ALPHAFORGE RESEARCH · COMPANY FILE · SEMIS & COMPUTE

$TEM

Tempus AI, Inc. · Nasdaq · SIC 7370 · CIK 1717115 · revision 5 as of 2026-09-19

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Business

Tempus operates diagnostics and a Data and Applications business serving clinicians and life-science customers. Diagnostics includes oncology and hereditary testing; data licensing and software turn clinical and molecular datasets into research tools. Test volume, reimbursement, contract delivery and collections drive economics. The pending Personalis acquisition would expand the company, but these scenarios retain the existing perimeter, including current commercial collaborations.

Three drivers

  1. Diagnostics volumes and conditional reimbursement/pricing changes
  2. Data-license delivery and actual cash collection
  3. Equity compensation, investments and pending merger financing

Thesis

Our view

The operating opportunity spans test growth and data demand, but Q2 positive net income was driven by $98.5M of unrealized securities gains alongside a $75.913M operating loss. September commentary adds meaningful potential tissue and liquid-biopsy pricing changes, with conditional timing and payer realization. The model separates those from core growth and excludes incremental Personalis operations until a proper closing forecast can be built.

What changes it

Track actual pricing/coverage milestones, payer collections and data delivery rather than equating bookings or FDA milestones with immediate cash. Rebuild the model after Personalis closing terms and purchase accounting are available.

Scenario ranges

Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.

Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)

Fiscal quarter2024Q3
2024-09-30
2024Q4
2024-12-31
2025Q1
2025-03-31
2025Q2
2025-06-30
2025Q3
2025-09-30
2025Q4
2025-12-31
2026Q1
2026-03-31
2026Q2
2026-06-30
Revenue ($M)180.91200.7†2255.73314.64334.21367.2†2348.13382.54
Gross profit ($M)
Operating income ($M)-53.65-50.7†6-68.77-61.88-61.05-61.4†6-84.77-75.98
Net income ($M)-75.89-13.0†10-68.011-42.812-80.09-54.2†10-125.9115.612
EPS, diluted ($)-0.4613-0.4014-0.2515-0.4613-0.71140.0315
Diluted shares (M)0.2160.2170.2180.2160.2170.218
Cash ($M)388.019341.020151.621186.322655.919604.822521.221599.622
Long-term debt ($M)
Cash from operations ($M)48.7†23-39.3†24-105.62544.2†26-119.8†23-36.8†24-73.325-7.5†26
Capex ($M)0.0†278.0†282.1297.5†306.7†274.8†288.2296.1†30
Free cash flow ($M)48.6†31-47.2†32-107.7†3336.6†34-126.5†31-41.5†32-81.5†33-13.7†34

† derived (Q4 = fiscal year minus the first three quarters; year-to-date cash flows differenced; FCF = CFO − capex). Superscripts are the provenance notes below.

Estimates · base scenario

PeriodRevenue ($M)EPS ($)As ofBasis
2026Q3420.02026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2026Q4449.42026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q1491.72026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q2512.12026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.

Diagnostics volumes, conditional pricing and data-license cash

Operating scenarios · reviewed 2026-09-19 · USD millions unless labeled otherwise · our assumptions, not consensus

Model the existing Tempus perimeter, excluding the pending Personalis acquisition in every forecast period. Separate Diagnostics and Data/Applications revenue, preserving actual H1. FY2026 total sales and adjusted EBITDA use July guidance as references. FY2027 grows each business before adding distinct tissue and liquid-biopsy pricing sensitivities informed by September management commentary. Convert adjusted EBITDA to a GAAP operating proxy and operating cash; no unrealized security gain or acquisition financing is recurring income.

Reported anchors and guidance

MeasurePeriodValueBasis
FY2026 existing-perimeter revenue outlook midpointFY20261,600.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
FY2026 adjusted EBITDA outlookFY202665.00management guidance. Approximately $65M, excluding the Personalis transaction. Source · 2026-07-30
Management illustrative tumor-only pricing benefit midpoint2027 discussion90.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
Management illustrative liquid pricing opportunity midpoint2027 discussion275.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
H1 cash after PP&E and softwareH1 2026-101.96derived. Software development is an additional investing outflow.
H1 equity for receivablesH1 20268.75reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-07-30
q2 unrealized gain2026Q298.50reported. Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Source · 2026-07-30
cash2026Q2599.61reported. Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Source · 2026-07-30
marketable equities2026Q2216.38reported. Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Source · 2026-07-30
restricted cash2026Q24.72reported. Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Source · 2026-07-30
Cash plus marketable equities excluding restricted cash2026Q2815.99derived. Do not describe equity securities as cash or a guaranteed merger funding amount.
convertible senior carrying2026Q21,172.78reported. Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Source · 2026-07-30
convertible promissory carrying2026Q2187.93reported. Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Source · 2026-07-30
Maximum optional cash fraction of merger considerationPending merger50.0%reported. Tempus may elect up to half cash; selection and funding source were not determined in the August 31 S-4. Source · 2026-08-31

Downside scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow ($M)CFO less PP&E ($M)Data and Applications revenue ($M)PP&E cash purchases ($M)Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M)Capitalized software cash ($M)Diagnostics revenue, current perimeter ($M)GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)Adjusted EBITDA ($M)GAAP operating income proxy ($M)CFO less PP&E and software ($M)
2026Q3-40.19-48.1996.008.00391.005.00295.00239.245.00-85.00-53.19
2026Q4-29.63-37.6393.838.00382.405.00288.57233.4814.79-79.21-42.63
2027Q1-49.73-59.73102.1210.00414.447.00312.32256.77-2.43-100.43-66.73
2027Q2-51.42-61.42106.5610.00431.927.00325.36267.25-2.55-103.55-68.42
FY2026-150.62-180.95370.0030.331,504.0016.831,134.00941.2625.00-324.83-197.78
FY2027-168.41-208.41444.0040.001,797.6028.001,353.601,111.7733.37-376.63-236.41

Base scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow ($M)CFO less PP&E ($M)Data and Applications revenue ($M)PP&E cash purchases ($M)Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M)Capitalized software cash ($M)Diagnostics revenue, current perimeter ($M)GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)Adjusted EBITDA ($M)GAAP operating income proxy ($M)CFO less PP&E and software ($M)
2026Q3-13.30-21.30105.008.00420.005.00315.00279.5024.00-66.00-26.30
2026Q4-3.42-11.42114.838.00449.405.00334.57299.1935.79-58.21-16.42
2027Q122.0912.09124.2010.00491.707.00367.50332.8564.05-36.955.09
2027Q223.1613.16129.6010.00512.107.00382.50346.2566.45-39.556.16
FY2026-97.52-127.85400.0030.331,600.0016.831,200.001,047.2365.00-284.83-144.68
FY2027199.96159.96540.0040.002,198.7528.001,658.751,501.28382.88-51.12131.96

