$CHYM
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Research status
Evidence awaiting review · 40 pending evidence leads
- Financial accounts through
- 2026-06-30
- Authored update
- 2026-09-20
- Source scan
- Full model review
- Not recorded
- Latest event review
- Not recorded
- Oldest pending lead
Open evidence leads
- US IPO Weekly Winners & Losers - renaissancecapital.com
- Top Ionic Digital (IOND) Competitors 2026 - MarketBeat
- Is Chime Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold After Nearly Doubling From Its 52-Week Low? - The Globe and Mail
- Price review: -7.0% latest session, -17.2% five sessions
- Is Chime Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold After Nearly Doubling From Its 52-Week Low? - Yahoo Finance
Leads require verification; they are not established material changes.
Business
Chime provides payments, liquidity, credit and related financial services through its consumer platform and partner banks. Interchange, transfer fees and lending-related services monetize member activity. Its proposed Stride Bank acquisition would add a regulated bank subsidiary, subject to approvals.
Three drivers
- Member purchase volume, card mix and payment yield
- Platform monetization after credit and dispute losses
- Loan funding, corporate cash and conditional bank acquisition
Thesis
Our view
Growing member activity and platform adoption are improving earnings, but lending losses, funding and the proposed bank purchase determine the cash retained for shareholders.
What changes it
Track member/payment activity, MyPay and Instant Loan losses, loan investment and the regulatory closing path.
Scenario ranges
Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.
Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)
| Fiscal quarter | 2025Q3 2024-09-30 | 2025Q4 2024-12-31 | 2025Q2 2025-03-31 | 2025Q2 2025-06-30 | 2025Q3 2025-09-30 | 2025Q4 2025-12-31 | 2026Q1 2026-03-31 | 2026Q2 2026-06-30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($M) | 421.91 | 475.2†2 | 518.73 | 528.14 | 543.51 | 596.4†2 | 647.43 | 669.84 |
| Gross profit ($M) | 368.45 | 419.2†6 | 458.37 | 461.08 | 474.15 | 530.2†6 | 580.37 | 594.98 |
| Operating income ($M) | -30.69 | -27.1†10 | 9.111 | -930.612 | -64.79 | -53.8†10 | 46.211 | 21.312 |
| Net income ($M) | -22.013 | -19.6†14 | 12.915 | -923.415 | -54.713 | -44.8†14 | 53.515 | 27.915 |
| EPS, diluted ($) | -0.3416 | — | 0.0017 | -7.2918 | -0.1516 | — | 0.1317 | 0.0718 |
| Diluted shares (M) | 65.119 | — | 65.920 | 126.621 | 371.819 | — | 400.520 | 393.421 |
| Cash ($M) | 270.822 | 337.723 | 318.224 | 868.325 | 445.022 | 466.325 | 607.724 | 536.025 |
| Long-term debt ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cash from operations ($M) | -24.9†26 | 18.2†27 | -25.828 | 28.5†29 | 17.5†26 | 32.6†27 | 87.528 | 207.5†29 |
| Capex ($M) | 3.1†30 | — | — | — | 2.1†30 | — | — | — |
| Free cash flow ($M) | -28.0†31 | — | — | — | 15.4†31 | — | — | — |
Estimates · base scenario
| Period | Revenue ($M) | EPS ($) | As of | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 705.0 | — | 2026-09-20 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2026Q4 | 742.8 | — | 2026-09-20 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q1 | 790.0 | — | 2026-09-20 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q2 | 825.0 | — | 2026-09-20 | Desk base scenario. Revenue basis: Revenue ($M). Calculated from the operating-model inputs below; not consensus or company guidance. |
Member payments, lending losses and the proposed bank purchase
Drive payments from purchase volume and net yield. Scale platform revenue separately with membership and monetization. Deduct processing cost and explicit MyPay/other risk losses before corporate expense. Bridge adjusted EBITDA to operating income, operating cash, net loan funding and capital spending. The pending Stride price is a separate conditional cash claim; bank balance-sheet consolidation and synergies are excluded until supportable.
Reported anchors and guidance
| Measure | Period | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revised Q3 revenue outlook midpoint | 2026Q3 | 705.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| Revised FY2026 revenue outlook midpoint | FY2026 | 2,765.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| Revised FY2026 adjusted EBITDA midpoint | FY2026 | 485.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| Reported transaction profit | H1 2026 | 982.99 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| Reported adj ebitda | H1 2026 | 220.22 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| Reported cfo | H1 2026 | 294.96 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| Reported net loan funding | H1 2026 | 53.90 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| H1 cash after loan investment and assets | H1 2026 | 223.67 | derived. No deduction for discretionary stock repurchases. |
| Cash plus marketable securities | June 30, 2026 | 1,063.42 | derived. Excludes restricted cash and partner member deposits. |
| restricted | June 2026 / H1 | 65.01 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| h1 buybacks | June 2026 / H1 | 222.07 | reported. Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Source · 2026-08-06 |
| Conditional Stride purchase price | Proposed H1 2027 | 590.00 | reported. Cash consideration at closing, subject to required approvals; not current debt. Source · 2026-09-08 |
Downside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | PP&E and software cash ($M) | Revenue ($M) | Payments revenue ($M) | Platform revenue ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | Conditional Stride cash price ($M) | Loan purchases less repayments ($M) | Operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after loans and capex ($M) | Transaction profit proxy ($M) | Cash after conditional acquisition ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 8.68 | 10.00 | 655.65 | 418.50 | 237.15 | 22.68 | 0.00 | 49.00 | -59.32 | -50.32 | 450.41 | -50.32 |
| 2026Q4 | 26.02 | 11.00 | 690.85 | 437.10 | 253.75 | 47.02 | 0.00 | 56.00 | -39.98 | -40.98 | 475.92 | -40.98 |
| 2027Q1 | 47.86 | 12.00 | 734.70 | 446.40 | 288.30 | 75.86 | 0.00 | 63.00 | -16.14 | -27.14 | 506.54 | -27.14 |
| 2027Q2 | 37.49 | 13.00 | 767.25 | 465.00 | 302.25 | 75.49 | 0.00 | 70.00 | -21.51 | -45.51 | 527.09 | -45.51 |
| FY2026 | 329.65 | 38.39 | 2,663.65 | 1,718.27 | 945.38 | 289.91 | 0.00 | 158.90 | -31.82 | 132.36 | 1,909.33 | 132.36 |
| FY2027 | 195.58 | 54.00 | 3,185.25 | 1,920.45 | 1,264.80 | 358.58 | 590.00 | 294.00 | -39.42 | -152.42 | 2,194.97 | -742.42 |
Base scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | PP&E and software cash ($M) | Revenue ($M) | Payments revenue ($M) | Platform revenue ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | Conditional Stride cash price ($M) | Loan purchases less repayments ($M) | Operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after loans and capex ($M) | Transaction profit proxy ($M) | Cash after conditional acquisition ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 104.50 | 10.00 | 705.00 | 450.00 | 255.00 | 118.50 | 0.00 | 35.00 | 36.50 | 59.50 | 518.25 | 59.50 |
| 2026Q4 | 125.28 | 11.00 | 742.85 | 470.00 | 272.84 | 146.28 | 0.00 | 40.00 | 59.28 | 74.28 | 547.13 | 74.28 |
| 2027Q1 | 152.00 | 12.00 | 790.00 | 480.00 | 310.00 | 180.00 | 0.00 | 45.00 | 88.00 | 95.00 | 582.50 | 95.00 |
| 2027Q2 | 147.00 | 13.00 | 825.00 | 500.00 | 325.00 | 185.00 | 590.00 | 50.00 | 88.00 | 84.00 | 607.05 | -506.00 |
| FY2026 | 524.74 | 38.39 | 2,765.00 | 1,782.67 | 982.33 | 485.00 | 0.00 | 128.90 | 163.27 | 357.45 | 2,048.38 | 357.45 |
| FY2027 | 647.00 | 54.00 | 3,425.00 | 2,065.00 | 1,360.00 | 810.00 | 590.00 | 210.00 | 412.00 | 383.00 | 2,526.25 | -207.00 |
Upside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow proxy ($M) | PP&E and software cash ($M) | Revenue ($M) | Payments revenue ($M) | Platform revenue ($M) | Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) | Conditional Stride cash price ($M) | Loan purchases less repayments ($M) | Operating income proxy ($M) | Cash after loans and capex ($M) | Transaction profit proxy ($M) | Cash after conditional acquisition ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 144.86 | 10.00 | 762.00 | 481.50 | 280.50 | 158.86 | 0.00 | 40.25 | 76.86 | 94.61 | 570.60 | 94.61 |
| 2026Q4 | 168.50 | 11.00 | 803.03 | 502.90 | 300.13 | 189.50 | 0.00 | 46.00 | 102.50 | 111.50 | 602.38 | 111.50 |
| 2027Q1 | 199.31 | 12.00 | 854.60 | 513.60 | 341.00 | 227.31 | 590.00 | 51.75 | 135.31 | 135.56 | 641.88 | -454.44 |
| 2027Q2 | 196.51 | 13.00 | 892.50 | 535.00 | 357.50 | 234.51 | 0.00 | 57.50 | 137.51 | 126.01 | 669.23 | 126.01 |
| FY2026 | 608.32 | 38.39 | 2,882.18 | 1,847.07 | 1,035.11 | 568.58 | 0.00 | 140.15 | 246.85 | 429.78 | 2,155.97 | 429.78 |
| FY2027 | 854.02 | 54.00 | 3,705.55 | 2,209.55 | 1,496.00 | 1,017.02 | 590.00 | 241.50 | 619.02 | 558.52 | 2,784.76 | -31.48 |
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
| Input / calculation | Period / case | Value / unit | Evidence or assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported revenue h1_revenue | H1 2026 / shared | 1,317.15 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Reported payments h1_payments | H1 2026 / shared | 862.67 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Reported platform h1_platform | H1 2026 / shared | 454.48 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Reported transaction profit h1_transaction_profit | H1 2026 / shared | 982.99 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Reported adj ebitda h1_adj_ebitda | H1 2026 / shared | 220.22 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Reported operating income h1_operating_income | H1 2026 / shared | 67.48 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Reported cfo h1_cfo | H1 2026 / shared | 294.96 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Reported net loan funding h1_net_loan_funding | H1 2026 / shared | 53.90 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Reported capex h1_capex | H1 2026 / shared | 17.39 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| Loans and assets h1_funding_uses | H1 2026 / shared | 71.29 USD_millions | derived: Net loan funding is investing cash use. Formula: sum(h1_net_loan_funding, h1_capex). |
| H1 cash after loan investment and assets h1_cash_after_funding | H1 2026 / shared | 223.67 USD_millions | derived: No deduction for discretionary stock repurchases. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_funding_uses). |
| H1 Stride acquisition cash h1_acquisition_cash | H1 2026 / shared | 0.00 USD_millions | reported: The agreement was announced September 8; no Stride closing in H1. Primary source · 2026-09-08 |
| H1 cash after claims h1_cash_after_acquisition | H1 2026 / shared | 223.67 USD_millions | derived: Before buybacks. Formula: subtract(h1_cash_after_funding, h1_acquisition_cash). |
| cash cash | June 2026 / H1 / shared | 536.04 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| marketable securities marketable_securities | June 2026 / H1 / shared | 527.38 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| restricted restricted | June 2026 / H1 / shared | 65.01 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| h1 buybacks h1_buybacks | June 2026 / H1 / shared | 222.07 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-06 |
| q2 platform q2_platform | June 2026 / H1 / shared | 239.74 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| q2 payment volume q2_payment_volume | June 2026 / H1 / shared | 38,000.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| q2 payments q2_payments | June 2026 / H1 / shared | 430.03 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| q2 mypay originations q2_mypay_originations | June 2026 / H1 / shared | 4,500.00 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-08-05 |
| Conditional Stride purchase price stride_price | Proposed H1 2027 / shared | 590.00 USD_millions | reported: Cash consideration at closing, subject to required approvals; not current debt. Primary source · 2026-09-08 |
| Cash plus marketable securities liquidity | June 30, 2026 / shared | 1,063.42 USD_millions | derived: Excludes restricted cash and partner member deposits. Formula: sum(cash, marketable_securities). |
| Revised Q3 revenue outlook low q3_revenue_guide_low | 2026Q3 / shared | 705.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-09-08 |
| Revised Q3 revenue outlook high q3_revenue_guide_high | 2026Q3 / shared | 705.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-09-08 |
| Midpoint divisor two | Model / shared | 200.0% ratio | assumption: Arithmetic constant. |
| Revised Q3 revenue outlook endpoint sum q3_revenue_guide_sum | 2026Q3 / shared | 1,410.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(q3_revenue_guide_low, q3_revenue_guide_high). |
| Revised Q3 revenue outlook midpoint q3_revenue_guide | 2026Q3 / shared | 705.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(q3_revenue_guide_sum, two). |
