$LBRT
Business
Liberty supplies hydraulic-fracturing services and related technology to North American producers, and is developing distributed power through Liberty Power Innovations. It reports one consolidated segment. Frac utilization, service pricing and operating efficiency generate the current cash base; power engines, deposits and construction require capital well before new data-center projects begin contributing.
Three drivers
- Consolidated activity, pricing and contribution margins
- Power-equipment payment milestones and contracted deployments
- Gross cash capex, leases and financing ahead of common owners
Thesis
Our view
Power demand creates a substantial addressable opportunity, but supplier orders do not establish customer revenue or an internally funded build. The operating test is whether existing service cash flow can finance the equipment program after leases and other claims.
What changes it
More firm customer contracts, disclosed power margins and cash milestones could strengthen the case. Persistent cash deficits, redacted obligations resolving into larger near-term payments, or weak frac pricing would weaken it.
Scenario ranges
Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.
Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)
| Fiscal quarter | 2024Q3 2024-09-30 | 2024Q4 2024-12-31 | 2025Q1 2025-03-31 | 2025Q2 2025-06-30 | 2025Q3 2025-09-30 | 2025Q4 2025-12-31 | 2026Q1 2026-03-31 | 2026Q2 2026-06-30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($M) | 1,138.61 | 943.6†2 | 977.53 | 1,042.54 | 947.41 | 1,038.7†2 | 1,021.23 | 1,188.64 |
| Gross profit ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income ($M) | 107.35 | 24.9†6 | 18.27 | 37.18 | -2.45 | 19.9†6 | 22.37 | 12.78 |
| Net income ($M) | 73.89 | 51.9†10 | 20.111 | 71.012 | 43.19 | 13.7†10 | 22.611 | 43.112 |
| EPS, diluted ($) | 0.4413 | — | 0.1214 | 0.4315 | 0.2613 | — | 0.1414 | 0.2615 |
| Diluted shares (M) | 168.616 | — | 165.817 | 164.218 | 165.116 | — | 166.317 | 167.718 |
| Cash ($M) | 23.019 | 20.020 | 24.121 | 19.622 | 13.523 | 27.624 | 699.125 | 555.424 |
| Long-term debt ($M) | 123.026 | 190.527 | 210.028 | 160.029 | 253.030 | 241.531 | 1,271.332 | 1,279.931 |
| Cash from operations ($M) | 244.5†33 | 177.3†34 | 192.135 | 170.6†36 | 51.5†33 | 195.4†34 | 8.435 | 133.0†36 |
| Capex ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Free cash flow ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Estimates · base scenario
| Period | Revenue ($M) | EPS ($) | As of | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 1,248.5 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2026Q4 | 1,176.5 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q1 | 1,236.5 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q2 | 1,284.5 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Consolidated revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
Frac cash generation versus the power-equipment funding cycle
Use Q2 consolidated revenue as the activity/pricing anchor; Liberty reports one segment, so the forecast does not invent historical frac/power splits. Add only separately identified desk assumptions for incremental new power sales in late 2027. Derive service contribution, overhead, depreciation and equity compensation independently. Bridge EBITDA to CFO using cash interest, taxes and working capital, then deduct cash PP&E, finance-lease principal, TRA, dividends, award taxes, investments and scheduled small-loan principal. Forecast power deposits are included inside cash PP&E, not added twice.
Reported anchors and guidance
| Measure | Period | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| q2 revenue | June/July 2026 | 1,188.60 | reported. USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| q2 ebitda | June/July 2026 | 151.15 | reported. USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 cfo | H1 2026 | 141.44 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 capex | H1 2026 | 380.86 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 CFO less gross PP&E | H1 2026 | -239.42 | derived. Gross PP&E cash, before asset disposal proceeds. |
| H1 lease principal | H1 2026 | 48.34 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 cash after modeled claims | H1 2026 | -357.76 | derived. Before external financing, capped calls and debt issuance costs; not the cash balance change. |
| cash | June/July 2026 | 555.36 | reported. USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| convert principal | June/July 2026 | 1,295.00 | reported. USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| term principal | June/July 2026 | 32.26 | reported. USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| lease liability | June/July 2026 | 264.21 | reported. USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| capital deposits | June/July 2026 | 247.97 | reported. USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| remaining engine commitments | June/July 2026 | 1,100.00 | reported. USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| cat contract | June/July 2026 | 801.00 | reported. USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| Jenbacher contract original price | February 2026 | 493.16 | reported. Contract dated February 13, filed September 18; price can adjust for FX/duties. Included within the broader equipment program. May amendment moves notice-to-proceed payment to July 10; percentages redacted. Source · 2026-09-18 |
| H1 investment gain | H1 2026 | 60.23 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| capped calls | June/July 2026 | 186.51 | reported. USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Source · 2026-07-23 |
| financing cash | June/July 2026 | 752.05 | reported. USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Source · 2026-07-23 |
Downside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | CFO less gross cash PP&E ($M) | TRA payments ($M) | Gross cash PP&E and deposits ($M) | Consolidated revenue ($M) | Common dividends and equivalents ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | Finance-lease principal ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after investment and capital claims ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 46.63 | -238.37 | 0.00 | 285.00 | 1,106.82 | 15.10 | 124.63 | 35.00 | -4.37 | -298.96 |
| 2026Q4 | 73.18 | -231.82 | 0.00 | 305.00 | 1,004.13 | 15.10 | 106.18 | 35.00 | -26.22 | -292.40 |
| 2027Q1 | 35.45 | -319.55 | 4.00 | 355.00 | 1,026.95 | 15.10 | 108.45 | 19.00 | -26.35 | -381.63 |
| 2027Q2 | 66.48 | -308.52 | 0.00 | 375.00 | 1,072.59 | 15.10 | 114.48 | 19.00 | -23.72 | -355.60 |
| FY2026 | 261.25 | -709.61 | 7.89 | 970.86 | 4,320.73 | 60.52 | 507.80 | 118.34 | 4.40 | -949.12 |
| FY2027 | 237.91 | -1,202.09 | 4.00 | 1,440.00 | 4,290.36 | 60.40 | 454.91 | 76.00 | -104.69 | -1,405.40 |
Base scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | CFO less gross cash PP&E ($M) | TRA payments ($M) | Gross cash PP&E and deposits ($M) | Consolidated revenue ($M) | Common dividends and equivalents ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | Finance-lease principal ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after investment and capital claims ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 117.73 | -142.27 | 0.00 | 260.00 | 1,248.50 | 15.10 | 167.73 | 35.00 | 38.73 | -202.85 |
| 2026Q4 | 136.27 | -133.73 | 0.00 | 270.00 | 1,176.47 | 15.10 | 153.27 | 35.00 | 20.87 | -194.32 |
| 2027Q1 | 98.57 | -216.43 | 4.00 | 315.00 | 1,236.50 | 15.10 | 162.57 | 19.00 | 27.77 | -278.51 |
| 2027Q2 | 128.71 | -216.29 | 0.00 | 345.00 | 1,284.52 | 15.10 | 169.71 | 19.00 | 31.51 | -263.36 |
| FY2026 | 395.44 | -515.42 | 7.89 | 910.86 | 4,634.75 | 60.52 | 597.99 | 118.34 | 94.59 | -754.93 |
| FY2027 | 486.97 | -823.03 | 4.00 | 1,310.00 | 5,122.05 | 60.40 | 674.97 | 76.00 | 115.37 | -1,026.34 |
Upside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | CFO less gross cash PP&E ($M) | TRA payments ($M) | Gross cash PP&E and deposits ($M) | Consolidated revenue ($M) | Common dividends and equivalents ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | Finance-lease principal ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after investment and capital claims ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 137.83 | -147.17 | 0.00 | 285.00 | 1,322.19 | 15.10 | 197.83 | 35.00 | 68.83 | -207.75 |
| 2026Q4 | 164.78 | -130.22 | 0.00 | 295.00 | 1,273.22 | 15.10 | 186.78 | 35.00 | 54.38 | -190.80 |
| 2027Q1 | 127.76 | -227.24 | 4.00 | 355.00 | 1,383.41 | 15.10 | 206.76 | 19.00 | 71.96 | -289.31 |
| 2027Q2 | 166.20 | -208.80 | 0.00 | 375.00 | 1,444.62 | 15.10 | 217.20 | 19.00 | 79.00 | -255.88 |
| FY2026 | 444.05 | -516.81 | 7.89 | 960.86 | 4,805.20 | 60.52 | 661.60 | 118.34 | 158.20 | -756.32 |
| FY2027 | 652.79 | -797.21 | 4.00 | 1,450.00 | 5,845.72 | 60.40 | 885.79 | 76.00 | 326.19 | -1,000.52 |
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
| Input / calculation | Period / case | Value / unit | Evidence or assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| H1 revenue h1_revenue | H1 2026 / shared | 2,209.78 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 operating income h1_operating_income | H1 2026 / shared | 34.99 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 adj ebitda h1_adj_ebitda | H1 2026 / shared | 277.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 cfo h1_cfo | H1 2026 / shared | 141.44 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 capex h1_capex | H1 2026 / shared | 380.86 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 lease principal h1_lease_principal | H1 2026 / shared | 48.34 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 tra h1_tra | H1 2026 / shared | 7.89 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 dividends h1_dividends | H1 2026 / shared | 30.32 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 sbc h1_sbc | H1 2026 / shared | 18.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 da h1_da | H1 2026 / shared | 228.27 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 awards h1_awards | H1 2026 / shared | 18.65 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 debt principal h1_debt_principal | H1 2026 / shared | 3.46 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 investments h1_investments | H1 2026 / shared | 9.70 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 asset sales h1_asset_sales | H1 2026 / shared | 25.95 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 investment gain h1_investment_gain | H1 2026 / shared | 60.23 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| H1 CFO less gross PP&E h1_fcf | H1 2026 / shared | -239.42 USD_millions | derived: Gross PP&E cash, before asset disposal proceeds. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_capex). |
| H1 additional cash uses h1_claims | H1 2026 / shared | 118.35 USD_millions | derived: Financing and equity-investment uses after PP&E; excludes capped calls and debt-issuance fees. Formula: sum(h1_lease_principal, h1_tra, h1_dividends, h1_awards, h1_debt_principal, h1_investments). |
| H1 cash after modeled claims h1_cash_after_claims | H1 2026 / shared | -357.76 USD_millions | derived: Before external financing, capped calls and debt issuance costs; not the cash balance change. Formula: subtract(h1_fcf, h1_claims). |
| q2 revenue q2_revenue | June/July 2026 / shared | 1,188.60 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| q2 ebitda q2_ebitda | June/July 2026 / shared | 151.15 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| cash cash | June/July 2026 / shared | 555.36 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| convert principal convert_principal | June/July 2026 / shared | 1,295.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| term principal term_principal | June/July 2026 / shared | 32.26 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| lease liability lease_liability | June/July 2026 / shared | 264.21 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| tra liability tra_liability | June/July 2026 / shared | 66.87 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| capital deposits capital_deposits | June/July 2026 / shared | 247.97 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| engine contracts engine_contracts | June/July 2026 / shared | 1,300.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| remaining engine commitments remaining_engine_commitments | June/July 2026 / shared | 1,100.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| cat contract cat_contract | June/July 2026 / shared | 801.00 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| capped calls capped_calls | June/July 2026 / shared | 186.51 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| financing cash financing_cash | June/July 2026 / shared | 752.05 USD_millions | reported: USD millions. Aggregate engine contract prices/remaining commitments are approximate. CAT contract signed July 22. Capped-call and financing cash are H1 flows. Primary source · 2026-07-23 |
| Jenbacher contract original price jenbacher_contract | February 2026 / shared | 493.16 USD_millions | reported: Contract dated February 13, filed September 18; price can adjust for FX/duties. Included within the broader equipment program. May amendment moves notice-to-proceed payment to July 10; percentages redacted. Primary source · 2026-09-18 |