Upside scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow ($M)CFO less PP&E ($M)Data and Applications revenue ($M)PP&E cash purchases ($M)Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M)Capitalized software cash ($M)Diagnostics revenue, current perimeter ($M)GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)Adjusted EBITDA ($M)GAAP operating income proxy ($M)CFO less PP&E and software ($M)
2026Q34.52-3.48112.008.00437.005.00325.00301.1132.00-61.00-8.48
2026Q418.8910.89127.838.00472.405.00344.57326.1747.79-51.215.89
2027Q161.4651.46144.9010.00540.047.00395.14378.6693.06-15.9444.46
2027Q264.1754.17151.2010.00562.457.00411.25393.9696.66-20.3447.17
FY2026-57.39-87.72420.0030.331,640.0016.831,220.001,095.8285.00-272.83-104.55
FY2027434.14394.14630.0040.002,476.9028.001,846.901,761.62573.2289.22366.14
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
Input / calculationPeriod / caseValue / unitEvidence or assumption
H1 revenue
h1_revenue
H1 2026 / shared730.60
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 diagnostics
h1_diagnostics
H1 2026 / shared550.43
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 data
h1_data
H1 2026 / shared180.17
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 gross profit
h1_gross_profit
H1 2026 / shared468.54
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 adjusted ebitda
h1_adjusted_ebitda
H1 2026 / shared5.21
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 operating income
h1_operating_income
H1 2026 / shared-160.62
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 cfo
h1_cfo
H1 2026 / shared-80.80
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 capex
h1_capex
H1 2026 / shared14.33
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 software
h1_software
H1 2026 / shared6.83
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 sbc
h1_sbc
H1 2026 / shared106.83
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 security gains
h1_security_gains
H1 2026 / shared66.17
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 receivables use
h1_receivables_use
H1 2026 / shared50.56
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 equity for receivables
h1_equity_for_receivables
H1 2026 / shared8.75
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-30
H1 cash after PP&E
h1_fcf
H1 2026 / shared-95.13
USD_millions
derived: Historical generic FCF scope. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_capex).
H1 cash after PP&E and software
h1_cash_after_software
H1 2026 / shared-101.96
USD_millions
derived: Software development is an additional investing outflow. Formula: subtract(h1_fcf, h1_software).
cash
cash
2026Q2 / shared599.61
USD_millions
reported: Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Primary source · 2026-07-30
marketable equities
marketable_equities
2026Q2 / shared216.38
USD_millions
reported: Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Primary source · 2026-07-30
restricted cash
restricted_cash
2026Q2 / shared4.72
USD_millions
reported: Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Primary source · 2026-07-30
q2 unrealized gain
q2_unrealized_gain
2026Q2 / shared98.50
USD_millions
reported: Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Primary source · 2026-07-30
convertible senior carrying
convertible_senior_carrying
2026Q2 / shared1,172.78
USD_millions
reported: Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Primary source · 2026-07-30
convertible promissory carrying
convertible_promissory_carrying
2026Q2 / shared187.93
USD_millions
reported: Reported millions; marketable equity value is volatile, restricted cash is unavailable, debt carrying values are not principal maturity amounts. Primary source · 2026-07-30
Cash plus marketable equities excluding restricted cash
unrestricted_cash_and_equities
2026Q2 / shared815.99
USD_millions
derived: Do not describe equity securities as cash or a guaranteed merger funding amount. Formula: sum(cash, marketable_equities).
FY2026 existing-perimeter revenue outlook low
fy26_revenue_guide_low
FY2026 / shared1,595.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-30
FY2026 existing-perimeter revenue outlook high
fy26_revenue_guide_high
FY2026 / shared1,605.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-30
Midpoint divisor
two
Model / shared200.0%
ratio
assumption: Arithmetic constant.
FY2026 existing-perimeter revenue outlook endpoint sum
fy26_revenue_guide_sum
FY2026 / shared3,200.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy26_revenue_guide_low, fy26_revenue_guide_high).
FY2026 existing-perimeter revenue outlook midpoint
fy26_revenue_guide
FY2026 / shared1,600.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy26_revenue_guide_sum, two).
FY2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook
fy26_ebitda_guide
FY2026 / shared65.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Approximately $65M, excluding the Personalis transaction. Primary source · 2026-07-30
Management illustrative tumor-only pricing benefit low
tissue_potential_low
2027 discussion / shared80.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-09-15
Management illustrative tumor-only pricing benefit high
tissue_potential_high
2027 discussion / shared100.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-09-15
Management illustrative tumor-only pricing benefit endpoint sum
tissue_potential_sum
2027 discussion / shared180.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(tissue_potential_low, tissue_potential_high).
Management illustrative tumor-only pricing benefit midpoint
tissue_potential
2027 discussion / shared90.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(tissue_potential_sum, two).
Management illustrative liquid pricing opportunity low
liquid_potential_low
2027 discussion / shared250.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-09-15
Management illustrative liquid pricing opportunity high
liquid_potential_high
2027 discussion / shared300.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-09-15
Management illustrative liquid pricing opportunity endpoint sum
liquid_potential_sum
2027 discussion / shared550.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(liquid_potential_low, liquid_potential_high).
Management illustrative liquid pricing opportunity midpoint
liquid_potential
2027 discussion / shared275.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(liquid_potential_sum, two).
Maximum optional cash fraction of merger consideration
merger_cash_max_fraction
Pending merger / shared50.0%
ratio
reported: Tempus may elect up to half cash; selection and funding source were not determined in the August 31 S-4. Primary source · 2026-08-31
FY2026 revenue vs guide midpoint
downside_delivery
FY2026 / downside94.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk operating sensitivity, same standalone perimeter.
FY2026 revenue
downside_fy26_revenue_target
FY2026 / downside1,504.00
USD_millions
derived: Company range midpoint times delivery factor. Formula: multiply(fy26_revenue_guide, downside_delivery).
FY2026 Data/Applications revenue
downside_fy26_data_target
FY2026 / downside370.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk license delivery and service timing; not bookings recognized in full.
FY2026 Diagnostics revenue
downside_fy26_diagnostics_target
FY2026 / downside1,134.00
USD_millions
derived: Total existing-perimeter revenue less Data/Applications. Formula: subtract(downside_fy26_revenue_target, downside_fy26_data_target).
H2 diagnostics revenue
downside_h2_diagnostics
H2 2026 / downside583.57
USD_millions
derived: Annual scenario less actual H1. Formula: subtract(downside_fy26_diagnostics_target, h1_diagnostics).
FY2027 diagnostics core growth multiplier
downside_diagnostics_growth
FY2027 / downside115.0%
ratio
assumption: Excludes separately modeled repricing and incremental Personalis operations.
FY2027 diagnostics core revenue
downside_fy27_diagnostics_core
FY2027 / downside1,304.10
USD_millions
derived: Organic/mix growth before separately shown pricing opportunity. Formula: multiply(downside_fy26_diagnostics_target, downside_diagnostics_growth).
H2 data revenue
downside_h2_data
H2 2026 / downside189.83
USD_millions
derived: Annual scenario less actual H1. Formula: subtract(downside_fy26_data_target, h1_data).
FY2027 data core growth multiplier
downside_data_growth
FY2027 / downside120.0%
ratio
assumption: Excludes separately modeled repricing and incremental Personalis operations.
FY2027 data core revenue
downside_fy27_data_core
FY2027 / downside444.00
USD_millions
derived: Organic/mix growth before separately shown pricing opportunity. Formula: multiply(downside_fy26_data_target, downside_data_growth).
FY2026 adjusted EBITDA scenario
downside_fy26_ebitda_target
FY2026 / downside25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base equals approximate company outlook; other cases are desk sensitivities.
H2 adjusted EBITDA
downside_h2_ebitda
H2 2026 / downside19.79
USD_millions
derived: Annual scenario less actual H1. Formula: subtract(downside_fy26_ebitda_target, h1_adjusted_ebitda).
Realized tissue benefit versus illustrative midpoint
downside_tissue_realization
FY2027 / downside55.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk timing/payer mix sensitivity; no payer-level units or price guarantee assumed.
FY2027 tissue pricing contribution
downside_tissue_full_year
FY2027 / downside49.50
USD_millions
derived: Incremental to core Diagnostics growth; no duplicated full-price revenue. Formula: multiply(tissue_potential, downside_tissue_realization).
FY2027 adjusted operating cost before D&A
downside_cash_opex_year
FY2027 / downside1,100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk operating expense excluding SBC, D&A, payroll on awards and acquisition adjustments.
Diagnostics revenue
downside_2026q3_diagnostics
2026Q3 / downside295.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications revenue
downside_2026q3_data
2026Q3 / downside96.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Incremental 2027 pricing contribution
downside_2026q3_pricing
2026Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: No 2027 repricing benefit pulled into 2026.
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
downside_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / downside391.00
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_diagnostics, downside_2026q3_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
downside_2026q3_diag_margin
2026Q3 / downside60.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
downside_2026q3_diagnostics_core_gross
2026Q3 / downside177.00
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_diagnostics, downside_2026q3_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
downside_2026q3_pricing_margin
2026Q3 / downside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
downside_2026q3_pricing_gross
2026Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_pricing, downside_2026q3_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
downside_2026q3_data_margin
2026Q3 / downside69.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
downside_2026q3_data_gross
2026Q3 / downside66.24
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_data, downside_2026q3_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
downside_2026q3_adjusted_gross
2026Q3 / downside243.24
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_diagnostics_core_gross, downside_2026q3_pricing_gross, downside_2026q3_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
downside_2026q3_cogs_adjustments
2026Q3 / downside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / downside239.24
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adjusted_gross, downside_2026q3_cogs_adjustments).
Adjusted EBITDA
downside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda
2026Q3 / downside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total stock compensation expense
downside_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / downside58.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
downside_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / downside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
downside_2026q3_payroll
2026Q3 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
downside_2026q3_acquisition_costs
2026Q3 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
downside_2026q3_gaap_charges
2026Q3 / downside90.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_da, downside_2026q3_payroll, downside_2026q3_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / downside-85.00
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2026q3_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
downside_2026q3_net_interest_tax
2026Q3 / downside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
downside_2026q3_cash_before_wc
2026Q3 / downside-5.00
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_da, downside_2026q3_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2026q3_wc_rate
2026Q3 / downside9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
downside_2026q3_wc
2026Q3 / downside35.19
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q3_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
downside_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / downside-40.19
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cash_before_wc, downside_2026q3_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / downside8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
downside_2026q3_software
2026Q3 / downside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
downside_2026q3_fcf
2026Q3 / downside-48.19
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
downside_2026q3_cash_after_software
2026Q3 / downside-53.19
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q3_software).
Diagnostics revenue
downside_2026q4_diagnostics
2026Q4 / downside288.57
USD_millions
derived: Annual segment scenario less H1 and Q3. Formula: subtract(downside_h2_diagnostics, downside_2026q3_diagnostics).
Data/Applications revenue
downside_2026q4_data
2026Q4 / downside93.83
USD_millions
derived: Bookings convert according to assumed delivery timing. Formula: subtract(downside_h2_data, downside_2026q3_data).
Incremental 2027 pricing contribution
downside_2026q4_pricing
2026Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: No 2027 repricing benefit pulled into 2026.
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
downside_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / downside382.40
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_diagnostics, downside_2026q4_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
downside_2026q4_diag_margin
2026Q4 / downside60.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
downside_2026q4_diagnostics_core_gross
2026Q4 / downside173.14
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_diagnostics, downside_2026q4_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
downside_2026q4_pricing_margin
2026Q4 / downside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
downside_2026q4_pricing_gross
2026Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_pricing, downside_2026q4_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
downside_2026q4_data_margin
2026Q4 / downside69.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
downside_2026q4_data_gross
2026Q4 / downside64.74
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_data, downside_2026q4_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
downside_2026q4_adjusted_gross
2026Q4 / downside237.88
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_diagnostics_core_gross, downside_2026q4_pricing_gross, downside_2026q4_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
downside_2026q4_cogs_adjustments
2026Q4 / downside4.40
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / downside233.48
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adjusted_gross, downside_2026q4_cogs_adjustments).
Adjusted EBITDA
downside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda
2026Q4 / downside14.79
USD_millions
derived: Remaining company-outlook reference after actual H1 and Q3. Formula: subtract(downside_h2_ebitda, downside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda).
Total stock compensation expense
downside_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / downside62.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
downside_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / downside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
downside_2026q4_payroll
2026Q4 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
downside_2026q4_acquisition_costs
2026Q4 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
downside_2026q4_gaap_charges
2026Q4 / downside94.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_da, downside_2026q4_payroll, downside_2026q4_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / downside-79.21
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2026q4_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
downside_2026q4_net_interest_tax
2026Q4 / downside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
downside_2026q4_cash_before_wc
2026Q4 / downside4.79
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_operating_income, downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_da, downside_2026q4_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2026q4_wc_rate
2026Q4 / downside9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
downside_2026q4_wc
2026Q4 / downside34.42
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_revenue, downside_2026q4_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
downside_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / downside-29.63
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cash_before_wc, downside_2026q4_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / downside8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
downside_2026q4_software
2026Q4 / downside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
downside_2026q4_fcf
2026Q4 / downside-37.63
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
downside_2026q4_cash_after_software
2026Q4 / downside-42.63
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_fcf, downside_2026q4_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
downside_2027q1_weight
2027Q1 / downside23.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
downside_2027q1_diagnostics_core
2027Q1 / downside299.94
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q1_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
downside_2027q1_tissue_weight
2027Q1 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
downside_2027q1_tissue
2027Q1 / downside12.38
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(downside_tissue_full_year, downside_2027q1_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
downside_2027q1_liquid_realization
2027Q1 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
downside_2027q1_liquid
2027Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, downside_2027q1_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
downside_2027q1_pricing
2027Q1 / downside12.38
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_tissue, downside_2027q1_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
