$KTOS
Business
Kratos supplies defense and national-security products through Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems. Its businesses span engines, rocket support, microwave electronics, communications and uncrewed platforms. Government contracts drive revenue, but internally funded development, inventory and factories can consume cash before awards or deliveries. Nomad and Orbit are already included in Government Solutions, making reported and organic growth different measures.
Three drivers
- Funded contract conversion and production mix
- Government Solutions scale and unmanned platform adoption
- Unbilled work, inventory and internally funded capacity
Thesis
Our view
Q2 sales growth was 30.5%, with 19.1% organic growth, while operating loss was $1.6M. Demand is strong, but the company is investing ahead of it. H1 CFO was negative $38.4M and gross capex $37.1M; the $1,348.4M equity raise explains much of the large cash balance. Asset sales improve cash after investment, not the underlying operating cash result.
What changes it
Monitor funded orders, contract cost execution and collections against factory and inventory spending. Distinguish announced capacity targets and the bid pipeline from customer-funded production, and reconcile FCF definitions before comparing periods.
Scenario ranges
Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.
Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)
| Fiscal quarter | 2024Q3 2024-09-29 | 2024Q4 2024-12-29 | 2025Q1 2025-03-30 | 2025Q2 2025-06-29 | 2025Q3 2025-09-28 | 2025Q4 2025-12-28 | 2026Q1 2026-03-29 | 2026Q2 2026-06-28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($M) | 275.91 | 283.1†2 | 302.63 | 351.54 | 347.61 | 345.1†2 | 371.03 | 458.84 |
| Gross profit ($M) | 69.25 | 69.8†6 | 73.67 | 73.88 | 77.15 | 83.4†6 | 89.67 | 100.18 |
| Operating income ($M) | 6.59 | 3.0†10 | 6.611 | 3.712 | 7.19 | 8.2†10 | 4.711 | -1.612 |
| Net income ($M) | 3.213 | 3.9†14 | 4.515 | 2.916 | 8.713 | 5.9†14 | 11.915 | 4.416 |
| EPS, diluted ($) | 0.0217 | — | 0.0318 | 0.0219 | 0.0517 | — | 0.0718 | 0.0219 |
| Diluted shares (M) | 154.120 | — | 156.221 | 157.422 | 172.920 | — | 179.421 | 190.122 |
| Cash ($M) | 301.523 | 329.324 | 263.725 | 783.626 | 565.927 | 560.628 | 1,464.329 | 1,437.628 |
| Long-term debt ($M) | 177.030 | 174.631 | 172.232 | 169.833 | 0.034 | 0.031 | — | — |
| Cash from operations ($M) | 6.1†35 | 45.6†36 | -29.237 | -11.7†38 | -13.3†35 | 12.1†36 | -27.437 | -11.0†38 |
| Capex ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Free cash flow ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Estimates · base scenario
| Period | Revenue ($M) | EPS ($) | As of | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 470.0 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2026Q4 | 480.2 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q1 | 479.5 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q2 | 523.1 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
Defense backlog conversion and the cash cost of capacity
Separate Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems sales, preserving H1 actuals and using August revenue/adjusted EBITDA guidance as the current-year reference. FY2027 grows segment revenue and margins separately. Reconcile ordinary SBC, depreciation, intangible/development amortization and cash acquisition costs to operating income. Bridge cash investment in unbilled work and inventory to CFO. Keep gross capex, disposals, grants, equity proceeds and acquisition/JV spending distinct.
Reported anchors and guidance
| Measure | Period | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 revenue midpoint | FY2026 | 1,780.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| FY2026 adjusted EBITDA midpoint | FY2026 | 174.50 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| FY2026 CFO midpoint | FY2026 | 40.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| FY2026 gross capex midpoint | FY2026 | 130.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| Company FY2026 FCF range midpoint | FY2026 | -95.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| H1 cash after gross capex | H1 2026 | -75.50 | derived. Excludes proceeds from asset sales and grants. |
| H1 after asset disposals | H1 2026 | -62.00 | derived. Investing disposal proceeds are not CFO. |
| H1 after capital uses | H1 2026 | -474.80 | derived. Before equity issuance and other financing movements. |
| Q2 company-owned aircraft disposal cash | 2026Q2 | 9.30 | reported. Used by the company in its Q2 FCF reconciliation, not revenue or CFO. Source · 2026-08-04 |
| funded backlog | June 2026 | 1,572.00 | reported. Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Source · 2026-08-04 |
| unfunded backlog | June 2026 | 512.70 | reported. Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Source · 2026-08-04 |
| pipeline | June 2026 | 15,000.00 | reported. Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Source · 2026-08-04 |
| unbilled receivables | June 2026 | 405.40 | reported. Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Source · 2026-08-04 |
| cash | June 2026 | 1,437.60 | reported. Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 equity proceeds | H1 2026 | 1,348.40 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-04 |
| revolver drawn | June 2026 | 0.00 | reported. Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Source · 2026-08-04 |
Downside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow ($M) | CFO less gross capex ($M) | Government Solutions revenue ($M) | Gross capital expenditures ($M) | Revenue ($M) | Unmanned Systems revenue ($M) | GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) | Asset disposal proceeds ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after acquisitions/JV and equity settlements ($M) | Cash after capex and asset disposals ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 1.33 | -51.67 | 368.50 | 53.00 | 446.50 | 78.00 | 99.01 | 0.00 | 36.12 | -5.17 | -80.17 | -51.67 |
| 2026Q4 | 10.50 | -37.40 | 332.70 | 47.90 | 414.70 | 82.00 | 92.05 | 0.00 | 35.30 | -6.10 | -65.90 | -37.40 |
| 2027Q1 | -2.74 | -47.74 | 337.40 | 45.00 | 411.71 | 74.31 | 91.32 | 0.00 | 40.26 | -6.74 | -80.74 | -47.74 |
| 2027Q2 | 10.92 | -34.08 | 368.07 | 45.00 | 449.14 | 81.07 | 99.62 | 0.00 | 43.92 | -4.08 | -67.08 | -34.08 |
| FY2026 | -26.58 | -164.58 | 1,369.30 | 138.00 | 1,691.00 | 321.70 | 380.76 | 13.50 | 148.32 | -8.18 | -620.88 | -151.08 |
| FY2027 | 50.99 | -129.01 | 1,533.62 | 180.00 | 1,871.40 | 337.79 | 415.09 | 0.00 | 182.99 | -11.01 | -261.01 | -129.01 |
Base scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow ($M) | CFO less gross capex ($M) | Government Solutions revenue ($M) | Gross capital expenditures ($M) | Revenue ($M) | Unmanned Systems revenue ($M) | GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) | Asset disposal proceeds ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after acquisitions/JV and equity settlements ($M) | Cash after capex and asset disposals ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 24.70 | -25.30 | 387.00 | 50.00 | 470.00 | 83.00 | 113.63 | 0.00 | 42.50 | 1.20 | -53.80 | -25.30 |
| 2026Q4 | 53.70 | 10.80 | 393.20 | 42.90 | 480.20 | 87.00 | 116.12 | 0.00 | 55.10 | 13.70 | -17.70 | 10.80 |
| 2027Q1 | 26.47 | -11.03 | 391.91 | 37.50 | 479.48 | 87.57 | 115.95 | 0.00 | 54.47 | 7.47 | -44.03 | -11.03 |
| 2027Q2 | 41.42 | 3.92 | 427.54 | 37.50 | 523.07 | 95.53 | 126.49 | 0.00 | 59.42 | 11.42 | -29.08 | 3.92 |
| FY2026 | 40.00 | -90.00 | 1,448.30 | 130.00 | 1,780.00 | 331.70 | 419.45 | 13.50 | 174.50 | 18.00 | -546.30 | -76.50 |
| FY2027 | 175.60 | 25.60 | 1,781.41 | 150.00 | 2,179.45 | 398.04 | 527.05 | 0.00 | 247.60 | 53.60 | -106.40 | 25.60 |
Upside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow ($M) | CFO less gross capex ($M) | Government Solutions revenue ($M) | Gross capital expenditures ($M) | Revenue ($M) | Unmanned Systems revenue ($M) | GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) | Asset disposal proceeds ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA ($M) | GAAP operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after acquisitions/JV and equity settlements ($M) | Cash after capex and asset disposals ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 36.10 | -13.90 | 395.75 | 50.00 | 481.75 | 86.00 | 124.14 | 0.00 | 45.90 | 4.60 | -42.40 | -13.90 |
| 2026Q4 | 70.86 | 27.96 | 419.95 | 42.90 | 512.95 | 93.00 | 132.20 | 0.00 | 65.66 | 24.26 | -0.54 | 27.96 |
| 2027Q1 | 51.30 | 11.30 | 430.90 | 40.00 | 532.08 | 101.19 | 137.20 | 0.00 | 69.30 | 22.30 | -21.70 | 11.30 |
| 2027Q2 | 67.60 | 27.60 | 470.07 | 40.00 | 580.45 | 110.39 | 149.67 | 0.00 | 75.60 | 27.60 | -5.40 | 27.60 |
| FY2026 | 68.56 | -61.44 | 1,483.80 | 130.00 | 1,824.50 | 340.70 | 446.03 | 13.50 | 188.46 | 31.96 | -517.74 | -47.94 |
| FY2027 | 283.01 | 123.01 | 1,958.62 | 160.00 | 2,418.56 | 459.94 | 623.63 | 0.00 | 315.01 | 121.01 | -8.99 | 123.01 |
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
| Input / calculation | Period / case | Value / unit | Evidence or assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| H1 revenue h1_revenue | H1 2026 / shared | 829.80 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 kgs h1_kgs | H1 2026 / shared | 668.10 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 unmanned h1_unmanned | H1 2026 / shared | 161.70 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 gross profit h1_gross_profit | H1 2026 / shared | 189.70 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 adjusted ebitda h1_adjusted_ebitda | H1 2026 / shared | 76.90 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 operating income h1_operating_income | H1 2026 / shared | 3.10 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 cfo h1_cfo | H1 2026 / shared | -38.40 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 capex h1_capex | H1 2026 / shared | 37.10 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 asset proceeds h1_asset_proceeds | H1 2026 / shared | 13.50 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 grant h1_grant | H1 2026 / shared | 2.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 acquisitions h1_acquisitions | H1 2026 / shared | 346.80 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 jv h1_jv | H1 2026 / shared | 6.90 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 withholding h1_withholding | H1 2026 / shared | 59.10 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 lease principal h1_lease_principal | H1 2026 / shared | 2.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 sbc h1_sbc | H1 2026 / shared | 31.30 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 depreciation h1_depreciation | H1 2026 / shared | 23.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 amortization h1_amortization | H1 2026 / shared | 20.10 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 unbilled use h1_unbilled_use | H1 2026 / shared | 104.30 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 inventory use h1_inventory_use | H1 2026 / shared | 24.80 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 equity proceeds h1_equity_proceeds | H1 2026 / shared | 1,348.40 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| H1 cash after gross capex h1_fcf | H1 2026 / shared | -75.50 USD_millions | derived: Excludes proceeds from asset sales and grants. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_capex). |
| H1 after asset disposals h1_cash_after_disposals | H1 2026 / shared | -62.00 USD_millions | derived: Investing disposal proceeds are not CFO. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, h1_asset_proceeds). |
| H1 acquisition/JV and financing cash uses h1_capital_uses | H1 2026 / shared | 414.80 USD_millions | derived: No equity issuance proceeds counted as operating earnings. Formula: sum(h1_acquisitions, h1_jv, h1_withholding, h1_lease_principal). |
| H1 cash after capital grant h1_after_grant | H1 2026 / shared | -60.00 USD_millions | derived: Grant belongs to investing cash. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_disposals, h1_grant). |
| H1 after capital uses h1_cash_after_capital | H1 2026 / shared | -474.80 USD_millions | derived: Before equity issuance and other financing movements. Formula: subtract(h1_after_grant, h1_capital_uses). |
| cash cash | June 2026 / shared | 1,437.60 USD_millions | reported: Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| funded backlog funded_backlog | June 2026 / shared | 1,572.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| unfunded backlog unfunded_backlog | June 2026 / shared | 512.70 USD_millions | reported: Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| pipeline pipeline | June 2026 / shared | 15,000.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| unbilled receivables unbilled_receivables | June 2026 / shared | 405.40 USD_millions | reported: Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| inventory inventory | June 2026 / shared | 235.90 USD_millions | reported: Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| customer billings customer_billings | June 2026 / shared | 93.60 USD_millions | reported: Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| revolver limit revolver_limit | June 2026 / shared | 300.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| revolver drawn revolver_drawn | June 2026 / shared | 0.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| domestic letters credit domestic_letters_credit | June 2026 / shared | 2.10 USD_millions | reported: Reported balance or rounded backlog/pipeline reference; facility limit is not cash on hand. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| Q2 company-owned aircraft disposal cash q2_aircraft_cash | 2026Q2 / shared | 9.30 USD_millions | reported: Used by the company in its Q2 FCF reconciliation, not revenue or CFO. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| Funded plus unfunded backlog backlog | June 2026 / shared | 2,084.70 USD_millions | derived: Rounded components; different certainty from bid pipeline. Formula: sum(funded_backlog, unfunded_backlog). |
| June backlog expected in remaining 2026 backlog_conversion | FY2026 / shared | 35.0% ratio | management guidance: 35% expected in fiscal 2026, another 35% in 2027; remaining thereafter. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| June backlog FY2026 conversion reference backlog_2026_reference | FY2026 / shared | 729.64 USD_millions | derived: Subset of remaining performance obligations, not extra revenue. Formula: multiply(backlog, backlog_conversion). |
| FY2026 revenue low fy26_revenue_guide_low | FY2026 / shared | 1,750.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| FY2026 revenue high fy26_revenue_guide_high | FY2026 / shared | 1,810.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| Midpoint divisor two | Model / shared | 200.0% ratio | assumption: Arithmetic constant. |
| FY2026 revenue endpoint sum fy26_revenue_guide_sum | FY2026 / shared | 3,560.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy26_revenue_guide_low, fy26_revenue_guide_high). |
| FY2026 revenue midpoint fy26_revenue_guide | FY2026 / shared | 1,780.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy26_revenue_guide_sum, two). |
| Q3 revenue low q3_revenue_guide_low | 2026Q3 / shared | 460.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| Q3 revenue high q3_revenue_guide_high | 2026Q3 / shared | 480.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| Q3 revenue endpoint sum q3_revenue_guide_sum | 2026Q3 / shared | 940.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q3_revenue_guide_low, q3_revenue_guide_high). |
| Q3 revenue midpoint q3_revenue_guide | 2026Q3 / shared | 470.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q3_revenue_guide_sum, two). |
| FY2026 adjusted EBITDA low fy26_ebitda_guide_low | FY2026 / shared | 173.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| FY2026 adjusted EBITDA high fy26_ebitda_guide_high | FY2026 / shared | 176.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| FY2026 adjusted EBITDA endpoint sum fy26_ebitda_guide_sum | FY2026 / shared | 349.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy26_ebitda_guide_low, fy26_ebitda_guide_high). |
| FY2026 adjusted EBITDA midpoint fy26_ebitda_guide | FY2026 / shared | 174.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy26_ebitda_guide_sum, two). |
| Q3 adjusted EBITDA low q3_ebitda_guide_low | 2026Q3 / shared | 40.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| Q3 adjusted EBITDA high q3_ebitda_guide_high | 2026Q3 / shared | 45.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| Q3 adjusted EBITDA endpoint sum q3_ebitda_guide_sum | 2026Q3 / shared | 85.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q3_ebitda_guide_low, q3_ebitda_guide_high). |
| Q3 adjusted EBITDA midpoint q3_ebitda_guide | 2026Q3 / shared | 42.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q3_ebitda_guide_sum, two). |
