ALPHAFORGE RESEARCH · COMPANY FILE · FINANCIALS & FINTECH

$KLAR

Klarna Group plc · NYSE · SIC 6199 · CIK 2003292 · revision 6 as of 2026-09-19

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Business

Klarna operates a payments and consumer-finance network with bank funding. It earns merchant and consumer service fees, interest and receivable-sale income, while incurring processing, credit and funding costs. Deposits, retained receivables and senior support for offloading arrangements determine cash and capital needs.

Three drivers

  1. GMV, service monetization and financing-product mix
  2. Credit, processing and funding costs after presentation changes
  3. Deposits, retained loans and forward-flow senior funding

Thesis

Our view

Transaction margin is more informative than the reported revenue take rate during the H2 accounting change. Improved adjusted earnings still need to support credit risk, deposit liabilities, retained financing assets and shareholder compensation.

What changes it

Compare like-for-like transaction margin and actual loan/deposit cash with IFRS profit; do not treat litigation awards, risk transfers or facility capacity as realized shareholder cash.

Scenario ranges

Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.

Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)

Fiscal quarter2024Q3
2024-09-30
2024Q4
2024-12-31
2025Q1
2025-03-31
2025Q2
2025-06-30
2025Q3
2025-09-30
2025Q4
2025-12-31
2026Q1
2026-03-31
2026Q2
2026-06-30
Revenue ($M)706.01781.01701.01823.01903.011,082.011,012.011,042.01
Gross profit ($M)
Operating income ($M)13.02-101.02-90.02-46.02-83.02-11.0217.0227.02
Net income ($M)12.0340.03-99.03-53.03-95.03-26.031.039.03
EPS, diluted ($)
Diluted shares (M)
Cash ($M)3,243.044,105.045,504.046,795.043,803.042,806.042,672.04
Long-term debt ($M)
Cash from operations ($M)
Capex ($M)
Free cash flow ($M)

† derived (Q4 = fiscal year minus the first three quarters; year-to-date cash flows differenced; FCF = CFO − capex). Superscripts are the provenance notes below.

Estimates · base scenario

PeriodRevenue ($M)EPS ($)As ofBasis
2026Q3960.02026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: IFRS total revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2026Q41,106.02026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: IFRS total revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q11,120.02026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: IFRS total revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q21,180.02026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: IFRS total revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.

Transaction margin, accounting presentation and bank funding cash

Operating scenarios · reviewed 2026-09-19 · USD millions unless labeled otherwise · our assumptions, not consensus

Drive transaction/service revenue from GMV and a mixed realization factor, with interest income and receivable-sale gains separately. Deduct processing, credit and funding costs. Apply the H2 fair-value presentation reduction equally to revenue and transaction costs, while identifying its separate recognition-timing benefit. Base Q3 and FY2026 revenue/adjusted operating income match updated guidance; annual TMD grows about 30%. Bridge to IFRS operating profit and model loan deployment, senior funding to forward-flow counterparties, deposits and treasury investment inside bank operating cash. Loan sales and deposits are not owner income.

Reported anchors and guidance

MeasurePeriodValueBasis
q2 gmvJune 2026 / FY202536,648.00reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-18
Q3 revenue midpoint2026Q3960.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
FY2026 revenue midpointFY20264,120.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
Q3 adjusted operating income midpoint2026Q310.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
FY2026 adjusted operating income midpointFY2026290.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
H1 tmdH1 2026835.00reported. USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Source · 2026-08-18
H1 rounded-table reconciliation differenceH1 20261.00derived. Explicit $1M residual from rounded statement/reconciliation amounts.
H1 cfoH1 2026-1,213.00reported. USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Source · 2026-08-18
H1 selected bank balance cash flowsH1 2026-2,244.00derived. Isolates named cash-flow lines only.
H1 CFO excluding selected balance-sheet flowsH1 20261,031.00derived. Analytical comparison; includes all other cash/accrual/settlement effects, not normalized earnings.
H1 bank CFO after capex and lease principalH1 2026-1,238.00derived. Not bank regulatory dividend capacity.
cashJune 2026 / FY20252,672.00reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-18
consumer depositsJune 2026 / FY202511,673.00reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-18
amortized receivablesJune 2026 / FY20258,831.00reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-18
fvoci receivablesJune 2026 / FY2025718.00reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-18
fvtpl receivablesJune 2026 / FY2025204.00reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-18
senior funding assetsJune 2026 / FY2025526.00reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-18
notes and borrowingsJune 2026 / FY20251,687.00reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-18

Downside scenario

PeriodBank operating cash flow proxy ($M)Transaction margin dollars ($M)Cash intangible and fixed assets ($M)IFRS total revenue ($M)Consumer deposit cash inflow ($M)Adjusted operating income ($M)Lease principal cash ($M)Net consumer-loan cash deployment ($M)Bank CFO less capex and leases ($M)IFRS operating profit proxy ($M)Net forward-flow senior funding ($M)Treasury asset cash deployment ($M)
2026Q3-652.00270.0010.00900.00-400.00-80.005.00200.00-667.00-203.00150.000.00
2026Q4-435.00360.0011.001,020.00-200.0030.005.00300.00-451.00-48.00180.000.00
2027Q1-379.00320.0012.00980.00-100.00-35.005.00200.00-396.00-118.00180.0050.00
2027Q2-446.00330.0013.001,020.00-100.00-35.005.00250.00-464.00-123.00200.0050.00
FY2026-2,300.001,465.0037.003,974.00-1,204.00109.0019.00574.00-2,356.00-207.00895.001,042.00
FY2027-1,659.001,395.0054.004,240.00-300.00-105.0020.001,000.00-1,733.00-467.00840.00200.00

Base scenario

PeriodBank operating cash flow proxy ($M)Transaction margin dollars ($M)Cash intangible and fixed assets ($M)IFRS total revenue ($M)Consumer deposit cash inflow ($M)Adjusted operating income ($M)Lease principal cash ($M)Net consumer-loan cash deployment ($M)Bank CFO less capex and leases ($M)IFRS operating profit proxy ($M)Net forward-flow senior funding ($M)Treasury asset cash deployment ($M)
2026Q3-315.25350.0010.00960.00-100.0010.005.00150.00-330.25-113.00120.00100.00
2026Q4-46.95424.4011.001,106.00150.00121.005.00250.00-62.9543.00150.00100.00
2027Q1-154.00450.0012.001,120.00100.0080.005.00250.00-171.00-3.00150.00100.00
2027Q2-165.00480.0013.001,180.00150.0090.005.00300.00-183.002.00175.00100.00
FY2026-1,575.201,609.4037.004,120.00-554.00290.0019.00474.00-1,631.20-26.00835.001,242.00
FY2027-574.752,090.0054.004,980.00600.00495.0020.001,250.00-648.75133.00750.00400.00

