ALPHAFORGE RESEARCH · COMPANY FILE · ENERGY, MATERIALS & POWER

$TE

T1 Energy Inc. · NYSE · SIC 3674 · CIK 1992243 · revision 9 as of 2026-09-26

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Research status

Evidence awaiting review · 88 pending evidence leads

Financial accounts through
2026-06-30
Authored update
2026-09-20
Source scan
Full model review
Not recorded
Latest event review
Not recorded
Oldest pending lead
Open evidence leads
  • 8-K filed 2026-09-29
  • 8-K filed 2026-10-06
  • Best Solar Stocks To Follow Now - September 21st - MarketBeat
  • TE Stock Jumps 14% Today – This Hedge Fund Bought 10M Shares Of T1 Energy In Q1 - Stocktwits
  • The $21 billion capex bill: analyzing the cost of the U.S. 100 GW module production milestone - pv magazine USA

Leads require verification; they are not established material changes.

A published model and a successful scan do not establish a completed review. Status describes current monitoring; every promotion requires fresh checks.

Research status JSON

Business

T1 Energy manufactures solar modules in Texas and is building domestic cell capacity at G2_Austin. Its acquired KORE business adds storage exposure. Shipments, component cost, tax-credit eligibility and collection timing determine operating cash; construction and intellectual-property payments determine financing needs.

Three drivers

  1. Modules sold, price and manufacturing contribution
  2. Eligible manufacturing credits versus transfer cash
  3. G2 construction, IP settlement and bridge financing

Thesis

Our view

Domestic manufacturing may improve product economics, but credit eligibility and cash collection must support an expensive cell-factory ramp. Reported adjusted EBITDA includes a tariff-refund benefit that should not be extrapolated.

What changes it

Track actual module sales, net cash from credits, G2 costs/funding and cash-versus-share IP elections.

Scenario ranges

Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.

Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)

Fiscal quarter2024Q3
2024-09-30
2024Q4
2024-12-31
2025Q1
2025-03-31
2025Q2
2025-06-30
2025Q3
2025-09-30
2025Q4
2025-12-31
2026Q1
2026-03-31
2026Q2
2026-06-30
Revenue ($M)0.012.9†253.53132.84210.51358.6†2177.63250.14
Gross profit ($M)0.051.2†617.8732.8821.15-16.1†629.1749.18
Operating income ($M)-17.49-32.9†10-25.611-31.412-94.79-82.9†10-22.511-22.812
Net income ($M)-27.513—————-21.4†14-44.515
EPS, diluted ($)-0.2016—-0.1117-0.2118-0.8716—-0.0817-0.1618
Diluted shares (M)140.519—155.920155.921161.019—285.320280.121
Cash ($M)181.92272.62348.9248.52534.122182.42546.42479.125
Long-term debt ($M)—507.926487.727477.928427.229343.830330.231500.430
Cash from operations ($M)-28.4†32-30.2†33-44.83433.4†3563.9†3243.0†33-72.934-30.1†35
Capex ($M)5.6†3616.1†3729.13822.8†398.9†3618.0†3760.738101.1†39
Free cash flow ($M)-34.0†40-46.4†41-74.0†4210.6†4355.0†4025.0†41-133.6†42-131.2†43

† derived (Q4 = fiscal year minus the first three quarters; year-to-date cash flows differenced; FCF = CFO − capex). Superscripts are the provenance notes below.

Estimates · base scenario

PeriodRevenue ($M)EPS ($)As ofBasis
2026Q3298.0—2026-09-20Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2026Q4344.2—2026-09-20Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q1326.0—2026-09-20Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q2357.0—2026-09-20Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.

Module sales, credit cash realization and the G2 funding bill

Operating scenarios · reviewed 2026-09-20 · USD millions unless labeled otherwise · our assumptions, not consensus

Model modules sold separately from factory production. Normalize one GW of shipments to explicit dollars per watt for revenue and manufacturing contribution; add only eligible module/cell credit accrual. Bridge adjusted EBITDA through D&A/SBC to operating income and replace accrued credits/refunds with actual cash-collection assumptions. Deduct G2/gross capex and the cash portion of IP payments; disclose the alternative share consideration.

Reported anchors and guidance

MeasurePeriodValueBasis
q2 revenueQ2 / July subsequent events250.13reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12
q2 adj ebitdaQ2 / July subsequent events10.66reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12
Q2 EBITDA excluding recognized tariff refund2026Q2-13.74derived. Removes the $24.4M nonrecurring benefit included in final adjusted EBITDA.
H1 EBITDA excluding tariff refundH1 2026-4.61derived. A normalization, not company adjusted EBITDA.
Reported cfoH1 2026-102.98reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-12
H1 CFO less gross capexH1 2026-264.80derived. Reported PP&E purchases, not all investing flows.
cashQ2 / July subsequent events79.11reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12
restrictedQ2 / July subsequent events77.33reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12
grant receivableQ2 / July subsequent events95.39reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12
credit face soldQ2 / July subsequent events39.10reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12
credit sale considerationQ2 / July subsequent events36.40reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12
g2 total budgetQ2 / July subsequent events510.00reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12
july noteQ2 / July subsequent events120.00reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12
ip totalQ2 / July subsequent events135.00reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12
ip paid sharesQ2 / July subsequent events60.00reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12
ip remainingQ2 / July subsequent events73.00reported. USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Source · 2026-08-12

Downside scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow proxy ($M)Cash after PP&E ($M)Gross PP&E cash ($M)IP cash consideration ($M)Revenue ($M)Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M)Gross profit proxy ($M)Cash after PP&E and IP ($M)Operating income proxy ($M)
2026Q3-51.77-183.77132.0027.00245.25-1.326.40-210.77-36.32
2026Q48.82-147.18156.0048.00257.002.469.30-195.18-35.54
2027Q1-39.04-123.0484.000.00240.750.216.17-123.04-40.79
2027Q2-30.95-66.9536.000.00256.504.249.32-66.95-39.76
FY2026-145.93-595.75449.8275.00930.0220.9393.88-670.75-117.14
FY2027-107.82-275.82168.000.001,057.5034.6053.16-275.82-147.40

Base scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow proxy ($M)Cash after PP&E ($M)Gross PP&E cash ($M)IP cash consideration ($M)Revenue ($M)Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M)Gross profit proxy ($M)Cash after PP&E and IP ($M)Operating income proxy ($M)
2026Q3-7.00-117.00110.0014.50298.0040.1044.10-131.505.10
2026Q473.45-56.55130.0024.00344.2555.9258.92-80.5517.92
2027Q110.00-60.0070.000.00326.0055.4757.47-60.0014.47
2027Q225.60-4.4030.000.00357.0073.1674.16-4.4029.16
FY2026-36.53-438.35401.8238.501,070.03115.81181.20-476.85-22.27
FY2027126.45-13.55140.000.001,446.50309.25311.25-13.55127.25

