ALPHAFORGE RESEARCH · COMPANY FILE · SOFTWARE & INTERNET

$ESTC

Elastic N.V. · NYSE · SIC 7372 · CIK 1707753 · revision 4 as of 2026-09-19

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Business

Elastic sells search, observability and security software through cloud and self-managed subscriptions, with services alongside them. Annual cloud contracts, monthly consumption and other subscriptions have different recognition and cash patterns. AI workloads can increase demand, while hosting costs, selling expense, commissions and product investment determine profitability.

Three drivers

  1. Sales-led subscriptions versus monthly cloud consumption
  2. Cloud delivery costs, selling expense and equity compensation
  3. Contract cash timing, debt interest and acquisition spending

Thesis

Our view

Elastic has a credible route from search and AI workloads to profitable subscription growth if larger contracts translate into durable usage and efficient delivery. The cash test must retain interest and restructuring payments: adjusted FCF is higher than cash after PP&E because it adds debt interest back. Acquisitions expand the product set while consuming capital.

What changes it

Track sales-led revenue, annual versus monthly Cloud, gross margin and net expansion together. Reassess if customer commitments fail to become usage, restructuring disrupts execution, or interest and acquisition cash weaken the cash available after operations.

Scenario ranges

Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.

Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)

Fiscal quarter2025Q2
2024-10-31
2025Q3
2025-01-31
2025Q4
2025-04-30
2026Q1
2025-07-31
2026Q2
2025-10-31
2026Q3
2026-01-31
2026Q4
2026-04-30
2027Q1
2026-07-31
Revenue ($M)365.41382.12388.4†3415.34423.51449.92450.7†3478.14
Gross profit ($M)272.25284.96290.6†7318.58321.55343.46339.6†7356.28
Operating income ($M)-4.49-4.610-12.0†11-9.412-8.290.610-16.4†11-23.612
Net income ($M)-25.413-17.114-16.4†15-24.616-51.3137.814435.9†15-16.716
EPS, diluted ($)-0.2517-0.1618-0.2319-0.48170.0718-0.1619
Diluted shares (M)103.220104.121106.022106.620106.221104.622
Cash ($M)658.523584.024727.525662.326800.627737.228768.729879.929
Long-term debt ($M)569.230569.431569.732570.033570.334570.635570.936571.236
Cash from operations ($M)38.4†3788.1†3887.0†39104.84026.6†3742.7†38152.7†39132.040
Capex ($M)0.7†410.8†422.1†430.7440.6†410.9†422.9†430.644
Free cash flow ($M)37.7†4587.3†4684.9†47104.2†4826.0†4541.8†46149.8†47131.4†48

† derived (Q4 = fiscal year minus the first three quarters; year-to-date cash flows differenced; FCF = CFO − capex). Superscripts are the provenance notes below.

Estimates · base scenario

PeriodRevenue ($M)EPS ($)As ofBasis
2027Q2486.52026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q3504.52026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q4534.92026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.
2028Q1562.72026-09-19Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance.

Sales-led cloud growth with interest and restructuring cash kept visible

Operating scenarios · reviewed 2026-09-19 · USD millions unless labeled otherwise · our assumptions, not consensus

Separate annual Elastic Cloud and other subscription inside sales-led revenue, then add monthly Cloud and services. Anchor FY2027 and Q2 revenue and non-GAAP operating margins to guidance; allocate remaining quarters explicitly. Extend business lines independently through FY2028. Reconcile ordinary equity compensation, cash payroll taxes, acquired amortization and restructuring to GAAP profit. Show cash after interest and a second measure adding back senior-note interest, then the August acquisition cash.

Reported anchors and guidance

MeasurePeriodValueBasis
FY2027 revenue outlook midpointFY20272,004.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
FY2027 sales-led outlook midpointFY20271,688.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
Q2 revenue outlook midpoint2027Q2486.50derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
Q2 sales-led outlook midpoint2027Q2408.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
Q1 annual cloud2027Q1185.00reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-28
Q1 monthly cloud2027Q150.20reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-28
Q1 CFO less PP&E2027Q1131.41derived. After actual debt-interest payments.
Q1 company adjusted FCF2027Q1143.27derived. Company reconciliation adds debt interest, not restructuring cash.
Q1 senior interest cash2027Q111.86reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-27
Adjusted FCF guide at revenue midpointFY2027430.86derived. Benchmark with company exclusions, not cash after debt interest/acquisitions.
liquidityJuly/August 20261,461.00reported. July 31 reported amount; liquidity rounded. Deductive consideration is approximately $70M for August 21 closing. Source · 2026-08-27
senior principalJuly/August 2026575.00reported. July 31 reported amount; liquidity rounded. Deductive consideration is approximately $70M for August 21 closing. Source · 2026-08-28
Semiannual senior-note cash couponSemiannual11.86derived. Exact contractual cash coupon; reported historical cash rounds to thousands.
Q1 restruct expense2027Q119.92reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-28
Q1 restruct cash2027Q113.02reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-28
restruct reserveJuly/August 20266.92reported. July 31 reported amount; liquidity rounded. Deductive consideration is approximately $70M for August 21 closing. Source · 2026-08-28
deductive cashJuly/August 202670.00reported. July 31 reported amount; liquidity rounded. Deductive consideration is approximately $70M for August 21 closing. Source · 2026-08-28
crpoJuly/August 20261,152.67reported. July 31 reported amount; liquidity rounded. Deductive consideration is approximately $70M for August 21 closing. Source · 2026-08-27

Downside scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow ($M)CFO less PP&E after interest ($M)PP&E cash purchases ($M)Revenue ($M)Services revenue ($M)Sales-led subscription revenue ($M)Non-GAAP operating income ($M)GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)Monthly Cloud revenue ($M)GAAP operating income proxy ($M)FCF with senior-note interest added back ($M)Cash after PP&E and acquisition ($M)
2027Q255.6954.940.75467.0426.88391.6877.06336.2748.48-9.4454.94-15.06
2027Q359.5858.730.85484.3227.36408.0082.33349.4448.96-5.7570.5958.73
2027Q446.1245.170.95494.3722.18422.2790.39357.4349.922.3945.1745.17
2028Q1152.70151.651.05492.5625.36422.6388.66356.8644.57-1.34163.51151.65
FY2027293.39290.253.141,923.84105.801,620.48327.051,399.32197.56-36.36313.97220.25
FY2028405.28400.484.802,096.00107.911,798.43377.281,523.42189.665.28424.20400.48

Base scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow ($M)CFO less PP&E after interest ($M)PP&E cash purchases ($M)Revenue ($M)Services revenue ($M)Sales-led subscription revenue ($M)Non-GAAP operating income ($M)GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)Monthly Cloud revenue ($M)GAAP operating income proxy ($M)FCF with senior-note interest added back ($M)Cash after PP&E and acquisition ($M)
2027Q293.9293.170.75486.5028.00408.0092.44363.9050.507.9493.1723.17
2027Q398.0997.240.85504.5028.50425.0097.87378.1251.0011.79109.1097.24
2027Q485.9484.990.95534.8926.42456.47121.21401.7052.0035.2184.9984.99
2028Q1189.11188.061.05562.7228.50483.48114.80423.4550.7426.80199.92188.06
FY2027409.94406.803.142,004.00112.301,688.00388.781,499.91203.7031.36430.52336.80
FY2028587.64582.844.802,394.57121.282,057.36488.491,807.48215.92124.49606.56582.84