Upside scenario

PeriodBank operating cash flow proxy ($M)Transaction margin dollars ($M)Cash intangible and fixed assets ($M)IFRS total revenue ($M)Consumer deposit cash inflow ($M)Adjusted operating income ($M)Lease principal cash ($M)Net consumer-loan cash deployment ($M)Bank CFO less capex and leases ($M)IFRS operating profit proxy ($M)Net forward-flow senior funding ($M)Treasury asset cash deployment ($M)
2026Q3-225.35390.0010.001,040.00100.0040.005.00200.00-240.35-83.00140.00150.00
2026Q4-61.00490.0011.001,240.00300.00160.005.00350.00-77.0082.00180.00150.00
2027Q1-186.50550.0012.001,300.00250.00160.005.00400.00-203.5077.00200.00150.00
2027Q2-203.00620.0013.001,450.00300.00190.005.00450.00-221.00102.00240.00175.00
FY2026-1,499.351,715.0037.004,334.00-204.00359.0019.00624.00-1,555.3543.00885.001,342.00
FY2027-787.002,760.0054.006,200.001,350.00935.0020.002,000.00-861.00573.001,080.00750.00
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
Input / calculationPeriod / caseValue / unitEvidence or assumption
H1 revenue
h1_revenue
H1 2026 / shared2,054.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 tmd
h1_tmd
H1 2026 / shared835.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 adj operating
h1_adj_operating
H1 2026 / shared159.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 operating income
h1_operating_income
H1 2026 / shared44.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 cfo
h1_cfo
H1 2026 / shared-1,213.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 loan deployment
h1_loan_deployment
H1 2026 / shared74.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions; figures rounded. H1 loan deployment = 315 FVOCI use less 194 FVTPL inflow and 47 amortized-cost inflow. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 senior deployment
h1_senior_deployment
H1 2026 / shared565.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 deposit flow
h1_deposit_flow
H1 2026 / shared-604.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 treasury deployment
h1_treasury_deployment
H1 2026 / shared1,042.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 capex
h1_capex
H1 2026 / shared16.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 lease principal
h1_lease_principal
H1 2026 / shared9.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 sbc
h1_sbc
H1 2026 / shared67.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 adjusted da
h1_adjusted_da
H1 2026 / shared47.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 cashflow da
h1_cashflow_da
H1 2026 / shared44.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 restructuring
h1_restructuring
H1 2026 / shared2.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 operating notes flow
h1_operating_notes_flow
H1 2026 / shared41.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 credit expense
h1_credit_expense
H1 2026 / shared378.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 cashflow credit provision
h1_cashflow_credit_provision
H1 2026 / shared492.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 loan sale gain
h1_loan_sale_gain
H1 2026 / shared126.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 funding fv
h1_funding_fv
H1 2026 / shared96.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 gmv
h1_gmv
H1 2026 / shared70,339.00
USD_millions
reported: USD millions from IFRS statements and supplementary metrics; rounded amounts may not add exactly. Primary source · 2026-08-18
H1 capex and lease cash
h1_capital_cash
H1 2026 / shared25.00
USD_millions
derived: Lease principal is financing cash under IFRS. Formula: sum(h1_capex, h1_lease_principal).
H1 bank CFO after capex and lease principal
h1_cash_after_capex
H1 2026 / shared-1,238.00
USD_millions
derived: Not bank regulatory dividend capacity. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_capital_cash).
Deposits and operating notes flow
h1_selected_funding
H1 2026 / shared-563.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits are liabilities, not revenue. Formula: sum(h1_deposit_flow, h1_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury cash deployment
h1_selected_deployment
H1 2026 / shared1,681.00
USD_millions
derived: Operating cash classification in furnished bank statements. Formula: sum(h1_loan_deployment, h1_senior_deployment, h1_treasury_deployment).
H1 selected bank balance cash flows
h1_selected_balance_flows
H1 2026 / shared-2,244.00
USD_millions
derived: Isolates named cash-flow lines only. Formula: subtract(h1_selected_funding, h1_selected_deployment).
H1 CFO excluding selected balance-sheet flows
h1_cash_before_balances
H1 2026 / shared1,031.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical comparison; includes all other cash/accrual/settlement effects, not normalized earnings. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_selected_balance_flows).
H1 adjusted-income exclusions
h1_adjustments
H1 2026 / shared116.00
USD_millions
derived: Uses adjusted reconciliation D&A, not cash-flow D&A. Formula: sum(h1_sbc, h1_adjusted_da, h1_restructuring).
H1 IFRS bridge before rounding residual
h1_gaap_before_rounding
H1 2026 / shared43.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported tables are rounded to USD millions. Formula: subtract(h1_adj_operating, h1_adjustments).
H1 rounded-table reconciliation difference
h1_rounding_residual
H1 2026 / shared1.00
USD_millions
derived: Explicit $1M residual from rounded statement/reconciliation amounts. Formula: subtract(h1_operating_income, h1_gaap_before_rounding).
q2 gmv
q2_gmv
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared36,648.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
q2 service
q2_service
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared707.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
q2 interest
q2_interest
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared266.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
q2 gain
q2_gain
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared69.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
cash
cash
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared2,672.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
securities
securities
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared2,593.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
amortized receivables
amortized_receivables
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared8,831.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
fvoci receivables
fvoci_receivables
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared718.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
fvtpl receivables
fvtpl_receivables
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared204.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
senior funding assets
senior_funding_assets
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared526.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
consumer deposits
consumer_deposits
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared11,673.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
merchant payables
merchant_payables
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared934.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
notes and borrowings
notes_and_borrowings
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared1,687.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
fy25 tmd
fy25_tmd
June 2026 / FY2025 / shared1,238.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-18
Q3 revenue low
q3_revenue_low
2026Q3 / shared940.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-18
Q3 revenue high
q3_revenue_high
2026Q3 / shared980.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-18
Midpoint divisor
two
Model / shared200.0%
ratio
assumption: Arithmetic constant.
Q3 revenue endpoint sum
q3_revenue_sum
2026Q3 / shared1,920.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q3_revenue_low, q3_revenue_high).
Q3 revenue midpoint
q3_revenue
2026Q3 / shared960.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q3_revenue_sum, two).
FY2026 revenue low
fy26_revenue_low
FY2026 / shared4,080.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-18
FY2026 revenue high
fy26_revenue_high
FY2026 / shared4,160.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-18
FY2026 revenue endpoint sum
fy26_revenue_sum
FY2026 / shared8,240.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy26_revenue_low, fy26_revenue_high).
FY2026 revenue midpoint
fy26_revenue
FY2026 / shared4,120.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy26_revenue_sum, two).
Q3 adjusted operating income low
q3_adj_op_low
2026Q3 / shared5.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-18
Q3 adjusted operating income high
q3_adj_op_high
2026Q3 / shared15.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-18
Q3 adjusted operating income endpoint sum
q3_adj_op_sum
2026Q3 / shared20.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q3_adj_op_low, q3_adj_op_high).
Q3 adjusted operating income midpoint
q3_adj_op
2026Q3 / shared10.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q3_adj_op_sum, two).
FY2026 adjusted operating income low
fy26_adj_op_low
FY2026 / shared280.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-18
FY2026 adjusted operating income high
fy26_adj_op_high
FY2026 / shared300.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-18
FY2026 adjusted operating income endpoint sum
fy26_adj_op_sum
FY2026 / shared580.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy26_adj_op_low, fy26_adj_op_high).
FY2026 adjusted operating income midpoint
fy26_adj_op
FY2026 / shared290.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy26_adj_op_sum, two).
Gross merchandise volume
downside_2026q3_gmv
2026Q3 / downside33,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
downside_2026q3_presentation_ratio
2026Q3 / downside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
downside_2026q3_presentation_reduction
2026Q3 / downside33.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_gmv, downside_2026q3_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
downside_2026q3_interest_income
2026Q3 / downside245.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
downside_2026q3_loan_sale_gain
2026Q3 / downside85.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
downside_2026q3_service_yield
2026Q3 / downside1.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
downside_2026q3_service_revenue
2026Q3 / downside603.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_gmv, downside_2026q3_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
downside_2026q3_pre_presentation_revenue
2026Q3 / downside933.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_service_revenue, downside_2026q3_interest_income, downside_2026q3_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
downside_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / downside900.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_pre_presentation_revenue, downside_2026q3_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
downside_2026q3_processing_ratio
2026Q3 / downside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
downside_2026q3_processing_cost
2026Q3 / downside244.20
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_gmv, downside_2026q3_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
downside_2026q3_credit_ratio
2026Q3 / downside0.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
downside_2026q3_credit_expense
2026Q3 / downside264.00
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_gmv, downside_2026q3_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
downside_2026q3_recognition_timing
2026Q3 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
downside_2026q3_funding_fv
2026Q3 / downside45.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
downside_2026q3_cash_funding_expense
2026Q3 / downside119.80
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
downside_2026q3_funding_cost
2026Q3 / downside164.80
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_cash_funding_expense, downside_2026q3_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
downside_2026q3_raw_transaction_cost
2026Q3 / downside673.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_processing_cost, downside_2026q3_credit_expense, downside_2026q3_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
downside_2026q3_accounting_reductions
2026Q3 / downside43.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_presentation_reduction, downside_2026q3_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
downside_2026q3_transaction_cost
2026Q3 / downside630.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_raw_transaction_cost, downside_2026q3_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
downside_2026q3_tmd
2026Q3 / downside270.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q3_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
downside_2026q3_adjusted_opex
2026Q3 / downside350.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
downside_2026q3_adj_operating
2026Q3 / downside-80.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_tmd, downside_2026q3_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
downside_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / downside95.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
downside_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / downside24.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
downside_2026q3_restructuring
2026Q3 / downside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
downside_2026q3_ifrs_adjustments
2026Q3 / downside123.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_da, downside_2026q3_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
downside_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / downside-203.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adj_operating, downside_2026q3_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
downside_2026q3_noncash_credit_bridge
2026Q3 / downside229.00
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_adj_operating, downside_2026q3_credit_expense, downside_2026q3_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
downside_2026q3_cash_tax
2026Q3 / downside12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
downside_2026q3_other_settlement_use
2026Q3 / downside20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
downside_2026q3_cash_earnings_adjustment
2026Q3 / downside131.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_loan_sale_gain, downside_2026q3_recognition_timing, downside_2026q3_restructuring, downside_2026q3_cash_tax, downside_2026q3_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
downside_2026q3_cash_before_bank_balances
2026Q3 / downside98.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_noncash_credit_bridge, downside_2026q3_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
downside_2026q3_loan_deployment
2026Q3 / downside200.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
downside_2026q3_senior_deployment
2026Q3 / downside150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
downside_2026q3_deposit_flow
2026Q3 / downside-400.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
downside_2026q3_treasury_deployment
2026Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
downside_2026q3_operating_notes_flow
2026Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
downside_2026q3_bank_funding_inflow
2026Q3 / downside-302.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_cash_before_bank_balances, downside_2026q3_deposit_flow, downside_2026q3_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
downside_2026q3_bank_asset_deployment
2026Q3 / downside350.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_loan_deployment, downside_2026q3_senior_deployment, downside_2026q3_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
downside_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / downside-652.00
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_bank_funding_inflow, downside_2026q3_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
downside_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
downside_2026q3_lease_principal
2026Q3 / downside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
downside_2026q3_capital_cash
2026Q3 / downside15.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q3_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
downside_2026q3_cash_after_capex
2026Q3 / downside-667.00
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
downside_2026q4_gmv
2026Q4 / downside40,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
downside_2026q4_presentation_ratio
2026Q4 / downside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
downside_2026q4_presentation_reduction
2026Q4 / downside40.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_gmv, downside_2026q4_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
downside_2026q4_interest_income
2026Q4 / downside260.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
downside_2026q4_loan_sale_gain
2026Q4 / downside95.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
downside_2026q4_service_yield
2026Q4 / downside1.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
downside_2026q4_service_revenue
2026Q4 / downside705.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_gmv, downside_2026q4_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
downside_2026q4_pre_presentation_revenue
2026Q4 / downside1,060.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_service_revenue, downside_2026q4_interest_income, downside_2026q4_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
downside_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / downside1,020.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_pre_presentation_revenue, downside_2026q4_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
downside_2026q4_processing_ratio
2026Q4 / downside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
downside_2026q4_processing_cost
2026Q4 / downside296.00
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_gmv, downside_2026q4_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
downside_2026q4_credit_ratio
2026Q4 / downside0.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
downside_2026q4_credit_expense
2026Q4 / downside320.00
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_gmv, downside_2026q4_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
downside_2026q4_recognition_timing
2026Q4 / downside20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
downside_2026q4_funding_fv
2026Q4 / downside50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
downside_2026q4_cash_funding_expense
2026Q4 / downside54.00
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
downside_2026q4_funding_cost
2026Q4 / downside104.00
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cash_funding_expense, downside_2026q4_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
downside_2026q4_raw_transaction_cost
2026Q4 / downside720.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_processing_cost, downside_2026q4_credit_expense, downside_2026q4_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
downside_2026q4_accounting_reductions
2026Q4 / downside60.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_presentation_reduction, downside_2026q4_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
downside_2026q4_transaction_cost
2026Q4 / downside660.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_raw_transaction_cost, downside_2026q4_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
downside_2026q4_tmd
2026Q4 / downside360.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_revenue, downside_2026q4_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
downside_2026q4_adjusted_opex
2026Q4 / downside330.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
downside_2026q4_adj_operating
2026Q4 / downside30.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_tmd, downside_2026q4_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
downside_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / downside49.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
downside_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / downside25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
downside_2026q4_restructuring
2026Q4 / downside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
downside_2026q4_ifrs_adjustments
2026Q4 / downside78.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_da, downside_2026q4_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
downside_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / downside-48.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adj_operating, downside_2026q4_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
downside_2026q4_noncash_credit_bridge
2026Q4 / downside400.00
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_adj_operating, downside_2026q4_credit_expense, downside_2026q4_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
downside_2026q4_cash_tax
2026Q4 / downside14.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
downside_2026q4_other_settlement_use
2026Q4 / downside22.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
downside_2026q4_cash_earnings_adjustment
2026Q4 / downside155.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_loan_sale_gain, downside_2026q4_recognition_timing, downside_2026q4_restructuring, downside_2026q4_cash_tax, downside_2026q4_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
downside_2026q4_cash_before_bank_balances
2026Q4 / downside245.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_noncash_credit_bridge, downside_2026q4_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
downside_2026q4_loan_deployment
2026Q4 / downside300.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
downside_2026q4_senior_deployment
2026Q4 / downside180.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
downside_2026q4_deposit_flow
2026Q4 / downside-200.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
downside_2026q4_treasury_deployment
2026Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
downside_2026q4_operating_notes_flow
2026Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
downside_2026q4_bank_funding_inflow
2026Q4 / downside45.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cash_before_bank_balances, downside_2026q4_deposit_flow, downside_2026q4_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
downside_2026q4_bank_asset_deployment
2026Q4 / downside480.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_loan_deployment, downside_2026q4_senior_deployment, downside_2026q4_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
downside_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / downside-435.00
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_bank_funding_inflow, downside_2026q4_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
downside_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / downside11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
downside_2026q4_lease_principal
2026Q4 / downside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
downside_2026q4_capital_cash
2026Q4 / downside16.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_capex, downside_2026q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
downside_2026q4_cash_after_capex
2026Q4 / downside-451.00
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
downside_2027q1_gmv
2027Q1 / downside35,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
downside_2027q1_presentation_ratio
2027Q1 / downside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
downside_2027q1_presentation_reduction
2027Q1 / downside35.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_gmv, downside_2027q1_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
downside_2027q1_interest_income
2027Q1 / downside275.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
downside_2027q1_loan_sale_gain
2027Q1 / downside105.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
downside_2027q1_service_yield
2027Q1 / downside1.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
downside_2027q1_service_revenue
2027Q1 / downside635.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_gmv, downside_2027q1_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
downside_2027q1_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q1 / downside1,015.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_service_revenue, downside_2027q1_interest_income, downside_2027q1_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
downside_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / downside980.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_pre_presentation_revenue, downside_2027q1_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
downside_2027q1_processing_ratio