downside_2027q1_diagnostics
2027Q1 / downside312.32
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q1_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
downside_2027q1_data
2027Q1 / downside102.12
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_data_core, downside_2027q1_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
downside_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / downside414.44
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_diagnostics, downside_2027q1_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
downside_2027q1_diag_margin
2027Q1 / downside60.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q1_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q1 / downside179.97
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q1_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
downside_2027q1_pricing_margin
2027Q1 / downside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
downside_2027q1_pricing_gross
2027Q1 / downside11.14
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_pricing, downside_2027q1_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
downside_2027q1_data_margin
2027Q1 / downside69.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q1_data_gross
2027Q1 / downside70.46
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_data, downside_2027q1_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q1_adjusted_gross
2027Q1 / downside261.57
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_diagnostics_core_gross, downside_2027q1_pricing_gross, downside_2027q1_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
downside_2027q1_cogs_adjustments
2027Q1 / downside4.80
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / downside256.77
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adjusted_gross, downside_2027q1_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
downside_2027q1_opex_weight
2027Q1 / downside24.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
downside_2027q1_cash_opex
2027Q1 / downside264.00
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(downside_cash_opex_year, downside_2027q1_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
downside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q1 / downside-2.43
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adjusted_gross, downside_2027q1_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
downside_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / downside64.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
downside_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / downside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
downside_2027q1_payroll
2027Q1 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
downside_2027q1_acquisition_costs
2027Q1 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
downside_2027q1_gaap_charges
2027Q1 / downside98.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_da, downside_2027q1_payroll, downside_2027q1_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / downside-100.43
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q1_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
downside_2027q1_net_interest_tax
2027Q1 / downside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
downside_2027q1_cash_before_wc
2027Q1 / downside-12.43
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_da, downside_2027q1_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2027q1_wc_rate
2027Q1 / downside9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
downside_2027q1_wc
2027Q1 / downside37.30
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q1_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
downside_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / downside-49.73
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_before_wc, downside_2027q1_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
downside_2027q1_software
2027Q1 / downside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
downside_2027q1_fcf
2027Q1 / downside-59.73
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
downside_2027q1_cash_after_software
2027Q1 / downside-66.73
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q1_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
downside_2027q2_weight
2027Q2 / downside24.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
downside_2027q2_diagnostics_core
2027Q2 / downside312.98
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q2_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
downside_2027q2_tissue_weight
2027Q2 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
downside_2027q2_tissue
2027Q2 / downside12.38
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(downside_tissue_full_year, downside_2027q2_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
downside_2027q2_liquid_realization
2027Q2 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
downside_2027q2_liquid
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, downside_2027q2_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
downside_2027q2_pricing
2027Q2 / downside12.38
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_tissue, downside_2027q2_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
downside_2027q2_diagnostics
2027Q2 / downside325.36
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q2_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
downside_2027q2_data
2027Q2 / downside106.56
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_data_core, downside_2027q2_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
downside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / downside431.92
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_diagnostics, downside_2027q2_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
downside_2027q2_diag_margin
2027Q2 / downside60.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q2_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q2 / downside187.79
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q2_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
downside_2027q2_pricing_margin
2027Q2 / downside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
downside_2027q2_pricing_gross
2027Q2 / downside11.14
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_pricing, downside_2027q2_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
downside_2027q2_data_margin
2027Q2 / downside69.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q2_data_gross
2027Q2 / downside73.53
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_data, downside_2027q2_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q2_adjusted_gross
2027Q2 / downside272.45
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_diagnostics_core_gross, downside_2027q2_pricing_gross, downside_2027q2_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
downside_2027q2_cogs_adjustments
2027Q2 / downside5.20
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / downside267.25
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adjusted_gross, downside_2027q2_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
downside_2027q2_opex_weight
2027Q2 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
downside_2027q2_cash_opex
2027Q2 / downside275.00
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(downside_cash_opex_year, downside_2027q2_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
downside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q2 / downside-2.55
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adjusted_gross, downside_2027q2_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
downside_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / downside67.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
downside_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / downside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
downside_2027q2_payroll
2027Q2 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
downside_2027q2_acquisition_costs
2027Q2 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
downside_2027q2_gaap_charges
2027Q2 / downside101.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_da, downside_2027q2_payroll, downside_2027q2_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / downside-103.55
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q2_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
downside_2027q2_net_interest_tax
2027Q2 / downside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
downside_2027q2_cash_before_wc
2027Q2 / downside-12.55
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_da, downside_2027q2_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2027q2_wc_rate
2027Q2 / downside9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
downside_2027q2_wc
2027Q2 / downside38.87
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
downside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / downside-51.42
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_before_wc, downside_2027q2_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
downside_2027q2_software
2027Q2 / downside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
downside_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / downside-61.42
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
downside_2027q2_cash_after_software
2027Q2 / downside-68.42
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q2_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
downside_2027q3_weight
2027Q3 / downside26.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
downside_2027q3_diagnostics_core
2027Q3 / downside339.07
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q3_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
downside_2027q3_tissue_weight
2027Q3 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
downside_2027q3_tissue
2027Q3 / downside12.38
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(downside_tissue_full_year, downside_2027q3_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
downside_2027q3_liquid_realization
2027Q3 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
downside_2027q3_liquid
2027Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, downside_2027q3_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
downside_2027q3_pricing
2027Q3 / downside12.38
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_tissue, downside_2027q3_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
downside_2027q3_diagnostics
2027Q3 / downside351.44
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q3_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
downside_2027q3_data
2027Q3 / downside115.44
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_data_core, downside_2027q3_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
downside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / downside466.88
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_diagnostics, downside_2027q3_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
downside_2027q3_diag_margin
2027Q3 / downside60.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q3_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q3 / downside203.44
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q3_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
downside_2027q3_pricing_margin
2027Q3 / downside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
downside_2027q3_pricing_gross
2027Q3 / downside11.14
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_pricing, downside_2027q3_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
downside_2027q3_data_margin
2027Q3 / downside69.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q3_data_gross
2027Q3 / downside79.65
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_data, downside_2027q3_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q3_adjusted_gross
2027Q3 / downside294.23
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_diagnostics_core_gross, downside_2027q3_pricing_gross, downside_2027q3_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
downside_2027q3_cogs_adjustments
2027Q3 / downside5.60
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / downside288.63
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adjusted_gross, downside_2027q3_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
downside_2027q3_opex_weight
2027Q3 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
downside_2027q3_cash_opex
2027Q3 / downside275.00
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(downside_cash_opex_year, downside_2027q3_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
downside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q3 / downside19.23
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adjusted_gross, downside_2027q3_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
downside_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / downside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
downside_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / downside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
downside_2027q3_payroll
2027Q3 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
downside_2027q3_acquisition_costs
2027Q3 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
downside_2027q3_gaap_charges
2027Q3 / downside104.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_da, downside_2027q3_payroll, downside_2027q3_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / downside-84.77
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q3_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
downside_2027q3_net_interest_tax
2027Q3 / downside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
downside_2027q3_cash_before_wc
2027Q3 / downside9.23
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_da, downside_2027q3_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2027q3_wc_rate
2027Q3 / downside9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
downside_2027q3_wc
2027Q3 / downside42.02
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q3_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
downside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / downside-32.79
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_before_wc, downside_2027q3_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
downside_2027q3_software
2027Q3 / downside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
downside_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / downside-42.79
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
downside_2027q3_cash_after_software
2027Q3 / downside-49.79
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q3_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
downside_2027q4_weight
2027Q4 / downside27.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
downside_2027q4_diagnostics_core
2027Q4 / downside352.11
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q4_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
downside_2027q4_tissue_weight
2027Q4 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
downside_2027q4_tissue
2027Q4 / downside12.38
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(downside_tissue_full_year, downside_2027q4_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
downside_2027q4_liquid_realization
2027Q4 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
downside_2027q4_liquid
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, downside_2027q4_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
downside_2027q4_pricing
2027Q4 / downside12.38
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_tissue, downside_2027q4_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
downside_2027q4_diagnostics
2027Q4 / downside364.48
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q4_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
downside_2027q4_data
2027Q4 / downside119.88
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_data_core, downside_2027q4_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
downside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / downside484.36
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_diagnostics, downside_2027q4_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
downside_2027q4_diag_margin
2027Q4 / downside60.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q4_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q4 / downside211.26
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_diagnostics_core, downside_2027q4_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
downside_2027q4_pricing_margin
2027Q4 / downside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
downside_2027q4_pricing_gross
2027Q4 / downside11.14
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_pricing, downside_2027q4_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
downside_2027q4_data_margin
2027Q4 / downside69.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q4_data_gross
2027Q4 / downside82.72
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_data, downside_2027q4_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
downside_2027q4_adjusted_gross
2027Q4 / downside305.12
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_diagnostics_core_gross, downside_2027q4_pricing_gross, downside_2027q4_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
downside_2027q4_cogs_adjustments
2027Q4 / downside6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / downside299.12
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adjusted_gross, downside_2027q4_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
downside_2027q4_opex_weight
2027Q4 / downside26.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
downside_2027q4_cash_opex
2027Q4 / downside286.00
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(downside_cash_opex_year, downside_2027q4_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
downside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q4 / downside19.12
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adjusted_gross, downside_2027q4_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
downside_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / downside73.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
downside_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / downside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
downside_2027q4_payroll
2027Q4 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
downside_2027q4_acquisition_costs
2027Q4 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
downside_2027q4_gaap_charges
2027Q4 / downside107.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_da, downside_2027q4_payroll, downside_2027q4_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / downside-87.88
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q4_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
downside_2027q4_net_interest_tax
2027Q4 / downside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
downside_2027q4_cash_before_wc
2027Q4 / downside9.12
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_operating_income, downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_da, downside_2027q4_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2027q4_wc_rate
2027Q4 / downside9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
