$SOC
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Research status
Evidence awaiting review · 83 pending evidence leads
- Financial accounts through
- 2026-06-30
- Authored update
- 2026-09-20
- Source scan
- Full model review
- Not recorded
- Latest event review
- Not recorded
- Oldest pending lead
Open evidence leads
- 8-K filed 2026-09-29
- SOC Stock Reverses 8 Sessions Of Losses After Pricing $300M Offering – This Analyst Highlights The Need For Additional Financing - Stocktwits
- Trump to Invoke Emergency Law for California Oil Producer Sable, Bloomberg News Reports - EnergyNow.com
- Trump to Invoke Emergency Law for California Oil Producer Sable, Bloomberg News Reports - energynow.com
- COMMENTARY: Nova Scotia Should Seize Natural Gas Opportunity Despite Any Fear Mongering - EnergyNow
Leads require verification; they are not established material changes.
Business
Sable operates the Santa Ynez offshore oil assets and associated processing and pipeline infrastructure in California. Economics depend on saleable net barrels, refinery access, crude-price differentials and debt service. The July refinancing adds mandatory principal payments and a full excess-cash-flow sweep.
Three drivers
- Net barrels sold after transport and refinery constraints
- Brent price, basis differentials and partial-volume collars
- Operating costs, capex and mandatory lender cash claims
Thesis
Our view
Production progress matters only when barrels can be marketed profitably and cash survives financing requirements. A positive operating cash quarter does not imply distributable shareholder cash.
What changes it
Track actual net sales, realized differentials, Hondo and refinery readiness, lender sweeps and litigation developments.
Scenario ranges
Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.
Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)
| Fiscal quarter | 2024Q3 2024-09-30 | 2024Q4 2024-12-31 | 2025Q1 2025-03-31 | 2025Q2 2025-06-30 | 2025Q3 2025-09-30 | 2025Q4 2025-12-31 | 2026Q1 2026-03-31 | 2026Q2 2026-06-30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($M) | 0.01 | 0.0†2 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.0†2 | 1.33 | 137.14 |
| Gross profit ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income ($M) | -54.65 | -50.8†6 | -59.87 | -128.98 | -119.45 | -100.2†6 | -118.87 | -66.98 |
| Net income ($M) | -255.69 | — | -109.510 | -128.110 | -110.49 | -62.2†11 | -197.010 | -64.210 |
| EPS, diluted ($) | -4.1112 | — | -1.3013 | -1.4014 | -1.1112 | — | -1.3713 | -0.4214 |
| Diluted shares (M) | 62.215 | — | 84.416 | 91.217 | 99.515 | — | 143.716 | 153.517 |
| Cash ($M) | 288.218 | 300.419 | 189.020 | 247.121 | 41.618 | 97.721 | 52.220 | 21.621 |
| Long-term debt ($M) | 814.422 | 833.523 | 854.624 | 0.025 | 0.026 | 0.027 | — | 732.127 |
| Cash from operations ($M) | — | -37.5†28 | -47.929 | -95.0†30 | -110.6†31 | -98.1†28 | -82.229 | 9.4†30 |
| Capex ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Free cash flow ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Estimates · base scenario
| Period | Revenue ($M) | EPS ($) | As of | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 162.7 | — | 2026-09-20 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Physical oil revenue proxy ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2026Q4 | 215.7 | — | 2026-09-20 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Physical oil revenue proxy ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q1 | 201.5 | — | 2026-09-20 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Physical oil revenue proxy ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q2 | 211.6 | — | 2026-09-20 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Physical oil revenue proxy ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
Net barrels sold, Brent collars and mandatory debt service
Convert average gross barrels sold into net revenue barrels using the 83.6% interest. Deduct marketing/processing differentials from Brent and settle disclosed collars on hedged volumes only. Apply cash field and corporate costs, taxes, working capital, capex and mandatory amortization. Cash remaining is explicitly BEFORE the 100% excess-cash-flow sweep; it is not distributable equity cash.
Reported anchors and guidance
| Measure | Period | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| q2 revenue | June / subsequent July-August | 137.12 | reported. USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Source · 2026-08-10 |
| q2 cfo | June / subsequent July-August | 9.42 | reported. USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Source · 2026-08-10 |
| Reported capex | H1 2026 | 52.56 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-10 |
| H1 CFO less cash capital spending | H1 2026 | -125.37 | derived. Historical cash statement. |
| june cash | June / subsequent July-August | 21.60 | reported. USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Source · 2026-08-10 |
| tlb original | June / subsequent July-August | 675.00 | reported. USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Source · 2026-08-10 |
| convertible | June / subsequent July-August | 345.00 | reported. USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Source · 2026-08-10 |
| revolver borrowing base | June / subsequent July-August | 0.00 | reported. USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Source · 2026-08-10 |
| court penalty | June / subsequent July-August | 1.45 | reported. USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Source · 2026-08-24 |
| H2 capital spending outlook midpoint | H2 2026 | 85.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| FY2027 capital spending outlook midpoint | FY2027 | 90.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
Downside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | Cash after capital spending ($M) | Cash capital spending ($M) | Physical oil revenue proxy ($M) | Brent collar settlement ($M) | Operating income proxy ($M) | Cash before excess-cash-flow sweep ($M) | Mandatory TLB principal ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | -39.56 | -84.56 | 45.00 | 69.22 | 25.76 | -74.90 | -101.43 | 16.88 |
| 2026Q4 | -29.99 | -69.99 | 40.00 | 76.91 | 25.76 | -67.96 | -86.86 | 16.88 |
| 2027Q1 | -6.11 | -31.11 | 25.00 | 81.26 | 22.50 | -39.56 | -64.86 | 33.75 |
| 2027Q2 | -3.71 | -28.71 | 25.00 | 86.27 | 22.75 | -40.67 | -62.46 | 33.75 |
| FY2026 | -142.35 | -279.91 | 137.56 | 284.53 | 51.52 | -328.51 | -313.66 | 33.75 |
| FY2027 | -12.61 | -102.61 | 90.00 | 341.97 | 91.25 | -167.24 | -237.61 | 135.00 |
Base scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | Cash after capital spending ($M) | Cash capital spending ($M) | Physical oil revenue proxy ($M) | Brent collar settlement ($M) | Operating income proxy ($M) | Cash before excess-cash-flow sweep ($M) | Mandatory TLB principal ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 13.70 | -31.30 | 45.00 | 162.67 | 0.00 | 2.62 | -48.18 | 16.88 |
| 2026Q4 | 78.54 | 38.54 | 40.00 | 215.74 | 0.00 | 64.83 | 21.67 | 16.88 |
| 2027Q1 | 88.19 | 63.19 | 25.00 | 201.46 | 0.00 | 74.84 | 29.44 | 33.75 |
| 2027Q2 | 105.55 | 80.55 | 25.00 | 211.64 | 0.00 | 88.94 | 46.80 | 33.75 |
| FY2026 | 19.43 | -118.13 | 137.56 | 516.80 | 0.00 | -118.20 | -151.88 | 33.75 |
| FY2027 | 439.65 | 349.65 | 90.00 | 859.46 | 0.00 | 366.67 | 214.65 | 135.00 |
Upside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | Cash after capital spending ($M) | Cash capital spending ($M) | Physical oil revenue proxy ($M) | Brent collar settlement ($M) | Operating income proxy ($M) | Cash before excess-cash-flow sweep ($M) | Mandatory TLB principal ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 117.48 | 72.48 | 45.00 | 273.04 | -14.45 | 119.85 | 55.60 | 16.88 |
| 2026Q4 | 169.45 | 129.45 | 40.00 | 320.03 | -14.45 | 169.18 | 112.57 | 16.88 |
| 2027Q1 | 180.05 | 155.05 | 25.00 | 320.15 | -33.75 | 198.85 | 121.30 | 33.75 |
| 2027Q2 | 201.51 | 176.51 | 25.00 | 333.78 | -34.12 | 217.42 | 142.76 | 33.75 |
| FY2026 | 214.12 | 76.56 | 137.56 | 731.46 | -28.90 | 103.38 | 42.81 | 33.75 |
| FY2027 | 805.45 | 715.45 | 90.00 | 1,343.25 | -136.88 | 862.95 | 580.45 | 135.00 |
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
| Input / calculation | Period / case | Value / unit | Evidence or assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported revenue h1_revenue | H1 2026 / shared | 138.40 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| Reported operating income h1_operating_income | H1 2026 / shared | -185.65 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| Reported cfo h1_cfo | H1 2026 / shared | -72.81 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| Reported capex h1_capex | H1 2026 / shared | 52.56 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| H1 new Brent collar settlements h1_hedge_cash | H1 2026 / shared | 0.00 USD_millions | reported: New hedging program commenced July 1. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| H1 new TLB principal payments h1_mandatory_principal | H1 2026 / shared | 0.00 USD_millions | reported: New TLB closed July 2; no new TLB payment in H1. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| H1 CFO less cash capital spending h1_fcf | H1 2026 / shared | -125.37 USD_millions | derived: Historical cash statement. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_capex). |
| H1 cash after new TLB mandatory service h1_cash_before_sweep | H1 2026 / shared | -125.37 USD_millions | derived: Historical old debt structure differs from July refinancing. Formula: subtract(h1_fcf, h1_mandatory_principal). |
| june cash june_cash | June / subsequent July-August / shared | 21.60 USD_millions | reported: USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| tlb original tlb_original | June / subsequent July-August / shared | 675.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| convertible convertible | June / subsequent July-August / shared | 345.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| revolver borrowing base revolver_borrowing_base | June / subsequent July-August / shared | 0.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| q2 revenue q2_revenue | June / subsequent July-August / shared | 137.12 USD_millions | reported: USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| q2 cfo q2_cfo | June / subsequent July-August / shared | 9.42 USD_millions | reported: USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| q2 reported capex q2_reported_capex | June / subsequent July-August / shared | 39.40 USD_millions | reported: USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| court penalty court_penalty | June / subsequent July-August / shared | 1.45 USD_millions | reported: USD millions; Q2 company capex measure can differ from cash expenditure timing. Primary source · 2026-08-24 |
| nri nri | Financing / production / shared | 83.6% ratio | reported: Reported term; quarter is arithmetic time allocation. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| tlb coupon tlb_coupon | Financing / production / shared | 15.0% ratio | reported: Reported term; quarter is arithmetic time allocation. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| convert coupon convert_coupon | Financing / production / shared | 6.5% ratio | reported: Reported term; quarter is arithmetic time allocation. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| quarter quarter | Financing / production / shared | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Reported term; quarter is arithmetic time allocation. |
| H2 capital spending outlook low h2_capex_guide_low | H2 2026 / shared | 75.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| H2 capital spending outlook high h2_capex_guide_high | H2 2026 / shared | 95.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| Midpoint divisor two | Model / shared | 200.0% ratio | assumption: Arithmetic constant. |
| H2 capital spending outlook endpoint sum h2_capex_guide_sum | H2 2026 / shared | 170.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(h2_capex_guide_low, h2_capex_guide_high). |
| H2 capital spending outlook midpoint h2_capex_guide | H2 2026 / shared | 85.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(h2_capex_guide_sum, two). |
| FY2027 capital spending outlook low fy27_capex_guide_low | FY2027 / shared | 80.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| FY2027 capital spending outlook high fy27_capex_guide_high | FY2027 / shared | 100.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-10 |
| FY2027 capital spending outlook endpoint sum fy27_capex_guide_sum | FY2027 / shared | 180.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy27_capex_guide_low, fy27_capex_guide_high). |
| FY2027 capital spending outlook midpoint fy27_capex_guide | FY2027 / shared | 90.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy27_capex_guide_sum, two). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day downside_2026q3_gross_daily_sales | 2026Q3 / downside | 3,600,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million downside_2026q3_time_conversion | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels downside_2026q3_net_million_barrels | 2026Q3 / downside | 276.9% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_gross_daily_sales, nri, downside_2026q3_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels downside_2026q3_brent | 2026Q3 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential downside_2026q3_differential | 2026Q3 / downside | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels downside_2026q3_net_price_reference | 2026Q3 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_brent, downside_2026q3_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue downside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 69.22 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_net_million_barrels, downside_2026q3_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels downside_2026q3_hedged_volume | 2026Q3 / downside | 257.6% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar downside_2026q3_collar_settled | 2026Q3 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference downside_2026q3_hedge_payoff | 2026Q3 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_collar_settled, downside_2026q3_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes downside_2026q3_hedge_cash | 2026Q3 / downside | 25.76 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_hedged_volume, downside_2026q3_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference downside_2026q3_loe | 2026Q3 / downside | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs downside_2026q3_field_cost | 2026Q3 / downside | 60.91 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_net_million_barrels, downside_2026q3_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference downside_2026q3_ga_per_barrel | 2026Q3 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost downside_2026q3_ga | 2026Q3 / downside | 27.69 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_net_million_barrels, downside_2026q3_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate downside_2026q3_production_tax_rate | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes downside_2026q3_severance | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.52 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q3_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs downside_2026q3_other_cash | 2026Q3 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax downside_2026q3_cash_costs | 2026Q3 / downside | 97.12 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_field_cost, downside_2026q3_ga, downside_2026q3_severance, downside_2026q3_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit downside_2026q3_field_cash_profit | 2026Q3 / downside | -27.90 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q3_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion downside_2026q3_dd_and_a | 2026Q3 / downside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC downside_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion downside_2026q3_noncash_costs | 2026Q3 / downside | 47.