2027Q1 / downside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
downside_2027q1_processing_cost
2027Q1 / downside259.00
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_gmv, downside_2027q1_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
downside_2027q1_credit_ratio
2027Q1 / downside0.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
downside_2027q1_credit_expense
2027Q1 / downside280.00
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_gmv, downside_2027q1_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
downside_2027q1_recognition_timing
2027Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
downside_2027q1_funding_fv
2027Q1 / downside55.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
downside_2027q1_cash_funding_expense
2027Q1 / downside101.00
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
downside_2027q1_funding_cost
2027Q1 / downside156.00
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_funding_expense, downside_2027q1_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
downside_2027q1_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q1 / downside695.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_processing_cost, downside_2027q1_credit_expense, downside_2027q1_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
downside_2027q1_accounting_reductions
2027Q1 / downside35.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_presentation_reduction, downside_2027q1_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
downside_2027q1_transaction_cost
2027Q1 / downside660.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_raw_transaction_cost, downside_2027q1_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
downside_2027q1_tmd
2027Q1 / downside320.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q1_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
downside_2027q1_adjusted_opex
2027Q1 / downside355.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
downside_2027q1_adj_operating
2027Q1 / downside-35.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_tmd, downside_2027q1_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
downside_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / downside53.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
downside_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / downside26.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
downside_2027q1_restructuring
2027Q1 / downside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
downside_2027q1_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q1 / downside83.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_da, downside_2027q1_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
downside_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / downside-118.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adj_operating, downside_2027q1_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
downside_2027q1_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q1 / downside300.00
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adj_operating, downside_2027q1_credit_expense, downside_2027q1_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
downside_2027q1_cash_tax
2027Q1 / downside16.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
downside_2027q1_other_settlement_use
2027Q1 / downside24.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
downside_2027q1_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q1 / downside149.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_loan_sale_gain, downside_2027q1_recognition_timing, downside_2027q1_restructuring, downside_2027q1_cash_tax, downside_2027q1_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
downside_2027q1_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q1 / downside151.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_noncash_credit_bridge, downside_2027q1_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
downside_2027q1_loan_deployment
2027Q1 / downside200.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
downside_2027q1_senior_deployment
2027Q1 / downside180.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
downside_2027q1_deposit_flow
2027Q1 / downside-100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
downside_2027q1_treasury_deployment
2027Q1 / downside50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
downside_2027q1_operating_notes_flow
2027Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
downside_2027q1_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q1 / downside51.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_before_bank_balances, downside_2027q1_deposit_flow, downside_2027q1_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
downside_2027q1_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q1 / downside430.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_loan_deployment, downside_2027q1_senior_deployment, downside_2027q1_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / downside-379.00
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_bank_funding_inflow, downside_2027q1_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
downside_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / downside12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
downside_2027q1_lease_principal
2027Q1 / downside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
downside_2027q1_capital_cash
2027Q1 / downside17.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q1_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
downside_2027q1_cash_after_capex
2027Q1 / downside-396.00
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
downside_2027q2_gmv
2027Q2 / downside36,500.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
downside_2027q2_presentation_ratio
2027Q2 / downside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
downside_2027q2_presentation_reduction
2027Q2 / downside36.50
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_gmv, downside_2027q2_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
downside_2027q2_interest_income
2027Q2 / downside290.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
downside_2027q2_loan_sale_gain
2027Q2 / downside115.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
downside_2027q2_service_yield
2027Q2 / downside1.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
downside_2027q2_service_revenue
2027Q2 / downside651.50
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_gmv, downside_2027q2_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
downside_2027q2_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q2 / downside1,056.50
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_service_revenue, downside_2027q2_interest_income, downside_2027q2_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
downside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / downside1,020.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_pre_presentation_revenue, downside_2027q2_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
downside_2027q2_processing_ratio
2027Q2 / downside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
downside_2027q2_processing_cost
2027Q2 / downside270.10
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_gmv, downside_2027q2_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
downside_2027q2_credit_ratio
2027Q2 / downside0.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
downside_2027q2_credit_expense
2027Q2 / downside292.00
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_gmv, downside_2027q2_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
downside_2027q2_recognition_timing
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
downside_2027q2_funding_fv
2027Q2 / downside60.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
downside_2027q2_cash_funding_expense
2027Q2 / downside104.40
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
downside_2027q2_funding_cost
2027Q2 / downside164.40
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cash_funding_expense, downside_2027q2_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
downside_2027q2_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q2 / downside726.50
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_processing_cost, downside_2027q2_credit_expense, downside_2027q2_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
downside_2027q2_accounting_reductions
2027Q2 / downside36.50
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_presentation_reduction, downside_2027q2_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
downside_2027q2_transaction_cost
2027Q2 / downside690.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_raw_transaction_cost, downside_2027q2_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
downside_2027q2_tmd
2027Q2 / downside330.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
downside_2027q2_adjusted_opex
2027Q2 / downside365.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
downside_2027q2_adj_operating
2027Q2 / downside-35.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_tmd, downside_2027q2_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
downside_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / downside57.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
downside_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / downside27.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
downside_2027q2_restructuring
2027Q2 / downside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
downside_2027q2_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q2 / downside88.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_da, downside_2027q2_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
downside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / downside-123.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adj_operating, downside_2027q2_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
downside_2027q2_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q2 / downside317.00
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_adj_operating, downside_2027q2_credit_expense, downside_2027q2_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
downside_2027q2_cash_tax
2027Q2 / downside18.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
downside_2027q2_other_settlement_use
2027Q2 / downside26.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
downside_2027q2_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q2 / downside163.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_loan_sale_gain, downside_2027q2_recognition_timing, downside_2027q2_restructuring, downside_2027q2_cash_tax, downside_2027q2_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
downside_2027q2_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q2 / downside154.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_noncash_credit_bridge, downside_2027q2_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
downside_2027q2_loan_deployment
2027Q2 / downside250.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
downside_2027q2_senior_deployment
2027Q2 / downside200.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
downside_2027q2_deposit_flow
2027Q2 / downside-100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
downside_2027q2_treasury_deployment
2027Q2 / downside50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
downside_2027q2_operating_notes_flow
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
downside_2027q2_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q2 / downside54.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cash_before_bank_balances, downside_2027q2_deposit_flow, downside_2027q2_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
downside_2027q2_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q2 / downside500.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_loan_deployment, downside_2027q2_senior_deployment, downside_2027q2_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / downside-446.00
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_bank_funding_inflow, downside_2027q2_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
downside_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / downside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
downside_2027q2_lease_principal
2027Q2 / downside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
downside_2027q2_capital_cash
2027Q2 / downside18.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q2_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
downside_2027q2_cash_after_capex
2027Q2 / downside-464.00
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
downside_2027q3_gmv
2027Q3 / downside37,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
downside_2027q3_presentation_ratio
2027Q3 / downside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
downside_2027q3_presentation_reduction
2027Q3 / downside37.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_gmv, downside_2027q3_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
downside_2027q3_interest_income
2027Q3 / downside305.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
downside_2027q3_loan_sale_gain
2027Q3 / downside125.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
downside_2027q3_service_yield
2027Q3 / downside1.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
downside_2027q3_service_revenue
2027Q3 / downside657.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_gmv, downside_2027q3_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
downside_2027q3_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q3 / downside1,087.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_service_revenue, downside_2027q3_interest_income, downside_2027q3_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
downside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / downside1,050.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_pre_presentation_revenue, downside_2027q3_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
downside_2027q3_processing_ratio
2027Q3 / downside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
downside_2027q3_processing_cost
2027Q3 / downside273.80
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_gmv, downside_2027q3_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
downside_2027q3_credit_ratio
2027Q3 / downside0.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
downside_2027q3_credit_expense
2027Q3 / downside296.00
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_gmv, downside_2027q3_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
downside_2027q3_recognition_timing
2027Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
downside_2027q3_funding_fv
2027Q3 / downside65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
downside_2027q3_cash_funding_expense
2027Q3 / downside112.20
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
downside_2027q3_funding_cost
2027Q3 / downside177.20
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cash_funding_expense, downside_2027q3_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
downside_2027q3_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q3 / downside747.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_processing_cost, downside_2027q3_credit_expense, downside_2027q3_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
downside_2027q3_accounting_reductions
2027Q3 / downside37.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_presentation_reduction, downside_2027q3_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
downside_2027q3_transaction_cost
2027Q3 / downside710.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_raw_transaction_cost, downside_2027q3_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
downside_2027q3_tmd
2027Q3 / downside340.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q3_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
downside_2027q3_adjusted_opex
2027Q3 / downside375.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
downside_2027q3_adj_operating
2027Q3 / downside-35.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_tmd, downside_2027q3_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
downside_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / downside61.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
downside_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / downside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
downside_2027q3_restructuring
2027Q3 / downside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
downside_2027q3_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q3 / downside93.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_da, downside_2027q3_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
downside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / downside-128.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adj_operating, downside_2027q3_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
downside_2027q3_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q3 / downside326.00
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_adj_operating, downside_2027q3_credit_expense, downside_2027q3_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
downside_2027q3_cash_tax
2027Q3 / downside20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
downside_2027q3_other_settlement_use
2027Q3 / downside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
downside_2027q3_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q3 / downside177.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_loan_sale_gain, downside_2027q3_recognition_timing, downside_2027q3_restructuring, downside_2027q3_cash_tax, downside_2027q3_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
downside_2027q3_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q3 / downside149.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_noncash_credit_bridge, downside_2027q3_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
downside_2027q3_loan_deployment
2027Q3 / downside250.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
downside_2027q3_senior_deployment
2027Q3 / downside220.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
downside_2027q3_deposit_flow
2027Q3 / downside-100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
downside_2027q3_treasury_deployment
2027Q3 / downside50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
downside_2027q3_operating_notes_flow
2027Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
downside_2027q3_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q3 / downside49.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cash_before_bank_balances, downside_2027q3_deposit_flow, downside_2027q3_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
downside_2027q3_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q3 / downside520.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_loan_deployment, downside_2027q3_senior_deployment, downside_2027q3_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / downside-471.00
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_bank_funding_inflow, downside_2027q3_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
downside_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / downside14.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
downside_2027q3_lease_principal
2027Q3 / downside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
downside_2027q3_capital_cash
2027Q3 / downside19.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q3_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
downside_2027q3_cash_after_capex
2027Q3 / downside-490.00
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
downside_2027q4_gmv
2027Q4 / downside43,500.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
downside_2027q4_presentation_ratio
2027Q4 / downside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
downside_2027q4_presentation_reduction
2027Q4 / downside43.50
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_gmv, downside_2027q4_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
downside_2027q4_interest_income
2027Q4 / downside320.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
downside_2027q4_loan_sale_gain
2027Q4 / downside135.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
downside_2027q4_service_yield
2027Q4 / downside1.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
downside_2027q4_service_revenue
2027Q4 / downside778.50
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_gmv, downside_2027q4_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
downside_2027q4_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q4 / downside1,233.50
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_service_revenue, downside_2027q4_interest_income, downside_2027q4_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
downside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / downside1,190.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_pre_presentation_revenue, downside_2027q4_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
downside_2027q4_processing_ratio
2027Q4 / downside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
downside_2027q4_processing_cost
2027Q4 / downside321.90
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_gmv, downside_2027q4_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
downside_2027q4_credit_ratio
2027Q4 / downside0.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
downside_2027q4_credit_expense
2027Q4 / downside348.00
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_gmv, downside_2027q4_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
downside_2027q4_recognition_timing
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
downside_2027q4_funding_fv
2027Q4 / downside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
downside_2027q4_cash_funding_expense
2027Q4 / downside88.60
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
downside_2027q4_funding_cost
2027Q4 / downside158.60
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cash_funding_expense, downside_2027q4_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
downside_2027q4_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q4 / downside828.50
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_processing_cost, downside_2027q4_credit_expense, downside_2027q4_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
downside_2027q4_accounting_reductions
2027Q4 / downside43.50
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_presentation_reduction, downside_2027q4_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
downside_2027q4_transaction_cost
2027Q4 / downside785.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_raw_transaction_cost, downside_2027q4_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
downside_2027q4_tmd
2027Q4 / downside405.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_revenue, downside_2027q4_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
downside_2027q4_adjusted_opex
2027Q4 / downside405.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
downside_2027q4_adj_operating
2027Q4 / downside-0.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_tmd, downside_2027q4_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
downside_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / downside65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
downside_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / downside29.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
downside_2027q4_restructuring
2027Q4 / downside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
downside_2027q4_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q4 / downside98.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_da, downside_2027q4_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
downside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / downside-98.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adj_operating, downside_2027q4_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
downside_2027q4_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q4 / downside418.00
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_adj_operating, downside_2027q4_credit_expense, downside_2027q4_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
downside_2027q4_cash_tax
2027Q4 / downside22.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
downside_2027q4_other_settlement_use
2027Q4 / downside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
downside_2027q4_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q4 / downside191.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_loan_sale_gain, downside_2027q4_recognition_timing, downside_2027q4_restructuring, downside_2027q4_cash_tax, downside_2027q4_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