downside_2027q4_wc
2027Q4 / downside43.59
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_revenue, downside_2027q4_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
downside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / downside-34.47
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_before_wc, downside_2027q4_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
downside_2027q4_software
2027Q4 / downside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
downside_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / downside-44.47
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
downside_2027q4_cash_after_software
2027Q4 / downside-51.47
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_fcf, downside_2027q4_software).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M)
downside_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / downside1,504.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue).
Diagnostics revenue, current perimeter ($M)
downside_fy2026_diagnostics
FY2026 / downside1,134.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_diagnostics, downside_2026q3_diagnostics, downside_2026q4_diagnostics).
Data and Applications revenue ($M)
downside_fy2026_data
FY2026 / downside370.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_data, downside_2026q3_data, downside_2026q4_data).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
downside_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / downside941.26
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)
downside_fy2026_adjusted_ebitda
FY2026 / downside25.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
downside_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / downside-324.83
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
downside_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / downside-150.62
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
downside_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / downside30.33
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex).
Capitalized software cash ($M)
downside_fy2026_software
FY2026 / downside16.83
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_software, downside_2026q3_software, downside_2026q4_software).
CFO less PP&E ($M)
downside_fy2026_fcf
FY2026 / downside-180.95
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q4_fcf).
CFO less PP&E and software ($M)
downside_fy2026_cash_after_software
FY2026 / downside-197.78
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_software, downside_2026q3_cash_after_software, downside_2026q4_cash_after_software).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M)
downside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / downside1,797.60
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue).
Diagnostics revenue, current perimeter ($M)
downside_fy2027_diagnostics
FY2027 / downside1,353.60
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_diagnostics, downside_2027q2_diagnostics, downside_2027q3_diagnostics, downside_2027q4_diagnostics).
Data and Applications revenue ($M)
downside_fy2027_data
FY2027 / downside444.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_data, downside_2027q2_data, downside_2027q3_data, downside_2027q4_data).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / downside1,111.77
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)
downside_fy2027_adjusted_ebitda
FY2027 / downside33.37
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / downside-376.63
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
downside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / downside-168.41
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
downside_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / downside40.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex).
Capitalized software cash ($M)
downside_fy2027_software
FY2027 / downside28.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_software, downside_2027q2_software, downside_2027q3_software, downside_2027q4_software).
CFO less PP&E ($M)
downside_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / downside-208.41
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q4_fcf).
CFO less PP&E and software ($M)
downside_fy2027_cash_after_software
FY2027 / downside-236.41
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_software, downside_2027q2_cash_after_software, downside_2027q3_cash_after_software, downside_2027q4_cash_after_software).
FY2026 revenue vs guide midpoint
base_delivery
FY2026 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk operating sensitivity, same standalone perimeter.
FY2026 revenue
base_fy26_revenue_target
FY2026 / base1,600.00
USD_millions
derived: Company range midpoint times delivery factor. Formula: multiply(fy26_revenue_guide, base_delivery).
FY2026 Data/Applications revenue
base_fy26_data_target
FY2026 / base400.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk license delivery and service timing; not bookings recognized in full.
FY2026 Diagnostics revenue
base_fy26_diagnostics_target
FY2026 / base1,200.00
USD_millions
derived: Total existing-perimeter revenue less Data/Applications. Formula: subtract(base_fy26_revenue_target, base_fy26_data_target).
H2 diagnostics revenue
base_h2_diagnostics
H2 2026 / base649.57
USD_millions
derived: Annual scenario less actual H1. Formula: subtract(base_fy26_diagnostics_target, h1_diagnostics).
FY2027 diagnostics core growth multiplier
base_diagnostics_growth
FY2027 / base125.0%
ratio
assumption: Excludes separately modeled repricing and incremental Personalis operations.
FY2027 diagnostics core revenue
base_fy27_diagnostics_core
FY2027 / base1,500.00
USD_millions
derived: Organic/mix growth before separately shown pricing opportunity. Formula: multiply(base_fy26_diagnostics_target, base_diagnostics_growth).
H2 data revenue
base_h2_data
H2 2026 / base219.83
USD_millions
derived: Annual scenario less actual H1. Formula: subtract(base_fy26_data_target, h1_data).
FY2027 data core growth multiplier
base_data_growth
FY2027 / base135.0%
ratio
assumption: Excludes separately modeled repricing and incremental Personalis operations.
FY2027 data core revenue
base_fy27_data_core
FY2027 / base540.00
USD_millions
derived: Organic/mix growth before separately shown pricing opportunity. Formula: multiply(base_fy26_data_target, base_data_growth).
FY2026 adjusted EBITDA scenario
base_fy26_ebitda_target
FY2026 / base65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base equals approximate company outlook; other cases are desk sensitivities.
H2 adjusted EBITDA
base_h2_ebitda
H2 2026 / base59.79
USD_millions
derived: Annual scenario less actual H1. Formula: subtract(base_fy26_ebitda_target, h1_adjusted_ebitda).
Realized tissue benefit versus illustrative midpoint
base_tissue_realization
FY2027 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk timing/payer mix sensitivity; no payer-level units or price guarantee assumed.
FY2027 tissue pricing contribution
base_tissue_full_year
FY2027 / base90.00
USD_millions
derived: Incremental to core Diagnostics growth; no duplicated full-price revenue. Formula: multiply(tissue_potential, base_tissue_realization).
FY2027 adjusted operating cost before D&A
base_cash_opex_year
FY2027 / base1,140.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk operating expense excluding SBC, D&A, payroll on awards and acquisition adjustments.
Diagnostics revenue
base_2026q3_diagnostics
2026Q3 / base315.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications revenue
base_2026q3_data
2026Q3 / base105.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Incremental 2027 pricing contribution
base_2026q3_pricing
2026Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: No 2027 repricing benefit pulled into 2026.
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
base_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / base420.00
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_diagnostics, base_2026q3_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
base_2026q3_diag_margin
2026Q3 / base65.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
base_2026q3_diagnostics_core_gross
2026Q3 / base204.75
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_diagnostics, base_2026q3_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
base_2026q3_pricing_margin
2026Q3 / base90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
base_2026q3_pricing_gross
2026Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_pricing, base_2026q3_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
base_2026q3_data_margin
2026Q3 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
base_2026q3_data_gross
2026Q3 / base78.75
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_data, base_2026q3_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
base_2026q3_adjusted_gross
2026Q3 / base283.50
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_diagnostics_core_gross, base_2026q3_pricing_gross, base_2026q3_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
base_2026q3_cogs_adjustments
2026Q3 / base4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / base279.50
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adjusted_gross, base_2026q3_cogs_adjustments).
Adjusted EBITDA
base_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda
2026Q3 / base24.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total stock compensation expense
base_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / base58.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
base_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / base28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
base_2026q3_payroll
2026Q3 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
base_2026q3_acquisition_costs
2026Q3 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
base_2026q3_gaap_charges
2026Q3 / base90.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_da, base_2026q3_payroll, base_2026q3_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / base-66.00
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, base_2026q3_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
base_2026q3_net_interest_tax
2026Q3 / base-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
base_2026q3_cash_before_wc
2026Q3 / base14.00
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_da, base_2026q3_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2026q3_wc_rate
2026Q3 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
base_2026q3_wc
2026Q3 / base27.30
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q3_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
base_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / base-13.30
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cash_before_wc, base_2026q3_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / base8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
base_2026q3_software
2026Q3 / base5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
base_2026q3_fcf
2026Q3 / base-21.30
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
base_2026q3_cash_after_software
2026Q3 / base-26.30
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q3_software).
Diagnostics revenue
base_2026q4_diagnostics
2026Q4 / base334.57
USD_millions
derived: Annual segment scenario less H1 and Q3. Formula: subtract(base_h2_diagnostics, base_2026q3_diagnostics).
Data/Applications revenue
base_2026q4_data
2026Q4 / base114.83
USD_millions
derived: Bookings convert according to assumed delivery timing. Formula: subtract(base_h2_data, base_2026q3_data).
Incremental 2027 pricing contribution
base_2026q4_pricing
2026Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: No 2027 repricing benefit pulled into 2026.
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
base_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / base449.40
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_diagnostics, base_2026q4_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
base_2026q4_diag_margin
2026Q4 / base65.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
base_2026q4_diagnostics_core_gross
2026Q4 / base217.47
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_diagnostics, base_2026q4_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
base_2026q4_pricing_margin
2026Q4 / base90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
base_2026q4_pricing_gross
2026Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_pricing, base_2026q4_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
base_2026q4_data_margin
2026Q4 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
base_2026q4_data_gross
2026Q4 / base86.12
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_data, base_2026q4_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
base_2026q4_adjusted_gross
2026Q4 / base303.59
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_diagnostics_core_gross, base_2026q4_pricing_gross, base_2026q4_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
base_2026q4_cogs_adjustments
2026Q4 / base4.40
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / base299.19
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adjusted_gross, base_2026q4_cogs_adjustments).
Adjusted EBITDA
base_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda
2026Q4 / base35.79
USD_millions
derived: Remaining company-outlook reference after actual H1 and Q3. Formula: subtract(base_h2_ebitda, base_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda).
Total stock compensation expense
base_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / base62.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
base_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / base28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
base_2026q4_payroll
2026Q4 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
base_2026q4_acquisition_costs
2026Q4 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
base_2026q4_gaap_charges
2026Q4 / base94.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_da, base_2026q4_payroll, base_2026q4_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / base-58.21
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda, base_2026q4_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
base_2026q4_net_interest_tax
2026Q4 / base-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
base_2026q4_cash_before_wc
2026Q4 / base25.79
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_operating_income, base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_da, base_2026q4_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2026q4_wc_rate
2026Q4 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
base_2026q4_wc
2026Q4 / base29.21
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_revenue, base_2026q4_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
base_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / base-3.42
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cash_before_wc, base_2026q4_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / base8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
base_2026q4_software
2026Q4 / base5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
base_2026q4_fcf
2026Q4 / base-11.42
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
base_2026q4_cash_after_software
2026Q4 / base-16.42
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_fcf, base_2026q4_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
base_2027q1_weight
2027Q1 / base23.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
base_2027q1_diagnostics_core
2027Q1 / base345.00
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_diagnostics_core, base_2027q1_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
base_2027q1_tissue_weight
2027Q1 / base25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
base_2027q1_tissue
2027Q1 / base22.50
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(base_tissue_full_year, base_2027q1_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
base_2027q1_liquid_realization
2027Q1 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
base_2027q1_liquid
2027Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, base_2027q1_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
base_2027q1_pricing
2027Q1 / base22.50
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_tissue, base_2027q1_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
base_2027q1_diagnostics
2027Q1 / base367.50
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_diagnostics_core, base_2027q1_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
base_2027q1_data
2027Q1 / base124.20
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_data_core, base_2027q1_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
base_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / base491.70
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_diagnostics, base_2027q1_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
base_2027q1_diag_margin
2027Q1 / base65.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q1_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q1 / base224.25
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_diagnostics_core, base_2027q1_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
base_2027q1_pricing_margin
2027Q1 / base90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
base_2027q1_pricing_gross
2027Q1 / base20.25
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_pricing, base_2027q1_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
base_2027q1_data_margin
2027Q1 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q1_data_gross
2027Q1 / base93.15
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_data, base_2027q1_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q1_adjusted_gross
2027Q1 / base337.65
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_diagnostics_core_gross, base_2027q1_pricing_gross, base_2027q1_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
base_2027q1_cogs_adjustments
2027Q1 / base4.80
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / base332.85
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adjusted_gross, base_2027q1_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
base_2027q1_opex_weight
2027Q1 / base24.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
base_2027q1_cash_opex
2027Q1 / base273.60
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(base_cash_opex_year, base_2027q1_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
base_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q1 / base64.05
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adjusted_gross, base_2027q1_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
base_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / base67.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
base_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / base30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
base_2027q1_payroll
2027Q1 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
base_2027q1_acquisition_costs
2027Q1 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
base_2027q1_gaap_charges
2027Q1 / base101.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_da, base_2027q1_payroll, base_2027q1_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / base-36.95
