$SYM
Business
Symbotic sells robotic warehouse Systems plus software maintenance and operation services. Revenue depends on deployment work and the installed base, while customer advances and contract-cost spending make cash seasonal. Walmart and the Exol warehouse venture dominate contracted demand. Exol is a 35%-owned unconsolidated investment as well as a customer, so capital calls and system sales must be evaluated separately. July-acquired ARMS adds warehouse software capabilities.
Three drivers
- Systems deployment execution and recurring service mix
- Customer advances versus inventory and contract-cost investment
- Concentrated demand, Exol capital calls and ownership claims
Thesis
Our view
Q3 delivered positive operating income, but cash conversion remains uneven: quarter FCF was negative $164.630M, while nine-month FCF was positive $242.831M with $368.777M of deferred-revenue funding. Backlog is substantial but concentrated and long dated. The operating model separates service economics from customer financing and Exol capital, without converting consolidated profit into an unsupported Class A EPS forecast.
What changes it
Track systems completion, recurring-service margins, customer billing and contract costs together. Reconcile Exol contributions and investment gains separately, and monitor component-program spending and financial-control remediation.
Scenario ranges
Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.
Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)
| Fiscal quarter | 2024Q4 2024-09-28 | 2025Q1 2024-12-28 | 2025Q2 2025-03-29 | 2025Q3 2025-06-28 | 2025Q4 2025-09-27 | 2026Q1 2025-12-27 | 2026Q2 2026-03-28 | 2026Q3 2026-06-27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($M) | 564.61 | 486.72 | 549.73 | 592.14 | 618.5†5 | 630.02 | 676.53 | 720.84 |
| Gross profit ($M) | 96.46 | 81.07 | 110.88 | 111.89 | 119.0†10 | 133.47 | 150.08 | 160.99 |
| Operating income ($M) | 10.911 | -23.012 | -20.513 | -25.814 | -45.8†15 | 6.512 | 6.113 | 32.914 |
| Net income ($M) | 2.816 | -3.217 | -1.818 | -3.919 | -8.0†20 | 2.617 | 2.018 | 11.719 |
| EPS, diluted ($) | 0.0321 | -0.0322 | -0.0223 | -0.0424 | — | 0.0222 | 0.0123 | 0.0924 |
| Diluted shares (M) | — | 106.125 | 107.726 | 109.227 | — | 127.925 | 134.426 | 133.327 |
| Cash ($M) | 727.328 | 903.029 | 954.930 | 777.631 | 1,245.031 | 1,819.129 | 2,009.430 | 1,746.431 |
| Long-term debt ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cash from operations ($M) | -99.4†32 | 205.033 | 269.6†34 | -196.5†35 | 588.8†32 | 191.533 | 261.3†34 | -147.3†35 |
| Capex ($M) | 20.7†36 | 7.437 | 20.638 | 14.939 | 36.2†40 | 2.1†41 | 43.439 | 17.339 |
| Free cash flow ($M) | -120.1†42 | 197.7†43 | 249.0†44 | -211.4†45 | 552.6†46 | 189.5†47 | 218.0†48 | -164.6†45 |
Estimates · base scenario
| Period | Revenue ($M) | EPS ($) | As of | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q4 | 770.0 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q1 | 793.8 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q2 | 865.9 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q3 | 938.1 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
Deployment revenue, recurring service mix and customer-funded cash
Separate Systems, Software Maintenance/Support and Operation Services. Preserve nine-month actuals, anchor Q4 to August guidance and extend the three streams independently into FY2027. Use GAAP stream gross margins and an explicit noncash cost allocation to bridge to adjusted EBITDA, then ordinary compensation/depreciation to an operating-income proxy. Separate deferred-revenue funding from other working capital, combined PP&E/software cash and strategic-investment/JV capital.
Reported anchors and guidance
| Measure | Period | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 Q4 revenue outlook midpoint | 2026Q4 | 770.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| FY2026 Q4 adjusted EBITDA outlook midpoint | 2026Q4 | 102.50 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| Nine-month company FCF | 9M FY2026 | 242.83 | derived. Combined PP&E and capitalized software, not PP&E alone. |
| Nine-month FCF excluding deferred funding | 9M FY2026 | -125.95 | derived. Analytical timing measure, not company adjusted FCF. |
| Q3 company FCF | 2026Q3 | -164.63 | derived. Negative despite positive quarter earnings. |
| Nine-month deferred funding | 9M FY2026 | 368.78 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| backlog | 2026Q3 | 22,500.00 | reported. Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| RPO conversion reference for next 12 months | June 2026 | 3,375.00 | derived. Subset of total RPO; does not guarantee billed cash or calendar-year sales. |
| Largest customer Q3 revenue share | 2026Q3 | 90.5% | reported. Customer A including affiliates/subsidiaries/consolidated entities; filing reports concentration without naming that row. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| cash | 2026Q3 | 1,746.45 | reported. Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| restricted cash | 2026Q3 | 27.13 | reported. Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| exol future commitment | 2026Q3 | 1,487.90 | reported. Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month exol cash | 9M FY2026 | 73.20 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| tra expected payments | 2026Q3 | 487.00 | reported. Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| component program charge | 2026Q3 | 34.30 | reported. Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| q3 consolidated net income | 2026Q3 | 55.00 | reported. Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Source · 2026-08-05 |
| q3 common income | 2026Q3 | 11.67 | reported. Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Source · 2026-08-05 |
Downside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow ($M) | CFO less PP&E and software ($M) | Combined PP&E and software cash ($M) | Revenue ($M) | Systems revenue ($M) | Operation Services revenue ($M) | Software maintenance/support revenue ($M) | GAAP gross profit ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA ($M) | FCF excluding net deferred-revenue funding ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after strategic investments and distributions ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q4 | -69.05 | -94.05 | 25.00 | 723.80 | 671.30 | 39.00 | 13.50 | 153.54 | 79.95 | 5.95 | 11.95 | -150.05 |
| 2027Q1 | 90.68 | 58.68 | 32.00 | 682.21 | 632.52 | 35.37 | 14.32 | 145.68 | 55.68 | -41.32 | -17.32 | -3.32 |
| 2027Q2 | -76.07 | -110.07 | 34.00 | 744.23 | 690.02 | 38.59 | 15.62 | 158.93 | 67.93 | -30.07 | -10.07 | -177.07 |
| 2027Q3 | 83.17 | 47.17 | 36.00 | 806.25 | 747.52 | 41.80 | 16.93 | 172.17 | 80.17 | -2.83 | -2.83 | -24.83 |
| FY2026 | 236.53 | 148.78 | 87.75 | 2,751.10 | 2,567.04 | 133.99 | 50.07 | 597.83 | 319.83 | -120.00 | 57.46 | -51.83 |
| FY2027 | 113.20 | -26.80 | 140.00 | 3,100.97 | 2,875.08 | 160.79 | 65.10 | 662.20 | 296.20 | -66.80 | -25.80 | -304.80 |
Base scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow ($M) | CFO less PP&E and software ($M) | Combined PP&E and software cash ($M) | Revenue ($M) | Systems revenue ($M) | Operation Services revenue ($M) | Software maintenance/support revenue ($M) | GAAP gross profit ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA ($M) | FCF excluding net deferred-revenue funding ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after strategic investments and distributions ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q4 | 168.50 | 143.50 | 25.00 | 770.00 | 714.00 | 42.00 | 14.00 | 194.60 | 102.50 | 43.50 | 34.50 | 92.50 |
| 2027Q1 | 191.82 | 159.82 | 32.00 | 793.78 | 734.90 | 42.19 | 16.69 | 201.82 | 113.82 | 39.82 | 40.82 | 102.82 |
| 2027Q2 | -5.84 | -39.84 | 34.00 | 865.95 | 801.71 | 46.03 | 18.21 | 220.16 | 131.16 | 60.16 | 53.16 | -101.84 |
| 2027Q3 | 256.51 | 220.51 | 36.00 | 938.11 | 868.52 | 49.86 | 19.72 | 238.51 | 148.51 | 70.51 | 65.51 | 153.51 |
| FY2026 | 474.08 | 386.33 | 87.75 | 2,797.30 | 2,609.74 | 136.99 | 50.57 | 638.89 | 342.38 | -82.45 | 80.01 | 190.72 |
| FY2027 | 621.35 | 481.35 | 140.00 | 3,608.11 | 3,340.47 | 191.78 | 75.86 | 917.35 | 559.35 | 261.35 | 237.35 | 223.35 |
Upside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow ($M) | CFO less PP&E and software ($M) | Combined PP&E and software cash ($M) | Revenue ($M) | Systems revenue ($M) | Operation Services revenue ($M) | Software maintenance/support revenue ($M) | GAAP gross profit ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA ($M) | FCF excluding net deferred-revenue funding ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after strategic investments and distributions ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q4 | 269.75 | 244.75 | 25.00 | 789.25 | 730.75 | 44.00 | 14.50 | 216.24 | 112.75 | 64.75 | 44.75 | 193.75 |
| 2027Q1 | 296.92 | 264.92 | 32.00 | 863.34 | 797.40 | 47.40 | 18.54 | 237.92 | 146.92 | 84.92 | 73.92 | 207.92 |
| 2027Q2 | 87.55 | 53.55 | 34.00 | 941.82 | 869.89 | 51.70 | 20.23 | 259.55 | 167.55 | 103.55 | 89.55 | -8.45 |
| 2027Q3 | 336.18 | 300.18 | 36.00 | 1,020.31 | 942.38 | 56.01 | 21.91 | 281.18 | 188.18 | 120.18 | 105.18 | 233.18 |
| FY2026 | 575.33 | 487.58 | 87.75 | 2,816.55 | 2,626.49 | 138.99 | 51.07 | 660.53 | 352.63 | -61.20 | 90.26 | 291.97 |
| FY2027 | 982.45 | 842.45 | 140.00 | 3,924.26 | 3,624.56 | 215.43 | 84.27 | 1,081.45 | 711.45 | 452.45 | 389.45 | 584.45 |
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
| Input / calculation | Period / case | Value / unit | Evidence or assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nine-month revenue ytd_revenue | 9M FY2026 / shared | 2,027.30 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month systems ytd_systems | 9M FY2026 / shared | 1,895.74 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month maintenance ytd_maintenance | 9M FY2026 / shared | 36.57 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month operations ytd_operations | 9M FY2026 / shared | 94.99 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month gross profit ytd_gross_profit | 9M FY2026 / shared | 444.29 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month adjusted ebitda ytd_adjusted_ebitda | 9M FY2026 / shared | 239.88 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month operating income ytd_operating_income | 9M FY2026 / shared | 45.51 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month cfo ytd_cfo | 9M FY2026 / shared | 305.58 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month capex ytd_capex | 9M FY2026 / shared | 62.75 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month deferred funding ytd_deferred_funding | 9M FY2026 / shared | 368.78 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month strategic investments ytd_strategic_investments | 9M FY2026 / shared | 123.25 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month acquisition cash ytd_acquisition_cash | 9M FY2026 / shared | 20.16 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month partner distributions ytd_partner_distributions | 9M FY2026 / shared | 1.21 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month adjusted sbc ytd_adjusted_sbc | 9M FY2026 / shared | 151.82 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month cashflow sbc ytd_cashflow_sbc | 9M FY2026 / shared | 142.92 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month equity proceeds ytd_equity_proceeds | 9M FY2026 / shared | 424.31 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month exol cash ytd_exol_cash | 9M FY2026 / shared | 73.20 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month investment gain ytd_investment_gain | 9M FY2026 / shared | 21.04 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Nine-month company FCF ytd_fcf | 9M FY2026 / shared | 242.83 USD_millions | derived: Combined PP&E and capitalized software, not PP&E alone. Formula: subtract(ytd_cfo, ytd_capex). |
| Nine-month FCF excluding deferred funding ytd_cash_ex_deferred | 9M FY2026 / shared | -125.95 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing measure, not company adjusted FCF. Formula: subtract(ytd_fcf, ytd_deferred_funding). |
| Nine-month strategic, M&A and partner cash ytd_capital_uses | 9M FY2026 / shared | 144.61 USD_millions | derived: Exol contributions are already within strategic investments. Formula: sum(ytd_strategic_investments, ytd_acquisition_cash, ytd_partner_distributions). |
| Nine-month cash after strategic allocations ytd_cash_after_investments | 9M FY2026 / shared | 98.22 USD_millions | derived: Before equity issuance, FX and restricted-cash movements. Formula: subtract(ytd_fcf, ytd_capital_uses). |
| q3 cfo q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / shared | -147.30 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| q3 capex q3_capex | 2026Q3 / shared | 17.33 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| q3 deferred funding q3_deferred_funding | 2026Q3 / shared | -123.83 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| cash cash | 2026Q3 / shared | 1,746.45 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| restricted cash restricted_cash | 2026Q3 / shared | 27.13 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| backlog backlog | 2026Q3 / shared | 22,500.00 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| deferred revenue deferred_revenue | 2026Q3 / shared | 1,736.56 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| unbilled receivables unbilled_receivables | 2026Q3 / shared | 459.84 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| exol investment exol_investment | 2026Q3 / shared | 140.47 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| exol future commitment exol_future_commitment | 2026Q3 / shared | 1,487.90 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| exol maximum exposure exol_maximum_exposure | 2026Q3 / shared | 1,491.34 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| tra expected payments tra_expected_payments | 2026Q3 / shared | 487.00 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| component program charge component_program_charge | 2026Q3 / shared | 34.30 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| q3 consolidated net income q3_consolidated_net_income | 2026Q3 / shared | 55.00 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| q3 common income q3_common_income | 2026Q3 / shared | 11.67 USD_millions | reported: Consolidated amount except common-holder income; program charge was recorded in Q2, not a new Q3 expense. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Q3 company FCF q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / shared | -164.63 USD_millions | derived: Negative despite positive quarter earnings. Formula: subtract(q3_cfo, q3_capex). |
| RPO expected in next 12 months backlog_near_share | June 2026 / shared | 15.0% ratio | management guidance: Company expectation from June 27; not an additional order. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| RPO conversion reference for next 12 months backlog_next12 | June 2026 / shared | 3,375.00 USD_millions | derived: Subset of total RPO; does not guarantee billed cash or calendar-year sales. Formula: multiply(backlog, backlog_near_share). |
| Largest customer Q3 revenue share largest_customer_share | 2026Q3 / shared | 90.5% ratio | reported: Customer A including affiliates/subsidiaries/consolidated entities; filing reports concentration without naming that row. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| FY2026 Q4 revenue outlook low q4_revenue_guide_low | 2026Q4 / shared | 760.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| FY2026 Q4 revenue outlook high q4_revenue_guide_high | 2026Q4 / shared | 780.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Midpoint divisor two | Model / shared | 200.0% ratio | assumption: Arithmetic constant. |
| FY2026 Q4 revenue outlook endpoint sum q4_revenue_guide_sum | 2026Q4 / shared | 1,540.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q4_revenue_guide_low, q4_revenue_guide_high). |
| FY2026 Q4 revenue outlook midpoint q4_revenue_guide | 2026Q4 / shared | 770.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q4_revenue_guide_sum, two). |