downside_2027q4_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q4 / downside227.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_noncash_credit_bridge, downside_2027q4_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
downside_2027q4_loan_deployment
2027Q4 / downside300.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
downside_2027q4_senior_deployment
2027Q4 / downside240.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
downside_2027q4_deposit_flow
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
downside_2027q4_treasury_deployment
2027Q4 / downside50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
downside_2027q4_operating_notes_flow
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
downside_2027q4_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q4 / downside227.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cash_before_bank_balances, downside_2027q4_deposit_flow, downside_2027q4_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
downside_2027q4_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q4 / downside590.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_loan_deployment, downside_2027q4_senior_deployment, downside_2027q4_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
downside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / downside-363.00
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_bank_funding_inflow, downside_2027q4_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
downside_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / downside15.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
downside_2027q4_lease_principal
2027Q4 / downside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
downside_2027q4_capital_cash
2027Q4 / downside20.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_capex, downside_2027q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
downside_2027q4_cash_after_capex
2027Q4 / downside-383.00
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capital_cash).
IFRS total revenue ($M)
downside_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / downside3,974.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue).
Transaction margin dollars ($M)
downside_fy2026_tmd
FY2026 / downside1,465.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_tmd, downside_2026q3_tmd, downside_2026q4_tmd).
Adjusted operating income ($M)
downside_fy2026_adj_operating
FY2026 / downside109.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_operating, downside_2026q3_adj_operating, downside_2026q4_adj_operating).
IFRS operating profit proxy ($M)
downside_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / downside-207.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income).
Bank operating cash flow proxy ($M)
downside_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / downside-2,300.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo).
Net consumer-loan cash deployment ($M)
downside_fy2026_loan_deployment
FY2026 / downside574.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_loan_deployment, downside_2026q3_loan_deployment, downside_2026q4_loan_deployment).
Net forward-flow senior funding ($M)
downside_fy2026_senior_deployment
FY2026 / downside895.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_senior_deployment, downside_2026q3_senior_deployment, downside_2026q4_senior_deployment).
Consumer deposit cash inflow ($M)
downside_fy2026_deposit_flow
FY2026 / downside-1,204.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_deposit_flow, downside_2026q3_deposit_flow, downside_2026q4_deposit_flow).
Treasury asset cash deployment ($M)
downside_fy2026_treasury_deployment
FY2026 / downside1,042.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_treasury_deployment, downside_2026q3_treasury_deployment, downside_2026q4_treasury_deployment).
Cash intangible and fixed assets ($M)
downside_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / downside37.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex).
Lease principal cash ($M)
downside_fy2026_lease_principal
FY2026 / downside19.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_lease_principal, downside_2026q3_lease_principal, downside_2026q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO less capex and leases ($M)
downside_fy2026_cash_after_capex
FY2026 / downside-2,356.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_capex, downside_2026q3_cash_after_capex, downside_2026q4_cash_after_capex).
IFRS total revenue ($M)
downside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / downside4,240.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue).
Transaction margin dollars ($M)
downside_fy2027_tmd
FY2027 / downside1,395.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_tmd, downside_2027q2_tmd, downside_2027q3_tmd, downside_2027q4_tmd).
Adjusted operating income ($M)
downside_fy2027_adj_operating
FY2027 / downside-105.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adj_operating, downside_2027q2_adj_operating, downside_2027q3_adj_operating, downside_2027q4_adj_operating).
IFRS operating profit proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / downside-467.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income).
Bank operating cash flow proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / downside-1,659.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo).
Net consumer-loan cash deployment ($M)
downside_fy2027_loan_deployment
FY2027 / downside1,000.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_loan_deployment, downside_2027q2_loan_deployment, downside_2027q3_loan_deployment, downside_2027q4_loan_deployment).
Net forward-flow senior funding ($M)
downside_fy2027_senior_deployment
FY2027 / downside840.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_senior_deployment, downside_2027q2_senior_deployment, downside_2027q3_senior_deployment, downside_2027q4_senior_deployment).
Consumer deposit cash inflow ($M)
downside_fy2027_deposit_flow
FY2027 / downside-300.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_deposit_flow, downside_2027q2_deposit_flow, downside_2027q3_deposit_flow, downside_2027q4_deposit_flow).
Treasury asset cash deployment ($M)
downside_fy2027_treasury_deployment
FY2027 / downside200.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_treasury_deployment, downside_2027q2_treasury_deployment, downside_2027q3_treasury_deployment, downside_2027q4_treasury_deployment).
Cash intangible and fixed assets ($M)
downside_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / downside54.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex).
Lease principal cash ($M)
downside_fy2027_lease_principal
FY2027 / downside20.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_lease_principal, downside_2027q2_lease_principal, downside_2027q3_lease_principal, downside_2027q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO less capex and leases ($M)
downside_fy2027_cash_after_capex
FY2027 / downside-1,733.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_capex, downside_2027q2_cash_after_capex, downside_2027q3_cash_after_capex, downside_2027q4_cash_after_capex).
Gross merchandise volume
base_2026q3_gmv
2026Q3 / base35,500.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
base_2026q3_presentation_ratio
2026Q3 / base0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
base_2026q3_presentation_reduction
2026Q3 / base35.50
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_gmv, base_2026q3_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
base_2026q3_interest_income
2026Q3 / base245.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
base_2026q3_loan_sale_gain
2026Q3 / base85.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
base_2026q3_service_yield
2026Q3 / base1.9%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
base_2026q3_service_revenue
2026Q3 / base665.50
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_gmv, base_2026q3_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
base_2026q3_pre_presentation_revenue
2026Q3 / base995.50
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_service_revenue, base_2026q3_interest_income, base_2026q3_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
base_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / base960.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_pre_presentation_revenue, base_2026q3_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
base_2026q3_processing_ratio
2026Q3 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
base_2026q3_processing_cost
2026Q3 / base248.50
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_gmv, base_2026q3_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
base_2026q3_credit_ratio
2026Q3 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
base_2026q3_credit_expense
2026Q3 / base230.75
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_gmv, base_2026q3_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
base_2026q3_recognition_timing
2026Q3 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
base_2026q3_funding_fv
2026Q3 / base45.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
base_2026q3_cash_funding_expense
2026Q3 / base131.25
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
base_2026q3_funding_cost
2026Q3 / base176.25
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_cash_funding_expense, base_2026q3_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
base_2026q3_raw_transaction_cost
2026Q3 / base655.50
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_processing_cost, base_2026q3_credit_expense, base_2026q3_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
base_2026q3_accounting_reductions
2026Q3 / base45.50
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_presentation_reduction, base_2026q3_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
base_2026q3_transaction_cost
2026Q3 / base610.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_raw_transaction_cost, base_2026q3_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
base_2026q3_tmd
2026Q3 / base350.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q3_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
base_2026q3_adjusted_opex
2026Q3 / base340.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
base_2026q3_adj_operating
2026Q3 / base10.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_tmd, base_2026q3_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
base_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / base95.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
base_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / base24.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
base_2026q3_restructuring
2026Q3 / base4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
base_2026q3_ifrs_adjustments
2026Q3 / base123.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_da, base_2026q3_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
base_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / base-113.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adj_operating, base_2026q3_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
base_2026q3_noncash_credit_bridge
2026Q3 / base285.75
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_adj_operating, base_2026q3_credit_expense, base_2026q3_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
base_2026q3_cash_tax
2026Q3 / base12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
base_2026q3_other_settlement_use
2026Q3 / base20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
base_2026q3_cash_earnings_adjustment
2026Q3 / base131.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_loan_sale_gain, base_2026q3_recognition_timing, base_2026q3_restructuring, base_2026q3_cash_tax, base_2026q3_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
base_2026q3_cash_before_bank_balances
2026Q3 / base154.75
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_noncash_credit_bridge, base_2026q3_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
base_2026q3_loan_deployment
2026Q3 / base150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
base_2026q3_senior_deployment
2026Q3 / base120.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
base_2026q3_deposit_flow
2026Q3 / base-100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
base_2026q3_treasury_deployment
2026Q3 / base100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
base_2026q3_operating_notes_flow
2026Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
base_2026q3_bank_funding_inflow
2026Q3 / base54.75
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_cash_before_bank_balances, base_2026q3_deposit_flow, base_2026q3_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
base_2026q3_bank_asset_deployment
2026Q3 / base370.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_loan_deployment, base_2026q3_senior_deployment, base_2026q3_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
base_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / base-315.25
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_bank_funding_inflow, base_2026q3_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
base_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
base_2026q3_lease_principal
2026Q3 / base5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
base_2026q3_capital_cash
2026Q3 / base15.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q3_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
base_2026q3_cash_after_capex
2026Q3 / base-330.25
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
base_2026q4_gmv
2026Q4 / base44,161.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
base_2026q4_presentation_ratio
2026Q4 / base0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
base_2026q4_presentation_reduction
2026Q4 / base44.16
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_gmv, base_2026q4_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
base_2026q4_interest_income
2026Q4 / base260.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
base_2026q4_loan_sale_gain
2026Q4 / base95.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
base_2026q4_service_yield
2026Q4 / base1.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
base_2026q4_service_revenue
2026Q4 / base795.16
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_gmv, base_2026q4_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
base_2026q4_pre_presentation_revenue
2026Q4 / base1,150.16
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_service_revenue, base_2026q4_interest_income, base_2026q4_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
base_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / base1,106.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_pre_presentation_revenue, base_2026q4_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
base_2026q4_processing_ratio
2026Q4 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
base_2026q4_processing_cost
2026Q4 / base309.13
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_gmv, base_2026q4_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
base_2026q4_credit_ratio
2026Q4 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
base_2026q4_credit_expense
2026Q4 / base287.05
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_gmv, base_2026q4_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
base_2026q4_recognition_timing
2026Q4 / base20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
base_2026q4_funding_fv
2026Q4 / base50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
base_2026q4_cash_funding_expense
2026Q4 / base99.59
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
base_2026q4_funding_cost
2026Q4 / base149.59
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cash_funding_expense, base_2026q4_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
base_2026q4_raw_transaction_cost
2026Q4 / base745.76
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_processing_cost, base_2026q4_credit_expense, base_2026q4_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
base_2026q4_accounting_reductions
2026Q4 / base64.16
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_presentation_reduction, base_2026q4_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
base_2026q4_transaction_cost
2026Q4 / base681.60
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_raw_transaction_cost, base_2026q4_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
base_2026q4_tmd
2026Q4 / base424.40
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_revenue, base_2026q4_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
base_2026q4_adjusted_opex
2026Q4 / base303.40
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
base_2026q4_adj_operating
2026Q4 / base121.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_tmd, base_2026q4_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
base_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / base49.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
base_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / base25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
base_2026q4_restructuring
2026Q4 / base4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
base_2026q4_ifrs_adjustments
2026Q4 / base78.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_da, base_2026q4_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
base_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / base43.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adj_operating, base_2026q4_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
base_2026q4_noncash_credit_bridge
2026Q4 / base458.05
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_adj_operating, base_2026q4_credit_expense, base_2026q4_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
base_2026q4_cash_tax
2026Q4 / base14.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
base_2026q4_other_settlement_use
2026Q4 / base22.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
base_2026q4_cash_earnings_adjustment
2026Q4 / base155.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_loan_sale_gain, base_2026q4_recognition_timing, base_2026q4_restructuring, base_2026q4_cash_tax, base_2026q4_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
base_2026q4_cash_before_bank_balances
2026Q4 / base303.05
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_noncash_credit_bridge, base_2026q4_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
base_2026q4_loan_deployment
2026Q4 / base250.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
base_2026q4_senior_deployment
2026Q4 / base150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
base_2026q4_deposit_flow
2026Q4 / base150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
base_2026q4_treasury_deployment
2026Q4 / base100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
base_2026q4_operating_notes_flow
2026Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
base_2026q4_bank_funding_inflow
2026Q4 / base453.05
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cash_before_bank_balances, base_2026q4_deposit_flow, base_2026q4_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
base_2026q4_bank_asset_deployment
2026Q4 / base500.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_loan_deployment, base_2026q4_senior_deployment, base_2026q4_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
base_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / base-46.95
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_bank_funding_inflow, base_2026q4_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
base_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / base11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
base_2026q4_lease_principal
2026Q4 / base5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
base_2026q4_capital_cash
2026Q4 / base16.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_capex, base_2026q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
base_2026q4_cash_after_capex
2026Q4 / base-62.95
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
base_2027q1_gmv
2027Q1 / base40,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
base_2027q1_presentation_ratio
2027Q1 / base0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
base_2027q1_presentation_reduction
2027Q1 / base40.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_gmv, base_2027q1_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
base_2027q1_interest_income
2027Q1 / base275.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
base_2027q1_loan_sale_gain
2027Q1 / base105.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
base_2027q1_service_yield
2027Q1 / base1.9%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
base_2027q1_service_revenue
2027Q1 / base780.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_gmv, base_2027q1_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
base_2027q1_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q1 / base1,160.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_service_revenue, base_2027q1_interest_income, base_2027q1_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
base_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / base1,120.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_pre_presentation_revenue, base_2027q1_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
base_2027q1_processing_ratio
2027Q1 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
base_2027q1_processing_cost
2027Q1 / base280.00
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_gmv, base_2027q1_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
base_2027q1_credit_ratio
2027Q1 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
base_2027q1_credit_expense
2027Q1 / base260.00
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_gmv, base_2027q1_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
base_2027q1_recognition_timing
2027Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
base_2027q1_funding_fv
2027Q1 / base55.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
base_2027q1_cash_funding_expense
2027Q1 / base115.00
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
base_2027q1_funding_cost
2027Q1 / base170.00
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_funding_expense, base_2027q1_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
base_2027q1_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q1 / base710.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_processing_cost, base_2027q1_credit_expense, base_2027q1_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
base_2027q1_accounting_reductions
2027Q1 / base40.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_presentation_reduction, base_2027q1_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
base_2027q1_transaction_cost
2027Q1 / base670.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_raw_transaction_cost, base_2027q1_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
base_2027q1_tmd
2027Q1 / base450.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q1_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
base_2027q1_adjusted_opex
2027Q1 / base370.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
base_2027q1_adj_operating
2027Q1 / base80.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_tmd, base_2027q1_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
base_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / base53.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
base_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / base26.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
base_2027q1_restructuring
2027Q1 / base4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
base_2027q1_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q1 / base83.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_da, base_2027q1_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
base_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / base-3.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adj_operating, base_2027q1_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
base_2027q1_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q1 / base395.00
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adj_operating, base_2027q1_credit_expense, base_2027q1_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
base_2027q1_cash_tax
2027Q1 / base16.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
base_2027q1_other_settlement_use
2027Q1 / base24.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
base_2027q1_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q1 / base149.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_loan_sale_gain, base_2027q1_recognition_timing, base_2027q1_restructuring, base_2027q1_cash_tax, base_2027q1_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
base_2027q1_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q1 / base246.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_noncash_credit_bridge, base_2027q1_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