| FY2026 CFO low fy26_cfo_guide_low | FY2026 / shared | 30.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| FY2026 CFO high fy26_cfo_guide_high | FY2026 / shared | 50.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| FY2026 CFO endpoint sum fy26_cfo_guide_sum | FY2026 / shared | 80.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy26_cfo_guide_low, fy26_cfo_guide_high). |
| FY2026 CFO midpoint fy26_cfo_guide | FY2026 / shared | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy26_cfo_guide_sum, two). |
| FY2026 gross capex low fy26_capex_guide_low | FY2026 / shared | 125.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| FY2026 gross capex high fy26_capex_guide_high | FY2026 / shared | 135.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| FY2026 gross capex endpoint sum fy26_capex_guide_sum | FY2026 / shared | 260.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy26_capex_guide_low, fy26_capex_guide_high). |
| FY2026 gross capex midpoint fy26_capex_guide | FY2026 / shared | 130.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy26_capex_guide_sum, two). |
| Company FY2026 FCF range low fy26_fcf_guide_low | FY2026 / shared | -105.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| Company FY2026 FCF range high fy26_fcf_guide_high | FY2026 / shared | -85.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-04 |
| Company FY2026 FCF range endpoint sum fy26_fcf_guide_sum | FY2026 / shared | -190.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy26_fcf_guide_low, fy26_fcf_guide_high). |
| Company FY2026 FCF range midpoint fy26_fcf_guide | FY2026 / shared | -95.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy26_fcf_guide_sum, two). |
| revenue / guidance midpoint downside_revenue_factor | FY2026 / downside | 95.0% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| FY2026 revenue downside_fy26_revenue_target | FY2026 / downside | 1,691.00 USD_millions | derived: Annual scenario. Formula: multiply(fy26_revenue_guide, downside_revenue_factor). |
| H2 revenue downside_h2_revenue | H2 2026 / downside | 861.20 USD_millions | derived: Preserves H1 actual. Formula: subtract(downside_fy26_revenue_target, h1_revenue). |
| adjusted_ebitda / guidance midpoint downside_adjusted_ebitda_factor | FY2026 / downside | 85.0% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| FY2026 adjusted_ebitda downside_fy26_adjusted_ebitda_target | FY2026 / downside | 148.32 USD_millions | derived: Annual scenario. Formula: multiply(fy26_ebitda_guide, downside_adjusted_ebitda_factor). |
| H2 adjusted_ebitda downside_h2_adjusted_ebitda | H2 2026 / downside | 71.42 USD_millions | derived: Preserves H1 actual. Formula: subtract(downside_fy26_adjusted_ebitda_target, h1_adjusted_ebitda). |
| H2 Unmanned sales downside_unmanned_h2 | H2 2026 / downside | 160.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation within consolidated guidance. |
| FY2026 Unmanned revenue downside_fy26_unmanned | FY2026 / downside | 321.70 USD_millions | derived: Actual plus forecast. Formula: sum(h1_unmanned, downside_unmanned_h2). |
| FY2026 KGS revenue downside_fy26_kgs | FY2026 / downside | 1,369.30 USD_millions | derived: Nomad and Orbit included in the KGS perimeter. Formula: subtract(downside_fy26_revenue_target, downside_fy26_unmanned). |
| FY2027 kgs growth multiplier downside_kgs_growth | FY2027 / downside | 112.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth; includes acquired perimeter, no guaranteed production award assumed. |
| FY2027 kgs revenue downside_fy27_kgs | FY2027 / downside | 1,533.62 USD_millions | derived: Independent segment growth. Formula: multiply(downside_fy26_kgs, downside_kgs_growth). |
| FY2027 unmanned growth multiplier downside_unmanned_growth | FY2027 / downside | 105.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth; includes acquired perimeter, no guaranteed production award assumed. |
| FY2027 unmanned revenue downside_fy27_unmanned | FY2027 / downside | 337.79 USD_millions | derived: Independent segment growth. Formula: multiply(downside_fy26_unmanned, downside_unmanned_growth). |
| Revenue downside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 446.50 USD_millions | derived: Q3 company midpoint times sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q3_revenue_guide, downside_revenue_factor). |
| Unmanned revenue downside_2026q3_unmanned | 2026Q3 / downside | 78.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue downside_2026q3_kgs | 2026Q3 / downside | 368.50 USD_millions | derived: KGS includes closed acquisitions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q3_unmanned). |
| Adjusted EBITDA downside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda | 2026Q3 / downside | 36.12 USD_millions | derived: Q3 earnings reference. Formula: multiply(q3_ebitda_guide, downside_adjusted_ebitda_factor). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin downside_2026q3_kgs_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit downside_2026q3_kgs_gross | 2026Q3 / downside | 81.07 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_kgs, downside_2026q3_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin downside_2026q3_unmanned_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit downside_2026q3_unmanned_gross | 2026Q3 / downside | 17.94 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_unmanned, downside_2026q3_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / downside | 99.01 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_kgs_gross, downside_2026q3_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation downside_2026q3_depreciation | 2026Q3 / downside | 11.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization downside_2026q3_amortization | 2026Q3 / downside | 12.50 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation downside_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / downside | 16.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense downside_2026q3_cash_exclusions | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions downside_2026q3_exclusions | 2026Q3 / downside | 41.30 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_depreciation, downside_2026q3_amortization, downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / downside | -5.17 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2026q3_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income downside_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital downside_2026q3_cash_before_uses | 2026Q3 / downside | 45.33 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q3_depreciation, downside_2026q3_amortization, downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use downside_2026q3_working_capital | 2026Q3 / downside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes downside_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / downside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use downside_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / downside | 44.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_working_capital, downside_2026q3_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow downside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / downside | 1.33 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cash_before_uses, downside_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures downside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | 53.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex downside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / downside | -51.67 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals downside_2026q3_asset_proceeds | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals downside_2026q3_cash_after_disposals | 2026Q3 / downside | -51.67 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q3_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash downside_2026q3_grant | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions downside_2026q3_jv | 2026Q3 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding downside_2026q3_withholding | 2026Q3 / downside | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal downside_2026q3_lease_principal | 2026Q3 / downside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses downside_2026q3_capital_uses | 2026Q3 / downside | 28.50 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_jv, downside_2026q3_withholding, downside_2026q3_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants downside_2026q3_after_grants | 2026Q3 / downside | -51.67 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_cash_after_disposals, downside_2026q3_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations downside_2026q3_cash_after_capital | 2026Q3 / downside | -80.17 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_after_grants, downside_2026q3_capital_uses). |
| Revenue downside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 414.70 USD_millions | derived: Annual less actual H1 and forecast Q3. Formula: subtract(downside_h2_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue). |
| Unmanned revenue downside_2026q4_unmanned | 2026Q4 / downside | 82.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue downside_2026q4_kgs | 2026Q4 / downside | 332.70 USD_millions | derived: KGS includes closed acquisitions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_revenue, downside_2026q4_unmanned). |
| Adjusted EBITDA downside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2026Q4 / downside | 35.30 USD_millions | derived: Annual adjusted result less H1 and Q3. Formula: subtract(downside_h2_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin downside_2026q4_kgs_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit downside_2026q4_kgs_gross | 2026Q4 / downside | 73.19 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_kgs, downside_2026q4_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin downside_2026q4_unmanned_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit downside_2026q4_unmanned_gross | 2026Q4 / downside | 18.86 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_unmanned, downside_2026q4_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | 92.05 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_kgs_gross, downside_2026q4_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation downside_2026q4_depreciation | 2026Q4 / downside | 14.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization downside_2026q4_amortization | 2026Q4 / downside | 11.90 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation downside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / downside | 14.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense downside_2026q4_cash_exclusions | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions downside_2026q4_exclusions | 2026Q4 / downside | 41.40 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_depreciation, downside_2026q4_amortization, downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / downside | -6.10 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2026q4_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income downside_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital downside_2026q4_cash_before_uses | 2026Q4 / downside | 44.50 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_operating_income, downside_2026q4_depreciation, downside_2026q4_amortization, downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use downside_2026q4_working_capital | 2026Q4 / downside | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes downside_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / downside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use downside_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / downside | 34.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_working_capital, downside_2026q4_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow downside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / downside | 10.50 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cash_before_uses, downside_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures downside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | 47.90 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex downside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / downside | -37.40 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals downside_2026q4_asset_proceeds | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals downside_2026q4_cash_after_disposals | 2026Q4 / downside | -37.40 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_fcf, downside_2026q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash downside_2026q4_grant | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions downside_2026q4_jv | 2026Q4 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding downside_2026q4_withholding | 2026Q4 / downside | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal downside_2026q4_lease_principal | 2026Q4 / downside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses downside_2026q4_capital_uses | 2026Q4 / downside | 28.50 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_jv, downside_2026q4_withholding, downside_2026q4_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants downside_2026q4_after_grants | 2026Q4 / downside | -37.40 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cash_after_disposals, downside_2026q4_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations downside_2026q4_cash_after_capital | 2026Q4 / downside | -65.90 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_after_grants, downside_2026q4_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share downside_2027q1_weight | 2027Q1 / downside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue downside_2027q1_kgs | 2027Q1 / downside | 337.40 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_kgs, downside_2027q1_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue downside_2027q1_unmanned | 2027Q1 / downside | 74.31 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_unmanned, downside_2027q1_weight). |
| Revenue downside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 411.71 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_kgs, downside_2027q1_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin downside_2027q1_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 10.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q1_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q1 / downside | 35.43 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_kgs, downside_2027q1_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin downside_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 6.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q1 / downside | 4.83 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_unmanned, downside_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q1 / downside | 40.26 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_kgs_ebitda, downside_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin downside_2027q1_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit downside_2027q1_kgs_gross | 2027Q1 / downside | 74.23 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_kgs, downside_2027q1_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin downside_2027q1_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit downside_2027q1_unmanned_gross | 2027Q1 / downside | 17.09 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_unmanned, downside_2027q1_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | 91.32 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_kgs_gross, downside_2027q1_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation downside_2027q1_depreciation | 2027Q1 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization downside_2027q1_amortization | 2027Q1 / downside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation downside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / downside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense downside_2027q1_cash_exclusions | 2027Q1 / downside | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions downside_2027q1_exclusions | 2027Q1 / downside | 47.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_depreciation, downside_2027q1_amortization, downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / downside | -6.74 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q1_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income downside_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / downside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital downside_2027q1_cash_before_uses | 2027Q1 / downside | 48.26 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q1_depreciation, downside_2027q1_amortization, downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use downside_2027q1_working_capital | 2027Q1 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use downside_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / downside | 51.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_working_capital, downside_2027q1_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / downside | -2.74 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_before_uses, downside_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures downside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex downside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / downside | -47.74 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals downside_2027q1_asset_proceeds | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals downside_2027q1_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q1 / downside | -47.74 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q1_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash downside_2027q1_grant | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions downside_2027q1_jv | 2027Q1 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding downside_2027q1_withholding | 2027Q1 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal downside_2027q1_lease_principal | 2027Q1 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses downside_2027q1_capital_uses | 2027Q1 / downside | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_jv, downside_2027q1_withholding, downside_2027q1_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants downside_2027q1_after_grants | 2027Q1 / downside | -47.74 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_disposals, downside_2027q1_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations downside_2027q1_cash_after_capital | 2027Q1 / downside | -80.74 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_after_grants, downside_2027q1_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share downside_2027q2_weight | 2027Q2 / downside | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue downside_2027q2_kgs | 2027Q2 / downside | 368.07 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_kgs, downside_2027q2_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue downside_2027q2_unmanned | 2027Q2 / downside | 81.07 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_unmanned, downside_2027q2_weight). |