| Activity versus Q2 downside_2026q3_activity | 2026Q3 / downside | 97.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 downside_2026q3_price | 2026Q3 / downside | 96.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue downside_2026q3_existing_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 1,106.82 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, downside_2026q3_activity, downside_2026q3_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue downside_2026q3_new_power | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 1,106.82 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_existing_revenue, downside_2026q3_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin downside_2026q3_service_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | 16.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution downside_2026q3_existing_contribution | 2026Q3 / downside | 182.63 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_existing_revenue, downside_2026q3_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin downside_2026q3_power_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution downside_2026q3_power_contribution | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_new_power, downside_2026q3_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A downside_2026q3_contribution | 2026Q3 / downside | 182.63 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_existing_contribution, downside_2026q3_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation downside_2026q3_cash_overhead | 2026Q3 / downside | 58.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / downside | 124.63 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_contribution, downside_2026q3_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense downside_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization downside_2026q3_da | 2026Q3 / downside | 116.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense downside_2026q3_transaction | 2026Q3 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs downside_2026q3_gaap_deductions | 2026Q3 / downside | 129.00 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_da, downside_2026q3_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / downside | -4.37 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income downside_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes downside_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use downside_2026q3_wc_use | 2026Q3 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs downside_2026q3_cfo_uses | 2026Q3 / downside | 78.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_cash_interest, downside_2026q3_cash_tax, downside_2026q3_wc_use, downside_2026q3_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / downside | 46.63 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash downside_2026q3_maintenance_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | 115.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash downside_2026q3_power_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | 170.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits downside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | 285.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_maintenance_capex, downside_2026q3_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E downside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / downside | -238.37 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal downside_2026q3_lease_principal | 2026Q3 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment downside_2026q3_tra | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents downside_2026q3_dividends | 2026Q3 / downside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal downside_2026q3_debt_principal | 2026Q3 / downside | 2.48 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding downside_2026q3_awards | 2026Q3 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases downside_2026q3_investments | 2026Q3 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses downside_2026q3_claims | 2026Q3 / downside | 60.58 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_lease_principal, downside_2026q3_tra, downside_2026q3_dividends, downside_2026q3_debt_principal, downside_2026q3_awards, downside_2026q3_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims downside_2026q3_cash_after_claims | 2026Q3 / downside | -298.96 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q3_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 downside_2026q4_activity | 2026Q4 / downside | 88.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 downside_2026q4_price | 2026Q4 / downside | 96.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue downside_2026q4_existing_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 1,004.13 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, downside_2026q4_activity, downside_2026q4_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue downside_2026q4_new_power | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 1,004.13 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_existing_revenue, downside_2026q4_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin downside_2026q4_service_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 16.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution downside_2026q4_existing_contribution | 2026Q4 / downside | 165.68 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_existing_revenue, downside_2026q4_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin downside_2026q4_power_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution downside_2026q4_power_contribution | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_new_power, downside_2026q4_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A downside_2026q4_contribution | 2026Q4 / downside | 165.68 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_existing_contribution, downside_2026q4_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation downside_2026q4_cash_overhead | 2026Q4 / downside | 59.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / downside | 106.18 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_contribution, downside_2026q4_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense downside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / downside | 10.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization downside_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / downside | 119.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense downside_2026q4_transaction | 2026Q4 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs downside_2026q4_gaap_deductions | 2026Q4 / downside | 132.40 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_da, downside_2026q4_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / downside | -26.22 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income downside_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes downside_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use downside_2026q4_wc_use | 2026Q4 / downside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs downside_2026q4_cfo_uses | 2026Q4 / downside | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cash_interest, downside_2026q4_cash_tax, downside_2026q4_wc_use, downside_2026q4_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / downside | 73.18 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash downside_2026q4_maintenance_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | 115.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash downside_2026q4_power_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | 190.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits downside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | 305.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_maintenance_capex, downside_2026q4_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E downside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / downside | -231.82 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal downside_2026q4_lease_principal | 2026Q4 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment downside_2026q4_tra | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents downside_2026q4_dividends | 2026Q4 / downside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal downside_2026q4_debt_principal | 2026Q4 / downside | 2.48 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding downside_2026q4_awards | 2026Q4 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases downside_2026q4_investments | 2026Q4 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses downside_2026q4_claims | 2026Q4 / downside | 60.58 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_lease_principal, downside_2026q4_tra, downside_2026q4_dividends, downside_2026q4_debt_principal, downside_2026q4_awards, downside_2026q4_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims downside_2026q4_cash_after_claims | 2026Q4 / downside | -292.40 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_fcf, downside_2026q4_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 downside_2027q1_activity | 2027Q1 / downside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 downside_2027q1_price | 2027Q1 / downside | 96.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue downside_2027q1_existing_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 1,026.95 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, downside_2027q1_activity, downside_2027q1_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue downside_2027q1_new_power | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 1,026.95 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_existing_revenue, downside_2027q1_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin downside_2027q1_service_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 16.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution downside_2027q1_existing_contribution | 2027Q1 / downside | 169.45 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_existing_revenue, downside_2027q1_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin downside_2027q1_power_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution downside_2027q1_power_contribution | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_new_power, downside_2027q1_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A downside_2027q1_contribution | 2027Q1 / downside | 169.45 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_existing_contribution, downside_2027q1_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation downside_2027q1_cash_overhead | 2027Q1 / downside | 61.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / downside | 108.45 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_contribution, downside_2027q1_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense downside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / downside | 10.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization downside_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / downside | 122.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense downside_2027q1_transaction | 2027Q1 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs downside_2027q1_gaap_deductions | 2027Q1 / downside | 134.80 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_da, downside_2027q1_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / downside | -26.35 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q1_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income downside_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes downside_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use downside_2027q1_wc_use | 2027Q1 / downside | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs downside_2027q1_cfo_uses | 2027Q1 / downside | 73.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_interest, downside_2027q1_cash_tax, downside_2027q1_wc_use, downside_2027q1_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / downside | 35.45 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q1_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash downside_2027q1_maintenance_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash downside_2027q1_power_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | 230.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits downside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | 355.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_maintenance_capex, downside_2027q1_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E downside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / downside | -319.55 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal downside_2027q1_lease_principal | 2027Q1 / downside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment downside_2027q1_tra | 2027Q1 / downside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents downside_2027q1_dividends | 2027Q1 / downside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal downside_2027q1_debt_principal | 2027Q1 / downside | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding downside_2027q1_awards | 2027Q1 / downside | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases downside_2027q1_investments | 2027Q1 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses downside_2027q1_claims | 2027Q1 / downside | 62.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_lease_principal, downside_2027q1_tra, downside_2027q1_dividends, downside_2027q1_debt_principal, downside_2027q1_awards, downside_2027q1_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims downside_2027q1_cash_after_claims | 2027Q1 / downside | -381.63 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q1_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 downside_2027q2_activity | 2027Q2 / downside | 94.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 downside_2027q2_price | 2027Q2 / downside | 96.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue downside_2027q2_existing_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 1,072.59 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_activity, downside_2027q2_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue downside_2027q2_new_power | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 1,072.59 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_existing_revenue, downside_2027q2_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin downside_2027q2_service_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 16.