base_2027q1_loan_deployment
2027Q1 / base250.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
base_2027q1_senior_deployment
2027Q1 / base150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
base_2027q1_deposit_flow
2027Q1 / base100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
base_2027q1_treasury_deployment
2027Q1 / base100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
base_2027q1_operating_notes_flow
2027Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
base_2027q1_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q1 / base346.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_before_bank_balances, base_2027q1_deposit_flow, base_2027q1_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
base_2027q1_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q1 / base500.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_loan_deployment, base_2027q1_senior_deployment, base_2027q1_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / base-154.00
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_bank_funding_inflow, base_2027q1_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
base_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / base12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
base_2027q1_lease_principal
2027Q1 / base5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
base_2027q1_capital_cash
2027Q1 / base17.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q1_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
base_2027q1_cash_after_capex
2027Q1 / base-171.00
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
base_2027q2_gmv
2027Q2 / base42,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
base_2027q2_presentation_ratio
2027Q2 / base0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
base_2027q2_presentation_reduction
2027Q2 / base42.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_gmv, base_2027q2_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
base_2027q2_interest_income
2027Q2 / base290.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
base_2027q2_loan_sale_gain
2027Q2 / base115.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
base_2027q2_service_yield
2027Q2 / base1.9%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
base_2027q2_service_revenue
2027Q2 / base817.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_gmv, base_2027q2_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
base_2027q2_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q2 / base1,222.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_service_revenue, base_2027q2_interest_income, base_2027q2_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
base_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / base1,180.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_pre_presentation_revenue, base_2027q2_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
base_2027q2_processing_ratio
2027Q2 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
base_2027q2_processing_cost
2027Q2 / base294.00
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_gmv, base_2027q2_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
base_2027q2_credit_ratio
2027Q2 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
base_2027q2_credit_expense
2027Q2 / base273.00
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_gmv, base_2027q2_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
base_2027q2_recognition_timing
2027Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
base_2027q2_funding_fv
2027Q2 / base60.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
base_2027q2_cash_funding_expense
2027Q2 / base115.00
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
base_2027q2_funding_cost
2027Q2 / base175.00
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cash_funding_expense, base_2027q2_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
base_2027q2_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q2 / base742.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_processing_cost, base_2027q2_credit_expense, base_2027q2_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
base_2027q2_accounting_reductions
2027Q2 / base42.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_presentation_reduction, base_2027q2_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
base_2027q2_transaction_cost
2027Q2 / base700.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_raw_transaction_cost, base_2027q2_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
base_2027q2_tmd
2027Q2 / base480.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q2_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
base_2027q2_adjusted_opex
2027Q2 / base390.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
base_2027q2_adj_operating
2027Q2 / base90.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_tmd, base_2027q2_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
base_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / base57.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
base_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / base27.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
base_2027q2_restructuring
2027Q2 / base4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
base_2027q2_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q2 / base88.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_da, base_2027q2_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
base_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / base2.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adj_operating, base_2027q2_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
base_2027q2_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q2 / base423.00
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_adj_operating, base_2027q2_credit_expense, base_2027q2_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
base_2027q2_cash_tax
2027Q2 / base18.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
base_2027q2_other_settlement_use
2027Q2 / base26.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
base_2027q2_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q2 / base163.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_loan_sale_gain, base_2027q2_recognition_timing, base_2027q2_restructuring, base_2027q2_cash_tax, base_2027q2_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
base_2027q2_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q2 / base260.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_noncash_credit_bridge, base_2027q2_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
base_2027q2_loan_deployment
2027Q2 / base300.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
base_2027q2_senior_deployment
2027Q2 / base175.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
base_2027q2_deposit_flow
2027Q2 / base150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
base_2027q2_treasury_deployment
2027Q2 / base100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
base_2027q2_operating_notes_flow
2027Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
base_2027q2_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q2 / base410.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cash_before_bank_balances, base_2027q2_deposit_flow, base_2027q2_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
base_2027q2_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q2 / base575.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_loan_deployment, base_2027q2_senior_deployment, base_2027q2_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / base-165.00
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_bank_funding_inflow, base_2027q2_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
base_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / base13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
base_2027q2_lease_principal
2027Q2 / base5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
base_2027q2_capital_cash
2027Q2 / base18.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q2_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
base_2027q2_cash_after_capex
2027Q2 / base-183.00
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
base_2027q3_gmv
2027Q3 / base43,500.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
base_2027q3_presentation_ratio
2027Q3 / base0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
base_2027q3_presentation_reduction
2027Q3 / base43.50
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_gmv, base_2027q3_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
base_2027q3_interest_income
2027Q3 / base305.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
base_2027q3_loan_sale_gain
2027Q3 / base125.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
base_2027q3_service_yield
2027Q3 / base1.9%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
base_2027q3_service_revenue
2027Q3 / base813.50
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_gmv, base_2027q3_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
base_2027q3_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q3 / base1,243.50
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_service_revenue, base_2027q3_interest_income, base_2027q3_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
base_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / base1,200.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_pre_presentation_revenue, base_2027q3_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
base_2027q3_processing_ratio
2027Q3 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
base_2027q3_processing_cost
2027Q3 / base304.50
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_gmv, base_2027q3_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
base_2027q3_credit_ratio
2027Q3 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
base_2027q3_credit_expense
2027Q3 / base282.75
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_gmv, base_2027q3_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
base_2027q3_recognition_timing
2027Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
base_2027q3_funding_fv
2027Q3 / base65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
base_2027q3_cash_funding_expense
2027Q3 / base91.25
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
base_2027q3_funding_cost
2027Q3 / base156.25
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cash_funding_expense, base_2027q3_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
base_2027q3_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q3 / base743.50
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_processing_cost, base_2027q3_credit_expense, base_2027q3_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
base_2027q3_accounting_reductions
2027Q3 / base43.50
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_presentation_reduction, base_2027q3_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
base_2027q3_transaction_cost
2027Q3 / base700.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_raw_transaction_cost, base_2027q3_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
base_2027q3_tmd
2027Q3 / base500.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q3_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
base_2027q3_adjusted_opex
2027Q3 / base395.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
base_2027q3_adj_operating
2027Q3 / base105.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_tmd, base_2027q3_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
base_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / base61.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
base_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / base28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
base_2027q3_restructuring
2027Q3 / base4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
base_2027q3_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q3 / base93.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_da, base_2027q3_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
base_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / base12.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adj_operating, base_2027q3_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
base_2027q3_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q3 / base452.75
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_adj_operating, base_2027q3_credit_expense, base_2027q3_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
base_2027q3_cash_tax
2027Q3 / base20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
base_2027q3_other_settlement_use
2027Q3 / base28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
base_2027q3_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q3 / base177.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_loan_sale_gain, base_2027q3_recognition_timing, base_2027q3_restructuring, base_2027q3_cash_tax, base_2027q3_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
base_2027q3_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q3 / base275.75
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_noncash_credit_bridge, base_2027q3_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
base_2027q3_loan_deployment
2027Q3 / base300.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
base_2027q3_senior_deployment
2027Q3 / base200.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
base_2027q3_deposit_flow
2027Q3 / base150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
base_2027q3_treasury_deployment
2027Q3 / base100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
base_2027q3_operating_notes_flow
2027Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
base_2027q3_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q3 / base425.75
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cash_before_bank_balances, base_2027q3_deposit_flow, base_2027q3_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
base_2027q3_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q3 / base600.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_loan_deployment, base_2027q3_senior_deployment, base_2027q3_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / base-174.25
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_bank_funding_inflow, base_2027q3_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
base_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / base14.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
base_2027q3_lease_principal
2027Q3 / base5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
base_2027q3_capital_cash
2027Q3 / base19.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q3_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
base_2027q3_cash_after_capex
2027Q3 / base-193.25
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
base_2027q4_gmv
2027Q4 / base53,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
base_2027q4_presentation_ratio
2027Q4 / base0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
base_2027q4_presentation_reduction
2027Q4 / base53.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_gmv, base_2027q4_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
base_2027q4_interest_income
2027Q4 / base320.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
base_2027q4_loan_sale_gain
2027Q4 / base135.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
base_2027q4_service_yield
2027Q4 / base2.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
base_2027q4_service_revenue
2027Q4 / base1,078.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_gmv, base_2027q4_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
base_2027q4_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q4 / base1,533.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_service_revenue, base_2027q4_interest_income, base_2027q4_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
base_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / base1,480.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_pre_presentation_revenue, base_2027q4_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
base_2027q4_processing_ratio
2027Q4 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
base_2027q4_processing_cost
2027Q4 / base371.00
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_gmv, base_2027q4_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
base_2027q4_credit_ratio
2027Q4 / base0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
base_2027q4_credit_expense
2027Q4 / base344.50
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_gmv, base_2027q4_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
base_2027q4_recognition_timing
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
base_2027q4_funding_fv
2027Q4 / base70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
base_2027q4_cash_funding_expense
2027Q4 / base87.50
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
base_2027q4_funding_cost
2027Q4 / base157.50
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cash_funding_expense, base_2027q4_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
base_2027q4_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q4 / base873.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_processing_cost, base_2027q4_credit_expense, base_2027q4_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
base_2027q4_accounting_reductions
2027Q4 / base53.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_presentation_reduction, base_2027q4_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
base_2027q4_transaction_cost
2027Q4 / base820.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_raw_transaction_cost, base_2027q4_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
base_2027q4_tmd
2027Q4 / base660.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_revenue, base_2027q4_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
base_2027q4_adjusted_opex
2027Q4 / base440.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
base_2027q4_adj_operating
2027Q4 / base220.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_tmd, base_2027q4_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
base_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / base65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
base_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / base29.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
base_2027q4_restructuring
2027Q4 / base4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
base_2027q4_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q4 / base98.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_da, base_2027q4_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
base_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / base122.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adj_operating, base_2027q4_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
base_2027q4_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q4 / base634.50
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_adj_operating, base_2027q4_credit_expense, base_2027q4_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
base_2027q4_cash_tax
2027Q4 / base22.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
base_2027q4_other_settlement_use
2027Q4 / base30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
base_2027q4_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q4 / base191.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_loan_sale_gain, base_2027q4_recognition_timing, base_2027q4_restructuring, base_2027q4_cash_tax, base_2027q4_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
base_2027q4_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q4 / base443.50
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_noncash_credit_bridge, base_2027q4_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
base_2027q4_loan_deployment
2027Q4 / base400.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
base_2027q4_senior_deployment
2027Q4 / base225.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
base_2027q4_deposit_flow
2027Q4 / base200.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
base_2027q4_treasury_deployment
2027Q4 / base100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
base_2027q4_operating_notes_flow
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
base_2027q4_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q4 / base643.50
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cash_before_bank_balances, base_2027q4_deposit_flow, base_2027q4_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
base_2027q4_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q4 / base725.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_loan_deployment, base_2027q4_senior_deployment, base_2027q4_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
base_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / base-81.50
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_bank_funding_inflow, base_2027q4_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
base_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / base15.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
base_2027q4_lease_principal
2027Q4 / base5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
base_2027q4_capital_cash
2027Q4 / base20.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_capex, base_2027q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
base_2027q4_cash_after_capex
2027Q4 / base-101.50
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capital_cash).
IFRS total revenue ($M)
base_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / base4,120.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue).
Transaction margin dollars ($M)
base_fy2026_tmd
FY2026 / base1,609.40
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_tmd, base_2026q3_tmd, base_2026q4_tmd).
Adjusted operating income ($M)
base_fy2026_adj_operating
FY2026 / base290.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_operating, base_2026q3_adj_operating, base_2026q4_adj_operating).
IFRS operating profit proxy ($M)
base_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / base-26.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income).
Bank operating cash flow proxy ($M)
base_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / base-1,575.20
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo).
Net consumer-loan cash deployment ($M)
base_fy2026_loan_deployment
FY2026 / base474.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_loan_deployment, base_2026q3_loan_deployment, base_2026q4_loan_deployment).
Net forward-flow senior funding ($M)
base_fy2026_senior_deployment
FY2026 / base835.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_senior_deployment, base_2026q3_senior_deployment, base_2026q4_senior_deployment).
Consumer deposit cash inflow ($M)
base_fy2026_deposit_flow
FY2026 / base-554.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_deposit_flow, base_2026q3_deposit_flow, base_2026q4_deposit_flow).
Treasury asset cash deployment ($M)
base_fy2026_treasury_deployment
FY2026 / base1,242.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_treasury_deployment, base_2026q3_treasury_deployment, base_2026q4_treasury_deployment).
Cash intangible and fixed assets ($M)
base_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / base37.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex).
Lease principal cash ($M)
base_fy2026_lease_principal
FY2026 / base19.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_lease_principal, base_2026q3_lease_principal, base_2026q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO less capex and leases ($M)
base_fy2026_cash_after_capex
FY2026 / base-1,631.20
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_capex, base_2026q3_cash_after_capex, base_2026q4_cash_after_capex).
IFRS total revenue ($M)
base_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / base4,980.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue).
Transaction margin dollars ($M)
base_fy2027_tmd
FY2027 / base2,090.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_tmd, base_2027q2_tmd, base_2027q3_tmd, base_2027q4_tmd).
Adjusted operating income ($M)
base_fy2027_adj_operating
FY2027 / base495.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adj_operating, base_2027q2_adj_operating, base_2027q3_adj_operating, base_2027q4_adj_operating).
IFRS operating profit proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / base133.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income).
Bank operating cash flow proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / base-574.75
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo).
Net consumer-loan cash deployment ($M)
base_fy2027_loan_deployment
FY2027 / base1,250.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_loan_deployment, base_2027q2_loan_deployment, base_2027q3_loan_deployment, base_2027q4_loan_deployment).