| Revenue downside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 449.14 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_kgs, downside_2027q2_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin downside_2027q2_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 10.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q2_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q2 / downside | 38.65 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_kgs, downside_2027q2_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin downside_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 6.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q2 / downside | 5.27 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_unmanned, downside_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q2 / downside | 43.92 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_kgs_ebitda, downside_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin downside_2027q2_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit downside_2027q2_kgs_gross | 2027Q2 / downside | 80.97 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_kgs, downside_2027q2_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin downside_2027q2_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit downside_2027q2_unmanned_gross | 2027Q2 / downside | 18.65 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_unmanned, downside_2027q2_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | 99.62 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_kgs_gross, downside_2027q2_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation downside_2027q2_depreciation | 2027Q2 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization downside_2027q2_amortization | 2027Q2 / downside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation downside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / downside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense downside_2027q2_cash_exclusions | 2027Q2 / downside | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions downside_2027q2_exclusions | 2027Q2 / downside | 48.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_depreciation, downside_2027q2_amortization, downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / downside | -4.08 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q2_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income downside_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / downside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital downside_2027q2_cash_before_uses | 2027Q2 / downside | 51.92 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q2_depreciation, downside_2027q2_amortization, downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use downside_2027q2_working_capital | 2027Q2 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use downside_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / downside | 41.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_working_capital, downside_2027q2_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / downside | 10.92 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_before_uses, downside_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures downside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex downside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / downside | -34.08 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals downside_2027q2_asset_proceeds | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals downside_2027q2_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q2 / downside | -34.08 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q2_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash downside_2027q2_grant | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions downside_2027q2_jv | 2027Q2 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding downside_2027q2_withholding | 2027Q2 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal downside_2027q2_lease_principal | 2027Q2 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses downside_2027q2_capital_uses | 2027Q2 / downside | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_jv, downside_2027q2_withholding, downside_2027q2_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants downside_2027q2_after_grants | 2027Q2 / downside | -34.08 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cash_after_disposals, downside_2027q2_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations downside_2027q2_cash_after_capital | 2027Q2 / downside | -67.08 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_after_grants, downside_2027q2_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share downside_2027q3_weight | 2027Q3 / downside | 26.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue downside_2027q3_kgs | 2027Q3 / downside | 398.74 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_kgs, downside_2027q3_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue downside_2027q3_unmanned | 2027Q3 / downside | 87.82 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_unmanned, downside_2027q3_weight). |
| Revenue downside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 486.56 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_kgs, downside_2027q3_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin downside_2027q3_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 10.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q3_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q3 / downside | 41.87 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_kgs, downside_2027q3_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin downside_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 6.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q3 / downside | 5.71 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_unmanned, downside_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q3 / downside | 47.58 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_kgs_ebitda, downside_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin downside_2027q3_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit downside_2027q3_kgs_gross | 2027Q3 / downside | 87.72 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_kgs, downside_2027q3_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin downside_2027q3_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit downside_2027q3_unmanned_gross | 2027Q3 / downside | 20.20 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_unmanned, downside_2027q3_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | 107.92 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_kgs_gross, downside_2027q3_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation downside_2027q3_depreciation | 2027Q3 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization downside_2027q3_amortization | 2027Q3 / downside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation downside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / downside | 21.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense downside_2027q3_cash_exclusions | 2027Q3 / downside | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions downside_2027q3_exclusions | 2027Q3 / downside | 49.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_depreciation, downside_2027q3_amortization, downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / downside | -1.42 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q3_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income downside_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / downside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital downside_2027q3_cash_before_uses | 2027Q3 / downside | 55.58 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q3_depreciation, downside_2027q3_amortization, downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use downside_2027q3_working_capital | 2027Q3 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use downside_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / downside | 41.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_working_capital, downside_2027q3_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / downside | 14.58 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_before_uses, downside_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures downside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex downside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / downside | -30.42 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals downside_2027q3_asset_proceeds | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals downside_2027q3_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q3 / downside | -30.42 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q3_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash downside_2027q3_grant | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions downside_2027q3_jv | 2027Q3 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding downside_2027q3_withholding | 2027Q3 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal downside_2027q3_lease_principal | 2027Q3 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses downside_2027q3_capital_uses | 2027Q3 / downside | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_jv, downside_2027q3_withholding, downside_2027q3_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants downside_2027q3_after_grants | 2027Q3 / downside | -30.42 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cash_after_disposals, downside_2027q3_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations downside_2027q3_cash_after_capital | 2027Q3 / downside | -63.42 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_after_grants, downside_2027q3_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share downside_2027q4_weight | 2027Q4 / downside | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue downside_2027q4_kgs | 2027Q4 / downside | 429.41 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_kgs, downside_2027q4_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue downside_2027q4_unmanned | 2027Q4 / downside | 94.58 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_unmanned, downside_2027q4_weight). |
| Revenue downside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 523.99 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_kgs, downside_2027q4_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin downside_2027q4_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 10.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q4_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q4 / downside | 45.09 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_kgs, downside_2027q4_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin downside_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 6.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q4 / downside | 6.15 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_unmanned, downside_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q4 / downside | 51.24 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_kgs_ebitda, downside_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin downside_2027q4_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit downside_2027q4_kgs_gross | 2027Q4 / downside | 94.47 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_kgs, downside_2027q4_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin downside_2027q4_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit downside_2027q4_unmanned_gross | 2027Q4 / downside | 21.75 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_unmanned, downside_2027q4_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy downside_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | 116.22 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_kgs_gross, downside_2027q4_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation downside_2027q4_depreciation | 2027Q4 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization downside_2027q4_amortization | 2027Q4 / downside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation downside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / downside | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense downside_2027q4_cash_exclusions | 2027Q4 / downside | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions downside_2027q4_exclusions | 2027Q4 / downside | 50.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_depreciation, downside_2027q4_amortization, downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy downside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / downside | 1.24 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q4_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income downside_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / downside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital downside_2027q4_cash_before_uses | 2027Q4 / downside | 59.24 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_operating_income, downside_2027q4_depreciation, downside_2027q4_amortization, downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use downside_2027q4_working_capital | 2027Q4 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes downside_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use downside_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / downside | 31.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_working_capital, downside_2027q4_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / downside | 28.24 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_before_uses, downside_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures downside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex downside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / downside | -16.76 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals downside_2027q4_asset_proceeds | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals downside_2027q4_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q4 / downside | -16.76 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_fcf, downside_2027q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash downside_2027q4_grant | 2027Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions downside_2027q4_jv | 2027Q4 / downside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding downside_2027q4_withholding | 2027Q4 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal downside_2027q4_lease_principal | 2027Q4 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses downside_2027q4_capital_uses | 2027Q4 / downside | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_jv, downside_2027q4_withholding, downside_2027q4_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants downside_2027q4_after_grants | 2027Q4 / downside | -16.76 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cash_after_disposals, downside_2027q4_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations downside_2027q4_cash_after_capital | 2027Q4 / downside | -49.76 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_after_grants, downside_2027q4_capital_uses). |
| Revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / downside | 1,691.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue). |
| Government Solutions revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_kgs | FY2026 / downside | 1,369.30 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_kgs, downside_2026q3_kgs, downside_2026q4_kgs). |
| Unmanned Systems revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_unmanned | FY2026 / downside | 321.70 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_unmanned, downside_2026q3_unmanned, downside_2026q4_unmanned). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / downside | 380.76 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) downside_fy2026_adjusted_ebitda | FY2026 / downside | 148.32 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / downside | -8.18 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) downside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / downside | -26.58 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Gross capital expenditures ($M) downside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / downside | 138.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross capex ($M) downside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / downside | -164.58 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Asset disposal proceeds ($M) downside_fy2026_asset_proceeds | FY2026 / downside | 13.50 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_asset_proceeds, downside_2026q3_asset_proceeds, downside_2026q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Cash after capex and asset disposals ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_after_disposals | FY2026 / downside | -151.08 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_disposals, downside_2026q3_cash_after_disposals, downside_2026q4_cash_after_disposals). |
| Cash after acquisitions/JV and equity settlements ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_after_capital | FY2026 / downside | -620.88 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_capital, downside_2026q3_cash_after_capital, downside_2026q4_cash_after_capital). |
| Revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / downside | 1,871.40 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue). |
| Government Solutions revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_kgs | FY2027 / downside | 1,533.62 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_kgs, downside_2027q2_kgs, downside_2027q3_kgs, downside_2027q4_kgs). |
| Unmanned Systems revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_unmanned | FY2027 / downside | 337.79 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_unmanned, downside_2027q2_unmanned, downside_2027q3_unmanned, downside_2027q4_unmanned). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / downside | 415.09 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) downside_fy2027_adjusted_ebitda | FY2027 / downside | 182.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, downside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / downside | -11.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) downside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / downside | 50.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Gross capital expenditures ($M) downside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / downside | 180.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross capex ($M) downside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / downside | -129.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q4_fcf). |
| Asset disposal proceeds ($M) downside_fy2027_asset_proceeds | FY2027 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_asset_proceeds, downside_2027q2_asset_proceeds, downside_2027q3_asset_proceeds, downside_2027q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Cash after capex and asset disposals ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_after_disposals | FY2027 / downside | -129.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_disposals, downside_2027q2_cash_after_disposals, downside_2027q3_cash_after_disposals, downside_2027q4_cash_after_disposals). |
| Cash after acquisitions/JV and equity settlements ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_after_capital | FY2027 / downside | -261.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_capital, downside_2027q2_cash_after_capital, downside_2027q3_cash_after_capital, downside_2027q4_cash_after_capital). |
| revenue / guidance midpoint base_revenue_factor | FY2026 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| FY2026 revenue base_fy26_revenue_target | FY2026 / base | 1,780.00 USD_millions | derived: Annual scenario. Formula: multiply(fy26_revenue_guide, base_revenue_factor). |
| H2 revenue base_h2_revenue | H2 2026 / base | 950.20 USD_millions | derived: Preserves H1 actual. Formula: subtract(base_fy26_revenue_target, h1_revenue). |
| adjusted_ebitda / guidance midpoint base_adjusted_ebitda_factor | FY2026 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| FY2026 adjusted_ebitda base_fy26_adjusted_ebitda_target | FY2026 / base | 174.50 USD_millions | derived: Annual scenario. Formula: multiply(fy26_ebitda_guide, base_adjusted_ebitda_factor). |
| H2 adjusted_ebitda base_h2_adjusted_ebitda | H2 2026 / base | 97.60 USD_millions | derived: Preserves H1 actual. Formula: subtract(base_fy26_adjusted_ebitda_target, h1_adjusted_ebitda). |
| H2 Unmanned sales base_unmanned_h2 | H2 2026 / base | 170.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation within consolidated guidance. |
| FY2026 Unmanned revenue base_fy26_unmanned | FY2026 / base | 331.70 USD_millions | derived: Actual plus forecast. Formula: sum(h1_unmanned, base_unmanned_h2). |
| FY2026 KGS revenue base_fy26_kgs | FY2026 / base | 1,448.30 USD_millions | derived: Nomad and Orbit included in the KGS perimeter. Formula: subtract(base_fy26_revenue_target, base_fy26_unmanned). |
| FY2027 kgs growth multiplier base_kgs_growth | FY2027 / base | 123.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth; includes acquired perimeter, no guaranteed production award assumed. |
| FY2027 kgs revenue base_fy27_kgs | FY2027 / base | 1,781.41 USD_millions | derived: Independent segment growth. Formula: multiply(base_fy26_kgs, base_kgs_growth). |
| FY2027 unmanned growth multiplier base_unmanned_growth | FY2027 / base | 120.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth; includes acquired perimeter, no guaranteed production award assumed. |
| FY2027 unmanned revenue base_fy27_unmanned | FY2027 / base | 398.04 USD_millions | derived: Independent segment growth. Formula: multiply(base_fy26_unmanned, base_unmanned_growth). |
| Revenue base_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 470.00 USD_millions | derived: Q3 company midpoint times sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q3_revenue_guide, base_revenue_factor). |
| Unmanned revenue base_2026q3_unmanned | 2026Q3 / base | 83.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue base_2026q3_kgs | 2026Q3 / base | 387.00 USD_millions | derived: KGS includes closed acquisitions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q3_unmanned). |
| Adjusted EBITDA base_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda | 2026Q3 / base | 42.50 USD_millions | derived: Q3 earnings reference. Formula: multiply(q3_ebitda_guide, base_adjusted_ebitda_factor). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin base_2026q3_kgs_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / base | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit base_2026q3_kgs_gross | 2026Q3 / base | 92.88 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_kgs, base_2026q3_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin base_2026q3_unmanned_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit base_2026q3_unmanned_gross | 2026Q3 / base | 20.75 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_unmanned, base_2026q3_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / base | 113.63 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_kgs_gross, base_2026q3_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation base_2026q3_depreciation | 2026Q3 / base | 11.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization base_2026q3_amortization | 2026Q3 / base | 12.50 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation base_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / base | 16.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense base_2026q3_cash_exclusions | 2026Q3 / base | 0.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions base_2026q3_exclusions | 2026Q3 / base | 41.30 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_depreciation, base_2026q3_amortization, base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / base | 1.20 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, base_2026q3_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income base_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital base_2026q3_cash_before_uses | 2026Q3 / base | 51.70 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q3_depreciation, base_2026q3_amortization, base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use base_2026q3_working_capital | 2026Q3 / base | 23.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes base_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / base | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use base_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / base | 27.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_working_capital, base_2026q3_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow base_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / base | 24.70 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cash_before_uses, base_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures base_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex base_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / base | -25.30 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals base_2026q3_asset_proceeds | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals base_2026q3_cash_after_disposals | 2026Q3 / base | -25.30 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q3_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash base_2026q3_grant | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions base_2026q3_jv | 2026Q3 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding base_2026q3_withholding | 2026Q3 / base | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal base_2026q3_lease_principal | 2026Q3 / base | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses base_2026q3_capital_uses | 2026Q3 / base | 28.50 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_jv, base_2026q3_withholding, base_2026q3_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants base_2026q3_after_grants | 2026Q3 / base | -25.30 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_cash_after_disposals, base_2026q3_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations base_2026q3_cash_after_capital | 2026Q3 / base | -53.80 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_after_grants, base_2026q3_capital_uses). |
| Revenue base_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 480.20 USD_millions | derived: Annual less actual H1 and forecast Q3. Formula: subtract(base_h2_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue). |
| Unmanned revenue base_2026q4_unmanned | 2026Q4 / base | 87.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue base_2026q4_kgs | 2026Q4 / base | 393.20 USD_millions | derived: KGS includes closed acquisitions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_revenue, base_2026q4_unmanned). |
| Adjusted EBITDA base_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2026Q4 / base | 55.10 USD_millions | derived: Annual adjusted result less H1 and Q3. Formula: subtract(base_h2_adjusted_ebitda, base_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin base_2026q4_kgs_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit base_2026q4_kgs_gross | 2026Q4 / base | 94.37 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_kgs, base_2026q4_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin base_2026q4_unmanned_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit base_2026q4_unmanned_gross | 2026Q4 / base | 21.75 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_unmanned, base_2026q4_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 116.12 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_kgs_gross, base_2026q4_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation base_2026q4_depreciation | 2026Q4 / base | 14.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization base_2026q4_amortization | 2026Q4 / base | 11.90 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation base_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / base | 14.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense base_2026q4_cash_exclusions | 2026Q4 / base | 0.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions base_2026q4_exclusions | 2026Q4 / base | 41.40 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_depreciation, base_2026q4_amortization, base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / base | 13.70 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda, base_2026q4_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income base_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital base_2026q4_cash_before_uses | 2026Q4 / base | 64.30 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_operating_income, base_2026q4_depreciation, base_2026q4_amortization, base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use base_2026q4_working_capital | 2026Q4 / base | 6.60 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes base_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / base | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use base_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / base | 10.60 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_working_capital, base_2026q4_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow base_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / base | 53.70 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cash_before_uses, base_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures base_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / base | 42.90 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex base_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / base | 10.80 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals base_2026q4_asset_proceeds | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals base_2026q4_cash_after_disposals | 2026Q4 / base | 10.80 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_fcf, base_2026q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash base_2026q4_grant | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions base_2026q4_jv | 2026Q4 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding base_2026q4_withholding | 2026Q4 / base | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal base_2026q4_lease_principal | 2026Q4 / base | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses base_2026q4_capital_uses | 2026Q4 / base | 28.50 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_jv, base_2026q4_withholding, base_2026q4_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants base_2026q4_after_grants | 2026Q4 / base | 10.80 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cash_after_disposals, base_2026q4_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations base_2026q4_cash_after_capital | 2026Q4 / base | -17.70 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_after_grants, base_2026q4_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share base_2027q1_weight | 2027Q1 / base | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue base_2027q1_kgs | 2027Q1 / base | 391.91 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_kgs, base_2027q1_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue base_2027q1_unmanned | 2027Q1 / base | 87.57 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_unmanned, base_2027q1_weight). |