| Revised FY2026 revenue outlook low fy26_revenue_guide_low | FY2026 / shared | 2,760.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-09-08 |
| Revised FY2026 revenue outlook high fy26_revenue_guide_high | FY2026 / shared | 2,770.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-09-08 |
| Revised FY2026 revenue outlook endpoint sum fy26_revenue_guide_sum | FY2026 / shared | 5,530.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy26_revenue_guide_low, fy26_revenue_guide_high). |
| Revised FY2026 revenue outlook midpoint fy26_revenue_guide | FY2026 / shared | 2,765.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy26_revenue_guide_sum, two). |
| Revised FY2026 adjusted EBITDA low fy26_ebitda_guide_low | FY2026 / shared | 481.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-09-08 |
| Revised FY2026 adjusted EBITDA high fy26_ebitda_guide_high | FY2026 / shared | 489.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-09-08 |
| Revised FY2026 adjusted EBITDA endpoint sum fy26_ebitda_guide_sum | FY2026 / shared | 970.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(fy26_ebitda_guide_low, fy26_ebitda_guide_high). |
| Revised FY2026 adjusted EBITDA midpoint fy26_ebitda_guide | FY2026 / shared | 485.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(fy26_ebitda_guide_sum, two). |
| Purchase volume downside_2026q3_purchase_volume | 2026Q3 / downside | 37,200.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield downside_2026q3_payment_yield | 2026Q3 / downside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue downside_2026q3_payments | 2026Q3 / downside | 418.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_purchase_volume, downside_2026q3_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index downside_2026q3_member_index | 2026Q3 / downside | 102.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index downside_2026q3_platform_monetization | 2026Q3 / downside | 96.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue downside_2026q3_platform | 2026Q3 / downside | 237.15 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, downside_2026q3_member_index, downside_2026q3_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue downside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 655.65 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_payments, downside_2026q3_platform). |
| Gross margin downside_2026q3_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing downside_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / downside | 583.53 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q3_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity downside_2026q3_mypay_originations | 2026Q3 / downside | 4,464.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate downside_2026q3_mypay_loss_rate | 2026Q3 / downside | 1.4% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance downside_2026q3_mypay_losses | 2026Q3 / downside | 62.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_mypay_originations, downside_2026q3_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost downside_2026q3_other_risk | 2026Q3 / downside | 70.62 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance downside_2026q3_risk | 2026Q3 / downside | 133.12 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_mypay_losses, downside_2026q3_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit downside_2026q3_transaction_profit | 2026Q3 / downside | 450.41 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost downside_2026q3_adjusted_costs | 2026Q3 / downside | 427.73 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / downside | 22.68 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_transaction_profit, downside_2026q3_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost downside_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / downside | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A downside_2026q3_da | 2026Q3 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA downside_2026q3_cash_adjustments | 2026Q3 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs downside_2026q3_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q3 / downside | 82.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_sbc, downside_2026q3_da, downside_2026q3_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / downside | -59.32 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income downside_2026q3_interest_income | 2026Q3 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income downside_2026q3_cash_earnings | 2026Q3 / downside | 30.68 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes downside_2026q3_cash_interest_tax | 2026Q3 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use downside_2026q3_wc | 2026Q3 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital downside_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / downside | 22.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_cash_adjustments, downside_2026q3_cash_interest_tax, downside_2026q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / downside | 8.68 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cash_earnings, downside_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments downside_2026q3_net_loan_funding | 2026Q3 / downside | 49.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash downside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets downside_2026q3_investment | 2026Q3 / downside | 59.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_net_loan_funding, downside_2026q3_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets downside_2026q3_cash_after_funding | 2026Q3 / downside | -50.32 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_investment). |
| Stride closing switch downside_2026q3_stride_closing | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash downside_2026q3_acquisition_cash | 2026Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, downside_2026q3_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase downside_2026q3_cash_after_acquisition | 2026Q3 / downside | -50.32 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cash_after_funding, downside_2026q3_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume downside_2026q4_purchase_volume | 2026Q4 / downside | 39,060.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield downside_2026q4_payment_yield | 2026Q4 / downside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue downside_2026q4_payments | 2026Q4 / downside | 437.10 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_purchase_volume, downside_2026q4_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index downside_2026q4_member_index | 2026Q4 / downside | 105.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index downside_2026q4_platform_monetization | 2026Q4 / downside | 100.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue downside_2026q4_platform | 2026Q4 / downside | 253.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, downside_2026q4_member_index, downside_2026q4_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue downside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 690.85 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_payments, downside_2026q4_platform). |
| Gross margin downside_2026q4_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing downside_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | 614.85 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_revenue, downside_2026q4_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity downside_2026q4_mypay_originations | 2026Q4 / downside | 4,650.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate downside_2026q4_mypay_loss_rate | 2026Q4 / downside | 1.4% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance downside_2026q4_mypay_losses | 2026Q4 / downside | 65.10 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_mypay_originations, downside_2026q4_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost downside_2026q4_other_risk | 2026Q4 / downside | 73.83 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance downside_2026q4_risk | 2026Q4 / downside | 138.93 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_mypay_losses, downside_2026q4_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit downside_2026q4_transaction_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | 475.92 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost downside_2026q4_adjusted_costs | 2026Q4 / downside | 428.91 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / downside | 47.02 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_transaction_profit, downside_2026q4_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost downside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / downside | 76.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A downside_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / downside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA downside_2026q4_cash_adjustments | 2026Q4 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs downside_2026q4_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q4 / downside | 87.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_sbc, downside_2026q4_da, downside_2026q4_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / downside | -39.98 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income downside_2026q4_interest_income | 2026Q4 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income downside_2026q4_cash_earnings | 2026Q4 / downside | 55.02 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes downside_2026q4_cash_interest_tax | 2026Q4 / downside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use downside_2026q4_wc | 2026Q4 / downside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital downside_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / downside | 29.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cash_adjustments, downside_2026q4_cash_interest_tax, downside_2026q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / downside | 26.02 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cash_earnings, downside_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments downside_2026q4_net_loan_funding | 2026Q4 / downside | 56.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash downside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets downside_2026q4_investment | 2026Q4 / downside | 67.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_net_loan_funding, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets downside_2026q4_cash_after_funding | 2026Q4 / downside | -40.98 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_investment). |
| Stride closing switch downside_2026q4_stride_closing | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash downside_2026q4_acquisition_cash | 2026Q4 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, downside_2026q4_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase downside_2026q4_cash_after_acquisition | 2026Q4 / downside | -40.98 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cash_after_funding, downside_2026q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume downside_2027q1_purchase_volume | 2027Q1 / downside | 39,525.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield downside_2027q1_payment_yield | 2027Q1 / downside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue downside_2027q1_payments | 2027Q1 / downside | 446.40 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_purchase_volume, downside_2027q1_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index downside_2027q1_member_index | 2027Q1 / downside | 107.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index downside_2027q1_platform_monetization | 2027Q1 / downside | 111.9% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue downside_2027q1_platform | 2027Q1 / downside | 288.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, downside_2027q1_member_index, downside_2027q1_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue downside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 734.70 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_payments, downside_2027q1_platform). |