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_dd_and_a, downside_2026q3_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / downside | -74.90 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_field_cash_profit, downside_2026q3_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon downside_2026q3_tlb_interest | 2026Q3 / downside | 25.31 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon downside_2026q3_convert_interest | 2026Q3 / downside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy downside_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / downside | 30.92 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_tlb_interest, downside_2026q3_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement downside_2026q3_cash_including_hedges | 2026Q3 / downside | -2.14 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_field_cash_profit, downside_2026q3_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use downside_2026q3_wc | 2026Q3 / downside | 6.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use downside_2026q3_cash_finance_wc | 2026Q3 / downside | 37.42 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_cash_interest, downside_2026q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / downside | -39.56 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cash_including_hedges, downside_2026q3_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending downside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex downside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / downside | -84.56 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction downside_2026q3_amort_rate | 2026Q3 / downside | 2.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization downside_2026q3_mandatory_principal | 2026Q3 / downside | 16.88 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, downside_2026q3_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep downside_2026q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2026Q3 / downside | 658.12 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(tlb_original, downside_2026q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep downside_2026q3_cash_before_sweep | 2026Q3 / downside | -101.43 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day downside_2026q4_gross_daily_sales | 2026Q4 / downside | 4,000,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million downside_2026q4_time_conversion | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels downside_2026q4_net_million_barrels | 2026Q4 / downside | 307.6% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_gross_daily_sales, nri, downside_2026q4_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels downside_2026q4_brent | 2026Q4 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential downside_2026q4_differential | 2026Q4 / downside | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels downside_2026q4_net_price_reference | 2026Q4 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_brent, downside_2026q4_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue downside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 76.91 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_net_million_barrels, downside_2026q4_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels downside_2026q4_hedged_volume | 2026Q4 / downside | 257.6% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar downside_2026q4_collar_settled | 2026Q4 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference downside_2026q4_hedge_payoff | 2026Q4 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_collar_settled, downside_2026q4_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes downside_2026q4_hedge_cash | 2026Q4 / downside | 25.76 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_hedged_volume, downside_2026q4_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference downside_2026q4_loe | 2026Q4 / downside | 21.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs downside_2026q4_field_cost | 2026Q4 / downside | 64.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_net_million_barrels, downside_2026q4_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference downside_2026q4_ga_per_barrel | 2026Q4 / downside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost downside_2026q4_ga | 2026Q4 / downside | 27.69 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_net_million_barrels, downside_2026q4_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate downside_2026q4_production_tax_rate | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes downside_2026q4_severance | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.58 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_revenue, downside_2026q4_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs downside_2026q4_other_cash | 2026Q4 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax downside_2026q4_cash_costs | 2026Q4 / downside | 95.87 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_field_cost, downside_2026q4_ga, downside_2026q4_severance, downside_2026q4_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit downside_2026q4_field_cash_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | -18.96 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_revenue, downside_2026q4_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion downside_2026q4_dd_and_a | 2026Q4 / downside | 42.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC downside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion downside_2026q4_noncash_costs | 2026Q4 / downside | 49.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_dd_and_a, downside_2026q4_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / downside | -67.96 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_field_cash_profit, downside_2026q4_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon downside_2026q4_tlb_interest | 2026Q4 / downside | 24.68 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon downside_2026q4_convert_interest | 2026Q4 / downside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy downside_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / downside | 30.29 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_tlb_interest, downside_2026q4_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement downside_2026q4_cash_including_hedges | 2026Q4 / downside | 6.80 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_field_cash_profit, downside_2026q4_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use downside_2026q4_wc | 2026Q4 / downside | 6.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use downside_2026q4_cash_finance_wc | 2026Q4 / downside | 36.79 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cash_interest, downside_2026q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / downside | -29.99 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cash_including_hedges, downside_2026q4_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending downside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex downside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / downside | -69.99 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction downside_2026q4_amort_rate | 2026Q4 / downside | 2.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization downside_2026q4_mandatory_principal | 2026Q4 / downside | 16.88 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, downside_2026q4_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep downside_2026q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2026Q4 / downside | 641.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, downside_2026q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep downside_2026q4_cash_before_sweep | 2026Q4 / downside | -86.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_fcf, downside_2026q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day downside_2027q1_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q1 / downside | 4,000,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million downside_2027q1_time_conversion | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels downside_2027q1_net_million_barrels | 2027Q1 / downside | 301.0% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_gross_daily_sales, nri, downside_2027q1_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels downside_2027q1_brent | 2027Q1 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential downside_2027q1_differential | 2027Q1 / downside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels downside_2027q1_net_price_reference | 2027Q1 / downside | 27.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_brent, downside_2027q1_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue downside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 81.26 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q1_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels downside_2027q1_hedged_volume | 2027Q1 / downside | 225.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar downside_2027q1_collar_settled | 2027Q1 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference downside_2027q1_hedge_payoff | 2027Q1 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_collar_settled, downside_2027q1_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes downside_2027q1_hedge_cash | 2027Q1 / downside | 22.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_hedged_volume, downside_2027q1_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference downside_2027q1_loe | 2027Q1 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs downside_2027q1_field_cost | 2027Q1 / downside | 45.14 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q1_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference downside_2027q1_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q1 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost downside_2027q1_ga | 2027Q1 / downside | 21.07 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q1_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate downside_2027q1_production_tax_rate | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes downside_2027q1_severance | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q1_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs downside_2027q1_other_cash | 2027Q1 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax downside_2027q1_cash_costs | 2027Q1 / downside | 69.82 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_field_cost, downside_2027q1_ga, downside_2027q1_severance, downside_2027q1_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit downside_2027q1_field_cash_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | 11.44 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q1_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion downside_2027q1_dd_and_a | 2027Q1 / downside | 44.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC downside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion downside_2027q1_noncash_costs | 2027Q1 / downside | 51.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_dd_and_a, downside_2027q1_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / downside | -39.56 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_field_cash_profit, downside_2027q1_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon downside_2027q1_tlb_interest | 2027Q1 / downside | 24.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon downside_2027q1_convert_interest | 2027Q1 / downside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy downside_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / downside | 29.65 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_tlb_interest, downside_2027q1_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement downside_2027q1_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q1 / downside | 33.94 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_field_cash_profit, downside_2027q1_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use downside_2027q1_wc | 2027Q1 / downside | 10.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use downside_2027q1_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q1 / downside | 40.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_interest, downside_2027q1_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / downside | -6.11 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_including_hedges, downside_2027q1_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending downside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex downside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / downside | -31.11 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction downside_2027q1_amort_rate | 2027Q1 / downside | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization downside_2027q1_mandatory_principal | 2027Q1 / downside | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, downside_2027q1_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep downside_2027q1_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q1 / downside | 607.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep, downside_2027q1_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep downside_2027q1_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q1 / downside | -64.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q1_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day downside_2027q2_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q2 / downside | 4,200,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million downside_2027q2_time_conversion | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels downside_2027q2_net_million_barrels | 2027Q2 / downside | 319.5% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_gross_daily_sales, nri, downside_2027q2_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels downside_2027q2_brent | 2027Q2 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential downside_2027q2_differential | 2027Q2 / downside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels downside_2027q2_net_price_reference | 2027Q2 / downside | 27.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_brent, downside_2027q2_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue downside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 86.27 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q2_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels downside_2027q2_hedged_volume | 2027Q2 / downside | 227.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar downside_2027q2_collar_settled | 2027Q2 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference downside_2027q2_hedge_payoff | 2027Q2 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_collar_settled, downside_2027q2_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes downside_2027q2_hedge_cash | 2027Q2 / downside | 22.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_hedged_volume, downside_2027q2_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference downside_2027q2_loe | 2027Q2 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs downside_2027q2_field_cost | 2027Q2 / downside | 47.93 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q2_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference downside_2027q2_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q2 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost downside_2027q2_ga | 2027Q2 / downside | 22.37 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q2_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate downside_2027q2_production_tax_rate | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes downside_2027q2_severance | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.65 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs downside_2027q2_other_cash | 2027Q2 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax downside_2027q2_cash_costs | 2027Q2 / downside | 73.94 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_field_cost, downside_2027q2_ga, downside_2027q2_severance, downside_2027q2_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit downside_2027q2_field_cash_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | 12.33 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion downside_2027q2_dd_and_a | 2027Q2 / downside | 46.