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution downside_2027q2_existing_contribution | 2027Q2 / downside | 176.98 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_existing_revenue, downside_2027q2_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin downside_2027q2_power_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution downside_2027q2_power_contribution | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_new_power, downside_2027q2_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A downside_2027q2_contribution | 2027Q2 / downside | 176.98 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_existing_contribution, downside_2027q2_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation downside_2027q2_cash_overhead | 2027Q2 / downside | 62.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / downside | 114.48 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_contribution, downside_2027q2_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense downside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / downside | 11.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization downside_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / downside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense downside_2027q2_transaction | 2027Q2 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs downside_2027q2_gaap_deductions | 2027Q2 / downside | 138.20 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_da, downside_2027q2_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / downside | -23.72 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income downside_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes downside_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use downside_2027q2_wc_use | 2027Q2 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs downside_2027q2_cfo_uses | 2027Q2 / downside | 48.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cash_interest, downside_2027q2_cash_tax, downside_2027q2_wc_use, downside_2027q2_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / downside | 66.48 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash downside_2027q2_maintenance_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash downside_2027q2_power_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | 250.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits downside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | 375.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_maintenance_capex, downside_2027q2_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E downside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / downside | -308.52 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal downside_2027q2_lease_principal | 2027Q2 / downside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment downside_2027q2_tra | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents downside_2027q2_dividends | 2027Q2 / downside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal downside_2027q2_debt_principal | 2027Q2 / downside | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding downside_2027q2_awards | 2027Q2 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases downside_2027q2_investments | 2027Q2 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses downside_2027q2_claims | 2027Q2 / downside | 47.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_lease_principal, downside_2027q2_tra, downside_2027q2_dividends, downside_2027q2_debt_principal, downside_2027q2_awards, downside_2027q2_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims downside_2027q2_cash_after_claims | 2027Q2 / downside | -355.60 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q2_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 downside_2027q3_activity | 2027Q3 / downside | 96.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 downside_2027q3_price | 2027Q3 / downside | 96.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue downside_2027q3_existing_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 1,095.41 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_activity, downside_2027q3_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue downside_2027q3_new_power | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 1,095.41 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_existing_revenue, downside_2027q3_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin downside_2027q3_service_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 16.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution downside_2027q3_existing_contribution | 2027Q3 / downside | 180.74 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_existing_revenue, downside_2027q3_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin downside_2027q3_power_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution downside_2027q3_power_contribution | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_new_power, downside_2027q3_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A downside_2027q3_contribution | 2027Q3 / downside | 180.74 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_existing_contribution, downside_2027q3_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation downside_2027q3_cash_overhead | 2027Q3 / downside | 64.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / downside | 116.74 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_contribution, downside_2027q3_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense downside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / downside | 11.60 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization downside_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / downside | 128.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense downside_2027q3_transaction | 2027Q3 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs downside_2027q3_gaap_deductions | 2027Q3 / downside | 141.60 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_da, downside_2027q3_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / downside | -24.86 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income downside_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes downside_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use downside_2027q3_wc_use | 2027Q3 / downside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs downside_2027q3_cfo_uses | 2027Q3 / downside | 53.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cash_interest, downside_2027q3_cash_tax, downside_2027q3_wc_use, downside_2027q3_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / downside | 63.74 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash downside_2027q3_maintenance_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash downside_2027q3_power_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | 240.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits downside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | 365.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_maintenance_capex, downside_2027q3_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E downside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / downside | -301.26 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal downside_2027q3_lease_principal | 2027Q3 / downside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment downside_2027q3_tra | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents downside_2027q3_dividends | 2027Q3 / downside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal downside_2027q3_debt_principal | 2027Q3 / downside | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding downside_2027q3_awards | 2027Q3 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases downside_2027q3_investments | 2027Q3 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses downside_2027q3_claims | 2027Q3 / downside | 47.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_lease_principal, downside_2027q3_tra, downside_2027q3_dividends, downside_2027q3_debt_principal, downside_2027q3_awards, downside_2027q3_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims downside_2027q3_cash_after_claims | 2027Q3 / downside | -348.33 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q3_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 downside_2027q4_activity | 2027Q4 / downside | 96.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 downside_2027q4_price | 2027Q4 / downside | 96.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue downside_2027q4_existing_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 1,095.41 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, downside_2027q4_activity, downside_2027q4_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue downside_2027q4_new_power | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 1,095.41 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_existing_revenue, downside_2027q4_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin downside_2027q4_service_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 16.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution downside_2027q4_existing_contribution | 2027Q4 / downside | 180.74 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_existing_revenue, downside_2027q4_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin downside_2027q4_power_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 20.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution downside_2027q4_power_contribution | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_new_power, downside_2027q4_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A downside_2027q4_contribution | 2027Q4 / downside | 180.74 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_existing_contribution, downside_2027q4_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation downside_2027q4_cash_overhead | 2027Q4 / downside | 65.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / downside | 115.24 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_contribution, downside_2027q4_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense downside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / downside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization downside_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / downside | 131.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense downside_2027q4_transaction | 2027Q4 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs downside_2027q4_gaap_deductions | 2027Q4 / downside | 145.00 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_da, downside_2027q4_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / downside | -29.76 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income downside_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes downside_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use downside_2027q4_wc_use | 2027Q4 / downside | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs downside_2027q4_cfo_uses | 2027Q4 / downside | 43.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cash_interest, downside_2027q4_cash_tax, downside_2027q4_wc_use, downside_2027q4_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / downside | 72.24 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash downside_2027q4_maintenance_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash downside_2027q4_power_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | 220.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits downside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | 345.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_maintenance_capex, downside_2027q4_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E downside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / downside | -272.76 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal downside_2027q4_lease_principal | 2027Q4 / downside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment downside_2027q4_tra | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents downside_2027q4_dividends | 2027Q4 / downside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal downside_2027q4_debt_principal | 2027Q4 / downside | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding downside_2027q4_awards | 2027Q4 / downside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases downside_2027q4_investments | 2027Q4 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses downside_2027q4_claims | 2027Q4 / downside | 47.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_lease_principal, downside_2027q4_tra, downside_2027q4_dividends, downside_2027q4_debt_principal, downside_2027q4_awards, downside_2027q4_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims downside_2027q4_cash_after_claims | 2027Q4 / downside | -319.83 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_fcf, downside_2027q4_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / downside | 4,320.73 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / downside | 4.40 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / downside | 507.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / downside | 261.25 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits ($M) downside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / downside | 970.86 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross cash PP&E ($M) downside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / downside | -709.61 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Finance-lease principal ($M) downside_fy2026_lease_principal | FY2026 / downside | 118.34 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_lease_principal, downside_2026q3_lease_principal, downside_2026q4_lease_principal). |