| Gross margin downside_2027q1_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing downside_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | 653.88 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q1_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity downside_2027q1_mypay_originations | 2027Q1 / downside | 5,022.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate downside_2027q1_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q1 / downside | 1.4% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance downside_2027q1_mypay_losses | 2027Q1 / downside | 70.31 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_mypay_originations, downside_2027q1_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost downside_2027q1_other_risk | 2027Q1 / downside | 77.04 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance downside_2027q1_risk | 2027Q1 / downside | 147.35 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_mypay_losses, downside_2027q1_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit downside_2027q1_transaction_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | 506.54 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost downside_2027q1_adjusted_costs | 2027Q1 / downside | 430.68 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / downside | 75.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_transaction_profit, downside_2027q1_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost downside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / downside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A downside_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / downside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q1_cash_adjustments | 2027Q1 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs downside_2027q1_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q1 / downside | 92.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_sbc, downside_2027q1_da, downside_2027q1_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / downside | -16.14 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q1_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income downside_2027q1_interest_income | 2027Q1 / downside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income downside_2027q1_cash_earnings | 2027Q1 / downside | 83.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q1_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes downside_2027q1_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q1 / downside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use downside_2027q1_wc | 2027Q1 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital downside_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / downside | 36.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_adjustments, downside_2027q1_cash_interest_tax, downside_2027q1_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / downside | 47.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_earnings, downside_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments downside_2027q1_net_loan_funding | 2027Q1 / downside | 63.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash downside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets downside_2027q1_investment | 2027Q1 / downside | 75.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_net_loan_funding, downside_2027q1_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets downside_2027q1_cash_after_funding | 2027Q1 / downside | -27.14 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_investment). |
| Stride closing switch downside_2027q1_stride_closing | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash downside_2027q1_acquisition_cash | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, downside_2027q1_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase downside_2027q1_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q1 / downside | -27.14 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_after_funding, downside_2027q1_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume downside_2027q2_purchase_volume | 2027Q2 / downside | 40,920.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield downside_2027q2_payment_yield | 2027Q2 / downside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue downside_2027q2_payments | 2027Q2 / downside | 465.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_purchase_volume, downside_2027q2_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index downside_2027q2_member_index | 2027Q2 / downside | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index downside_2027q2_platform_monetization | 2027Q2 / downside | 114.6% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue downside_2027q2_platform | 2027Q2 / downside | 302.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, downside_2027q2_member_index, downside_2027q2_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue downside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 767.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_payments, downside_2027q2_platform). |
| Gross margin downside_2027q2_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing downside_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | 682.85 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity downside_2027q2_mypay_originations | 2027Q2 / downside | 5,394.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate downside_2027q2_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q2 / downside | 1.4% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance downside_2027q2_mypay_losses | 2027Q2 / downside | 75.52 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_mypay_originations, downside_2027q2_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost downside_2027q2_other_risk | 2027Q2 / downside | 80.25 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance downside_2027q2_risk | 2027Q2 / downside | 155.77 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_mypay_losses, downside_2027q2_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit downside_2027q2_transaction_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | 527.09 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost downside_2027q2_adjusted_costs | 2027Q2 / downside | 451.59 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / downside | 75.49 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_transaction_profit, downside_2027q2_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost downside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / downside | 84.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A downside_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / downside | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q2_cash_adjustments | 2027Q2 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs downside_2027q2_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q2 / downside | 97.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_sbc, downside_2027q2_da, downside_2027q2_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / downside | -21.51 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income downside_2027q2_interest_income | 2027Q2 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income downside_2027q2_cash_earnings | 2027Q2 / downside | 80.49 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes downside_2027q2_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q2 / downside | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use downside_2027q2_wc | 2027Q2 / downside | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital downside_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / downside | 43.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cash_adjustments, downside_2027q2_cash_interest_tax, downside_2027q2_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / downside | 37.49 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_earnings, downside_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments downside_2027q2_net_loan_funding | 2027Q2 / downside | 70.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash downside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets downside_2027q2_investment | 2027Q2 / downside | 83.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_net_loan_funding, downside_2027q2_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets downside_2027q2_cash_after_funding | 2027Q2 / downside | -45.51 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_investment). |
| Stride closing switch downside_2027q2_stride_closing | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash downside_2027q2_acquisition_cash | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, downside_2027q2_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase downside_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q2 / downside | -45.51 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_after_funding, downside_2027q2_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume downside_2027q3_purchase_volume | 2027Q3 / downside | 43,245.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield downside_2027q3_payment_yield | 2027Q3 / downside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue downside_2027q3_payments | 2027Q3 / downside | 492.90 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_purchase_volume, downside_2027q3_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index downside_2027q3_member_index | 2027Q3 / downside | 112.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index downside_2027q3_platform_monetization | 2027Q3 / downside | 120.7% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue downside_2027q3_platform | 2027Q3 / downside | 325.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, downside_2027q3_member_index, downside_2027q3_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue downside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 818.40 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_payments, downside_2027q3_platform). |
| Gross margin downside_2027q3_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing downside_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | 728.38 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q3_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity downside_2027q3_mypay_originations | 2027Q3 / downside | 5,766.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate downside_2027q3_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q3 / downside | 1.4% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance downside_2027q3_mypay_losses | 2027Q3 / downside | 80.72 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_mypay_originations, downside_2027q3_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost downside_2027q3_other_risk | 2027Q3 / downside | 83.46 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance downside_2027q3_risk | 2027Q3 / downside | 164.18 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_mypay_losses, downside_2027q3_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit downside_2027q3_transaction_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | 564.19 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost downside_2027q3_adjusted_costs | 2027Q3 / downside | 470.16 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / downside | 94.03 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_transaction_profit, downside_2027q3_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost downside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / downside | 88.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A downside_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / downside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q3_cash_adjustments | 2027Q3 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs downside_2027q3_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q3 / downside | 102.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_sbc, downside_2027q3_da, downside_2027q3_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / downside | -7.97 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income downside_2027q3_interest_income | 2027Q3 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income downside_2027q3_cash_earnings | 2027Q3 / downside | 99.03 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes downside_2027q3_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q3 / downside | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use downside_2027q3_wc | 2027Q3 / downside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital downside_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / downside | 50.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cash_adjustments, downside_2027q3_cash_interest_tax, downside_2027q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / downside | 49.03 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_earnings, downside_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments downside_2027q3_net_loan_funding | 2027Q3 / downside | 77.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash downside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets downside_2027q3_investment | 2027Q3 / downside | 91.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_net_loan_funding, downside_2027q3_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets downside_2027q3_cash_after_funding | 2027Q3 / downside | -41.97 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_investment). |