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC downside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion downside_2027q2_noncash_costs | 2027Q2 / downside | 53.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_dd_and_a, downside_2027q2_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / downside | -40.67 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_field_cash_profit, downside_2027q2_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon downside_2027q2_tlb_interest | 2027Q2 / downside | 22.78 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon downside_2027q2_convert_interest | 2027Q2 / downside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy downside_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / downside | 28.39 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_tlb_interest, downside_2027q2_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement downside_2027q2_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q2 / downside | 35.08 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_field_cash_profit, downside_2027q2_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use downside_2027q2_wc | 2027Q2 / downside | 10.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use downside_2027q2_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q2 / downside | 38.79 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cash_interest, downside_2027q2_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / downside | -3.71 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_including_hedges, downside_2027q2_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending downside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex downside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / downside | -28.71 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction downside_2027q2_amort_rate | 2027Q2 / downside | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization downside_2027q2_mandatory_principal | 2027Q2 / downside | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, downside_2027q2_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep downside_2027q2_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q2 / downside | 573.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_ending_tlb_before_sweep, downside_2027q2_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep downside_2027q2_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q2 / downside | -62.46 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q2_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day downside_2027q3_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q3 / downside | 4,200,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million downside_2027q3_time_conversion | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels downside_2027q3_net_million_barrels | 2027Q3 / downside | 323.0% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_gross_daily_sales, nri, downside_2027q3_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels downside_2027q3_brent | 2027Q3 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential downside_2027q3_differential | 2027Q3 / downside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels downside_2027q3_net_price_reference | 2027Q3 / downside | 27.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_brent, downside_2027q3_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue downside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 87.22 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q3_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels downside_2027q3_hedged_volume | 2027Q3 / downside | 230.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar downside_2027q3_collar_settled | 2027Q3 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference downside_2027q3_hedge_payoff | 2027Q3 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_collar_settled, downside_2027q3_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes downside_2027q3_hedge_cash | 2027Q3 / downside | 23.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_hedged_volume, downside_2027q3_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference downside_2027q3_loe | 2027Q3 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs downside_2027q3_field_cost | 2027Q3 / downside | 48.45 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q3_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference downside_2027q3_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q3 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost downside_2027q3_ga | 2027Q3 / downside | 22.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q3_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate downside_2027q3_production_tax_rate | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes downside_2027q3_severance | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.65 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q3_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs downside_2027q3_other_cash | 2027Q3 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax downside_2027q3_cash_costs | 2027Q3 / downside | 74.72 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_field_cost, downside_2027q3_ga, downside_2027q3_severance, downside_2027q3_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit downside_2027q3_field_cash_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | 12.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q3_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion downside_2027q3_dd_and_a | 2027Q3 / downside | 48.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC downside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion downside_2027q3_noncash_costs | 2027Q3 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_dd_and_a, downside_2027q3_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / downside | -42.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_field_cash_profit, downside_2027q3_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon downside_2027q3_tlb_interest | 2027Q3 / downside | 21.52 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon downside_2027q3_convert_interest | 2027Q3 / downside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy downside_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / downside | 27.12 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_tlb_interest, downside_2027q3_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement downside_2027q3_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q3 / downside | 35.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_field_cash_profit, downside_2027q3_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use downside_2027q3_wc | 2027Q3 / downside | 10.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use downside_2027q3_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q3 / downside | 37.52 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cash_interest, downside_2027q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / downside | -2.02 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_including_hedges, downside_2027q3_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending downside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex downside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / downside | -22.02 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction downside_2027q3_amort_rate | 2027Q3 / downside | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization downside_2027q3_mandatory_principal | 2027Q3 / downside | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, downside_2027q3_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep downside_2027q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q3 / downside | 540.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_ending_tlb_before_sweep, downside_2027q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep downside_2027q3_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q3 / downside | -55.77 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day downside_2027q4_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q4 / downside | 4,200,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million downside_2027q4_time_conversion | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels downside_2027q4_net_million_barrels | 2027Q4 / downside | 323.0% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_gross_daily_sales, nri, downside_2027q4_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels downside_2027q4_brent | 2027Q4 / downside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential downside_2027q4_differential | 2027Q4 / downside | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels downside_2027q4_net_price_reference | 2027Q4 / downside | 27.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_brent, downside_2027q4_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue downside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 87.22 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q4_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels downside_2027q4_hedged_volume | 2027Q4 / downside | 230.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar downside_2027q4_collar_settled | 2027Q4 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference downside_2027q4_hedge_payoff | 2027Q4 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_collar_settled, downside_2027q4_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes downside_2027q4_hedge_cash | 2027Q4 / downside | 23.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_hedged_volume, downside_2027q4_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference downside_2027q4_loe | 2027Q4 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs downside_2027q4_field_cost | 2027Q4 / downside | 48.45 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q4_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference downside_2027q4_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q4 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost downside_2027q4_ga | 2027Q4 / downside | 22.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_net_million_barrels, downside_2027q4_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate downside_2027q4_production_tax_rate | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes downside_2027q4_severance | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.65 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_revenue, downside_2027q4_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs downside_2027q4_other_cash | 2027Q4 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax downside_2027q4_cash_costs | 2027Q4 / downside | 74.72 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_field_cost, downside_2027q4_ga, downside_2027q4_severance, downside_2027q4_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit downside_2027q4_field_cash_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | 12.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_revenue, downside_2027q4_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion downside_2027q4_dd_and_a | 2027Q4 / downside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC downside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion downside_2027q4_noncash_costs | 2027Q4 / downside | 57.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_dd_and_a, downside_2027q4_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / downside | -44.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_field_cash_profit, downside_2027q4_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon downside_2027q4_tlb_interest | 2027Q4 / downside | 20.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon downside_2027q4_convert_interest | 2027Q4 / downside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy downside_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / downside | 25.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_tlb_interest, downside_2027q4_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement downside_2027q4_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q4 / downside | 35.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_field_cash_profit, downside_2027q4_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use downside_2027q4_wc | 2027Q4 / downside | 10.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use downside_2027q4_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q4 / downside | 36.26 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cash_interest, downside_2027q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / downside | -0.76 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_including_hedges, downside_2027q4_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending downside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex downside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / downside | -20.76 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction downside_2027q4_amort_rate | 2027Q4 / downside | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization downside_2027q4_mandatory_principal | 2027Q4 / downside | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, downside_2027q4_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep downside_2027q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q4 / downside | 506.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, downside_2027q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep downside_2027q4_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q4 / downside | -54.51 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_fcf, downside_2027q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Physical oil revenue proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / downside | 284.53 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue). |
| Brent collar settlement ($M) downside_fy2026_hedge_cash | FY2026 / downside | 51.52 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_hedge_cash, downside_2026q3_hedge_cash, downside_2026q4_hedge_cash). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / downside | -328.51 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / downside | -142.35 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Cash capital spending ($M) downside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / downside | 137.56 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash after capital spending ($M) downside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / downside | -279.91 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Mandatory TLB principal ($M) downside_fy2026_mandatory_principal | FY2026 / downside | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_mandatory_principal, downside_2026q3_mandatory_principal, downside_2026q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash before excess-cash-flow sweep ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_before_sweep | FY2026 / downside | -313.66 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_before_sweep, downside_2026q3_cash_before_sweep, downside_2026q4_cash_before_sweep). |
| Physical oil revenue proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / downside | 341.97 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue). |