| TRA payments ($M) downside_fy2026_tra | FY2026 / downside | 7.89 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_tra, downside_2026q3_tra, downside_2026q4_tra). |
| Common dividends and equivalents ($M) downside_fy2026_dividends | FY2026 / downside | 60.52 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_dividends, downside_2026q3_dividends, downside_2026q4_dividends). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_after_claims | FY2026 / downside | -949.12 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_claims, downside_2026q3_cash_after_claims, downside_2026q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / downside | 4,290.36 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / downside | -104.69 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / downside | 454.91 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / downside | 237.91 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits ($M) downside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / downside | 1,440.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross cash PP&E ($M) downside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / downside | -1,202.09 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q4_fcf). |
| Finance-lease principal ($M) downside_fy2027_lease_principal | FY2027 / downside | 76.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_lease_principal, downside_2027q2_lease_principal, downside_2027q3_lease_principal, downside_2027q4_lease_principal). |
| TRA payments ($M) downside_fy2027_tra | FY2027 / downside | 4.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_tra, downside_2027q2_tra, downside_2027q3_tra, downside_2027q4_tra). |
| Common dividends and equivalents ($M) downside_fy2027_dividends | FY2027 / downside | 60.40 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_dividends, downside_2027q2_dividends, downside_2027q3_dividends, downside_2027q4_dividends). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_after_claims | FY2027 / downside | -1,405.40 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_claims, downside_2027q2_cash_after_claims, downside_2027q3_cash_after_claims, downside_2027q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 base_2026q3_activity | 2026Q3 / base | 104.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 base_2026q3_price | 2026Q3 / base | 101.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue base_2026q3_existing_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 1,248.50 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, base_2026q3_activity, base_2026q3_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue base_2026q3_new_power | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 1,248.50 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_existing_revenue, base_2026q3_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin base_2026q3_service_margin | 2026Q3 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution base_2026q3_existing_contribution | 2026Q3 / base | 224.73 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_existing_revenue, base_2026q3_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin base_2026q3_power_margin | 2026Q3 / base | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution base_2026q3_power_contribution | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_new_power, base_2026q3_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A base_2026q3_contribution | 2026Q3 / base | 224.73 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_existing_contribution, base_2026q3_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation base_2026q3_cash_overhead | 2026Q3 / base | 57.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / base | 167.73 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_contribution, base_2026q3_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense base_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization base_2026q3_da | 2026Q3 / base | 116.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense base_2026q3_transaction | 2026Q3 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs base_2026q3_gaap_deductions | 2026Q3 / base | 129.00 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_da, base_2026q3_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / base | 38.73 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income base_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes base_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use base_2026q3_wc_use | 2026Q3 / base | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs base_2026q3_cfo_uses | 2026Q3 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_cash_interest, base_2026q3_cash_tax, base_2026q3_wc_use, base_2026q3_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / base | 117.73 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash base_2026q3_maintenance_capex | 2026Q3 / base | 115.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash base_2026q3_power_capex | 2026Q3 / base | 145.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits base_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / base | 260.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_maintenance_capex, base_2026q3_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E base_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / base | -142.27 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal base_2026q3_lease_principal | 2026Q3 / base | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment base_2026q3_tra | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents base_2026q3_dividends | 2026Q3 / base | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal base_2026q3_debt_principal | 2026Q3 / base | 2.48 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding base_2026q3_awards | 2026Q3 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases base_2026q3_investments | 2026Q3 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses base_2026q3_claims | 2026Q3 / base | 60.58 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_lease_principal, base_2026q3_tra, base_2026q3_dividends, base_2026q3_debt_principal, base_2026q3_awards, base_2026q3_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims base_2026q3_cash_after_claims | 2026Q3 / base | -202.85 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q3_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 base_2026q4_activity | 2026Q4 / base | 98.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 base_2026q4_price | 2026Q4 / base | 101.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue base_2026q4_existing_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 1,176.47 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, base_2026q4_activity, base_2026q4_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue base_2026q4_new_power | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 1,176.47 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_existing_revenue, base_2026q4_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin base_2026q4_service_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution base_2026q4_existing_contribution | 2026Q4 / base | 211.77 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_existing_revenue, base_2026q4_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin base_2026q4_power_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution base_2026q4_power_contribution | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_new_power, base_2026q4_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A base_2026q4_contribution | 2026Q4 / base | 211.77 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_existing_contribution, base_2026q4_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation base_2026q4_cash_overhead | 2026Q4 / base | 58.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / base | 153.27 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_contribution, base_2026q4_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense base_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / base | 10.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization base_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / base | 119.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense base_2026q4_transaction | 2026Q4 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs base_2026q4_gaap_deductions | 2026Q4 / base | 132.40 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_da, base_2026q4_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / base | 20.87 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income base_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes base_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / base | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use base_2026q4_wc_use | 2026Q4 / base | -5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs base_2026q4_cfo_uses | 2026Q4 / base | 17.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cash_interest, base_2026q4_cash_tax, base_2026q4_wc_use, base_2026q4_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / base | 136.27 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash base_2026q4_maintenance_capex | 2026Q4 / base | 115.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash base_2026q4_power_capex | 2026Q4 / base | 155.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits base_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / base | 270.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_maintenance_capex, base_2026q4_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E base_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / base | -133.73 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal base_2026q4_lease_principal | 2026Q4 / base | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment base_2026q4_tra | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents base_2026q4_dividends | 2026Q4 / base | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal base_2026q4_debt_principal | 2026Q4 / base | 2.48 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding base_2026q4_awards | 2026Q4 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases base_2026q4_investments | 2026Q4 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses base_2026q4_claims | 2026Q4 / base | 60.58 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_lease_principal, base_2026q4_tra, base_2026q4_dividends, base_2026q4_debt_principal, base_2026q4_awards, base_2026q4_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims base_2026q4_cash_after_claims | 2026Q4 / base | -194.32 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_fcf, base_2026q4_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 base_2027q1_activity | 2027Q1 / base | 103.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 base_2027q1_price | 2027Q1 / base | 101.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue base_2027q1_existing_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 1,236.50 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, base_2027q1_activity, base_2027q1_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue base_2027q1_new_power | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 1,236.50 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_existing_revenue, base_2027q1_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin base_2027q1_service_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution base_2027q1_existing_contribution | 2027Q1 / base | 222.57 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_existing_revenue, base_2027q1_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin base_2027q1_power_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution base_2027q1_power_contribution | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_new_power, base_2027q1_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A base_2027q1_contribution | 2027Q1 / base | 222.57 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_existing_contribution, base_2027q1_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation base_2027q1_cash_overhead | 2027Q1 / base | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / base | 162.57 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_contribution, base_2027q1_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense base_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / base | 10.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization base_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / base | 122.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense base_2027q1_transaction | 2027Q1 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs base_2027q1_gaap_deductions | 2027Q1 / base | 134.80 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_da, base_2027q1_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / base | 27.77 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q1_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income base_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes base_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / base | 16.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use base_2027q1_wc_use | 2027Q1 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs base_2027q1_cfo_uses | 2027Q1 / base | 64.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_interest, base_2027q1_cash_tax, base_2027q1_wc_use, base_2027q1_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / base | 98.57 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q1_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash base_2027q1_maintenance_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash base_2027q1_power_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 190.