| Stride closing switch downside_2027q3_stride_closing | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash downside_2027q3_acquisition_cash | 2027Q3 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, downside_2027q3_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase downside_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q3 / downside | -41.97 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_after_funding, downside_2027q3_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume downside_2027q4_purchase_volume | 2027Q4 / downside | 45,105.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield downside_2027q4_payment_yield | 2027Q4 / downside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue downside_2027q4_payments | 2027Q4 / downside | 516.15 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_purchase_volume, downside_2027q4_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index downside_2027q4_member_index | 2027Q4 / downside | 115.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index downside_2027q4_platform_monetization | 2027Q4 / downside | 126.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue downside_2027q4_platform | 2027Q4 / downside | 348.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, downside_2027q4_member_index, downside_2027q4_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue downside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 864.90 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_payments, downside_2027q4_platform). |
| Gross margin downside_2027q4_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing downside_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | 769.76 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_revenue, downside_2027q4_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity downside_2027q4_mypay_originations | 2027Q4 / downside | 6,138.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate downside_2027q4_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q4 / downside | 1.4% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance downside_2027q4_mypay_losses | 2027Q4 / downside | 85.93 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_mypay_originations, downside_2027q4_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost downside_2027q4_other_risk | 2027Q4 / downside | 86.67 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance downside_2027q4_risk | 2027Q4 / downside | 172.60 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_mypay_losses, downside_2027q4_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit downside_2027q4_transaction_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | 597.16 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost downside_2027q4_adjusted_costs | 2027Q4 / downside | 483.96 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / downside | 113.20 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_transaction_profit, downside_2027q4_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost downside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / downside | 92.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A downside_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / downside | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA downside_2027q4_cash_adjustments | 2027Q4 / downside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs downside_2027q4_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q4 / downside | 107.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_sbc, downside_2027q4_da, downside_2027q4_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy downside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / downside | 6.20 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income downside_2027q4_interest_income | 2027Q4 / downside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income downside_2027q4_cash_earnings | 2027Q4 / downside | 118.20 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes downside_2027q4_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q4 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use downside_2027q4_wc | 2027Q4 / downside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital downside_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / downside | 57.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cash_adjustments, downside_2027q4_cash_interest_tax, downside_2027q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy downside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / downside | 61.20 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_earnings, downside_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments downside_2027q4_net_loan_funding | 2027Q4 / downside | 84.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash downside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets downside_2027q4_investment | 2027Q4 / downside | 99.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_net_loan_funding, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets downside_2027q4_cash_after_funding | 2027Q4 / downside | -37.80 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_investment). |
| Stride closing switch downside_2027q4_stride_closing | 2027Q4 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash downside_2027q4_acquisition_cash | 2027Q4 / downside | 590.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, downside_2027q4_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase downside_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q4 / downside | -627.80 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_after_funding, downside_2027q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / downside | 2,663.65 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue). |
| Payments revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_payments | FY2026 / downside | 1,718.27 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_payments, downside_2026q3_payments, downside_2026q4_payments). |
| Platform revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_platform | FY2026 / downside | 945.38 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_platform, downside_2026q3_platform, downside_2026q4_platform). |
| Transaction profit proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_transaction_profit | FY2026 / downside | 1,909.33 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_transaction_profit, downside_2026q3_transaction_profit, downside_2026q4_transaction_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / downside | 289.91 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / downside | -31.82 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) downside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / downside | 329.65 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Loan purchases less repayments ($M) downside_fy2026_net_loan_funding | FY2026 / downside | 158.90 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_net_loan_funding, downside_2026q3_net_loan_funding, downside_2026q4_net_loan_funding). |
| PP&E and software cash ($M) downside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / downside | 38.39 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash after loans and capex ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_after_funding | FY2026 / downside | 132.36 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_funding, downside_2026q3_cash_after_funding, downside_2026q4_cash_after_funding). |
| Conditional Stride cash price ($M) downside_fy2026_acquisition_cash | FY2026 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_acquisition_cash, downside_2026q3_acquisition_cash, downside_2026q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Cash after conditional acquisition ($M) downside_fy2026_cash_after_acquisition | FY2026 / downside | 132.36 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_acquisition, downside_2026q3_cash_after_acquisition, downside_2026q4_cash_after_acquisition). |
| Revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / downside | 3,185.25 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue). |
| Payments revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_payments | FY2027 / downside | 1,920.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_payments, downside_2027q2_payments, downside_2027q3_payments, downside_2027q4_payments). |
| Platform revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_platform | FY2027 / downside | 1,264.80 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_platform, downside_2027q2_platform, downside_2027q3_platform, downside_2027q4_platform). |
| Transaction profit proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_transaction_profit | FY2027 / downside | 2,194.97 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_transaction_profit, downside_2027q2_transaction_profit, downside_2027q3_transaction_profit, downside_2027q4_transaction_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / downside | 358.58 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, downside_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / downside | -39.42 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) downside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / downside | 195.58 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Loan purchases less repayments ($M) downside_fy2027_net_loan_funding | FY2027 / downside | 294.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_net_loan_funding, downside_2027q2_net_loan_funding, downside_2027q3_net_loan_funding, downside_2027q4_net_loan_funding). |
| PP&E and software cash ($M) downside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / downside | 54.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash after loans and capex ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_after_funding | FY2027 / downside | -152.42 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_funding, downside_2027q2_cash_after_funding, downside_2027q3_cash_after_funding, downside_2027q4_cash_after_funding). |
| Conditional Stride cash price ($M) downside_fy2027_acquisition_cash | FY2027 / downside | 590.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_acquisition_cash, downside_2027q2_acquisition_cash, downside_2027q3_acquisition_cash, downside_2027q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Cash after conditional acquisition ($M) downside_fy2027_cash_after_acquisition | FY2027 / downside | -742.42 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cash_after_acquisition, downside_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition, downside_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition, downside_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition). |
| Purchase volume base_2026q3_purchase_volume | 2026Q3 / base | 40,000.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield base_2026q3_payment_yield | 2026Q3 / base | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue base_2026q3_payments | 2026Q3 / base | 450.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_purchase_volume, base_2026q3_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index base_2026q3_member_index | 2026Q3 / base | 102.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index base_2026q3_platform_monetization | 2026Q3 / base | 103.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue base_2026q3_platform | 2026Q3 / base | 255.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, base_2026q3_member_index, base_2026q3_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue base_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 705.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_payments, base_2026q3_platform). |
| Gross margin base_2026q3_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / base | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing base_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / base | 627.45 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q3_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity base_2026q3_mypay_originations | 2026Q3 / base | 4,800.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate base_2026q3_mypay_loss_rate | 2026Q3 / base | 0.9% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance base_2026q3_mypay_losses | 2026Q3 / base | 43.20 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_mypay_originations, base_2026q3_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost base_2026q3_other_risk | 2026Q3 / base | 66.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance base_2026q3_risk | 2026Q3 / base | 109.20 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_mypay_losses, base_2026q3_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit base_2026q3_transaction_profit | 2026Q3 / base | 518.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q3_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost base_2026q3_adjusted_costs | 2026Q3 / base | 399.75 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / base | 118.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_transaction_profit, base_2026q3_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost base_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / base | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A base_2026q3_da | 2026Q3 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA base_2026q3_cash_adjustments | 2026Q3 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs base_2026q3_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q3 / base | 82.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_sbc, base_2026q3_da, base_2026q3_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy base_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / base | 36.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income base_2026q3_interest_income | 2026Q3 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income base_2026q3_cash_earnings | 2026Q3 / base | 126.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes base_2026q3_cash_interest_tax | 2026Q3 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use base_2026q3_wc | 2026Q3 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital base_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / base | 22.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_cash_adjustments, base_2026q3_cash_interest_tax, base_2026q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / base | 104.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cash_earnings, base_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments base_2026q3_net_loan_funding | 2026Q3 / base | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash base_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets base_2026q3_investment | 2026Q3 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_net_loan_funding, base_2026q3_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets base_2026q3_cash_after_funding | 2026Q3 / base | 59.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_investment). |