| Brent collar settlement ($M) downside_fy2027_hedge_cash | FY2027 / downside | 91.25 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_hedge_cash, downside_2027q2_hedge_cash, downside_2027q3_hedge_cash, downside_2027q4_hedge_cash). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / downside | -167.24 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / downside | -12.61 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Cash capital spending ($M) downside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / downside | 90.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash after capital spending ($M) downside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / downside | -102.61 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q4_fcf). |
| Mandatory TLB principal ($M) downside_fy2027_mandatory_principal | FY2027 / downside | 135.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_mandatory_principal, downside_2027q2_mandatory_principal, downside_2027q3_mandatory_principal, downside_2027q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash before excess-cash-flow sweep ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_before_sweep | FY2027 / downside | -237.61 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_before_sweep, downside_2027q2_cash_before_sweep, downside_2027q3_cash_before_sweep, downside_2027q4_cash_before_sweep). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day base_2026q3_gross_daily_sales | 2026Q3 / base | 4,500,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million base_2026q3_time_conversion | 2026Q3 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels base_2026q3_net_million_barrels | 2026Q3 / base | 346.1% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_gross_daily_sales, nri, base_2026q3_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels base_2026q3_brent | 2026Q3 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential base_2026q3_differential | 2026Q3 / base | 28.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels base_2026q3_net_price_reference | 2026Q3 / base | 47.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_brent, base_2026q3_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue base_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 162.67 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_net_million_barrels, base_2026q3_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels base_2026q3_hedged_volume | 2026Q3 / base | 257.6% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar base_2026q3_collar_settled | 2026Q3 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference base_2026q3_hedge_payoff | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Base Brent is inside the collar: zero payoff. If changing price across a strike, switch to the appropriate downside/upside payoff branch. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_brent, base_2026q3_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes base_2026q3_hedge_cash | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_hedged_volume, base_2026q3_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference base_2026q3_loe | 2026Q3 / base | 21.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs base_2026q3_field_cost | 2026Q3 / base | 72.68 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_net_million_barrels, base_2026q3_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference base_2026q3_ga_per_barrel | 2026Q3 / base | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost base_2026q3_ga | 2026Q3 / base | 31.15 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_net_million_barrels, base_2026q3_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate base_2026q3_production_tax_rate | 2026Q3 / base | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes base_2026q3_severance | 2026Q3 / base | 1.22 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q3_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs base_2026q3_other_cash | 2026Q3 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax base_2026q3_cash_costs | 2026Q3 / base | 113.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_field_cost, base_2026q3_ga, base_2026q3_severance, base_2026q3_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit base_2026q3_field_cash_profit | 2026Q3 / base | 49.62 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q3_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion base_2026q3_dd_and_a | 2026Q3 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC base_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion base_2026q3_noncash_costs | 2026Q3 / base | 47.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_dd_and_a, base_2026q3_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy base_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / base | 2.62 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_field_cash_profit, base_2026q3_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon base_2026q3_tlb_interest | 2026Q3 / base | 25.31 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon base_2026q3_convert_interest | 2026Q3 / base | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy base_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / base | 30.92 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_tlb_interest, base_2026q3_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement base_2026q3_cash_including_hedges | 2026Q3 / base | 49.62 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_field_cash_profit, base_2026q3_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use base_2026q3_wc | 2026Q3 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use base_2026q3_cash_finance_wc | 2026Q3 / base | 35.92 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_cash_interest, base_2026q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / base | 13.70 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cash_including_hedges, base_2026q3_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending base_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex base_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / base | -31.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction base_2026q3_amort_rate | 2026Q3 / base | 2.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization base_2026q3_mandatory_principal | 2026Q3 / base | 16.88 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, base_2026q3_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep base_2026q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2026Q3 / base | 658.12 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(tlb_original, base_2026q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep base_2026q3_cash_before_sweep | 2026Q3 / base | -48.18 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day base_2026q4_gross_daily_sales | 2026Q4 / base | 5,500,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million base_2026q4_time_conversion | 2026Q4 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels base_2026q4_net_million_barrels | 2026Q4 / base | 423.0% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_gross_daily_sales, nri, base_2026q4_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels base_2026q4_brent | 2026Q4 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential base_2026q4_differential | 2026Q4 / base | 24.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels base_2026q4_net_price_reference | 2026Q4 / base | 51.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_brent, base_2026q4_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue base_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 215.74 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_net_million_barrels, base_2026q4_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels base_2026q4_hedged_volume | 2026Q4 / base | 257.6% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar base_2026q4_collar_settled | 2026Q4 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference base_2026q4_hedge_payoff | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Base Brent is inside the collar: zero payoff. If changing price across a strike, switch to the appropriate downside/upside payoff branch. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_brent, base_2026q4_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes base_2026q4_hedge_cash | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_hedged_volume, base_2026q4_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference base_2026q4_loe | 2026Q4 / base | 17.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs base_2026q4_field_cost | 2026Q4 / base | 71.91 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_net_million_barrels, base_2026q4_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference base_2026q4_ga_per_barrel | 2026Q4 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost base_2026q4_ga | 2026Q4 / base | 25.38 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_net_million_barrels, base_2026q4_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate base_2026q4_production_tax_rate | 2026Q4 / base | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes base_2026q4_severance | 2026Q4 / base | 1.62 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_revenue, base_2026q4_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs base_2026q4_other_cash | 2026Q4 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax base_2026q4_cash_costs | 2026Q4 / base | 101.91 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_field_cost, base_2026q4_ga, base_2026q4_severance, base_2026q4_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit base_2026q4_field_cash_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 113.83 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_revenue, base_2026q4_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion base_2026q4_dd_and_a | 2026Q4 / base | 42.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC base_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion base_2026q4_noncash_costs | 2026Q4 / base | 49.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_dd_and_a, base_2026q4_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy base_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / base | 64.83 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_field_cash_profit, base_2026q4_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon base_2026q4_tlb_interest | 2026Q4 / base | 24.68 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon base_2026q4_convert_interest | 2026Q4 / base | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy base_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / base | 30.29 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_tlb_interest, base_2026q4_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement base_2026q4_cash_including_hedges | 2026Q4 / base | 113.83 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_field_cash_profit, base_2026q4_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use base_2026q4_wc | 2026Q4 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use base_2026q4_cash_finance_wc | 2026Q4 / base | 35.29 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cash_interest, base_2026q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / base | 78.54 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cash_including_hedges, base_2026q4_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending base_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex base_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / base | 38.54 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction base_2026q4_amort_rate | 2026Q4 / base | 2.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization base_2026q4_mandatory_principal | 2026Q4 / base | 16.88 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, base_2026q4_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep base_2026q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2026Q4 / base | 641.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, base_2026q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep base_2026q4_cash_before_sweep | 2026Q4 / base | 21.67 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_fcf, base_2026q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day base_2027q1_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q1 / base | 5,250,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million base_2027q1_time_conversion | 2027Q1 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels base_2027q1_net_million_barrels | 2027Q1 / base | 395.0% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_gross_daily_sales, nri, base_2027q1_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels base_2027q1_brent | 2027Q1 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential base_2027q1_differential | 2027Q1 / base | 24.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels base_2027q1_net_price_reference | 2027Q1 / base | 51.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_brent, base_2027q1_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue base_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 201.46 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_net_million_barrels, base_2027q1_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels base_2027q1_hedged_volume | 2027Q1 / base | 225.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar base_2027q1_collar_settled | 2027Q1 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference base_2027q1_hedge_payoff | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Base Brent is inside the collar: zero payoff. If changing price across a strike, switch to the appropriate downside/upside payoff branch. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_brent, base_2027q1_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes base_2027q1_hedge_cash | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_hedged_volume, base_2027q1_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference base_2027q1_loe | 2027Q1 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs base_2027q1_field_cost | 2027Q1 / base | 47.40 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_net_million_barrels, base_2027q1_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference base_2027q1_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q1 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost base_2027q1_ga | 2027Q1 / base | 23.70 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_net_million_barrels, base_2027q1_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate base_2027q1_production_tax_rate | 2027Q1 / base | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes base_2027q1_severance | 2027Q1 / base | 1.51 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q1_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs base_2027q1_other_cash | 2027Q1 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax base_2027q1_cash_costs | 2027Q1 / base | 75.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_field_cost, base_2027q1_ga, base_2027q1_severance, base_2027q1_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit base_2027q1_field_cash_profit | 2027Q1 / base | 125.84 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q1_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion base_2027q1_dd_and_a | 2027Q1 / base | 44.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC base_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion base_2027q1_noncash_costs | 2027Q1 / base | 51.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_dd_and_a, base_2027q1_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy base_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / base | 74.84 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_field_cash_profit, base_2027q1_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon base_2027q1_tlb_interest | 2027Q1 / base | 24.