Upside scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow ($M)CFO less PP&E after interest ($M)PP&E cash purchases ($M)Revenue ($M)Services revenue ($M)Sales-led subscription revenue ($M)Non-GAAP operating income ($M)GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)Monthly Cloud revenue ($M)GAAP operating income proxy ($M)FCF with senior-note interest added back ($M)Cash after PP&E and acquisition ($M)
2027Q2113.37112.620.75503.5328.98422.28100.71386.2152.2715.21112.6242.62
2027Q3121.10120.250.85522.1629.50439.87109.65401.2852.7822.57132.11120.25
2027Q4136.17135.220.95570.3430.13486.39147.95439.1653.8260.95135.22135.22
2028Q1231.23230.181.05627.0031.05540.92137.94483.7355.0348.94242.03230.18
FY2027502.64499.503.142,074.14117.991,747.08435.571,582.83209.0775.15523.22429.50
FY2028731.75726.954.802,668.08132.142,301.77586.982,064.63234.16218.98750.67726.95
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
Input / calculationPeriod / caseValue / unitEvidence or assumption
Q1 revenue
q1_revenue
2027Q1 / shared478.11
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 annual cloud
q1_annual_cloud
2027Q1 / shared185.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 other subscription
q1_other_subscription
2027Q1 / shared213.53
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 monthly cloud
q1_monthly_cloud
2027Q1 / shared50.20
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 services
q1_services
2027Q1 / shared29.38
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 gross profit
q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / shared356.19
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 non gaap op
q1_non_gaap_op
2027Q1 / shared77.26
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-27
Q1 operating income
q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / shared-23.57
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 cfo
q1_cfo
2027Q1 / shared132.00
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 capex
q1_capex
2027Q1 / shared0.59
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 sbc
q1_sbc
2027Q1 / shared74.78
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 da
q1_da
2027Q1 / shared3.36
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 commission amort
q1_commission_amort
2027Q1 / shared32.47
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 commission cash
q1_commission_cash
2027Q1 / shared24.87
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 receivable release
q1_receivable_release
2027Q1 / shared227.03
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 deferred use
q1_deferred_use
2027Q1 / shared139.16
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 restruct expense
q1_restruct_expense
2027Q1 / shared19.92
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 restruct cash
q1_restruct_cash
2027Q1 / shared13.02
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 senior interest cash
q1_senior_interest_cash
2027Q1 / shared11.86
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-27
Q1 buyback cash
q1_buyback_cash
2027Q1 / shared40.02
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 sales-led subscription
q1_sales_led
2027Q1 / shared398.53
USD_millions
derived: Subscription excluding Monthly Elastic Cloud. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, q1_other_subscription).
Q1 CFO less PP&E
q1_fcf
2027Q1 / shared131.41
USD_millions
derived: After actual debt-interest payments. Formula: subtract(q1_cfo, q1_capex).
Q1 company adjusted FCF
q1_interest_added_fcf
2027Q1 / shared143.27
USD_millions
derived: Company reconciliation adds debt interest, not restructuring cash. Formula: sum(q1_fcf, q1_senior_interest_cash).
Q1 acquisition cash
zero_acquisition
2027Q1 / shared0.00
USD_millions
reported: No acquisition cash in reported Q1 cash statement. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Q1 cash after acquisitions
q1_cash_after_acquisition
2027Q1 / shared131.41
USD_millions
derived: Deductive AI closed in the next fiscal quarter. Formula: subtract(q1_fcf, zero_acquisition).
liquidity
liquidity
July/August 2026 / shared1,461.00
USD_millions
reported: July 31 reported amount; liquidity rounded. Deductive consideration is approximately $70M for August 21 closing. Primary source · 2026-08-27
senior principal
senior_principal
July/August 2026 / shared575.00
USD_millions
reported: July 31 reported amount; liquidity rounded. Deductive consideration is approximately $70M for August 21 closing. Primary source · 2026-08-28
restruct reserve
restruct_reserve
July/August 2026 / shared6.92
USD_millions
reported: July 31 reported amount; liquidity rounded. Deductive consideration is approximately $70M for August 21 closing. Primary source · 2026-08-28
deductive cash
deductive_cash
July/August 2026 / shared70.00
USD_millions
reported: July 31 reported amount; liquidity rounded. Deductive consideration is approximately $70M for August 21 closing. Primary source · 2026-08-28
rpo
rpo
July/August 2026 / shared1,854.23
USD_millions
reported: July 31 reported amount; liquidity rounded. Deductive consideration is approximately $70M for August 21 closing. Primary source · 2026-08-27
crpo
crpo
July/August 2026 / shared1,152.67
USD_millions
reported: July 31 reported amount; liquidity rounded. Deductive consideration is approximately $70M for August 21 closing. Primary source · 2026-08-27
Senior-note annual coupon
coupon
Annual / shared4.1%
ratio
reported: Contractual coupon; cash payable January 15 and July 15, maturity July 15, 2029. Primary source · 2026-08-28
Half annual coupon
half_year
Model / shared50.0%
ratio
assumption: Two payments annually.
Semiannual senior-note cash coupon
coupon_payment
Semiannual / shared11.86
USD_millions
derived: Exact contractual cash coupon; reported historical cash rounds to thousands. Formula: multiply(senior_principal, coupon, half_year).
FY2027 revenue outlook low
annual_guide_low
FY2027 / shared1,998.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-27
FY2027 revenue outlook high
annual_guide_high
FY2027 / shared2,010.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-27
Midpoint divisor
two
Model / shared200.0%
ratio
assumption: Arithmetic constant.
FY2027 revenue outlook endpoint sum
annual_guide_sum
FY2027 / shared4,008.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(annual_guide_low, annual_guide_high).
FY2027 revenue outlook midpoint
annual_guide
FY2027 / shared2,004.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(annual_guide_sum, two).
FY2027 sales-led outlook low
annual_sales_guide_low
FY2027 / shared1,682.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-27
FY2027 sales-led outlook high
annual_sales_guide_high
FY2027 / shared1,694.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-27
FY2027 sales-led outlook endpoint sum
annual_sales_guide_sum
FY2027 / shared3,376.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(annual_sales_guide_low, annual_sales_guide_high).
FY2027 sales-led outlook midpoint
annual_sales_guide
FY2027 / shared1,688.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(annual_sales_guide_sum, two).
Q2 revenue outlook low
q2_guide_low
2027Q2 / shared486.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-27
Q2 revenue outlook high
q2_guide_high
2027Q2 / shared487.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-27
Q2 revenue outlook endpoint sum
q2_guide_sum
2027Q2 / shared973.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q2_guide_low, q2_guide_high).
Q2 revenue outlook midpoint
q2_guide
2027Q2 / shared486.50
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q2_guide_sum, two).
Q2 sales-led outlook low
q2_sales_guide_low
2027Q2 / shared407.50
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-27
Q2 sales-led outlook high
q2_sales_guide_high
2027Q2 / shared408.50
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-08-27
Q2 sales-led outlook endpoint sum
q2_sales_guide_sum
2027Q2 / shared816.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q2_sales_guide_low, q2_sales_guide_high).
Q2 sales-led outlook midpoint
q2_sales_guide
2027Q2 / shared408.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q2_sales_guide_sum, two).
FY2027 adjusted FCF guidance margin
fcf_guide_margin
FY2027 / shared21.5%
ratio
management guidance: Approximately 21.5%, excluding acquisitions or other one-time charges; not GAAP CFO margin. Primary source · 2026-08-27
Adjusted FCF guide at revenue midpoint
fcf_guide_amount
FY2027 / shared430.86
USD_millions
derived: Benchmark with company exclusions, not cash after debt interest/acquisitions. Formula: multiply(annual_guide, fcf_guide_margin).
FY2027 delivery / guide
downside_delivery
FY2027 / downside96.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity.
FY2027 revenue
downside_annual_revenue_target
FY2027 / downside1,923.84
USD_millions
derived: Management midpoint times delivery sensitivity. Formula: multiply(annual_guide, downside_delivery).
FY2027 sales_led
downside_annual_sales_led_target
FY2027 / downside1,620.48
USD_millions
derived: Management midpoint times delivery sensitivity. Formula: multiply(annual_sales_guide, downside_delivery).
Annual non-GAAP operating margin
downside_annual_margin
FY2027 / downside17.0%
ratio
assumption: Base aligns with approximately 19.4% outlook.
FY2027 non-GAAP operating income
downside_annual_non_gaap_target
FY2027 / downside327.05
USD_millions
derived: Annual margin anchor; later FY2028 is a desk forecast. Formula: multiply(downside_annual_revenue_target, downside_annual_margin).
Annual Elastic Cloud revenue
downside_2027q2_annual_cloud
2027Q2 / downside191.04
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Sales-led subscription
downside_2027q2_sales_led
2027Q2 / downside391.68
USD_millions
derived: Q2 guidance sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q2_sales_guide, downside_delivery).
Other subscription revenue
downside_2027q2_other_subscription
2027Q2 / downside200.64
USD_millions
derived: Sales-led includes both annual Cloud and self-managed/other subscription. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_sales_led, downside_2027q2_annual_cloud).
Monthly Elastic Cloud revenue
downside_2027q2_monthly_cloud
2027Q2 / downside48.48
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Total revenue
downside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / downside467.04
USD_millions
derived: Q2 consolidated guidance sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q2_guide, downside_delivery).
Total subscription
downside_2027q2_subscription
2027Q2 / downside440.16
USD_millions
derived: Nonoverlapping sales-led and Monthly Cloud. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_sales_led, downside_2027q2_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue
downside_2027q2_services
2027Q2 / downside26.88
USD_millions
derived: Services residual within guidance; not a new product revenue forecast. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_subscription).
Non-GAAP operating margin
downside_2027q2_ng_margin
2027Q2 / downside16.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
downside_2027q2_non_gaap_op
2027Q2 / downside77.06
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q2_gross_margin
2027Q2 / downside72.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / downside336.27
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
downside_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / downside77.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
downside_2027q2_amort
2027Q2 / downside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
downside_2027q2_restruct_expense
2027Q2 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
downside_2027q2_payroll_tax
2027Q2 / downside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
downside_2027q2_acquisition_expense
2027Q2 / downside1.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
downside_2027q2_excluded_costs
2027Q2 / downside86.50
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_amort, downside_2027q2_restruct_expense, downside_2027q2_payroll_tax, downside_2027q2_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / downside-9.44
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_non_gaap_op, downside_2027q2_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
downside_2027q2_other_da
2027Q2 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
downside_2027q2_commission_amort
2027Q2 / downside33.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
downside_2027q2_interest_income
2027Q2 / downside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
downside_2027q2_deferred_funding
2027Q2 / downside25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
downside_2027q2_cash_before_uses
2027Q2 / downside144.56
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_amort, downside_2027q2_other_da, downside_2027q2_restruct_expense, downside_2027q2_commission_amort, downside_2027q2_interest_income, downside_2027q2_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
downside_2027q2_coupon_due
2027Q2 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
downside_2027q2_senior_interest
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, downside_2027q2_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
downside_2027q2_commission_rate
2027Q2 / downside7.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
downside_2027q2_commission_cash
2027Q2 / downside29.38
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_sales_led, downside_2027q2_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
downside_2027q2_tax_cash
2027Q2 / downside6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
downside_2027q2_receivable_use
2027Q2 / downside45.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
downside_2027q2_restruct_payment
2027Q2 / downside8.50
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
downside_2027q2_cash_uses
2027Q2 / downside88.88
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_commission_cash, downside_2027q2_senior_interest, downside_2027q2_tax_cash, downside_2027q2_receivable_use, downside_2027q2_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
downside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / downside55.69
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_before_uses, downside_2027q2_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / downside0.75
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
downside_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / downside54.94
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
downside_2027q2_interest_added_fcf
2027Q2 / downside54.94
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q2_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
downside_2027q2_purchase_due
2027Q2 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
downside_2027q2_acquisition_cash
2027Q2 / downside70.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, downside_2027q2_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
downside_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition
2027Q2 / downside-15.06
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q2_acquisition_cash).
Annual Elastic Cloud revenue
downside_2027q3_annual_cloud
2027Q3 / downside206.40
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Sales-led subscription
downside_2027q3_sales_led
2027Q3 / downside408.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Other subscription revenue
downside_2027q3_other_subscription
2027Q3 / downside201.60
USD_millions
derived: Sales-led includes both annual Cloud and self-managed/other subscription. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_sales_led, downside_2027q3_annual_cloud).
Monthly Elastic Cloud revenue
downside_2027q3_monthly_cloud
2027Q3 / downside48.96
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Total revenue
downside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / downside484.32
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Total subscription
downside_2027q3_subscription
2027Q3 / downside456.96
USD_millions
derived: Nonoverlapping sales-led and Monthly Cloud. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_sales_led, downside_2027q3_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue
downside_2027q3_services
2027Q3 / downside27.36
USD_millions
derived: Services residual within guidance; not a new product revenue forecast. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q3_subscription).
Non-GAAP operating margin
downside_2027q3_ng_margin
2027Q3 / downside17.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
downside_2027q3_non_gaap_op
2027Q3 / downside82.33
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q3_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q3_gross_margin
2027Q3 / downside72.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / downside349.44
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q3_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
downside_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / downside79.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
downside_2027q3_amort
2027Q3 / downside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
downside_2027q3_restruct_expense
2027Q3 / downside1.58
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
downside_2027q3_payroll_tax
2027Q3 / downside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
downside_2027q3_acquisition_expense
2027Q3 / downside1.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
downside_2027q3_excluded_costs
2027Q3 / downside88.08
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_amort, downside_2027q3_restruct_expense, downside_2027q3_payroll_tax, downside_2027q3_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / downside-5.75
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_non_gaap_op, downside_2027q3_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
downside_2027q3_other_da
2027Q3 / downside0.70
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
downside_2027q3_commission_amort
2027Q3 / downside34.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
downside_2027q3_interest_income
2027Q3 / downside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
downside_2027q3_deferred_funding
2027Q3 / downside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
downside_2027q3_cash_before_uses
2027Q3 / downside196.03
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_amort, downside_2027q3_other_da, downside_2027q3_restruct_expense, downside_2027q3_commission_amort, downside_2027q3_interest_income, downside_2027q3_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
downside_2027q3_coupon_due
2027Q3 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
downside_2027q3_senior_interest
2027Q3 / downside11.86
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, downside_2027q3_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
downside_2027q3_commission_rate
2027Q3 / downside7.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
downside_2027q3_commission_cash
2027Q3 / downside30.60
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_sales_led, downside_2027q3_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
downside_2027q3_tax_cash
2027Q3 / downside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
downside_2027q3_receivable_use
2027Q3 / downside85.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
downside_2027q3_restruct_payment
2027Q3 / downside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
downside_2027q3_cash_uses
2027Q3 / downside136.46
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_commission_cash, downside_2027q3_senior_interest, downside_2027q3_tax_cash, downside_2027q3_receivable_use, downside_2027q3_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
downside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / downside59.58
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_before_uses, downside_2027q3_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / downside0.85
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
downside_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / downside58.73
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
downside_2027q3_interest_added_fcf
2027Q3 / downside70.59
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q3_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
downside_2027q3_purchase_due
2027Q3 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
downside_2027q3_acquisition_cash
2027Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, downside_2027q3_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
downside_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition
2027Q3 / downside58.73
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q3_acquisition_cash).
Annual Elastic Cloud revenue
downside_2027q4_annual_cloud
2027Q4 / downside225.60
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Q1 through Q3 sales-led
downside_2027q4_prior_sales
2027Q4 / downside1,198.21
USD_millions
derived: Reported Q1 and two forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_sales_led, downside_2027q2_sales_led, downside_2027q3_sales_led).
Sales-led subscription
downside_2027q4_sales_led
2027Q4 / downside422.27
USD_millions
derived: Annual sales-led guidance residual. Formula: subtract(downside_annual_sales_led_target, downside_2027q4_prior_sales).
Other subscription revenue
downside_2027q4_other_subscription
2027Q4 / downside196.67
USD_millions
derived: Sales-led includes both annual Cloud and self-managed/other subscription. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_sales_led, downside_2027q4_annual_cloud).
Monthly Elastic Cloud revenue
downside_2027q4_monthly_cloud
2027Q4 / downside49.92
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Q1 through Q3 total revenue
downside_2027q4_prior_revenue
2027Q4 / downside1,429.47
USD_millions
derived: Reported Q1 and forecast next two quarters. Formula: sum(q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue).
Total revenue
downside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / downside494.37
USD_millions
derived: Residual to annual scenario. Formula: subtract(downside_annual_revenue_target, downside_2027q4_prior_revenue).
Total subscription
downside_2027q4_subscription
2027Q4 / downside472.19
USD_millions
derived: Nonoverlapping sales-led and Monthly Cloud. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_sales_led, downside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue
downside_2027q4_services
2027Q4 / downside22.18
USD_millions
derived: Services residual within guidance; not a new product revenue forecast. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_revenue, downside_2027q4_subscription).
Q1 through Q3 non-GAAP profit
downside_2027q4_prior_ng
2027Q4 / downside236.66
USD_millions
derived: Annual guided profit residual. Formula: sum(q1_non_gaap_op, downside_2027q2_non_gaap_op, downside_2027q3_non_gaap_op).
Non-GAAP operating income
downside_2027q4_non_gaap_op
2027Q4 / downside90.39
USD_millions
derived: Remaining annual adjusted operating income. Formula: subtract(downside_annual_non_gaap_target, downside_2027q4_prior_ng).
GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q4_gross_margin
2027Q4 / downside72.3%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / downside357.43
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_revenue, downside_2027q4_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
downside_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / downside81.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
downside_2027q4_amort
2027Q4 / downside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
downside_2027q4_restruct_expense
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
downside_2027q4_payroll_tax
2027Q4 / downside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
downside_2027q4_acquisition_expense
2027Q4 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
downside_2027q4_excluded_costs
2027Q4 / downside88.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_amort, downside_2027q4_restruct_expense, downside_2027q4_payroll_tax, downside_2027q4_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / downside2.39
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_non_gaap_op, downside_2027q4_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
downside_2027q4_other_da
2027Q4 / downside0.90
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
downside_2027q4_commission_amort
2027Q4 / downside35.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
downside_2027q4_interest_income
2027Q4 / downside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
downside_2027q4_deferred_funding
2027Q4 / downside190.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
downside_2027q4_cash_before_uses
2027Q4 / downside325.79
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_operating_income, downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_amort, downside_2027q4_other_da, downside_2027q4_restruct_expense, downside_2027q4_commission_amort, downside_2027q4_interest_income, downside_2027q4_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
downside_2027q4_coupon_due
2027Q4 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
downside_2027q4_senior_interest
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, downside_2027q4_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
downside_2027q4_commission_rate
2027Q4 / downside7.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
downside_2027q4_commission_cash
2027Q4 / downside31.67
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_sales_led, downside_2027q4_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
downside_2027q4_tax_cash
2027Q4 / downside8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
downside_2027q4_receivable_use
2027Q4 / downside240.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
downside_2027q4_restruct_payment
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
downside_2027q4_cash_uses
2027Q4 / downside279.67
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_commission_cash, downside_2027q4_senior_interest, downside_2027q4_tax_cash, downside_2027q4_receivable_use, downside_2027q4_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
downside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / downside46.12
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_before_uses, downside_2027q4_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / downside0.95
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
downside_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / downside45.17
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
downside_2027q4_interest_added_fcf
2027Q4 / downside45.17
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_fcf, downside_2027q4_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
downside_2027q4_purchase_due
2027Q4 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
downside_2027q4_acquisition_cash
2027Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, downside_2027q4_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
downside_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition
2027Q4 / downside45.17
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_fcf, downside_2027q4_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
downside_2028q1_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q1 / downside808.04
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, downside_2027q2_annual_cloud, downside_2027q3_annual_cloud, downside_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
downside_2028q1_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q1 / downside118.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
downside_2028q1_annual_cloud_share
2028Q1 / downside23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
downside_2028q1_annual_cloud
2028Q1 / downside224.07
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q1_annual_cloud_prior_year, downside_2028q1_annual_cloud_growth, downside_2028q1_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
downside_2028q1_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q1 / downside812.44
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, downside_2027q2_other_subscription, downside_2027q3_other_subscription, downside_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
downside_2028q1_other_subscription_growth
2028Q1 / downside104.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
downside_2028q1_other_subscription_share
2028Q1 / downside23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
downside_2028q1_other_subscription
2028Q1 / downside198.56
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q1_other_subscription_prior_year, downside_2028q1_other_subscription_growth, downside_2028q1_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