Upside scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow proxy ($M)Cash after PP&E ($M)Gross PP&E cash ($M)IP cash consideration ($M)Revenue ($M)Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M)Gross profit proxy ($M)Cash after PP&E and IP ($M)Operating income proxy ($M)
2026Q31.86-113.64115.502.00338.5050.3755.61-115.6415.37
2026Q489.04-47.46136.500.00386.2568.2272.50-47.4630.22
2027Q124.82-48.6873.500.00373.0073.1676.48-48.6832.16
2027Q243.7012.2031.500.00405.5094.9997.3512.2050.99
FY2026-12.08-425.90413.822.001,152.53138.38206.29-427.900.30
FY2027204.3157.31147.000.001,641.25396.31403.8357.31214.31
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
Input / calculationPeriod / caseValue / unitEvidence or assumption
Reported revenue
h1_revenue
H1 2026 / shared427.77
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-12
Reported gross profit
h1_gross_profit
H1 2026 / shared78.18
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-12
Reported adj ebitda
h1_adj_ebitda
H1 2026 / shared19.79
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-12
Reported operating income
h1_operating_income
H1 2026 / shared-45.29
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-12
Reported cfo
h1_cfo
H1 2026 / shared-102.98
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-12
Reported capex
h1_capex
H1 2026 / shared161.82
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-12
H1 CFO less gross capex
h1_fcf
H1 2026 / shared-264.80
USD_millions
derived: Reported PP&E purchases, not all investing flows. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_capex).
H1 Evervolt acquisition cash
h1_ip_cash
H1 2026 / shared0.00
USD_millions
reported: IP acquisition was in July. Primary source · 2026-08-12
H1 cash after capital claims
h1_cash_after_ip
H1 2026 / shared-264.80
USD_millions
derived: No July claim backdated. Formula: subtract(h1_fcf, h1_ip_cash).
q2 revenue
q2_revenue
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared250.13
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
q2 adj ebitda
q2_adj_ebitda
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared10.66
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
tariff refund accrual
tariff_refund_accrual
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared24.40
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
cash
cash
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared79.11
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
restricted
restricted
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared77.33
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
grant receivable
grant_receivable
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared95.39
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
credit face sold
credit_face_sold
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared39.10
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
credit sale consideration
credit_sale_consideration
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared36.40
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
g2 total budget
g2_total_budget
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared510.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
july note
july_note
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared120.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
ip total
ip_total
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared135.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
ip paid shares
ip_paid_shares
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared60.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
ip remaining
ip_remaining
Q2 / July subsequent events / shared73.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; credits distinguish face value from transfer consideration. G2 is total project budget, not remaining spending. Primary source · 2026-08-12
Q2 EBITDA excluding recognized tariff refund
q2_ebitda_ex_refund
2026Q2 / shared-13.74
USD_millions
derived: Removes the $24.4M nonrecurring benefit included in final adjusted EBITDA. Formula: subtract(q2_adj_ebitda, tariff_refund_accrual).
H1 EBITDA excluding tariff refund
h1_ebitda_ex_refund
H1 2026 / shared-4.61
USD_millions
derived: A normalization, not company adjusted EBITDA. Formula: subtract(h1_adj_ebitda, tariff_refund_accrual).
Modules sold in GW
downside_2026q3_shipments_gw
2026Q3 / downside85.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
downside_2026q3_module_price
2026Q3 / downside285.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
downside_2026q3_module_revenue
2026Q3 / downside242.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_shipments_gw, downside_2026q3_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
downside_2026q3_other_revenue
2026Q3 / downside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
downside_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / downside245.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_module_revenue, downside_2026q3_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
downside_2026q3_credit_eligibility
2026Q3 / downside75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2026q3_module_credit_per_gw
2026Q3 / downside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
downside_2026q3_module_credit
2026Q3 / downside44.62
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_shipments_gw, downside_2026q3_module_credit_per_gw, downside_2026q3_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
downside_2026q3_cell_gw
2026Q3 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2026q3_cell_credit_per_gw
2026Q3 / downside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
downside_2026q3_cell_credit
2026Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_cell_gw, downside_2026q3_cell_credit_per_gw, downside_2026q3_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
downside_2026q3_face_credit
2026Q3 / downside44.62
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_module_credit, downside_2026q3_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
downside_2026q3_credit_transfer_realization
2026Q3 / downside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
downside_2026q3_credit_accrual
2026Q3 / downside41.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_face_credit, downside_2026q3_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
downside_2026q3_manufacturing_per_gw
2026Q3 / downside18.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
downside_2026q3_manufacturing_contribution
2026Q3 / downside15.30
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_shipments_gw, downside_2026q3_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
downside_2026q3_before_factory
2026Q3 / downside56.80
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_manufacturing_contribution, downside_2026q3_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
downside_2026q3_factory_fixed
2026Q3 / downside50.40
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
downside_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / downside6.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_before_factory, downside_2026q3_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
downside_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / downside27.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
downside_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / downside6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
downside_2026q3_core_opex
2026Q3 / downside34.72
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
downside_2026q3_cash_adjustments
2026Q3 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
downside_2026q3_gaap_opex
2026Q3 / downside42.72
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_core_opex, downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
downside_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / downside-36.32
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda
2026Q3 / downside-1.32
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q3_da, downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
downside_2026q3_credit_cash
2026Q3 / downside42.25
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
downside_2026q3_available_credit
2026Q3 / downside136.89
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(grant_receivable, downside_2026q3_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
downside_2026q3_ending_credit_receivable
2026Q3 / downside94.64
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_available_credit, downside_2026q3_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
downside_2026q3_refund_collection
2026Q3 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
downside_2026q3_tariff_cash
2026Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, downside_2026q3_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
downside_2026q3_cash_before_uses
2026Q3 / downside40.93
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_credit_cash, downside_2026q3_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
downside_2026q3_cash_interest_tax
2026Q3 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
downside_2026q3_wc
2026Q3 / downside39.20
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
downside_2026q3_cash_uses
2026Q3 / downside92.70
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_credit_accrual, downside_2026q3_cash_adjustments, downside_2026q3_cash_interest_tax, downside_2026q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / downside-51.77
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cash_before_uses, downside_2026q3_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
downside_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / downside132.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
downside_2026q3_fcf
2026Q3 / downside-183.77
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
downside_2026q3_ip_due
2026Q3 / downside25.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
downside_2026q3_ip_cash_fraction
2026Q3 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
downside_2026q3_ip_elected_cash
2026Q3 / downside25.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_ip_due, downside_2026q3_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
downside_2026q3_ip_upfront_paid
2026Q3 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
downside_2026q3_ip_cash
2026Q3 / downside27.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_ip_elected_cash, downside_2026q3_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
downside_2026q3_ip_share_consideration
2026Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_ip_due, downside_2026q3_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
downside_2026q3_cash_after_ip
2026Q3 / downside-210.77
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q3_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
downside_2026q4_shipments_gw
2026Q4 / downside90.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
downside_2026q4_module_price
2026Q4 / downside280.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
downside_2026q4_module_revenue
2026Q4 / downside252.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_shipments_gw, downside_2026q4_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
downside_2026q4_other_revenue
2026Q4 / downside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
downside_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / downside257.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_module_revenue, downside_2026q4_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
downside_2026q4_credit_eligibility
2026Q4 / downside75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2026q4_module_credit_per_gw
2026Q4 / downside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
downside_2026q4_module_credit
2026Q4 / downside47.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_shipments_gw, downside_2026q4_module_credit_per_gw, downside_2026q4_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
downside_2026q4_cell_gw
2026Q4 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2026q4_cell_credit_per_gw
2026Q4 / downside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
downside_2026q4_cell_credit
2026Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_cell_gw, downside_2026q4_cell_credit_per_gw, downside_2026q4_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
downside_2026q4_face_credit
2026Q4 / downside47.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_module_credit, downside_2026q4_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
downside_2026q4_credit_transfer_realization
2026Q4 / downside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
downside_2026q4_credit_accrual
2026Q4 / downside43.94
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_face_credit, downside_2026q4_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
downside_2026q4_manufacturing_per_gw
2026Q4 / downside20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
downside_2026q4_manufacturing_contribution
2026Q4 / downside18.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_shipments_gw, downside_2026q4_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
downside_2026q4_before_factory
2026Q4 / downside61.94
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_manufacturing_contribution, downside_2026q4_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
downside_2026q4_factory_fixed
2026Q4 / downside52.64
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
downside_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / downside9.30
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_before_factory, downside_2026q4_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
downside_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / downside29.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
downside_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / downside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
downside_2026q4_core_opex
2026Q4 / downside35.84
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
downside_2026q4_cash_adjustments
2026Q4 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
downside_2026q4_gaap_opex
2026Q4 / downside44.84
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_core_opex, downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
downside_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / downside-35.54
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda
2026Q4 / downside2.46
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_operating_income, downside_2026q4_da, downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
downside_2026q4_credit_cash
2026Q4 / downside71.50
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
downside_2026q4_available_credit
2026Q4 / downside138.58
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_ending_credit_receivable, downside_2026q4_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
downside_2026q4_ending_credit_receivable
2026Q4 / downside67.08
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_available_credit, downside_2026q4_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
downside_2026q4_refund_collection
2026Q4 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
downside_2026q4_tariff_cash
2026Q4 / downside24.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, downside_2026q4_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
downside_2026q4_cash_before_uses
2026Q4 / downside98.36
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_credit_cash, downside_2026q4_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
downside_2026q4_cash_interest_tax
2026Q4 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
downside_2026q4_wc
2026Q4 / downside33.60
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
downside_2026q4_cash_uses
2026Q4 / downside89.54
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_credit_accrual, downside_2026q4_cash_adjustments, downside_2026q4_cash_interest_tax, downside_2026q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / downside8.82
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cash_before_uses, downside_2026q4_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
downside_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / downside156.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
downside_2026q4_fcf
2026Q4 / downside-147.18
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
downside_2026q4_ip_due
2026Q4 / downside48.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
downside_2026q4_ip_cash_fraction
2026Q4 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
downside_2026q4_ip_elected_cash
2026Q4 / downside48.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_ip_due, downside_2026q4_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
downside_2026q4_ip_upfront_paid
2026Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
downside_2026q4_ip_cash
2026Q4 / downside48.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_ip_elected_cash, downside_2026q4_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
downside_2026q4_ip_share_consideration
2026Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_ip_due, downside_2026q4_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
downside_2026q4_cash_after_ip
2026Q4 / downside-195.18
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_fcf, downside_2026q4_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
downside_2027q1_shipments_gw
2027Q1 / downside85.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
downside_2027q1_module_price
2027Q1 / downside275.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
downside_2027q1_module_revenue
2027Q1 / downside233.75
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_shipments_gw, downside_2027q1_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
downside_2027q1_other_revenue
2027Q1 / downside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
downside_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / downside240.75
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_module_revenue, downside_2027q1_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
downside_2027q1_credit_eligibility
2027Q1 / downside75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2027q1_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q1 / downside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
downside_2027q1_module_credit
2027Q1 / downside44.62
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_shipments_gw, downside_2027q1_module_credit_per_gw, downside_2027q1_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
downside_2027q1_cell_gw
2027Q1 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2027q1_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q1 / downside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
downside_2027q1_cell_credit
2027Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_cell_gw, downside_2027q1_cell_credit_per_gw, downside_2027q1_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
downside_2027q1_face_credit
2027Q1 / downside44.62
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_module_credit, downside_2027q1_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
downside_2027q1_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q1 / downside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
downside_2027q1_credit_accrual
2027Q1 / downside41.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_face_credit, downside_2027q1_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
downside_2027q1_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q1 / downside23.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
downside_2027q1_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q1 / downside19.55
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_shipments_gw, downside_2027q1_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
downside_2027q1_before_factory
2027Q1 / downside61.05
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_manufacturing_contribution, downside_2027q1_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
downside_2027q1_factory_fixed
2027Q1 / downside54.88
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
downside_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / downside6.17
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_before_factory, downside_2027q1_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
downside_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / downside31.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
downside_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / downside8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
downside_2027q1_core_opex
2027Q1 / downside36.96
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
downside_2027q1_cash_adjustments
2027Q1 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
downside_2027q1_gaap_opex
2027Q1 / downside46.96
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_core_opex, downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
downside_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / downside-40.79
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda
2027Q1 / downside0.21
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q1_da, downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
downside_2027q1_credit_cash
2027Q1 / downside42.25
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
downside_2027q1_available_credit
2027Q1 / downside108.59