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon base_2027q1_convert_interest | 2027Q1 / base | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy base_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / base | 29.65 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_tlb_interest, base_2027q1_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement base_2027q1_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q1 / base | 125.84 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_field_cash_profit, base_2027q1_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use base_2027q1_wc | 2027Q1 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use base_2027q1_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q1 / base | 37.65 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_interest, base_2027q1_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / base | 88.19 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_including_hedges, base_2027q1_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending base_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex base_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / base | 63.19 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction base_2027q1_amort_rate | 2027Q1 / base | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization base_2027q1_mandatory_principal | 2027Q1 / base | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, base_2027q1_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep base_2027q1_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q1 / base | 607.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep, base_2027q1_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep base_2027q1_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q1 / base | 29.44 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q1_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day base_2027q2_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q2 / base | 5,350,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million base_2027q2_time_conversion | 2027Q2 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels base_2027q2_net_million_barrels | 2027Q2 / base | 407.0% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_gross_daily_sales, nri, base_2027q2_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels base_2027q2_brent | 2027Q2 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential base_2027q2_differential | 2027Q2 / base | 23.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels base_2027q2_net_price_reference | 2027Q2 / base | 52.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_brent, base_2027q2_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue base_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 211.64 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_net_million_barrels, base_2027q2_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels base_2027q2_hedged_volume | 2027Q2 / base | 227.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar base_2027q2_collar_settled | 2027Q2 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference base_2027q2_hedge_payoff | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Base Brent is inside the collar: zero payoff. If changing price across a strike, switch to the appropriate downside/upside payoff branch. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_brent, base_2027q2_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes base_2027q2_hedge_cash | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_hedged_volume, base_2027q2_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference base_2027q2_loe | 2027Q2 / base | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs base_2027q2_field_cost | 2027Q2 / base | 44.77 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_net_million_barrels, base_2027q2_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference base_2027q2_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q2 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost base_2027q2_ga | 2027Q2 / base | 20.35 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_net_million_barrels, base_2027q2_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate base_2027q2_production_tax_rate | 2027Q2 / base | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes base_2027q2_severance | 2027Q2 / base | 1.59 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q2_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs base_2027q2_other_cash | 2027Q2 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax base_2027q2_cash_costs | 2027Q2 / base | 69.71 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_field_cost, base_2027q2_ga, base_2027q2_severance, base_2027q2_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit base_2027q2_field_cash_profit | 2027Q2 / base | 141.94 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q2_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion base_2027q2_dd_and_a | 2027Q2 / base | 46.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC base_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion base_2027q2_noncash_costs | 2027Q2 / base | 53.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_dd_and_a, base_2027q2_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy base_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / base | 88.94 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_field_cash_profit, base_2027q2_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon base_2027q2_tlb_interest | 2027Q2 / base | 22.78 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon base_2027q2_convert_interest | 2027Q2 / base | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy base_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / base | 28.39 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_tlb_interest, base_2027q2_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement base_2027q2_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q2 / base | 141.94 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_field_cash_profit, base_2027q2_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use base_2027q2_wc | 2027Q2 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use base_2027q2_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q2 / base | 36.39 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cash_interest, base_2027q2_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / base | 105.55 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_including_hedges, base_2027q2_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending base_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex base_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / base | 80.55 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction base_2027q2_amort_rate | 2027Q2 / base | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization base_2027q2_mandatory_principal | 2027Q2 / base | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, base_2027q2_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep base_2027q2_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q2 / base | 573.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_ending_tlb_before_sweep, base_2027q2_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep base_2027q2_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q2 / base | 46.80 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q2_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day base_2027q3_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q3 / base | 5,450,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million base_2027q3_time_conversion | 2027Q3 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels base_2027q3_net_million_barrels | 2027Q3 / base | 419.2% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_gross_daily_sales, nri, base_2027q3_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels base_2027q3_brent | 2027Q3 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential base_2027q3_differential | 2027Q3 / base | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels base_2027q3_net_price_reference | 2027Q3 / base | 53.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_brent, base_2027q3_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue base_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 222.16 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_net_million_barrels, base_2027q3_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels base_2027q3_hedged_volume | 2027Q3 / base | 230.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar base_2027q3_collar_settled | 2027Q3 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference base_2027q3_hedge_payoff | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Base Brent is inside the collar: zero payoff. If changing price across a strike, switch to the appropriate downside/upside payoff branch. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_brent, base_2027q3_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes base_2027q3_hedge_cash | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_hedged_volume, base_2027q3_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference base_2027q3_loe | 2027Q3 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs base_2027q3_field_cost | 2027Q3 / base | 41.92 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_net_million_barrels, base_2027q3_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference base_2027q3_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q3 / base | 4.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost base_2027q3_ga | 2027Q3 / base | 18.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_net_million_barrels, base_2027q3_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate base_2027q3_production_tax_rate | 2027Q3 / base | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes base_2027q3_severance | 2027Q3 / base | 1.67 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q3_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs base_2027q3_other_cash | 2027Q3 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax base_2027q3_cash_costs | 2027Q3 / base | 65.45 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_field_cost, base_2027q3_ga, base_2027q3_severance, base_2027q3_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit base_2027q3_field_cash_profit | 2027Q3 / base | 156.71 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q3_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion base_2027q3_dd_and_a | 2027Q3 / base | 48.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC base_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion base_2027q3_noncash_costs | 2027Q3 / base | 55.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_dd_and_a, base_2027q3_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy base_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / base | 101.71 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_field_cash_profit, base_2027q3_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon base_2027q3_tlb_interest | 2027Q3 / base | 21.52 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon base_2027q3_convert_interest | 2027Q3 / base | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy base_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / base | 27.12 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_tlb_interest, base_2027q3_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement base_2027q3_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q3 / base | 156.71 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_field_cash_profit, base_2027q3_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use base_2027q3_wc | 2027Q3 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use base_2027q3_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q3 / base | 35.12 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cash_interest, base_2027q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / base | 121.59 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_including_hedges, base_2027q3_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending base_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex base_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / base | 101.59 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction base_2027q3_amort_rate | 2027Q3 / base | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization base_2027q3_mandatory_principal | 2027Q3 / base | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, base_2027q3_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep base_2027q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q3 / base | 540.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_ending_tlb_before_sweep, base_2027q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep base_2027q3_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q3 / base | 67.84 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day base_2027q4_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q4 / base | 5,500,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million base_2027q4_time_conversion | 2027Q4 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels base_2027q4_net_million_barrels | 2027Q4 / base | 423.0% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_gross_daily_sales, nri, base_2027q4_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels base_2027q4_brent | 2027Q4 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential base_2027q4_differential | 2027Q4 / base | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels base_2027q4_net_price_reference | 2027Q4 / base | 53.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_brent, base_2027q4_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue base_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 224.20 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_net_million_barrels, base_2027q4_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels base_2027q4_hedged_volume | 2027Q4 / base | 230.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar base_2027q4_collar_settled | 2027Q4 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference base_2027q4_hedge_payoff | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Base Brent is inside the collar: zero payoff. If changing price across a strike, switch to the appropriate downside/upside payoff branch. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_brent, base_2027q4_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes base_2027q4_hedge_cash | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_hedged_volume, base_2027q4_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference base_2027q4_loe | 2027Q4 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs base_2027q4_field_cost | 2027Q4 / base | 42.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_net_million_barrels, base_2027q4_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference base_2027q4_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q4 / base | 4.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost base_2027q4_ga | 2027Q4 / base | 19.04 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_net_million_barrels, base_2027q4_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate base_2027q4_production_tax_rate | 2027Q4 / base | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes base_2027q4_severance | 2027Q4 / base | 1.68 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_revenue, base_2027q4_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs base_2027q4_other_cash | 2027Q4 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax base_2027q4_cash_costs | 2027Q4 / base | 66.02 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_field_cost, base_2027q4_ga, base_2027q4_severance, base_2027q4_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit base_2027q4_field_cash_profit | 2027Q4 / base | 158.18 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_revenue, base_2027q4_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion base_2027q4_dd_and_a | 2027Q4 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC base_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion base_2027q4_noncash_costs | 2027Q4 / base | 57.