downside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q1 / downside197.56
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q2_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q3_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
downside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q1 / downside96.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
downside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q1 / downside23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
downside_2028q1_monthly_cloud
2028Q1 / downside44.57
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_prior_year, downside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_growth, downside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
downside_2028q1_services_prior_year
2028Q1 / downside105.80
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, downside_2027q2_services, downside_2027q3_services, downside_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
downside_2028q1_services_growth
2028Q1 / downside102.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
downside_2028q1_services_share
2028Q1 / downside23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
downside_2028q1_services
2028Q1 / downside25.36
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q1_services_prior_year, downside_2028q1_services_growth, downside_2028q1_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
downside_2028q1_sales_led
2028Q1 / downside422.63
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_annual_cloud, downside_2028q1_other_subscription).
Total revenue
downside_2028q1_revenue
2028Q1 / downside492.56
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_sales_led, downside_2028q1_monthly_cloud, downside_2028q1_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
downside_2028q1_ng_margin
2028Q1 / downside18.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
downside_2028q1_non_gaap_op
2028Q1 / downside88.66
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q1_revenue, downside_2028q1_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
downside_2028q1_gross_margin
2028Q1 / downside72.4%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2028q1_gross_profit
2028Q1 / downside356.86
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q1_revenue, downside_2028q1_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
downside_2028q1_sbc
2028Q1 / downside83.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
downside_2028q1_amort
2028Q1 / downside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
downside_2028q1_restruct_expense
2028Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
downside_2028q1_payroll_tax
2028Q1 / downside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
downside_2028q1_acquisition_expense
2028Q1 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
downside_2028q1_excluded_costs
2028Q1 / downside90.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_sbc, downside_2028q1_amort, downside_2028q1_restruct_expense, downside_2028q1_payroll_tax, downside_2028q1_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2028q1_operating_income
2028Q1 / downside-1.34
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q1_non_gaap_op, downside_2028q1_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
downside_2028q1_other_da
2028Q1 / downside1.10
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
downside_2028q1_commission_amort
2028Q1 / downside36.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
downside_2028q1_interest_income
2028Q1 / downside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
downside_2028q1_deferred_funding
2028Q1 / downside-150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
downside_2028q1_cash_before_uses
2028Q1 / downside-14.74
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_operating_income, downside_2028q1_sbc, downside_2028q1_amort, downside_2028q1_other_da, downside_2028q1_restruct_expense, downside_2028q1_commission_amort, downside_2028q1_interest_income, downside_2028q1_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
downside_2028q1_coupon_due
2028Q1 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
downside_2028q1_senior_interest
2028Q1 / downside11.86
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, downside_2028q1_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
downside_2028q1_commission_rate
2028Q1 / downside7.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
downside_2028q1_commission_cash
2028Q1 / downside31.70
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q1_sales_led, downside_2028q1_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
downside_2028q1_tax_cash
2028Q1 / downside9.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
downside_2028q1_receivable_use
2028Q1 / downside-220.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
downside_2028q1_restruct_payment
2028Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
downside_2028q1_cash_uses
2028Q1 / downside-167.44
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_commission_cash, downside_2028q1_senior_interest, downside_2028q1_tax_cash, downside_2028q1_receivable_use, downside_2028q1_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
downside_2028q1_cfo
2028Q1 / downside152.70
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q1_cash_before_uses, downside_2028q1_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2028q1_capex
2028Q1 / downside1.05
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
downside_2028q1_fcf
2028Q1 / downside151.65
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q1_cfo, downside_2028q1_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
downside_2028q1_interest_added_fcf
2028Q1 / downside163.51
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_fcf, downside_2028q1_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
downside_2028q1_purchase_due
2028Q1 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
downside_2028q1_acquisition_cash
2028Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, downside_2028q1_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
downside_2028q1_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q1 / downside151.65
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q1_fcf, downside_2028q1_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
downside_2028q2_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q2 / downside808.04
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, downside_2027q2_annual_cloud, downside_2027q3_annual_cloud, downside_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
downside_2028q2_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q2 / downside118.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
downside_2028q2_annual_cloud_share
2028Q2 / downside24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
downside_2028q2_annual_cloud
2028Q2 / downside233.61
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q2_annual_cloud_prior_year, downside_2028q2_annual_cloud_growth, downside_2028q2_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
downside_2028q2_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q2 / downside812.44
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, downside_2027q2_other_subscription, downside_2027q3_other_subscription, downside_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
downside_2028q2_other_subscription_growth
2028Q2 / downside104.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
downside_2028q2_other_subscription_share
2028Q2 / downside24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
downside_2028q2_other_subscription
2028Q2 / downside207.01
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q2_other_subscription_prior_year, downside_2028q2_other_subscription_growth, downside_2028q2_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
downside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q2 / downside197.56
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q2_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q3_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
downside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q2 / downside96.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
downside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q2 / downside24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
downside_2028q2_monthly_cloud
2028Q2 / downside46.47
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_prior_year, downside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_growth, downside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
downside_2028q2_services_prior_year
2028Q2 / downside105.80
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, downside_2027q2_services, downside_2027q3_services, downside_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
downside_2028q2_services_growth
2028Q2 / downside102.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
downside_2028q2_services_share
2028Q2 / downside24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
downside_2028q2_services
2028Q2 / downside26.44
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q2_services_prior_year, downside_2028q2_services_growth, downside_2028q2_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
downside_2028q2_sales_led
2028Q2 / downside440.61
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(downside_2028q2_annual_cloud, downside_2028q2_other_subscription).
Total revenue
downside_2028q2_revenue
2028Q2 / downside513.52
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(downside_2028q2_sales_led, downside_2028q2_monthly_cloud, downside_2028q2_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
downside_2028q2_ng_margin
2028Q2 / downside18.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
downside_2028q2_non_gaap_op
2028Q2 / downside92.43
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q2_revenue, downside_2028q2_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
downside_2028q2_gross_margin
2028Q2 / downside72.6%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2028q2_gross_profit
2028Q2 / downside372.82
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q2_revenue, downside_2028q2_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
downside_2028q2_sbc
2028Q2 / downside85.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
downside_2028q2_amort
2028Q2 / downside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
downside_2028q2_restruct_expense
2028Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
downside_2028q2_payroll_tax
2028Q2 / downside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
downside_2028q2_acquisition_expense
2028Q2 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
downside_2028q2_excluded_costs
2028Q2 / downside92.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(downside_2028q2_sbc, downside_2028q2_amort, downside_2028q2_restruct_expense, downside_2028q2_payroll_tax, downside_2028q2_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2028q2_operating_income
2028Q2 / downside0.43
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q2_non_gaap_op, downside_2028q2_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
downside_2028q2_other_da
2028Q2 / downside1.30
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
downside_2028q2_commission_amort
2028Q2 / downside37.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
downside_2028q2_interest_income
2028Q2 / downside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
downside_2028q2_deferred_funding
2028Q2 / downside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
downside_2028q2_cash_before_uses
2028Q2 / downside170.23
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(downside_2028q2_operating_income, downside_2028q2_sbc, downside_2028q2_amort, downside_2028q2_other_da, downside_2028q2_restruct_expense, downside_2028q2_commission_amort, downside_2028q2_interest_income, downside_2028q2_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
downside_2028q2_coupon_due
2028Q2 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
downside_2028q2_senior_interest
2028Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, downside_2028q2_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
downside_2028q2_commission_rate
2028Q2 / downside7.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
downside_2028q2_commission_cash
2028Q2 / downside33.05
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q2_sales_led, downside_2028q2_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
downside_2028q2_tax_cash
2028Q2 / downside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
downside_2028q2_receivable_use
2028Q2 / downside50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
downside_2028q2_restruct_payment
2028Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
downside_2028q2_cash_uses
2028Q2 / downside93.05
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(downside_2028q2_commission_cash, downside_2028q2_senior_interest, downside_2028q2_tax_cash, downside_2028q2_receivable_use, downside_2028q2_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
downside_2028q2_cfo
2028Q2 / downside77.19
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q2_cash_before_uses, downside_2028q2_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2028q2_capex
2028Q2 / downside1.15
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
downside_2028q2_fcf
2028Q2 / downside76.04
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q2_cfo, downside_2028q2_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
downside_2028q2_interest_added_fcf
2028Q2 / downside76.04
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(downside_2028q2_fcf, downside_2028q2_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
downside_2028q2_purchase_due
2028Q2 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
downside_2028q2_acquisition_cash
2028Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, downside_2028q2_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
downside_2028q2_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q2 / downside76.04
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q2_fcf, downside_2028q2_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
downside_2028q3_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q3 / downside808.04
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, downside_2027q2_annual_cloud, downside_2027q3_annual_cloud, downside_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
downside_2028q3_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q3 / downside118.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
downside_2028q3_annual_cloud_share
2028Q3 / downside25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
downside_2028q3_annual_cloud
2028Q3 / downside243.14
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q3_annual_cloud_prior_year, downside_2028q3_annual_cloud_growth, downside_2028q3_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
downside_2028q3_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q3 / downside812.44
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, downside_2027q2_other_subscription, downside_2027q3_other_subscription, downside_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
downside_2028q3_other_subscription_growth
2028Q3 / downside104.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
downside_2028q3_other_subscription_share
2028Q3 / downside25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
downside_2028q3_other_subscription
2028Q3 / downside215.46
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q3_other_subscription_prior_year, downside_2028q3_other_subscription_growth, downside_2028q3_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
downside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q3 / downside197.56
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q2_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q3_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
downside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q3 / downside96.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
downside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q3 / downside25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
downside_2028q3_monthly_cloud
2028Q3 / downside48.36
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_prior_year, downside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_growth, downside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
downside_2028q3_services_prior_year
2028Q3 / downside105.80
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, downside_2027q2_services, downside_2027q3_services, downside_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
downside_2028q3_services_growth
2028Q3 / downside102.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
downside_2028q3_services_share
2028Q3 / downside25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
downside_2028q3_services
2028Q3 / downside27.52
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q3_services_prior_year, downside_2028q3_services_growth, downside_2028q3_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
downside_2028q3_sales_led
2028Q3 / downside458.60
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(downside_2028q3_annual_cloud, downside_2028q3_other_subscription).
Total revenue
downside_2028q3_revenue
2028Q3 / downside534.48
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(downside_2028q3_sales_led, downside_2028q3_monthly_cloud, downside_2028q3_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
downside_2028q3_ng_margin
2028Q3 / downside18.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
downside_2028q3_non_gaap_op
2028Q3 / downside96.21
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q3_revenue, downside_2028q3_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
downside_2028q3_gross_margin
2028Q3 / downside72.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2028q3_gross_profit
2028Q3 / downside388.83
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q3_revenue, downside_2028q3_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
downside_2028q3_sbc
2028Q3 / downside87.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
downside_2028q3_amort
2028Q3 / downside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
downside_2028q3_restruct_expense
2028Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
downside_2028q3_payroll_tax
2028Q3 / downside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
downside_2028q3_acquisition_expense
2028Q3 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
downside_2028q3_excluded_costs
2028Q3 / downside94.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(downside_2028q3_sbc, downside_2028q3_amort, downside_2028q3_restruct_expense, downside_2028q3_payroll_tax, downside_2028q3_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2028q3_operating_income
2028Q3 / downside2.21
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q3_non_gaap_op, downside_2028q3_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
downside_2028q3_other_da
2028Q3 / downside1.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
downside_2028q3_commission_amort
2028Q3 / downside38.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
downside_2028q3_interest_income
2028Q3 / downside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
downside_2028q3_deferred_funding
2028Q3 / downside80.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
downside_2028q3_cash_before_uses
2028Q3 / downside225.21
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(downside_2028q3_operating_income, downside_2028q3_sbc, downside_2028q3_amort, downside_2028q3_other_da, downside_2028q3_restruct_expense, downside_2028q3_commission_amort, downside_2028q3_interest_income, downside_2028q3_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
downside_2028q3_coupon_due
2028Q3 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
downside_2028q3_senior_interest
2028Q3 / downside11.86
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, downside_2028q3_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
downside_2028q3_commission_rate
2028Q3 / downside7.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
downside_2028q3_commission_cash
2028Q3 / downside34.39
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q3_sales_led, downside_2028q3_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
downside_2028q3_tax_cash
2028Q3 / downside11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
downside_2028q3_receivable_use
2028Q3 / downside95.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
downside_2028q3_restruct_payment
2028Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
downside_2028q3_cash_uses
2028Q3 / downside152.25
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(downside_2028q3_commission_cash, downside_2028q3_senior_interest, downside_2028q3_tax_cash, downside_2028q3_receivable_use, downside_2028q3_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
downside_2028q3_cfo
2028Q3 / downside72.95
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q3_cash_before_uses, downside_2028q3_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2028q3_capex
2028Q3 / downside1.25
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
downside_2028q3_fcf
2028Q3 / downside71.70
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q3_cfo, downside_2028q3_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
downside_2028q3_interest_added_fcf
2028Q3 / downside83.56
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(downside_2028q3_fcf, downside_2028q3_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
downside_2028q3_purchase_due
2028Q3 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
downside_2028q3_acquisition_cash
2028Q3 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, downside_2028q3_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
downside_2028q3_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q3 / downside71.70
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q3_fcf, downside_2028q3_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
downside_2028q4_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q4 / downside808.04
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, downside_2027q2_annual_cloud, downside_2027q3_annual_cloud, downside_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
downside_2028q4_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q4 / downside118.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
downside_2028q4_annual_cloud_share
2028Q4 / downside26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
downside_2028q4_annual_cloud
2028Q4 / downside252.68
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q4_annual_cloud_prior_year, downside_2028q4_annual_cloud_growth, downside_2028q4_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
downside_2028q4_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q4 / downside812.44
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, downside_2027q2_other_subscription, downside_2027q3_other_subscription, downside_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
downside_2028q4_other_subscription_growth
2028Q4 / downside104.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
downside_2028q4_other_subscription_share
2028Q4 / downside26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
downside_2028q4_other_subscription
2028Q4 / downside223.91
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q4_other_subscription_prior_year, downside_2028q4_other_subscription_growth, downside_2028q4_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
downside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q4 / downside197.56
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q2_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q3_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
downside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q4 / downside96.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
downside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q4 / downside26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
downside_2028q4_monthly_cloud
2028Q4 / downside50.26
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_prior_year, downside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_growth, downside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
downside_2028q4_services_prior_year
2028Q4 / downside105.80
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, downside_2027q2_services, downside_2027q3_services, downside_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
downside_2028q4_services_growth
2028Q4 / downside102.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
downside_2028q4_services_share
2028Q4 / downside26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
downside_2028q4_services
2028Q4 / downside28.60
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q4_services_prior_year, downside_2028q4_services_growth, downside_2028q4_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
downside_2028q4_sales_led
2028Q4 / downside476.58
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(downside_2028q4_annual_cloud, downside_2028q4_other_subscription).
Total revenue
downside_2028q4_revenue
2028Q4 / downside555.44
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(downside_2028q4_sales_led, downside_2028q4_monthly_cloud, downside_2028q4_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
downside_2028q4_ng_margin
2028Q4 / downside18.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
downside_2028q4_non_gaap_op
2028Q4 / downside99.98
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q4_revenue, downside_2028q4_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
downside_2028q4_gross_margin
2028Q4 / downside72.9%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
downside_2028q4_gross_profit
2028Q4 / downside404.92
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q4_revenue, downside_2028q4_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
downside_2028q4_sbc
2028Q4 / downside89.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
downside_2028q4_amort
2028Q4 / downside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
downside_2028q4_restruct_expense
2028Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
downside_2028q4_payroll_tax
2028Q4 / downside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
downside_2028q4_acquisition_expense
2028Q4 / downside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
downside_2028q4_excluded_costs
2028Q4 / downside96.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(downside_2028q4_sbc, downside_2028q4_amort, downside_2028q4_restruct_expense, downside_2028q4_payroll_tax, downside_2028q4_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
downside_2028q4_operating_income
2028Q4 / downside3.98
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q4_non_gaap_op, downside_2028q4_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
downside_2028q4_other_da
2028Q4 / downside1.70
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
downside_2028q4_commission_amort
2028Q4 / downside39.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
downside_2028q4_interest_income
2028Q4 / downside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
downside_2028q4_deferred_funding
2028Q4 / downside210.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
downside_2028q4_cash_before_uses
2028Q4 / downside360.18
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(downside_2028q4_operating_income, downside_2028q4_sbc, downside_2028q4_amort, downside_2028q4_other_da, downside_2028q4_restruct_expense, downside_2028q4_commission_amort, downside_2028q4_interest_income, downside_2028q4_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
downside_2028q4_coupon_due
2028Q4 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
downside_2028q4_senior_interest
2028Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, downside_2028q4_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
downside_2028q4_commission_rate
2028Q4 / downside7.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
downside_2028q4_commission_cash
2028Q4 / downside35.74
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(downside_2028q4_sales_led, downside_2028q4_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
downside_2028q4_tax_cash
2028Q4 / downside12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
downside_2028q4_receivable_use
2028Q4 / downside210.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
downside_2028q4_restruct_payment
2028Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
downside_2028q4_cash_uses
2028Q4 / downside257.74