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits base_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 315.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_maintenance_capex, base_2027q1_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E base_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / base | -216.43 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal base_2027q1_lease_principal | 2027Q1 / base | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment base_2027q1_tra | 2027Q1 / base | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents base_2027q1_dividends | 2027Q1 / base | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal base_2027q1_debt_principal | 2027Q1 / base | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding base_2027q1_awards | 2027Q1 / base | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases base_2027q1_investments | 2027Q1 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses base_2027q1_claims | 2027Q1 / base | 62.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_lease_principal, base_2027q1_tra, base_2027q1_dividends, base_2027q1_debt_principal, base_2027q1_awards, base_2027q1_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims base_2027q1_cash_after_claims | 2027Q1 / base | -278.51 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q1_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 base_2027q2_activity | 2027Q2 / base | 107.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 base_2027q2_price | 2027Q2 / base | 101.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue base_2027q2_existing_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 1,284.52 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, base_2027q2_activity, base_2027q2_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue base_2027q2_new_power | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 1,284.52 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_existing_revenue, base_2027q2_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin base_2027q2_service_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution base_2027q2_existing_contribution | 2027Q2 / base | 231.21 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_existing_revenue, base_2027q2_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin base_2027q2_power_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution base_2027q2_power_contribution | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_new_power, base_2027q2_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A base_2027q2_contribution | 2027Q2 / base | 231.21 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_existing_contribution, base_2027q2_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation base_2027q2_cash_overhead | 2027Q2 / base | 61.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / base | 169.71 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_contribution, base_2027q2_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense base_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / base | 11.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization base_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / base | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense base_2027q2_transaction | 2027Q2 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs base_2027q2_gaap_deductions | 2027Q2 / base | 138.20 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_da, base_2027q2_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / base | 31.51 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income base_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes base_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / base | 18.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use base_2027q2_wc_use | 2027Q2 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs base_2027q2_cfo_uses | 2027Q2 / base | 41.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cash_interest, base_2027q2_cash_tax, base_2027q2_wc_use, base_2027q2_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / base | 128.71 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash base_2027q2_maintenance_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash base_2027q2_power_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 220.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits base_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 345.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_maintenance_capex, base_2027q2_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E base_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / base | -216.29 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal base_2027q2_lease_principal | 2027Q2 / base | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment base_2027q2_tra | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents base_2027q2_dividends | 2027Q2 / base | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal base_2027q2_debt_principal | 2027Q2 / base | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding base_2027q2_awards | 2027Q2 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases base_2027q2_investments | 2027Q2 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses base_2027q2_claims | 2027Q2 / base | 47.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_lease_principal, base_2027q2_tra, base_2027q2_dividends, base_2027q2_debt_principal, base_2027q2_awards, base_2027q2_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims base_2027q2_cash_after_claims | 2027Q2 / base | -263.36 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q2_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 base_2027q3_activity | 2027Q3 / base | 109.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 base_2027q3_price | 2027Q3 / base | 101.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue base_2027q3_existing_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 1,308.53 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, base_2027q3_activity, base_2027q3_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue base_2027q3_new_power | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 1,308.53 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_existing_revenue, base_2027q3_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin base_2027q3_service_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution base_2027q3_existing_contribution | 2027Q3 / base | 235.53 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_existing_revenue, base_2027q3_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin base_2027q3_power_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution base_2027q3_power_contribution | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_new_power, base_2027q3_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A base_2027q3_contribution | 2027Q3 / base | 235.53 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_existing_contribution, base_2027q3_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation base_2027q3_cash_overhead | 2027Q3 / base | 63.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / base | 172.53 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_contribution, base_2027q3_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense base_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / base | 11.60 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization base_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / base | 128.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense base_2027q3_transaction | 2027Q3 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs base_2027q3_gaap_deductions | 2027Q3 / base | 141.60 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_da, base_2027q3_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / base | 30.93 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income base_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes base_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use base_2027q3_wc_use | 2027Q3 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs base_2027q3_cfo_uses | 2027Q3 / base | 48.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cash_interest, base_2027q3_cash_tax, base_2027q3_wc_use, base_2027q3_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / base | 124.53 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash base_2027q3_maintenance_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash base_2027q3_power_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 210.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits base_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 335.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_maintenance_capex, base_2027q3_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E base_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / base | -210.47 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal base_2027q3_lease_principal | 2027Q3 / base | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment base_2027q3_tra | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents base_2027q3_dividends | 2027Q3 / base | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal base_2027q3_debt_principal | 2027Q3 / base | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding base_2027q3_awards | 2027Q3 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases base_2027q3_investments | 2027Q3 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses base_2027q3_claims | 2027Q3 / base | 47.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_lease_principal, base_2027q3_tra, base_2027q3_dividends, base_2027q3_debt_principal, base_2027q3_awards, base_2027q3_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims base_2027q3_cash_after_claims | 2027Q3 / base | -257.54 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q3_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 base_2027q4_activity | 2027Q4 / base | 106.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 base_2027q4_price | 2027Q4 / base | 101.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue base_2027q4_existing_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 1,272.51 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, base_2027q4_activity, base_2027q4_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue base_2027q4_new_power | 2027Q4 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 1,292.51 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_existing_revenue, base_2027q4_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin base_2027q4_service_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution base_2027q4_existing_contribution | 2027Q4 / base | 229.05 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_existing_revenue, base_2027q4_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin base_2027q4_power_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution base_2027q4_power_contribution | 2027Q4 / base | 5.60 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_new_power, base_2027q4_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A base_2027q4_contribution | 2027Q4 / base | 234.65 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_existing_contribution, base_2027q4_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation base_2027q4_cash_overhead | 2027Q4 / base | 64.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / base | 170.15 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_contribution, base_2027q4_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense base_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization base_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / base | 131.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense base_2027q4_transaction | 2027Q4 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs base_2027q4_gaap_deductions | 2027Q4 / base | 145.00 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_da, base_2027q4_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / base | 25.15 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income base_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes base_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / base | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use base_2027q4_wc_use | 2027Q4 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs base_2027q4_cfo_uses | 2027Q4 / base | 35.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cash_interest, base_2027q4_cash_tax, base_2027q4_wc_use, base_2027q4_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / base | 135.15 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash base_2027q4_maintenance_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash base_2027q4_power_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 190.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits base_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 315.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_maintenance_capex, base_2027q4_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E base_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / base | -179.85 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal base_2027q4_lease_principal | 2027Q4 / base | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment base_2027q4_tra | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents base_2027q4_dividends | 2027Q4 / base | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal base_2027q4_debt_principal | 2027Q4 / base | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding base_2027q4_awards | 2027Q4 / base | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases base_2027q4_investments | 2027Q4 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses base_2027q4_claims | 2027Q4 / base | 47.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_lease_principal, base_2027q4_tra, base_2027q4_dividends, base_2027q4_debt_principal, base_2027q4_awards, base_2027q4_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims base_2027q4_cash_after_claims | 2027Q4 / base | -226.92 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_fcf, base_2027q4_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) base_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / base | 4,634.75 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / base | 94.59 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) base_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / base | 597.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) base_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / base | 395.44 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits ($M) base_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / base | 910.86 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross cash PP&E ($M) base_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / base | -515.42 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q4_fcf). |