| FY2026 Q4 adjusted EBITDA outlook low q4_ebitda_guide_low | 2026Q4 / shared | 100.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| FY2026 Q4 adjusted EBITDA outlook high q4_ebitda_guide_high | 2026Q4 / shared | 105.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| FY2026 Q4 adjusted EBITDA outlook endpoint sum q4_ebitda_guide_sum | 2026Q4 / shared | 205.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q4_ebitda_guide_low, q4_ebitda_guide_high). |
| FY2026 Q4 adjusted EBITDA outlook midpoint q4_ebitda_guide | 2026Q4 / shared | 102.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q4_ebitda_guide_sum, two). |
| Q4 delivery / company midpoint downside_delivery | 2026Q4 / downside | 94.0% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| Q4 adjusted EBITDA / midpoint downside_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | 78.0% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| Q4 revenue downside_q4_target | 2026Q4 / downside | 723.80 USD_millions | derived: Company midpoint times delivery sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q4_revenue_guide, downside_delivery). |
| Q4 software maintenance sales downside_q4_maintenance | 2026Q4 / downside | 13.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk recurring service allocation. |
| Q4 operations service sales downside_q4_operations | 2026Q4 / downside | 39.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk service allocation. |
| Q4 recurring service sales downside_q4_services | 2026Q4 / downside | 52.50 USD_millions | derived: Mutually exclusive service streams. Formula: sum(downside_q4_maintenance, downside_q4_operations). |
| Q4 Systems revenue downside_q4_systems | 2026Q4 / downside | 671.30 USD_millions | derived: Systems inside consolidated guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_q4_target, downside_q4_services). |
| FY2026 systems revenue downside_fy26_systems | FY2026 / downside | 2,567.04 USD_millions | derived: Actual nine months plus Q4. Formula: sum(ytd_systems, downside_q4_systems). |
| FY2027 systems growth multiplier downside_systems_growth | FY2027 / downside | 112.0% ratio | assumption: Desk installed-base/deployment sensitivity, not a disclosed systems completion schedule. |
| FY2027 systems revenue downside_fy27_systems | FY2027 / downside | 2,875.08 USD_millions | derived: No extra backlog or contingent Walmart systems added. Formula: multiply(downside_fy26_systems, downside_systems_growth). |
| FY2026 maintenance revenue downside_fy26_maintenance | FY2026 / downside | 50.07 USD_millions | derived: Actual nine months plus Q4. Formula: sum(ytd_maintenance, downside_q4_maintenance). |
| FY2027 maintenance growth multiplier downside_maintenance_growth | FY2027 / downside | 130.0% ratio | assumption: Desk installed-base/deployment sensitivity, not a disclosed systems completion schedule. |
| FY2027 maintenance revenue downside_fy27_maintenance | FY2027 / downside | 65.10 USD_millions | derived: No extra backlog or contingent Walmart systems added. Formula: multiply(downside_fy26_maintenance, downside_maintenance_growth). |
| FY2026 operations revenue downside_fy26_operations | FY2026 / downside | 133.99 USD_millions | derived: Actual nine months plus Q4. Formula: sum(ytd_operations, downside_q4_operations). |
| FY2027 operations growth multiplier downside_operations_growth | FY2027 / downside | 120.0% ratio | assumption: Desk installed-base/deployment sensitivity, not a disclosed systems completion schedule. |
| FY2027 operations revenue downside_fy27_operations | FY2027 / downside | 160.79 USD_millions | derived: No extra backlog or contingent Walmart systems added. Formula: multiply(downside_fy26_operations, downside_operations_growth). |
| Annual revenue quarter share downside_2026q4_weight | 2026Q4 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue downside_2026q4_systems | 2026Q4 / downside | 671.30 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_q4_systems, downside_2026q4_weight). |
| maintenance revenue downside_2026q4_maintenance | 2026Q4 / downside | 13.50 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_q4_maintenance, downside_2026q4_weight). |
| operations revenue downside_2026q4_operations | 2026Q4 / downside | 39.00 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_q4_operations, downside_2026q4_weight). |
| Revenue downside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 723.80 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_systems, downside_2026q4_maintenance, downside_2026q4_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin downside_2026q4_systems_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 21.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit downside_2026q4_systems_gross | 2026Q4 / downside | 140.97 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_systems, downside_2026q4_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin downside_2026q4_maintenance_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 70.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit downside_2026q4_maintenance_gross | 2026Q4 / downside | 9.45 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_maintenance, downside_2026q4_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin downside_2026q4_operations_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 8.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit downside_2026q4_operations_gross | 2026Q4 / downside | 3.12 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_operations, downside_2026q4_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit downside_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | 153.54 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_systems_gross, downside_2026q4_maintenance_gross, downside_2026q4_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue downside_2026q4_cogs_noncash | 2026Q4 / downside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Adjusted EBITDA downside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2026Q4 / downside | 79.95 USD_millions | derived: Company Q4 guide midpoint times sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q4_ebitda_guide, downside_profit). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance downside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization downside_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / downside | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs downside_2026q4_cash_exclusions | 2026Q4 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA downside_2026q4_gaap_exclusions | 2026Q4 / downside | 68.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_da, downside_2026q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / downside | 11.95 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2026q4_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income downside_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding downside_2026q4_cash_before_wc | 2026Q4 / downside | 87.95 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_operating_income, downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_da, downside_2026q4_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding downside_2026q4_deferred_funding | 2026Q4 / downside | -100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding downside_2026q4_cash_with_advances | 2026Q4 / downside | -12.05 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cash_before_wc, downside_2026q4_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use downside_2026q4_other_working_capital | 2026Q4 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance downside_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments downside_2026q4_program_cash | 2026Q4 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash downside_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / downside | 57.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_other_working_capital, downside_2026q4_cash_tax, downside_2026q4_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow downside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / downside | -69.05 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cash_with_advances, downside_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash downside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF downside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / downside | -94.05 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding downside_2026q4_cash_ex_deferred | 2026Q4 / downside | 5.95 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_fcf, downside_2026q4_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution downside_2026q4_exol_contribution | 2026Q4 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash downside_2026q4_other_investment | 2026Q4 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions downside_2026q4_partner_distributions | 2026Q4 / downside | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash downside_2026q4_capital_uses | 2026Q4 / downside | 56.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_exol_contribution, downside_2026q4_other_investment, downside_2026q4_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations downside_2026q4_cash_after_investments | 2026Q4 / downside | -150.05 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_fcf, downside_2026q4_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share downside_2027q1_weight | 2027Q1 / downside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue downside_2027q1_systems | 2027Q1 / downside | 632.52 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_systems, downside_2027q1_weight). |
| maintenance revenue downside_2027q1_maintenance | 2027Q1 / downside | 14.32 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_maintenance, downside_2027q1_weight). |
| operations revenue downside_2027q1_operations | 2027Q1 / downside | 35.37 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_operations, downside_2027q1_weight). |
| Revenue downside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 682.21 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_systems, downside_2027q1_maintenance, downside_2027q1_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin downside_2027q1_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 21.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit downside_2027q1_systems_gross | 2027Q1 / downside | 132.83 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_systems, downside_2027q1_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin downside_2027q1_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 70.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit downside_2027q1_maintenance_gross | 2027Q1 / downside | 10.02 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_maintenance, downside_2027q1_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin downside_2027q1_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 8.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit downside_2027q1_operations_gross | 2027Q1 / downside | 2.83 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_operations, downside_2027q1_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit downside_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | 145.68 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_systems_gross, downside_2027q1_maintenance_gross, downside_2027q1_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue downside_2027q1_cogs_noncash | 2027Q1 / downside | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges downside_2027q1_cash_gross | 2027Q1 / downside | 167.68 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses downside_2027q1_adjusted_opex | 2027Q1 / downside | 112.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q1 / downside | 55.68 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_gross, downside_2027q1_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance downside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / downside | 59.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization downside_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / downside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs downside_2027q1_cash_exclusions | 2027Q1 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q1_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q1 / downside | 73.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_da, downside_2027q1_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / downside | -17.32 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q1_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income downside_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding downside_2027q1_cash_before_wc | 2027Q1 / downside | 63.68 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_da, downside_2027q1_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding downside_2027q1_deferred_funding | 2027Q1 / downside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding downside_2027q1_cash_with_advances | 2027Q1 / downside | 163.68 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_before_wc, downside_2027q1_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use downside_2027q1_other_working_capital | 2027Q1 / downside | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance downside_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments downside_2027q1_program_cash | 2027Q1 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash downside_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / downside | 73.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_other_working_capital, downside_2027q1_cash_tax, downside_2027q1_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / downside | 90.68 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_with_advances, downside_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash downside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | 32.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF downside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / downside | 58.68 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding downside_2027q1_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q1 / downside | -41.32 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q1_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution downside_2027q1_exol_contribution | 2027Q1 / downside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash downside_2027q1_other_investment | 2027Q1 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions downside_2027q1_partner_distributions | 2027Q1 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash downside_2027q1_capital_uses | 2027Q1 / downside | 62.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_exol_contribution, downside_2027q1_other_investment, downside_2027q1_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations downside_2027q1_cash_after_investments | 2027Q1 / downside | -3.32 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q1_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share downside_2027q2_weight | 2027Q2 / downside | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue downside_2027q2_systems | 2027Q2 / downside | 690.02 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_systems, downside_2027q2_weight). |
| maintenance revenue downside_2027q2_maintenance | 2027Q2 / downside | 15.62 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_maintenance, downside_2027q2_weight). |
| operations revenue downside_2027q2_operations | 2027Q2 / downside | 38.59 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_operations, downside_2027q2_weight). |