| Stride closing switch base_2026q3_stride_closing | 2026Q3 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash base_2026q3_acquisition_cash | 2026Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, base_2026q3_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase base_2026q3_cash_after_acquisition | 2026Q3 / base | 59.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cash_after_funding, base_2026q3_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume base_2026q4_purchase_volume | 2026Q4 / base | 42,000.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield base_2026q4_payment_yield | 2026Q4 / base | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue base_2026q4_payments | 2026Q4 / base | 470.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_purchase_volume, base_2026q4_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index base_2026q4_member_index | 2026Q4 / base | 105.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index base_2026q4_platform_monetization | 2026Q4 / base | 108.4% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue base_2026q4_platform | 2026Q4 / base | 272.84 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, base_2026q4_member_index, base_2026q4_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue base_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 742.85 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_payments, base_2026q4_platform). |
| Gross margin base_2026q4_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing base_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 661.13 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_revenue, base_2026q4_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity base_2026q4_mypay_originations | 2026Q4 / base | 5,000.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate base_2026q4_mypay_loss_rate | 2026Q4 / base | 0.9% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance base_2026q4_mypay_losses | 2026Q4 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_mypay_originations, base_2026q4_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost base_2026q4_other_risk | 2026Q4 / base | 69.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance base_2026q4_risk | 2026Q4 / base | 114.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_mypay_losses, base_2026q4_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit base_2026q4_transaction_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 547.13 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_gross_profit, base_2026q4_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost base_2026q4_adjusted_costs | 2026Q4 / base | 400.85 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / base | 146.28 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_transaction_profit, base_2026q4_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost base_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / base | 76.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A base_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / base | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA base_2026q4_cash_adjustments | 2026Q4 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs base_2026q4_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q4 / base | 87.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_sbc, base_2026q4_da, base_2026q4_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy base_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / base | 59.28 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income base_2026q4_interest_income | 2026Q4 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income base_2026q4_cash_earnings | 2026Q4 / base | 154.28 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes base_2026q4_cash_interest_tax | 2026Q4 / base | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use base_2026q4_wc | 2026Q4 / base | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital base_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / base | 29.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cash_adjustments, base_2026q4_cash_interest_tax, base_2026q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / base | 125.28 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cash_earnings, base_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments base_2026q4_net_loan_funding | 2026Q4 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash base_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / base | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets base_2026q4_investment | 2026Q4 / base | 51.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_net_loan_funding, base_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets base_2026q4_cash_after_funding | 2026Q4 / base | 74.28 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_investment). |
| Stride closing switch base_2026q4_stride_closing | 2026Q4 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash base_2026q4_acquisition_cash | 2026Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, base_2026q4_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase base_2026q4_cash_after_acquisition | 2026Q4 / base | 74.28 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cash_after_funding, base_2026q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume base_2027q1_purchase_volume | 2027Q1 / base | 42,500.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield base_2027q1_payment_yield | 2027Q1 / base | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue base_2027q1_payments | 2027Q1 / base | 480.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_purchase_volume, base_2027q1_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index base_2027q1_member_index | 2027Q1 / base | 107.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index base_2027q1_platform_monetization | 2027Q1 / base | 120.3% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue base_2027q1_platform | 2027Q1 / base | 310.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, base_2027q1_member_index, base_2027q1_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue base_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 790.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_payments, base_2027q1_platform). |
| Gross margin base_2027q1_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing base_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / base | 703.10 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q1_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity base_2027q1_mypay_originations | 2027Q1 / base | 5,400.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate base_2027q1_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q1 / base | 0.9% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance base_2027q1_mypay_losses | 2027Q1 / base | 48.60 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_mypay_originations, base_2027q1_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost base_2027q1_other_risk | 2027Q1 / base | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance base_2027q1_risk | 2027Q1 / base | 120.60 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_mypay_losses, base_2027q1_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit base_2027q1_transaction_profit | 2027Q1 / base | 582.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q1_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost base_2027q1_adjusted_costs | 2027Q1 / base | 402.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / base | 180.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_transaction_profit, base_2027q1_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost base_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / base | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A base_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / base | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA base_2027q1_cash_adjustments | 2027Q1 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs base_2027q1_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q1 / base | 92.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_sbc, base_2027q1_da, base_2027q1_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy base_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / base | 88.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q1_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income base_2027q1_interest_income | 2027Q1 / base | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income base_2027q1_cash_earnings | 2027Q1 / base | 188.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q1_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes base_2027q1_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q1 / base | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use base_2027q1_wc | 2027Q1 / base | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital base_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / base | 36.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_adjustments, base_2027q1_cash_interest_tax, base_2027q1_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / base | 152.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_earnings, base_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments base_2027q1_net_loan_funding | 2027Q1 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash base_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets base_2027q1_investment | 2027Q1 / base | 57.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_net_loan_funding, base_2027q1_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets base_2027q1_cash_after_funding | 2027Q1 / base | 95.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_investment). |
| Stride closing switch base_2027q1_stride_closing | 2027Q1 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash base_2027q1_acquisition_cash | 2027Q1 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, base_2027q1_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase base_2027q1_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q1 / base | 95.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_after_funding, base_2027q1_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume base_2027q2_purchase_volume | 2027Q2 / base | 44,000.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield base_2027q2_payment_yield | 2027Q2 / base | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue base_2027q2_payments | 2027Q2 / base | 500.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_purchase_volume, base_2027q2_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index base_2027q2_member_index | 2027Q2 / base | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index base_2027q2_platform_monetization | 2027Q2 / base | 123.2% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue base_2027q2_platform | 2027Q2 / base | 325.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, base_2027q2_member_index, base_2027q2_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue base_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 825.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_payments, base_2027q2_platform). |