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q1_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
base_2027q1_net_interest_tax
2027Q1 / base-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
base_2027q1_cash_before_wc
2027Q1 / base54.05
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_da, base_2027q1_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2027q1_wc_rate
2027Q1 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
base_2027q1_wc
2027Q1 / base31.96
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q1_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
base_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / base22.09
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_before_wc, base_2027q1_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
base_2027q1_software
2027Q1 / base7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
base_2027q1_fcf
2027Q1 / base12.09
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
base_2027q1_cash_after_software
2027Q1 / base5.09
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q1_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
base_2027q2_weight
2027Q2 / base24.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
base_2027q2_diagnostics_core
2027Q2 / base360.00
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_diagnostics_core, base_2027q2_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
base_2027q2_tissue_weight
2027Q2 / base25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
base_2027q2_tissue
2027Q2 / base22.50
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(base_tissue_full_year, base_2027q2_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
base_2027q2_liquid_realization
2027Q2 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
base_2027q2_liquid
2027Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, base_2027q2_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
base_2027q2_pricing
2027Q2 / base22.50
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_tissue, base_2027q2_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
base_2027q2_diagnostics
2027Q2 / base382.50
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_diagnostics_core, base_2027q2_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
base_2027q2_data
2027Q2 / base129.60
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_data_core, base_2027q2_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
base_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / base512.10
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_diagnostics, base_2027q2_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
base_2027q2_diag_margin
2027Q2 / base65.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q2_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q2 / base234.00
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_diagnostics_core, base_2027q2_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
base_2027q2_pricing_margin
2027Q2 / base90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
base_2027q2_pricing_gross
2027Q2 / base20.25
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_pricing, base_2027q2_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
base_2027q2_data_margin
2027Q2 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q2_data_gross
2027Q2 / base97.20
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_data, base_2027q2_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q2_adjusted_gross
2027Q2 / base351.45
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_diagnostics_core_gross, base_2027q2_pricing_gross, base_2027q2_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
base_2027q2_cogs_adjustments
2027Q2 / base5.20
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / base346.25
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adjusted_gross, base_2027q2_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
base_2027q2_opex_weight
2027Q2 / base25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
base_2027q2_cash_opex
2027Q2 / base285.00
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(base_cash_opex_year, base_2027q2_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
base_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q2 / base66.45
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adjusted_gross, base_2027q2_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
base_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / base72.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
base_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / base30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
base_2027q2_payroll
2027Q2 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
base_2027q2_acquisition_costs
2027Q2 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
base_2027q2_gaap_charges
2027Q2 / base106.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_da, base_2027q2_payroll, base_2027q2_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / base-39.55
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q2_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
base_2027q2_net_interest_tax
2027Q2 / base-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
base_2027q2_cash_before_wc
2027Q2 / base56.45
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_da, base_2027q2_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2027q2_wc_rate
2027Q2 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
base_2027q2_wc
2027Q2 / base33.29
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q2_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
base_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / base23.16
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_before_wc, base_2027q2_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
base_2027q2_software
2027Q2 / base7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
base_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / base13.16
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
base_2027q2_cash_after_software
2027Q2 / base6.16
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q2_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
base_2027q3_weight
2027Q3 / base26.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
base_2027q3_diagnostics_core
2027Q3 / base390.00
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_diagnostics_core, base_2027q3_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
base_2027q3_tissue_weight
2027Q3 / base25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
base_2027q3_tissue
2027Q3 / base22.50
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(base_tissue_full_year, base_2027q3_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
base_2027q3_liquid_realization
2027Q3 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
base_2027q3_liquid
2027Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, base_2027q3_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
base_2027q3_pricing
2027Q3 / base22.50
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_tissue, base_2027q3_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
base_2027q3_diagnostics
2027Q3 / base412.50
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_diagnostics_core, base_2027q3_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
base_2027q3_data
2027Q3 / base140.40
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_data_core, base_2027q3_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
base_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / base552.90
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_diagnostics, base_2027q3_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
base_2027q3_diag_margin
2027Q3 / base65.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q3_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q3 / base253.50
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_diagnostics_core, base_2027q3_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
base_2027q3_pricing_margin
2027Q3 / base90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
base_2027q3_pricing_gross
2027Q3 / base20.25
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_pricing, base_2027q3_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
base_2027q3_data_margin
2027Q3 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q3_data_gross
2027Q3 / base105.30
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_data, base_2027q3_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q3_adjusted_gross
2027Q3 / base379.05
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_diagnostics_core_gross, base_2027q3_pricing_gross, base_2027q3_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
base_2027q3_cogs_adjustments
2027Q3 / base5.60
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / base373.45
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adjusted_gross, base_2027q3_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
base_2027q3_opex_weight
2027Q3 / base25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
base_2027q3_cash_opex
2027Q3 / base285.00
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(base_cash_opex_year, base_2027q3_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
base_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q3 / base94.05
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adjusted_gross, base_2027q3_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
base_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / base77.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
base_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / base30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
base_2027q3_payroll
2027Q3 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
base_2027q3_acquisition_costs
2027Q3 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
base_2027q3_gaap_charges
2027Q3 / base111.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_da, base_2027q3_payroll, base_2027q3_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / base-16.95
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q3_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
base_2027q3_net_interest_tax
2027Q3 / base-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
base_2027q3_cash_before_wc
2027Q3 / base84.05
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_da, base_2027q3_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2027q3_wc_rate
2027Q3 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
base_2027q3_wc
2027Q3 / base35.94
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q3_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
base_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / base48.11
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_before_wc, base_2027q3_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
base_2027q3_software
2027Q3 / base7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
base_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / base38.11
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
base_2027q3_cash_after_software
2027Q3 / base31.11
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q3_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
base_2027q4_weight
2027Q4 / base27.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
base_2027q4_diagnostics_core
2027Q4 / base405.00
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_diagnostics_core, base_2027q4_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
base_2027q4_tissue_weight
2027Q4 / base25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
base_2027q4_tissue
2027Q4 / base22.50
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(base_tissue_full_year, base_2027q4_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
base_2027q4_liquid_realization
2027Q4 / base25.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
base_2027q4_liquid
2027Q4 / base68.75
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, base_2027q4_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
base_2027q4_pricing
2027Q4 / base91.25
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_tissue, base_2027q4_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
base_2027q4_diagnostics
2027Q4 / base496.25
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_diagnostics_core, base_2027q4_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
base_2027q4_data
2027Q4 / base145.80
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_data_core, base_2027q4_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
base_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / base642.05
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_diagnostics, base_2027q4_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
base_2027q4_diag_margin
2027Q4 / base65.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q4_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q4 / base263.25
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_diagnostics_core, base_2027q4_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
base_2027q4_pricing_margin
2027Q4 / base90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
base_2027q4_pricing_gross
2027Q4 / base82.12
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_pricing, base_2027q4_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
base_2027q4_data_margin
2027Q4 / base75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q4_data_gross
2027Q4 / base109.35
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_data, base_2027q4_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
base_2027q4_adjusted_gross
2027Q4 / base454.73
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_diagnostics_core_gross, base_2027q4_pricing_gross, base_2027q4_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
base_2027q4_cogs_adjustments
2027Q4 / base6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / base448.73
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adjusted_gross, base_2027q4_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
base_2027q4_opex_weight
2027Q4 / base26.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
base_2027q4_cash_opex
2027Q4 / base296.40
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(base_cash_opex_year, base_2027q4_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
base_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q4 / base158.32
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adjusted_gross, base_2027q4_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
base_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / base82.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
base_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / base30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
base_2027q4_payroll
2027Q4 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
base_2027q4_acquisition_costs
2027Q4 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
base_2027q4_gaap_charges
2027Q4 / base116.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_da, base_2027q4_payroll, base_2027q4_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / base42.32
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q4_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
base_2027q4_net_interest_tax
2027Q4 / base-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
base_2027q4_cash_before_wc
2027Q4 / base148.32
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_operating_income, base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_da, base_2027q4_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2027q4_wc_rate
2027Q4 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
base_2027q4_wc
2027Q4 / base41.73
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_revenue, base_2027q4_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
base_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / base106.59
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_before_wc, base_2027q4_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
base_2027q4_software
2027Q4 / base7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
base_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / base96.59
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
base_2027q4_cash_after_software
2027Q4 / base89.59
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_fcf, base_2027q4_software).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M)
base_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / base1,600.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue).
Diagnostics revenue, current perimeter ($M)
base_fy2026_diagnostics
FY2026 / base1,200.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_diagnostics, base_2026q3_diagnostics, base_2026q4_diagnostics).
Data and Applications revenue ($M)
base_fy2026_data
FY2026 / base400.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_data, base_2026q3_data, base_2026q4_data).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
base_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / base1,047.23
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)
base_fy2026_adjusted_ebitda
FY2026 / base65.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adjusted_ebitda, base_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, base_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
base_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / base-284.83
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
base_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / base-97.52
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
base_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / base30.33
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex).
Capitalized software cash ($M)
base_fy2026_software
FY2026 / base16.83
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_software, base_2026q3_software, base_2026q4_software).
CFO less PP&E ($M)
base_fy2026_fcf
FY2026 / base-127.85
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q4_fcf).
CFO less PP&E and software ($M)
base_fy2026_cash_after_software
FY2026 / base-144.68
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_software, base_2026q3_cash_after_software, base_2026q4_cash_after_software).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M)
base_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / base2,198.75
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue).
Diagnostics revenue, current perimeter ($M)
base_fy2027_diagnostics
FY2027 / base1,658.75
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_diagnostics, base_2027q2_diagnostics, base_2027q3_diagnostics, base_2027q4_diagnostics).
Data and Applications revenue ($M)
base_fy2027_data
FY2027 / base540.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_data, base_2027q2_data, base_2027q3_data, base_2027q4_data).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / base1,501.28
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)
base_fy2027_adjusted_ebitda
FY2027 / base382.88
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / base-51.12
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
base_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / base199.96
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