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(downside_2028q4_commission_cash, downside_2028q4_senior_interest, downside_2028q4_tax_cash, downside_2028q4_receivable_use, downside_2028q4_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
downside_2028q4_cfo
2028Q4 / downside102.44
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q4_cash_before_uses, downside_2028q4_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
downside_2028q4_capex
2028Q4 / downside1.35
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
downside_2028q4_fcf
2028Q4 / downside101.09
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q4_cfo, downside_2028q4_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
downside_2028q4_interest_added_fcf
2028Q4 / downside101.09
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(downside_2028q4_fcf, downside_2028q4_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
downside_2028q4_purchase_due
2028Q4 / downside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
downside_2028q4_acquisition_cash
2028Q4 / downside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, downside_2028q4_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
downside_2028q4_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q4 / downside101.09
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(downside_2028q4_fcf, downside_2028q4_acquisition_cash).
Revenue ($M)
downside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / downside1,923.84
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue).
Sales-led subscription revenue ($M)
downside_fy2027_sales_led
FY2027 / downside1,620.48
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_sales_led, downside_2027q2_sales_led, downside_2027q3_sales_led, downside_2027q4_sales_led).
Monthly Cloud revenue ($M)
downside_fy2027_monthly_cloud
FY2027 / downside197.56
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q2_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q3_monthly_cloud, downside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue ($M)
downside_fy2027_services
FY2027 / downside105.80
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_services, downside_2027q2_services, downside_2027q3_services, downside_2027q4_services).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / downside1,399.32
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_gross_profit).
Non-GAAP operating income ($M)
downside_fy2027_non_gaap_op
FY2027 / downside327.05
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_non_gaap_op, downside_2027q2_non_gaap_op, downside_2027q3_non_gaap_op, downside_2027q4_non_gaap_op).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
downside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / downside-36.36
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
downside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / downside293.39
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
downside_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / downside3.14
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex).
CFO less PP&E after interest ($M)
downside_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / downside290.25
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_fcf, downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q4_fcf).
FCF with senior-note interest added back ($M)
downside_fy2027_interest_added_fcf
FY2027 / downside313.97
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_interest_added_fcf, downside_2027q2_interest_added_fcf, downside_2027q3_interest_added_fcf, downside_2027q4_interest_added_fcf).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition ($M)
downside_fy2027_cash_after_acquisition
FY2027 / downside220.25
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_cash_after_acquisition, downside_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition, downside_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition, downside_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition).
Revenue ($M)
downside_fy2028_revenue
FY2028 / downside2,096.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_revenue, downside_2028q2_revenue, downside_2028q3_revenue, downside_2028q4_revenue).
Sales-led subscription revenue ($M)
downside_fy2028_sales_led
FY2028 / downside1,798.43
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_sales_led, downside_2028q2_sales_led, downside_2028q3_sales_led, downside_2028q4_sales_led).
Monthly Cloud revenue ($M)
downside_fy2028_monthly_cloud
FY2028 / downside189.66
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_monthly_cloud, downside_2028q2_monthly_cloud, downside_2028q3_monthly_cloud, downside_2028q4_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue ($M)
downside_fy2028_services
FY2028 / downside107.91
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_services, downside_2028q2_services, downside_2028q3_services, downside_2028q4_services).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
downside_fy2028_gross_profit
FY2028 / downside1,523.42
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_gross_profit, downside_2028q2_gross_profit, downside_2028q3_gross_profit, downside_2028q4_gross_profit).
Non-GAAP operating income ($M)
downside_fy2028_non_gaap_op
FY2028 / downside377.28
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_non_gaap_op, downside_2028q2_non_gaap_op, downside_2028q3_non_gaap_op, downside_2028q4_non_gaap_op).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
downside_fy2028_operating_income
FY2028 / downside5.28
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_operating_income, downside_2028q2_operating_income, downside_2028q3_operating_income, downside_2028q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
downside_fy2028_cfo
FY2028 / downside405.28
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_cfo, downside_2028q2_cfo, downside_2028q3_cfo, downside_2028q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
downside_fy2028_capex
FY2028 / downside4.80
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_capex, downside_2028q2_capex, downside_2028q3_capex, downside_2028q4_capex).
CFO less PP&E after interest ($M)
downside_fy2028_fcf
FY2028 / downside400.48
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_fcf, downside_2028q2_fcf, downside_2028q3_fcf, downside_2028q4_fcf).
FCF with senior-note interest added back ($M)
downside_fy2028_interest_added_fcf
FY2028 / downside424.20
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_interest_added_fcf, downside_2028q2_interest_added_fcf, downside_2028q3_interest_added_fcf, downside_2028q4_interest_added_fcf).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition ($M)
downside_fy2028_cash_after_acquisition
FY2028 / downside400.48
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2028q1_cash_after_acquisition, downside_2028q2_cash_after_acquisition, downside_2028q3_cash_after_acquisition, downside_2028q4_cash_after_acquisition).
FY2027 delivery / guide
base_delivery
FY2027 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity.
FY2027 revenue
base_annual_revenue_target
FY2027 / base2,004.00
USD_millions
derived: Management midpoint times delivery sensitivity. Formula: multiply(annual_guide, base_delivery).
FY2027 sales_led
base_annual_sales_led_target
FY2027 / base1,688.00
USD_millions
derived: Management midpoint times delivery sensitivity. Formula: multiply(annual_sales_guide, base_delivery).
Annual non-GAAP operating margin
base_annual_margin
FY2027 / base19.4%
ratio
assumption: Base aligns with approximately 19.4% outlook.
FY2027 non-GAAP operating income
base_annual_non_gaap_target
FY2027 / base388.78
USD_millions
derived: Annual margin anchor; later FY2028 is a desk forecast. Formula: multiply(base_annual_revenue_target, base_annual_margin).
Annual Elastic Cloud revenue
base_2027q2_annual_cloud
2027Q2 / base199.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Sales-led subscription
base_2027q2_sales_led
2027Q2 / base408.00
USD_millions
derived: Q2 guidance sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q2_sales_guide, base_delivery).
Other subscription revenue
base_2027q2_other_subscription
2027Q2 / base209.00
USD_millions
derived: Sales-led includes both annual Cloud and self-managed/other subscription. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_sales_led, base_2027q2_annual_cloud).
Monthly Elastic Cloud revenue
base_2027q2_monthly_cloud
2027Q2 / base50.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Total revenue
base_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / base486.50
USD_millions
derived: Q2 consolidated guidance sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q2_guide, base_delivery).
Total subscription
base_2027q2_subscription
2027Q2 / base458.50
USD_millions
derived: Nonoverlapping sales-led and Monthly Cloud. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_sales_led, base_2027q2_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue
base_2027q2_services
2027Q2 / base28.00
USD_millions
derived: Services residual within guidance; not a new product revenue forecast. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q2_subscription).
Non-GAAP operating margin
base_2027q2_ng_margin
2027Q2 / base19.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
base_2027q2_non_gaap_op
2027Q2 / base92.44
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q2_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
base_2027q2_gross_margin
2027Q2 / base74.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / base363.90
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q2_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
base_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / base75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
base_2027q2_amort
2027Q2 / base3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
base_2027q2_restruct_expense
2027Q2 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
base_2027q2_payroll_tax
2027Q2 / base3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
base_2027q2_acquisition_expense
2027Q2 / base1.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
base_2027q2_excluded_costs
2027Q2 / base84.50
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_amort, base_2027q2_restruct_expense, base_2027q2_payroll_tax, base_2027q2_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / base7.94
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_non_gaap_op, base_2027q2_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
base_2027q2_other_da
2027Q2 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
base_2027q2_commission_amort
2027Q2 / base33.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
base_2027q2_interest_income
2027Q2 / base13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
base_2027q2_deferred_funding
2027Q2 / base25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
base_2027q2_cash_before_uses
2027Q2 / base159.94
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_amort, base_2027q2_other_da, base_2027q2_restruct_expense, base_2027q2_commission_amort, base_2027q2_interest_income, base_2027q2_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
base_2027q2_coupon_due
2027Q2 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
base_2027q2_senior_interest
2027Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, base_2027q2_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
base_2027q2_commission_rate
2027Q2 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
base_2027q2_commission_cash
2027Q2 / base26.52
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_sales_led, base_2027q2_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
base_2027q2_tax_cash
2027Q2 / base6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
base_2027q2_receivable_use
2027Q2 / base25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
base_2027q2_restruct_payment
2027Q2 / base8.50
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
base_2027q2_cash_uses
2027Q2 / base66.02
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_commission_cash, base_2027q2_senior_interest, base_2027q2_tax_cash, base_2027q2_receivable_use, base_2027q2_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
base_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / base93.92
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_before_uses, base_2027q2_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / base0.75
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
base_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / base93.17
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
base_2027q2_interest_added_fcf
2027Q2 / base93.17
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q2_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
base_2027q2_purchase_due
2027Q2 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
base_2027q2_acquisition_cash
2027Q2 / base70.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, base_2027q2_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
base_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition
2027Q2 / base23.17
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q2_acquisition_cash).
Annual Elastic Cloud revenue
base_2027q3_annual_cloud
2027Q3 / base215.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Sales-led subscription
base_2027q3_sales_led
2027Q3 / base425.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Other subscription revenue
base_2027q3_other_subscription
2027Q3 / base210.00
USD_millions
derived: Sales-led includes both annual Cloud and self-managed/other subscription. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_sales_led, base_2027q3_annual_cloud).
Monthly Elastic Cloud revenue
base_2027q3_monthly_cloud
2027Q3 / base51.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Total revenue
base_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / base504.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Total subscription
base_2027q3_subscription
2027Q3 / base476.00
USD_millions
derived: Nonoverlapping sales-led and Monthly Cloud. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_sales_led, base_2027q3_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue
base_2027q3_services
2027Q3 / base28.50
USD_millions
derived: Services residual within guidance; not a new product revenue forecast. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q3_subscription).
Non-GAAP operating margin
base_2027q3_ng_margin
2027Q3 / base19.4%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
base_2027q3_non_gaap_op
2027Q3 / base97.87
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q3_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
base_2027q3_gross_margin
2027Q3 / base74.9%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / base378.12
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q3_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
base_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / base77.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
base_2027q3_amort
2027Q3 / base3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
base_2027q3_restruct_expense
2027Q3 / base1.58
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
base_2027q3_payroll_tax
2027Q3 / base3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
base_2027q3_acquisition_expense
2027Q3 / base1.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
base_2027q3_excluded_costs
2027Q3 / base86.08
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_amort, base_2027q3_restruct_expense, base_2027q3_payroll_tax, base_2027q3_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / base11.79
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_non_gaap_op, base_2027q3_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
base_2027q3_other_da
2027Q3 / base0.70
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
base_2027q3_commission_amort
2027Q3 / base34.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
base_2027q3_interest_income
2027Q3 / base13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
base_2027q3_deferred_funding
2027Q3 / base70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
base_2027q3_cash_before_uses
2027Q3 / base211.57
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_amort, base_2027q3_other_da, base_2027q3_restruct_expense, base_2027q3_commission_amort, base_2027q3_interest_income, base_2027q3_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
base_2027q3_coupon_due
2027Q3 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
base_2027q3_senior_interest
2027Q3 / base11.86
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, base_2027q3_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
base_2027q3_commission_rate
2027Q3 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
base_2027q3_commission_cash
2027Q3 / base27.62
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_sales_led, base_2027q3_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
base_2027q3_tax_cash
2027Q3 / base7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
base_2027q3_receivable_use
2027Q3 / base65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
base_2027q3_restruct_payment
2027Q3 / base2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
base_2027q3_cash_uses
2027Q3 / base113.48
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_commission_cash, base_2027q3_senior_interest, base_2027q3_tax_cash, base_2027q3_receivable_use, base_2027q3_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
base_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / base98.09
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_before_uses, base_2027q3_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / base0.85
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
base_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / base97.24
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
base_2027q3_interest_added_fcf
2027Q3 / base109.10
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q3_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
base_2027q3_purchase_due
2027Q3 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
base_2027q3_acquisition_cash
2027Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, base_2027q3_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
base_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition
2027Q3 / base97.24
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q3_acquisition_cash).
Annual Elastic Cloud revenue
base_2027q4_annual_cloud
2027Q4 / base235.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Q1 through Q3 sales-led
base_2027q4_prior_sales
2027Q4 / base1,231.53
USD_millions
derived: Reported Q1 and two forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_sales_led, base_2027q2_sales_led, base_2027q3_sales_led).
Sales-led subscription
base_2027q4_sales_led
2027Q4 / base456.47
USD_millions
derived: Annual sales-led guidance residual. Formula: subtract(base_annual_sales_led_target, base_2027q4_prior_sales).
Other subscription revenue
base_2027q4_other_subscription
2027Q4 / base221.47
USD_millions
derived: Sales-led includes both annual Cloud and self-managed/other subscription. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_sales_led, base_2027q4_annual_cloud).
Monthly Elastic Cloud revenue
base_2027q4_monthly_cloud
2027Q4 / base52.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Q1 through Q3 total revenue
base_2027q4_prior_revenue
2027Q4 / base1,469.11
USD_millions
derived: Reported Q1 and forecast next two quarters. Formula: sum(q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue).
Total revenue
base_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / base534.89
USD_millions
derived: Residual to annual scenario. Formula: subtract(base_annual_revenue_target, base_2027q4_prior_revenue).
Total subscription
base_2027q4_subscription
2027Q4 / base508.47
USD_millions
derived: Nonoverlapping sales-led and Monthly Cloud. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_sales_led, base_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue
base_2027q4_services
2027Q4 / base26.42
USD_millions
derived: Services residual within guidance; not a new product revenue forecast. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_revenue, base_2027q4_subscription).
Q1 through Q3 non-GAAP profit
base_2027q4_prior_ng
2027Q4 / base267.57
USD_millions
derived: Annual guided profit residual. Formula: sum(q1_non_gaap_op, base_2027q2_non_gaap_op, base_2027q3_non_gaap_op).
Non-GAAP operating income
base_2027q4_non_gaap_op
2027Q4 / base121.21
USD_millions
derived: Remaining annual adjusted operating income. Formula: subtract(base_annual_non_gaap_target, base_2027q4_prior_ng).
GAAP gross margin
base_2027q4_gross_margin
2027Q4 / base75.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / base401.70
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_revenue, base_2027q4_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
base_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / base79.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
base_2027q4_amort
2027Q4 / base3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
base_2027q4_restruct_expense
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
base_2027q4_payroll_tax
2027Q4 / base3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
base_2027q4_acquisition_expense
2027Q4 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
base_2027q4_excluded_costs
2027Q4 / base86.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_amort, base_2027q4_restruct_expense, base_2027q4_payroll_tax, base_2027q4_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / base35.21
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_non_gaap_op, base_2027q4_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
base_2027q4_other_da
2027Q4 / base0.90
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
base_2027q4_commission_amort
2027Q4 / base35.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
base_2027q4_interest_income
2027Q4 / base13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
base_2027q4_deferred_funding
2027Q4 / base190.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
base_2027q4_cash_before_uses
2027Q4 / base356.61
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_operating_income, base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_amort, base_2027q4_other_da, base_2027q4_restruct_expense, base_2027q4_commission_amort, base_2027q4_interest_income, base_2027q4_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
base_2027q4_coupon_due
2027Q4 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
base_2027q4_senior_interest
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, base_2027q4_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
base_2027q4_commission_rate
2027Q4 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
base_2027q4_commission_cash
2027Q4 / base29.67
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_sales_led, base_2027q4_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
base_2027q4_tax_cash
2027Q4 / base8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
base_2027q4_receivable_use
2027Q4 / base233.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
base_2027q4_restruct_payment
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
base_2027q4_cash_uses
2027Q4 / base270.67
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_commission_cash, base_2027q4_senior_interest, base_2027q4_tax_cash, base_2027q4_receivable_use, base_2027q4_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
base_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / base85.94
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_before_uses, base_2027q4_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / base0.95
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
base_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / base84.99
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
base_2027q4_interest_added_fcf
2027Q4 / base84.99
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_fcf, base_2027q4_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
base_2027q4_purchase_due
2027Q4 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
base_2027q4_acquisition_cash
2027Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, base_2027q4_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
base_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition
2027Q4 / base84.99
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_fcf, base_2027q4_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
base_2028q1_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q1 / base834.00
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, base_2027q2_annual_cloud, base_2027q3_annual_cloud, base_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
base_2028q1_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q1 / base132.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
base_2028q1_annual_cloud_share
2028Q1 / base23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
base_2028q1_annual_cloud
2028Q1 / base258.71
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q1_annual_cloud_prior_year, base_2028q1_annual_cloud_growth, base_2028q1_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
base_2028q1_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q1 / base854.00
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, base_2027q2_other_subscription, base_2027q3_other_subscription, base_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
base_2028q1_other_subscription_growth
2028Q1 / base112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
base_2028q1_other_subscription_share
2028Q1 / base23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
base_2028q1_other_subscription
2028Q1 / base224.77
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q1_other_subscription_prior_year, base_2028q1_other_subscription_growth, base_2028q1_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
base_2028q1_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q1 / base203.70
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, base_2027q2_monthly_cloud, base_2027q3_monthly_cloud, base_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
base_2028q1_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q1 / base106.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
base_2028q1_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q1 / base23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
base_2028q1_monthly_cloud
2028Q1 / base50.74
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q1_monthly_cloud_prior_year, base_2028q1_monthly_cloud_growth, base_2028q1_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
base_2028q1_services_prior_year
2028Q1 / base112.30
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, base_2027q2_services, base_2027q3_services, base_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
base_2028q1_services_growth
2028Q1 / base108.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
base_2028q1_services_share
2028Q1 / base23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
base_2028q1_services
2028Q1 / base28.50
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q1_services_prior_year, base_2028q1_services_growth, base_2028q1_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
base_2028q1_sales_led
2028Q1 / base483.48
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_annual_cloud, base_2028q1_other_subscription).
Total revenue
base_2028q1_revenue
2028Q1 / base562.72
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_sales_led, base_2028q1_monthly_cloud, base_2028q1_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
base_2028q1_ng_margin
2028Q1 / base20.4%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
base_2028q1_non_gaap_op
2028Q1 / base114.80
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(base_2028q1_revenue, base_2028q1_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
base_2028q1_gross_margin
2028Q1 / base75.2%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2028q1_gross_profit
2028Q1 / base423.45
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(base_2028q1_revenue, base_2028q1_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
base_2028q1_sbc
2028Q1 / base81.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
base_2028q1_amort
2028Q1 / base3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
base_2028q1_restruct_expense
2028Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
base_2028q1_payroll_tax
2028Q1 / base3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
base_2028q1_acquisition_expense
2028Q1 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
base_2028q1_excluded_costs
2028Q1 / base88.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_sbc, base_2028q1_amort, base_2028q1_restruct_expense, base_2028q1_payroll_tax, base_2028q1_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2028q1_operating_income
2028Q1 / base26.80