| Revenue downside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 744.23 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_systems, downside_2027q2_maintenance, downside_2027q2_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin downside_2027q2_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 21.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit downside_2027q2_systems_gross | 2027Q2 / downside | 144.90 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_systems, downside_2027q2_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin downside_2027q2_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 70.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit downside_2027q2_maintenance_gross | 2027Q2 / downside | 10.94 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_maintenance, downside_2027q2_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin downside_2027q2_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 8.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit downside_2027q2_operations_gross | 2027Q2 / downside | 3.09 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_operations, downside_2027q2_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit downside_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | 158.93 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_systems_gross, downside_2027q2_maintenance_gross, downside_2027q2_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue downside_2027q2_cogs_noncash | 2027Q2 / downside | 24.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges downside_2027q2_cash_gross | 2027Q2 / downside | 182.93 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses downside_2027q2_adjusted_opex | 2027Q2 / downside | 115.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q2 / downside | 67.93 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_gross, downside_2027q2_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance downside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / downside | 63.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization downside_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / downside | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs downside_2027q2_cash_exclusions | 2027Q2 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q2_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q2 / downside | 78.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_da, downside_2027q2_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / downside | -10.07 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q2_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income downside_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding downside_2027q2_cash_before_wc | 2027Q2 / downside | 75.93 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_da, downside_2027q2_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding downside_2027q2_deferred_funding | 2027Q2 / downside | -80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding downside_2027q2_cash_with_advances | 2027Q2 / downside | -4.07 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cash_before_wc, downside_2027q2_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use downside_2027q2_other_working_capital | 2027Q2 / downside | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance downside_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments downside_2027q2_program_cash | 2027Q2 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash downside_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / downside | 72.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_other_working_capital, downside_2027q2_cash_tax, downside_2027q2_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / downside | -76.07 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_with_advances, downside_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash downside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | 34.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF downside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / downside | -110.07 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding downside_2027q2_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q2 / downside | -30.07 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q2_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution downside_2027q2_exol_contribution | 2027Q2 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash downside_2027q2_other_investment | 2027Q2 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions downside_2027q2_partner_distributions | 2027Q2 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash downside_2027q2_capital_uses | 2027Q2 / downside | 67.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_exol_contribution, downside_2027q2_other_investment, downside_2027q2_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations downside_2027q2_cash_after_investments | 2027Q2 / downside | -177.07 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q2_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share downside_2027q3_weight | 2027Q3 / downside | 26.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue downside_2027q3_systems | 2027Q3 / downside | 747.52 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_systems, downside_2027q3_weight). |
| maintenance revenue downside_2027q3_maintenance | 2027Q3 / downside | 16.93 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_maintenance, downside_2027q3_weight). |
| operations revenue downside_2027q3_operations | 2027Q3 / downside | 41.80 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_operations, downside_2027q3_weight). |
| Revenue downside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 806.25 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_systems, downside_2027q3_maintenance, downside_2027q3_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin downside_2027q3_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 21.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit downside_2027q3_systems_gross | 2027Q3 / downside | 156.98 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_systems, downside_2027q3_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin downside_2027q3_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 70.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit downside_2027q3_maintenance_gross | 2027Q3 / downside | 11.85 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_maintenance, downside_2027q3_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin downside_2027q3_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 8.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit downside_2027q3_operations_gross | 2027Q3 / downside | 3.34 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_operations, downside_2027q3_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit downside_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | 172.17 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_systems_gross, downside_2027q3_maintenance_gross, downside_2027q3_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue downside_2027q3_cogs_noncash | 2027Q3 / downside | 26.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges downside_2027q3_cash_gross | 2027Q3 / downside | 198.17 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses downside_2027q3_adjusted_opex | 2027Q3 / downside | 118.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q3 / downside | 80.17 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_gross, downside_2027q3_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance downside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / downside | 67.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization downside_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / downside | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs downside_2027q3_cash_exclusions | 2027Q3 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q3_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q3 / downside | 83.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_da, downside_2027q3_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / downside | -2.83 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q3_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income downside_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding downside_2027q3_cash_before_wc | 2027Q3 / downside | 88.17 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_da, downside_2027q3_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding downside_2027q3_deferred_funding | 2027Q3 / downside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding downside_2027q3_cash_with_advances | 2027Q3 / downside | 138.17 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cash_before_wc, downside_2027q3_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use downside_2027q3_other_working_capital | 2027Q3 / downside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance downside_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments downside_2027q3_program_cash | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash downside_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_other_working_capital, downside_2027q3_cash_tax, downside_2027q3_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / downside | 83.17 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_with_advances, downside_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash downside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | 36.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF downside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / downside | 47.17 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding downside_2027q3_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q3 / downside | -2.83 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q3_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution downside_2027q3_exol_contribution | 2027Q3 / downside | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash downside_2027q3_other_investment | 2027Q3 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions downside_2027q3_partner_distributions | 2027Q3 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash downside_2027q3_capital_uses | 2027Q3 / downside | 72.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_exol_contribution, downside_2027q3_other_investment, downside_2027q3_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations downside_2027q3_cash_after_investments | 2027Q3 / downside | -24.83 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q3_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share downside_2027q4_weight | 2027Q4 / downside | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue downside_2027q4_systems | 2027Q4 / downside | 805.02 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_systems, downside_2027q4_weight). |
| maintenance revenue downside_2027q4_maintenance | 2027Q4 / downside | 18.23 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_maintenance, downside_2027q4_weight). |
| operations revenue downside_2027q4_operations | 2027Q4 / downside | 45.02 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_operations, downside_2027q4_weight). |
| Revenue downside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 868.27 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_systems, downside_2027q4_maintenance, downside_2027q4_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin downside_2027q4_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 21.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit downside_2027q4_systems_gross | 2027Q4 / downside | 169.05 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_systems, downside_2027q4_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin downside_2027q4_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 70.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit downside_2027q4_maintenance_gross | 2027Q4 / downside | 12.76 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_maintenance, downside_2027q4_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin downside_2027q4_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 8.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit downside_2027q4_operations_gross | 2027Q4 / downside | 3.60 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_operations, downside_2027q4_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit downside_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | 185.42 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_systems_gross, downside_2027q4_maintenance_gross, downside_2027q4_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue downside_2027q4_cogs_noncash | 2027Q4 / downside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges downside_2027q4_cash_gross | 2027Q4 / downside | 213.42 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses downside_2027q4_adjusted_opex | 2027Q4 / downside | 121.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q4 / downside | 92.42 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_gross, downside_2027q4_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance downside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / downside | 71.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization downside_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs downside_2027q4_cash_exclusions | 2027Q4 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q4_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q4 / downside | 88.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_da, downside_2027q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / downside | 4.42 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q4_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income downside_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding downside_2027q4_cash_before_wc | 2027Q4 / downside | 100.42 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_operating_income, downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_da, downside_2027q4_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding downside_2027q4_deferred_funding | 2027Q4 / downside | -30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding downside_2027q4_cash_with_advances | 2027Q4 / downside | 70.42 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cash_before_wc, downside_2027q4_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use downside_2027q4_other_working_capital | 2027Q4 / downside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance downside_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments downside_2027q4_program_cash | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash downside_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_other_working_capital, downside_2027q4_cash_tax, downside_2027q4_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / downside | 15.42 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_with_advances, downside_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash downside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | 38.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF downside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / downside | -22.58 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding downside_2027q4_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q4 / downside | 7.42 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_fcf, downside_2027q4_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution downside_2027q4_exol_contribution | 2027Q4 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash downside_2027q4_other_investment | 2027Q4 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions downside_2027q4_partner_distributions | 2027Q4 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash downside_2027q4_capital_uses | 2027Q4 / downside | 77.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_exol_contribution, downside_2027q4_other_investment, downside_2027q4_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations downside_2027q4_cash_after_investments | 2027Q4 / downside | -99.58 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_fcf, downside_2027q4_capital_uses). |
| Revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / downside | 2,751.10 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue). |
| Systems revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_systems | FY2026 / downside | 2,567.04 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_systems, downside_2026q4_systems). |
| Software maintenance/support revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_maintenance | FY2026 / downside | 50.07 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_maintenance, downside_2026q4_maintenance). |