base_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / base40.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex).
Capitalized software cash ($M)
base_fy2027_software
FY2027 / base28.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_software, base_2027q2_software, base_2027q3_software, base_2027q4_software).
CFO less PP&E ($M)
base_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / base159.96
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q4_fcf).
CFO less PP&E and software ($M)
base_fy2027_cash_after_software
FY2027 / base131.96
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_software, base_2027q2_cash_after_software, base_2027q3_cash_after_software, base_2027q4_cash_after_software).
FY2026 revenue vs guide midpoint
upside_delivery
FY2026 / upside102.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk operating sensitivity, same standalone perimeter.
FY2026 revenue
upside_fy26_revenue_target
FY2026 / upside1,640.00
USD_millions
derived: Company range midpoint times delivery factor. Formula: multiply(fy26_revenue_guide, upside_delivery).
FY2026 Data/Applications revenue
upside_fy26_data_target
FY2026 / upside420.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk license delivery and service timing; not bookings recognized in full.
FY2026 Diagnostics revenue
upside_fy26_diagnostics_target
FY2026 / upside1,220.00
USD_millions
derived: Total existing-perimeter revenue less Data/Applications. Formula: subtract(upside_fy26_revenue_target, upside_fy26_data_target).
H2 diagnostics revenue
upside_h2_diagnostics
H2 2026 / upside669.57
USD_millions
derived: Annual scenario less actual H1. Formula: subtract(upside_fy26_diagnostics_target, h1_diagnostics).
FY2027 diagnostics core growth multiplier
upside_diagnostics_growth
FY2027 / upside132.0%
ratio
assumption: Excludes separately modeled repricing and incremental Personalis operations.
FY2027 diagnostics core revenue
upside_fy27_diagnostics_core
FY2027 / upside1,610.40
USD_millions
derived: Organic/mix growth before separately shown pricing opportunity. Formula: multiply(upside_fy26_diagnostics_target, upside_diagnostics_growth).
H2 data revenue
upside_h2_data
H2 2026 / upside239.83
USD_millions
derived: Annual scenario less actual H1. Formula: subtract(upside_fy26_data_target, h1_data).
FY2027 data core growth multiplier
upside_data_growth
FY2027 / upside150.0%
ratio
assumption: Excludes separately modeled repricing and incremental Personalis operations.
FY2027 data core revenue
upside_fy27_data_core
FY2027 / upside630.00
USD_millions
derived: Organic/mix growth before separately shown pricing opportunity. Formula: multiply(upside_fy26_data_target, upside_data_growth).
FY2026 adjusted EBITDA scenario
upside_fy26_ebitda_target
FY2026 / upside85.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base equals approximate company outlook; other cases are desk sensitivities.
H2 adjusted EBITDA
upside_h2_ebitda
H2 2026 / upside79.79
USD_millions
derived: Annual scenario less actual H1. Formula: subtract(upside_fy26_ebitda_target, h1_adjusted_ebitda).
Realized tissue benefit versus illustrative midpoint
upside_tissue_realization
FY2027 / upside110.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk timing/payer mix sensitivity; no payer-level units or price guarantee assumed.
FY2027 tissue pricing contribution
upside_tissue_full_year
FY2027 / upside99.00
USD_millions
derived: Incremental to core Diagnostics growth; no duplicated full-price revenue. Formula: multiply(tissue_potential, upside_tissue_realization).
FY2027 adjusted operating cost before D&A
upside_cash_opex_year
FY2027 / upside1,210.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk operating expense excluding SBC, D&A, payroll on awards and acquisition adjustments.
Diagnostics revenue
upside_2026q3_diagnostics
2026Q3 / upside325.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications revenue
upside_2026q3_data
2026Q3 / upside112.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Incremental 2027 pricing contribution
upside_2026q3_pricing
2026Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: No 2027 repricing benefit pulled into 2026.
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
upside_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / upside437.00
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_diagnostics, upside_2026q3_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
upside_2026q3_diag_margin
2026Q3 / upside67.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
upside_2026q3_diagnostics_core_gross
2026Q3 / upside217.75
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_diagnostics, upside_2026q3_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
upside_2026q3_pricing_margin
2026Q3 / upside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
upside_2026q3_pricing_gross
2026Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_pricing, upside_2026q3_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
upside_2026q3_data_margin
2026Q3 / upside78.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
upside_2026q3_data_gross
2026Q3 / upside87.36
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_data, upside_2026q3_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
upside_2026q3_adjusted_gross
2026Q3 / upside305.11
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_diagnostics_core_gross, upside_2026q3_pricing_gross, upside_2026q3_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
upside_2026q3_cogs_adjustments
2026Q3 / upside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / upside301.11
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adjusted_gross, upside_2026q3_cogs_adjustments).
Adjusted EBITDA
upside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda
2026Q3 / upside32.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total stock compensation expense
upside_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / upside61.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
upside_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / upside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
upside_2026q3_payroll
2026Q3 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
upside_2026q3_acquisition_costs
2026Q3 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
upside_2026q3_gaap_charges
2026Q3 / upside93.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_da, upside_2026q3_payroll, upside_2026q3_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / upside-61.00
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2026q3_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
upside_2026q3_net_interest_tax
2026Q3 / upside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
upside_2026q3_cash_before_wc
2026Q3 / upside22.00
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_da, upside_2026q3_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2026q3_wc_rate
2026Q3 / upside4.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
upside_2026q3_wc
2026Q3 / upside17.48
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q3_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
upside_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / upside4.52
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cash_before_wc, upside_2026q3_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / upside8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
upside_2026q3_software
2026Q3 / upside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
upside_2026q3_fcf
2026Q3 / upside-3.48
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
upside_2026q3_cash_after_software
2026Q3 / upside-8.48
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q3_software).
Diagnostics revenue
upside_2026q4_diagnostics
2026Q4 / upside344.57
USD_millions
derived: Annual segment scenario less H1 and Q3. Formula: subtract(upside_h2_diagnostics, upside_2026q3_diagnostics).
Data/Applications revenue
upside_2026q4_data
2026Q4 / upside127.83
USD_millions
derived: Bookings convert according to assumed delivery timing. Formula: subtract(upside_h2_data, upside_2026q3_data).
Incremental 2027 pricing contribution
upside_2026q4_pricing
2026Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: No 2027 repricing benefit pulled into 2026.
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
upside_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / upside472.40
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_diagnostics, upside_2026q4_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
upside_2026q4_diag_margin
2026Q4 / upside67.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
upside_2026q4_diagnostics_core_gross
2026Q4 / upside230.86
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_diagnostics, upside_2026q4_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
upside_2026q4_pricing_margin
2026Q4 / upside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
upside_2026q4_pricing_gross
2026Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_pricing, upside_2026q4_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
upside_2026q4_data_margin
2026Q4 / upside78.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
upside_2026q4_data_gross
2026Q4 / upside99.71
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_data, upside_2026q4_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
upside_2026q4_adjusted_gross
2026Q4 / upside330.57
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_diagnostics_core_gross, upside_2026q4_pricing_gross, upside_2026q4_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
upside_2026q4_cogs_adjustments
2026Q4 / upside4.40
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / upside326.17
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adjusted_gross, upside_2026q4_cogs_adjustments).
Adjusted EBITDA
upside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda
2026Q4 / upside47.79
USD_millions
derived: Remaining company-outlook reference after actual H1 and Q3. Formula: subtract(upside_h2_ebitda, upside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda).
Total stock compensation expense
upside_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / upside67.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
upside_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / upside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
upside_2026q4_payroll
2026Q4 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
upside_2026q4_acquisition_costs
2026Q4 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
upside_2026q4_gaap_charges
2026Q4 / upside99.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_da, upside_2026q4_payroll, upside_2026q4_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / upside-51.21
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2026q4_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
upside_2026q4_net_interest_tax
2026Q4 / upside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
upside_2026q4_cash_before_wc
2026Q4 / upside37.79
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_operating_income, upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_da, upside_2026q4_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2026q4_wc_rate
2026Q4 / upside4.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
upside_2026q4_wc
2026Q4 / upside18.90
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_revenue, upside_2026q4_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
upside_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / upside18.89
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cash_before_wc, upside_2026q4_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / upside8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
upside_2026q4_software
2026Q4 / upside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
upside_2026q4_fcf
2026Q4 / upside10.89
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
upside_2026q4_cash_after_software
2026Q4 / upside5.89
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_fcf, upside_2026q4_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
upside_2027q1_weight
2027Q1 / upside23.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
upside_2027q1_diagnostics_core
2027Q1 / upside370.39
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q1_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
upside_2027q1_tissue_weight
2027Q1 / upside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
upside_2027q1_tissue
2027Q1 / upside24.75
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(upside_tissue_full_year, upside_2027q1_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
upside_2027q1_liquid_realization
2027Q1 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
upside_2027q1_liquid
2027Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, upside_2027q1_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
upside_2027q1_pricing
2027Q1 / upside24.75
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_tissue, upside_2027q1_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
upside_2027q1_diagnostics
2027Q1 / upside395.14
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q1_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
upside_2027q1_data
2027Q1 / upside144.90
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_data_core, upside_2027q1_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
upside_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / upside540.04
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_diagnostics, upside_2027q1_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
upside_2027q1_diag_margin
2027Q1 / upside67.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q1_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q1 / upside248.16
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q1_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
upside_2027q1_pricing_margin
2027Q1 / upside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
upside_2027q1_pricing_gross
2027Q1 / upside22.28
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_pricing, upside_2027q1_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
upside_2027q1_data_margin
2027Q1 / upside78.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q1_data_gross
2027Q1 / upside113.02
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_data, upside_2027q1_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q1_adjusted_gross
2027Q1 / upside383.46
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_diagnostics_core_gross, upside_2027q1_pricing_gross, upside_2027q1_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
upside_2027q1_cogs_adjustments
2027Q1 / upside4.80
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / upside378.66
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adjusted_gross, upside_2027q1_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
upside_2027q1_opex_weight
2027Q1 / upside24.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
upside_2027q1_cash_opex
2027Q1 / upside290.40
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(upside_cash_opex_year, upside_2027q1_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
upside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q1 / upside93.06
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adjusted_gross, upside_2027q1_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
upside_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / upside75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
upside_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / upside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
upside_2027q1_payroll
2027Q1 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
upside_2027q1_acquisition_costs
2027Q1 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
upside_2027q1_gaap_charges
2027Q1 / upside109.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_da, upside_2027q1_payroll, upside_2027q1_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / upside-15.94
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q1_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
upside_2027q1_net_interest_tax
2027Q1 / upside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
upside_2027q1_cash_before_wc
2027Q1 / upside83.06
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_da, upside_2027q1_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2027q1_wc_rate
2027Q1 / upside4.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
upside_2027q1_wc
2027Q1 / upside21.60
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q1_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
upside_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / upside61.46
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_before_wc, upside_2027q1_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
upside_2027q1_software
2027Q1 / upside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
upside_2027q1_fcf
2027Q1 / upside51.46
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
upside_2027q1_cash_after_software
2027Q1 / upside44.46
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q1_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
upside_2027q2_weight
2027Q2 / upside24.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
upside_2027q2_diagnostics_core
2027Q2 / upside386.50
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q2_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
upside_2027q2_tissue_weight
2027Q2 / upside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
upside_2027q2_tissue
2027Q2 / upside24.75
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(upside_tissue_full_year, upside_2027q2_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
upside_2027q2_liquid_realization
2027Q2 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
upside_2027q2_liquid
2027Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, upside_2027q2_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
upside_2027q2_pricing
2027Q2 / upside24.75
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_tissue, upside_2027q2_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
upside_2027q2_diagnostics
2027Q2 / upside411.25
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q2_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
upside_2027q2_data
2027Q2 / upside151.20
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_data_core, upside_2027q2_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
upside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / upside562.45
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_diagnostics, upside_2027q2_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
upside_2027q2_diag_margin
2027Q2 / upside67.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q2_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q2 / upside258.95
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q2_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
upside_2027q2_pricing_margin
2027Q2 / upside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
upside_2027q2_pricing_gross
2027Q2 / upside22.28
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_pricing, upside_2027q2_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
upside_2027q2_data_margin
2027Q2 / upside78.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q2_data_gross
2027Q2 / upside117.94
