2027q3_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement upside_2027q3_debt_principal | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_repay_2026, upside_2027q3_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash upside_2027q3_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q3 / upside | 255.34 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q3_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement upside_2027q3_cash_after_claims | 2027Q3 / upside | 255.34 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_with_disposal, upside_2027q3_debt_principal). |
| Strategic Grow revenue upside_2027q4_grow | 2027Q4 / upside | 625.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Strategic Create revenue upside_2027q4_create | 2027Q4 / upside | 236.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Non-strategic revenue upside_2027q4_non_strategic | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Q3 company outlook includes about one month of Supersonic; zero from Q4 after disposal/sunset. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 861.00 USD_millions | derived: Strategic plus remaining non-strategic revenue, with no disposal gain counted as sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_grow, upside_2027q4_create, upside_2027q4_non_strategic). |
| Adjusted gross margin upside_2027q4_adj_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 86.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted gross profit upside_2027q4_adj_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 740.46 USD_millions | derived: Desk margin after infrastructure and publisher costs, before cost-of-revenue noncash/restructuring adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_revenue, upside_2027q4_adj_gross_margin). |
| Cost-of-revenue ordinary SBC upside_2027q4_cogs_sbc | 2027Q4 / upside | 8.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue amortization upside_2027q4_cogs_amort | 2027Q4 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue depreciation upside_2027q4_cogs_depr | 2027Q4 / upside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cost-of-revenue GAAP adjustments upside_2027q4_cogs_adjustments | 2027Q4 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | derived: These allocations are included in total SBC/amortization/depreciation below, not additional operating deductions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cogs_sbc, upside_2027q4_cogs_amort, upside_2027q4_cogs_depr). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 725.46 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no new gross-margin impairment or restructuring adjustment. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adj_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_cogs_adjustments). |
| Operating costs excluding D&A SBC and restructuring upside_2027q4_cash_opex | 2027Q4 / upside | 402.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / upside | 338.46 USD_millions | derived: Base Q3 reconciles to $187.5M guidance midpoint. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adj_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_cash_opex). |
| Cash restructuring operating cost upside_2027q4_cash_restructuring | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Incremental desk charge paid in period; does not repeat prior noncash impairments or SBC. |
| Ordinary SBC including CEO award allowance upside_2027q4_ordinary_sbc | 2027Q4 / upside | 103.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Acquired intangible amortization upside_2027q4_amortization | 2027Q4 / upside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation upside_2027q4_depreciation | 2027Q4 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Ordinary SBC amortization depreciation and restructuring upside_2027q4_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q4 / upside | 176.00 USD_millions | derived: Total functional expense; COGS allocations already included here. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_ordinary_sbc, upside_2027q4_amortization, upside_2027q4_depreciation, upside_2027q4_cash_restructuring). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / upside | 162.46 USD_millions | derived: No new impairment, asset gain or unmodeled restructuring charge. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest less investment income upside_2027q4_net_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / upside | -9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Working capital cash use upside_2027q4_wc_use | 2027Q4 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Receivables, deferred revenue and publisher payables; negative is release. No automatic repeat of Q2 payable inflow. |
| Net cash operating adjustments upside_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | derived: Noncash SBC D&A and impairment do not create a second cash benefit. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_net_cash_interest, upside_2027q4_cash_tax, upside_2027q4_wc_use, upside_2027q4_cash_restructuring). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / upside | 330.46 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated CFO before PP&E and note repayment. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Cash PP&E upside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| CFO less PP&E upside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / upside | 322.46 USD_millions | derived: Excludes disposal proceeds and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| Disposal cash allocation upside_2027q4_sale_weight | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Supersonic sale cash upside_2027q4_disposal_cash | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: One-time August sale cash, assumed no price adjustment. Formula: multiply(supersonic_proceeds, upside_2027q4_sale_weight). |
| 2026 settlement quarter upside_2027q4_repay_2026_weight | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2026 notes settlement upside_2027q4_repay_2026 | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2026 maturity. Formula: multiply(notes_2026, upside_2027q4_repay_2026_weight). |
| 2027 settlement quarter upside_2027q4_repay_2027_weight | 2027Q4 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| 2027 notes settlement upside_2027q4_repay_2027 | 2027Q4 / upside | 1,000.00 USD_millions | derived: November 15, 2027 maturity; assumes full cash settlement, not conversion. Formula: multiply(notes_2027, upside_2027q4_repay_2027_weight). |
| Convertible cash settlement upside_2027q4_debt_principal | 2027Q4 / upside | 1,000.00 USD_millions | derived: Repayment does not reduce CFO or operating profit. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_repay_2026, upside_2027q4_repay_2027). |
| FCF plus business sale cash upside_2027q4_cash_with_disposal | 2027Q4 / upside | 322.46 USD_millions | derived: Disposal is investing cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_fcf, upside_2027q4_disposal_cash). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement upside_2027q4_cash_after_claims | 2027Q4 / upside | -677.54 USD_millions | derived: Before acquisitions, award withholding and any China redemption. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_with_disposal, upside_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / upside | 2,261.71 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / upside | 1,599.08 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / upside | -306.61 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / upside | 725.49 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / upside | 668.93 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Cash PP&E ($M) upside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / upside | 20.49 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash PP&E ($M) upside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / upside | 648.44 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Business disposal proceeds ($M) upside_fy2026_disposal_cash | FY2026 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_disposal_cash, upside_2026q3_disposal_cash, upside_2026q4_disposal_cash). |
| Convertible cash settlement ($M) upside_fy2026_debt_principal | FY2026 / upside | 557.72 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_debt_principal, upside_2026q3_debt_principal, upside_2026q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_after_claims | FY2026 / upside | 130.71 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_claims, upside_2026q3_cash_after_claims, upside_2026q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / upside | 2,945.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / upside | 2,474.50 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / upside | 389.70 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / upside | 1,075.70 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / upside | 963.70 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Cash PP&E ($M) upside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / upside | 32.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less cash PP&E ($M) upside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / upside | 931.70 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q4_fcf). |
| Business disposal proceeds ($M) upside_fy2027_disposal_cash | FY2027 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_disposal_cash, upside_2027q2_disposal_cash, upside_2027q3_disposal_cash, upside_2027q4_disposal_cash). |
| Convertible cash settlement ($M) upside_fy2027_debt_principal | FY2027 / upside | 1,000.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_debt_principal, upside_2027q2_debt_principal, upside_2027q3_debt_principal, upside_2027q4_debt_principal). |
| Cash after disposal and note settlement ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_after_claims | FY2027 / upside | -68.30 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_claims, upside_2027q2_cash_after_claims, upside_2027q3_cash_after_claims, upside_2027q4_cash_after_claims). |
Model boundaries
- Desk quarterly scenarios, not consensus or a full balance sheet. Only Q3 ranges are management guidance; Q4/FY2027 are assumptions.