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_dd_and_a, base_2027q4_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy base_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / base | 101.18 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_field_cash_profit, base_2027q4_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon base_2027q4_tlb_interest | 2027Q4 / base | 20.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon base_2027q4_convert_interest | 2027Q4 / base | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy base_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / base | 25.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_tlb_interest, base_2027q4_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement base_2027q4_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q4 / base | 158.18 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_field_cash_profit, base_2027q4_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use base_2027q4_wc | 2027Q4 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use base_2027q4_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q4 / base | 33.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cash_interest, base_2027q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / base | 124.32 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_including_hedges, base_2027q4_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending base_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex base_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / base | 104.32 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction base_2027q4_amort_rate | 2027Q4 / base | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization base_2027q4_mandatory_principal | 2027Q4 / base | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, base_2027q4_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep base_2027q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q4 / base | 506.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, base_2027q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep base_2027q4_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q4 / base | 70.57 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_fcf, base_2027q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Physical oil revenue proxy ($M) base_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / base | 516.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue). |
| Brent collar settlement ($M) base_fy2026_hedge_cash | FY2026 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_hedge_cash, base_2026q3_hedge_cash, base_2026q4_hedge_cash). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / base | -118.20 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) base_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / base | 19.43 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo). |
| Cash capital spending ($M) base_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / base | 137.56 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash after capital spending ($M) base_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / base | -118.13 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q4_fcf). |
| Mandatory TLB principal ($M) base_fy2026_mandatory_principal | FY2026 / base | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_mandatory_principal, base_2026q3_mandatory_principal, base_2026q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash before excess-cash-flow sweep ($M) base_fy2026_cash_before_sweep | FY2026 / base | -151.88 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_before_sweep, base_2026q3_cash_before_sweep, base_2026q4_cash_before_sweep). |
| Physical oil revenue proxy ($M) base_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / base | 859.46 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue). |
| Brent collar settlement ($M) base_fy2027_hedge_cash | FY2027 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_hedge_cash, base_2027q2_hedge_cash, base_2027q3_hedge_cash, base_2027q4_hedge_cash). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / base | 366.67 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) base_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / base | 439.65 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo). |
| Cash capital spending ($M) base_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / base | 90.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash after capital spending ($M) base_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / base | 349.65 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q4_fcf). |
| Mandatory TLB principal ($M) base_fy2027_mandatory_principal | FY2027 / base | 135.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_mandatory_principal, base_2027q2_mandatory_principal, base_2027q3_mandatory_principal, base_2027q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash before excess-cash-flow sweep ($M) base_fy2027_cash_before_sweep | FY2027 / base | 214.65 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_before_sweep, base_2027q2_cash_before_sweep, base_2027q3_cash_before_sweep, base_2027q4_cash_before_sweep). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day upside_2026q3_gross_daily_sales | 2026Q3 / upside | 5,000,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million upside_2026q3_time_conversion | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels upside_2026q3_net_million_barrels | 2026Q3 / upside | 384.6% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_gross_daily_sales, nri, upside_2026q3_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels upside_2026q3_brent | 2026Q3 / upside | 95.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential upside_2026q3_differential | 2026Q3 / upside | 24.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels upside_2026q3_net_price_reference | 2026Q3 / upside | 71.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_brent, upside_2026q3_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue upside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 273.04 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_net_million_barrels, upside_2026q3_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels upside_2026q3_hedged_volume | 2026Q3 / upside | 257.6% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar upside_2026q3_collar_settled | 2026Q3 / upside | 89.39 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference upside_2026q3_hedge_payoff | 2026Q3 / upside | -5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_collar_settled, upside_2026q3_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes upside_2026q3_hedge_cash | 2026Q3 / upside | -14.45 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_hedged_volume, upside_2026q3_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference upside_2026q3_loe | 2026Q3 / upside | 18.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs upside_2026q3_field_cost | 2026Q3 / upside | 69.22 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_net_million_barrels, upside_2026q3_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference upside_2026q3_ga_per_barrel | 2026Q3 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost upside_2026q3_ga | 2026Q3 / upside | 26.92 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_net_million_barrels, upside_2026q3_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate upside_2026q3_production_tax_rate | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes upside_2026q3_severance | 2026Q3 / upside | 2.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q3_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs upside_2026q3_other_cash | 2026Q3 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax upside_2026q3_cash_costs | 2026Q3 / upside | 106.19 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_field_cost, upside_2026q3_ga, upside_2026q3_severance, upside_2026q3_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit upside_2026q3_field_cash_profit | 2026Q3 / upside | 166.85 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q3_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion upside_2026q3_dd_and_a | 2026Q3 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC upside_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion upside_2026q3_noncash_costs | 2026Q3 / upside | 47.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_dd_and_a, upside_2026q3_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / upside | 119.85 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_field_cash_profit, upside_2026q3_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon upside_2026q3_tlb_interest | 2026Q3 / upside | 25.31 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon upside_2026q3_convert_interest | 2026Q3 / upside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy upside_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / upside | 30.92 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_tlb_interest, upside_2026q3_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement upside_2026q3_cash_including_hedges | 2026Q3 / upside | 152.40 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_field_cash_profit, upside_2026q3_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use upside_2026q3_wc | 2026Q3 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use upside_2026q3_cash_finance_wc | 2026Q3 / upside | 34.92 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_cash_interest, upside_2026q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / upside | 117.48 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cash_including_hedges, upside_2026q3_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending upside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex upside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / upside | 72.48 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction upside_2026q3_amort_rate | 2026Q3 / upside | 2.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization upside_2026q3_mandatory_principal | 2026Q3 / upside | 16.88 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, upside_2026q3_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep upside_2026q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2026Q3 / upside | 658.12 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(tlb_original, upside_2026q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep upside_2026q3_cash_before_sweep | 2026Q3 / upside | 55.60 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day upside_2026q4_gross_daily_sales | 2026Q4 / upside | 5,700,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million upside_2026q4_time_conversion | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels upside_2026q4_net_million_barrels | 2026Q4 / upside | 438.4% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_gross_daily_sales, nri, upside_2026q4_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels upside_2026q4_brent | 2026Q4 / upside | 95.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential upside_2026q4_differential | 2026Q4 / upside | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels upside_2026q4_net_price_reference | 2026Q4 / upside | 73.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_brent, upside_2026q4_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue upside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 320.03 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_net_million_barrels, upside_2026q4_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels upside_2026q4_hedged_volume | 2026Q4 / upside | 257.6% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar upside_2026q4_collar_settled | 2026Q4 / upside | 89.39 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference upside_2026q4_hedge_payoff | 2026Q4 / upside | -5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_collar_settled, upside_2026q4_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes upside_2026q4_hedge_cash | 2026Q4 / upside | -14.45 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_hedged_volume, upside_2026q4_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference upside_2026q4_loe | 2026Q4 / upside | 16.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs upside_2026q4_field_cost | 2026Q4 / upside | 70.14 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_net_million_barrels, upside_2026q4_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference upside_2026q4_ga_per_barrel | 2026Q4 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost upside_2026q4_ga | 2026Q4 / upside | 26.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_net_million_barrels, upside_2026q4_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate upside_2026q4_production_tax_rate | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes upside_2026q4_severance | 2026Q4 / upside | 2.40 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_revenue, upside_2026q4_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs upside_2026q4_other_cash | 2026Q4 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax upside_2026q4_cash_costs | 2026Q4 / upside | 101.85 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_field_cost, upside_2026q4_ga, upside_2026q4_severance, upside_2026q4_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit upside_2026q4_field_cash_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 218.18 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_revenue, upside_2026q4_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion upside_2026q4_dd_and_a | 2026Q4 / upside | 42.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC upside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion upside_2026q4_noncash_costs | 2026Q4 / upside | 49.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_dd_and_a, upside_2026q4_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / upside | 169.18 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_field_cash_profit, upside_2026q4_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon upside_2026q4_tlb_interest | 2026Q4 / upside | 24.68 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon upside_2026q4_convert_interest | 2026Q4 / upside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy upside_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / upside | 30.29 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_tlb_interest, upside_2026q4_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement upside_2026q4_cash_including_hedges | 2026Q4 / upside | 203.73 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_field_cash_profit, upside_2026q4_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use upside_2026q4_wc | 2026Q4 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use upside_2026q4_cash_finance_wc | 2026Q4 / upside | 34.29 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cash_interest, upside_2026q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / upside | 169.45 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cash_including_hedges, upside_2026q4_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending upside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex upside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / upside | 129.45 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction upside_2026q4_amort_rate | 2026Q4 / upside | 2.