| Gross margin base_2027q2_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing base_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / base | 734.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q2_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity base_2027q2_mypay_originations | 2027Q2 / base | 5,800.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate base_2027q2_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q2 / base | 0.9% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance base_2027q2_mypay_losses | 2027Q2 / base | 52.20 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_mypay_originations, base_2027q2_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost base_2027q2_other_risk | 2027Q2 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance base_2027q2_risk | 2027Q2 / base | 127.20 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_mypay_losses, base_2027q2_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit base_2027q2_transaction_profit | 2027Q2 / base | 607.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q2_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost base_2027q2_adjusted_costs | 2027Q2 / base | 422.05 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / base | 185.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_transaction_profit, base_2027q2_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost base_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / base | 84.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A base_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / base | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA base_2027q2_cash_adjustments | 2027Q2 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs base_2027q2_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q2 / base | 97.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_sbc, base_2027q2_da, base_2027q2_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy base_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / base | 88.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income base_2027q2_interest_income | 2027Q2 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income base_2027q2_cash_earnings | 2027Q2 / base | 190.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes base_2027q2_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q2 / base | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use base_2027q2_wc | 2027Q2 / base | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital base_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / base | 43.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cash_adjustments, base_2027q2_cash_interest_tax, base_2027q2_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / base | 147.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_earnings, base_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments base_2027q2_net_loan_funding | 2027Q2 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash base_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets base_2027q2_investment | 2027Q2 / base | 63.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_net_loan_funding, base_2027q2_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets base_2027q2_cash_after_funding | 2027Q2 / base | 84.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_investment). |
| Stride closing switch base_2027q2_stride_closing | 2027Q2 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash base_2027q2_acquisition_cash | 2027Q2 / base | 590.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, base_2027q2_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase base_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q2 / base | -506.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_after_funding, base_2027q2_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume base_2027q3_purchase_volume | 2027Q3 / base | 46,500.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield base_2027q3_payment_yield | 2027Q3 / base | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue base_2027q3_payments | 2027Q3 / base | 530.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_purchase_volume, base_2027q3_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index base_2027q3_member_index | 2027Q3 / base | 112.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index base_2027q3_platform_monetization | 2027Q3 / base | 129.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue base_2027q3_platform | 2027Q3 / base | 350.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, base_2027q3_member_index, base_2027q3_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue base_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 880.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_payments, base_2027q3_platform). |
| Gross margin base_2027q3_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing base_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / base | 783.20 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q3_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity base_2027q3_mypay_originations | 2027Q3 / base | 6,200.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate base_2027q3_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q3 / base | 0.9% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance base_2027q3_mypay_losses | 2027Q3 / base | 55.80 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_mypay_originations, base_2027q3_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost base_2027q3_other_risk | 2027Q3 / base | 78.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance base_2027q3_risk | 2027Q3 / base | 133.80 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_mypay_losses, base_2027q3_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit base_2027q3_transaction_profit | 2027Q3 / base | 649.40 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q3_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost base_2027q3_adjusted_costs | 2027Q3 / base | 439.40 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / base | 210.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_transaction_profit, base_2027q3_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost base_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / base | 88.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A base_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / base | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA base_2027q3_cash_adjustments | 2027Q3 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs base_2027q3_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q3 / base | 102.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_sbc, base_2027q3_da, base_2027q3_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy base_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / base | 108.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income base_2027q3_interest_income | 2027Q3 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income base_2027q3_cash_earnings | 2027Q3 / base | 215.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes base_2027q3_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q3 / base | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use base_2027q3_wc | 2027Q3 / base | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital base_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cash_adjustments, base_2027q3_cash_interest_tax, base_2027q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / base | 165.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_earnings, base_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments base_2027q3_net_loan_funding | 2027Q3 / base | 55.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash base_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets base_2027q3_investment | 2027Q3 / base | 69.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_net_loan_funding, base_2027q3_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets base_2027q3_cash_after_funding | 2027Q3 / base | 96.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_investment). |
| Stride closing switch base_2027q3_stride_closing | 2027Q3 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash base_2027q3_acquisition_cash | 2027Q3 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, base_2027q3_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase base_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q3 / base | 96.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_after_funding, base_2027q3_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume base_2027q4_purchase_volume | 2027Q4 / base | 48,500.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield base_2027q4_payment_yield | 2027Q4 / base | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue base_2027q4_payments | 2027Q4 / base | 555.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_purchase_volume, base_2027q4_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index base_2027q4_member_index | 2027Q4 / base | 115.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index base_2027q4_platform_monetization | 2027Q4 / base | 136.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue base_2027q4_platform | 2027Q4 / base | 375.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, base_2027q4_member_index, base_2027q4_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue base_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 930.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_payments, base_2027q4_platform). |
| Gross margin base_2027q4_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing base_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / base | 827.70 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_revenue, base_2027q4_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity base_2027q4_mypay_originations | 2027Q4 / base | 6,600.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate base_2027q4_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q4 / base | 0.9% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance base_2027q4_mypay_losses | 2027Q4 / base | 59.40 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_mypay_originations, base_2027q4_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost base_2027q4_other_risk | 2027Q4 / base | 81.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance base_2027q4_risk | 2027Q4 / base | 140.40 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_mypay_losses, base_2027q4_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit base_2027q4_transaction_profit | 2027Q4 / base | 687.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_gross_profit, base_2027q4_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost base_2027q4_adjusted_costs | 2027Q4 / base | 452.30 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy base_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / base | 235.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_transaction_profit, base_2027q4_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost base_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / base | 92.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A base_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / base | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA base_2027q4_cash_adjustments | 2027Q4 / base | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs base_2027q4_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q4 / base | 107.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_sbc, base_2027q4_da, base_2027q4_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy base_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / base | 128.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income base_2027q4_interest_income | 2027Q4 / base | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income base_2027q4_cash_earnings | 2027Q4 / base | 240.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes base_2027q4_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q4 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use base_2027q4_wc | 2027Q4 / base | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital base_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / base | 57.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cash_adjustments, base_2027q4_cash_interest_tax, base_2027q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy base_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / base | 183.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_earnings, base_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments base_2027q4_net_loan_funding | 2027Q4 / base | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash base_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets base_2027q4_investment | 2027Q4 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_net_loan_funding, base_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets base_2027q4_cash_after_funding | 2027Q4 / base | 108.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_investment). |
| Stride closing switch base_2027q4_stride_closing | 2027Q4 / base | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash base_2027q4_acquisition_cash | 2027Q4 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, base_2027q4_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase base_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q4 / base | 108.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_after_funding, base_2027q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Revenue ($M) base_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / base | 2,765.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue). |