| Finance-lease principal ($M) base_fy2026_lease_principal | FY2026 / base | 118.34 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_lease_principal, base_2026q3_lease_principal, base_2026q4_lease_principal). |
| TRA payments ($M) base_fy2026_tra | FY2026 / base | 7.89 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_tra, base_2026q3_tra, base_2026q4_tra). |
| Common dividends and equivalents ($M) base_fy2026_dividends | FY2026 / base | 60.52 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_dividends, base_2026q3_dividends, base_2026q4_dividends). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims ($M) base_fy2026_cash_after_claims | FY2026 / base | -754.93 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_claims, base_2026q3_cash_after_claims, base_2026q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) base_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / base | 5,122.05 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / base | 115.37 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) base_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / base | 674.97 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) base_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / base | 486.97 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits ($M) base_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / base | 1,310.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross cash PP&E ($M) base_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / base | -823.03 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q4_fcf). |
| Finance-lease principal ($M) base_fy2027_lease_principal | FY2027 / base | 76.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_lease_principal, base_2027q2_lease_principal, base_2027q3_lease_principal, base_2027q4_lease_principal). |
| TRA payments ($M) base_fy2027_tra | FY2027 / base | 4.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_tra, base_2027q2_tra, base_2027q3_tra, base_2027q4_tra). |
| Common dividends and equivalents ($M) base_fy2027_dividends | FY2027 / base | 60.40 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_dividends, base_2027q2_dividends, base_2027q3_dividends, base_2027q4_dividends). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims ($M) base_fy2027_cash_after_claims | FY2027 / base | -1,026.34 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_claims, base_2027q2_cash_after_claims, base_2027q3_cash_after_claims, base_2027q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 upside_2026q3_activity | 2026Q3 / upside | 108.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 upside_2026q3_price | 2026Q3 / upside | 103.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue upside_2026q3_existing_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 1,322.19 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, upside_2026q3_activity, upside_2026q3_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue upside_2026q3_new_power | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 1,322.19 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_existing_revenue, upside_2026q3_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin upside_2026q3_service_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 19.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution upside_2026q3_existing_contribution | 2026Q3 / upside | 257.83 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_existing_revenue, upside_2026q3_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin upside_2026q3_power_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution upside_2026q3_power_contribution | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_new_power, upside_2026q3_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A upside_2026q3_contribution | 2026Q3 / upside | 257.83 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_existing_contribution, upside_2026q3_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation upside_2026q3_cash_overhead | 2026Q3 / upside | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / upside | 197.83 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_contribution, upside_2026q3_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense upside_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization upside_2026q3_da | 2026Q3 / upside | 116.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense upside_2026q3_transaction | 2026Q3 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs upside_2026q3_gaap_deductions | 2026Q3 / upside | 129.00 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_da, upside_2026q3_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / upside | 68.83 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income upside_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes upside_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use upside_2026q3_wc_use | 2026Q3 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs upside_2026q3_cfo_uses | 2026Q3 / upside | 60.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_cash_interest, upside_2026q3_cash_tax, upside_2026q3_wc_use, upside_2026q3_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / upside | 137.83 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash upside_2026q3_maintenance_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | 115.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash upside_2026q3_power_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | 170.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits upside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | 285.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_maintenance_capex, upside_2026q3_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E upside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / upside | -147.17 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal upside_2026q3_lease_principal | 2026Q3 / upside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment upside_2026q3_tra | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents upside_2026q3_dividends | 2026Q3 / upside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal upside_2026q3_debt_principal | 2026Q3 / upside | 2.48 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding upside_2026q3_awards | 2026Q3 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases upside_2026q3_investments | 2026Q3 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses upside_2026q3_claims | 2026Q3 / upside | 60.58 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_lease_principal, upside_2026q3_tra, upside_2026q3_dividends, upside_2026q3_debt_principal, upside_2026q3_awards, upside_2026q3_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims upside_2026q3_cash_after_claims | 2026Q3 / upside | -207.75 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q3_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 upside_2026q4_activity | 2026Q4 / upside | 104.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 upside_2026q4_price | 2026Q4 / upside | 103.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue upside_2026q4_existing_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 1,273.22 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, upside_2026q4_activity, upside_2026q4_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue upside_2026q4_new_power | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 1,273.22 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_existing_revenue, upside_2026q4_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin upside_2026q4_service_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 19.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution upside_2026q4_existing_contribution | 2026Q4 / upside | 248.28 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_existing_revenue, upside_2026q4_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin upside_2026q4_power_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution upside_2026q4_power_contribution | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_new_power, upside_2026q4_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A upside_2026q4_contribution | 2026Q4 / upside | 248.28 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_existing_contribution, upside_2026q4_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation upside_2026q4_cash_overhead | 2026Q4 / upside | 61.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / upside | 186.78 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_contribution, upside_2026q4_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense upside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / upside | 10.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization upside_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / upside | 119.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense upside_2026q4_transaction | 2026Q4 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs upside_2026q4_gaap_deductions | 2026Q4 / upside | 132.40 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_da, upside_2026q4_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / upside | 54.38 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income upside_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes upside_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / upside | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use upside_2026q4_wc_use | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs upside_2026q4_cfo_uses | 2026Q4 / upside | 22.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cash_interest, upside_2026q4_cash_tax, upside_2026q4_wc_use, upside_2026q4_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / upside | 164.78 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash upside_2026q4_maintenance_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 115.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash upside_2026q4_power_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 180.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits upside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 295.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_maintenance_capex, upside_2026q4_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E upside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / upside | -130.22 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal upside_2026q4_lease_principal | 2026Q4 / upside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment upside_2026q4_tra | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents upside_2026q4_dividends | 2026Q4 / upside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal upside_2026q4_debt_principal | 2026Q4 / upside | 2.48 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding upside_2026q4_awards | 2026Q4 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases upside_2026q4_investments | 2026Q4 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses upside_2026q4_claims | 2026Q4 / upside | 60.58 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_lease_principal, upside_2026q4_tra, upside_2026q4_dividends, upside_2026q4_debt_principal, upside_2026q4_awards, upside_2026q4_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims upside_2026q4_cash_after_claims | 2026Q4 / upside | -190.80 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_fcf, upside_2026q4_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 upside_2027q1_activity | 2027Q1 / upside | 113.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 upside_2027q1_price | 2027Q1 / upside | 103.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue upside_2027q1_existing_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 1,383.41 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, upside_2027q1_activity, upside_2027q1_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue upside_2027q1_new_power | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 1,383.41 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_existing_revenue, upside_2027q1_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin upside_2027q1_service_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 19.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution upside_2027q1_existing_contribution | 2027Q1 / upside | 269.76 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_existing_revenue, upside_2027q1_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin upside_2027q1_power_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution upside_2027q1_power_contribution | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_new_power, upside_2027q1_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A upside_2027q1_contribution | 2027Q1 / upside | 269.76 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_existing_contribution, upside_2027q1_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation upside_2027q1_cash_overhead | 2027Q1 / upside | 63.