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization upside_2026q4_mandatory_principal | 2026Q4 / upside | 16.88 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, upside_2026q4_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep upside_2026q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2026Q4 / upside | 641.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, upside_2026q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep upside_2026q4_cash_before_sweep | 2026Q4 / upside | 112.57 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_fcf, upside_2026q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day upside_2027q1_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q1 / upside | 5,750,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million upside_2027q1_time_conversion | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels upside_2027q1_net_million_barrels | 2027Q1 / upside | 432.6% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_gross_daily_sales, nri, upside_2027q1_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels upside_2027q1_brent | 2027Q1 / upside | 95.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential upside_2027q1_differential | 2027Q1 / upside | 21.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels upside_2027q1_net_price_reference | 2027Q1 / upside | 74.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_brent, upside_2027q1_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue upside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 320.15 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q1_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels upside_2027q1_hedged_volume | 2027Q1 / upside | 225.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar upside_2027q1_collar_settled | 2027Q1 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference upside_2027q1_hedge_payoff | 2027Q1 / upside | -15.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_collar_settled, upside_2027q1_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes upside_2027q1_hedge_cash | 2027Q1 / upside | -33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_hedged_volume, upside_2027q1_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference upside_2027q1_loe | 2027Q1 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs upside_2027q1_field_cost | 2027Q1 / upside | 43.26 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q1_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference upside_2027q1_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q1 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost upside_2027q1_ga | 2027Q1 / upside | 21.63 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q1_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate upside_2027q1_production_tax_rate | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes upside_2027q1_severance | 2027Q1 / upside | 2.40 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q1_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs upside_2027q1_other_cash | 2027Q1 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax upside_2027q1_cash_costs | 2027Q1 / upside | 70.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_field_cost, upside_2027q1_ga, upside_2027q1_severance, upside_2027q1_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit upside_2027q1_field_cash_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 249.85 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q1_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion upside_2027q1_dd_and_a | 2027Q1 / upside | 44.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC upside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion upside_2027q1_noncash_costs | 2027Q1 / upside | 51.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_dd_and_a, upside_2027q1_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / upside | 198.85 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_field_cash_profit, upside_2027q1_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon upside_2027q1_tlb_interest | 2027Q1 / upside | 24.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon upside_2027q1_convert_interest | 2027Q1 / upside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy upside_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / upside | 29.65 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_tlb_interest, upside_2027q1_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement upside_2027q1_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q1 / upside | 216.10 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_field_cash_profit, upside_2027q1_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use upside_2027q1_wc | 2027Q1 / upside | 6.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use upside_2027q1_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q1 / upside | 36.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_interest, upside_2027q1_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / upside | 180.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_including_hedges, upside_2027q1_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending upside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex upside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / upside | 155.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction upside_2027q1_amort_rate | 2027Q1 / upside | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization upside_2027q1_mandatory_principal | 2027Q1 / upside | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, upside_2027q1_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep upside_2027q1_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q1 / upside | 607.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep, upside_2027q1_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep upside_2027q1_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q1 / upside | 121.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q1_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day upside_2027q2_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q2 / upside | 5,850,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million upside_2027q2_time_conversion | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels upside_2027q2_net_million_barrels | 2027Q2 / upside | 445.0% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_gross_daily_sales, nri, upside_2027q2_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels upside_2027q2_brent | 2027Q2 / upside | 95.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential upside_2027q2_differential | 2027Q2 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels upside_2027q2_net_price_reference | 2027Q2 / upside | 75.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_brent, upside_2027q2_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue upside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 333.78 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q2_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels upside_2027q2_hedged_volume | 2027Q2 / upside | 227.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar upside_2027q2_collar_settled | 2027Q2 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference upside_2027q2_hedge_payoff | 2027Q2 / upside | -15.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_collar_settled, upside_2027q2_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes upside_2027q2_hedge_cash | 2027Q2 / upside | -34.12 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_hedged_volume, upside_2027q2_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference upside_2027q2_loe | 2027Q2 / upside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs upside_2027q2_field_cost | 2027Q2 / upside | 40.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q2_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference upside_2027q2_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q2 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost upside_2027q2_ga | 2027Q2 / upside | 17.80 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q2_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate upside_2027q2_production_tax_rate | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes upside_2027q2_severance | 2027Q2 / upside | 2.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs upside_2027q2_other_cash | 2027Q2 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax upside_2027q2_cash_costs | 2027Q2 / upside | 63.36 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_field_cost, upside_2027q2_ga, upside_2027q2_severance, upside_2027q2_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit upside_2027q2_field_cash_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 270.42 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion upside_2027q2_dd_and_a | 2027Q2 / upside | 46.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC upside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion upside_2027q2_noncash_costs | 2027Q2 / upside | 53.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_dd_and_a, upside_2027q2_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / upside | 217.42 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_field_cash_profit, upside_2027q2_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon upside_2027q2_tlb_interest | 2027Q2 / upside | 22.78 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon upside_2027q2_convert_interest | 2027Q2 / upside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy upside_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / upside | 28.39 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_tlb_interest, upside_2027q2_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement upside_2027q2_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q2 / upside | 236.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_field_cash_profit, upside_2027q2_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use upside_2027q2_wc | 2027Q2 / upside | 6.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use upside_2027q2_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q2 / upside | 34.79 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cash_interest, upside_2027q2_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / upside | 201.51 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_including_hedges, upside_2027q2_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending upside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex upside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / upside | 176.51 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction upside_2027q2_amort_rate | 2027Q2 / upside | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization upside_2027q2_mandatory_principal | 2027Q2 / upside | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, upside_2027q2_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep upside_2027q2_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q2 / upside | 573.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_ending_tlb_before_sweep, upside_2027q2_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep upside_2027q2_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q2 / upside | 142.76 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q2_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day upside_2027q3_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q3 / upside | 5,950,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million upside_2027q3_time_conversion | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels upside_2027q3_net_million_barrels | 2027Q3 / upside | 457.6% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_gross_daily_sales, nri, upside_2027q3_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels upside_2027q3_brent | 2027Q3 / upside | 95.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential upside_2027q3_differential | 2027Q3 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels upside_2027q3_net_price_reference | 2027Q3 / upside | 75.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_brent, upside_2027q3_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue upside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 343.22 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q3_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels upside_2027q3_hedged_volume | 2027Q3 / upside | 230.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar upside_2027q3_collar_settled | 2027Q3 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference upside_2027q3_hedge_payoff | 2027Q3 / upside | -15.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_collar_settled, upside_2027q3_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes upside_2027q3_hedge_cash | 2027Q3 / upside | -34.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_hedged_volume, upside_2027q3_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference upside_2027q3_loe | 2027Q3 / upside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs upside_2027q3_field_cost | 2027Q3 / upside | 41.19 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q3_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference upside_2027q3_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q3 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost upside_2027q3_ga | 2027Q3 / upside | 18.31 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q3_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate upside_2027q3_production_tax_rate | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes upside_2027q3_severance | 2027Q3 / upside | 2.57 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q3_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs upside_2027q3_other_cash | 2027Q3 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax upside_2027q3_cash_costs | 2027Q3 / upside | 65.07 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_field_cost, upside_2027q3_ga, upside_2027q3_severance, upside_2027q3_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit upside_2027q3_field_cash_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 278.15 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q3_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion upside_2027q3_dd_and_a | 2027Q3 / upside | 48.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC upside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion upside_2027q3_noncash_costs | 2027Q3 / upside | 55.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_dd_and_a, upside_2027q3_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / upside | 223.15 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_field_cash_profit, upside_2027q3_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon upside_2027q3_tlb_interest | 2027Q3 / upside | 21.52 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon upside_2027q3_convert_interest | 2027Q3 / upside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy upside_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / upside | 27.12 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_tlb_interest, upside_2027q3_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement upside_2027q3_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q3 / upside | 243.65 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_field_cash_profit, upside_2027q3_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use upside_2027q3_wc | 2027Q3 / upside | 6.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use upside_2027q3_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q3 / upside | 33.52 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cash_interest, upside_2027q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / upside | 210.13 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_including_hedges, upside_2027q3_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending upside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex upside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / upside | 190.13 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction upside_2027q3_amort_rate | 2027Q3 / upside | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization upside_2027q3_mandatory_principal | 2027Q3 / upside | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, upside_2027q3_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep upside_2027q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q3 / upside | 540.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_ending_tlb_before_sweep, upside_2027q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep upside_2027q3_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q3 / upside | 156.38 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q3_mandatory_principal). |