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_ending_credit_receivable, downside_2027q1_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
downside_2027q1_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q1 / downside66.34
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_available_credit, downside_2027q1_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
downside_2027q1_refund_collection
2027Q1 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
downside_2027q1_tariff_cash
2027Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, downside_2027q1_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
downside_2027q1_cash_before_uses
2027Q1 / downside42.46
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q1_credit_cash, downside_2027q1_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
downside_2027q1_cash_interest_tax
2027Q1 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
downside_2027q1_wc
2027Q1 / downside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
downside_2027q1_cash_uses
2027Q1 / downside81.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_credit_accrual, downside_2027q1_cash_adjustments, downside_2027q1_cash_interest_tax, downside_2027q1_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / downside-39.04
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_before_uses, downside_2027q1_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
downside_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / downside84.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
downside_2027q1_fcf
2027Q1 / downside-123.04
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
downside_2027q1_ip_due
2027Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
downside_2027q1_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q1 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
downside_2027q1_ip_elected_cash
2027Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_ip_due, downside_2027q1_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
downside_2027q1_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
downside_2027q1_ip_cash
2027Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_ip_elected_cash, downside_2027q1_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
downside_2027q1_ip_share_consideration
2027Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_ip_due, downside_2027q1_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
downside_2027q1_cash_after_ip
2027Q1 / downside-123.04
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q1_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
downside_2027q2_shipments_gw
2027Q2 / downside90.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
downside_2027q2_module_price
2027Q2 / downside275.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
downside_2027q2_module_revenue
2027Q2 / downside247.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_shipments_gw, downside_2027q2_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
downside_2027q2_other_revenue
2027Q2 / downside9.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
downside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / downside256.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_module_revenue, downside_2027q2_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
downside_2027q2_credit_eligibility
2027Q2 / downside75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2027q2_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q2 / downside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
downside_2027q2_module_credit
2027Q2 / downside47.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_shipments_gw, downside_2027q2_module_credit_per_gw, downside_2027q2_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
downside_2027q2_cell_gw
2027Q2 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2027q2_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q2 / downside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
downside_2027q2_cell_credit
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_cell_gw, downside_2027q2_cell_credit_per_gw, downside_2027q2_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
downside_2027q2_face_credit
2027Q2 / downside47.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_module_credit, downside_2027q2_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
downside_2027q2_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q2 / downside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
downside_2027q2_credit_accrual
2027Q2 / downside43.94
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_face_credit, downside_2027q2_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
downside_2027q2_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q2 / downside25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
downside_2027q2_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q2 / downside22.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_shipments_gw, downside_2027q2_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
downside_2027q2_before_factory
2027Q2 / downside66.44
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_manufacturing_contribution, downside_2027q2_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
downside_2027q2_factory_fixed
2027Q2 / downside57.12
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
downside_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / downside9.32
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_before_factory, downside_2027q2_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
downside_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / downside33.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
downside_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / downside9.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
downside_2027q2_core_opex
2027Q2 / downside38.08
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
downside_2027q2_cash_adjustments
2027Q2 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
downside_2027q2_gaap_opex
2027Q2 / downside49.08
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_core_opex, downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
downside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / downside-39.76
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda
2027Q2 / downside4.24
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q2_da, downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
downside_2027q2_credit_cash
2027Q2 / downside48.75
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
downside_2027q2_available_credit
2027Q2 / downside110.28
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_ending_credit_receivable, downside_2027q2_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
downside_2027q2_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q2 / downside61.53
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_available_credit, downside_2027q2_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
downside_2027q2_refund_collection
2027Q2 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
downside_2027q2_tariff_cash
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, downside_2027q2_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
downside_2027q2_cash_before_uses
2027Q2 / downside52.99
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_credit_cash, downside_2027q2_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
downside_2027q2_cash_interest_tax
2027Q2 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
downside_2027q2_wc
2027Q2 / downside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
downside_2027q2_cash_uses
2027Q2 / downside83.94
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_credit_accrual, downside_2027q2_cash_adjustments, downside_2027q2_cash_interest_tax, downside_2027q2_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / downside-30.95
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_before_uses, downside_2027q2_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
downside_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / downside36.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
downside_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / downside-66.95
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
downside_2027q2_ip_due
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
downside_2027q2_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q2 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
downside_2027q2_ip_elected_cash
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_ip_due, downside_2027q2_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
downside_2027q2_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
downside_2027q2_ip_cash
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_ip_elected_cash, downside_2027q2_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
downside_2027q2_ip_share_consideration
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_ip_due, downside_2027q2_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
downside_2027q2_cash_after_ip
2027Q2 / downside-66.95
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q2_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
downside_2027q3_shipments_gw
2027Q3 / downside95.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
downside_2027q3_module_price
2027Q3 / downside275.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
downside_2027q3_module_revenue
2027Q3 / downside261.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_shipments_gw, downside_2027q3_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
downside_2027q3_other_revenue
2027Q3 / downside11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
downside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / downside272.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_module_revenue, downside_2027q3_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
downside_2027q3_credit_eligibility
2027Q3 / downside75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2027q3_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q3 / downside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
downside_2027q3_module_credit
2027Q3 / downside49.88
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_shipments_gw, downside_2027q3_module_credit_per_gw, downside_2027q3_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
downside_2027q3_cell_gw
2027Q3 / downside10.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2027q3_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q3 / downside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
downside_2027q3_cell_credit
2027Q3 / downside3.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_cell_gw, downside_2027q3_cell_credit_per_gw, downside_2027q3_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
downside_2027q3_face_credit
2027Q3 / downside52.88
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_module_credit, downside_2027q3_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
downside_2027q3_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q3 / downside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
downside_2027q3_credit_accrual
2027Q3 / downside49.17
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_face_credit, downside_2027q3_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
downside_2027q3_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q3 / downside27.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
downside_2027q3_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q3 / downside25.65
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_shipments_gw, downside_2027q3_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
downside_2027q3_before_factory
2027Q3 / downside74.82
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_manufacturing_contribution, downside_2027q3_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
downside_2027q3_factory_fixed
2027Q3 / downside59.36
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
downside_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / downside15.46
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_before_factory, downside_2027q3_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
downside_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / downside35.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
downside_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
downside_2027q3_core_opex
2027Q3 / downside39.20
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
downside_2027q3_cash_adjustments
2027Q3 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
downside_2027q3_gaap_opex
2027Q3 / downside51.20
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_core_opex, downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
downside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / downside-35.74
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda
2027Q3 / downside11.26
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q3_da, downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
downside_2027q3_credit_cash
2027Q3 / downside55.25
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
downside_2027q3_available_credit
2027Q3 / downside110.70
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_ending_credit_receivable, downside_2027q3_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
downside_2027q3_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q3 / downside55.45
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_available_credit, downside_2027q3_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
downside_2027q3_refund_collection
2027Q3 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
downside_2027q3_tariff_cash
2027Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, downside_2027q3_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
downside_2027q3_cash_before_uses
2027Q3 / downside66.51
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_credit_cash, downside_2027q3_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
downside_2027q3_cash_interest_tax
2027Q3 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
downside_2027q3_wc
2027Q3 / downside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
downside_2027q3_cash_uses
2027Q3 / downside89.17
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_credit_accrual, downside_2027q3_cash_adjustments, downside_2027q3_cash_interest_tax, downside_2027q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / downside-22.66
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_before_uses, downside_2027q3_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
downside_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / downside24.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
downside_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / downside-46.66
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
downside_2027q3_ip_due
2027Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
downside_2027q3_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q3 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
downside_2027q3_ip_elected_cash
2027Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_ip_due, downside_2027q3_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
downside_2027q3_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
downside_2027q3_ip_cash
2027Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_ip_elected_cash, downside_2027q3_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
downside_2027q3_ip_share_consideration
2027Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_ip_due, downside_2027q3_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
downside_2027q3_cash_after_ip
2027Q3 / downside-46.66
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q3_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
downside_2027q4_shipments_gw
2027Q4 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
downside_2027q4_module_price
2027Q4 / downside275.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
downside_2027q4_module_revenue
2027Q4 / downside275.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_shipments_gw, downside_2027q4_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
downside_2027q4_other_revenue
2027Q4 / downside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
downside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / downside288.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_module_revenue, downside_2027q4_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
downside_2027q4_credit_eligibility
2027Q4 / downside75.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2027q4_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q4 / downside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
downside_2027q4_module_credit
2027Q4 / downside52.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_shipments_gw, downside_2027q4_module_credit_per_gw, downside_2027q4_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
downside_2027q4_cell_gw
2027Q4 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
downside_2027q4_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q4 / downside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
downside_2027q4_cell_credit
2027Q4 / downside7.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_cell_gw, downside_2027q4_cell_credit_per_gw, downside_2027q4_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
downside_2027q4_face_credit
2027Q4 / downside60.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_module_credit, downside_2027q4_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
downside_2027q4_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q4 / downside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
downside_2027q4_credit_accrual
2027Q4 / downside55.80
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_face_credit, downside_2027q4_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
downside_2027q4_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q4 / downside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
downside_2027q4_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q4 / downside28.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_shipments_gw, downside_2027q4_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
downside_2027q4_before_factory
2027Q4 / downside83.80
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_manufacturing_contribution, downside_2027q4_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
downside_2027q4_factory_fixed
2027Q4 / downside61.60
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
downside_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / downside22.20
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_before_factory, downside_2027q4_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
downside_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / downside37.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
downside_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / downside11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
downside_2027q4_core_opex
2027Q4 / downside40.32
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
downside_2027q4_cash_adjustments
2027Q4 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
downside_2027q4_gaap_opex
2027Q4 / downside53.32
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_core_opex, downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
downside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / downside-31.12
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda
2027Q4 / downside18.88
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_operating_income, downside_2027q4_da, downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
downside_2027q4_credit_cash
2027Q4 / downside61.75
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
downside_2027q4_available_credit
2027Q4 / downside111.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_ending_credit_receivable, downside_2027q4_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
downside_2027q4_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q4 / downside49.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_available_credit, downside_2027q4_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
downside_2027q4_refund_collection
2027Q4 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
downside_2027q4_tariff_cash
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, downside_2027q4_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
downside_2027q4_cash_before_uses
2027Q4 / downside80.63
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_credit_cash, downside_2027q4_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
downside_2027q4_cash_interest_tax
2027Q4 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
downside_2027q4_wc
2027Q4 / downside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
downside_2027q4_cash_uses
2027Q4 / downside95.80
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_credit_accrual, downside_2027q4_cash_adjustments, downside_2027q4_cash_interest_tax, downside_2027q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / downside-15.17
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_before_uses, downside_2027q4_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
downside_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / downside24.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
downside_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / downside-39.17
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
downside_2027q4_ip_due