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2028q1_non_gaap_op, base_2028q1_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
base_2028q1_other_da
2028Q1 / base1.10
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
base_2028q1_commission_amort
2028Q1 / base36.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
base_2028q1_interest_income
2028Q1 / base13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
base_2028q1_deferred_funding
2028Q1 / base-150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
base_2028q1_cash_before_uses
2028Q1 / base11.40
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_operating_income, base_2028q1_sbc, base_2028q1_amort, base_2028q1_other_da, base_2028q1_restruct_expense, base_2028q1_commission_amort, base_2028q1_interest_income, base_2028q1_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
base_2028q1_coupon_due
2028Q1 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
base_2028q1_senior_interest
2028Q1 / base11.86
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, base_2028q1_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
base_2028q1_commission_rate
2028Q1 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
base_2028q1_commission_cash
2028Q1 / base31.43
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(base_2028q1_sales_led, base_2028q1_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
base_2028q1_tax_cash
2028Q1 / base9.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
base_2028q1_receivable_use
2028Q1 / base-230.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
base_2028q1_restruct_payment
2028Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
base_2028q1_cash_uses
2028Q1 / base-177.71
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_commission_cash, base_2028q1_senior_interest, base_2028q1_tax_cash, base_2028q1_receivable_use, base_2028q1_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
base_2028q1_cfo
2028Q1 / base189.11
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(base_2028q1_cash_before_uses, base_2028q1_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2028q1_capex
2028Q1 / base1.05
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
base_2028q1_fcf
2028Q1 / base188.06
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(base_2028q1_cfo, base_2028q1_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
base_2028q1_interest_added_fcf
2028Q1 / base199.92
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_fcf, base_2028q1_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
base_2028q1_purchase_due
2028Q1 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
base_2028q1_acquisition_cash
2028Q1 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, base_2028q1_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
base_2028q1_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q1 / base188.06
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(base_2028q1_fcf, base_2028q1_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
base_2028q2_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q2 / base834.00
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, base_2027q2_annual_cloud, base_2027q3_annual_cloud, base_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
base_2028q2_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q2 / base132.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
base_2028q2_annual_cloud_share
2028Q2 / base24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
base_2028q2_annual_cloud
2028Q2 / base269.72
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q2_annual_cloud_prior_year, base_2028q2_annual_cloud_growth, base_2028q2_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
base_2028q2_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q2 / base854.00
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, base_2027q2_other_subscription, base_2027q3_other_subscription, base_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
base_2028q2_other_subscription_growth
2028Q2 / base112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
base_2028q2_other_subscription_share
2028Q2 / base24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
base_2028q2_other_subscription
2028Q2 / base234.34
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q2_other_subscription_prior_year, base_2028q2_other_subscription_growth, base_2028q2_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
base_2028q2_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q2 / base203.70
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, base_2027q2_monthly_cloud, base_2027q3_monthly_cloud, base_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
base_2028q2_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q2 / base106.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
base_2028q2_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q2 / base24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
base_2028q2_monthly_cloud
2028Q2 / base52.90
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q2_monthly_cloud_prior_year, base_2028q2_monthly_cloud_growth, base_2028q2_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
base_2028q2_services_prior_year
2028Q2 / base112.30
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, base_2027q2_services, base_2027q3_services, base_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
base_2028q2_services_growth
2028Q2 / base108.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
base_2028q2_services_share
2028Q2 / base24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
base_2028q2_services
2028Q2 / base29.71
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q2_services_prior_year, base_2028q2_services_growth, base_2028q2_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
base_2028q2_sales_led
2028Q2 / base504.05
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(base_2028q2_annual_cloud, base_2028q2_other_subscription).
Total revenue
base_2028q2_revenue
2028Q2 / base586.67
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(base_2028q2_sales_led, base_2028q2_monthly_cloud, base_2028q2_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
base_2028q2_ng_margin
2028Q2 / base20.4%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
base_2028q2_non_gaap_op
2028Q2 / base119.68
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(base_2028q2_revenue, base_2028q2_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
base_2028q2_gross_margin
2028Q2 / base75.4%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2028q2_gross_profit
2028Q2 / base442.35
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(base_2028q2_revenue, base_2028q2_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
base_2028q2_sbc
2028Q2 / base83.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
base_2028q2_amort
2028Q2 / base3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
base_2028q2_restruct_expense
2028Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
base_2028q2_payroll_tax
2028Q2 / base3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
base_2028q2_acquisition_expense
2028Q2 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
base_2028q2_excluded_costs
2028Q2 / base90.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(base_2028q2_sbc, base_2028q2_amort, base_2028q2_restruct_expense, base_2028q2_payroll_tax, base_2028q2_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2028q2_operating_income
2028Q2 / base29.68
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2028q2_non_gaap_op, base_2028q2_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
base_2028q2_other_da
2028Q2 / base1.30
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
base_2028q2_commission_amort
2028Q2 / base37.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
base_2028q2_interest_income
2028Q2 / base13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
base_2028q2_deferred_funding
2028Q2 / base30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
base_2028q2_cash_before_uses
2028Q2 / base197.48
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(base_2028q2_operating_income, base_2028q2_sbc, base_2028q2_amort, base_2028q2_other_da, base_2028q2_restruct_expense, base_2028q2_commission_amort, base_2028q2_interest_income, base_2028q2_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
base_2028q2_coupon_due
2028Q2 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
base_2028q2_senior_interest
2028Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, base_2028q2_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
base_2028q2_commission_rate
2028Q2 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
base_2028q2_commission_cash
2028Q2 / base32.76
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(base_2028q2_sales_led, base_2028q2_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
base_2028q2_tax_cash
2028Q2 / base10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
base_2028q2_receivable_use
2028Q2 / base30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
base_2028q2_restruct_payment
2028Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
base_2028q2_cash_uses
2028Q2 / base72.76
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(base_2028q2_commission_cash, base_2028q2_senior_interest, base_2028q2_tax_cash, base_2028q2_receivable_use, base_2028q2_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
base_2028q2_cfo
2028Q2 / base124.72
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(base_2028q2_cash_before_uses, base_2028q2_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2028q2_capex
2028Q2 / base1.15
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
base_2028q2_fcf
2028Q2 / base123.57
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(base_2028q2_cfo, base_2028q2_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
base_2028q2_interest_added_fcf
2028Q2 / base123.57
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(base_2028q2_fcf, base_2028q2_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
base_2028q2_purchase_due
2028Q2 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
base_2028q2_acquisition_cash
2028Q2 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, base_2028q2_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
base_2028q2_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q2 / base123.57
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(base_2028q2_fcf, base_2028q2_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
base_2028q3_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q3 / base834.00
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, base_2027q2_annual_cloud, base_2027q3_annual_cloud, base_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
base_2028q3_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q3 / base132.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
base_2028q3_annual_cloud_share
2028Q3 / base25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
base_2028q3_annual_cloud
2028Q3 / base280.73
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q3_annual_cloud_prior_year, base_2028q3_annual_cloud_growth, base_2028q3_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
base_2028q3_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q3 / base854.00
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, base_2027q2_other_subscription, base_2027q3_other_subscription, base_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
base_2028q3_other_subscription_growth
2028Q3 / base112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
base_2028q3_other_subscription_share
2028Q3 / base25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
base_2028q3_other_subscription
2028Q3 / base243.90
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q3_other_subscription_prior_year, base_2028q3_other_subscription_growth, base_2028q3_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
base_2028q3_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q3 / base203.70
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, base_2027q2_monthly_cloud, base_2027q3_monthly_cloud, base_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
base_2028q3_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q3 / base106.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
base_2028q3_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q3 / base25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
base_2028q3_monthly_cloud
2028Q3 / base55.06
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q3_monthly_cloud_prior_year, base_2028q3_monthly_cloud_growth, base_2028q3_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
base_2028q3_services_prior_year
2028Q3 / base112.30
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, base_2027q2_services, base_2027q3_services, base_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
base_2028q3_services_growth
2028Q3 / base108.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
base_2028q3_services_share
2028Q3 / base25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
base_2028q3_services
2028Q3 / base30.93
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q3_services_prior_year, base_2028q3_services_growth, base_2028q3_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
base_2028q3_sales_led
2028Q3 / base524.63
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(base_2028q3_annual_cloud, base_2028q3_other_subscription).
Total revenue
base_2028q3_revenue
2028Q3 / base610.61
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(base_2028q3_sales_led, base_2028q3_monthly_cloud, base_2028q3_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
base_2028q3_ng_margin
2028Q3 / base20.4%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
base_2028q3_non_gaap_op
2028Q3 / base124.57
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(base_2028q3_revenue, base_2028q3_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
base_2028q3_gross_margin
2028Q3 / base75.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2028q3_gross_profit
2028Q3 / base461.32
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(base_2028q3_revenue, base_2028q3_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
base_2028q3_sbc
2028Q3 / base85.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
base_2028q3_amort
2028Q3 / base3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
base_2028q3_restruct_expense
2028Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
base_2028q3_payroll_tax
2028Q3 / base3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
base_2028q3_acquisition_expense
2028Q3 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
base_2028q3_excluded_costs
2028Q3 / base92.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(base_2028q3_sbc, base_2028q3_amort, base_2028q3_restruct_expense, base_2028q3_payroll_tax, base_2028q3_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2028q3_operating_income
2028Q3 / base32.57
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2028q3_non_gaap_op, base_2028q3_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
base_2028q3_other_da
2028Q3 / base1.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
base_2028q3_commission_amort
2028Q3 / base38.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
base_2028q3_interest_income
2028Q3 / base13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
base_2028q3_deferred_funding
2028Q3 / base80.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
base_2028q3_cash_before_uses
2028Q3 / base253.57
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(base_2028q3_operating_income, base_2028q3_sbc, base_2028q3_amort, base_2028q3_other_da, base_2028q3_restruct_expense, base_2028q3_commission_amort, base_2028q3_interest_income, base_2028q3_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
base_2028q3_coupon_due
2028Q3 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
base_2028q3_senior_interest
2028Q3 / base11.86
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, base_2028q3_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
base_2028q3_commission_rate
2028Q3 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
base_2028q3_commission_cash
2028Q3 / base34.10
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(base_2028q3_sales_led, base_2028q3_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
base_2028q3_tax_cash
2028Q3 / base11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
base_2028q3_receivable_use
2028Q3 / base75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
base_2028q3_restruct_payment
2028Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
base_2028q3_cash_uses
2028Q3 / base131.96
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(base_2028q3_commission_cash, base_2028q3_senior_interest, base_2028q3_tax_cash, base_2028q3_receivable_use, base_2028q3_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
base_2028q3_cfo
2028Q3 / base121.61
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(base_2028q3_cash_before_uses, base_2028q3_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2028q3_capex
2028Q3 / base1.25
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
base_2028q3_fcf
2028Q3 / base120.36
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(base_2028q3_cfo, base_2028q3_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
base_2028q3_interest_added_fcf
2028Q3 / base132.21
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(base_2028q3_fcf, base_2028q3_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
base_2028q3_purchase_due
2028Q3 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
base_2028q3_acquisition_cash
2028Q3 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, base_2028q3_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
base_2028q3_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q3 / base120.36
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(base_2028q3_fcf, base_2028q3_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
base_2028q4_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q4 / base834.00
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, base_2027q2_annual_cloud, base_2027q3_annual_cloud, base_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
base_2028q4_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q4 / base132.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
base_2028q4_annual_cloud_share
2028Q4 / base26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
base_2028q4_annual_cloud
2028Q4 / base291.73
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q4_annual_cloud_prior_year, base_2028q4_annual_cloud_growth, base_2028q4_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
base_2028q4_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q4 / base854.00
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, base_2027q2_other_subscription, base_2027q3_other_subscription, base_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
base_2028q4_other_subscription_growth
2028Q4 / base112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
base_2028q4_other_subscription_share
2028Q4 / base26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
base_2028q4_other_subscription
2028Q4 / base253.47
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q4_other_subscription_prior_year, base_2028q4_other_subscription_growth, base_2028q4_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
base_2028q4_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q4 / base203.70
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, base_2027q2_monthly_cloud, base_2027q3_monthly_cloud, base_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
base_2028q4_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q4 / base106.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
base_2028q4_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q4 / base26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
base_2028q4_monthly_cloud
2028Q4 / base57.22
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q4_monthly_cloud_prior_year, base_2028q4_monthly_cloud_growth, base_2028q4_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
base_2028q4_services_prior_year
2028Q4 / base112.30
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, base_2027q2_services, base_2027q3_services, base_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
base_2028q4_services_growth
2028Q4 / base108.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
base_2028q4_services_share
2028Q4 / base26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
base_2028q4_services
2028Q4 / base32.14
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(base_2028q4_services_prior_year, base_2028q4_services_growth, base_2028q4_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
base_2028q4_sales_led
2028Q4 / base545.20
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(base_2028q4_annual_cloud, base_2028q4_other_subscription).
Total revenue
base_2028q4_revenue
2028Q4 / base634.56
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(base_2028q4_sales_led, base_2028q4_monthly_cloud, base_2028q4_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
base_2028q4_ng_margin
2028Q4 / base20.4%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
base_2028q4_non_gaap_op
2028Q4 / base129.45
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(base_2028q4_revenue, base_2028q4_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
base_2028q4_gross_margin
2028Q4 / base75.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
base_2028q4_gross_profit
2028Q4 / base480.36
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(base_2028q4_revenue, base_2028q4_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
base_2028q4_sbc
2028Q4 / base87.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
base_2028q4_amort
2028Q4 / base3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
base_2028q4_restruct_expense
2028Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
base_2028q4_payroll_tax
2028Q4 / base3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
base_2028q4_acquisition_expense
2028Q4 / base0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
base_2028q4_excluded_costs
2028Q4 / base94.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(base_2028q4_sbc, base_2028q4_amort, base_2028q4_restruct_expense, base_2028q4_payroll_tax, base_2028q4_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
base_2028q4_operating_income
2028Q4 / base35.45
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2028q4_non_gaap_op, base_2028q4_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
base_2028q4_other_da
2028Q4 / base1.70
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
base_2028q4_commission_amort
2028Q4 / base39.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
base_2028q4_interest_income
2028Q4 / base13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
base_2028q4_deferred_funding
2028Q4 / base210.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
base_2028q4_cash_before_uses
2028Q4 / base389.65
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(base_2028q4_operating_income, base_2028q4_sbc, base_2028q4_amort, base_2028q4_other_da, base_2028q4_restruct_expense, base_2028q4_commission_amort, base_2028q4_interest_income, base_2028q4_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
base_2028q4_coupon_due
2028Q4 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
base_2028q4_senior_interest
2028Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, base_2028q4_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
base_2028q4_commission_rate
2028Q4 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
base_2028q4_commission_cash
2028Q4 / base35.44
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(base_2028q4_sales_led, base_2028q4_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
base_2028q4_tax_cash
2028Q4 / base12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
base_2028q4_receivable_use
2028Q4 / base190.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
base_2028q4_restruct_payment
2028Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
base_2028q4_cash_uses
2028Q4 / base237.44
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(base_2028q4_commission_cash, base_2028q4_senior_interest, base_2028q4_tax_cash, base_2028q4_receivable_use, base_2028q4_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
base_2028q4_cfo
2028Q4 / base152.21
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(base_2028q4_cash_before_uses, base_2028q4_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
base_2028q4_capex
2028Q4 / base1.35
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
base_2028q4_fcf
2028Q4 / base150.86
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(base_2028q4_cfo, base_2028q4_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
base_2028q4_interest_added_fcf
2028Q4 / base150.86
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(base_2028q4_fcf, base_2028q4_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
base_2028q4_purchase_due
2028Q4 / base0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
base_2028q4_acquisition_cash
2028Q4 / base0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, base_2028q4_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
base_2028q4_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q4 / base150.86
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(base_2028q4_fcf, base_2028q4_acquisition_cash).
Revenue ($M)
base_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / base2,004.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue).
Sales-led subscription revenue ($M)
base_fy2027_sales_led
FY2027 / base1,688.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_sales_led, base_2027q2_sales_led, base_2027q3_sales_led, base_2027q4_sales_led).
Monthly Cloud revenue ($M)
base_fy2027_monthly_cloud
FY2027 / base203.70
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, base_2027q2_monthly_cloud, base_2027q3_monthly_cloud, base_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue ($M)
base_fy2027_services
FY2027 / base112.30
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_services, base_2027q2_services, base_2027q3_services, base_2027q4_services).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / base1,499.91
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_gross_profit, base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q4_gross_profit).
Non-GAAP operating income ($M)
base_fy2027_non_gaap_op
FY2027 / base388.78
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_non_gaap_op, base_2027q2_non_gaap_op, base_2027q3_non_gaap_op, base_2027q4_non_gaap_op).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
base_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / base31.36
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
base_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / base409.94
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
base_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / base3.14
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex).
CFO less PP&E after interest ($M)
base_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / base406.80
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_fcf, base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q4_fcf).
FCF with senior-note interest added back ($M)
base_fy2027_interest_added_fcf
FY2027 / base430.52
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_interest_added_fcf, base_2027q2_interest_added_fcf, base_2027q3_interest_added_fcf, base_2027q4_interest_added_fcf).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition ($M)
base_fy2027_cash_after_acquisition
FY2027 / base336.80
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_cash_after_acquisition, base_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition, base_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition, base_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition).
Revenue ($M)
base_fy2028_revenue
FY2028 / base2,394.57
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_revenue, base_2028q2_revenue, base_2028q3_revenue, base_2028q4_revenue).
Sales-led subscription revenue ($M)
base_fy2028_sales_led
FY2028 / base2,057.36
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_sales_led, base_2028q2_sales_led, base_2028q3_sales_led, base_2028q4_sales_led).
Monthly Cloud revenue ($M)
base_fy2028_monthly_cloud
FY2028 / base215.92
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_monthly_cloud, base_2028q2_monthly_cloud, base_2028q3_monthly_cloud, base_2028q4_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue ($M)
base_fy2028_services
FY2028 / base121.28
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_services, base_2028q2_services, base_2028q3_services, base_2028q4_services).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
base_fy2028_gross_profit
FY2028 / base1,807.48