| Revenue base_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 479.48 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_kgs, base_2027q1_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin base_2027q1_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA base_2027q1_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q1 / base | 47.03 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_kgs, base_2027q1_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin base_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 8.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA base_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q1 / base | 7.44 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_unmanned, base_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA base_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q1 / base | 54.47 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_kgs_ebitda, base_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin base_2027q1_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit base_2027q1_kgs_gross | 2027Q1 / base | 94.06 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_kgs, base_2027q1_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin base_2027q1_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit base_2027q1_unmanned_gross | 2027Q1 / base | 21.89 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_unmanned, base_2027q1_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / base | 115.95 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_kgs_gross, base_2027q1_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation base_2027q1_depreciation | 2027Q1 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization base_2027q1_amortization | 2027Q1 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation base_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / base | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense base_2027q1_cash_exclusions | 2027Q1 / base | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions base_2027q1_exclusions | 2027Q1 / base | 47.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_depreciation, base_2027q1_amortization, base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / base | 7.47 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q1_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income base_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / base | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital base_2027q1_cash_before_uses | 2027Q1 / base | 62.47 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q1_depreciation, base_2027q1_amortization, base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use base_2027q1_working_capital | 2027Q1 / base | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use base_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / base | 36.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_working_capital, base_2027q1_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / base | 26.47 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_before_uses, base_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures base_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 37.50 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex base_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / base | -11.03 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals base_2027q1_asset_proceeds | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals base_2027q1_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q1 / base | -11.03 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q1_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash base_2027q1_grant | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions base_2027q1_jv | 2027Q1 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding base_2027q1_withholding | 2027Q1 / base | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal base_2027q1_lease_principal | 2027Q1 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses base_2027q1_capital_uses | 2027Q1 / base | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_jv, base_2027q1_withholding, base_2027q1_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants base_2027q1_after_grants | 2027Q1 / base | -11.03 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_disposals, base_2027q1_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations base_2027q1_cash_after_capital | 2027Q1 / base | -44.03 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_after_grants, base_2027q1_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share base_2027q2_weight | 2027Q2 / base | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue base_2027q2_kgs | 2027Q2 / base | 427.54 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_kgs, base_2027q2_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue base_2027q2_unmanned | 2027Q2 / base | 95.53 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_unmanned, base_2027q2_weight). |
| Revenue base_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 523.07 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_kgs, base_2027q2_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin base_2027q2_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA base_2027q2_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q2 / base | 51.30 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_kgs, base_2027q2_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin base_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 8.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA base_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q2 / base | 8.12 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_unmanned, base_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA base_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q2 / base | 59.42 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_kgs_ebitda, base_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin base_2027q2_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit base_2027q2_kgs_gross | 2027Q2 / base | 102.61 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_kgs, base_2027q2_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin base_2027q2_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit base_2027q2_unmanned_gross | 2027Q2 / base | 23.88 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_unmanned, base_2027q2_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / base | 126.49 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_kgs_gross, base_2027q2_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation base_2027q2_depreciation | 2027Q2 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization base_2027q2_amortization | 2027Q2 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation base_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense base_2027q2_cash_exclusions | 2027Q2 / base | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions base_2027q2_exclusions | 2027Q2 / base | 48.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_depreciation, base_2027q2_amortization, base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / base | 11.42 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q2_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income base_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / base | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital base_2027q2_cash_before_uses | 2027Q2 / base | 67.42 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q2_depreciation, base_2027q2_amortization, base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use base_2027q2_working_capital | 2027Q2 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use base_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / base | 26.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_working_capital, base_2027q2_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / base | 41.42 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_before_uses, base_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures base_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 37.50 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex base_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / base | 3.92 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals base_2027q2_asset_proceeds | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals base_2027q2_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q2 / base | 3.92 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q2_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash base_2027q2_grant | 2027Q2 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions base_2027q2_jv | 2027Q2 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding base_2027q2_withholding | 2027Q2 / base | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal base_2027q2_lease_principal | 2027Q2 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses base_2027q2_capital_uses | 2027Q2 / base | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_jv, base_2027q2_withholding, base_2027q2_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants base_2027q2_after_grants | 2027Q2 / base | 3.92 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cash_after_disposals, base_2027q2_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations base_2027q2_cash_after_capital | 2027Q2 / base | -29.08 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_after_grants, base_2027q2_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share base_2027q3_weight | 2027Q3 / base | 26.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue base_2027q3_kgs | 2027Q3 / base | 463.17 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_kgs, base_2027q3_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue base_2027q3_unmanned | 2027Q3 / base | 103.49 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_unmanned, base_2027q3_weight). |
| Revenue base_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 566.66 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_kgs, base_2027q3_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin base_2027q3_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA base_2027q3_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q3 / base | 55.58 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_kgs, base_2027q3_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin base_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 8.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA base_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q3 / base | 8.80 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_unmanned, base_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA base_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q3 / base | 64.38 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_kgs_ebitda, base_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin base_2027q3_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit base_2027q3_kgs_gross | 2027Q3 / base | 111.16 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_kgs, base_2027q3_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin base_2027q3_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit base_2027q3_unmanned_gross | 2027Q3 / base | 25.87 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_unmanned, base_2027q3_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / base | 137.03 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_kgs_gross, base_2027q3_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation base_2027q3_depreciation | 2027Q3 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization base_2027q3_amortization | 2027Q3 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation base_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / base | 21.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense base_2027q3_cash_exclusions | 2027Q3 / base | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions base_2027q3_exclusions | 2027Q3 / base | 49.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_depreciation, base_2027q3_amortization, base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / base | 15.38 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q3_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income base_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / base | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital base_2027q3_cash_before_uses | 2027Q3 / base | 72.38 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q3_depreciation, base_2027q3_amortization, base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use base_2027q3_working_capital | 2027Q3 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use base_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / base | 26.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_working_capital, base_2027q3_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / base | 46.38 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_before_uses, base_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures base_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 37.50 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex base_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / base | 8.88 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals base_2027q3_asset_proceeds | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals base_2027q3_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q3 / base | 8.88 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q3_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash base_2027q3_grant | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions base_2027q3_jv | 2027Q3 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding base_2027q3_withholding | 2027Q3 / base | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal base_2027q3_lease_principal | 2027Q3 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses base_2027q3_capital_uses | 2027Q3 / base | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_jv, base_2027q3_withholding, base_2027q3_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants base_2027q3_after_grants | 2027Q3 / base | 8.88 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cash_after_disposals, base_2027q3_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations base_2027q3_cash_after_capital | 2027Q3 / base | -24.12 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_after_grants, base_2027q3_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share base_2027q4_weight | 2027Q4 / base | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue base_2027q4_kgs | 2027Q4 / base | 498.79 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_kgs, base_2027q4_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue base_2027q4_unmanned | 2027Q4 / base | 111.45 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_unmanned, base_2027q4_weight). |