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
downside_2027q4_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q4 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
downside_2027q4_ip_elected_cash
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_ip_due, downside_2027q4_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
downside_2027q4_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
downside_2027q4_ip_cash
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_ip_elected_cash, downside_2027q4_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
downside_2027q4_ip_share_consideration
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_ip_due, downside_2027q4_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
downside_2027q4_cash_after_ip
2027Q4 / downside-39.17
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_fcf, downside_2027q4_ip_cash).
Revenue ($M)
downside_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / downside930.02
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
downside_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / downside93.88
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M)
downside_fy2026_adj_ebitda
FY2026 / downside20.93
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda).
Operating income proxy ($M)
downside_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / downside-117.14
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
downside_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / downside-145.93
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo).
Gross PP&E cash ($M)
downside_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / downside449.82
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E ($M)
downside_fy2026_fcf
FY2026 / downside-595.75
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q4_fcf).
IP cash consideration ($M)
downside_fy2026_ip_cash
FY2026 / downside75.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_ip_cash, downside_2026q3_ip_cash, downside_2026q4_ip_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP ($M)
downside_fy2026_cash_after_ip
FY2026 / downside-670.75
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_ip, downside_2026q3_cash_after_ip, downside_2026q4_cash_after_ip).
Revenue ($M)
downside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / downside1,057.50
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / downside53.16
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_adj_ebitda
FY2027 / downside34.60
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda).
Operating income proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / downside-147.40
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / downside-107.82
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo).
Gross PP&E cash ($M)
downside_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / downside168.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E ($M)
downside_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / downside-275.82
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q4_fcf).
IP cash consideration ($M)
downside_fy2027_ip_cash
FY2027 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_ip_cash, downside_2027q2_ip_cash, downside_2027q3_ip_cash, downside_2027q4_ip_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP ($M)
downside_fy2027_cash_after_ip
FY2027 / downside-275.82
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_ip, downside_2027q2_cash_after_ip, downside_2027q3_cash_after_ip, downside_2027q4_cash_after_ip).
Modules sold in GW
base_2026q3_shipments_gw
2026Q3 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
base_2026q3_module_price
2026Q3 / base295.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
base_2026q3_module_revenue
2026Q3 / base295.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_shipments_gw, base_2026q3_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
base_2026q3_other_revenue
2026Q3 / base3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
base_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / base298.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_module_revenue, base_2026q3_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
base_2026q3_credit_eligibility
2026Q3 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
base_2026q3_module_credit_per_gw
2026Q3 / base70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
base_2026q3_module_credit
2026Q3 / base70.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_shipments_gw, base_2026q3_module_credit_per_gw, base_2026q3_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
base_2026q3_cell_gw
2026Q3 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
base_2026q3_cell_credit_per_gw
2026Q3 / base40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
base_2026q3_cell_credit
2026Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_cell_gw, base_2026q3_cell_credit_per_gw, base_2026q3_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
base_2026q3_face_credit
2026Q3 / base70.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_module_credit, base_2026q3_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
base_2026q3_credit_transfer_realization
2026Q3 / base93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
base_2026q3_credit_accrual
2026Q3 / base65.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_face_credit, base_2026q3_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
base_2026q3_manufacturing_per_gw
2026Q3 / base24.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
base_2026q3_manufacturing_contribution
2026Q3 / base24.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_shipments_gw, base_2026q3_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
base_2026q3_before_factory
2026Q3 / base89.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_manufacturing_contribution, base_2026q3_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
base_2026q3_factory_fixed
2026Q3 / base45.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
base_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / base44.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_before_factory, base_2026q3_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
base_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / base27.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
base_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / base6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
base_2026q3_core_opex
2026Q3 / base31.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
base_2026q3_cash_adjustments
2026Q3 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
base_2026q3_gaap_opex
2026Q3 / base39.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_core_opex, base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
base_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / base5.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q3_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
base_2026q3_adj_ebitda
2026Q3 / base40.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q3_da, base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
base_2026q3_credit_cash
2026Q3 / base65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
base_2026q3_available_credit
2026Q3 / base160.49
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(grant_receivable, base_2026q3_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
base_2026q3_ending_credit_receivable
2026Q3 / base95.49
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_available_credit, base_2026q3_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
base_2026q3_refund_collection
2026Q3 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
base_2026q3_tariff_cash
2026Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, base_2026q3_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
base_2026q3_cash_before_uses
2026Q3 / base105.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_credit_cash, base_2026q3_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
base_2026q3_cash_interest_tax
2026Q3 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
base_2026q3_wc
2026Q3 / base35.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
base_2026q3_cash_uses
2026Q3 / base112.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_credit_accrual, base_2026q3_cash_adjustments, base_2026q3_cash_interest_tax, base_2026q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / base-7.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cash_before_uses, base_2026q3_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
base_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / base110.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
base_2026q3_fcf
2026Q3 / base-117.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
base_2026q3_ip_due
2026Q3 / base25.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
base_2026q3_ip_cash_fraction
2026Q3 / base50.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
base_2026q3_ip_elected_cash
2026Q3 / base12.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_ip_due, base_2026q3_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
base_2026q3_ip_upfront_paid
2026Q3 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
base_2026q3_ip_cash
2026Q3 / base14.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_ip_elected_cash, base_2026q3_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
base_2026q3_ip_share_consideration
2026Q3 / base12.50
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_ip_due, base_2026q3_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
base_2026q3_cash_after_ip
2026Q3 / base-131.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q3_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
base_2026q4_shipments_gw
2026Q4 / base115.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
base_2026q4_module_price
2026Q4 / base295.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
base_2026q4_module_revenue
2026Q4 / base339.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_shipments_gw, base_2026q4_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
base_2026q4_other_revenue
2026Q4 / base5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
base_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / base344.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_module_revenue, base_2026q4_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
base_2026q4_credit_eligibility
2026Q4 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
base_2026q4_module_credit_per_gw
2026Q4 / base70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
base_2026q4_module_credit
2026Q4 / base80.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_shipments_gw, base_2026q4_module_credit_per_gw, base_2026q4_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
base_2026q4_cell_gw
2026Q4 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
base_2026q4_cell_credit_per_gw
2026Q4 / base40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
base_2026q4_cell_credit
2026Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_cell_gw, base_2026q4_cell_credit_per_gw, base_2026q4_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
base_2026q4_face_credit
2026Q4 / base80.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_module_credit, base_2026q4_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
base_2026q4_credit_transfer_realization
2026Q4 / base93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
base_2026q4_credit_accrual
2026Q4 / base74.87
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_face_credit, base_2026q4_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
base_2026q4_manufacturing_per_gw
2026Q4 / base27.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
base_2026q4_manufacturing_contribution
2026Q4 / base31.05
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_shipments_gw, base_2026q4_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
base_2026q4_before_factory
2026Q4 / base105.92
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_manufacturing_contribution, base_2026q4_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
base_2026q4_factory_fixed
2026Q4 / base47.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
base_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / base58.92
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_before_factory, base_2026q4_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
base_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / base29.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
base_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / base7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
base_2026q4_core_opex
2026Q4 / base32.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
base_2026q4_cash_adjustments
2026Q4 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
base_2026q4_gaap_opex
2026Q4 / base41.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_core_opex, base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
base_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / base17.92
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_gross_profit, base_2026q4_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
base_2026q4_adj_ebitda
2026Q4 / base55.92
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_operating_income, base_2026q4_da, base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
base_2026q4_credit_cash
2026Q4 / base110.00
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
base_2026q4_available_credit
2026Q4 / base170.36
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_ending_credit_receivable, base_2026q4_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
base_2026q4_ending_credit_receivable
2026Q4 / base60.36
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_available_credit, base_2026q4_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
base_2026q4_refund_collection
2026Q4 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
base_2026q4_tariff_cash
2026Q4 / base24.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, base_2026q4_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
base_2026q4_cash_before_uses
2026Q4 / base190.32
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_credit_cash, base_2026q4_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
base_2026q4_cash_interest_tax
2026Q4 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
base_2026q4_wc
2026Q4 / base30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
base_2026q4_cash_uses
2026Q4 / base116.87
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_credit_accrual, base_2026q4_cash_adjustments, base_2026q4_cash_interest_tax, base_2026q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / base73.45
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cash_before_uses, base_2026q4_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
base_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / base130.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
base_2026q4_fcf
2026Q4 / base-56.55
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
base_2026q4_ip_due
2026Q4 / base48.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
base_2026q4_ip_cash_fraction
2026Q4 / base50.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
base_2026q4_ip_elected_cash
2026Q4 / base24.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_ip_due, base_2026q4_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
base_2026q4_ip_upfront_paid
2026Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
base_2026q4_ip_cash
2026Q4 / base24.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_ip_elected_cash, base_2026q4_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
base_2026q4_ip_share_consideration
2026Q4 / base24.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_ip_due, base_2026q4_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
base_2026q4_cash_after_ip
2026Q4 / base-80.55
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_fcf, base_2026q4_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
base_2027q1_shipments_gw
2027Q1 / base110.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
base_2027q1_module_price
2027Q1 / base290.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
base_2027q1_module_revenue
2027Q1 / base319.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_shipments_gw, base_2027q1_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
base_2027q1_other_revenue
2027Q1 / base7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
base_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / base326.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_module_revenue, base_2027q1_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
base_2027q1_credit_eligibility
2027Q1 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
base_2027q1_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q1 / base70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
base_2027q1_module_credit
2027Q1 / base77.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_shipments_gw, base_2027q1_module_credit_per_gw, base_2027q1_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
base_2027q1_cell_gw
2027Q1 / base5.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
base_2027q1_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q1 / base40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
base_2027q1_cell_credit
2027Q1 / base2.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_cell_gw, base_2027q1_cell_credit_per_gw, base_2027q1_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
base_2027q1_face_credit
2027Q1 / base79.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_module_credit, base_2027q1_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
base_2027q1_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q1 / base93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
base_2027q1_credit_accrual
2027Q1 / base73.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_face_credit, base_2027q1_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
base_2027q1_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q1 / base30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
base_2027q1_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q1 / base33.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_shipments_gw, base_2027q1_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
base_2027q1_before_factory
2027Q1 / base106.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_manufacturing_contribution, base_2027q1_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
base_2027q1_factory_fixed
2027Q1 / base49.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
base_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / base57.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_before_factory, base_2027q1_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
base_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / base31.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
base_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / base8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
base_2027q1_core_opex
2027Q1 / base33.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
base_2027q1_cash_adjustments
2027Q1 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
base_2027q1_gaap_opex
2027Q1 / base43.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_core_opex, base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
base_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / base14.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q1_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
base_2027q1_adj_ebitda
2027Q1 / base55.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q1_da, base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
base_2027q1_credit_cash
2027Q1 / base65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
base_2027q1_available_credit
2027Q1 / base133.83
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_ending_credit_receivable, base_2027q1_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
base_2027q1_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q1 / base68.83
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_available_credit, base_2027q1_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
base_2027q1_refund_collection
2027Q1 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
base_2027q1_tariff_cash
2027Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, base_2027q1_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
base_2027q1_cash_before_uses
2027Q1 / base120.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q1_credit_cash, base_2027q1_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
base_2027q1_cash_interest_tax
2027Q1 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
base_2027q1_wc
2027Q1 / base25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
base_2027q1_cash_uses
2027Q1 / base110.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_credit_accrual, base_2027q1_cash_adjustments, base_2027q1_cash_interest_tax, base_2027q1_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / base10.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_before_uses, base_2027q1_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
base_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / base70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
base_2027q1_fcf
2027Q1 / base-60.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
base_2027q1_ip_due
2027Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