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_gross_profit, base_2028q2_gross_profit, base_2028q3_gross_profit, base_2028q4_gross_profit).
Non-GAAP operating income ($M)
base_fy2028_non_gaap_op
FY2028 / base488.49
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_non_gaap_op, base_2028q2_non_gaap_op, base_2028q3_non_gaap_op, base_2028q4_non_gaap_op).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
base_fy2028_operating_income
FY2028 / base124.49
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_operating_income, base_2028q2_operating_income, base_2028q3_operating_income, base_2028q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
base_fy2028_cfo
FY2028 / base587.64
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_cfo, base_2028q2_cfo, base_2028q3_cfo, base_2028q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
base_fy2028_capex
FY2028 / base4.80
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_capex, base_2028q2_capex, base_2028q3_capex, base_2028q4_capex).
CFO less PP&E after interest ($M)
base_fy2028_fcf
FY2028 / base582.84
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_fcf, base_2028q2_fcf, base_2028q3_fcf, base_2028q4_fcf).
FCF with senior-note interest added back ($M)
base_fy2028_interest_added_fcf
FY2028 / base606.56
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_interest_added_fcf, base_2028q2_interest_added_fcf, base_2028q3_interest_added_fcf, base_2028q4_interest_added_fcf).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition ($M)
base_fy2028_cash_after_acquisition
FY2028 / base582.84
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2028q1_cash_after_acquisition, base_2028q2_cash_after_acquisition, base_2028q3_cash_after_acquisition, base_2028q4_cash_after_acquisition).
FY2027 delivery / guide
upside_delivery
FY2027 / upside103.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk revenue sensitivity.
FY2027 revenue
upside_annual_revenue_target
FY2027 / upside2,074.14
USD_millions
derived: Management midpoint times delivery sensitivity. Formula: multiply(annual_guide, upside_delivery).
FY2027 sales_led
upside_annual_sales_led_target
FY2027 / upside1,747.08
USD_millions
derived: Management midpoint times delivery sensitivity. Formula: multiply(annual_sales_guide, upside_delivery).
Annual non-GAAP operating margin
upside_annual_margin
FY2027 / upside21.0%
ratio
assumption: Base aligns with approximately 19.4% outlook.
FY2027 non-GAAP operating income
upside_annual_non_gaap_target
FY2027 / upside435.57
USD_millions
derived: Annual margin anchor; later FY2028 is a desk forecast. Formula: multiply(upside_annual_revenue_target, upside_annual_margin).
Annual Elastic Cloud revenue
upside_2027q2_annual_cloud
2027Q2 / upside205.96
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Sales-led subscription
upside_2027q2_sales_led
2027Q2 / upside422.28
USD_millions
derived: Q2 guidance sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q2_sales_guide, upside_delivery).
Other subscription revenue
upside_2027q2_other_subscription
2027Q2 / upside216.31
USD_millions
derived: Sales-led includes both annual Cloud and self-managed/other subscription. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_sales_led, upside_2027q2_annual_cloud).
Monthly Elastic Cloud revenue
upside_2027q2_monthly_cloud
2027Q2 / upside52.27
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Total revenue
upside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / upside503.53
USD_millions
derived: Q2 consolidated guidance sensitivity. Formula: multiply(q2_guide, upside_delivery).
Total subscription
upside_2027q2_subscription
2027Q2 / upside474.55
USD_millions
derived: Nonoverlapping sales-led and Monthly Cloud. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_sales_led, upside_2027q2_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue
upside_2027q2_services
2027Q2 / upside28.98
USD_millions
derived: Services residual within guidance; not a new product revenue forecast. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_subscription).
Non-GAAP operating margin
upside_2027q2_ng_margin
2027Q2 / upside20.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
upside_2027q2_non_gaap_op
2027Q2 / upside100.71
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q2_gross_margin
2027Q2 / upside76.7%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / upside386.21
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
upside_2027q2_sbc
2027Q2 / upside76.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
upside_2027q2_amort
2027Q2 / upside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
upside_2027q2_restruct_expense
2027Q2 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
upside_2027q2_payroll_tax
2027Q2 / upside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
upside_2027q2_acquisition_expense
2027Q2 / upside1.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
upside_2027q2_excluded_costs
2027Q2 / upside85.50
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_amort, upside_2027q2_restruct_expense, upside_2027q2_payroll_tax, upside_2027q2_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / upside15.21
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_non_gaap_op, upside_2027q2_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
upside_2027q2_other_da
2027Q2 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
upside_2027q2_commission_amort
2027Q2 / upside33.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
upside_2027q2_interest_income
2027Q2 / upside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
upside_2027q2_deferred_funding
2027Q2 / upside25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
upside_2027q2_cash_before_uses
2027Q2 / upside168.21
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_amort, upside_2027q2_other_da, upside_2027q2_restruct_expense, upside_2027q2_commission_amort, upside_2027q2_interest_income, upside_2027q2_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
upside_2027q2_coupon_due
2027Q2 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
upside_2027q2_senior_interest
2027Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, upside_2027q2_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
upside_2027q2_commission_rate
2027Q2 / upside6.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
upside_2027q2_commission_cash
2027Q2 / upside25.34
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_sales_led, upside_2027q2_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
upside_2027q2_tax_cash
2027Q2 / upside6.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
upside_2027q2_receivable_use
2027Q2 / upside15.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
upside_2027q2_restruct_payment
2027Q2 / upside8.50
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
upside_2027q2_cash_uses
2027Q2 / upside54.84
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_commission_cash, upside_2027q2_senior_interest, upside_2027q2_tax_cash, upside_2027q2_receivable_use, upside_2027q2_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
upside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / upside113.37
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_before_uses, upside_2027q2_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / upside0.75
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
upside_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / upside112.62
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
upside_2027q2_interest_added_fcf
2027Q2 / upside112.62
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q2_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
upside_2027q2_purchase_due
2027Q2 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
upside_2027q2_acquisition_cash
2027Q2 / upside70.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, upside_2027q2_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
upside_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition
2027Q2 / upside42.62
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q2_acquisition_cash).
Annual Elastic Cloud revenue
upside_2027q3_annual_cloud
2027Q3 / upside222.52
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Sales-led subscription
upside_2027q3_sales_led
2027Q3 / upside439.87
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Other subscription revenue
upside_2027q3_other_subscription
2027Q3 / upside217.35
USD_millions
derived: Sales-led includes both annual Cloud and self-managed/other subscription. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_sales_led, upside_2027q3_annual_cloud).
Monthly Elastic Cloud revenue
upside_2027q3_monthly_cloud
2027Q3 / upside52.78
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Total revenue
upside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / upside522.16
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Total subscription
upside_2027q3_subscription
2027Q3 / upside492.66
USD_millions
derived: Nonoverlapping sales-led and Monthly Cloud. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_sales_led, upside_2027q3_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue
upside_2027q3_services
2027Q3 / upside29.50
USD_millions
derived: Services residual within guidance; not a new product revenue forecast. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q3_subscription).
Non-GAAP operating margin
upside_2027q3_ng_margin
2027Q3 / upside21.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
upside_2027q3_non_gaap_op
2027Q3 / upside109.65
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q3_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q3_gross_margin
2027Q3 / upside76.8%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / upside401.28
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q3_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
upside_2027q3_sbc
2027Q3 / upside78.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
upside_2027q3_amort
2027Q3 / upside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
upside_2027q3_restruct_expense
2027Q3 / upside1.58
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
upside_2027q3_payroll_tax
2027Q3 / upside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
upside_2027q3_acquisition_expense
2027Q3 / upside1.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
upside_2027q3_excluded_costs
2027Q3 / upside87.08
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_amort, upside_2027q3_restruct_expense, upside_2027q3_payroll_tax, upside_2027q3_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / upside22.57
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_non_gaap_op, upside_2027q3_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
upside_2027q3_other_da
2027Q3 / upside0.70
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
upside_2027q3_commission_amort
2027Q3 / upside34.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
upside_2027q3_interest_income
2027Q3 / upside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
upside_2027q3_deferred_funding
2027Q3 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
upside_2027q3_cash_before_uses
2027Q3 / upside223.35
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_amort, upside_2027q3_other_da, upside_2027q3_restruct_expense, upside_2027q3_commission_amort, upside_2027q3_interest_income, upside_2027q3_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
upside_2027q3_coupon_due
2027Q3 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
upside_2027q3_senior_interest
2027Q3 / upside11.86
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, upside_2027q3_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
upside_2027q3_commission_rate
2027Q3 / upside6.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
upside_2027q3_commission_cash
2027Q3 / upside26.39
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_sales_led, upside_2027q3_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
upside_2027q3_tax_cash
2027Q3 / upside7.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
upside_2027q3_receivable_use
2027Q3 / upside55.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
upside_2027q3_restruct_payment
2027Q3 / upside2.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
upside_2027q3_cash_uses
2027Q3 / upside102.25
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_commission_cash, upside_2027q3_senior_interest, upside_2027q3_tax_cash, upside_2027q3_receivable_use, upside_2027q3_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
upside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / upside121.10
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_before_uses, upside_2027q3_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / upside0.85
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
upside_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / upside120.25
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
upside_2027q3_interest_added_fcf
2027Q3 / upside132.11
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q3_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
upside_2027q3_purchase_due
2027Q3 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
upside_2027q3_acquisition_cash
2027Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, upside_2027q3_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
upside_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition
2027Q3 / upside120.25
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q3_acquisition_cash).
Annual Elastic Cloud revenue
upside_2027q4_annual_cloud
2027Q4 / upside243.22
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Q1 through Q3 sales-led
upside_2027q4_prior_sales
2027Q4 / upside1,260.69
USD_millions
derived: Reported Q1 and two forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_sales_led, upside_2027q2_sales_led, upside_2027q3_sales_led).
Sales-led subscription
upside_2027q4_sales_led
2027Q4 / upside486.39
USD_millions
derived: Annual sales-led guidance residual. Formula: subtract(upside_annual_sales_led_target, upside_2027q4_prior_sales).
Other subscription revenue
upside_2027q4_other_subscription
2027Q4 / upside243.17
USD_millions
derived: Sales-led includes both annual Cloud and self-managed/other subscription. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_sales_led, upside_2027q4_annual_cloud).
Monthly Elastic Cloud revenue
upside_2027q4_monthly_cloud
2027Q4 / upside53.82
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Q1 through Q3 total revenue
upside_2027q4_prior_revenue
2027Q4 / upside1,503.80
USD_millions
derived: Reported Q1 and forecast next two quarters. Formula: sum(q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue).
Total revenue
upside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / upside570.34
USD_millions
derived: Residual to annual scenario. Formula: subtract(upside_annual_revenue_target, upside_2027q4_prior_revenue).
Total subscription
upside_2027q4_subscription
2027Q4 / upside540.21
USD_millions
derived: Nonoverlapping sales-led and Monthly Cloud. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_sales_led, upside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue
upside_2027q4_services
2027Q4 / upside30.13
USD_millions
derived: Services residual within guidance; not a new product revenue forecast. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_revenue, upside_2027q4_subscription).
Q1 through Q3 non-GAAP profit
upside_2027q4_prior_ng
2027Q4 / upside287.62
USD_millions
derived: Annual guided profit residual. Formula: sum(q1_non_gaap_op, upside_2027q2_non_gaap_op, upside_2027q3_non_gaap_op).
Non-GAAP operating income
upside_2027q4_non_gaap_op
2027Q4 / upside147.95
USD_millions
derived: Remaining annual adjusted operating income. Formula: subtract(upside_annual_non_gaap_target, upside_2027q4_prior_ng).
GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q4_gross_margin
2027Q4 / upside77.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / upside439.16
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_revenue, upside_2027q4_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
upside_2027q4_sbc
2027Q4 / upside80.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
upside_2027q4_amort
2027Q4 / upside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
upside_2027q4_restruct_expense
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
upside_2027q4_payroll_tax
2027Q4 / upside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
upside_2027q4_acquisition_expense
2027Q4 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
upside_2027q4_excluded_costs
2027Q4 / upside87.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_amort, upside_2027q4_restruct_expense, upside_2027q4_payroll_tax, upside_2027q4_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / upside60.95
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_non_gaap_op, upside_2027q4_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
upside_2027q4_other_da
2027Q4 / upside0.90
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
upside_2027q4_commission_amort
2027Q4 / upside35.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
upside_2027q4_interest_income
2027Q4 / upside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
upside_2027q4_deferred_funding
2027Q4 / upside190.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
upside_2027q4_cash_before_uses
2027Q4 / upside383.35
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_operating_income, upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_amort, upside_2027q4_other_da, upside_2027q4_restruct_expense, upside_2027q4_commission_amort, upside_2027q4_interest_income, upside_2027q4_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
upside_2027q4_coupon_due
2027Q4 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
upside_2027q4_senior_interest
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, upside_2027q4_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
upside_2027q4_commission_rate
2027Q4 / upside6.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
upside_2027q4_commission_cash
2027Q4 / upside29.18
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_sales_led, upside_2027q4_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
upside_2027q4_tax_cash
2027Q4 / upside8.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
upside_2027q4_receivable_use
2027Q4 / upside210.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
upside_2027q4_restruct_payment
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
upside_2027q4_cash_uses
2027Q4 / upside247.18
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_commission_cash, upside_2027q4_senior_interest, upside_2027q4_tax_cash, upside_2027q4_receivable_use, upside_2027q4_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
upside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / upside136.17
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_before_uses, upside_2027q4_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / upside0.95
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
upside_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / upside135.22
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
upside_2027q4_interest_added_fcf
2027Q4 / upside135.22
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_fcf, upside_2027q4_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
upside_2027q4_purchase_due
2027Q4 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
upside_2027q4_acquisition_cash
2027Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, upside_2027q4_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
upside_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition
2027Q4 / upside135.22
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_fcf, upside_2027q4_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
upside_2028q1_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q1 / upside856.72
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, upside_2027q2_annual_cloud, upside_2027q3_annual_cloud, upside_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
upside_2028q1_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q1 / upside145.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
upside_2028q1_annual_cloud_share
2028Q1 / upside23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
upside_2028q1_annual_cloud
2028Q1 / upside291.93
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q1_annual_cloud_prior_year, upside_2028q1_annual_cloud_growth, upside_2028q1_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
upside_2028q1_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q1 / upside890.36
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, upside_2027q2_other_subscription, upside_2027q3_other_subscription, upside_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
upside_2028q1_other_subscription_growth
2028Q1 / upside119.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
upside_2028q1_other_subscription_share
2028Q1 / upside23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
upside_2028q1_other_subscription
2028Q1 / upside248.99
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q1_other_subscription_prior_year, upside_2028q1_other_subscription_growth, upside_2028q1_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
upside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q1 / upside209.07
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q2_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q3_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
upside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q1 / upside112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
upside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q1 / upside23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
upside_2028q1_monthly_cloud
2028Q1 / upside55.03
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_prior_year, upside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_growth, upside_2028q1_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
upside_2028q1_services_prior_year
2028Q1 / upside117.99
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, upside_2027q2_services, upside_2027q3_services, upside_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
upside_2028q1_services_growth
2028Q1 / upside112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
upside_2028q1_services_share
2028Q1 / upside23.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
upside_2028q1_services
2028Q1 / upside31.05
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q1_services_prior_year, upside_2028q1_services_growth, upside_2028q1_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
upside_2028q1_sales_led
2028Q1 / upside540.92
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_annual_cloud, upside_2028q1_other_subscription).
Total revenue
upside_2028q1_revenue
2028Q1 / upside627.00
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_sales_led, upside_2028q1_monthly_cloud, upside_2028q1_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
upside_2028q1_ng_margin
2028Q1 / upside22.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
upside_2028q1_non_gaap_op
2028Q1 / upside137.94
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q1_revenue, upside_2028q1_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
upside_2028q1_gross_margin
2028Q1 / upside77.1%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2028q1_gross_profit
2028Q1 / upside483.73
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q1_revenue, upside_2028q1_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
upside_2028q1_sbc
2028Q1 / upside82.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
upside_2028q1_amort
2028Q1 / upside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
upside_2028q1_restruct_expense
2028Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
upside_2028q1_payroll_tax
2028Q1 / upside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
upside_2028q1_acquisition_expense
2028Q1 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
upside_2028q1_excluded_costs
2028Q1 / upside89.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_sbc, upside_2028q1_amort, upside_2028q1_restruct_expense, upside_2028q1_payroll_tax, upside_2028q1_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2028q1_operating_income
2028Q1 / upside48.94
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q1_non_gaap_op, upside_2028q1_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
upside_2028q1_other_da
2028Q1 / upside1.10
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
upside_2028q1_commission_amort
2028Q1 / upside36.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
upside_2028q1_interest_income
2028Q1 / upside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
upside_2028q1_deferred_funding
2028Q1 / upside-150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
upside_2028q1_cash_before_uses
2028Q1 / upside34.54
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_operating_income, upside_2028q1_sbc, upside_2028q1_amort, upside_2028q1_other_da, upside_2028q1_restruct_expense, upside_2028q1_commission_amort, upside_2028q1_interest_income, upside_2028q1_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
upside_2028q1_coupon_due
2028Q1 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
upside_2028q1_senior_interest
2028Q1 / upside11.86
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, upside_2028q1_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
upside_2028q1_commission_rate
2028Q1 / upside6.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
upside_2028q1_commission_cash
2028Q1 / upside32.45
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q1_sales_led, upside_2028q1_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
upside_2028q1_tax_cash
2028Q1 / upside9.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
upside_2028q1_receivable_use
2028Q1 / upside-250.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
upside_2028q1_restruct_payment
2028Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
upside_2028q1_cash_uses
2028Q1 / upside-196.69
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_commission_cash, upside_2028q1_senior_interest, upside_2028q1_tax_cash, upside_2028q1_receivable_use, upside_2028q1_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
upside_2028q1_cfo
2028Q1 / upside231.23
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q1_cash_before_uses, upside_2028q1_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2028q1_capex
2028Q1 / upside1.05
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
upside_2028q1_fcf
2028Q1 / upside230.18
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q1_cfo, upside_2028q1_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
upside_2028q1_interest_added_fcf
2028Q1 / upside242.03
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_fcf, upside_2028q1_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
upside_2028q1_purchase_due
2028Q1 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
upside_2028q1_acquisition_cash
2028Q1 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, upside_2028q1_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
upside_2028q1_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q1 / upside230.18
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q1_fcf, upside_2028q1_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
upside_2028q2_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q2 / upside856.72
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, upside_2027q2_annual_cloud, upside_2027q3_annual_cloud, upside_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
upside_2028q2_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q2 / upside145.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
upside_2028q2_annual_cloud_share
2028Q2 / upside24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
upside_2028q2_annual_cloud
2028Q2 / upside304.35
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q2_annual_cloud_prior_year, upside_2028q2_annual_cloud_growth, upside_2028q2_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
upside_2028q2_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q2 / upside890.36
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, upside_2027q2_other_subscription, upside_2027q3_other_subscription, upside_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
upside_2028q2_other_subscription_growth
2028Q2 / upside119.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
upside_2028q2_other_subscription_share
2028Q2 / upside24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
upside_2028q2_other_subscription
2028Q2 / upside259.59
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q2_other_subscription_prior_year, upside_2028q2_other_subscription_growth, upside_2028q2_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
upside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q2 / upside209.07