- Supersonic was sold August 4 for $40M cash subject to adjustments; proceeds are investing cash, not revenue or CFO. The ironSource Ads network closed April 30. These actions do not close Unity Ads.
- Q2 publisher-payable cash inflow is not repeated mechanically. Cash balances coexist with $440.7M publisher payables and redeemable Unity China interests.
- Reported H1 cash-flow SBC includes restructuring SBC. Forecast ordinary SBC and cash restructuring are separate so the same compensation is not deducted twice. New CEO awards can increase expense/dilution beyond the allowance.
- Cash-settlement scenario repays November 2026 and November 2027 note principal. Actual conversion/refinancing can change cash and ownership. No EPS, share-count forecast or price target is supplied.
- Cash after disposal/principal excludes acquisitions, employee award tax withholding, optional repurchases and any China minority-interest redemption. It is not a full cash balance roll-forward.
Strategic growth after divestiture, with debt service visible
Can Unity turn strategic Grow and Create growth into cash after compensation and the 2026/2027 notes?
H1 revenue was $1.055B, adjusted EBITDA $298.5M and GAAP operating loss $383.6M after portfolio impairments and restructuring. CFO $276.9M less $8.5M PP&E gave $268.4M, but Q2 alone included $63.1M publisher-payable inflow. June cash was $2.352B alongside $440.7M publisher payables and $266.7M redeemable China interests. Supersonic sold August 4 for $40M cash subject to adjustments; its proceeds are not product revenue. Strategic Q3 component ranges overlap without additive midpoints, so the base reconciles the total explicitly. The model assumes cash repayment of $557.724M notes in November 2026 and $1B in November 2027; $690M notes mature in 2030. The 2027 coupon is 2%; the other two notes have zero regular coupon. CEO performance awards announced August 19 can add expense and dilution even when operating cash improves.
The competing explanation
Strategic advertising growth may slow or require more publisher economics and infrastructure spending. A clean adjusted earnings series can coexist with equity dilution, working-capital reversals and large debt settlement requirements.
Risks to track
- Ad platform competition, measurement rules and publisher retention affect Grow.
- Create subscription growth may not offset removed revenue on schedule.
- Publisher payable inflows can reverse.
- New equity awards and restructuring change the GAAP cost base.
- Conversion, refinancing or cash redemption change shareholder outcomes.
- China minority redemption can create additional cash claims.
Next checkpoints
- Q3 strategic delivery · Next quarterly results; date not confirmed (estimated). Reconcile Grow, Create, non-strategic revenue and the $185M-$190M EBITDA range.
- 2026 note settlement · November 15, 2026 contractual maturity (estimated). Confirm actual cash repayment or conversion and unrestricted cash afterward.
- Create and Grow cash conversion · Each quarter (estimated). Track publisher payables, SBC and capex; do not annualize disposal proceeds.
Data coverage and open work
- Desk quarterly scenarios, not consensus or a full balance sheet. Only Q3 ranges are management guidance; Q4/FY2027 are assumptions.
- Supersonic was sold August 4 for $40M cash subject to adjustments; proceeds are investing cash, not revenue or CFO. The ironSource Ads network closed April 30. These actions do not close Unity Ads.
- Q2 publisher-payable cash inflow is not repeated mechanically. Cash balances coexist with $440.7M publisher payables and redeemable Unity China interests.
- Reported H1 cash-flow SBC includes restructuring SBC. Forecast ordinary SBC and cash restructuring are separate so the same compensation is not deducted twice. New CEO awards can increase expense/dilution beyond the allowance.
- Cash-settlement scenario repays November 2026 and November 2027 note principal. Actual conversion/refinancing can change cash and ownership. No EPS, share-count forecast or price target is supplied.
- Cash after disposal/principal excludes acquisitions, employee award tax withholding, optional repurchases and any China minority-interest redemption. It is not a full cash balance roll-forward.
What the memory says
State as of the 2026-09-18 close: in a 120-day uptrend, above its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, ordinary volume, closed weak, and some peers moving
| Vs the market, in points | Low | Middle | High | Share up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | -4.2 | -0.1 | +3.8 | 48% |
| 5 sessions | -9.9 | -0.5 | +8.9 | 44% |
| 10 sessions | -13.6 | -1.3 | +9.6 | 42% |
Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side.