Net forward-flow senior funding ($M)
base_fy2027_senior_deployment
FY2027 / base750.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_senior_deployment, base_2027q2_senior_deployment, base_2027q3_senior_deployment, base_2027q4_senior_deployment).
Consumer deposit cash inflow ($M)
base_fy2027_deposit_flow
FY2027 / base600.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_deposit_flow, base_2027q2_deposit_flow, base_2027q3_deposit_flow, base_2027q4_deposit_flow).
Treasury asset cash deployment ($M)
base_fy2027_treasury_deployment
FY2027 / base400.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_treasury_deployment, base_2027q2_treasury_deployment, base_2027q3_treasury_deployment, base_2027q4_treasury_deployment).
Cash intangible and fixed assets ($M)
base_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / base54.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex).
Lease principal cash ($M)
base_fy2027_lease_principal
FY2027 / base20.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_lease_principal, base_2027q2_lease_principal, base_2027q3_lease_principal, base_2027q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO less capex and leases ($M)
base_fy2027_cash_after_capex
FY2027 / base-648.75
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_capex, base_2027q2_cash_after_capex, base_2027q3_cash_after_capex, base_2027q4_cash_after_capex).
Gross merchandise volume
upside_2026q3_gmv
2026Q3 / upside38,300.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
upside_2026q3_presentation_ratio
2026Q3 / upside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
upside_2026q3_presentation_reduction
2026Q3 / upside38.30
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_gmv, upside_2026q3_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
upside_2026q3_interest_income
2026Q3 / upside245.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
upside_2026q3_loan_sale_gain
2026Q3 / upside85.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
upside_2026q3_service_yield
2026Q3 / upside2.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
upside_2026q3_service_revenue
2026Q3 / upside748.30
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_gmv, upside_2026q3_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
upside_2026q3_pre_presentation_revenue
2026Q3 / upside1,078.30
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_service_revenue, upside_2026q3_interest_income, upside_2026q3_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
upside_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / upside1,040.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_pre_presentation_revenue, upside_2026q3_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
upside_2026q3_processing_ratio
2026Q3 / upside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
upside_2026q3_processing_cost
2026Q3 / upside248.95
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_gmv, upside_2026q3_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
upside_2026q3_credit_ratio
2026Q3 / upside0.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
upside_2026q3_credit_expense
2026Q3 / upside210.65
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_gmv, upside_2026q3_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
upside_2026q3_recognition_timing
2026Q3 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
upside_2026q3_funding_fv
2026Q3 / upside45.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
upside_2026q3_cash_funding_expense
2026Q3 / upside193.70
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
upside_2026q3_funding_cost
2026Q3 / upside238.70
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_cash_funding_expense, upside_2026q3_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
upside_2026q3_raw_transaction_cost
2026Q3 / upside698.30
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_processing_cost, upside_2026q3_credit_expense, upside_2026q3_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
upside_2026q3_accounting_reductions
2026Q3 / upside48.30
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_presentation_reduction, upside_2026q3_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
upside_2026q3_transaction_cost
2026Q3 / upside650.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_raw_transaction_cost, upside_2026q3_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
upside_2026q3_tmd
2026Q3 / upside390.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q3_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
upside_2026q3_adjusted_opex
2026Q3 / upside350.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
upside_2026q3_adj_operating
2026Q3 / upside40.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_tmd, upside_2026q3_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
upside_2026q3_sbc
2026Q3 / upside95.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
upside_2026q3_da
2026Q3 / upside24.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
upside_2026q3_restructuring
2026Q3 / upside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
upside_2026q3_ifrs_adjustments
2026Q3 / upside123.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_da, upside_2026q3_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
upside_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / upside-83.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adj_operating, upside_2026q3_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
upside_2026q3_noncash_credit_bridge
2026Q3 / upside295.65
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_adj_operating, upside_2026q3_credit_expense, upside_2026q3_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
upside_2026q3_cash_tax
2026Q3 / upside12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
upside_2026q3_other_settlement_use
2026Q3 / upside20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
upside_2026q3_cash_earnings_adjustment
2026Q3 / upside131.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_loan_sale_gain, upside_2026q3_recognition_timing, upside_2026q3_restructuring, upside_2026q3_cash_tax, upside_2026q3_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
upside_2026q3_cash_before_bank_balances
2026Q3 / upside164.65
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_noncash_credit_bridge, upside_2026q3_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
upside_2026q3_loan_deployment
2026Q3 / upside200.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
upside_2026q3_senior_deployment
2026Q3 / upside140.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
upside_2026q3_deposit_flow
2026Q3 / upside100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
upside_2026q3_treasury_deployment
2026Q3 / upside150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
upside_2026q3_operating_notes_flow
2026Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
upside_2026q3_bank_funding_inflow
2026Q3 / upside264.65
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_cash_before_bank_balances, upside_2026q3_deposit_flow, upside_2026q3_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
upside_2026q3_bank_asset_deployment
2026Q3 / upside490.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_loan_deployment, upside_2026q3_senior_deployment, upside_2026q3_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
upside_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / upside-225.35
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_bank_funding_inflow, upside_2026q3_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
upside_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
upside_2026q3_lease_principal
2026Q3 / upside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
upside_2026q3_capital_cash
2026Q3 / upside15.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q3_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
upside_2026q3_cash_after_capex
2026Q3 / upside-240.35
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
upside_2026q4_gmv
2026Q4 / upside48,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
upside_2026q4_presentation_ratio
2026Q4 / upside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
upside_2026q4_presentation_reduction
2026Q4 / upside48.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_gmv, upside_2026q4_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
upside_2026q4_interest_income
2026Q4 / upside260.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
upside_2026q4_loan_sale_gain
2026Q4 / upside95.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
upside_2026q4_service_yield
2026Q4 / upside1.9%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
upside_2026q4_service_revenue
2026Q4 / upside933.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_gmv, upside_2026q4_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
upside_2026q4_pre_presentation_revenue
2026Q4 / upside1,288.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_service_revenue, upside_2026q4_interest_income, upside_2026q4_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
upside_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / upside1,240.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_pre_presentation_revenue, upside_2026q4_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
upside_2026q4_processing_ratio
2026Q4 / upside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
upside_2026q4_processing_cost
2026Q4 / upside312.00
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_gmv, upside_2026q4_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
upside_2026q4_credit_ratio
2026Q4 / upside0.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
upside_2026q4_credit_expense
2026Q4 / upside264.00
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_gmv, upside_2026q4_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
upside_2026q4_recognition_timing
2026Q4 / upside20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
upside_2026q4_funding_fv
2026Q4 / upside50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
upside_2026q4_cash_funding_expense
2026Q4 / upside192.00
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
upside_2026q4_funding_cost
2026Q4 / upside242.00
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cash_funding_expense, upside_2026q4_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
upside_2026q4_raw_transaction_cost
2026Q4 / upside818.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_processing_cost, upside_2026q4_credit_expense, upside_2026q4_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
upside_2026q4_accounting_reductions
2026Q4 / upside68.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_presentation_reduction, upside_2026q4_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
upside_2026q4_transaction_cost
2026Q4 / upside750.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_raw_transaction_cost, upside_2026q4_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
upside_2026q4_tmd
2026Q4 / upside490.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_revenue, upside_2026q4_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
upside_2026q4_adjusted_opex
2026Q4 / upside330.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
upside_2026q4_adj_operating
2026Q4 / upside160.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_tmd, upside_2026q4_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
upside_2026q4_sbc
2026Q4 / upside49.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
upside_2026q4_da
2026Q4 / upside25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
upside_2026q4_restructuring
2026Q4 / upside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
upside_2026q4_ifrs_adjustments
2026Q4 / upside78.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_da, upside_2026q4_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
upside_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / upside82.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adj_operating, upside_2026q4_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
upside_2026q4_noncash_credit_bridge
2026Q4 / upside474.00
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_adj_operating, upside_2026q4_credit_expense, upside_2026q4_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
upside_2026q4_cash_tax
2026Q4 / upside14.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
upside_2026q4_other_settlement_use
2026Q4 / upside22.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
upside_2026q4_cash_earnings_adjustment
2026Q4 / upside155.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_loan_sale_gain, upside_2026q4_recognition_timing, upside_2026q4_restructuring, upside_2026q4_cash_tax, upside_2026q4_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
upside_2026q4_cash_before_bank_balances
2026Q4 / upside319.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_noncash_credit_bridge, upside_2026q4_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
upside_2026q4_loan_deployment
2026Q4 / upside350.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
upside_2026q4_senior_deployment
2026Q4 / upside180.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
upside_2026q4_deposit_flow
2026Q4 / upside300.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
upside_2026q4_treasury_deployment
2026Q4 / upside150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
upside_2026q4_operating_notes_flow
2026Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
upside_2026q4_bank_funding_inflow
2026Q4 / upside619.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cash_before_bank_balances, upside_2026q4_deposit_flow, upside_2026q4_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
upside_2026q4_bank_asset_deployment
2026Q4 / upside680.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_loan_deployment, upside_2026q4_senior_deployment, upside_2026q4_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
upside_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / upside-61.00
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_bank_funding_inflow, upside_2026q4_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
upside_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / upside11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
upside_2026q4_lease_principal
2026Q4 / upside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
upside_2026q4_capital_cash
2026Q4 / upside16.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_capex, upside_2026q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
upside_2026q4_cash_after_capex
2026Q4 / upside-77.00
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
upside_2027q1_gmv
2027Q1 / upside45,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
upside_2027q1_presentation_ratio
2027Q1 / upside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
upside_2027q1_presentation_reduction
2027Q1 / upside45.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_gmv, upside_2027q1_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
upside_2027q1_interest_income
2027Q1 / upside275.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
upside_2027q1_loan_sale_gain
2027Q1 / upside105.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
upside_2027q1_service_yield
2027Q1 / upside2.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
upside_2027q1_service_revenue
2027Q1 / upside965.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_gmv, upside_2027q1_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
upside_2027q1_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q1 / upside1,345.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_service_revenue, upside_2027q1_interest_income, upside_2027q1_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
upside_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / upside1,300.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_pre_presentation_revenue, upside_2027q1_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
upside_2027q1_processing_ratio
2027Q1 / upside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
upside_2027q1_processing_cost
2027Q1 / upside292.50
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_gmv, upside_2027q1_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
upside_2027q1_credit_ratio
2027Q1 / upside0.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
upside_2027q1_credit_expense
2027Q1 / upside247.50
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_gmv, upside_2027q1_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
upside_2027q1_recognition_timing
2027Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
upside_2027q1_funding_fv
2027Q1 / upside55.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
upside_2027q1_cash_funding_expense
2027Q1 / upside200.00
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
upside_2027q1_funding_cost
2027Q1 / upside255.00
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_funding_expense, upside_2027q1_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
upside_2027q1_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q1 / upside795.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_processing_cost, upside_2027q1_credit_expense, upside_2027q1_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
upside_2027q1_accounting_reductions
2027Q1 / upside45.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_presentation_reduction, upside_2027q1_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
upside_2027q1_transaction_cost
2027Q1 / upside750.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_raw_transaction_cost, upside_2027q1_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
upside_2027q1_tmd
2027Q1 / upside550.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q1_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
upside_2027q1_adjusted_opex
2027Q1 / upside390.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
upside_2027q1_adj_operating
2027Q1 / upside160.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_tmd, upside_2027q1_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
upside_2027q1_sbc
2027Q1 / upside53.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
upside_2027q1_da
2027Q1 / upside26.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
upside_2027q1_restructuring
2027Q1 / upside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
upside_2027q1_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q1 / upside83.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_da, upside_2027q1_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
upside_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / upside77.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adj_operating, upside_2027q1_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
upside_2027q1_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q1 / upside462.50
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adj_operating, upside_2027q1_credit_expense, upside_2027q1_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
upside_2027q1_cash_tax
2027Q1 / upside16.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
upside_2027q1_other_settlement_use
2027Q1 / upside24.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
upside_2027q1_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q1 / upside149.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_loan_sale_gain, upside_2027q1_recognition_timing, upside_2027q1_restructuring, upside_2027q1_cash_tax, upside_2027q1_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
upside_2027q1_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q1 / upside313.50
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_noncash_credit_bridge, upside_2027q1_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
upside_2027q1_loan_deployment
2027Q1 / upside400.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
upside_2027q1_senior_deployment
2027Q1 / upside200.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
upside_2027q1_deposit_flow
2027Q1 / upside250.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
upside_2027q1_treasury_deployment
2027Q1 / upside150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
upside_2027q1_operating_notes_flow
2027Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
upside_2027q1_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q1 / upside563.50
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_before_bank_balances, upside_2027q1_deposit_flow, upside_2027q1_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
upside_2027q1_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q1 / upside750.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_loan_deployment, upside_2027q1_senior_deployment, upside_2027q1_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / upside-186.50
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_bank_funding_inflow, upside_2027q1_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
upside_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / upside12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
upside_2027q1_lease_principal
2027Q1 / upside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
upside_2027q1_capital_cash
2027Q1 / upside17.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q1_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
upside_2027q1_cash_after_capex
2027Q1 / upside-203.50
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
upside_2027q2_gmv
2027Q2 / upside50,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
upside_2027q2_presentation_ratio
2027Q2 / upside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
upside_2027q2_presentation_reduction
2027Q2 / upside50.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_gmv, upside_2027q2_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
upside_2027q2_interest_income
2027Q2 / upside290.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
upside_2027q2_loan_sale_gain
2027Q2 / upside115.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
upside_2027q2_service_yield
2027Q2 / upside2.2%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
upside_2027q2_service_revenue
2027Q2 / upside1,095.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_gmv, upside_2027q2_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
upside_2027q2_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q2 / upside1,500.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_service_revenue, upside_2027q2_interest_income, upside_2027q2_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
upside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / upside1,450.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_pre_presentation_revenue, upside_2027q2_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
upside_2027q2_processing_ratio
2027Q2 / upside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
upside_2027q2_processing_cost
2027Q2 / upside325.00
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_gmv, upside_2027q2_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
upside_2027q2_credit_ratio
2027Q2 / upside0.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
upside_2027q2_credit_expense
2027Q2 / upside275.00
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_gmv, upside_2027q2_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
upside_2027q2_recognition_timing
2027Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
upside_2027q2_funding_fv
2027Q2 / upside60.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
upside_2027q2_cash_funding_expense
2027Q2 / upside220.00
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
upside_2027q2_funding_cost
2027Q2 / upside280.00
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cash_funding_expense, upside_2027q2_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
upside_2027q2_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q2 / upside880.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_processing_cost, upside_2027q2_credit_expense, upside_2027q2_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
upside_2027q2_accounting_reductions
2027Q2 / upside50.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_presentation_reduction, upside_2027q2_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
upside_2027q2_transaction_cost
2027Q2 / upside830.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_raw_transaction_cost, upside_2027q2_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
upside_2027q2_tmd
2027Q2 / upside620.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
upside_2027q2_adjusted_opex
2027Q2 / upside430.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
upside_2027q2_adj_operating
2027Q2 / upside190.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_tmd, upside_2027q2_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
upside_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / upside57.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