base_2027q1_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q1 / base50.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
base_2027q1_ip_elected_cash
2027Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_ip_due, base_2027q1_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
base_2027q1_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
base_2027q1_ip_cash
2027Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_ip_elected_cash, base_2027q1_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
base_2027q1_ip_share_consideration
2027Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_ip_due, base_2027q1_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
base_2027q1_cash_after_ip
2027Q1 / base-60.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q1_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
base_2027q2_shipments_gw
2027Q2 / base120.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
base_2027q2_module_price
2027Q2 / base290.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
base_2027q2_module_revenue
2027Q2 / base348.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_shipments_gw, base_2027q2_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
base_2027q2_other_revenue
2027Q2 / base9.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
base_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / base357.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_module_revenue, base_2027q2_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
base_2027q2_credit_eligibility
2027Q2 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
base_2027q2_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q2 / base70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
base_2027q2_module_credit
2027Q2 / base84.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_shipments_gw, base_2027q2_module_credit_per_gw, base_2027q2_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
base_2027q2_cell_gw
2027Q2 / base20.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
base_2027q2_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q2 / base40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
base_2027q2_cell_credit
2027Q2 / base8.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_cell_gw, base_2027q2_cell_credit_per_gw, base_2027q2_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
base_2027q2_face_credit
2027Q2 / base92.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_module_credit, base_2027q2_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
base_2027q2_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q2 / base93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
base_2027q2_credit_accrual
2027Q2 / base85.56
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_face_credit, base_2027q2_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
base_2027q2_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q2 / base33.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
base_2027q2_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q2 / base39.60
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_shipments_gw, base_2027q2_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
base_2027q2_before_factory
2027Q2 / base125.16
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_manufacturing_contribution, base_2027q2_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
base_2027q2_factory_fixed
2027Q2 / base51.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
base_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / base74.16
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_before_factory, base_2027q2_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
base_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / base33.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
base_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / base9.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
base_2027q2_core_opex
2027Q2 / base34.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
base_2027q2_cash_adjustments
2027Q2 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
base_2027q2_gaap_opex
2027Q2 / base45.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_core_opex, base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
base_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / base29.16
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q2_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
base_2027q2_adj_ebitda
2027Q2 / base73.16
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q2_da, base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
base_2027q2_credit_cash
2027Q2 / base75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
base_2027q2_available_credit
2027Q2 / base154.39
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_ending_credit_receivable, base_2027q2_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
base_2027q2_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q2 / base79.39
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_available_credit, base_2027q2_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
base_2027q2_refund_collection
2027Q2 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
base_2027q2_tariff_cash
2027Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, base_2027q2_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
base_2027q2_cash_before_uses
2027Q2 / base148.16
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_credit_cash, base_2027q2_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
base_2027q2_cash_interest_tax
2027Q2 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
base_2027q2_wc
2027Q2 / base25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
base_2027q2_cash_uses
2027Q2 / base122.56
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_credit_accrual, base_2027q2_cash_adjustments, base_2027q2_cash_interest_tax, base_2027q2_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / base25.60
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_before_uses, base_2027q2_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
base_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / base30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
base_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / base-4.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
base_2027q2_ip_due
2027Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
base_2027q2_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q2 / base50.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
base_2027q2_ip_elected_cash
2027Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_ip_due, base_2027q2_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
base_2027q2_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
base_2027q2_ip_cash
2027Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_ip_elected_cash, base_2027q2_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
base_2027q2_ip_share_consideration
2027Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_ip_due, base_2027q2_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
base_2027q2_cash_after_ip
2027Q2 / base-4.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q2_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
base_2027q3_shipments_gw
2027Q3 / base125.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
base_2027q3_module_price
2027Q3 / base290.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
base_2027q3_module_revenue
2027Q3 / base362.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_shipments_gw, base_2027q3_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
base_2027q3_other_revenue
2027Q3 / base11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
base_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / base373.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_module_revenue, base_2027q3_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
base_2027q3_credit_eligibility
2027Q3 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
base_2027q3_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q3 / base70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
base_2027q3_module_credit
2027Q3 / base87.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_shipments_gw, base_2027q3_module_credit_per_gw, base_2027q3_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
base_2027q3_cell_gw
2027Q3 / base35.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
base_2027q3_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q3 / base40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
base_2027q3_cell_credit
2027Q3 / base14.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_cell_gw, base_2027q3_cell_credit_per_gw, base_2027q3_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
base_2027q3_face_credit
2027Q3 / base101.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_module_credit, base_2027q3_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
base_2027q3_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q3 / base93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
base_2027q3_credit_accrual
2027Q3 / base94.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_face_credit, base_2027q3_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
base_2027q3_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q3 / base35.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
base_2027q3_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q3 / base43.75
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_shipments_gw, base_2027q3_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
base_2027q3_before_factory
2027Q3 / base138.15
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_manufacturing_contribution, base_2027q3_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
base_2027q3_factory_fixed
2027Q3 / base53.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
base_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / base85.15
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_before_factory, base_2027q3_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
base_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / base35.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
base_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
base_2027q3_core_opex
2027Q3 / base35.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
base_2027q3_cash_adjustments
2027Q3 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
base_2027q3_gaap_opex
2027Q3 / base47.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_core_opex, base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
base_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / base38.15
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q3_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
base_2027q3_adj_ebitda
2027Q3 / base85.15
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q3_da, base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
base_2027q3_credit_cash
2027Q3 / base85.00
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
base_2027q3_available_credit
2027Q3 / base173.78
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_ending_credit_receivable, base_2027q3_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
base_2027q3_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q3 / base88.78
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_available_credit, base_2027q3_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
base_2027q3_refund_collection
2027Q3 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
base_2027q3_tariff_cash
2027Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, base_2027q3_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
base_2027q3_cash_before_uses
2027Q3 / base170.15
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_credit_cash, base_2027q3_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
base_2027q3_cash_interest_tax
2027Q3 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
base_2027q3_wc
2027Q3 / base25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
base_2027q3_cash_uses
2027Q3 / base131.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_credit_accrual, base_2027q3_cash_adjustments, base_2027q3_cash_interest_tax, base_2027q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / base38.75
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_before_uses, base_2027q3_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
base_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / base20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
base_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / base18.75
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
base_2027q3_ip_due
2027Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
base_2027q3_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q3 / base50.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
base_2027q3_ip_elected_cash
2027Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_ip_due, base_2027q3_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
base_2027q3_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
base_2027q3_ip_cash
2027Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_ip_elected_cash, base_2027q3_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
base_2027q3_ip_share_consideration
2027Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_ip_due, base_2027q3_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
base_2027q3_cash_after_ip
2027Q3 / base18.75
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q3_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
base_2027q4_shipments_gw
2027Q4 / base130.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
base_2027q4_module_price
2027Q4 / base290.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
base_2027q4_module_revenue
2027Q4 / base377.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_shipments_gw, base_2027q4_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
base_2027q4_other_revenue
2027Q4 / base13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
base_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / base390.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_module_revenue, base_2027q4_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
base_2027q4_credit_eligibility
2027Q4 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
base_2027q4_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q4 / base70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
base_2027q4_module_credit
2027Q4 / base91.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_shipments_gw, base_2027q4_module_credit_per_gw, base_2027q4_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
base_2027q4_cell_gw
2027Q4 / base45.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
base_2027q4_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q4 / base40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
base_2027q4_cell_credit
2027Q4 / base18.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_cell_gw, base_2027q4_cell_credit_per_gw, base_2027q4_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
base_2027q4_face_credit
2027Q4 / base109.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_module_credit, base_2027q4_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
base_2027q4_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q4 / base93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
base_2027q4_credit_accrual
2027Q4 / base101.37
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_face_credit, base_2027q4_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
base_2027q4_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q4 / base37.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
base_2027q4_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q4 / base48.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_shipments_gw, base_2027q4_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
base_2027q4_before_factory
2027Q4 / base149.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_manufacturing_contribution, base_2027q4_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
base_2027q4_factory_fixed
2027Q4 / base55.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
base_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / base94.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_before_factory, base_2027q4_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
base_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / base37.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
base_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / base11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
base_2027q4_core_opex
2027Q4 / base36.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
base_2027q4_cash_adjustments
2027Q4 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
base_2027q4_gaap_opex
2027Q4 / base49.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_core_opex, base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
base_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / base45.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_gross_profit, base_2027q4_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
base_2027q4_adj_ebitda
2027Q4 / base95.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_operating_income, base_2027q4_da, base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
base_2027q4_credit_cash
2027Q4 / base95.00
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
base_2027q4_available_credit
2027Q4 / base190.15
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_ending_credit_receivable, base_2027q4_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
base_2027q4_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q4 / base95.15
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_available_credit, base_2027q4_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
base_2027q4_refund_collection
2027Q4 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
base_2027q4_tariff_cash
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, base_2027q4_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
base_2027q4_cash_before_uses
2027Q4 / base190.47
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_credit_cash, base_2027q4_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
base_2027q4_cash_interest_tax
2027Q4 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
base_2027q4_wc
2027Q4 / base25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
base_2027q4_cash_uses
2027Q4 / base138.37
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_credit_accrual, base_2027q4_cash_adjustments, base_2027q4_cash_interest_tax, base_2027q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / base52.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_before_uses, base_2027q4_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
base_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / base20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
base_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / base32.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
base_2027q4_ip_due
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
base_2027q4_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q4 / base50.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
base_2027q4_ip_elected_cash
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_ip_due, base_2027q4_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
base_2027q4_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
base_2027q4_ip_cash
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_ip_elected_cash, base_2027q4_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
base_2027q4_ip_share_consideration
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_ip_due, base_2027q4_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
base_2027q4_cash_after_ip
2027Q4 / base32.10
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_fcf, base_2027q4_ip_cash).
Revenue ($M)
base_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / base1,070.03
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
base_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / base181.20
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M)
base_fy2026_adj_ebitda
FY2026 / base115.81
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_adj_ebitda).
Operating income proxy ($M)
base_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / base-22.27
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
base_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / base-36.53
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo).
Gross PP&E cash ($M)
base_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / base401.82
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E ($M)
base_fy2026_fcf
FY2026 / base-438.35
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q4_fcf).
IP cash consideration ($M)
base_fy2026_ip_cash
FY2026 / base38.50
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_ip_cash, base_2026q3_ip_cash, base_2026q4_ip_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP ($M)
base_fy2026_cash_after_ip
FY2026 / base-476.85
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_ip, base_2026q3_cash_after_ip, base_2026q4_cash_after_ip).
Revenue ($M)
base_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / base1,446.50
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / base311.25
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_adj_ebitda
FY2027 / base309.25
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_adj_ebitda).
Operating income proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / base127.25