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / upside | 206.76 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_contribution, upside_2027q1_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense upside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / upside | 10.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization upside_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / upside | 122.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense upside_2027q1_transaction | 2027Q1 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs upside_2027q1_gaap_deductions | 2027Q1 / upside | 134.80 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_da, upside_2027q1_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / upside | 71.96 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q1_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income upside_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes upside_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / upside | 16.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use upside_2027q1_wc_use | 2027Q1 / upside | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs upside_2027q1_cfo_uses | 2027Q1 / upside | 79.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_interest, upside_2027q1_cash_tax, upside_2027q1_wc_use, upside_2027q1_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / upside | 127.76 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q1_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash upside_2027q1_maintenance_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash upside_2027q1_power_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 230.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits upside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 355.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_maintenance_capex, upside_2027q1_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E upside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / upside | -227.24 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal upside_2027q1_lease_principal | 2027Q1 / upside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment upside_2027q1_tra | 2027Q1 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents upside_2027q1_dividends | 2027Q1 / upside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal upside_2027q1_debt_principal | 2027Q1 / upside | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding upside_2027q1_awards | 2027Q1 / upside | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases upside_2027q1_investments | 2027Q1 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses upside_2027q1_claims | 2027Q1 / upside | 62.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_lease_principal, upside_2027q1_tra, upside_2027q1_dividends, upside_2027q1_debt_principal, upside_2027q1_awards, upside_2027q1_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims upside_2027q1_cash_after_claims | 2027Q1 / upside | -289.31 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q1_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 upside_2027q2_activity | 2027Q2 / upside | 118.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 upside_2027q2_price | 2027Q2 / upside | 103.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue upside_2027q2_existing_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 1,444.62 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_activity, upside_2027q2_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue upside_2027q2_new_power | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 1,444.62 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_existing_revenue, upside_2027q2_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin upside_2027q2_service_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 19.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution upside_2027q2_existing_contribution | 2027Q2 / upside | 281.70 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_existing_revenue, upside_2027q2_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin upside_2027q2_power_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution upside_2027q2_power_contribution | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_new_power, upside_2027q2_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A upside_2027q2_contribution | 2027Q2 / upside | 281.70 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_existing_contribution, upside_2027q2_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation upside_2027q2_cash_overhead | 2027Q2 / upside | 64.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / upside | 217.20 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_contribution, upside_2027q2_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense upside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / upside | 11.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization upside_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / upside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense upside_2027q2_transaction | 2027Q2 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs upside_2027q2_gaap_deductions | 2027Q2 / upside | 138.20 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_da, upside_2027q2_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / upside | 79.00 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income upside_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes upside_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / upside | 18.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use upside_2027q2_wc_use | 2027Q2 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs upside_2027q2_cfo_uses | 2027Q2 / upside | 51.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cash_interest, upside_2027q2_cash_tax, upside_2027q2_wc_use, upside_2027q2_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / upside | 166.20 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash upside_2027q2_maintenance_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash upside_2027q2_power_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 250.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits upside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 375.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_maintenance_capex, upside_2027q2_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E upside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / upside | -208.80 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal upside_2027q2_lease_principal | 2027Q2 / upside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment upside_2027q2_tra | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents upside_2027q2_dividends | 2027Q2 / upside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal upside_2027q2_debt_principal | 2027Q2 / upside | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding upside_2027q2_awards | 2027Q2 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases upside_2027q2_investments | 2027Q2 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses upside_2027q2_claims | 2027Q2 / upside | 47.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_lease_principal, upside_2027q2_tra, upside_2027q2_dividends, upside_2027q2_debt_principal, upside_2027q2_awards, upside_2027q2_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims upside_2027q2_cash_after_claims | 2027Q2 / upside | -255.88 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q2_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 upside_2027q3_activity | 2027Q3 / upside | 122.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 upside_2027q3_price | 2027Q3 / upside | 103.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue upside_2027q3_existing_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 1,493.59 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_activity, upside_2027q3_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue upside_2027q3_new_power | 2027Q3 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 1,503.59 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_existing_revenue, upside_2027q3_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin upside_2027q3_service_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 19.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution upside_2027q3_existing_contribution | 2027Q3 / upside | 291.25 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_existing_revenue, upside_2027q3_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin upside_2027q3_power_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution upside_2027q3_power_contribution | 2027Q3 / upside | 3.20 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_new_power, upside_2027q3_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A upside_2027q3_contribution | 2027Q3 / upside | 294.45 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_existing_contribution, upside_2027q3_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation upside_2027q3_cash_overhead | 2027Q3 / upside | 66.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / upside | 228.45 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_contribution, upside_2027q3_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense upside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / upside | 11.60 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization upside_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / upside | 128.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense upside_2027q3_transaction | 2027Q3 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs upside_2027q3_gaap_deductions | 2027Q3 / upside | 141.60 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_da, upside_2027q3_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / upside | 86.85 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income upside_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes upside_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use upside_2027q3_wc_use | 2027Q3 / upside | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs upside_2027q3_cfo_uses | 2027Q3 / upside | 58.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cash_interest, upside_2027q3_cash_tax, upside_2027q3_wc_use, upside_2027q3_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / upside | 170.45 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash upside_2027q3_maintenance_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash upside_2027q3_power_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 250.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits upside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 375.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_maintenance_capex, upside_2027q3_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E upside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / upside | -204.55 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal upside_2027q3_lease_principal | 2027Q3 / upside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment upside_2027q3_tra | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents upside_2027q3_dividends | 2027Q3 / upside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal upside_2027q3_debt_principal | 2027Q3 / upside | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding upside_2027q3_awards | 2027Q3 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases upside_2027q3_investments | 2027Q3 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses upside_2027q3_claims | 2027Q3 / upside | 47.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_lease_principal, upside_2027q3_tra, upside_2027q3_dividends, upside_2027q3_debt_principal, upside_2027q3_awards, upside_2027q3_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims upside_2027q3_cash_after_claims | 2027Q3 / upside | -251.63 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q3_claims). |
| Activity versus Q2 upside_2027q4_activity | 2027Q4 / upside | 120.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Pricing/mix versus Q2 upside_2027q4_price | 2027Q4 / upside | 103.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing business revenue upside_2027q4_existing_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 1,469.10 USD_millions | derived: Consolidated anchor already includes existing power-related activity. Formula: multiply(q2_revenue, upside_2027q4_activity, upside_2027q4_price). |
| Incremental new-project power revenue upside_2027q4_new_power | 2027Q4 / upside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity only; no customer contract revenue per MW was disclosed for PowerBridge. |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 1,514.10 USD_millions | derived: No revenue from buying engines or announcing capacity. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_existing_revenue, upside_2027q4_new_power). |
| Service contribution margin upside_2027q4_service_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 19.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Existing-business contribution upside_2027q4_existing_contribution | 2027Q4 / upside | 286.48 USD_millions | derived: Cost of services excludes D&A. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_existing_revenue, upside_2027q4_service_margin). |
| Incremental power contribution margin upside_2027q4_power_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| New power contribution upside_2027q4_power_contribution | 2027Q4 / upside | 14.40 USD_millions | derived: Incremental modeled operations only. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_new_power, upside_2027q4_power_margin). |