| Payments revenue ($M) base_fy2026_payments | FY2026 / base | 1,782.67 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_payments, base_2026q3_payments, base_2026q4_payments). |
| Platform revenue ($M) base_fy2026_platform | FY2026 / base | 982.33 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_platform, base_2026q3_platform, base_2026q4_platform). |
| Transaction profit proxy ($M) base_fy2026_transaction_profit | FY2026 / base | 2,048.38 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_transaction_profit, base_2026q3_transaction_profit, base_2026q4_transaction_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) base_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / base | 485.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, base_2026q3_adj_ebitda, base_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / base | 163.27 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) base_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / base | 524.74 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo). |
| Loan purchases less repayments ($M) base_fy2026_net_loan_funding | FY2026 / base | 128.90 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_net_loan_funding, base_2026q3_net_loan_funding, base_2026q4_net_loan_funding). |
| PP&E and software cash ($M) base_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / base | 38.39 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash after loans and capex ($M) base_fy2026_cash_after_funding | FY2026 / base | 357.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_funding, base_2026q3_cash_after_funding, base_2026q4_cash_after_funding). |
| Conditional Stride cash price ($M) base_fy2026_acquisition_cash | FY2026 / base | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_acquisition_cash, base_2026q3_acquisition_cash, base_2026q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Cash after conditional acquisition ($M) base_fy2026_cash_after_acquisition | FY2026 / base | 357.45 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_acquisition, base_2026q3_cash_after_acquisition, base_2026q4_cash_after_acquisition). |
| Revenue ($M) base_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / base | 3,425.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue). |
| Payments revenue ($M) base_fy2027_payments | FY2027 / base | 2,065.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_payments, base_2027q2_payments, base_2027q3_payments, base_2027q4_payments). |
| Platform revenue ($M) base_fy2027_platform | FY2027 / base | 1,360.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_platform, base_2027q2_platform, base_2027q3_platform, base_2027q4_platform). |
| Transaction profit proxy ($M) base_fy2027_transaction_profit | FY2027 / base | 2,526.25 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_transaction_profit, base_2027q2_transaction_profit, base_2027q3_transaction_profit, base_2027q4_transaction_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) base_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / base | 810.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_adj_ebitda, base_2027q2_adj_ebitda, base_2027q3_adj_ebitda, base_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) base_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / base | 412.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) base_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / base | 647.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo). |
| Loan purchases less repayments ($M) base_fy2027_net_loan_funding | FY2027 / base | 210.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_net_loan_funding, base_2027q2_net_loan_funding, base_2027q3_net_loan_funding, base_2027q4_net_loan_funding). |
| PP&E and software cash ($M) base_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / base | 54.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash after loans and capex ($M) base_fy2027_cash_after_funding | FY2027 / base | 383.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_funding, base_2027q2_cash_after_funding, base_2027q3_cash_after_funding, base_2027q4_cash_after_funding). |
| Conditional Stride cash price ($M) base_fy2027_acquisition_cash | FY2027 / base | 590.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_acquisition_cash, base_2027q2_acquisition_cash, base_2027q3_acquisition_cash, base_2027q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Cash after conditional acquisition ($M) base_fy2027_cash_after_acquisition | FY2027 / base | -207.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cash_after_acquisition, base_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition, base_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition, base_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition). |
| Purchase volume upside_2026q3_purchase_volume | 2026Q3 / upside | 42,800.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield upside_2026q3_payment_yield | 2026Q3 / upside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue upside_2026q3_payments | 2026Q3 / upside | 481.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_purchase_volume, upside_2026q3_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index upside_2026q3_member_index | 2026Q3 / upside | 102.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index upside_2026q3_platform_monetization | 2026Q3 / upside | 114.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue upside_2026q3_platform | 2026Q3 / upside | 280.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, upside_2026q3_member_index, upside_2026q3_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue upside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 762.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_payments, upside_2026q3_platform). |
| Gross margin upside_2026q3_gross_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing upside_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / upside | 678.18 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q3_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity upside_2026q3_mypay_originations | 2026Q3 / upside | 5,280.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate upside_2026q3_mypay_loss_rate | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance upside_2026q3_mypay_losses | 2026Q3 / upside | 39.60 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_mypay_originations, upside_2026q3_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost upside_2026q3_other_risk | 2026Q3 / upside | 67.98 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance upside_2026q3_risk | 2026Q3 / upside | 107.58 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_mypay_losses, upside_2026q3_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit upside_2026q3_transaction_profit | 2026Q3 / upside | 570.60 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost upside_2026q3_adjusted_costs | 2026Q3 / upside | 411.74 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda | 2026Q3 / upside | 158.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_transaction_profit, upside_2026q3_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost upside_2026q3_sbc | 2026Q3 / upside | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A upside_2026q3_da | 2026Q3 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA upside_2026q3_cash_adjustments | 2026Q3 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs upside_2026q3_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q3 / upside | 82.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_sbc, upside_2026q3_da, upside_2026q3_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / upside | 76.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income upside_2026q3_interest_income | 2026Q3 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income upside_2026q3_cash_earnings | 2026Q3 / upside | 166.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes upside_2026q3_cash_interest_tax | 2026Q3 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use upside_2026q3_wc | 2026Q3 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital upside_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / upside | 22.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_cash_adjustments, upside_2026q3_cash_interest_tax, upside_2026q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / upside | 144.86 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cash_earnings, upside_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments upside_2026q3_net_loan_funding | 2026Q3 / upside | 40.25 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash upside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets upside_2026q3_investment | 2026Q3 / upside | 50.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_net_loan_funding, upside_2026q3_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets upside_2026q3_cash_after_funding | 2026Q3 / upside | 94.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_investment). |
| Stride closing switch upside_2026q3_stride_closing | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash upside_2026q3_acquisition_cash | 2026Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, upside_2026q3_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase upside_2026q3_cash_after_acquisition | 2026Q3 / upside | 94.61 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cash_after_funding, upside_2026q3_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume upside_2026q4_purchase_volume | 2026Q4 / upside | 44,940.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield upside_2026q4_payment_yield | 2026Q4 / upside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue upside_2026q4_payments | 2026Q4 / upside | 502.90 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_purchase_volume, upside_2026q4_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index upside_2026q4_member_index | 2026Q4 / upside | 105.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index upside_2026q4_platform_monetization | 2026Q4 / upside | 119.2% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue upside_2026q4_platform | 2026Q4 / upside | 300.13 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, upside_2026q4_member_index, upside_2026q4_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue upside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 803.03 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_payments, upside_2026q4_platform). |
| Gross margin upside_2026q4_gross_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing upside_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 714.70 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_revenue, upside_2026q4_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity upside_2026q4_mypay_originations | 2026Q4 / upside | 5,500.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate upside_2026q4_mypay_loss_rate | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance upside_2026q4_mypay_losses | 2026Q4 / upside | 41.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_mypay_originations, upside_2026q4_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost upside_2026q4_other_risk | 2026Q4 / upside | 71.07 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance upside_2026q4_risk | 2026Q4 / upside | 112.32 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_mypay_losses, upside_2026q4_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit upside_2026q4_transaction_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 602.38 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost upside_2026q4_adjusted_costs | 2026Q4 / upside | 412.87 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda | 2026Q4 / upside | 189.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_transaction_profit, upside_2026q4_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost upside_2026q4_sbc | 2026Q4 / upside | 76.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A upside_2026q4_da | 2026Q4 / upside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA upside_2026q4_cash_adjustments | 2026Q4 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs upside_2026q4_gaap_adjustments | 2026Q4 / upside | 87.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_sbc, upside_2026q4_da, upside_2026q4_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / upside | 102.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income upside_2026q4_interest_income | 2026Q4 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income upside_2026q4_cash_earnings | 2026Q4 / upside | 197.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes upside_2026q4_cash_interest_tax | 2026Q4 / upside | 7.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use upside_2026q4_wc | 2026Q4 / upside | 20.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital upside_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / upside | 29.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cash_adjustments, upside_2026q4_cash_interest_tax, upside_2026q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / upside | 168.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cash_earnings, upside_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments upside_2026q4_net_loan_funding | 2026Q4 / upside | 46.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash upside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets upside_2026q4_investment | 2026Q4 / upside | 57.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_net_loan_funding, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets upside_2026q4_cash_after_funding | 2026Q4 / upside | 111.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_investment). |