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_data, upside_2027q2_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q2_adjusted_gross
2027Q2 / upside399.16
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_diagnostics_core_gross, upside_2027q2_pricing_gross, upside_2027q2_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
upside_2027q2_cogs_adjustments
2027Q2 / upside5.20
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / upside393.96
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adjusted_gross, upside_2027q2_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
upside_2027q2_opex_weight
2027Q2 / upside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
upside_2027q2_cash_opex
2027Q2 / upside302.50
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(upside_cash_opex_year, upside_2027q2_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
upside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q2 / upside96.66
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adjusted_gross, upside_2027q2_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
upside_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / upside83.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
upside_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / upside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
upside_2027q2_payroll
2027Q2 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
upside_2027q2_acquisition_costs
2027Q2 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
upside_2027q2_gaap_charges
2027Q2 / upside117.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_da, upside_2027q2_payroll, upside_2027q2_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / upside-20.34
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q2_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
upside_2027q2_net_interest_tax
2027Q2 / upside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
upside_2027q2_cash_before_wc
2027Q2 / upside86.66
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_da, upside_2027q2_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2027q2_wc_rate
2027Q2 / upside4.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
upside_2027q2_wc
2027Q2 / upside22.50
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
upside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / upside64.17
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_before_wc, upside_2027q2_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
upside_2027q2_software
2027Q2 / upside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
upside_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / upside54.17
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
upside_2027q2_cash_after_software
2027Q2 / upside47.17
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q2_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
upside_2027q3_weight
2027Q3 / upside26.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
upside_2027q3_diagnostics_core
2027Q3 / upside418.70
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q3_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
upside_2027q3_tissue_weight
2027Q3 / upside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
upside_2027q3_tissue
2027Q3 / upside24.75
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(upside_tissue_full_year, upside_2027q3_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
upside_2027q3_liquid_realization
2027Q3 / upside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
upside_2027q3_liquid
2027Q3 / upside68.75
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, upside_2027q3_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
upside_2027q3_pricing
2027Q3 / upside93.50
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_tissue, upside_2027q3_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
upside_2027q3_diagnostics
2027Q3 / upside512.20
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q3_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
upside_2027q3_data
2027Q3 / upside163.80
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_data_core, upside_2027q3_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
upside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / upside676.00
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_diagnostics, upside_2027q3_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
upside_2027q3_diag_margin
2027Q3 / upside67.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q3_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q3 / upside280.53
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q3_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
upside_2027q3_pricing_margin
2027Q3 / upside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
upside_2027q3_pricing_gross
2027Q3 / upside84.15
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_pricing, upside_2027q3_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
upside_2027q3_data_margin
2027Q3 / upside78.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q3_data_gross
2027Q3 / upside127.76
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_data, upside_2027q3_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q3_adjusted_gross
2027Q3 / upside492.45
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_diagnostics_core_gross, upside_2027q3_pricing_gross, upside_2027q3_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
upside_2027q3_cogs_adjustments
2027Q3 / upside5.60
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / upside486.85
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adjusted_gross, upside_2027q3_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
upside_2027q3_opex_weight
2027Q3 / upside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
upside_2027q3_cash_opex
2027Q3 / upside302.50
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(upside_cash_opex_year, upside_2027q3_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
upside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q3 / upside189.95
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adjusted_gross, upside_2027q3_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
upside_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / upside91.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
upside_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / upside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
upside_2027q3_payroll
2027Q3 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
upside_2027q3_acquisition_costs
2027Q3 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
upside_2027q3_gaap_charges
2027Q3 / upside125.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_da, upside_2027q3_payroll, upside_2027q3_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / upside64.95
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q3_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
upside_2027q3_net_interest_tax
2027Q3 / upside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
upside_2027q3_cash_before_wc
2027Q3 / upside179.95
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_da, upside_2027q3_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2027q3_wc_rate
2027Q3 / upside4.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
upside_2027q3_wc
2027Q3 / upside27.04
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q3_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
upside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / upside152.91
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_before_wc, upside_2027q3_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
upside_2027q3_software
2027Q3 / upside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
upside_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / upside142.91
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
upside_2027q3_cash_after_software
2027Q3 / upside135.91
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q3_software).
Annual core revenue quarter share
upside_2027q4_weight
2027Q4 / upside27.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics before new pricing
upside_2027q4_diagnostics_core
2027Q4 / upside434.81
USD_millions
derived: Current-perimeter growth, including existing commercialization arrangements. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q4_weight).
Annual tissue benefit quarterly share
upside_2027q4_tissue_weight
2027Q4 / upside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Tissue pricing contribution
upside_2027q4_tissue
2027Q4 / upside24.75
USD_millions
derived: Desk January start assumption from September management commentary. Formula: multiply(upside_tissue_full_year, upside_2027q4_tissue_weight).
Fraction of potential full-effect liquid opportunity
upside_2027q4_liquid_realization
2027Q4 / upside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Conditional regulatory/pricing timing: base only Q4 at one quarter of the illustrative opportunity; downside zero.
Liquid-biopsy pricing contribution
upside_2027q4_liquid
2027Q4 / upside68.75
USD_millions
derived: Fractional-year sensitivity, not a promised full-year benefit. Formula: multiply(liquid_potential, upside_2027q4_liquid_realization).
Total incremental diagnostics pricing
upside_2027q4_pricing
2027Q4 / upside93.50
USD_millions
derived: Tissue and liquid opportunities counted once each. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_tissue, upside_2027q4_liquid).
Diagnostics revenue
upside_2027q4_diagnostics
2027Q4 / upside528.31
USD_millions
derived: Core volume/mix plus conditional repricing; no incremental acquired Personalis sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q4_pricing).
Data/Applications revenue
upside_2027q4_data
2027Q4 / upside170.10
USD_millions
derived: Independent data business growth and delivery timing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_data_core, upside_2027q4_weight).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis
upside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / upside698.41
USD_millions
derived: Explicit standalone perimeter across all periods. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_diagnostics, upside_2027q4_data).
Diagnostics core adjusted gross margin
upside_2027q4_diag_margin
2027Q4 / upside67.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Diagnostics core adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q4_diagnostics_core_gross
2027Q4 / upside291.32
USD_millions
derived: Desk margin before cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_diagnostics_core, upside_2027q4_diag_margin).
Incremental pricing contribution margin
upside_2027q4_pricing_margin
2027Q4 / upside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Allows incremental servicing/collection cost; not all announced price uplift becomes margin or cash.
Incremental pricing gross contribution
upside_2027q4_pricing_gross
2027Q4 / upside84.15
USD_millions
derived: Price contribution separate from volume gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_pricing, upside_2027q4_pricing_margin).
Data/Applications adjusted gross margin
upside_2027q4_data_margin
2027Q4 / upside78.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Data/Applications adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q4_data_gross
2027Q4 / upside132.68
USD_millions
derived: Desk delivery margin, not a bookings margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_data, upside_2027q4_data_margin).
Adjusted gross contribution
upside_2027q4_adjusted_gross
2027Q4 / upside508.15
USD_millions
derived: Before cost-of-revenue compensation adjustments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_diagnostics_core_gross, upside_2027q4_pricing_gross, upside_2027q4_data_gross).
Cost-of-revenue SBC and payroll adjustments
upside_2027q4_cogs_adjustments
2027Q4 / upside6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / upside502.15
USD_millions
derived: Included within total SBC/payroll in the operating bridge, not deducted twice there. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adjusted_gross, upside_2027q4_cogs_adjustments).
Annual expense quarter share
upside_2027q4_opex_weight
2027Q4 / upside26.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Adjusted operating expense before D&A
upside_2027q4_cash_opex
2027Q4 / upside314.60
USD_millions
derived: Annual cost scenario allocated by operating capacity. Formula: multiply(upside_cash_opex_year, upside_2027q4_opex_weight).
Adjusted EBITDA
upside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda
2027Q4 / upside193.55
USD_millions
derived: Independent operating leverage; no securities gains included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adjusted_gross, upside_2027q4_cash_opex).
Total stock compensation expense
upside_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / upside99.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Total depreciation and amortization
upside_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / upside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Employer taxes on stock compensation
upside_2027q4_payroll
2027Q4 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Acquisition-related operating expenses
upside_2027q4_acquisition_costs
2027Q4 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating deductions
upside_2027q4_gaap_charges
2027Q4 / upside133.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes cost-of-revenue SBC/payroll already excluded from adjusted gross contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_da, upside_2027q4_payroll, upside_2027q4_acquisition_costs).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / upside60.55
USD_millions
derived: Adjusted EBITDA less D&A and all equity/cash adjustments; no unrealized investment gains. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q4_gaap_charges).
Net cash interest and tax contribution
upside_2027q4_net_interest_tax
2027Q4 / upside-6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk cash interest/tax allowance after June debt refinancing; excludes noncash discount amortization and security gains.
Operating cash before working capital
upside_2027q4_cash_before_wc
2027Q4 / upside183.55
USD_millions
derived: Adds back only noncash charges, leaving payroll and transaction cash costs. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_operating_income, upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_da, upside_2027q4_net_interest_tax).
Working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2027q4_wc_rate
2027Q4 / upside4.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Net operating working-capital use
upside_2027q4_wc
2027Q4 / upside27.94
USD_millions
derived: Receivables, data deliveries and operating liabilities net; securities received for invoices are not cash. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_revenue, upside_2027q4_wc_rate).
Operating cash flow
upside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / upside155.61
USD_millions
derived: No securities-sale proceeds, convertible proceeds or merger funding included. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_before_wc, upside_2027q4_wc).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Capitalized software cash
upside_2027q4_software
2027Q4 / upside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
CFO less PP&E
upside_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / upside145.61
USD_millions
derived: Generic historical cash scope. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E and software
upside_2027q4_cash_after_software
2027Q4 / upside138.61
USD_millions
derived: Excludes pending merger consideration, dilution and financing. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_fcf, upside_2027q4_software).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M)
upside_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / upside1,640.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue).
Diagnostics revenue, current perimeter ($M)
upside_fy2026_diagnostics
FY2026 / upside1,220.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_diagnostics, upside_2026q3_diagnostics, upside_2026q4_diagnostics).
Data and Applications revenue ($M)
upside_fy2026_data
FY2026 / upside420.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_data, upside_2026q3_data, upside_2026q4_data).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
upside_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / upside1,095.82
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)
upside_fy2026_adjusted_ebitda
FY2026 / upside85.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
upside_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / upside-272.83
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
upside_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / upside-57.39
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
upside_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / upside30.33
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex).
Capitalized software cash ($M)
upside_fy2026_software
FY2026 / upside16.83
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_software, upside_2026q3_software, upside_2026q4_software).
CFO less PP&E ($M)
upside_fy2026_fcf
FY2026 / upside-87.72
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q4_fcf).
CFO less PP&E and software ($M)
upside_fy2026_cash_after_software
FY2026 / upside-104.55
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_software, upside_2026q3_cash_after_software, upside_2026q4_cash_after_software).
Revenue excluding incremental Personalis ($M)
upside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / upside2,476.90
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue).
Diagnostics revenue, current perimeter ($M)
upside_fy2027_diagnostics
FY2027 / upside1,846.90
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_diagnostics, upside_2027q2_diagnostics, upside_2027q3_diagnostics, upside_2027q4_diagnostics).
Data and Applications revenue ($M)
upside_fy2027_data
FY2027 / upside630.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_data, upside_2027q2_data, upside_2027q3_data, upside_2027q4_data).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / upside1,761.62
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)
upside_fy2027_adjusted_ebitda
FY2027 / upside573.22
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / upside89.22
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
upside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / upside434.14
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
upside_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / upside40.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex).
Capitalized software cash ($M)
upside_fy2027_software
FY2027 / upside28.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_software, upside_2027q2_software, upside_2027q3_software, upside_2027q4_software).
CFO less PP&E ($M)
upside_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / upside394.14
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q4_fcf).
CFO less PP&E and software ($M)
upside_fy2027_cash_after_software
FY2027 / upside366.14
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_software, upside_2027q2_cash_after_software, upside_2027q3_cash_after_software, upside_2027q4_cash_after_software).