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q2_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q3_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
upside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q2 / upside112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
upside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q2 / upside24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
upside_2028q2_monthly_cloud
2028Q2 / upside57.37
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_prior_year, upside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_growth, upside_2028q2_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
upside_2028q2_services_prior_year
2028Q2 / upside117.99
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, upside_2027q2_services, upside_2027q3_services, upside_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
upside_2028q2_services_growth
2028Q2 / upside112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
upside_2028q2_services_share
2028Q2 / upside24.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
upside_2028q2_services
2028Q2 / upside32.38
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q2_services_prior_year, upside_2028q2_services_growth, upside_2028q2_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
upside_2028q2_sales_led
2028Q2 / upside563.93
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(upside_2028q2_annual_cloud, upside_2028q2_other_subscription).
Total revenue
upside_2028q2_revenue
2028Q2 / upside653.68
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(upside_2028q2_sales_led, upside_2028q2_monthly_cloud, upside_2028q2_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
upside_2028q2_ng_margin
2028Q2 / upside22.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
upside_2028q2_non_gaap_op
2028Q2 / upside143.81
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q2_revenue, upside_2028q2_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
upside_2028q2_gross_margin
2028Q2 / upside77.3%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2028q2_gross_profit
2028Q2 / upside505.29
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q2_revenue, upside_2028q2_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
upside_2028q2_sbc
2028Q2 / upside84.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
upside_2028q2_amort
2028Q2 / upside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
upside_2028q2_restruct_expense
2028Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
upside_2028q2_payroll_tax
2028Q2 / upside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
upside_2028q2_acquisition_expense
2028Q2 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
upside_2028q2_excluded_costs
2028Q2 / upside91.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(upside_2028q2_sbc, upside_2028q2_amort, upside_2028q2_restruct_expense, upside_2028q2_payroll_tax, upside_2028q2_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2028q2_operating_income
2028Q2 / upside52.81
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q2_non_gaap_op, upside_2028q2_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
upside_2028q2_other_da
2028Q2 / upside1.30
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
upside_2028q2_commission_amort
2028Q2 / upside37.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
upside_2028q2_interest_income
2028Q2 / upside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
upside_2028q2_deferred_funding
2028Q2 / upside30.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
upside_2028q2_cash_before_uses
2028Q2 / upside221.61
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(upside_2028q2_operating_income, upside_2028q2_sbc, upside_2028q2_amort, upside_2028q2_other_da, upside_2028q2_restruct_expense, upside_2028q2_commission_amort, upside_2028q2_interest_income, upside_2028q2_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
upside_2028q2_coupon_due
2028Q2 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
upside_2028q2_senior_interest
2028Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, upside_2028q2_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
upside_2028q2_commission_rate
2028Q2 / upside6.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
upside_2028q2_commission_cash
2028Q2 / upside33.84
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q2_sales_led, upside_2028q2_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
upside_2028q2_tax_cash
2028Q2 / upside10.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
upside_2028q2_receivable_use
2028Q2 / upside20.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
upside_2028q2_restruct_payment
2028Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
upside_2028q2_cash_uses
2028Q2 / upside63.84
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(upside_2028q2_commission_cash, upside_2028q2_senior_interest, upside_2028q2_tax_cash, upside_2028q2_receivable_use, upside_2028q2_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
upside_2028q2_cfo
2028Q2 / upside157.77
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q2_cash_before_uses, upside_2028q2_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2028q2_capex
2028Q2 / upside1.15
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
upside_2028q2_fcf
2028Q2 / upside156.62
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q2_cfo, upside_2028q2_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
upside_2028q2_interest_added_fcf
2028Q2 / upside156.62
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(upside_2028q2_fcf, upside_2028q2_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
upside_2028q2_purchase_due
2028Q2 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
upside_2028q2_acquisition_cash
2028Q2 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, upside_2028q2_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
upside_2028q2_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q2 / upside156.62
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q2_fcf, upside_2028q2_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
upside_2028q3_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q3 / upside856.72
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, upside_2027q2_annual_cloud, upside_2027q3_annual_cloud, upside_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
upside_2028q3_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q3 / upside145.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
upside_2028q3_annual_cloud_share
2028Q3 / upside25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
upside_2028q3_annual_cloud
2028Q3 / upside316.77
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q3_annual_cloud_prior_year, upside_2028q3_annual_cloud_growth, upside_2028q3_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
upside_2028q3_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q3 / upside890.36
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, upside_2027q2_other_subscription, upside_2027q3_other_subscription, upside_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
upside_2028q3_other_subscription_growth
2028Q3 / upside119.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
upside_2028q3_other_subscription_share
2028Q3 / upside25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
upside_2028q3_other_subscription
2028Q3 / upside270.18
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q3_other_subscription_prior_year, upside_2028q3_other_subscription_growth, upside_2028q3_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
upside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q3 / upside209.07
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q2_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q3_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
upside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q3 / upside112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
upside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q3 / upside25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
upside_2028q3_monthly_cloud
2028Q3 / upside59.71
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_prior_year, upside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_growth, upside_2028q3_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
upside_2028q3_services_prior_year
2028Q3 / upside117.99
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, upside_2027q2_services, upside_2027q3_services, upside_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
upside_2028q3_services_growth
2028Q3 / upside112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
upside_2028q3_services_share
2028Q3 / upside25.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
upside_2028q3_services
2028Q3 / upside33.70
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q3_services_prior_year, upside_2028q3_services_growth, upside_2028q3_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
upside_2028q3_sales_led
2028Q3 / upside586.95
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(upside_2028q3_annual_cloud, upside_2028q3_other_subscription).
Total revenue
upside_2028q3_revenue
2028Q3 / upside680.36
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(upside_2028q3_sales_led, upside_2028q3_monthly_cloud, upside_2028q3_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
upside_2028q3_ng_margin
2028Q3 / upside22.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
upside_2028q3_non_gaap_op
2028Q3 / upside149.68
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q3_revenue, upside_2028q3_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
upside_2028q3_gross_margin
2028Q3 / upside77.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2028q3_gross_profit
2028Q3 / upside526.94
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q3_revenue, upside_2028q3_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
upside_2028q3_sbc
2028Q3 / upside86.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
upside_2028q3_amort
2028Q3 / upside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
upside_2028q3_restruct_expense
2028Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
upside_2028q3_payroll_tax
2028Q3 / upside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
upside_2028q3_acquisition_expense
2028Q3 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
upside_2028q3_excluded_costs
2028Q3 / upside93.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(upside_2028q3_sbc, upside_2028q3_amort, upside_2028q3_restruct_expense, upside_2028q3_payroll_tax, upside_2028q3_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2028q3_operating_income
2028Q3 / upside56.68
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q3_non_gaap_op, upside_2028q3_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
upside_2028q3_other_da
2028Q3 / upside1.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
upside_2028q3_commission_amort
2028Q3 / upside38.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
upside_2028q3_interest_income
2028Q3 / upside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
upside_2028q3_deferred_funding
2028Q3 / upside80.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
upside_2028q3_cash_before_uses
2028Q3 / upside278.68
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(upside_2028q3_operating_income, upside_2028q3_sbc, upside_2028q3_amort, upside_2028q3_other_da, upside_2028q3_restruct_expense, upside_2028q3_commission_amort, upside_2028q3_interest_income, upside_2028q3_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
upside_2028q3_coupon_due
2028Q3 / upside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
upside_2028q3_senior_interest
2028Q3 / upside11.86
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, upside_2028q3_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
upside_2028q3_commission_rate
2028Q3 / upside6.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
upside_2028q3_commission_cash
2028Q3 / upside35.22
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q3_sales_led, upside_2028q3_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
upside_2028q3_tax_cash
2028Q3 / upside11.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
upside_2028q3_receivable_use
2028Q3 / upside65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
upside_2028q3_restruct_payment
2028Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
upside_2028q3_cash_uses
2028Q3 / upside123.08
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(upside_2028q3_commission_cash, upside_2028q3_senior_interest, upside_2028q3_tax_cash, upside_2028q3_receivable_use, upside_2028q3_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
upside_2028q3_cfo
2028Q3 / upside155.60
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q3_cash_before_uses, upside_2028q3_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2028q3_capex
2028Q3 / upside1.25
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
upside_2028q3_fcf
2028Q3 / upside154.35
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q3_cfo, upside_2028q3_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
upside_2028q3_interest_added_fcf
2028Q3 / upside166.21
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(upside_2028q3_fcf, upside_2028q3_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
upside_2028q3_purchase_due
2028Q3 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
upside_2028q3_acquisition_cash
2028Q3 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, upside_2028q3_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
upside_2028q3_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q3 / upside154.35
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q3_fcf, upside_2028q3_acquisition_cash).
Prior-year annual_cloud
upside_2028q4_annual_cloud_prior_year
2028Q4 / upside856.72
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_annual_cloud, upside_2027q2_annual_cloud, upside_2027q3_annual_cloud, upside_2027q4_annual_cloud).
annual_cloud annual multiplier
upside_2028q4_annual_cloud_growth
2028Q4 / upside145.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
annual_cloud quarter share
upside_2028q4_annual_cloud_share
2028Q4 / upside26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 annual_cloud
upside_2028q4_annual_cloud
2028Q4 / upside329.19
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q4_annual_cloud_prior_year, upside_2028q4_annual_cloud_growth, upside_2028q4_annual_cloud_share).
Prior-year other_subscription
upside_2028q4_other_subscription_prior_year
2028Q4 / upside890.36
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_other_subscription, upside_2027q2_other_subscription, upside_2027q3_other_subscription, upside_2027q4_other_subscription).
other_subscription annual multiplier
upside_2028q4_other_subscription_growth
2028Q4 / upside119.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
other_subscription quarter share
upside_2028q4_other_subscription_share
2028Q4 / upside26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 other_subscription
upside_2028q4_other_subscription
2028Q4 / upside280.78
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q4_other_subscription_prior_year, upside_2028q4_other_subscription_growth, upside_2028q4_other_subscription_share).
Prior-year monthly_cloud
upside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_prior_year
2028Q4 / upside209.07
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q2_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q3_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
monthly_cloud annual multiplier
upside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_growth
2028Q4 / upside112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
monthly_cloud quarter share
upside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_share
2028Q4 / upside26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 monthly_cloud
upside_2028q4_monthly_cloud
2028Q4 / upside62.05
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_prior_year, upside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_growth, upside_2028q4_monthly_cloud_share).
Prior-year services
upside_2028q4_services_prior_year
2028Q4 / upside117.99
USD_millions
derived: Actual Q1 and modeled remaining fiscal year. Formula: sum(q1_services, upside_2027q2_services, upside_2027q3_services, upside_2027q4_services).
services annual multiplier
upside_2028q4_services_growth
2028Q4 / upside112.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
services quarter share
upside_2028q4_services_share
2028Q4 / upside26.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
FY2028 services
upside_2028q4_services
2028Q4 / upside35.02
USD_millions
derived: Independent business growth and seasonal recognition. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q4_services_prior_year, upside_2028q4_services_growth, upside_2028q4_services_share).
Sales-led subscription
upside_2028q4_sales_led
2028Q4 / upside609.97
USD_millions
derived: Annual Cloud plus other subscription only. Formula: sum(upside_2028q4_annual_cloud, upside_2028q4_other_subscription).
Total revenue
upside_2028q4_revenue
2028Q4 / upside707.04
USD_millions
derived: No added RPO or separate AI-product headline. Formula: sum(upside_2028q4_sales_led, upside_2028q4_monthly_cloud, upside_2028q4_services).
Non-GAAP operating margin
upside_2028q4_ng_margin
2028Q4 / upside22.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Non-GAAP operating income
upside_2028q4_non_gaap_op
2028Q4 / upside155.55
USD_millions
derived: Q2 base uses 19%; future leverage is a desk assumption. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q4_revenue, upside_2028q4_ng_margin).
GAAP gross margin
upside_2028q4_gross_margin
2028Q4 / upside77.6%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
GAAP gross profit proxy
upside_2028q4_gross_profit
2028Q4 / upside548.66
USD_millions
derived: Cloud infrastructure and services delivery costs remain included. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q4_revenue, upside_2028q4_gross_margin).
Ordinary stock compensation
upside_2028q4_sbc
2028Q4 / upside88.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Acquired intangible amortization
upside_2028q4_amort
2028Q4 / upside3.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk provisional amount after Deductive; allocation not complete in August filing.
New restructuring expense
upside_2028q4_restruct_expense
2028Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk remaining recognition to $23.5M program expense; H1 reserve cash is separate.
Employer cash tax on equity awards
upside_2028q4_payroll_tax
2028Q4 / upside3.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash acquisition/integration expense
upside_2028q4_acquisition_expense
2028Q4 / upside0.50
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Excluded GAAP costs
upside_2028q4_excluded_costs
2028Q4 / upside95.00
USD_millions
derived: Payroll tax and acquisition expense are cash costs, not noncash SBC. Formula: sum(upside_2028q4_sbc, upside_2028q4_amort, upside_2028q4_restruct_expense, upside_2028q4_payroll_tax, upside_2028q4_acquisition_expense).
GAAP operating income proxy
upside_2028q4_operating_income
2028Q4 / upside60.55
USD_millions
derived: Base remains positive after Q1, consistent with directional GAAP guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q4_non_gaap_op, upside_2028q4_excluded_costs).
Other depreciation and amortization
upside_2028q4_other_da
2028Q4 / upside1.70
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract commission amortization
upside_2028q4_commission_amort
2028Q4 / upside39.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash interest income
upside_2028q4_interest_income
2028Q4 / upside13.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Net deferred revenue funding
upside_2028q4_deferred_funding
2028Q4 / upside210.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Cash before cash uses
upside_2028q4_cash_before_uses
2028Q4 / upside415.75
USD_millions
derived: Reverse only noncash costs and restructuring accrual; actual severance payments follow below. Formula: sum(upside_2028q4_operating_income, upside_2028q4_sbc, upside_2028q4_amort, upside_2028q4_other_da, upside_2028q4_restruct_expense, upside_2028q4_commission_amort, upside_2028q4_interest_income, upside_2028q4_deferred_funding).
Coupon payment in quarter
upside_2028q4_coupon_due
2028Q4 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Senior-note cash interest
upside_2028q4_senior_interest
2028Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: January and July contractual payments, not flat quarterly cash. Formula: multiply(coupon_payment, upside_2028q4_coupon_due).
Commission cash / sales-led revenue
upside_2028q4_commission_rate
2028Q4 / upside6.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Contract acquisition cash
upside_2028q4_commission_cash
2028Q4 / upside36.60
USD_millions
derived: Deferred acquisition costs are paid before their amortization. Formula: multiply(upside_2028q4_sales_led, upside_2028q4_commission_rate).
Cash taxes
upside_2028q4_tax_cash
2028Q4 / upside12.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Receivable and other working-capital cash use
upside_2028q4_receivable_use
2028Q4 / upside180.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk seasonal collections assumption. Base FY2027 Q4 is calibrated near the annual adjusted-FCF guide, not an independently reported cash target.
Restructuring cash payment
upside_2028q4_restruct_payment
2028Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Remaining $6.919M reserve plus modeled $3.58M new expense; total cash includes reported $0.015M FX reserve adjustment.
Operating cash uses
upside_2028q4_cash_uses
2028Q4 / upside228.60
USD_millions
derived: No second GAAP charge for payment of an existing reserve. Formula: sum(upside_2028q4_commission_cash, upside_2028q4_senior_interest, upside_2028q4_tax_cash, upside_2028q4_receivable_use, upside_2028q4_restruct_payment).
Operating cash flow
upside_2028q4_cfo
2028Q4 / upside187.15
USD_millions
derived: After debt interest, acquisition-related operating costs and severance. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q4_cash_before_uses, upside_2028q4_cash_uses).
PP&E cash purchases
upside_2028q4_capex
2028Q4 / upside1.35
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
CFO less PP&E after interest
upside_2028q4_fcf
2028Q4 / upside185.80
USD_millions
derived: Cash measure after debt interest. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q4_cfo, upside_2028q4_capex).
FCF with senior-note interest added back
upside_2028q4_interest_added_fcf
2028Q4 / upside185.80
USD_millions
derived: Matches Q1 mechanical interest adjustment; retains modeled restructuring operating cash. Formula: sum(upside_2028q4_fcf, upside_2028q4_senior_interest).
Acquisition payment timing
upside_2028q4_purchase_due
2028Q4 / upside0.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption; not management guidance.
Deductive AI cash purchase
upside_2028q4_acquisition_cash
2028Q4 / upside0.00
USD_millions
derived: August closed transaction paid once, approximately $70M before undisclosed cash acquired/closing adjustments. Formula: multiply(deductive_cash, upside_2028q4_purchase_due).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition
upside_2028q4_cash_after_acquisition
2028Q4 / upside185.80
USD_millions
derived: Before discretionary buybacks and financing; acquisition proceeds never enter operating revenue. Formula: subtract(upside_2028q4_fcf, upside_2028q4_acquisition_cash).
Revenue ($M)
upside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / upside2,074.14
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue).
Sales-led subscription revenue ($M)
upside_fy2027_sales_led
FY2027 / upside1,747.08
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_sales_led, upside_2027q2_sales_led, upside_2027q3_sales_led, upside_2027q4_sales_led).
Monthly Cloud revenue ($M)
upside_fy2027_monthly_cloud
FY2027 / upside209.07
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q2_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q3_monthly_cloud, upside_2027q4_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue ($M)
upside_fy2027_services
FY2027 / upside117.99
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_services, upside_2027q2_services, upside_2027q3_services, upside_2027q4_services).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / upside1,582.83
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_gross_profit).
Non-GAAP operating income ($M)
upside_fy2027_non_gaap_op
FY2027 / upside435.57
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_non_gaap_op, upside_2027q2_non_gaap_op, upside_2027q3_non_gaap_op, upside_2027q4_non_gaap_op).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
upside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / upside75.15
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
upside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / upside502.64
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
upside_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / upside3.14
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex).
CFO less PP&E after interest ($M)
upside_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / upside499.50
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_fcf, upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q4_fcf).
FCF with senior-note interest added back ($M)
upside_fy2027_interest_added_fcf
FY2027 / upside523.22
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_interest_added_fcf, upside_2027q2_interest_added_fcf, upside_2027q3_interest_added_fcf, upside_2027q4_interest_added_fcf).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition ($M)
upside_fy2027_cash_after_acquisition
FY2027 / upside429.50
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(q1_cash_after_acquisition, upside_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition, upside_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition, upside_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition).
Revenue ($M)
upside_fy2028_revenue
FY2028 / upside2,668.08
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_revenue, upside_2028q2_revenue, upside_2028q3_revenue, upside_2028q4_revenue).
Sales-led subscription revenue ($M)
upside_fy2028_sales_led
FY2028 / upside2,301.77
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_sales_led, upside_2028q2_sales_led, upside_2028q3_sales_led, upside_2028q4_sales_led).
Monthly Cloud revenue ($M)
upside_fy2028_monthly_cloud
FY2028 / upside234.16
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_monthly_cloud, upside_2028q2_monthly_cloud, upside_2028q3_monthly_cloud, upside_2028q4_monthly_cloud).
Services revenue ($M)
upside_fy2028_services
FY2028 / upside132.14
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_services, upside_2028q2_services, upside_2028q3_services, upside_2028q4_services).
GAAP gross profit proxy ($M)
upside_fy2028_gross_profit
FY2028 / upside2,064.63
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_gross_profit, upside_2028q2_gross_profit, upside_2028q3_gross_profit, upside_2028q4_gross_profit).
Non-GAAP operating income ($M)
upside_fy2028_non_gaap_op
FY2028 / upside586.98
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_non_gaap_op, upside_2028q2_non_gaap_op, upside_2028q3_non_gaap_op, upside_2028q4_non_gaap_op).
GAAP operating income proxy ($M)
upside_fy2028_operating_income
FY2028 / upside218.98
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_operating_income, upside_2028q2_operating_income, upside_2028q3_operating_income, upside_2028q4_operating_income).
Operating cash flow ($M)
upside_fy2028_cfo
FY2028 / upside731.75
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_cfo, upside_2028q2_cfo, upside_2028q3_cfo, upside_2028q4_cfo).
PP&E cash purchases ($M)
upside_fy2028_capex
FY2028 / upside4.80
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_capex, upside_2028q2_capex, upside_2028q3_capex, upside_2028q4_capex).
CFO less PP&E after interest ($M)
upside_fy2028_fcf
FY2028 / upside726.95
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_fcf, upside_2028q2_fcf, upside_2028q3_fcf, upside_2028q4_fcf).
FCF with senior-note interest added back ($M)
upside_fy2028_interest_added_fcf
FY2028 / upside750.67
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_interest_added_fcf, upside_2028q2_interest_added_fcf, upside_2028q3_interest_added_fcf, upside_2028q4_interest_added_fcf).
Cash after PP&E and acquisition ($M)
upside_fy2028_cash_after_acquisition
FY2028 / upside726.95
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2028q1_cash_after_acquisition, upside_2028q2_cash_after_acquisition, upside_2028q3_cash_after_acquisition, upside_2028q4_cash_after_acquisition).