| Operation Services revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_operations | FY2026 / downside | 133.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_operations, downside_2026q4_operations). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) downside_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / downside | 597.83 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) downside_fy2026_adjusted_ebitda | FY2026 / downside | 319.83 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / downside | 57.46 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) downside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / downside | 236.53 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash ($M) downside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / downside | 87.75 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_capex, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less PP&E and software ($M) downside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / downside | 148.78 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_fcf, downside_2026q4_fcf). |
| FCF excluding net deferred-revenue funding ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_ex_deferred | FY2026 / downside | -120.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_cash_ex_deferred, downside_2026q4_cash_ex_deferred). |
| Cash after strategic investments and distributions ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_after_investments | FY2026 / downside | -51.83 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_cash_after_investments, downside_2026q4_cash_after_investments). |
| Revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / downside | 3,100.97 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue). |
| Systems revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_systems | FY2027 / downside | 2,875.08 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_systems, downside_2027q2_systems, downside_2027q3_systems, downside_2027q4_systems). |
| Software maintenance/support revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_maintenance | FY2027 / downside | 65.10 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_maintenance, downside_2027q2_maintenance, downside_2027q3_maintenance, downside_2027q4_maintenance). |
| Operation Services revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_operations | FY2027 / downside | 160.79 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operations, downside_2027q2_operations, downside_2027q3_operations, downside_2027q4_operations). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) downside_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / downside | 662.20 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) downside_fy2027_adjusted_ebitda | FY2027 / downside | 296.20 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / downside | -25.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) downside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / downside | 113.20 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash ($M) downside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / downside | 140.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less PP&E and software ($M) downside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / downside | -26.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q4_fcf). |
| FCF excluding net deferred-revenue funding ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_ex_deferred | FY2027 / downside | -66.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_ex_deferred, downside_2027q2_cash_ex_deferred, downside_2027q3_cash_ex_deferred, downside_2027q4_cash_ex_deferred). |
| Cash after strategic investments and distributions ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_after_investments | FY2027 / downside | -304.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_investments, downside_2027q2_cash_after_investments, downside_2027q3_cash_after_investments, downside_2027q4_cash_after_investments). |
| Q4 delivery / company midpoint base_delivery | 2026Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| Q4 adjusted EBITDA / midpoint base_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| Q4 revenue base_q4_target | 2026Q4 / base | 770.00 USD_millions | derived: Company midpoint times delivery sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q4_revenue_guide, base_delivery). |
| Q4 software maintenance sales base_q4_maintenance | 2026Q4 / base | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk recurring service allocation. |
| Q4 operations service sales base_q4_operations | 2026Q4 / base | 42.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk service allocation. |
| Q4 recurring service sales base_q4_services | 2026Q4 / base | 56.00 USD_millions | derived: Mutually exclusive service streams. Formula: sum(base_q4_maintenance, base_q4_operations). |
| Q4 Systems revenue base_q4_systems | 2026Q4 / base | 714.00 USD_millions | derived: Systems inside consolidated guidance. Formula: subtract(base_q4_target, base_q4_services). |
| FY2026 systems revenue base_fy26_systems | FY2026 / base | 2,609.74 USD_millions | derived: Actual nine months plus Q4. Formula: sum(ytd_systems, base_q4_systems). |
| FY2027 systems growth multiplier base_systems_growth | FY2027 / base | 128.0% ratio | assumption: Desk installed-base/deployment sensitivity, not a disclosed systems completion schedule. |
| FY2027 systems revenue base_fy27_systems | FY2027 / base | 3,340.47 USD_millions | derived: No extra backlog or contingent Walmart systems added. Formula: multiply(base_fy26_systems, base_systems_growth). |
| FY2026 maintenance revenue base_fy26_maintenance | FY2026 / base | 50.57 USD_millions | derived: Actual nine months plus Q4. Formula: sum(ytd_maintenance, base_q4_maintenance). |
| FY2027 maintenance growth multiplier base_maintenance_growth | FY2027 / base | 150.0% ratio | assumption: Desk installed-base/deployment sensitivity, not a disclosed systems completion schedule. |
| FY2027 maintenance revenue base_fy27_maintenance | FY2027 / base | 75.86 USD_millions | derived: No extra backlog or contingent Walmart systems added. Formula: multiply(base_fy26_maintenance, base_maintenance_growth). |
| FY2026 operations revenue base_fy26_operations | FY2026 / base | 136.99 USD_millions | derived: Actual nine months plus Q4. Formula: sum(ytd_operations, base_q4_operations). |
| FY2027 operations growth multiplier base_operations_growth | FY2027 / base | 140.0% ratio | assumption: Desk installed-base/deployment sensitivity, not a disclosed systems completion schedule. |
| FY2027 operations revenue base_fy27_operations | FY2027 / base | 191.78 USD_millions | derived: No extra backlog or contingent Walmart systems added. Formula: multiply(base_fy26_operations, base_operations_growth). |
| Annual revenue quarter share base_2026q4_weight | 2026Q4 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue base_2026q4_systems | 2026Q4 / base | 714.00 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_q4_systems, base_2026q4_weight). |
| maintenance revenue base_2026q4_maintenance | 2026Q4 / base | 14.00 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_q4_maintenance, base_2026q4_weight). |
| operations revenue base_2026q4_operations | 2026Q4 / base | 42.00 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_q4_operations, base_2026q4_weight). |
| Revenue base_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 770.00 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_systems, base_2026q4_maintenance, base_2026q4_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin base_2026q4_systems_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit base_2026q4_systems_gross | 2026Q4 / base | 178.50 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_systems, base_2026q4_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin base_2026q4_maintenance_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 73.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit base_2026q4_maintenance_gross | 2026Q4 / base | 10.22 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_maintenance, base_2026q4_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin base_2026q4_operations_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 14.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit base_2026q4_operations_gross | 2026Q4 / base | 5.88 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_operations, base_2026q4_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit base_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 194.60 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_systems_gross, base_2026q4_maintenance_gross, base_2026q4_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue base_2026q4_cogs_noncash | 2026Q4 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Adjusted EBITDA base_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2026Q4 / base | 102.50 USD_millions | derived: Company Q4 guide midpoint times sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q4_ebitda_guide, base_profit). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance base_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / base | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization base_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / base | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs base_2026q4_cash_exclusions | 2026Q4 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA base_2026q4_gaap_exclusions | 2026Q4 / base | 68.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_da, base_2026q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / base | 34.50 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda, base_2026q4_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income base_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding base_2026q4_cash_before_wc | 2026Q4 / base | 110.50 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_operating_income, base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_da, base_2026q4_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding base_2026q4_deferred_funding | 2026Q4 / base | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding base_2026q4_cash_with_advances | 2026Q4 / base | 210.50 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cash_before_wc, base_2026q4_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use base_2026q4_other_working_capital | 2026Q4 / base | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance base_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments base_2026q4_program_cash | 2026Q4 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash base_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / base | 42.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_other_working_capital, base_2026q4_cash_tax, base_2026q4_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow base_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / base | 168.50 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cash_with_advances, base_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash base_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / base | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF base_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / base | 143.50 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding base_2026q4_cash_ex_deferred | 2026Q4 / base | 43.50 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_fcf, base_2026q4_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution base_2026q4_exol_contribution | 2026Q4 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash base_2026q4_other_investment | 2026Q4 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions base_2026q4_partner_distributions | 2026Q4 / base | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash base_2026q4_capital_uses | 2026Q4 / base | 51.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_exol_contribution, base_2026q4_other_investment, base_2026q4_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations base_2026q4_cash_after_investments | 2026Q4 / base | 92.50 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_fcf, base_2026q4_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share base_2027q1_weight | 2027Q1 / base | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue base_2027q1_systems | 2027Q1 / base | 734.90 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_systems, base_2027q1_weight). |
| maintenance revenue base_2027q1_maintenance | 2027Q1 / base | 16.69 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_maintenance, base_2027q1_weight). |
| operations revenue base_2027q1_operations | 2027Q1 / base | 42.19 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_operations, base_2027q1_weight). |
| Revenue base_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 793.78 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_systems, base_2027q1_maintenance, base_2027q1_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin base_2027q1_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit base_2027q1_systems_gross | 2027Q1 / base | 183.73 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_systems, base_2027q1_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin base_2027q1_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 73.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit base_2027q1_maintenance_gross | 2027Q1 / base | 12.18 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_maintenance, base_2027q1_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin base_2027q1_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 14.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit base_2027q1_operations_gross | 2027Q1 / base | 5.91 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_operations, base_2027q1_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit base_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / base | 201.82 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_systems_gross, base_2027q1_maintenance_gross, base_2027q1_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue base_2027q1_cogs_noncash | 2027Q1 / base | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges base_2027q1_cash_gross | 2027Q1 / base | 223.82 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q1_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses base_2027q1_adjusted_opex | 2027Q1 / base | 110.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA base_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q1 / base | 113.82 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_gross, base_2027q1_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance base_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / base | 59.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization base_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs base_2027q1_cash_exclusions | 2027Q1 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA base_2027q1_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q1 / base | 73.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_da, base_2027q1_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / base | 40.82 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q1_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income base_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding base_2027q1_cash_before_wc | 2027Q1 / base | 121.82 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_da, base_2027q1_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding base_2027q1_deferred_funding | 2027Q1 / base | 120.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding base_2027q1_cash_with_advances | 2027Q1 / base | 241.82 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_before_wc, base_2027q1_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use base_2027q1_other_working_capital | 2027Q1 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance base_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments base_2027q1_program_cash | 2027Q1 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash base_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_other_working_capital, base_2027q1_cash_tax, base_2027q1_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / base | 191.82 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_with_advances, base_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash base_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 32.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF base_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / base | 159.82 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding base_2027q1_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q1 / base | 39.82 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q1_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution base_2027q1_exol_contribution | 2027Q1 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash base_2027q1_other_investment | 2027Q1 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions base_2027q1_partner_distributions | 2027Q1 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash base_2027q1_capital_uses | 2027Q1 / base | 57.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_exol_contribution, base_2027q1_other_investment, base_2027q1_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations base_2027q1_cash_after_investments | 2027Q1 / base | 102.82 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q1_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share base_2027q2_weight | 2027Q2 / base | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue base_2027q2_systems | 2027Q2 / base | 801.71 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_systems, base_2027q2_weight). |