Model boundaries

A standalone diagnostics and data model with conditional pricing

Research reviewed 2026-09-19

What operating cash can the current business produce before pending merger funding and conditional pricing gains?

H1 Diagnostics revenue was $550.431M and Data/Applications $180.171M, totaling $730.602M. GAAP operating loss was $160.624M despite $5.211M adjusted EBITDA. CFO was negative $80.802M; PP&E of $14.327M and software of $6.832M left negative $101.961M. H1 securities gains of $66.166M were noncash; $8.750M of preferred stock was received for receivables. June cash was $599.614M, marketable equities $216.377M and restricted cash $4.724M. The release liquidity headline includes the restricted amount. The July outlook excludes Personalis. September 15 management commentary discussed $80M-$100M tumor-only pricing benefit and a larger $250M-$300M liquid-biopsy opportunity, with liquid timing expected in H2 2027; these are conditional opportunities, not a guaranteed full-year guide. The August 31 S-4 left the up-to-50% cash election and funding choice undetermined, and described a planned HSR refiling with an October 2 expected waiting-period end.

The competing explanation

Coverage, approval, implementation or collections can lag management expectations, and license demand can be lumpy. Gains on owned equities do not pay ongoing expenses until monetized. The pending acquisition can introduce substantial dilution, cash needs, integration costs and intercompany eliminations absent from this standalone view.

Risks to track

Next checkpoints

Data coverage and open work

This review: First current-perimeter scenarios incorporating September 15 pricing commentary and August S-4; no post-merger revenue or unrealized-gain extrapolation.

What the memory says

State as of the 2026-09-18 close: in a 120-day uptrend, above its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with a clear path above, ordinary volume, closed weak, and some peers moving

300 similar days

Vs the market, in pointsLowMiddleHighShare up
1 session-6.9-0.5+3.542%
5 sessions-13.6-1.1+11.445%
10 sessions-17.7-0.5+17.647%

Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side.

Notes on this name

Scorecard: 1 note scored

Next report date: not dated. Undated in the latest note (https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/tem-personalis-demand-remarks-20260916): the Personalis stockholder vote and closing; third-quarter results in early November

Provenance

  1. [1] reported: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001193125-25-264652, 10-Q filed 2025-11-04; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  2. [2] derived: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001193125-26-066961, 10-K filed 2026-02-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  3. [3] reported: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001193125-26-206356, 10-Q filed 2026-05-05; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  4. [4] reported: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001193125-26-326090, 10-Q filed 2026-07-30; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  5. [5] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001193125-25-264652, 10-Q filed 2025-11-04; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  6. [6] derived: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001193125-26-066961, 10-K filed 2026-02-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  7. [7] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001193125-26-206356, 10-Q filed 2026-05-05; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  8. [8] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001193125-26-326090, 10-Q filed 2026-07-30; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  9. [9] reported: NetIncomeLoss, accession 0001193125-25-264652, 10-Q filed 2025-11-04; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  10. [10] derived: NetIncomeLoss, accession 0001193125-26-066961, 10-K filed 2026-02-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  11. [11] reported: NetIncomeLoss, accession 0001193125-26-206356, 10-Q filed 2026-05-05; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  12. [12] reported: NetIncomeLoss, accession 0001193125-26-326090, 10-Q filed 2026-07-30; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  13. [13] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001193125-25-264652, 10-Q filed 2025-11-04; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  14. [14] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001193125-26-206356, 10-Q filed 2026-05-05; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  15. [15] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001193125-26-326090, 10-Q filed 2026-07-30; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  16. [16] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001193125-25-264652, 10-Q filed 2025-11-04; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  17. [17] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001193125-26-206356, 10-Q filed 2026-05-05; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  18. [18] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001193125-26-326090, 10-Q filed 2026-07-30; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  19. [19] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001193125-25-264652, 10-Q filed 2025-11-04; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  20. [20] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001193125-26-066961, 10-K filed 2026-02-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  21. [21] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001193125-26-206356, 10-Q filed 2026-05-05; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  22. [22] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001193125-26-326090, 10-Q filed 2026-07-30; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  23. [23] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001193125-25-264652, 10-Q filed 2025-11-04; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  24. [24] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001193125-26-066961, 10-K filed 2026-02-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  25. [25] reported: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001193125-26-206356, 10-Q filed 2026-05-05; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  26. [26] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001193125-26-326090, 10-Q filed 2026-07-30; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  27. [27] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001193125-25-264652, 10-Q filed 2025-11-04; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  28. [28] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001193125-26-066961, 10-K filed 2026-02-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  29. [29] reported: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001193125-26-206356, 10-Q filed 2026-05-05; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  30. [30] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001193125-26-326090, 10-Q filed 2026-07-30; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  31. [31] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001193125-25-264652, 10-Q filed 2025-11-04; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  32. [32] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001193125-26-066961, 10-K filed 2026-02-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  33. [33] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001193125-26-206356, 10-Q filed 2026-05-05; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json
  34. [34] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001193125-26-326090, 10-Q filed 2026-07-30; retrieved 2026-09-19T20:45:31+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001717115.json

What the author read

Compiled 2026-09-19T20:45:31.686308+00:00 · authored e0086958910a · generated 507694d43913 · JSON

Daily notes · Scorecard