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / base126.45
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo).
Gross PP&E cash ($M)
base_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / base140.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E ($M)
base_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / base-13.55
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q4_fcf).
IP cash consideration ($M)
base_fy2027_ip_cash
FY2027 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_ip_cash, base_2027q2_ip_cash, base_2027q3_ip_cash, base_2027q4_ip_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP ($M)
base_fy2027_cash_after_ip
FY2027 / base-13.55
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_ip, base_2027q2_cash_after_ip, base_2027q3_cash_after_ip, base_2027q4_cash_after_ip).
Modules sold in GW
upside_2026q3_shipments_gw
2026Q3 / upside110.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
upside_2026q3_module_price
2026Q3 / upside305.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
upside_2026q3_module_revenue
2026Q3 / upside335.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_shipments_gw, upside_2026q3_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
upside_2026q3_other_revenue
2026Q3 / upside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
upside_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / upside338.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_module_revenue, upside_2026q3_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
upside_2026q3_credit_eligibility
2026Q3 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2026q3_module_credit_per_gw
2026Q3 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
upside_2026q3_module_credit
2026Q3 / upside77.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_shipments_gw, upside_2026q3_module_credit_per_gw, upside_2026q3_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
upside_2026q3_cell_gw
2026Q3 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2026q3_cell_credit_per_gw
2026Q3 / upside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
upside_2026q3_cell_credit
2026Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_cell_gw, upside_2026q3_cell_credit_per_gw, upside_2026q3_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
upside_2026q3_face_credit
2026Q3 / upside77.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_module_credit, upside_2026q3_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
upside_2026q3_credit_transfer_realization
2026Q3 / upside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
upside_2026q3_credit_accrual
2026Q3 / upside71.61
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_face_credit, upside_2026q3_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
upside_2026q3_manufacturing_per_gw
2026Q3 / upside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
upside_2026q3_manufacturing_contribution
2026Q3 / upside30.80
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_shipments_gw, upside_2026q3_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
upside_2026q3_before_factory
2026Q3 / upside102.41
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_manufacturing_contribution, upside_2026q3_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
upside_2026q3_factory_fixed
2026Q3 / upside46.80
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
upside_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / upside55.61
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_before_factory, upside_2026q3_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
upside_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / upside27.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
upside_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / upside6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
upside_2026q3_core_opex
2026Q3 / upside32.24
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
upside_2026q3_cash_adjustments
2026Q3 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
upside_2026q3_gaap_opex
2026Q3 / upside40.24
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_core_opex, upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
upside_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / upside15.37
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda
2026Q3 / upside50.37
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q3_da, upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
upside_2026q3_credit_cash
2026Q3 / upside71.50
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
upside_2026q3_available_credit
2026Q3 / upside167.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(grant_receivable, upside_2026q3_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
upside_2026q3_ending_credit_receivable
2026Q3 / upside95.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_available_credit, upside_2026q3_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
upside_2026q3_refund_collection
2026Q3 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
upside_2026q3_tariff_cash
2026Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, upside_2026q3_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
upside_2026q3_cash_before_uses
2026Q3 / upside121.87
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_credit_cash, upside_2026q3_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
upside_2026q3_cash_interest_tax
2026Q3 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
upside_2026q3_wc
2026Q3 / upside36.40
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
upside_2026q3_cash_uses
2026Q3 / upside120.01
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_credit_accrual, upside_2026q3_cash_adjustments, upside_2026q3_cash_interest_tax, upside_2026q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / upside1.86
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cash_before_uses, upside_2026q3_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
upside_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / upside115.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
upside_2026q3_fcf
2026Q3 / upside-113.64
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
upside_2026q3_ip_due
2026Q3 / upside25.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
upside_2026q3_ip_cash_fraction
2026Q3 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
upside_2026q3_ip_elected_cash
2026Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_ip_due, upside_2026q3_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
upside_2026q3_ip_upfront_paid
2026Q3 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
upside_2026q3_ip_cash
2026Q3 / upside2.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_ip_elected_cash, upside_2026q3_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
upside_2026q3_ip_share_consideration
2026Q3 / upside25.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_ip_due, upside_2026q3_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
upside_2026q3_cash_after_ip
2026Q3 / upside-115.64
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q3_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
upside_2026q4_shipments_gw
2026Q4 / upside125.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
upside_2026q4_module_price
2026Q4 / upside305.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
upside_2026q4_module_revenue
2026Q4 / upside381.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_shipments_gw, upside_2026q4_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
upside_2026q4_other_revenue
2026Q4 / upside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
upside_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / upside386.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_module_revenue, upside_2026q4_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
upside_2026q4_credit_eligibility
2026Q4 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2026q4_module_credit_per_gw
2026Q4 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
upside_2026q4_module_credit
2026Q4 / upside87.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_shipments_gw, upside_2026q4_module_credit_per_gw, upside_2026q4_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
upside_2026q4_cell_gw
2026Q4 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2026q4_cell_credit_per_gw
2026Q4 / upside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
upside_2026q4_cell_credit
2026Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_cell_gw, upside_2026q4_cell_credit_per_gw, upside_2026q4_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
upside_2026q4_face_credit
2026Q4 / upside87.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_module_credit, upside_2026q4_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
upside_2026q4_credit_transfer_realization
2026Q4 / upside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
upside_2026q4_credit_accrual
2026Q4 / upside81.38
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_face_credit, upside_2026q4_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
upside_2026q4_manufacturing_per_gw
2026Q4 / upside32.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
upside_2026q4_manufacturing_contribution
2026Q4 / upside40.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_shipments_gw, upside_2026q4_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
upside_2026q4_before_factory
2026Q4 / upside121.38
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_manufacturing_contribution, upside_2026q4_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
upside_2026q4_factory_fixed
2026Q4 / upside48.88
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
upside_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / upside72.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_before_factory, upside_2026q4_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
upside_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / upside29.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
upside_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / upside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
upside_2026q4_core_opex
2026Q4 / upside33.28
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
upside_2026q4_cash_adjustments
2026Q4 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
upside_2026q4_gaap_opex
2026Q4 / upside42.28
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_core_opex, upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
upside_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / upside30.22
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda
2026Q4 / upside68.22
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_operating_income, upside_2026q4_da, upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
upside_2026q4_credit_cash
2026Q4 / upside121.00
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
upside_2026q4_available_credit
2026Q4 / upside176.88
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_ending_credit_receivable, upside_2026q4_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
upside_2026q4_ending_credit_receivable
2026Q4 / upside55.87
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_available_credit, upside_2026q4_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
upside_2026q4_refund_collection
2026Q4 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
upside_2026q4_tariff_cash
2026Q4 / upside24.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, upside_2026q4_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
upside_2026q4_cash_before_uses
2026Q4 / upside213.62
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_credit_cash, upside_2026q4_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
upside_2026q4_cash_interest_tax
2026Q4 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
upside_2026q4_wc
2026Q4 / upside31.20
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
upside_2026q4_cash_uses
2026Q4 / upside124.58
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_credit_accrual, upside_2026q4_cash_adjustments, upside_2026q4_cash_interest_tax, upside_2026q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / upside89.04
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cash_before_uses, upside_2026q4_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
upside_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / upside136.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
upside_2026q4_fcf
2026Q4 / upside-47.46
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
upside_2026q4_ip_due
2026Q4 / upside48.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
upside_2026q4_ip_cash_fraction
2026Q4 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
upside_2026q4_ip_elected_cash
2026Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_ip_due, upside_2026q4_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
upside_2026q4_ip_upfront_paid
2026Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
upside_2026q4_ip_cash
2026Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_ip_elected_cash, upside_2026q4_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
upside_2026q4_ip_share_consideration
2026Q4 / upside48.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_ip_due, upside_2026q4_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
upside_2026q4_cash_after_ip
2026Q4 / upside-47.46
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_fcf, upside_2026q4_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
upside_2027q1_shipments_gw
2027Q1 / upside120.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
upside_2027q1_module_price
2027Q1 / upside305.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
upside_2027q1_module_revenue
2027Q1 / upside366.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_shipments_gw, upside_2027q1_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
upside_2027q1_other_revenue
2027Q1 / upside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
upside_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / upside373.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_module_revenue, upside_2027q1_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
upside_2027q1_credit_eligibility
2027Q1 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2027q1_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q1 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
upside_2027q1_module_credit
2027Q1 / upside84.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_shipments_gw, upside_2027q1_module_credit_per_gw, upside_2027q1_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
upside_2027q1_cell_gw
2027Q1 / upside10.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2027q1_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q1 / upside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
upside_2027q1_cell_credit
2027Q1 / upside4.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_cell_gw, upside_2027q1_cell_credit_per_gw, upside_2027q1_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
upside_2027q1_face_credit
2027Q1 / upside88.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_module_credit, upside_2027q1_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
upside_2027q1_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q1 / upside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
upside_2027q1_credit_accrual
2027Q1 / upside81.84
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_face_credit, upside_2027q1_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
upside_2027q1_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q1 / upside38.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
upside_2027q1_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q1 / upside45.60
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_shipments_gw, upside_2027q1_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
upside_2027q1_before_factory
2027Q1 / upside127.44
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_manufacturing_contribution, upside_2027q1_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
upside_2027q1_factory_fixed
2027Q1 / upside50.96
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
upside_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / upside76.48
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_before_factory, upside_2027q1_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
upside_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / upside31.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
upside_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / upside8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
upside_2027q1_core_opex
2027Q1 / upside34.32
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
upside_2027q1_cash_adjustments
2027Q1 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
upside_2027q1_gaap_opex
2027Q1 / upside44.32
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_core_opex, upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
upside_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / upside32.16
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda
2027Q1 / upside73.16
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q1_da, upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
upside_2027q1_credit_cash
2027Q1 / upside71.50
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
upside_2027q1_available_credit
2027Q1 / upside137.71
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_ending_credit_receivable, upside_2027q1_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
upside_2027q1_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q1 / upside66.21
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_available_credit, upside_2027q1_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
upside_2027q1_refund_collection
2027Q1 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
upside_2027q1_tariff_cash
2027Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, upside_2027q1_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
upside_2027q1_cash_before_uses
2027Q1 / upside144.66
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q1_credit_cash, upside_2027q1_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
upside_2027q1_cash_interest_tax
2027Q1 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
upside_2027q1_wc
2027Q1 / upside26.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
upside_2027q1_cash_uses
2027Q1 / upside119.84
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_credit_accrual, upside_2027q1_cash_adjustments, upside_2027q1_cash_interest_tax, upside_2027q1_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / upside24.82
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_before_uses, upside_2027q1_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
upside_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / upside73.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
upside_2027q1_fcf
2027Q1 / upside-48.68
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
upside_2027q1_ip_due
2027Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
upside_2027q1_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q1 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
upside_2027q1_ip_elected_cash
2027Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_ip_due, upside_2027q1_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
upside_2027q1_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
upside_2027q1_ip_cash
2027Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_ip_elected_cash, upside_2027q1_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
upside_2027q1_ip_share_consideration
2027Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_ip_due, upside_2027q1_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
upside_2027q1_cash_after_ip
2027Q1 / upside-48.68
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q1_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
upside_2027q2_shipments_gw
2027Q2 / upside130.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
upside_2027q2_module_price
2027Q2 / upside305.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
upside_2027q2_module_revenue
2027Q2 / upside396.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_shipments_gw, upside_2027q2_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
upside_2027q2_other_revenue
2027Q2 / upside9.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
upside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / upside405.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_module_revenue, upside_2027q2_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
upside_2027q2_credit_eligibility
2027Q2 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2027q2_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q2 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
upside_2027q2_module_credit
2027Q2 / upside91.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_shipments_gw, upside_2027q2_module_credit_per_gw, upside_2027q2_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
upside_2027q2_cell_gw
2027Q2 / upside30.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2027q2_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q2 / upside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
upside_2027q2_cell_credit
2027Q2 / upside12.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_cell_gw, upside_2027q2_cell_credit_per_gw, upside_2027q2_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
upside_2027q2_face_credit
2027Q2 / upside103.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_module_credit, upside_2027q2_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