| maintenance revenue base_2027q2_maintenance | 2027Q2 / base | 18.21 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_maintenance, base_2027q2_weight). |
| operations revenue base_2027q2_operations | 2027Q2 / base | 46.03 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_operations, base_2027q2_weight). |
| Revenue base_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 865.95 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_systems, base_2027q2_maintenance, base_2027q2_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin base_2027q2_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit base_2027q2_systems_gross | 2027Q2 / base | 200.43 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_systems, base_2027q2_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin base_2027q2_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 73.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit base_2027q2_maintenance_gross | 2027Q2 / base | 13.29 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_maintenance, base_2027q2_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin base_2027q2_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 14.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit base_2027q2_operations_gross | 2027Q2 / base | 6.44 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_operations, base_2027q2_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit base_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / base | 220.16 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_systems_gross, base_2027q2_maintenance_gross, base_2027q2_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue base_2027q2_cogs_noncash | 2027Q2 / base | 24.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges base_2027q2_cash_gross | 2027Q2 / base | 244.16 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q2_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses base_2027q2_adjusted_opex | 2027Q2 / base | 113.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA base_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q2 / base | 131.16 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_gross, base_2027q2_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance base_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / base | 63.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization base_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / base | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs base_2027q2_cash_exclusions | 2027Q2 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA base_2027q2_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q2 / base | 78.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_da, base_2027q2_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / base | 53.16 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q2_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income base_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding base_2027q2_cash_before_wc | 2027Q2 / base | 139.16 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_da, base_2027q2_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding base_2027q2_deferred_funding | 2027Q2 / base | -100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding base_2027q2_cash_with_advances | 2027Q2 / base | 39.16 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cash_before_wc, base_2027q2_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use base_2027q2_other_working_capital | 2027Q2 / base | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance base_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments base_2027q2_program_cash | 2027Q2 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash base_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_other_working_capital, base_2027q2_cash_tax, base_2027q2_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / base | -5.84 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_with_advances, base_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash base_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 34.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF base_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / base | -39.84 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding base_2027q2_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q2 / base | 60.16 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q2_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution base_2027q2_exol_contribution | 2027Q2 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash base_2027q2_other_investment | 2027Q2 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions base_2027q2_partner_distributions | 2027Q2 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash base_2027q2_capital_uses | 2027Q2 / base | 62.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_exol_contribution, base_2027q2_other_investment, base_2027q2_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations base_2027q2_cash_after_investments | 2027Q2 / base | -101.84 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q2_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share base_2027q3_weight | 2027Q3 / base | 26.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue base_2027q3_systems | 2027Q3 / base | 868.52 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_systems, base_2027q3_weight). |
| maintenance revenue base_2027q3_maintenance | 2027Q3 / base | 19.72 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_maintenance, base_2027q3_weight). |
| operations revenue base_2027q3_operations | 2027Q3 / base | 49.86 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_operations, base_2027q3_weight). |
| Revenue base_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 938.11 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_systems, base_2027q3_maintenance, base_2027q3_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin base_2027q3_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit base_2027q3_systems_gross | 2027Q3 / base | 217.13 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_systems, base_2027q3_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin base_2027q3_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 73.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit base_2027q3_maintenance_gross | 2027Q3 / base | 14.40 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_maintenance, base_2027q3_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin base_2027q3_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 14.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit base_2027q3_operations_gross | 2027Q3 / base | 6.98 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_operations, base_2027q3_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit base_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / base | 238.51 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_systems_gross, base_2027q3_maintenance_gross, base_2027q3_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue base_2027q3_cogs_noncash | 2027Q3 / base | 26.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges base_2027q3_cash_gross | 2027Q3 / base | 264.51 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q3_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses base_2027q3_adjusted_opex | 2027Q3 / base | 116.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA base_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q3 / base | 148.51 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_gross, base_2027q3_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance base_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / base | 67.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization base_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / base | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs base_2027q3_cash_exclusions | 2027Q3 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA base_2027q3_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q3 / base | 83.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_da, base_2027q3_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / base | 65.51 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q3_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income base_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding base_2027q3_cash_before_wc | 2027Q3 / base | 156.51 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_da, base_2027q3_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding base_2027q3_deferred_funding | 2027Q3 / base | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding base_2027q3_cash_with_advances | 2027Q3 / base | 306.51 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cash_before_wc, base_2027q3_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use base_2027q3_other_working_capital | 2027Q3 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance base_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments base_2027q3_program_cash | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash base_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_other_working_capital, base_2027q3_cash_tax, base_2027q3_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / base | 256.51 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_with_advances, base_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash base_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 36.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF base_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / base | 220.51 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding base_2027q3_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q3 / base | 70.51 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q3_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution base_2027q3_exol_contribution | 2027Q3 / base | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash base_2027q3_other_investment | 2027Q3 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions base_2027q3_partner_distributions | 2027Q3 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash base_2027q3_capital_uses | 2027Q3 / base | 67.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_exol_contribution, base_2027q3_other_investment, base_2027q3_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations base_2027q3_cash_after_investments | 2027Q3 / base | 153.51 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q3_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share base_2027q4_weight | 2027Q4 / base | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue base_2027q4_systems | 2027Q4 / base | 935.33 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_systems, base_2027q4_weight). |
| maintenance revenue base_2027q4_maintenance | 2027Q4 / base | 21.24 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_maintenance, base_2027q4_weight). |
| operations revenue base_2027q4_operations | 2027Q4 / base | 53.70 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_operations, base_2027q4_weight). |
| Revenue base_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 1,010.27 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_systems, base_2027q4_maintenance, base_2027q4_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin base_2027q4_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit base_2027q4_systems_gross | 2027Q4 / base | 233.83 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_systems, base_2027q4_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin base_2027q4_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 73.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit base_2027q4_maintenance_gross | 2027Q4 / base | 15.51 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_maintenance, base_2027q4_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin base_2027q4_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 14.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit base_2027q4_operations_gross | 2027Q4 / base | 7.52 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_operations, base_2027q4_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit base_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / base | 256.86 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_systems_gross, base_2027q4_maintenance_gross, base_2027q4_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue base_2027q4_cogs_noncash | 2027Q4 / base | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges base_2027q4_cash_gross | 2027Q4 / base | 284.86 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_gross_profit, base_2027q4_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses base_2027q4_adjusted_opex | 2027Q4 / base | 119.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA base_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q4 / base | 165.86 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_gross, base_2027q4_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance base_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / base | 71.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization base_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs base_2027q4_cash_exclusions | 2027Q4 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA base_2027q4_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q4 / base | 88.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_da, base_2027q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / base | 77.86 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q4_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income base_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding base_2027q4_cash_before_wc | 2027Q4 / base | 173.86 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_operating_income, base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_da, base_2027q4_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding base_2027q4_deferred_funding | 2027Q4 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding base_2027q4_cash_with_advances | 2027Q4 / base | 223.86 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cash_before_wc, base_2027q4_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use base_2027q4_other_working_capital | 2027Q4 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance base_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments base_2027q4_program_cash | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash base_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_other_working_capital, base_2027q4_cash_tax, base_2027q4_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / base | 178.86 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_with_advances, base_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash base_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 38.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF base_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / base | 140.86 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding base_2027q4_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q4 / base | 90.86 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_fcf, base_2027q4_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution base_2027q4_exol_contribution | 2027Q4 / base | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash base_2027q4_other_investment | 2027Q4 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions base_2027q4_partner_distributions | 2027Q4 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash base_2027q4_capital_uses | 2027Q4 / base | 72.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_exol_contribution, base_2027q4_other_investment, base_2027q4_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations base_2027q4_cash_after_investments | 2027Q4 / base | 68.86 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_fcf, base_2027q4_capital_uses). |