| Gross average barrels sold per day upside_2027q4_gross_daily_sales | 2027Q4 / upside | 6,000,000.0% ratio | assumption: Sales, not produced inventory; normalized with days/one million below. |
| Days divided by one million upside_2027q4_time_conversion | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net sales in millions of barrels upside_2027q4_net_million_barrels | 2027Q4 / upside | 461.5% ratio | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_gross_daily_sales, nri, upside_2027q4_time_conversion). |
| Brent dollar-per-barrel scenario as $M per million barrels upside_2027q4_brent | 2027Q4 / upside | 95.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Marketing processing and transport differential upside_2027q4_differential | 2027Q4 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net revenue per million barrels upside_2027q4_net_price_reference | 2027Q4 / upside | 75.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_brent, upside_2027q4_differential). |
| Physical oil sales revenue upside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 346.10 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q4_net_price_reference). |
| Hedged millions of barrels upside_2027q4_hedged_volume | 2027Q4 / upside | 230.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Brent price clipped to contractual collar upside_2027q4_collar_settled | 2027Q4 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Case Brent clipped between $65 floor and the disclosed ceiling. |
| Collar settlement per reference upside_2027q4_hedge_payoff | 2027Q4 / upside | -15.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_collar_settled, upside_2027q4_brent). |
| Collar settlement on covered volumes upside_2027q4_hedge_cash | 2027Q4 / upside | -34.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_hedged_volume, upside_2027q4_hedge_payoff). |
| Lease operating cost per reference upside_2027q4_loe | 2027Q4 / upside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field cash costs upside_2027q4_field_cost | 2027Q4 / upside | 41.53 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q4_loe). |
| Cash G&A per reference upside_2027q4_ga_per_barrel | 2027Q4 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Corporate cash cost upside_2027q4_ga | 2027Q4 / upside | 18.46 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_net_million_barrels, upside_2027q4_ga_per_barrel). |
| Revenue tax rate upside_2027q4_production_tax_rate | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Severance and property taxes upside_2027q4_severance | 2027Q4 / upside | 2.60 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_revenue, upside_2027q4_production_tax_rate). |
| Other demurrage and legal cash costs upside_2027q4_other_cash | 2027Q4 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Field corporate and production tax upside_2027q4_cash_costs | 2027Q4 / upside | 65.59 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_field_cost, upside_2027q4_ga, upside_2027q4_severance, upside_2027q4_other_cash). |
| Physical oil cash profit upside_2027q4_field_cash_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 280.52 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_revenue, upside_2027q4_cash_costs). |
| Depletion depreciation and accretion upside_2027q4_dd_and_a | 2027Q4 / upside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC upside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| DD&A SBC and accretion upside_2027q4_noncash_costs | 2027Q4 / upside | 57.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_dd_and_a, upside_2027q4_sbc). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / upside | 223.52 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_field_cash_profit, upside_2027q4_noncash_costs). |
| TLB coupon upside_2027q4_tlb_interest | 2027Q4 / upside | 20.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, tlb_coupon, quarter). |
| Convertible coupon upside_2027q4_convert_interest | 2027Q4 / upside | 5.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(convertible, convert_coupon, quarter). |
| Cash coupon proxy upside_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / upside | 25.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_tlb_interest, upside_2027q4_convert_interest). |
| Cash profit plus collar settlement upside_2027q4_cash_including_hedges | 2027Q4 / upside | 246.02 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_field_cash_profit, upside_2027q4_hedge_cash). |
| Net working-capital and income-tax use upside_2027q4_wc | 2027Q4 / upside | 6.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash coupon and working-capital use upside_2027q4_cash_finance_wc | 2027Q4 / upside | 32.26 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cash_interest, upside_2027q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / upside | 213.76 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_including_hedges, upside_2027q4_cash_finance_wc). |
| Cash capital spending upside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash after capex upside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / upside | 193.76 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| Original principal repayment fraction upside_2027q4_amort_rate | 2027Q4 / upside | 5.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Mandatory TLB amortization upside_2027q4_mandatory_principal | 2027Q4 / upside | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(tlb_original, upside_2027q4_amort_rate). |
| TLB principal before any excess sweep upside_2027q4_ending_tlb_before_sweep | 2027Q4 / upside | 506.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_ending_tlb_before_sweep, upside_2027q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash BEFORE 100% excess-cash-flow sweep upside_2027q4_cash_before_sweep | 2027Q4 / upside | 160.01 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_fcf, upside_2027q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Physical oil revenue proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / upside | 731.46 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue). |
| Brent collar settlement ($M) upside_fy2026_hedge_cash | FY2026 / upside | -28.90 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_hedge_cash, upside_2026q3_hedge_cash, upside_2026q4_hedge_cash). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / upside | 103.38 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / upside | 214.12 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Cash capital spending ($M) upside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / upside | 137.56 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash after capital spending ($M) upside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / upside | 76.56 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Mandatory TLB principal ($M) upside_fy2026_mandatory_principal | FY2026 / upside | 33.75 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_mandatory_principal, upside_2026q3_mandatory_principal, upside_2026q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash before excess-cash-flow sweep ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_before_sweep | FY2026 / upside | 42.81 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_before_sweep, upside_2026q3_cash_before_sweep, upside_2026q4_cash_before_sweep). |
| Physical oil revenue proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / upside | 1,343.25 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue). |
| Brent collar settlement ($M) upside_fy2027_hedge_cash | FY2027 / upside | -136.88 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_hedge_cash, upside_2027q2_hedge_cash, upside_2027q3_hedge_cash, upside_2027q4_hedge_cash). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / upside | 862.95 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / upside | 805.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Cash capital spending ($M) upside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / upside | 90.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash after capital spending ($M) upside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / upside | 715.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q4_fcf). |
| Mandatory TLB principal ($M) upside_fy2027_mandatory_principal | FY2027 / upside | 135.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_mandatory_principal, upside_2027q2_mandatory_principal, upside_2027q3_mandatory_principal, upside_2027q4_mandatory_principal). |
| Cash before excess-cash-flow sweep ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_before_sweep | FY2027 / upside | 580.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_before_sweep, upside_2027q2_cash_before_sweep, upside_2027q3_cash_before_sweep, upside_2027q4_cash_before_sweep). |
Model boundaries
- Sales volumes differ from production and stored inventory. Exit rates and gross preliminary July/August volumes cannot be treated as quarterly net sales. Gas contribution is excluded consistently with approximately 100% oil guidance.
- For unit-safe arithmetic, one million barrels is the quantity reference: $1/bbl corresponds to $1M per reference. Price cells therefore use USD_millions and quantity cells are dimensionless multiples of that reference.
- Collars apply only to disclosed volumes: 28,000 b/d in H2 2026 and 25,000 in 2027, with $65 floors and $89.39/$80 ceilings. They do not hedge basis differentials or all production.
- August operating/capex guidance is management expectation; Hondo restart and relief of refinery constraints are not marked complete without confirmation. Base Brent $75 is a scenario, not a live quote or futures curve.
- July refinancing is subsequent to June cash. Gross financing proceeds largely refinance Exxon debt and fees; the $500M revolver has a zero borrowing base and supplies no modeled liquidity.
- Term Loan B quarterly mandatory amortization uses 2.5% of original $675M principal in H2 2026 and 5% in 2027. Interest uses opening modeled principal; actual quarterly timing and the excess-cash-flow sweep can reduce debt and interest sooner.
- The 100% excess-cash-flow sweep has contractual adjustments not fully forecast here. Cash before sweep cannot be used as a dividend estimate; no terminal equity valuation or EPS bridge.
- August court orders declined shutdown injunctions but imposed $1.449M penalty; California appealed. Regulatory and environmental risks remain event-driven, and downside volumes are a disruption sensitivity, not a legal prediction.
Oil sales through the refinery and lender cash waterfall
Can restarted production generate cash after wide crude differentials and the July debt-service burden?
Q2 revenue was $137.1M and CFO $9.4M; reported capex was $39.4M. Average sales of roughly 21,000 net b/d differ from the 40,000 net b/d exit rate. July refinancing brought a $675M TLB at 15%, $345M convertibles at 6.5% and equity funding; the $500M revolver has zero borrowing base. Mandatory TLB principal is $16.875M per quarter in H2 and $33.75M per quarter in 2027, before a 100% excess-cash-flow sweep. August guidance projects 47,500-52,500 gross b/d in H2 with $24-28/bbl marketing/processing deducts. Collars cover only part of sales. The August court order declined shutdown relief but imposed $1.449M penalty and California appealed.
The competing explanation
Refinery bottlenecks and crude-quality discounts can suppress cash despite productive wells. Regulatory interruption, lower oil prices and high coupon/principal payments may require further financing.
Risks to track
- Pipeline litigation and environmental obligations.
- Refinery access, sulfur differentials and marketing capacity.
- Brent exposure outside hedged volumes and unhedged basis.
- 15% TLB coupon, mandatory amortization and full excess sweep.
- Hondo readiness and sales versus production timing.
Next checkpoints
- Hondo and downstream access · September 2026 company target (estimated). Require confirmation of restart and actual increased sales, not expected throughput.
- Q3 financial results · Next release; date unconfirmed (estimated). Reconcile gross/net sales, hedge settlements, cash coupons and mandatory payments.
- Court and regulatory developments · Each order or appeal (event driven). Read actual orders before changing interruption assumptions.
Data coverage and open work
- Sales volumes differ from production and stored inventory. Exit rates and gross preliminary July/August volumes cannot be treated as quarterly net sales. Gas contribution is excluded consistently with approximately 100% oil guidance.
- For unit-safe arithmetic, one million barrels is the quantity reference: $1/bbl corresponds to $1M per reference. Price cells therefore use USD_millions and quantity cells are dimensionless multiples of that reference.
- Collars apply only to disclosed volumes: 28,000 b/d in H2 2026 and 25,000 in 2027, with $65 floors and $89.39/$80 ceilings. They do not hedge basis differentials or all production.
- August operating/capex guidance is management expectation; Hondo restart and relief of refinery constraints are not marked complete without confirmation. Base Brent $75 is a scenario, not a live quote or futures curve.
- July refinancing is subsequent to June cash. Gross financing proceeds largely refinance Exxon debt and fees; the $500M revolver has a zero borrowing base and supplies no modeled liquidity.
- Term Loan B quarterly mandatory amortization uses 2.5% of original $675M principal in H2 2026 and 5% in 2027. Interest uses opening modeled principal; actual quarterly timing and the excess-cash-flow sweep can reduce debt and interest sooner.
- The 100% excess-cash-flow sweep has contractual adjustments not fully forecast here. Cash before sweep cannot be used as a dividend estimate; no terminal equity valuation or EPS bridge.
- August court orders declined shutdown injunctions but imposed $1.449M penalty; California appealed. Regulatory and environmental risks remain event-driven, and downside volumes are a disruption sensitivity, not a legal prediction.
What the memory says
State as of the 2026-09-25 close: in a 120-day downtrend, below its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, ordinary volume, closed mid-range, and some peers moving
| Vs the market, in points | Low | Middle | High | Share up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | -3.9 | -0.1 | +3.4 | 48% |
| 5 sessions | -11.8 | -0.4 | +7.8 | 46% |
| 10 sessions | -14.5 | -0.1 | +10.8 | 49% |
| 1 month (21 sessions) | -18.4 | +0.8 | +18.7 | 54% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -37.6 | -2.5 | +31.3 | 44% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -52.7 | -2.7 | +44.7 | 46% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -80.1 | +2.2 | +94.0 | 53% |
Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side. In the D7 test (403 anchors, 2023-2025) the 1-month band held 76% of outcomes, 3-month 77%, 6-month 76%, 1-year 75%, against a nominal 80%; the analog pool under-represents names that later delisted.