upside_2027q2_da
2027Q2 / upside27.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
upside_2027q2_restructuring
2027Q2 / upside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
upside_2027q2_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q2 / upside88.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_da, upside_2027q2_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
upside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / upside102.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adj_operating, upside_2027q2_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
upside_2027q2_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q2 / upside525.00
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_adj_operating, upside_2027q2_credit_expense, upside_2027q2_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
upside_2027q2_cash_tax
2027Q2 / upside18.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
upside_2027q2_other_settlement_use
2027Q2 / upside26.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
upside_2027q2_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q2 / upside163.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_loan_sale_gain, upside_2027q2_recognition_timing, upside_2027q2_restructuring, upside_2027q2_cash_tax, upside_2027q2_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
upside_2027q2_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q2 / upside362.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_noncash_credit_bridge, upside_2027q2_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
upside_2027q2_loan_deployment
2027Q2 / upside450.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
upside_2027q2_senior_deployment
2027Q2 / upside240.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
upside_2027q2_deposit_flow
2027Q2 / upside300.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
upside_2027q2_treasury_deployment
2027Q2 / upside175.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
upside_2027q2_operating_notes_flow
2027Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
upside_2027q2_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q2 / upside662.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cash_before_bank_balances, upside_2027q2_deposit_flow, upside_2027q2_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
upside_2027q2_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q2 / upside865.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_loan_deployment, upside_2027q2_senior_deployment, upside_2027q2_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / upside-203.00
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_bank_funding_inflow, upside_2027q2_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
upside_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / upside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
upside_2027q2_lease_principal
2027Q2 / upside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
upside_2027q2_capital_cash
2027Q2 / upside18.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q2_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
upside_2027q2_cash_after_capex
2027Q2 / upside-221.00
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
upside_2027q3_gmv
2027Q3 / upside54,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
upside_2027q3_presentation_ratio
2027Q3 / upside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
upside_2027q3_presentation_reduction
2027Q3 / upside54.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_gmv, upside_2027q3_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
upside_2027q3_interest_income
2027Q3 / upside305.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
upside_2027q3_loan_sale_gain
2027Q3 / upside125.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
upside_2027q3_service_yield
2027Q3 / upside2.2%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
upside_2027q3_service_revenue
2027Q3 / upside1,174.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_gmv, upside_2027q3_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
upside_2027q3_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q3 / upside1,604.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_service_revenue, upside_2027q3_interest_income, upside_2027q3_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
upside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / upside1,550.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_pre_presentation_revenue, upside_2027q3_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
upside_2027q3_processing_ratio
2027Q3 / upside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
upside_2027q3_processing_cost
2027Q3 / upside351.00
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_gmv, upside_2027q3_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
upside_2027q3_credit_ratio
2027Q3 / upside0.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
upside_2027q3_credit_expense
2027Q3 / upside297.00
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_gmv, upside_2027q3_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
upside_2027q3_recognition_timing
2027Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
upside_2027q3_funding_fv
2027Q3 / upside65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
upside_2027q3_cash_funding_expense
2027Q3 / upside191.00
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
upside_2027q3_funding_cost
2027Q3 / upside256.00
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cash_funding_expense, upside_2027q3_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
upside_2027q3_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q3 / upside904.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_processing_cost, upside_2027q3_credit_expense, upside_2027q3_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
upside_2027q3_accounting_reductions
2027Q3 / upside54.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_presentation_reduction, upside_2027q3_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
upside_2027q3_transaction_cost
2027Q3 / upside850.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_raw_transaction_cost, upside_2027q3_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
upside_2027q3_tmd
2027Q3 / upside700.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q3_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
upside_2027q3_adjusted_opex
2027Q3 / upside465.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
upside_2027q3_adj_operating
2027Q3 / upside235.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_tmd, upside_2027q3_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
upside_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / upside61.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
upside_2027q3_da
2027Q3 / upside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
upside_2027q3_restructuring
2027Q3 / upside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
upside_2027q3_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q3 / upside93.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_da, upside_2027q3_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
upside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / upside142.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adj_operating, upside_2027q3_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
upside_2027q3_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q3 / upside597.00
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_adj_operating, upside_2027q3_credit_expense, upside_2027q3_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
upside_2027q3_cash_tax
2027Q3 / upside20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
upside_2027q3_other_settlement_use
2027Q3 / upside28.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
upside_2027q3_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q3 / upside177.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_loan_sale_gain, upside_2027q3_recognition_timing, upside_2027q3_restructuring, upside_2027q3_cash_tax, upside_2027q3_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
upside_2027q3_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q3 / upside420.00
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_noncash_credit_bridge, upside_2027q3_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
upside_2027q3_loan_deployment
2027Q3 / upside500.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
upside_2027q3_senior_deployment
2027Q3 / upside290.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
upside_2027q3_deposit_flow
2027Q3 / upside350.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
upside_2027q3_treasury_deployment
2027Q3 / upside200.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
upside_2027q3_operating_notes_flow
2027Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
upside_2027q3_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q3 / upside770.00
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cash_before_bank_balances, upside_2027q3_deposit_flow, upside_2027q3_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
upside_2027q3_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q3 / upside990.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_loan_deployment, upside_2027q3_senior_deployment, upside_2027q3_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / upside-220.00
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_bank_funding_inflow, upside_2027q3_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
upside_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / upside14.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
upside_2027q3_lease_principal
2027Q3 / upside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
upside_2027q3_capital_cash
2027Q3 / upside19.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q3_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
upside_2027q3_cash_after_capex
2027Q3 / upside-239.00
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capital_cash).
Gross merchandise volume
upside_2027q4_gmv
2027Q4 / upside67,000.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Presentation reduction / GMV
upside_2027q4_presentation_ratio
2027Q4 / upside0.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk allocation of described approximate 10bp presentation effect; prospective H2 change, not an economic cost saving.
Matched revenue/cost presentation reduction
upside_2027q4_presentation_reduction
2027Q4 / upside67.00
USD_millions
derived: Equal reduction on both sides of transaction margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_gmv, upside_2027q4_presentation_ratio).
Interest income on financing receivables
upside_2027q4_interest_income
2027Q4 / upside320.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Gain on sale and fair-value origination income
upside_2027q4_loan_sale_gain
2027Q4 / upside135.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Mixed transaction/service realization
upside_2027q4_service_yield
2027Q4 / upside2.3%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Transaction and service revenue
upside_2027q4_service_revenue
2027Q4 / upside1,512.00
USD_millions
derived: Subscriptions and fee mix included once; not a pure merchant contractual take rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_gmv, upside_2027q4_service_yield).
Revenue before presentation adjustment
upside_2027q4_pre_presentation_revenue
2027Q4 / upside1,967.00
USD_millions
derived: Gain on sale is income, not principal proceeds. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_service_revenue, upside_2027q4_interest_income, upside_2027q4_loan_sale_gain).
Reported IFRS revenue
upside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / upside1,900.00
USD_millions
derived: Base recognized revenue calibrates to updated company guide. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_pre_presentation_revenue, upside_2027q4_presentation_reduction).
Processing/servicing per GMV
upside_2027q4_processing_ratio
2027Q4 / upside0.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Processing and servicing expense
upside_2027q4_processing_cost
2027Q4 / upside435.50
USD_millions
derived: Transaction processing and servicing economics. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_gmv, upside_2027q4_processing_ratio).
Credit expense / GMV
upside_2027q4_credit_ratio
2027Q4 / upside0.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Pre-presentation credit expense sensitivity
upside_2027q4_credit_expense
2027Q4 / upside368.50
USD_millions
derived: Portfolio/mix sensitivity, not a cumulative vintage loss rate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_gmv, upside_2027q4_credit_ratio).
Incremental recognition-timing benefit
upside_2027q4_recognition_timing
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Base H2 totals $30M, about two basis points of $150B annual GMV; distinct from matched presentation shift. Not perpetual economic improvement.
Funding fair-value expense
upside_2027q4_funding_fv
2027Q4 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Accrued deposit and other interest/funding cost
upside_2027q4_cash_funding_expense
2027Q4 / upside203.00
USD_millions
assumption: Calibrated blended funding budget; not the rate or draw on an individual bank facility.
Interest and fair-value funding expense
upside_2027q4_funding_cost
2027Q4 / upside273.00
USD_millions
derived: Interest already included in transaction costs and is not deducted again from cash earnings. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cash_funding_expense, upside_2027q4_funding_fv).
Processing credit and funding cost
upside_2027q4_raw_transaction_cost
2027Q4 / upside1,077.00
USD_millions
derived: Cost perimeter matches transaction margin. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_processing_cost, upside_2027q4_credit_expense, upside_2027q4_funding_cost).
Presentation and timing cost reductions
upside_2027q4_accounting_reductions
2027Q4 / upside67.00
USD_millions
derived: Matched presentation does not itself change TMD; timing can. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_presentation_reduction, upside_2027q4_recognition_timing).
Reported transaction costs
upside_2027q4_transaction_cost
2027Q4 / upside1,010.00
USD_millions
derived: All lending accounting effects are explicit desk sensitivities. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_raw_transaction_cost, upside_2027q4_accounting_reductions).
Transaction margin dollars
upside_2027q4_tmd
2027Q4 / upside890.00
USD_millions
derived: Stable under equal revenue/cost presentation changes. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_revenue, upside_2027q4_transaction_cost).
Adjusted operating expenses
upside_2027q4_adjusted_opex
2027Q4 / upside540.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Adjusted operating income
upside_2027q4_adj_operating
2027Q4 / upside350.00
USD_millions
derived: Q3 investment expense precedes holiday-quarter volume. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_tmd, upside_2027q4_adjusted_opex).
Share-based payments
upside_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / upside65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk equity cost allocation; company expects Q3 to carry the highest 2026 level. No future stock-price valuation assumed.
Adjusted reconciliation D&A
upside_2027q4_da
2027Q4 / upside29.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash restructuring/other adjustment
upside_2027q4_restructuring
2027Q4 / upside4.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
SBC D&A and restructuring
upside_2027q4_ifrs_adjustments
2027Q4 / upside98.00
USD_millions
derived: Not GAAP; no future litigation award or recurring rounding residual. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_da, upside_2027q4_restructuring).
IFRS operating profit proxy
upside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / upside252.00
USD_millions
derived: Retains compensation and capitalized technology amortization. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adj_operating, upside_2027q4_ifrs_adjustments).
Adjusted profit plus credit/fair-value expense
upside_2027q4_noncash_credit_bridge
2027Q4 / upside788.50
USD_millions
derived: Cash credit losses are reflected in net loan sales/collections/deployment below. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_adj_operating, upside_2027q4_credit_expense, upside_2027q4_funding_fv).
Cash income taxes
upside_2027q4_cash_tax
2027Q4 / upside22.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Other interest/accrual/operating settlement use
upside_2027q4_other_settlement_use
2027Q4 / upside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Loan gains timing and cash uses
upside_2027q4_cash_earnings_adjustment
2027Q4 / upside191.00
USD_millions
derived: Reverse noncash gain/timing benefit; no second deduction of funding interest already in TMD. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_loan_sale_gain, upside_2027q4_recognition_timing, upside_2027q4_restructuring, upside_2027q4_cash_tax, upside_2027q4_other_settlement_use).
Operating cash before bank balance deployment
upside_2027q4_cash_before_bank_balances
2027Q4 / upside597.50
USD_millions
derived: Analytical component, not normalized bank FCF. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_noncash_credit_bridge, upside_2027q4_cash_earnings_adjustment).
Net loan cash deployment after sales/collections
upside_2027q4_loan_deployment
2027Q4 / upside650.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash originations less actual sale and collection cash, including sale proceeds. No unlimited forward-flow assumption.
Senior funding to forward-flow counterparties
upside_2027q4_senior_deployment
2027Q4 / upside350.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Consumer deposit net cash inflow
upside_2027q4_deposit_flow
2027Q4 / upside450.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Net treasury investment cash
upside_2027q4_treasury_deployment
2027Q4 / upside225.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Operating-classified borrowing cash
upside_2027q4_operating_notes_flow
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Cash before deployment plus bank funding
upside_2027q4_bank_funding_inflow
2027Q4 / upside1,047.50
USD_millions
derived: Deposits fund assets and are repayable liabilities. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cash_before_bank_balances, upside_2027q4_deposit_flow, upside_2027q4_operating_notes_flow).
Loan senior and treasury investment
upside_2027q4_bank_asset_deployment
2027Q4 / upside1,225.00
USD_millions
derived: All are within the issuer operating cash classification. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_loan_deployment, upside_2027q4_senior_deployment, upside_2027q4_treasury_deployment).
Bank operating cash flow proxy
upside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / upside-177.50
USD_millions
derived: No industrial CFO interpretation. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_bank_funding_inflow, upside_2027q4_bank_asset_deployment).
Cash intangibles and fixed assets
upside_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / upside15.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Lease principal payments
upside_2027q4_lease_principal
2027Q4 / upside5.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance.
Capex and lease principal
upside_2027q4_capital_cash
2027Q4 / upside20.00
USD_millions
derived: Other financing cash excluded. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_capex, upside_2027q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO after capex and leases
upside_2027q4_cash_after_capex
2027Q4 / upside-197.50
USD_millions
derived: Not distributable bank capital or a forecast of parent liquidity. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capital_cash).
IFRS total revenue ($M)
upside_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / upside4,334.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue).
Transaction margin dollars ($M)
upside_fy2026_tmd
FY2026 / upside1,715.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_tmd, upside_2026q3_tmd, upside_2026q4_tmd).
Adjusted operating income ($M)
upside_fy2026_adj_operating
FY2026 / upside359.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_operating, upside_2026q3_adj_operating, upside_2026q4_adj_operating).
IFRS operating profit proxy ($M)
upside_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / upside43.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income).
Bank operating cash flow proxy ($M)
upside_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / upside-1,499.35
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo).
Net consumer-loan cash deployment ($M)
upside_fy2026_loan_deployment
FY2026 / upside624.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_loan_deployment, upside_2026q3_loan_deployment, upside_2026q4_loan_deployment).
Net forward-flow senior funding ($M)
upside_fy2026_senior_deployment
FY2026 / upside885.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_senior_deployment, upside_2026q3_senior_deployment, upside_2026q4_senior_deployment).
Consumer deposit cash inflow ($M)
upside_fy2026_deposit_flow
FY2026 / upside-204.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_deposit_flow, upside_2026q3_deposit_flow, upside_2026q4_deposit_flow).
Treasury asset cash deployment ($M)
upside_fy2026_treasury_deployment
FY2026 / upside1,342.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_treasury_deployment, upside_2026q3_treasury_deployment, upside_2026q4_treasury_deployment).
Cash intangible and fixed assets ($M)
upside_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / upside37.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex).
Lease principal cash ($M)
upside_fy2026_lease_principal
FY2026 / upside19.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_lease_principal, upside_2026q3_lease_principal, upside_2026q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO less capex and leases ($M)
upside_fy2026_cash_after_capex
FY2026 / upside-1,555.35
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_capex, upside_2026q3_cash_after_capex, upside_2026q4_cash_after_capex).
IFRS total revenue ($M)
upside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / upside6,200.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue).
Transaction margin dollars ($M)
upside_fy2027_tmd
FY2027 / upside2,760.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_tmd, upside_2027q2_tmd, upside_2027q3_tmd, upside_2027q4_tmd).
Adjusted operating income ($M)
upside_fy2027_adj_operating
FY2027 / upside935.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adj_operating, upside_2027q2_adj_operating, upside_2027q3_adj_operating, upside_2027q4_adj_operating).
IFRS operating profit proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / upside573.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income).
Bank operating cash flow proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / upside-787.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo).
Net consumer-loan cash deployment ($M)
upside_fy2027_loan_deployment
FY2027 / upside2,000.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_loan_deployment, upside_2027q2_loan_deployment, upside_2027q3_loan_deployment, upside_2027q4_loan_deployment).
Net forward-flow senior funding ($M)
upside_fy2027_senior_deployment
FY2027 / upside1,080.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_senior_deployment, upside_2027q2_senior_deployment, upside_2027q3_senior_deployment, upside_2027q4_senior_deployment).
Consumer deposit cash inflow ($M)
upside_fy2027_deposit_flow
FY2027 / upside1,350.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_deposit_flow, upside_2027q2_deposit_flow, upside_2027q3_deposit_flow, upside_2027q4_deposit_flow).
Treasury asset cash deployment ($M)
upside_fy2027_treasury_deployment
FY2027 / upside750.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_treasury_deployment, upside_2027q2_treasury_deployment, upside_2027q3_treasury_deployment, upside_2027q4_treasury_deployment).
Cash intangible and fixed assets ($M)
upside_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / upside54.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex).
Lease principal cash ($M)
upside_fy2027_lease_principal
FY2027 / upside20.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_lease_principal, upside_2027q2_lease_principal, upside_2027q3_lease_principal, upside_2027q4_lease_principal).
Bank CFO less capex and leases ($M)
upside_fy2027_cash_after_capex
FY2027 / upside-861.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_capex, upside_2027q2_cash_after_capex, upside_2027q3_cash_after_capex, upside_2027q4_cash_after_capex).