| Revenue base_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 610.25 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_kgs, base_2027q4_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin base_2027q4_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA base_2027q4_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q4 / base | 59.86 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_kgs, base_2027q4_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin base_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 8.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA base_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q4 / base | 9.47 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_unmanned, base_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA base_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q4 / base | 69.33 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_kgs_ebitda, base_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin base_2027q4_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit base_2027q4_kgs_gross | 2027Q4 / base | 119.71 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_kgs, base_2027q4_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin base_2027q4_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit base_2027q4_unmanned_gross | 2027Q4 / base | 27.86 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_unmanned, base_2027q4_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy base_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / base | 147.57 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_kgs_gross, base_2027q4_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation base_2027q4_depreciation | 2027Q4 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization base_2027q4_amortization | 2027Q4 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation base_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / base | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense base_2027q4_cash_exclusions | 2027Q4 / base | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions base_2027q4_exclusions | 2027Q4 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_depreciation, base_2027q4_amortization, base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy base_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / base | 19.33 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q4_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income base_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / base | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital base_2027q4_cash_before_uses | 2027Q4 / base | 77.33 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_operating_income, base_2027q4_depreciation, base_2027q4_amortization, base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use base_2027q4_working_capital | 2027Q4 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes base_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use base_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / base | 16.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_working_capital, base_2027q4_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / base | 61.33 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_before_uses, base_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures base_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 37.50 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex base_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / base | 23.83 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals base_2027q4_asset_proceeds | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals base_2027q4_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q4 / base | 23.83 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_fcf, base_2027q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash base_2027q4_grant | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions base_2027q4_jv | 2027Q4 / base | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding base_2027q4_withholding | 2027Q4 / base | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal base_2027q4_lease_principal | 2027Q4 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses base_2027q4_capital_uses | 2027Q4 / base | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_jv, base_2027q4_withholding, base_2027q4_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants base_2027q4_after_grants | 2027Q4 / base | 23.83 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cash_after_disposals, base_2027q4_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations base_2027q4_cash_after_capital | 2027Q4 / base | -9.17 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_after_grants, base_2027q4_capital_uses). |
| Revenue ($M) base_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / base | 1,780.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue). |
| Government Solutions revenue ($M) base_fy2026_kgs | FY2026 / base | 1,448.30 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_kgs, base_2026q3_kgs, base_2026q4_kgs). |
| Unmanned Systems revenue ($M) base_fy2026_unmanned | FY2026 / base | 331.70 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_unmanned, base_2026q3_unmanned, base_2026q4_unmanned). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) base_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / base | 419.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) base_fy2026_adjusted_ebitda | FY2026 / base | 174.50 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adjusted_ebitda, base_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, base_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / base | 18.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) base_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo). |
| Gross capital expenditures ($M) base_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / base | 130.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross capex ($M) base_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / base | -90.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q4_fcf). |
| Asset disposal proceeds ($M) base_fy2026_asset_proceeds | FY2026 / base | 13.50 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_asset_proceeds, base_2026q3_asset_proceeds, base_2026q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Cash after capex and asset disposals ($M) base_fy2026_cash_after_disposals | FY2026 / base | -76.50 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_disposals, base_2026q3_cash_after_disposals, base_2026q4_cash_after_disposals). |
| Cash after acquisitions/JV and equity settlements ($M) base_fy2026_cash_after_capital | FY2026 / base | -546.30 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_capital, base_2026q3_cash_after_capital, base_2026q4_cash_after_capital). |
| Revenue ($M) base_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / base | 2,179.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue). |
| Government Solutions revenue ($M) base_fy2027_kgs | FY2027 / base | 1,781.41 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_kgs, base_2027q2_kgs, base_2027q3_kgs, base_2027q4_kgs). |
| Unmanned Systems revenue ($M) base_fy2027_unmanned | FY2027 / base | 398.04 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_unmanned, base_2027q2_unmanned, base_2027q3_unmanned, base_2027q4_unmanned). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) base_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / base | 527.05 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) base_fy2027_adjusted_ebitda | FY2027 / base | 247.60 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, base_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / base | 53.60 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) base_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / base | 175.60 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo). |
| Gross capital expenditures ($M) base_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / base | 150.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross capex ($M) base_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / base | 25.60 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q4_fcf). |
| Asset disposal proceeds ($M) base_fy2027_asset_proceeds | FY2027 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_asset_proceeds, base_2027q2_asset_proceeds, base_2027q3_asset_proceeds, base_2027q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Cash after capex and asset disposals ($M) base_fy2027_cash_after_disposals | FY2027 / base | 25.60 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_disposals, base_2027q2_cash_after_disposals, base_2027q3_cash_after_disposals, base_2027q4_cash_after_disposals). |
| Cash after acquisitions/JV and equity settlements ($M) base_fy2027_cash_after_capital | FY2027 / base | -106.40 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_capital, base_2027q2_cash_after_capital, base_2027q3_cash_after_capital, base_2027q4_cash_after_capital). |
| revenue / guidance midpoint upside_revenue_factor | FY2026 / upside | 102.5% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| FY2026 revenue upside_fy26_revenue_target | FY2026 / upside | 1,824.50 USD_millions | derived: Annual scenario. Formula: multiply(fy26_revenue_guide, upside_revenue_factor). |
| H2 revenue upside_h2_revenue | H2 2026 / upside | 994.70 USD_millions | derived: Preserves H1 actual. Formula: subtract(upside_fy26_revenue_target, h1_revenue). |
| adjusted_ebitda / guidance midpoint upside_adjusted_ebitda_factor | FY2026 / upside | 108.0% ratio | assumption: Desk sensitivity. |
| FY2026 adjusted_ebitda upside_fy26_adjusted_ebitda_target | FY2026 / upside | 188.46 USD_millions | derived: Annual scenario. Formula: multiply(fy26_ebitda_guide, upside_adjusted_ebitda_factor). |
| H2 adjusted_ebitda upside_h2_adjusted_ebitda | H2 2026 / upside | 111.56 USD_millions | derived: Preserves H1 actual. Formula: subtract(upside_fy26_adjusted_ebitda_target, h1_adjusted_ebitda). |
| H2 Unmanned sales upside_unmanned_h2 | H2 2026 / upside | 179.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk allocation within consolidated guidance. |
| FY2026 Unmanned revenue upside_fy26_unmanned | FY2026 / upside | 340.70 USD_millions | derived: Actual plus forecast. Formula: sum(h1_unmanned, upside_unmanned_h2). |
| FY2026 KGS revenue upside_fy26_kgs | FY2026 / upside | 1,483.80 USD_millions | derived: Nomad and Orbit included in the KGS perimeter. Formula: subtract(upside_fy26_revenue_target, upside_fy26_unmanned). |
| FY2027 kgs growth multiplier upside_kgs_growth | FY2027 / upside | 132.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth; includes acquired perimeter, no guaranteed production award assumed. |
| FY2027 kgs revenue upside_fy27_kgs | FY2027 / upside | 1,958.62 USD_millions | derived: Independent segment growth. Formula: multiply(upside_fy26_kgs, upside_kgs_growth). |
| FY2027 unmanned growth multiplier upside_unmanned_growth | FY2027 / upside | 135.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth; includes acquired perimeter, no guaranteed production award assumed. |
| FY2027 unmanned revenue upside_fy27_unmanned | FY2027 / upside | 459.94 USD_millions | derived: Independent segment growth. Formula: multiply(upside_fy26_unmanned, upside_unmanned_growth). |
| Revenue upside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 481.75 USD_millions | derived: Q3 company midpoint times sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q3_revenue_guide, upside_revenue_factor). |
| Unmanned revenue upside_2026q3_unmanned | 2026Q3 / upside | 86.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue upside_2026q3_kgs | 2026Q3 / upside | 395.75 USD_millions | derived: KGS includes closed acquisitions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q3_unmanned). |
| Adjusted EBITDA upside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda | 2026Q3 / upside | 45.90 USD_millions | derived: Q3 earnings reference. Formula: multiply(q3_ebitda_guide, upside_adjusted_ebitda_factor). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin upside_2026q3_kgs_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 25.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit upside_2026q3_kgs_gross | 2026Q3 / upside | 100.92 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_kgs, upside_2026q3_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin upside_2026q3_unmanned_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 27.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit upside_2026q3_unmanned_gross | 2026Q3 / upside | 23.22 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_unmanned, upside_2026q3_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / upside | 124.14 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_kgs_gross, upside_2026q3_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation upside_2026q3_depreciation | 2026Q3 / upside | 11.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization upside_2026q3_amortization | 2026Q3 / upside | 12.50 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation upside_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / upside | 16.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense upside_2026q3_cash_exclusions | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions upside_2026q3_exclusions | 2026Q3 / upside | 41.30 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_depreciation, upside_2026q3_amortization, upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / upside | 4.60 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2026q3_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income upside_2026q3_cash_interest | 2026Q3 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital upside_2026q3_cash_before_uses | 2026Q3 / upside | 55.10 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q3_depreciation, upside_2026q3_amortization, upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use upside_2026q3_working_capital | 2026Q3 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes upside_2026q3_cash_tax | 2026Q3 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use upside_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / upside | 19.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_working_capital, upside_2026q3_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow upside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / upside | 36.10 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cash_before_uses, upside_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures upside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex upside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / upside | -13.90 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals upside_2026q3_asset_proceeds | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals upside_2026q3_cash_after_disposals | 2026Q3 / upside | -13.90 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q3_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash upside_2026q3_grant | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions upside_2026q3_jv | 2026Q3 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding upside_2026q3_withholding | 2026Q3 / upside | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal upside_2026q3_lease_principal | 2026Q3 / upside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses upside_2026q3_capital_uses | 2026Q3 / upside | 28.50 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_jv, upside_2026q3_withholding, upside_2026q3_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants upside_2026q3_after_grants | 2026Q3 / upside | -13.90 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_cash_after_disposals, upside_2026q3_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations upside_2026q3_cash_after_capital | 2026Q3 / upside | -42.40 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_after_grants, upside_2026q3_capital_uses). |
| Revenue upside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 512.95 USD_millions | derived: Annual less actual H1 and forecast Q3. Formula: subtract(upside_h2_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue). |
| Unmanned revenue upside_2026q4_unmanned | 2026Q4 / upside | 93.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue upside_2026q4_kgs | 2026Q4 / upside | 419.95 USD_millions | derived: KGS includes closed acquisitions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_revenue, upside_2026q4_unmanned). |
| Adjusted EBITDA upside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2026Q4 / upside | 65.66 USD_millions | derived: Annual adjusted result less H1 and Q3. Formula: subtract(upside_h2_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin upside_2026q4_kgs_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 25.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit upside_2026q4_kgs_gross | 2026Q4 / upside | 107.09 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_kgs, upside_2026q4_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin upside_2026q4_unmanned_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 27.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit upside_2026q4_unmanned_gross | 2026Q4 / upside | 25.11 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_unmanned, upside_2026q4_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 132.20 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_kgs_gross, upside_2026q4_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation upside_2026q4_depreciation | 2026Q4 / upside | 14.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization upside_2026q4_amortization | 2026Q4 / upside | 11.90 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation upside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / upside | 14.20 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense upside_2026q4_cash_exclusions | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.80 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions upside_2026q4_exclusions | 2026Q4 / upside | 41.40 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_depreciation, upside_2026q4_amortization, upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / upside | 24.26 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2026q4_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income upside_2026q4_cash_interest | 2026Q4 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital upside_2026q4_cash_before_uses | 2026Q4 / upside | 74.86 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_operating_income, upside_2026q4_depreciation, upside_2026q4_amortization, upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use upside_2026q4_working_capital | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes upside_2026q4_cash_tax | 2026Q4 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use upside_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / upside | 4.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_working_capital, upside_2026q4_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow upside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / upside | 70.86 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cash_before_uses, upside_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures upside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 42.90 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex upside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / upside | 27.96 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals upside_2026q4_asset_proceeds | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals upside_2026q4_cash_after_disposals | 2026Q4 / upside | 27.96 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_fcf, upside_2026q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash upside_2026q4_grant | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions upside_2026q4_jv | 2026Q4 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding upside_2026q4_withholding | 2026Q4 / upside | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal upside_2026q4_lease_principal | 2026Q4 / upside | 1.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses upside_2026q4_capital_uses | 2026Q4 / upside | 28.50 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_jv, upside_2026q4_withholding, upside_2026q4_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants upside_2026q4_after_grants | 2026Q4 / upside | 27.96 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cash_after_disposals, upside_2026q4_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations upside_2026q4_cash_after_capital | 2026Q4 / upside | -0.54 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_after_grants, upside_2026q4_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share upside_2027q1_weight | 2027Q1 / upside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue upside_2027q1_kgs | 2027Q1 / upside | 430.90 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_kgs, upside_2027q1_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue upside_2027q1_unmanned | 2027Q1 / upside | 101.19 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_unmanned, upside_2027q1_weight). |