| Revenue ($M) base_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / base | 2,797.30 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue). |
| Systems revenue ($M) base_fy2026_systems | FY2026 / base | 2,609.74 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_systems, base_2026q4_systems). |
| Software maintenance/support revenue ($M) base_fy2026_maintenance | FY2026 / base | 50.57 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_maintenance, base_2026q4_maintenance). |
| Operation Services revenue ($M) base_fy2026_operations | FY2026 / base | 136.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_operations, base_2026q4_operations). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) base_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / base | 638.89 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_gross_profit, base_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) base_fy2026_adjusted_ebitda | FY2026 / base | 342.38 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_adjusted_ebitda, base_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / base | 80.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) base_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / base | 474.08 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash ($M) base_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / base | 87.75 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_capex, base_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less PP&E and software ($M) base_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / base | 386.33 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_fcf, base_2026q4_fcf). |
| FCF excluding net deferred-revenue funding ($M) base_fy2026_cash_ex_deferred | FY2026 / base | -82.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_cash_ex_deferred, base_2026q4_cash_ex_deferred). |
| Cash after strategic investments and distributions ($M) base_fy2026_cash_after_investments | FY2026 / base | 190.72 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_cash_after_investments, base_2026q4_cash_after_investments). |
| Revenue ($M) base_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / base | 3,608.11 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue). |
| Systems revenue ($M) base_fy2027_systems | FY2027 / base | 3,340.47 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_systems, base_2027q2_systems, base_2027q3_systems, base_2027q4_systems). |
| Software maintenance/support revenue ($M) base_fy2027_maintenance | FY2027 / base | 75.86 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_maintenance, base_2027q2_maintenance, base_2027q3_maintenance, base_2027q4_maintenance). |
| Operation Services revenue ($M) base_fy2027_operations | FY2027 / base | 191.78 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operations, base_2027q2_operations, base_2027q3_operations, base_2027q4_operations). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) base_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / base | 917.35 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) base_fy2027_adjusted_ebitda | FY2027 / base | 559.35 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / base | 237.35 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) base_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / base | 621.35 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash ($M) base_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / base | 140.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less PP&E and software ($M) base_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / base | 481.35 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q4_fcf). |
| FCF excluding net deferred-revenue funding ($M) base_fy2027_cash_ex_deferred | FY2027 / base | 261.35 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_ex_deferred, base_2027q2_cash_ex_deferred, base_2027q3_cash_ex_deferred, base_2027q4_cash_ex_deferred). |
| Cash after strategic investments and distributions ($M) base_fy2027_cash_after_investments | FY2027 / base | 223.35 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_investments, base_2027q2_cash_after_investments, base_2027q3_cash_after_investments, base_2027q4_cash_after_investments). |
| Q4 delivery / company midpoint upside_delivery | 2026Q4 / upside | 102.5% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| Q4 adjusted EBITDA / midpoint upside_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| Q4 revenue upside_q4_target | 2026Q4 / upside | 789.25 USD_millions | derived: Company midpoint times delivery sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q4_revenue_guide, upside_delivery). |
| Q4 software maintenance sales upside_q4_maintenance | 2026Q4 / upside | 14.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk recurring service allocation. |
| Q4 operations service sales upside_q4_operations | 2026Q4 / upside | 44.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk service allocation. |
| Q4 recurring service sales upside_q4_services | 2026Q4 / upside | 58.50 USD_millions | derived: Mutually exclusive service streams. Formula: sum(upside_q4_maintenance, upside_q4_operations). |
| Q4 Systems revenue upside_q4_systems | 2026Q4 / upside | 730.75 USD_millions | derived: Systems inside consolidated guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_q4_target, upside_q4_services). |
| FY2026 systems revenue upside_fy26_systems | FY2026 / upside | 2,626.49 USD_millions | derived: Actual nine months plus Q4. Formula: sum(ytd_systems, upside_q4_systems). |
| FY2027 systems growth multiplier upside_systems_growth | FY2027 / upside | 138.0% ratio | assumption: Desk installed-base/deployment sensitivity, not a disclosed systems completion schedule. |
| FY2027 systems revenue upside_fy27_systems | FY2027 / upside | 3,624.56 USD_millions | derived: No extra backlog or contingent Walmart systems added. Formula: multiply(upside_fy26_systems, upside_systems_growth). |
| FY2026 maintenance revenue upside_fy26_maintenance | FY2026 / upside | 51.07 USD_millions | derived: Actual nine months plus Q4. Formula: sum(ytd_maintenance, upside_q4_maintenance). |
| FY2027 maintenance growth multiplier upside_maintenance_growth | FY2027 / upside | 165.0% ratio | assumption: Desk installed-base/deployment sensitivity, not a disclosed systems completion schedule. |
| FY2027 maintenance revenue upside_fy27_maintenance | FY2027 / upside | 84.27 USD_millions | derived: No extra backlog or contingent Walmart systems added. Formula: multiply(upside_fy26_maintenance, upside_maintenance_growth). |
| FY2026 operations revenue upside_fy26_operations | FY2026 / upside | 138.99 USD_millions | derived: Actual nine months plus Q4. Formula: sum(ytd_operations, upside_q4_operations). |
| FY2027 operations growth multiplier upside_operations_growth | FY2027 / upside | 155.0% ratio | assumption: Desk installed-base/deployment sensitivity, not a disclosed systems completion schedule. |
| FY2027 operations revenue upside_fy27_operations | FY2027 / upside | 215.43 USD_millions | derived: No extra backlog or contingent Walmart systems added. Formula: multiply(upside_fy26_operations, upside_operations_growth). |
| Annual revenue quarter share upside_2026q4_weight | 2026Q4 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue upside_2026q4_systems | 2026Q4 / upside | 730.75 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_q4_systems, upside_2026q4_weight). |
| maintenance revenue upside_2026q4_maintenance | 2026Q4 / upside | 14.50 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_q4_maintenance, upside_2026q4_weight). |
| operations revenue upside_2026q4_operations | 2026Q4 / upside | 44.00 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_q4_operations, upside_2026q4_weight). |
| Revenue upside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 789.25 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_systems, upside_2026q4_maintenance, upside_2026q4_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin upside_2026q4_systems_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 27.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit upside_2026q4_systems_gross | 2026Q4 / upside | 197.30 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_systems, upside_2026q4_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin upside_2026q4_maintenance_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 76.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit upside_2026q4_maintenance_gross | 2026Q4 / upside | 11.02 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_maintenance, upside_2026q4_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin upside_2026q4_operations_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit upside_2026q4_operations_gross | 2026Q4 / upside | 7.92 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_operations, upside_2026q4_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit upside_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 216.24 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_systems_gross, upside_2026q4_maintenance_gross, upside_2026q4_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue upside_2026q4_cogs_noncash | 2026Q4 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Adjusted EBITDA upside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2026Q4 / upside | 112.75 USD_millions | derived: Company Q4 guide midpoint times sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q4_ebitda_guide, upside_profit). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance upside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / upside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization upside_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / upside | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs upside_2026q4_cash_exclusions | 2026Q4 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA upside_2026q4_gaap_exclusions | 2026Q4 / upside | 68.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_da, upside_2026q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / upside | 44.75 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2026q4_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income upside_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding upside_2026q4_cash_before_wc | 2026Q4 / upside | 120.75 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_operating_income, upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_da, upside_2026q4_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding upside_2026q4_deferred_funding | 2026Q4 / upside | 180.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding upside_2026q4_cash_with_advances | 2026Q4 / upside | 300.75 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cash_before_wc, upside_2026q4_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use upside_2026q4_other_working_capital | 2026Q4 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance upside_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments upside_2026q4_program_cash | 2026Q4 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash upside_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / upside | 31.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_other_working_capital, upside_2026q4_cash_tax, upside_2026q4_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow upside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / upside | 269.75 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cash_with_advances, upside_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash upside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF upside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / upside | 244.75 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding upside_2026q4_cash_ex_deferred | 2026Q4 / upside | 64.75 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_fcf, upside_2026q4_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution upside_2026q4_exol_contribution | 2026Q4 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash upside_2026q4_other_investment | 2026Q4 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions upside_2026q4_partner_distributions | 2026Q4 / upside | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash upside_2026q4_capital_uses | 2026Q4 / upside | 51.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_exol_contribution, upside_2026q4_other_investment, upside_2026q4_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations upside_2026q4_cash_after_investments | 2026Q4 / upside | 193.75 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_fcf, upside_2026q4_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share upside_2027q1_weight | 2027Q1 / upside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue upside_2027q1_systems | 2027Q1 / upside | 797.40 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_systems, upside_2027q1_weight). |
| maintenance revenue upside_2027q1_maintenance | 2027Q1 / upside | 18.54 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_maintenance, upside_2027q1_weight). |
| operations revenue upside_2027q1_operations | 2027Q1 / upside | 47.40 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_operations, upside_2027q1_weight). |