Model boundaries

Transaction margin through an accounting and funding transition

Research reviewed 2026-09-19

Can stronger payments economics translate into durable earnings while bank funding and offloading remain disciplined?

Q2 GMV was $36.648B, revenue $1.042B, TMD $446M and adjusted operating income $91M; IFRS operating profit was $27M. Updated FY2026 outlook calls for $149-151B GMV, $4.08-4.16B revenue and $280-300M adjusted operating income. The H2 presentation change reduces both revenue and costs, with a separately described timing benefit. Base TMD grows 30% to $1.609B. H1 bank CFO was negative $1.213B, including $604M deposit outflow, $74M net consumer-receivable deployment, $565M other senior funding and $1.042B treasury investment, offset by $41M operating borrowing. Removing only those named balance flows gives $1.031B, not normalized owner cash. June deposits were $11.673B, cash $2.672B and retained consumer receivables $9.753B across accounting categories. The July risk transfer leaves receivables on balance sheet; Apple financing adds receivable exposure. PriceRunner recovery remains contingent and subject to appeals and sharing claims.

The competing explanation

Earlier recognition and gain-on-sale income can improve reported margin while cash remains tied to credit assets. Deposit withdrawals, funding rates, credit losses and offloading terms can offset network growth.

Risks to track

Next checkpoints

Data coverage and open work

This review: Added IFRS historical supplement, matched presentation sensitivity and bank funding cash model.

What the memory says

State as of the 2026-09-18 close: in a 120-day uptrend, below its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, quiet volume, closed weak, and some peers moving

300 similar days

Vs the market, in pointsLowMiddleHighShare up
1 session-2.1+0.0+2.351%
5 sessions-5.1+0.2+6.152%
10 sessions-6.9-0.4+8.446%

Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side.

Notes on this name

No published notes on this name yet.

Scorecard: 0 notes scored

Next report: 2026-11-16 (source: estimated from 6-K filed 2026-08-18 plus 90 days)

Provenance

  1. [1] reported: IFRS supplementary tables: revenue; consolidated, rounded USD millions; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2003292/000162828026057573/financialstatementsandsu.htm
  2. [2] reported: IFRS supplementary tables: operating income; consolidated, rounded USD millions; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2003292/000162828026057573/financialstatementsandsu.htm
  3. [3] reported: IFRS supplementary tables: net income; consolidated, rounded USD millions; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2003292/000162828026057573/financialstatementsandsu.htm
  4. [4] reported: IFRS supplementary tables: cash; consolidated, rounded USD millions; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2003292/000162828026057573/financialstatementsandsu.htm

What the author read

Compiled 2026-09-19T23:49:21.865507+00:00 · authored 295a0f741487 · generated 5044a96e0a96 · JSON

Daily notes · Scorecard