upside_2027q2_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q2 / upside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
upside_2027q2_credit_accrual
2027Q2 / upside95.79
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_face_credit, upside_2027q2_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
upside_2027q2_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q2 / upside42.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
upside_2027q2_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q2 / upside54.60
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_shipments_gw, upside_2027q2_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
upside_2027q2_before_factory
2027Q2 / upside150.39
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_manufacturing_contribution, upside_2027q2_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
upside_2027q2_factory_fixed
2027Q2 / upside53.04
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
upside_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / upside97.35
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_before_factory, upside_2027q2_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
upside_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / upside33.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
upside_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / upside9.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
upside_2027q2_core_opex
2027Q2 / upside35.36
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
upside_2027q2_cash_adjustments
2027Q2 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
upside_2027q2_gaap_opex
2027Q2 / upside46.36
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_core_opex, upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
upside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / upside50.99
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda
2027Q2 / upside94.99
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q2_da, upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
upside_2027q2_credit_cash
2027Q2 / upside82.50
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
upside_2027q2_available_credit
2027Q2 / upside162.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_ending_credit_receivable, upside_2027q2_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
upside_2027q2_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q2 / upside79.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_available_credit, upside_2027q2_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
upside_2027q2_refund_collection
2027Q2 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
upside_2027q2_tariff_cash
2027Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, upside_2027q2_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
upside_2027q2_cash_before_uses
2027Q2 / upside177.49
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_credit_cash, upside_2027q2_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
upside_2027q2_cash_interest_tax
2027Q2 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
upside_2027q2_wc
2027Q2 / upside26.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
upside_2027q2_cash_uses
2027Q2 / upside133.79
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_credit_accrual, upside_2027q2_cash_adjustments, upside_2027q2_cash_interest_tax, upside_2027q2_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / upside43.70
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_before_uses, upside_2027q2_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
upside_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / upside31.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
upside_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / upside12.20
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
upside_2027q2_ip_due
2027Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
upside_2027q2_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q2 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
upside_2027q2_ip_elected_cash
2027Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_ip_due, upside_2027q2_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
upside_2027q2_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
upside_2027q2_ip_cash
2027Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_ip_elected_cash, upside_2027q2_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
upside_2027q2_ip_share_consideration
2027Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_ip_due, upside_2027q2_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
upside_2027q2_cash_after_ip
2027Q2 / upside12.20
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q2_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
upside_2027q3_shipments_gw
2027Q3 / upside135.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
upside_2027q3_module_price
2027Q3 / upside305.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
upside_2027q3_module_revenue
2027Q3 / upside411.75
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_shipments_gw, upside_2027q3_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
upside_2027q3_other_revenue
2027Q3 / upside11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
upside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / upside422.75
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_module_revenue, upside_2027q3_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
upside_2027q3_credit_eligibility
2027Q3 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2027q3_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q3 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
upside_2027q3_module_credit
2027Q3 / upside94.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_shipments_gw, upside_2027q3_module_credit_per_gw, upside_2027q3_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
upside_2027q3_cell_gw
2027Q3 / upside45.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2027q3_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q3 / upside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
upside_2027q3_cell_credit
2027Q3 / upside18.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_cell_gw, upside_2027q3_cell_credit_per_gw, upside_2027q3_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
upside_2027q3_face_credit
2027Q3 / upside112.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_module_credit, upside_2027q3_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
upside_2027q3_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q3 / upside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
upside_2027q3_credit_accrual
2027Q3 / upside104.62
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_face_credit, upside_2027q3_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
upside_2027q3_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q3 / upside45.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
upside_2027q3_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q3 / upside60.75
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_shipments_gw, upside_2027q3_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
upside_2027q3_before_factory
2027Q3 / upside165.38
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_manufacturing_contribution, upside_2027q3_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
upside_2027q3_factory_fixed
2027Q3 / upside55.12
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
upside_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / upside110.25
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_before_factory, upside_2027q3_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
upside_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / upside35.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
upside_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
upside_2027q3_core_opex
2027Q3 / upside36.40
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
upside_2027q3_cash_adjustments
2027Q3 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
upside_2027q3_gaap_opex
2027Q3 / upside48.40
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_core_opex, upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
upside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / upside61.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda
2027Q3 / upside108.85
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q3_da, upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
upside_2027q3_credit_cash
2027Q3 / upside93.50
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
upside_2027q3_available_credit
2027Q3 / upside184.13
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_ending_credit_receivable, upside_2027q3_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
upside_2027q3_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q3 / upside90.63
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_available_credit, upside_2027q3_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
upside_2027q3_refund_collection
2027Q3 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
upside_2027q3_tariff_cash
2027Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, upside_2027q3_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
upside_2027q3_cash_before_uses
2027Q3 / upside202.36
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_credit_cash, upside_2027q3_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
upside_2027q3_cash_interest_tax
2027Q3 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
upside_2027q3_wc
2027Q3 / upside26.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
upside_2027q3_cash_uses
2027Q3 / upside142.62
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_credit_accrual, upside_2027q3_cash_adjustments, upside_2027q3_cash_interest_tax, upside_2027q3_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / upside59.73
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_before_uses, upside_2027q3_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
upside_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / upside21.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
upside_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / upside38.73
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
upside_2027q3_ip_due
2027Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
upside_2027q3_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q3 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
upside_2027q3_ip_elected_cash
2027Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_ip_due, upside_2027q3_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
upside_2027q3_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
upside_2027q3_ip_cash
2027Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_ip_elected_cash, upside_2027q3_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
upside_2027q3_ip_share_consideration
2027Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_ip_due, upside_2027q3_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
upside_2027q3_cash_after_ip
2027Q3 / upside38.73
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q3_ip_cash).
Modules sold in GW
upside_2027q4_shipments_gw
2027Q4 / upside140.0%
ratio
assumption: One-GW quantity reference; not nameplate or production.
Sales dollars per one-GW reference
upside_2027q4_module_price
2027Q4 / upside305.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Recognized module sales
upside_2027q4_module_revenue
2027Q4 / upside427.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_shipments_gw, upside_2027q4_module_price).
KORE/other external sales allowance
upside_2027q4_other_revenue
2027Q4 / upside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk allowance pending complete acquired operating disclosure; no Nordic monetization.
Module and other-business sales
upside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / upside440.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_module_revenue, upside_2027q4_other_revenue).
Qualifying credit share
upside_2027q4_credit_eligibility
2027Q4 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2027q4_module_credit_per_gw
2027Q4 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module credit face accrual
upside_2027q4_module_credit
2027Q4 / upside98.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_shipments_gw, upside_2027q4_module_credit_per_gw, upside_2027q4_credit_eligibility).
Eligible domestic cells in GW
upside_2027q4_cell_gw
2027Q4 / upside50.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cell credit $M per GW assumption
upside_2027q4_cell_credit_per_gw
2027Q4 / upside40.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Domestic cell credit face accrual
upside_2027q4_cell_credit
2027Q4 / upside20.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_cell_gw, upside_2027q4_cell_credit_per_gw, upside_2027q4_credit_eligibility).
Module plus cell credit face value
upside_2027q4_face_credit
2027Q4 / upside118.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_module_credit, upside_2027q4_cell_credit).
Credit transfer realization
upside_2027q4_credit_transfer_realization
2027Q4 / upside93.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net credit accrual after transfer discount
upside_2027q4_credit_accrual
2027Q4 / upside109.74
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_face_credit, upside_2027q4_credit_transfer_realization).
Manufacturing contribution $M per GW
upside_2027q4_manufacturing_per_gw
2027Q4 / upside48.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Module manufacturing contribution before fixed cost and credits
upside_2027q4_manufacturing_contribution
2027Q4 / upside67.20
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_shipments_gw, upside_2027q4_manufacturing_per_gw).
Manufacturing plus eligible credits
upside_2027q4_before_factory
2027Q4 / upside176.94
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_manufacturing_contribution, upside_2027q4_credit_accrual).
Factory fixed cost including normal depreciation
upside_2027q4_factory_fixed
2027Q4 / upside57.20
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gross profit after factory depreciation
upside_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / upside119.74
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_before_factory, upside_2027q4_factory_fixed).
Total D&A
upside_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / upside37.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC
upside_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / upside11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash corporate expense
upside_2027q4_core_opex
2027Q4 / upside37.44
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash transaction and other adjusted exclusions
upside_2027q4_cash_adjustments
2027Q4 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Corporate cash expense SBC and cash exclusions
upside_2027q4_gaap_opex
2027Q4 / upside50.44
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_core_opex, upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_cash_adjustments).
Operating income proxy
upside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / upside69.30
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_gaap_opex).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy
upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda
2027Q4 / upside119.30
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_operating_income, upside_2027q4_da, upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_cash_adjustments).
Actual cash from credit transfers
upside_2027q4_credit_cash
2027Q4 / upside104.50
USD_millions
assumption: Collection timing sensitivity; not the same as current accrual.
Opening receivable and current net accrual
upside_2027q4_available_credit
2027Q4 / upside200.37
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_ending_credit_receivable, upside_2027q4_credit_accrual).
Credit receivable proxy
upside_2027q4_ending_credit_receivable
2027Q4 / upside95.87
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_available_credit, upside_2027q4_credit_cash).
Prior-refund collection share
upside_2027q4_refund_collection
2027Q4 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk Q4 cash timing; does not add new profit.
Collection of previously recognized tariff refund
upside_2027q4_tariff_cash
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tariff_refund_accrual, upside_2027q4_refund_collection).
EBITDA plus credit and prior refund collections
upside_2027q4_cash_before_uses
2027Q4 / upside223.80
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_credit_cash, upside_2027q4_tariff_cash).
Cash interest and tax including July coupon
upside_2027q4_cash_interest_tax
2027Q4 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other receivable inventory and advance cash use
upside_2027q4_wc
2027Q4 / upside26.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Credit accrual and operating cash needs
upside_2027q4_cash_uses
2027Q4 / upside147.74
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_credit_accrual, upside_2027q4_cash_adjustments, upside_2027q4_cash_interest_tax, upside_2027q4_wc).
Operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / upside76.06
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_before_uses, upside_2027q4_cash_uses).
G2 and other gross PP&E cash
upside_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / upside21.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash after PP&E
upside_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / upside55.06
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capex).
IP remaining tranche consideration
upside_2027q4_ip_due
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: September 30 $25M; October 15/30 $30M+$18M. Cash or shares at election.
Remaining IP settlement paid in cash
upside_2027q4_ip_cash_fraction
2027Q4 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Elected cash settlement
upside_2027q4_ip_elected_cash
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_ip_due, upside_2027q4_ip_cash_fraction).
Already-paid July upfront cash
upside_2027q4_ip_upfront_paid
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
IP cash consideration
upside_2027q4_ip_cash
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_ip_elected_cash, upside_2027q4_ip_upfront_paid).
IP consideration settled in shares
upside_2027q4_ip_share_consideration
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Value of shares issued, not share count or cash funding. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_ip_due, upside_2027q4_ip_elected_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP
upside_2027q4_cash_after_ip
2027Q4 / upside55.06
USD_millions
derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_fcf, upside_2027q4_ip_cash).
Revenue ($M)
upside_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / upside1,152.53
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
upside_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / upside206.29
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M)
upside_fy2026_adj_ebitda
FY2026 / upside138.38
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda).
Operating income proxy ($M)
upside_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / upside0.30
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
upside_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / upside-12.08
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo).
Gross PP&E cash ($M)
upside_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / upside413.82
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E ($M)
upside_fy2026_fcf
FY2026 / upside-425.90
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q4_fcf).
IP cash consideration ($M)
upside_fy2026_ip_cash
FY2026 / upside2.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_ip_cash, upside_2026q3_ip_cash, upside_2026q4_ip_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP ($M)
upside_fy2026_cash_after_ip
FY2026 / upside-427.90
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_ip, upside_2026q3_cash_after_ip, upside_2026q4_cash_after_ip).
Revenue ($M)
upside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / upside1,641.25
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue).
Gross profit proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / upside403.83
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_gross_profit).
Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_adj_ebitda
FY2027 / upside396.31
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda).
Operating income proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / upside214.31
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / upside204.31
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo).
Gross PP&E cash ($M)
upside_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / upside147.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex).
Cash after PP&E ($M)
upside_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / upside57.31
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q4_fcf).
IP cash consideration ($M)
upside_fy2027_ip_cash
FY2027 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_ip_cash, upside_2027q2_ip_cash, upside_2027q3_ip_cash, upside_2027q4_ip_cash).
Cash after PP&E and IP ($M)
upside_fy2027_cash_after_ip
FY2027 / upside57.31
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_ip, upside_2027q2_cash_after_ip, upside_2027q3_cash_after_ip, upside_2027q4_cash_after_ip).