| Revenue upside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 532.08 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_kgs, upside_2027q1_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin upside_2027q1_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 13.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q1_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q1 / upside | 58.17 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_kgs, upside_2027q1_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin upside_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 11.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q1 / upside | 11.13 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_unmanned, upside_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q1 / upside | 69.30 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_kgs_ebitda, upside_2027q1_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin upside_2027q1_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 25.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit upside_2027q1_kgs_gross | 2027Q1 / upside | 109.88 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_kgs, upside_2027q1_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin upside_2027q1_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 27.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit upside_2027q1_unmanned_gross | 2027Q1 / upside | 27.32 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_unmanned, upside_2027q1_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 137.20 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_kgs_gross, upside_2027q1_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation upside_2027q1_depreciation | 2027Q1 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization upside_2027q1_amortization | 2027Q1 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation upside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / upside | 19.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense upside_2027q1_cash_exclusions | 2027Q1 / upside | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions upside_2027q1_exclusions | 2027Q1 / upside | 47.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_depreciation, upside_2027q1_amortization, upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / upside | 22.30 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q1_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income upside_2027q1_cash_interest | 2027Q1 / upside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital upside_2027q1_cash_before_uses | 2027Q1 / upside | 77.30 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q1_depreciation, upside_2027q1_amortization, upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use upside_2027q1_working_capital | 2027Q1 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q1_cash_tax | 2027Q1 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use upside_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / upside | 26.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_working_capital, upside_2027q1_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / upside | 51.30 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_before_uses, upside_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures upside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex upside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / upside | 11.30 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals upside_2027q1_asset_proceeds | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals upside_2027q1_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q1 / upside | 11.30 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q1_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash upside_2027q1_grant | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions upside_2027q1_jv | 2027Q1 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding upside_2027q1_withholding | 2027Q1 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal upside_2027q1_lease_principal | 2027Q1 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses upside_2027q1_capital_uses | 2027Q1 / upside | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_jv, upside_2027q1_withholding, upside_2027q1_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants upside_2027q1_after_grants | 2027Q1 / upside | 11.30 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_disposals, upside_2027q1_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations upside_2027q1_cash_after_capital | 2027Q1 / upside | -21.70 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_after_grants, upside_2027q1_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share upside_2027q2_weight | 2027Q2 / upside | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue upside_2027q2_kgs | 2027Q2 / upside | 470.07 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_kgs, upside_2027q2_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue upside_2027q2_unmanned | 2027Q2 / upside | 110.39 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_unmanned, upside_2027q2_weight). |
| Revenue upside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 580.45 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_kgs, upside_2027q2_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin upside_2027q2_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 13.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q2_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q2 / upside | 63.46 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_kgs, upside_2027q2_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin upside_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 11.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q2 / upside | 12.14 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_unmanned, upside_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q2 / upside | 75.60 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_kgs_ebitda, upside_2027q2_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin upside_2027q2_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 25.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit upside_2027q2_kgs_gross | 2027Q2 / upside | 119.87 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_kgs, upside_2027q2_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin upside_2027q2_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 27.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit upside_2027q2_unmanned_gross | 2027Q2 / upside | 29.80 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_unmanned, upside_2027q2_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 149.67 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_kgs_gross, upside_2027q2_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation upside_2027q2_depreciation | 2027Q2 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization upside_2027q2_amortization | 2027Q2 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation upside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense upside_2027q2_cash_exclusions | 2027Q2 / upside | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions upside_2027q2_exclusions | 2027Q2 / upside | 48.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_depreciation, upside_2027q2_amortization, upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / upside | 27.60 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q2_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income upside_2027q2_cash_interest | 2027Q2 / upside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital upside_2027q2_cash_before_uses | 2027Q2 / upside | 83.60 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q2_depreciation, upside_2027q2_amortization, upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use upside_2027q2_working_capital | 2027Q2 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q2_cash_tax | 2027Q2 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use upside_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / upside | 16.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_working_capital, upside_2027q2_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / upside | 67.60 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_before_uses, upside_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures upside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex upside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / upside | 27.60 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals upside_2027q2_asset_proceeds | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals upside_2027q2_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q2 / upside | 27.60 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q2_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash upside_2027q2_grant | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions upside_2027q2_jv | 2027Q2 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding upside_2027q2_withholding | 2027Q2 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal upside_2027q2_lease_principal | 2027Q2 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses upside_2027q2_capital_uses | 2027Q2 / upside | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_jv, upside_2027q2_withholding, upside_2027q2_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants upside_2027q2_after_grants | 2027Q2 / upside | 27.60 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cash_after_disposals, upside_2027q2_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations upside_2027q2_cash_after_capital | 2027Q2 / upside | -5.40 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_after_grants, upside_2027q2_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share upside_2027q3_weight | 2027Q3 / upside | 26.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue upside_2027q3_kgs | 2027Q3 / upside | 509.24 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_kgs, upside_2027q3_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue upside_2027q3_unmanned | 2027Q3 / upside | 119.59 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_unmanned, upside_2027q3_weight). |
| Revenue upside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 628.83 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_kgs, upside_2027q3_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin upside_2027q3_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 13.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q3_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q3 / upside | 68.75 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_kgs, upside_2027q3_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin upside_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 11.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q3 / upside | 13.15 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_unmanned, upside_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q3 / upside | 81.90 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_kgs_ebitda, upside_2027q3_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin upside_2027q3_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 25.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit upside_2027q3_kgs_gross | 2027Q3 / upside | 129.86 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_kgs, upside_2027q3_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin upside_2027q3_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 27.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit upside_2027q3_unmanned_gross | 2027Q3 / upside | 32.29 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_unmanned, upside_2027q3_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 162.14 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_kgs_gross, upside_2027q3_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation upside_2027q3_depreciation | 2027Q3 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization upside_2027q3_amortization | 2027Q3 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation upside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / upside | 21.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense upside_2027q3_cash_exclusions | 2027Q3 / upside | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions upside_2027q3_exclusions | 2027Q3 / upside | 49.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_depreciation, upside_2027q3_amortization, upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / upside | 32.90 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q3_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income upside_2027q3_cash_interest | 2027Q3 / upside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital upside_2027q3_cash_before_uses | 2027Q3 / upside | 89.90 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q3_depreciation, upside_2027q3_amortization, upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use upside_2027q3_working_capital | 2027Q3 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q3_cash_tax | 2027Q3 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use upside_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / upside | 16.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_working_capital, upside_2027q3_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / upside | 73.90 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_before_uses, upside_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures upside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex upside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / upside | 33.90 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals upside_2027q3_asset_proceeds | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals upside_2027q3_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q3 / upside | 33.90 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q3_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash upside_2027q3_grant | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions upside_2027q3_jv | 2027Q3 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding upside_2027q3_withholding | 2027Q3 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal upside_2027q3_lease_principal | 2027Q3 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses upside_2027q3_capital_uses | 2027Q3 / upside | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_jv, upside_2027q3_withholding, upside_2027q3_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants upside_2027q3_after_grants | 2027Q3 / upside | 33.90 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cash_after_disposals, upside_2027q3_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations upside_2027q3_cash_after_capital | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.90 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_after_grants, upside_2027q3_capital_uses). |