| Revenue upside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 863.34 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_systems, upside_2027q1_maintenance, upside_2027q1_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin upside_2027q1_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 27.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit upside_2027q1_systems_gross | 2027Q1 / upside | 215.30 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_systems, upside_2027q1_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin upside_2027q1_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 76.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit upside_2027q1_maintenance_gross | 2027Q1 / upside | 14.09 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_maintenance, upside_2027q1_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin upside_2027q1_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit upside_2027q1_operations_gross | 2027Q1 / upside | 8.53 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_operations, upside_2027q1_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit upside_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 237.92 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_systems_gross, upside_2027q1_maintenance_gross, upside_2027q1_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue upside_2027q1_cogs_noncash | 2027Q1 / upside | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges upside_2027q1_cash_gross | 2027Q1 / upside | 259.92 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses upside_2027q1_adjusted_opex | 2027Q1 / upside | 113.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q1 / upside | 146.92 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_gross, upside_2027q1_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance upside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / upside | 59.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization upside_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs upside_2027q1_cash_exclusions | 2027Q1 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q1_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q1 / upside | 73.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_da, upside_2027q1_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / upside | 73.92 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q1_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income upside_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding upside_2027q1_cash_before_wc | 2027Q1 / upside | 154.92 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_da, upside_2027q1_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding upside_2027q1_deferred_funding | 2027Q1 / upside | 180.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding upside_2027q1_cash_with_advances | 2027Q1 / upside | 334.92 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_before_wc, upside_2027q1_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use upside_2027q1_other_working_capital | 2027Q1 / upside | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance upside_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments upside_2027q1_program_cash | 2027Q1 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash upside_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / upside | 38.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_other_working_capital, upside_2027q1_cash_tax, upside_2027q1_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / upside | 296.92 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_with_advances, upside_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash upside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 32.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF upside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / upside | 264.92 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding upside_2027q1_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q1 / upside | 84.92 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q1_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution upside_2027q1_exol_contribution | 2027Q1 / upside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash upside_2027q1_other_investment | 2027Q1 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions upside_2027q1_partner_distributions | 2027Q1 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash upside_2027q1_capital_uses | 2027Q1 / upside | 57.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_exol_contribution, upside_2027q1_other_investment, upside_2027q1_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations upside_2027q1_cash_after_investments | 2027Q1 / upside | 207.92 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q1_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share upside_2027q2_weight | 2027Q2 / upside | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue upside_2027q2_systems | 2027Q2 / upside | 869.89 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_systems, upside_2027q2_weight). |
| maintenance revenue upside_2027q2_maintenance | 2027Q2 / upside | 20.23 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_maintenance, upside_2027q2_weight). |
| operations revenue upside_2027q2_operations | 2027Q2 / upside | 51.70 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_operations, upside_2027q2_weight). |
| Revenue upside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 941.82 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_systems, upside_2027q2_maintenance, upside_2027q2_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin upside_2027q2_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 27.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit upside_2027q2_systems_gross | 2027Q2 / upside | 234.87 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_systems, upside_2027q2_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin upside_2027q2_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 76.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit upside_2027q2_maintenance_gross | 2027Q2 / upside | 15.37 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_maintenance, upside_2027q2_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin upside_2027q2_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit upside_2027q2_operations_gross | 2027Q2 / upside | 9.31 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_operations, upside_2027q2_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit upside_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 259.55 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_systems_gross, upside_2027q2_maintenance_gross, upside_2027q2_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue upside_2027q2_cogs_noncash | 2027Q2 / upside | 24.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges upside_2027q2_cash_gross | 2027Q2 / upside | 283.55 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses upside_2027q2_adjusted_opex | 2027Q2 / upside | 116.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q2 / upside | 167.55 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_gross, upside_2027q2_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance upside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / upside | 63.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization upside_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / upside | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs upside_2027q2_cash_exclusions | 2027Q2 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q2_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q2 / upside | 78.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_da, upside_2027q2_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / upside | 89.55 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q2_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income upside_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding upside_2027q2_cash_before_wc | 2027Q2 / upside | 175.55 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_da, upside_2027q2_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding upside_2027q2_deferred_funding | 2027Q2 / upside | -50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding upside_2027q2_cash_with_advances | 2027Q2 / upside | 125.55 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cash_before_wc, upside_2027q2_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use upside_2027q2_other_working_capital | 2027Q2 / upside | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance upside_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments upside_2027q2_program_cash | 2027Q2 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash upside_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / upside | 38.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_other_working_capital, upside_2027q2_cash_tax, upside_2027q2_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / upside | 87.55 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_with_advances, upside_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash upside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 34.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF upside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / upside | 53.55 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding upside_2027q2_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q2 / upside | 103.55 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q2_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution upside_2027q2_exol_contribution | 2027Q2 / upside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash upside_2027q2_other_investment | 2027Q2 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions upside_2027q2_partner_distributions | 2027Q2 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash upside_2027q2_capital_uses | 2027Q2 / upside | 62.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_exol_contribution, upside_2027q2_other_investment, upside_2027q2_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations upside_2027q2_cash_after_investments | 2027Q2 / upside | -8.45 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q2_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share upside_2027q3_weight | 2027Q3 / upside | 26.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue upside_2027q3_systems | 2027Q3 / upside | 942.38 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_systems, upside_2027q3_weight). |
| maintenance revenue upside_2027q3_maintenance | 2027Q3 / upside | 21.91 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_maintenance, upside_2027q3_weight). |
| operations revenue upside_2027q3_operations | 2027Q3 / upside | 56.01 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_operations, upside_2027q3_weight). |
| Revenue upside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 1,020.31 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_systems, upside_2027q3_maintenance, upside_2027q3_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin upside_2027q3_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 27.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit upside_2027q3_systems_gross | 2027Q3 / upside | 254.44 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_systems, upside_2027q3_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin upside_2027q3_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 76.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit upside_2027q3_maintenance_gross | 2027Q3 / upside | 16.65 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_maintenance, upside_2027q3_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin upside_2027q3_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit upside_2027q3_operations_gross | 2027Q3 / upside | 10.08 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_operations, upside_2027q3_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit upside_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 281.18 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_systems_gross, upside_2027q3_maintenance_gross, upside_2027q3_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue upside_2027q3_cogs_noncash | 2027Q3 / upside | 26.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges upside_2027q3_cash_gross | 2027Q3 / upside | 307.18 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses upside_2027q3_adjusted_opex | 2027Q3 / upside | 119.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q3 / upside | 188.18 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_gross, upside_2027q3_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance upside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / upside | 67.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization upside_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / upside | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs upside_2027q3_cash_exclusions | 2027Q3 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q3_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q3 / upside | 83.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_da, upside_2027q3_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / upside | 105.18 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q3_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income upside_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding upside_2027q3_cash_before_wc | 2027Q3 / upside | 196.18 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_da, upside_2027q3_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding upside_2027q3_deferred_funding | 2027Q3 / upside | 180.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding upside_2027q3_cash_with_advances | 2027Q3 / upside | 376.18 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cash_before_wc, upside_2027q3_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use upside_2027q3_other_working_capital | 2027Q3 / upside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance upside_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments upside_2027q3_program_cash | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash upside_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_other_working_capital, upside_2027q3_cash_tax, upside_2027q3_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / upside | 336.18 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_with_advances, upside_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash upside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 36.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF upside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / upside | 300.18 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding upside_2027q3_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q3 / upside | 120.18 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q3_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution upside_2027q3_exol_contribution | 2027Q3 / upside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash upside_2027q3_other_investment | 2027Q3 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions upside_2027q3_partner_distributions | 2027Q3 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash upside_2027q3_capital_uses | 2027Q3 / upside | 67.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_exol_contribution, upside_2027q3_other_investment, upside_2027q3_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations upside_2027q3_cash_after_investments | 2027Q3 / upside | 233.18 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q3_capital_uses). |
| Annual revenue quarter share upside_2027q4_weight | 2027Q4 / upside | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems revenue upside_2027q4_systems | 2027Q4 / upside | 1,014.88 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_systems, upside_2027q4_weight). |
| maintenance revenue upside_2027q4_maintenance | 2027Q4 / upside | 23.60 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_maintenance, upside_2027q4_weight). |
| operations revenue upside_2027q4_operations | 2027Q4 / upside | 60.32 USD_millions | derived: Q4 allocation or annual growth with explicit delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_operations, upside_2027q4_weight). |
| Revenue upside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 1,098.79 USD_millions | derived: Hardware/system sales and recurring service revenue counted once. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_systems, upside_2027q4_maintenance, upside_2027q4_operations). |
| systems GAAP gross margin upside_2027q4_systems_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 27.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| systems gross profit upside_2027q4_systems_gross | 2027Q4 / upside | 274.02 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_systems, upside_2027q4_systems_gross_margin). |
| maintenance GAAP gross margin upside_2027q4_maintenance_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 76.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| maintenance gross profit upside_2027q4_maintenance_gross | 2027Q4 / upside | 17.93 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_maintenance, upside_2027q4_maintenance_gross_margin). |
| operations GAAP gross margin upside_2027q4_operations_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| operations gross profit upside_2027q4_operations_gross | 2027Q4 / upside | 10.86 USD_millions | derived: Includes ordinary warranty, SBC and depreciation in cost of revenue. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_operations, upside_2027q4_operations_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit upside_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 302.81 USD_millions | derived: Streams have different delivery and service economics. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_systems_gross, upside_2027q4_maintenance_gross, upside_2027q4_operations_gross). |
| SBC/DA included in cost of revenue upside_2027q4_cogs_noncash | 2027Q4 / upside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash allocation inside total SBC/DA; not an additional expense added twice. |