| Service contribution before overhead and D&A upside_2027q4_contribution | 2027Q4 / upside | 300.88 USD_millions | derived: Company does not report these as separate historical segments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_existing_contribution, upside_2027q4_power_contribution). |
| G&A excluding stock compensation upside_2027q4_cash_overhead | 2027Q4 / upside | 67.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / upside | 233.38 USD_millions | derived: Excludes equity compensation, D&A and modeled nonrecurring transaction costs; ordinary operating costs remain. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_contribution, upside_2027q4_cash_overhead). |
| Stock compensation expense upside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Depreciation depletion and amortization upside_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / upside | 131.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and other operating expense upside_2027q4_transaction | 2027Q4 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| D&A, equity expense and transaction costs upside_2027q4_gaap_deductions | 2027Q4 / upside | 145.00 USD_millions | derived: No investment fair-value gains in operating earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_da, upside_2027q4_transaction). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / upside | 88.38 USD_millions | derived: Assumes no net disposal gain/loss or impairment; separate downside risks. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_gaap_deductions). |
| Cash interest net of investment income upside_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Small-loan and finance-lease interest, less cash yield; convertible notes have no regular coupon. |
| Cash income taxes upside_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / upside | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net operating working-capital use upside_2027q4_wc_use | 2027Q4 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash interest taxes working capital and transaction costs upside_2027q4_cfo_uses | 2027Q4 / upside | 45.00 USD_millions | derived: Lease principal and TRA remain below CFO; transaction costs remain cash uses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cash_interest, upside_2027q4_cash_tax, upside_2027q4_wc_use, upside_2027q4_transaction). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / upside | 188.38 USD_millions | derived: Does not repeat noncash investment marks as cash generation. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_cfo_uses). |
| Existing fleet and other PP&E cash upside_2027q4_maintenance_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Power engines deposits and buildout cash upside_2027q4_power_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 220.00 USD_millions | assumption: Scenario allocation within aggregate capex; redacted equipment milestones prevent an exact contractual schedule. |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits upside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 345.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes deposits once; not an additional deduction after capex. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_maintenance_capex, upside_2027q4_power_capex). |
| CFO less gross PP&E upside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / upside | -156.62 USD_millions | derived: No disposal proceeds netted against cash PP&E. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| Finance-lease principal upside_2027q4_lease_principal | 2027Q4 / upside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation informed by remaining 2026 gross lease payments $79.705M and 2027 $87.432M, including interest. Interest is separately in CFO. |
| TRA cash payment upside_2027q4_tra | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk cash allowance, not a conclusion that the $66.870M liability is extinguished. |
| Common dividends and equivalents upside_2027q4_dividends | 2027Q4 / upside | 15.10 USD_millions | assumption: Approximately $0.09 per share quarterly, including allowance for award equivalents; future board declarations required. |
| Small-loan principal upside_2027q4_debt_principal | 2027Q4 / upside | 2.98 USD_millions | assumption: Remainder 2026 $4.961M and 2027 $11.906M disclosed debt maturities, evenly allocated. |
| Employee award withholding upside_2027q4_awards | 2027Q4 / upside | 3.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Equity investment purchases upside_2027q4_investments | 2027Q4 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Additional cash uses upside_2027q4_claims | 2027Q4 / upside | 47.08 USD_millions | derived: Financing/equity-investment outflows; no new borrowing included. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_lease_principal, upside_2027q4_tra, upside_2027q4_dividends, upside_2027q4_debt_principal, upside_2027q4_awards, upside_2027q4_investments). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims upside_2027q4_cash_after_claims | 2027Q4 / upside | -203.70 USD_millions | derived: Before new financing, acquisitions, optional buybacks and asset-sale proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_fcf, upside_2027q4_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / upside | 4,805.20 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / upside | 158.20 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / upside | 661.60 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / upside | 444.05 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits ($M) upside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / upside | 960.86 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross cash PP&E ($M) upside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / upside | -516.81 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Finance-lease principal ($M) upside_fy2026_lease_principal | FY2026 / upside | 118.34 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_lease_principal, upside_2026q3_lease_principal, upside_2026q4_lease_principal). |
| TRA payments ($M) upside_fy2026_tra | FY2026 / upside | 7.89 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_tra, upside_2026q3_tra, upside_2026q4_tra). |
| Common dividends and equivalents ($M) upside_fy2026_dividends | FY2026 / upside | 60.52 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_dividends, upside_2026q3_dividends, upside_2026q4_dividends). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_after_claims | FY2026 / upside | -756.32 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_claims, upside_2026q3_cash_after_claims, upside_2026q4_cash_after_claims). |
| Consolidated revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / upside | 5,845.72 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / upside | 326.19 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / upside | 885.79 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / upside | 652.79 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Gross cash PP&E and deposits ($M) upside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / upside | 1,450.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross cash PP&E ($M) upside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / upside | -797.21 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q4_fcf). |
| Finance-lease principal ($M) upside_fy2027_lease_principal | FY2027 / upside | 76.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_lease_principal, upside_2027q2_lease_principal, upside_2027q3_lease_principal, upside_2027q4_lease_principal). |
| TRA payments ($M) upside_fy2027_tra | FY2027 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_tra, upside_2027q2_tra, upside_2027q3_tra, upside_2027q4_tra). |
| Common dividends and equivalents ($M) upside_fy2027_dividends | FY2027 / upside | 60.40 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_dividends, upside_2027q2_dividends, upside_2027q3_dividends, upside_2027q4_dividends). |
| Cash after investment and capital claims ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_after_claims | FY2027 / upside | -1,000.52 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_claims, upside_2027q2_cash_after_claims, upside_2027q3_cash_after_claims, upside_2027q4_cash_after_claims). |
Model boundaries
- Consolidated activity/pricing factors are analytical sensitivities, not a disclosed fleet count, reported segment revenue or company revenue guidance. No independent 2027 revenue guidance is asserted.
- New power revenue is incremental to existing consolidated activity. The PowerBridge initial greater-than-300MW phase targets late 2027; no full-year revenue is booked from its announcement.
- Equipment commitments are supplier purchases, not customer backlog. The $493.1554M Jenbacher contract is within the equipment program, not added to the $1.3B aggregate. July CAT $801M is a separate contract. Payment milestones are partly redacted.
- Cash PP&E is a gross investing outflow. Management reported capex nets disposal proceeds; the two measures differ. Deposits and future fleet finance leases can make cash needs differ from accounting depreciation.
- Forecast dividends, TRA and investment spending are explicit desk cash assumptions, not board commitments or a full liabilities roll-forward. New financing, asset-sale proceeds and optional buybacks are outside the cash-after-claims measure.
- Convertible principal totals $1.295B at zero regular coupon, due 2031/2032 beyond the horizon. Zero coupon does not remove future repayment, conversion/dilution or capped-call counterparty risk. No fully diluted EPS or valuation is supplied.
The cash cost of moving from frac services into power
Can the existing service business fund the power-equipment program before new sites produce material cash?
H1 revenue was $2.210B and adjusted EBITDA $277.0M, but CFO was $141.4M against gross PP&E cash spending of $380.9M. Company reported capex of $354.9M nets $26.0M asset-sale proceeds. Another $48.3M finance-lease principal, $7.9M TRA and $30.3M dividends sit below CFO. Cash of $555.4M follows $1.295B convertible issuance and $186.5M capped-call spending; the notes have zero regular coupon and mature in 2031/2032. June remaining power-equipment commitments were approximately $1.1B, with a separate $801M CAT contract signed July 22. Capital deposits already totaled $248.0M. The September 18-filed Jenbacher agreement has original price $493.1554M for 2028 delivery; it is part of the broader program, and its May amendment changes payment timing, with percentages redacted. PowerBridge initial capacity targets late 2027. Noncash investment gains of $60.2M supported H1 net income but are not operating cash.
The competing explanation
Frac cash generation may recover while power investment still consumes more capital than it produces. Engine commitments carry currency, tariff and delivery exposure. Site readiness, grid/fuel access, commercial terms and customer acceptance can delay monetization beyond equipment payments.
Risks to track
- Producer activity and service pricing are cyclical.
- Power buildouts need customers, fuel and site execution in addition to purchased engines.
- Supplier milestone percentages are partly redacted and the equipment program extends through 2030.
- Leases, TRA, small-loan principal and dividend choices use cash beyond PP&E.
- Zero-coupon convertibles still create repayment and dilution risk.
- Investment marks can move net income without improving service economics.
Next checkpoints
- Power commitments and customers · Next quarterly filing and contract announcements (estimated). Reconcile deposits, remaining commitments and actual contracted cash terms; do not count equipment orders as backlog.
- Frac cash generation · Each earnings release (estimated). Compare consolidated margins and cash conversion, including receivables and unbilled revenue.
- Deployment timing · Late 2027 company target (estimated). Check the first PowerBridge phase against actual deliveries and acceptance.
Data coverage and open work
- Consolidated activity/pricing factors are analytical sensitivities, not a disclosed fleet count, reported segment revenue or company revenue guidance. No independent 2027 revenue guidance is asserted.
- New power revenue is incremental to existing consolidated activity. The PowerBridge initial greater-than-300MW phase targets late 2027; no full-year revenue is booked from its announcement.
- Equipment commitments are supplier purchases, not customer backlog. The $493.1554M Jenbacher contract is within the equipment program, not added to the $1.3B aggregate. July CAT $801M is a separate contract. Payment milestones are partly redacted.
- Cash PP&E is a gross investing outflow. Management reported capex nets disposal proceeds; the two measures differ. Deposits and future fleet finance leases can make cash needs differ from accounting depreciation.
- Forecast dividends, TRA and investment spending are explicit desk cash assumptions, not board commitments or a full liabilities roll-forward. New financing, asset-sale proceeds and optional buybacks are outside the cash-after-claims measure.
- Convertible principal totals $1.295B at zero regular coupon, due 2031/2032 beyond the horizon. Zero coupon does not remove future repayment, conversion/dilution or capped-call counterparty risk. No fully diluted EPS or valuation is supplied.
What the memory says
State as of the 2026-09-18 close: in a 120-day downtrend, below its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, ordinary volume, closed mid-range, and some peers moving
| Vs the market, in points | Low | Middle | High | Share up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | -1.8 | +0.0 | +2.4 | 50% |
| 5 sessions | -4.5 | +0.3 | +5.7 | 56% |
| 10 sessions | -6.3 | -0.0 | +7.7 | 50% |
Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side.