| Annual segment revenue quarter share upside_2027q4_weight | 2027Q4 / upside | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Government Solutions revenue upside_2027q4_kgs | 2027Q4 / upside | 548.41 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_kgs, upside_2027q4_weight). |
| Unmanned revenue upside_2027q4_unmanned | 2027Q4 / upside | 128.78 USD_millions | derived: Desk delivery phasing. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_unmanned, upside_2027q4_weight). |
| Revenue upside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 677.20 USD_millions | derived: Distinct segments. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_kgs, upside_2027q4_unmanned). |
| kgs adjusted margin upside_2027q4_kgs_ebitda_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 13.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q4_kgs_ebitda | 2027Q4 / upside | 74.04 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_kgs, upside_2027q4_kgs_ebitda_margin). |
| unmanned adjusted margin upside_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 11.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda | 2027Q4 / upside | 14.17 USD_millions | derived: Includes allocated adjusted corporate expense. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_unmanned, upside_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda_margin). |
| Adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda | 2027Q4 / upside | 88.20 USD_millions | derived: No pipeline valuation or financing income included. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_kgs_ebitda, upside_2027q4_unmanned_ebitda). |
| kgs GAAP gross margin upside_2027q4_kgs_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 25.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| kgs gross profit upside_2027q4_kgs_gross | 2027Q4 / upside | 139.85 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_kgs, upside_2027q4_kgs_gross_margin). |
| unmanned GAAP gross margin upside_2027q4_unmanned_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 27.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| unmanned gross profit upside_2027q4_unmanned_gross | 2027Q4 / upside | 34.77 USD_millions | derived: Desk mix and cost-execution sensitivity. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_unmanned, upside_2027q4_unmanned_gross_margin). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy upside_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 174.62 USD_millions | derived: Actual segment gross margins are not separately guided. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_kgs_gross, upside_2027q4_unmanned_gross). |
| Depreciation upside_2027q4_depreciation | 2027Q4 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Intangible and contract/development amortization upside_2027q4_amortization | 2027Q4 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes capitalized development amortization once; no second deduction of the same amortization. |
| Ordinary stock compensation upside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / upside | 22.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash acquisition/integration expense upside_2027q4_cash_exclusions | 2027Q4 / upside | 1.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA operating exclusions upside_2027q4_exclusions | 2027Q4 / upside | 50.00 USD_millions | derived: SBC and DA are noncash; integration remains cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_depreciation, upside_2027q4_amortization, upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_cash_exclusions). |
| GAAP operating income proxy upside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / upside | 38.20 USD_millions | derived: No repeated fair-value reversal or speculative gain. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q4_exclusions). |
| Net cash investment income upside_2027q4_cash_interest | 2027Q4 / upside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Cash earnings before working capital upside_2027q4_cash_before_uses | 2027Q4 / upside | 96.20 USD_millions | derived: Investment income from the existing cash balance; no equity offering proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_operating_income, upside_2027q4_depreciation, upside_2027q4_amortization, upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_cash_interest). |
| Unbilled/inventory and other net operating cash use upside_2027q4_working_capital | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes work-in-process previously described as prospective capex; not deducted in PP&E a second time. |
| Cash taxes upside_2027q4_cash_tax | 2027Q4 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital and tax cash use upside_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | derived: Net cash timing after customer and supplier financing. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_working_capital, upside_2027q4_cash_tax). |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / upside | 90.20 USD_millions | derived: No asset sales, grants or financing proceeds. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_before_uses, upside_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Gross capital expenditures upside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Includes normal maintenance and factory/aircraft capital, but excludes the separately modeled inventory cash use. |
| CFO less gross capex upside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / upside | 50.20 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic cash measure, not forced to the independently published company FCF range. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash from asset disposals upside_2027q4_asset_proceeds | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: No recurring sale proceeds assumed after H1; changing this affects investing cash only. |
| Cash after asset disposals upside_2027q4_cash_after_disposals | 2027Q4 / upside | 50.20 USD_millions | derived: Preserves the distinction highlighted by Q2 company-owned aircraft sales. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_fcf, upside_2027q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Construction grant cash upside_2027q4_grant | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV capital contributions upside_2027q4_jv | 2027Q4 / upside | 6.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Award tax withholding upside_2027q4_withholding | 2027Q4 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Finance lease principal upside_2027q4_lease_principal | 2027Q4 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| JV, award and lease cash uses upside_2027q4_capital_uses | 2027Q4 / upside | 33.00 USD_millions | derived: No further M&A or equity offering assumed. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_jv, upside_2027q4_withholding, upside_2027q4_lease_principal). |
| Cash after capital grants upside_2027q4_after_grants | 2027Q4 / upside | 50.20 USD_millions | derived: Grant cash does not change operating income. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cash_after_disposals, upside_2027q4_grant). |
| Cash after capital allocations upside_2027q4_cash_after_capital | 2027Q4 / upside | 17.20 USD_millions | derived: Before financing proceeds and other acquisitions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_after_grants, upside_2027q4_capital_uses). |
| Revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / upside | 1,824.50 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue). |
| Government Solutions revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_kgs | FY2026 / upside | 1,483.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_kgs, upside_2026q3_kgs, upside_2026q4_kgs). |
| Unmanned Systems revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_unmanned | FY2026 / upside | 340.70 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_unmanned, upside_2026q3_unmanned, upside_2026q4_unmanned). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / upside | 446.03 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) upside_fy2026_adjusted_ebitda | FY2026 / upside | 188.46 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2026q3_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2026q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / upside | 31.96 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) upside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / upside | 68.56 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Gross capital expenditures ($M) upside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / upside | 130.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross capex ($M) upside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / upside | -61.44 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Asset disposal proceeds ($M) upside_fy2026_asset_proceeds | FY2026 / upside | 13.50 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_asset_proceeds, upside_2026q3_asset_proceeds, upside_2026q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Cash after capex and asset disposals ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_after_disposals | FY2026 / upside | -47.94 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_disposals, upside_2026q3_cash_after_disposals, upside_2026q4_cash_after_disposals). |
| Cash after acquisitions/JV and equity settlements ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_after_capital | FY2026 / upside | -517.74 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_capital, upside_2026q3_cash_after_capital, upside_2026q4_cash_after_capital). |
| Revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / upside | 2,418.56 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue). |
| Government Solutions revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_kgs | FY2027 / upside | 1,958.62 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_kgs, upside_2027q2_kgs, upside_2027q3_kgs, upside_2027q4_kgs). |
| Unmanned Systems revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_unmanned | FY2027 / upside | 459.94 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_unmanned, upside_2027q2_unmanned, upside_2027q3_unmanned, upside_2027q4_unmanned). |
| GAAP gross profit proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / upside | 623.63 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) upside_fy2027_adjusted_ebitda | FY2027 / upside | 315.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q2_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q3_adjusted_ebitda, upside_2027q4_adjusted_ebitda). |
| GAAP operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / upside | 121.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) upside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / upside | 283.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Gross capital expenditures ($M) upside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / upside | 160.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less gross capex ($M) upside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / upside | 123.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q4_fcf). |
| Asset disposal proceeds ($M) upside_fy2027_asset_proceeds | FY2027 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_asset_proceeds, upside_2027q2_asset_proceeds, upside_2027q3_asset_proceeds, upside_2027q4_asset_proceeds). |
| Cash after capex and asset disposals ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_after_disposals | FY2027 / upside | 123.01 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_disposals, upside_2027q2_cash_after_disposals, upside_2027q3_cash_after_disposals, upside_2027q4_cash_after_disposals). |
| Cash after acquisitions/JV and equity settlements ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_after_capital | FY2027 / upside | -8.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_capital, upside_2027q2_cash_after_capital, upside_2027q3_cash_after_capital, upside_2027q4_cash_after_capital). |
Model boundaries
- Company backlog includes funded and unfunded commitments; the $15B bid pipeline is not contracted revenue. Proposed government budgets and capacity targets are not orders.
- The reported Q2 growth rate includes Nomad and Orbit; the organic growth rate is lower. Forecast segment sales include these already acquired businesses without adding acquisition revenue again.
- The annual CFO, capex and FCF guidance ranges are separately published ranges, not a disclosed matched-endpoint reconciliation. This model computes its own CFO-minus-gross-capex measure and shows disposal cash separately.
- Q2 company FCF adds $9.3M proceeds from company-owned Valkyries. Asset proceeds and construction grants are investing cash; they do not improve modeled revenue, earnings or CFO.
- Working-capital investment in engines and drone work-in-process is in CFO. It is not also treated as PP&E. Some previously planned capex moved to customer-funded work or inventory classifications.
- There is no complete balance sheet, contract cost-at-completion rollforward or forward EPS. Further acquisitions, grants, aircraft sales and equity financing are not presumed.
Defense growth before the capacity build pays for itself
Can production growth outrun the cash committed to factories, inventory and unbilled work?
H1 sales of $829.8M comprised $668.1M Government Solutions and $161.7M Unmanned Systems. Adjusted EBITDA was $76.9M versus $3.1M operating income. CFO was negative $38.4M, gross capex $37.1M and CFO less capex negative $75.5M. Asset disposals supplied $13.5M; Q2 company FCF specifically added $9.3M from company-owned aircraft. H1 acquisitions consumed $346.8M, JV funding $6.9M and award withholding $59.1M. Net equity proceeds of $1,348.4M are financing, not cash generated by customers. June cash was $1,437.6M. Backlog included approximately $1,572M funded and $512.7M unfunded; the $15B bid pipeline is separate. Guidance calls for $1.750B-$1.810B sales, $173M-$176M adjusted EBITDA, $30M-$50M CFO and $125M-$135M capex, with a separately published $85M-$105M FCF use. The model keeps these definitions and independent ranges visible.
The competing explanation
Investment can be economically justified yet dilute owners or depress cash for years before contract conversion. Customer-funded work, inventory and capital equipment classifications can shift without changing the total cash burden. A strong backlog does not eliminate fixed-price cost, staffing or milestone risk.
Risks to track
- Appropriations and contract timing can delay funded production.
- Bid pipeline and manufacturing targets are not guaranteed demand.
- Inventory, development and unbilled work consume cash ahead of collections.
- Acquisition mix and integration complicate organic growth comparisons.
- Fixed-price cost execution and FX can pressure margins.
- Asset sales, grants and equity financing can obscure recurring cash conversion.
Next checkpoints
- Q3 and annual delivery · Q3 ends September 27; FY2026 ends December 27 (estimated). Compare $460M-$480M Q3 sales and $40M-$45M adjusted EBITDA with cash investment.
- Capacity spending · Through 2027 company investment period (estimated). Separate inventory/work-in-process in CFO from gross PP&E, asset sales and grants.
- Funded backlog · Each quarterly filing (estimated). Track appropriated work and conversion independently from the bid pipeline.
Data coverage and open work
- Company backlog includes funded and unfunded commitments; the $15B bid pipeline is not contracted revenue. Proposed government budgets and capacity targets are not orders.
- The reported Q2 growth rate includes Nomad and Orbit; the organic growth rate is lower. Forecast segment sales include these already acquired businesses without adding acquisition revenue again.
- The annual CFO, capex and FCF guidance ranges are separately published ranges, not a disclosed matched-endpoint reconciliation. This model computes its own CFO-minus-gross-capex measure and shows disposal cash separately.
- Q2 company FCF adds $9.3M proceeds from company-owned Valkyries. Asset proceeds and construction grants are investing cash; they do not improve modeled revenue, earnings or CFO.
- Working-capital investment in engines and drone work-in-process is in CFO. It is not also treated as PP&E. Some previously planned capex moved to customer-funded work or inventory classifications.
- There is no complete balance sheet, contract cost-at-completion rollforward or forward EPS. Further acquisitions, grants, aircraft sales and equity financing are not presumed.
What the memory says
State as of the 2026-09-18 close: in a 120-day downtrend, below its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, ordinary volume, closed weak, and some peers moving
| Vs the market, in points | Low | Middle | High | Share up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | -2.5 | +0.5 | +3.5 | 60% |
| 5 sessions | -5.7 | +0.5 | +7.2 | 53% |
| 10 sessions | -6.4 | +0.4 | +9.7 | 51% |
Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side.