Model boundaries

Subscription growth with the interest bill left in view

Research reviewed 2026-09-19

How much cash does search and cloud growth generate after commissions, debt interest and acquisitions?

Q1 FY2027 revenue was $478.113M: annual Cloud $185.003M, Monthly Cloud $50.202M, other subscription $213.530M and services $29.378M. Sales-led subscription equals $398.533M, excluding Monthly Cloud. Non-GAAP operating income $77.262M contrasts with a $23.574M GAAP loss after SBC, related cash payroll taxes, amortization, acquisition costs and $19.920M restructuring expense. CFO $132.004M less $0.590M capex leaves $131.414M; company adjusted FCF $143.273M adds $11.859M senior-note interest. July liquidity was about $1.461B with $575M notes outstanding. The June workforce plan targets $22M-$25M cash charges; $13.016M was paid and $6.919M accrued at July. Deductive AI closed August 21 for approximately $70M cash. FY2027 guidance is $1.998B-$2.010B revenue, 19.4% non-GAAP operating margin and approximately 21.5% adjusted FCF margin with company exclusions.

The competing explanation

Strong contract metrics can coexist with slower consumption, rising cloud costs and continued GAAP equity expense. Removing debt interest changes the meaning of a cash metric. A leaner workforce and a new AI acquisition can also create integration and customer-support risks before efficiency gains arrive.

Risks to track

Next checkpoints

Data coverage and open work

This review: First sales-led/cloud operating model with debt coupon timing, restructuring cash and the closed August acquisition.

What the memory says

State as of the 2026-09-18 close: in a 120-day uptrend, above its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, ordinary volume, closed weak, and some peers moving

300 similar days

Vs the market, in pointsLowMiddleHighShare up
1 session-3.6+0.1+3.952%
5 sessions-8.2+0.4+11.853%
10 sessions-10.7-0.4+15.548%

Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side.

Notes on this name

No published notes on this name yet.

Scorecard: 0 notes scored

Next report: 2026-11-26 (source: estimated from 10-Q filed 2026-08-28 plus 90 days)

Provenance

  1. [1] reported: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001707753-25-000056, 10-Q filed 2025-11-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  2. [2] reported: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001707753-26-000006, 10-Q filed 2026-02-27; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  3. [3] derived: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001707753-26-000018, 10-K filed 2026-06-08; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  4. [4] reported: RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, accession 0001707753-26-000054, 10-Q filed 2026-08-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  5. [5] reported: GrossProfit, accession 0001707753-25-000056, 10-Q filed 2025-11-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  6. [6] reported: GrossProfit, accession 0001707753-26-000006, 10-Q filed 2026-02-27; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  7. [7] derived: GrossProfit, accession 0001707753-26-000018, 10-K filed 2026-06-08; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  8. [8] reported: GrossProfit, accession 0001707753-26-000054, 10-Q filed 2026-08-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  9. [9] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001707753-25-000056, 10-Q filed 2025-11-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  10. [10] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001707753-26-000006, 10-Q filed 2026-02-27; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  11. [11] derived: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001707753-26-000018, 10-K filed 2026-06-08; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  12. [12] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001707753-26-000054, 10-Q filed 2026-08-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  13. [13] reported: NetIncomeLoss, accession 0001707753-25-000056, 10-Q filed 2025-11-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  14. [14] reported: NetIncomeLoss, accession 0001707753-26-000006, 10-Q filed 2026-02-27; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  15. [15] derived: NetIncomeLoss, accession 0001707753-26-000018, 10-K filed 2026-06-08; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  16. [16] reported: NetIncomeLoss, accession 0001707753-26-000054, 10-Q filed 2026-08-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  17. [17] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001707753-25-000056, 10-Q filed 2025-11-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  18. [18] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001707753-26-000006, 10-Q filed 2026-02-27; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  19. [19] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001707753-26-000054, 10-Q filed 2026-08-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  20. [20] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001707753-25-000056, 10-Q filed 2025-11-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  21. [21] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001707753-26-000006, 10-Q filed 2026-02-27; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  22. [22] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001707753-26-000054, 10-Q filed 2026-08-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  23. [23] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001707753-24-000047, 10-Q filed 2024-11-25; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  24. [24] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001707753-25-000010, 10-Q filed 2025-02-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  25. [25] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001707753-26-000018, 10-K filed 2026-06-08; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  26. [26] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001707753-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-08-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  27. [27] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001707753-25-000056, 10-Q filed 2025-11-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  28. [28] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001707753-26-000006, 10-Q filed 2026-02-27; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  29. [29] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001707753-26-000054, 10-Q filed 2026-08-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  30. [30] reported: LongTermDebt, accession 0001707753-24-000047, 10-Q filed 2024-11-25; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  31. [31] reported: LongTermDebt, accession 0001707753-25-000010, 10-Q filed 2025-02-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  32. [32] reported: LongTermDebt, accession 0001707753-26-000018, 10-K filed 2026-06-08; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  33. [33] reported: LongTermDebt, accession 0001707753-25-000040, 10-Q filed 2025-08-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  34. [34] reported: LongTermDebt, accession 0001707753-25-000056, 10-Q filed 2025-11-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  35. [35] reported: LongTermDebt, accession 0001707753-26-000006, 10-Q filed 2026-02-27; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  36. [36] reported: LongTermDebt, accession 0001707753-26-000054, 10-Q filed 2026-08-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  37. [37] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001707753-25-000056, 10-Q filed 2025-11-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  38. [38] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001707753-26-000006, 10-Q filed 2026-02-27; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  39. [39] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001707753-26-000018, 10-K filed 2026-06-08; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  40. [40] reported: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001707753-26-000054, 10-Q filed 2026-08-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  41. [41] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001707753-25-000056, 10-Q filed 2025-11-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  42. [42] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001707753-26-000006, 10-Q filed 2026-02-27; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  43. [43] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001707753-26-000018, 10-K filed 2026-06-08; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  44. [44] reported: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001707753-26-000054, 10-Q filed 2026-08-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  45. [45] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001707753-25-000056, 10-Q filed 2025-11-24; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  46. [46] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001707753-26-000006, 10-Q filed 2026-02-27; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  47. [47] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001707753-26-000018, 10-K filed 2026-06-08; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json
  48. [48] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001707753-26-000054, 10-Q filed 2026-08-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T21:11:25+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001707753.json

What the author read

Compiled 2026-09-19T21:11:26.103258+00:00 · authored 8f40eb7bbf65 · generated cc365d46ae93 · JSON

Daily notes · Scorecard