Model boundaries

Solar manufacturing through the credit and construction cash bridge

Research reviewed 2026-09-20

Can module economics and collected incentives finance domestic cell capacity without repeated dilution?

Q2 sales were $250.1M with 935 MW produced and approximately 835 MW sold. Final adjusted EBITDA $10.657M included $24.4M tariff refunds; excluding that benefit gives negative $13.743M. H1 CFO was negative $103.0M and PP&E cash $161.8M. June unrestricted cash was $79.1M versus $77.3M restricted and $95.4M grant receivables. The 10-Q distinguishes $39.1M credit face sold from $36.4M consideration. G2 Phase 1 budget is $510M, first cells expected Q1 2027; July $120M convertibles provide bridge funding. The $135M IP acquisition has $2M paid cash, $60M paid shares and $73M remaining cash/share elections. August resale registration creates no additional company proceeds.

The competing explanation

A credit-eligibility problem, slower collection, component inflation or delayed G2 financing can turn headline growth into more funding pressure. Paying IP obligations with shares preserves cash while diluting owners.

Risks to track

Next checkpoints

Data coverage and open work

This review: Separates tariff normalization, credit face/cash, July financing and September/October IP settlement claims.

What the memory says

State as of the 2026-09-25 close: in a 120-day downtrend, below its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, ordinary volume, closed weak, and some peers moving

300 similar days

Vs the market, in pointsLowMiddleHighShare up
1 session-1.8+0.2+2.257%
5 sessions-4.2+0.7+5.756%
10 sessions-5.5+0.9+8.560%
1 month (21 sessions)-7.7+1.6+11.262%
3 months (63 sessions)-13.9+2.2+23.555%
6 months (126 sessions)-17.2+0.9+28.154%
1 year (252 sessions)-22.4+6.8+59.859%

Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side. In the D7 test (403 anchors, 2023-2025) the 1-month band held 76% of outcomes, 3-month 77%, 6-month 76%, 1-year 75%, against a nominal 80%; the analog pool under-represents names that later delisted.

Notes on this name

No published notes on this name yet.

Scorecard: 0 notes scored

Next report: 2026-11-10 (source: estimated from 10-Q filed 2026-08-12 plus 90 days)

Provenance

  1. [1] reported: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001992243-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-11-14; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  2. [2] derived: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001992243-26-000007, 10-K filed 2026-03-31; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  3. [3] reported: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001992243-26-000014, 10-Q filed 2026-05-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  4. [4] reported: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001992243-26-000022, 10-Q filed 2026-08-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  5. [5] reported: GrossProfit, accession 0001992243-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-11-14; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  6. [6] derived: GrossProfit, accession 0001992243-26-000007, 10-K filed 2026-03-31; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  7. [7] reported: GrossProfit, accession 0001992243-26-000014, 10-Q filed 2026-05-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  8. [8] reported: GrossProfit, accession 0001992243-26-000022, 10-Q filed 2026-08-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  9. [9] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001992243-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-11-14; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  10. [10] derived: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001992243-26-000007, 10-K filed 2026-03-31; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  11. [11] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001992243-26-000014, 10-Q filed 2026-05-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  12. [12] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001992243-26-000022, 10-Q filed 2026-08-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  13. [13] reported: NetIncomeLoss, accession 0001992243-24-000157, 10-Q filed 2024-11-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  14. [14] derived: Net loss attributable to common stockholders; Q1 equals H1 less Q2; retrieved 2026-09-20T14:06:03.526884+00:00 from https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1992243/000199224326000022/t1-20260630.htm
  15. [15] reported: Net loss attributable to common stockholders; Q1 equals H1 less Q2; retrieved 2026-09-20T14:06:03.526884+00:00 from https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1992243/000199224326000022/t1-20260630.htm
  16. [16] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001992243-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-11-14; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  17. [17] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001992243-26-000014, 10-Q filed 2026-05-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  18. [18] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001992243-26-000022, 10-Q filed 2026-08-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  19. [19] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001992243-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-11-14; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  20. [20] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001992243-26-000014, 10-Q filed 2026-05-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  21. [21] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001992243-26-000022, 10-Q filed 2026-08-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  22. [22] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001992243-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-11-14; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  23. [23] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001992243-26-000007, 10-K filed 2026-03-31; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  24. [24] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001992243-26-000014, 10-Q filed 2026-05-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  25. [25] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001992243-26-000022, 10-Q filed 2026-08-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  26. [26] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001992243-26-000007, 10-K filed 2026-03-31; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  27. [27] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001992243-25-000029, 10-Q/A filed 2025-08-18; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  28. [28] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001992243-25-000033, 10-Q filed 2025-08-19; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  29. [29] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001992243-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-11-14; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  30. [30] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001992243-26-000022, 10-Q filed 2026-08-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  31. [31] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001992243-26-000014, 10-Q filed 2026-05-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  32. [32] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001992243-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-11-14; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  33. [33] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001992243-26-000007, 10-K filed 2026-03-31; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  34. [34] reported: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001992243-26-000014, 10-Q filed 2026-05-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  35. [35] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001992243-26-000022, 10-Q filed 2026-08-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  36. [36] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001992243-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-11-14; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  37. [37] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001992243-26-000007, 10-K filed 2026-03-31; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  38. [38] reported: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001992243-26-000014, 10-Q filed 2026-05-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  39. [39] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001992243-26-000022, 10-Q filed 2026-08-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  40. [40] derived: CFO - capex; NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json; filed 2025-11-14] ; PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json; filed 2025-11-14], accession 0001992243-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-11-14; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  41. [41] derived: CFO - capex; NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json; filed 2026-03-31] ; PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json; filed 2026-03-31], accession 0001992243-26-000007, 10-K filed 2026-03-31; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  42. [42] derived: CFO - capex; NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json; filed 2026-05-12] ; PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json; filed 2026-05-12], accession 0001992243-26-000014, 10-Q filed 2026-05-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json
  43. [43] derived: CFO - capex; NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json; filed 2026-08-12] ; PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json; filed 2026-08-12], accession 0001992243-26-000022, 10-Q filed 2026-08-12; retrieved 2026-09-26T11:16:50+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001992243.json

What the author read

Compiled 2026-09-26T11:16:51.759950+00:00 · authored d68210766851 · generated 5df0d9831dca · JSON

Daily notes · Scorecard