| Gross profit before cost-of-sales noncash charges upside_2027q4_cash_gross | 2027Q4 / upside | 330.81 USD_millions | derived: Consistent adjusted cost basis. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_cogs_noncash). |
| Adjusted operating cash expenses upside_2027q4_adjusted_opex | 2027Q4 / upside | 122.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q4 / upside | 208.81 USD_millions | derived: Desk recurring operating cost structure, not management FY2027 guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_gross, upside_2027q4_adjusted_opex). |
| Total noncash equity compensation allowance upside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / upside | 71.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Depreciation and amortization upside_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash remediation/integration costs upside_2027q4_cash_exclusions | 2027Q4 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q4_gaap_exclusions | 2027Q4 / upside | 88.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes cost-of-revenue noncash allocation within totals once. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_da, upside_2027q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / upside | 120.81 USD_millions | derived: Does not project fair-value gains, equity-method losses or common-holder earnings. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q4_gaap_exclusions). |
| Cash investment income upside_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before customer funding upside_2027q4_cash_before_wc | 2027Q4 / upside | 216.81 USD_millions | derived: Uses consistent forecast noncash costs; no sale of investments or equity issue proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_operating_income, upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_da, upside_2027q4_cash_interest). |
| Net deferred-revenue cash funding upside_2027q4_deferred_funding | 2027Q4 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk customer billing/collection timing relative to services. Negative means revenue recognition consumes prior advances; not additional revenue. |
| Cash earnings plus net advance funding upside_2027q4_cash_with_advances | 2027Q4 / upside | 296.81 USD_millions | derived: Other receivable, inventory and contract-cost movements modeled below. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cash_before_wc, upside_2027q4_deferred_funding). |
| Other net working-capital cash use upside_2027q4_other_working_capital | 2027Q4 / upside | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash tax allowance upside_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Existing component-program cash payments upside_2027q4_program_cash | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Provisional cash timing for costs already recognized; not a claim of the remaining June reserve or another new expense. |
| Other operating timing, tax and replacement cash upside_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / upside | 35.00 USD_millions | derived: Existing reserve cash is not charged to operating income again. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_other_working_capital, upside_2027q4_cash_tax, upside_2027q4_program_cash). |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / upside | 261.81 USD_millions | derived: Deferred-revenue funding is in CFO; Exol capital is not. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_with_advances, upside_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash upside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 38.00 USD_millions | assumption: Company combines PP&E and internal-use software in the cash statement. No invented split. |
| Company-scope FCF upside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / upside | 223.81 USD_millions | derived: Includes software cash once. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| FCF excluding net deferred funding upside_2027q4_cash_ex_deferred | 2027Q4 / upside | 143.81 USD_millions | derived: Analytical timing sensitivity, not cash available to distribute or a reported company metric. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_fcf, upside_2027q4_deferred_funding). |
| Exol capital contribution upside_2027q4_exol_contribution | 2027Q4 / upside | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk capital-call timing within multi-year commitments; not revenue or GAAP operating expense. |
| Other strategic investment cash upside_2027q4_other_investment | 2027Q4 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Partner tax distributions upside_2027q4_partner_distributions | 2027Q4 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Strategic investment and partner cash upside_2027q4_capital_uses | 2027Q4 / upside | 72.00 USD_millions | derived: No undisclosed ARMS purchase price invented. Further M&A can consume additional cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_exol_contribution, upside_2027q4_other_investment, upside_2027q4_partner_distributions). |
| Cash after strategic allocations upside_2027q4_cash_after_investments | 2027Q4 / upside | 151.81 USD_millions | derived: Excludes unquantified acquisition consideration, equity financing, TRA settlements and restricted cash changes. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_fcf, upside_2027q4_capital_uses). |
| Revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / upside | 2,816.55 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue). |
| Systems revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_systems | FY2026 / upside | 2,626.49 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_systems, upside_2026q4_systems). |
| Software maintenance/support revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_maintenance | FY2026 / upside | 51.07 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_maintenance, upside_2026q4_maintenance). |
| Operation Services revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_operations | FY2026 / upside | 138.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_operations, upside_2026q4_operations). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) upside_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / upside | 660.53 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) upside_fy2026_adjusted_ebitda | FY2026 / upside | 352.63 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / upside | 90.26 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) upside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / upside | 575.33 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash ($M) upside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / upside | 87.75 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_capex, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less PP&E and software ($M) upside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / upside | 487.58 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_fcf, upside_2026q4_fcf). |
| FCF excluding net deferred-revenue funding ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_ex_deferred | FY2026 / upside | -61.20 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_cash_ex_deferred, upside_2026q4_cash_ex_deferred). |
| Cash after strategic investments and distributions ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_after_investments | FY2026 / upside | 291.97 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(ytd_cash_after_investments, upside_2026q4_cash_after_investments). |
| Revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / upside | 3,924.26 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue). |
| Systems revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_systems | FY2027 / upside | 3,624.56 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_systems, upside_2027q2_systems, upside_2027q3_systems, upside_2027q4_systems). |
| Software maintenance/support revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_maintenance | FY2027 / upside | 84.27 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_maintenance, upside_2027q2_maintenance, upside_2027q3_maintenance, upside_2027q4_maintenance). |
| Operation Services revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_operations | FY2027 / upside | 215.43 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operations, upside_2027q2_operations, upside_2027q3_operations, upside_2027q4_operations). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) upside_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / upside | 1,081.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) upside_fy2027_adjusted_ebitda | FY2027 / upside | 711.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / upside | 389.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) upside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / upside | 982.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Combined PP&E and software cash ($M) upside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / upside | 140.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less PP&E and software ($M) upside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / upside | 842.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q4_fcf). |
| FCF excluding net deferred-revenue funding ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_ex_deferred | FY2027 / upside | 452.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_ex_deferred, upside_2027q2_cash_ex_deferred, upside_2027q3_cash_ex_deferred, upside_2027q4_cash_ex_deferred). |
| Cash after strategic investments and distributions ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_after_investments | FY2027 / upside | 584.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_investments, upside_2027q2_cash_after_investments, upside_2027q3_cash_after_investments, upside_2027q4_cash_after_investments). |
Model boundaries
- Backlog is largely Walmart and Exol work and includes the company share of unconsolidated Exol contracts. The contingent 400-store Walmart promise could add over $5B only if conditions are met; it is not added to current $22.5B RPO.
- Exol is an unconsolidated 35%-owned equity-method investment and a customer. Capital contributions are investing cash, not another consolidated revenue stream. The $1.4879B future funding commitment is not all due immediately.
- Company FCF subtracts combined PP&E and internal-use software. The historical supplement fills missing combined cash-investment observations from the reviewed statement, with scope labeled explicitly; it does not manufacture undisclosed PP&E/software splits.
- The SBC attribution policy changed retrospectively and some prior acquisition-related cash was reclassified to CFO. Historical comparisons use reviewed updated figures where available. Adjusted-reconciliation SBC and cash-statement SBC differ in scope; the forecast is a simplified operating/cash bridge, not an exact reproduction of every adjustment.
- Payments for the component replacement program are provisional cash timing against costs already recognized; actual remaining program liability and spend can differ. Ordinary warranty economics remain in gross margin.
- July ARMS acquisition contribution is not separately quantified. It is not assigned speculative standalone revenue or purchase consideration beyond the consolidated scenario; unreported acquisition payments are excluded from the capital-cash subtotal.
- Substantial earnings belong to noncontrolling interests. No consolidated-net-income/Class-A-share shortcut, EPS, valuation, full deferred-revenue rollforward or complete liquidity forecast is provided.
Warehouse growth with customer advances and venture commitments
How much cash comes from deployment economics after separating customer funding and Exol capital?
Nine-month sales were $2,027.303M: Systems $1,895.740M, maintenance $36.574M and operation services $94.989M. GAAP operating income was $45.512M versus $239.885M adjusted EBITDA. CFO of $305.584M less combined PP&E/software of $62.753M produced $242.831M FCF; removing $368.777M net advance funding leaves negative $125.946M as a timing diagnostic. Q3 alone used $147.297M CFO and $17.333M capital cash. Strategic investments consumed $123.247M, including $73.2M Exol funding. June cash was $1,746.446M, with $27.132M restricted separately. RPO was approximately $22.5B, with 15% expected over 12 months; the contingent 400-store Walmart promise is additional only if conditions are met. The largest customer represented 90.5% of Q3 sales. Exol future funding commitments were $1,487.9M, not immediate cash due. A $34.3M component-program charge was recorded in Q2. Q3 consolidated net income of $55M included only $11.673M attributable to common holders.
The competing explanation
A large order book can coexist with dependence on a few customers, long installation schedules and heavy venture funding. Advances create cash before delivery but can reverse abruptly. Positive consolidated earnings and adjusted EBITDA do not establish the cash or earnings attributable to public Class A shareholders.
Risks to track
- Customer concentration and installation timing can shift revenue and collections.
- Exol depends on capital from its owners and remains unconsolidated.
- Advance funding can reverse while inventory and contract costs rise.
- Component replacement costs and execution can exceed estimates.
- Accounting-policy changes, cash reclassifications and control weaknesses complicate comparisons.
- Common owners face NCI allocation, equity dilution, TRA and venture capital claims.
Next checkpoints
- Q4 execution · FY2026 Q4 ends September 26 (estimated). Compare $760M-$780M revenue and $100M-$105M adjusted EBITDA with actual cash.
- Customer funding · Each cash-flow statement (estimated). Track deferred revenue, unbilled work, inventory and combined PP&E/software cash.
- Exol and component program · Each filing; program expected within a year of Q2 recognition (estimated). Reconcile capital calls, remaining commitments and actual replacement spending.
Data coverage and open work
- Backlog is largely Walmart and Exol work and includes the company share of unconsolidated Exol contracts. The contingent 400-store Walmart promise could add over $5B only if conditions are met; it is not added to current $22.5B RPO.
- Exol is an unconsolidated 35%-owned equity-method investment and a customer. Capital contributions are investing cash, not another consolidated revenue stream. The $1.4879B future funding commitment is not all due immediately.
- Company FCF subtracts combined PP&E and internal-use software. The historical supplement fills missing combined cash-investment observations from the reviewed statement, with scope labeled explicitly; it does not manufacture undisclosed PP&E/software splits.
- The SBC attribution policy changed retrospectively and some prior acquisition-related cash was reclassified to CFO. Historical comparisons use reviewed updated figures where available. Adjusted-reconciliation SBC and cash-statement SBC differ in scope; the forecast is a simplified operating/cash bridge, not an exact reproduction of every adjustment.
- Payments for the component replacement program are provisional cash timing against costs already recognized; actual remaining program liability and spend can differ. Ordinary warranty economics remain in gross margin.
- July ARMS acquisition contribution is not separately quantified. It is not assigned speculative standalone revenue or purchase consideration beyond the consolidated scenario; unreported acquisition payments are excluded from the capital-cash subtotal.
- Substantial earnings belong to noncontrolling interests. No consolidated-net-income/Class-A-share shortcut, EPS, valuation, full deferred-revenue rollforward or complete liquidity forecast is provided.
What the memory says
State as of the 2026-09-18 close: in a 120-day downtrend, below its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, heavy volume, closed weak, and some peers moving
| Vs the market, in points | Low | Middle | High | Share up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | -3.0 | +0.1 | +3.0 | 52% |
| 5 sessions | -6.1 | +0.0 | +6.7 | 50% |
| 10 sessions | -6.7 | +0.1 | +12.0 | 51% |
Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side.