| Stride closing switch upside_2026q4_stride_closing | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash upside_2026q4_acquisition_cash | 2026Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, upside_2026q4_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase upside_2026q4_cash_after_acquisition | 2026Q4 / upside | 111.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cash_after_funding, upside_2026q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume upside_2027q1_purchase_volume | 2027Q1 / upside | 45,475.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield upside_2027q1_payment_yield | 2027Q1 / upside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue upside_2027q1_payments | 2027Q1 / upside | 513.60 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_purchase_volume, upside_2027q1_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index upside_2027q1_member_index | 2027Q1 / upside | 107.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index upside_2027q1_platform_monetization | 2027Q1 / upside | 132.3% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue upside_2027q1_platform | 2027Q1 / upside | 341.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, upside_2027q1_member_index, upside_2027q1_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue upside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 854.60 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_payments, upside_2027q1_platform). |
| Gross margin upside_2027q1_gross_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing upside_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 760.59 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q1_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity upside_2027q1_mypay_originations | 2027Q1 / upside | 5,940.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate upside_2027q1_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q1 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance upside_2027q1_mypay_losses | 2027Q1 / upside | 44.55 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_mypay_originations, upside_2027q1_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost upside_2027q1_other_risk | 2027Q1 / upside | 74.16 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance upside_2027q1_risk | 2027Q1 / upside | 118.71 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_mypay_losses, upside_2027q1_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit upside_2027q1_transaction_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 641.88 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost upside_2027q1_adjusted_costs | 2027Q1 / upside | 414.57 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda | 2027Q1 / upside | 227.31 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_transaction_profit, upside_2027q1_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost upside_2027q1_sbc | 2027Q1 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A upside_2027q1_da | 2027Q1 / upside | 10.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q1_cash_adjustments | 2027Q1 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs upside_2027q1_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q1 / upside | 92.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_sbc, upside_2027q1_da, upside_2027q1_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / upside | 135.31 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q1_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income upside_2027q1_interest_income | 2027Q1 / upside | 8.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income upside_2027q1_cash_earnings | 2027Q1 / upside | 235.31 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q1_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes upside_2027q1_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q1 / upside | 9.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use upside_2027q1_wc | 2027Q1 / upside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital upside_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / upside | 36.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_adjustments, upside_2027q1_cash_interest_tax, upside_2027q1_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / upside | 199.31 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_earnings, upside_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments upside_2027q1_net_loan_funding | 2027Q1 / upside | 51.75 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash upside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets upside_2027q1_investment | 2027Q1 / upside | 63.75 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_net_loan_funding, upside_2027q1_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets upside_2027q1_cash_after_funding | 2027Q1 / upside | 135.56 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_investment). |
| Stride closing switch upside_2027q1_stride_closing | 2027Q1 / upside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash upside_2027q1_acquisition_cash | 2027Q1 / upside | 590.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, upside_2027q1_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase upside_2027q1_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q1 / upside | -454.44 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_after_funding, upside_2027q1_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume upside_2027q2_purchase_volume | 2027Q2 / upside | 47,080.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield upside_2027q2_payment_yield | 2027Q2 / upside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue upside_2027q2_payments | 2027Q2 / upside | 535.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_purchase_volume, upside_2027q2_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index upside_2027q2_member_index | 2027Q2 / upside | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index upside_2027q2_platform_monetization | 2027Q2 / upside | 135.6% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue upside_2027q2_platform | 2027Q2 / upside | 357.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, upside_2027q2_member_index, upside_2027q2_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue upside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 892.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_payments, upside_2027q2_platform). |
| Gross margin upside_2027q2_gross_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing upside_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 794.33 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity upside_2027q2_mypay_originations | 2027Q2 / upside | 6,380.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate upside_2027q2_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance upside_2027q2_mypay_losses | 2027Q2 / upside | 47.85 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_mypay_originations, upside_2027q2_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost upside_2027q2_other_risk | 2027Q2 / upside | 77.25 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance upside_2027q2_risk | 2027Q2 / upside | 125.10 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_mypay_losses, upside_2027q2_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit upside_2027q2_transaction_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 669.23 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost upside_2027q2_adjusted_costs | 2027Q2 / upside | 434.71 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda | 2027Q2 / upside | 234.51 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_transaction_profit, upside_2027q2_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost upside_2027q2_sbc | 2027Q2 / upside | 84.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A upside_2027q2_da | 2027Q2 / upside | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q2_cash_adjustments | 2027Q2 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs upside_2027q2_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q2 / upside | 97.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_sbc, upside_2027q2_da, upside_2027q2_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / upside | 137.51 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income upside_2027q2_interest_income | 2027Q2 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income upside_2027q2_cash_earnings | 2027Q2 / upside | 239.51 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes upside_2027q2_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q2 / upside | 11.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use upside_2027q2_wc | 2027Q2 / upside | 30.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital upside_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / upside | 43.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cash_adjustments, upside_2027q2_cash_interest_tax, upside_2027q2_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / upside | 196.51 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_earnings, upside_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments upside_2027q2_net_loan_funding | 2027Q2 / upside | 57.50 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash upside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets upside_2027q2_investment | 2027Q2 / upside | 70.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_net_loan_funding, upside_2027q2_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets upside_2027q2_cash_after_funding | 2027Q2 / upside | 126.01 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_investment). |
| Stride closing switch upside_2027q2_stride_closing | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash upside_2027q2_acquisition_cash | 2027Q2 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, upside_2027q2_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase upside_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q2 / upside | 126.01 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_after_funding, upside_2027q2_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume upside_2027q3_purchase_volume | 2027Q3 / upside | 49,755.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield upside_2027q3_payment_yield | 2027Q3 / upside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue upside_2027q3_payments | 2027Q3 / upside | 567.10 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_purchase_volume, upside_2027q3_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index upside_2027q3_member_index | 2027Q3 / upside | 112.5% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index upside_2027q3_platform_monetization | 2027Q3 / upside | 142.7% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue upside_2027q3_platform | 2027Q3 / upside | 385.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, upside_2027q3_member_index, upside_2027q3_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue upside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 952.10 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_payments, upside_2027q3_platform). |
| Gross margin upside_2027q3_gross_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing upside_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 847.37 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q3_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity upside_2027q3_mypay_originations | 2027Q3 / upside | 6,820.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate upside_2027q3_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance upside_2027q3_mypay_losses | 2027Q3 / upside | 51.15 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_mypay_originations, upside_2027q3_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost upside_2027q3_other_risk | 2027Q3 / upside | 80.34 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance upside_2027q3_risk | 2027Q3 / upside | 131.49 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_mypay_losses, upside_2027q3_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit upside_2027q3_transaction_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 715.88 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost upside_2027q3_adjusted_costs | 2027Q3 / upside | 452.58 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda | 2027Q3 / upside | 263.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_transaction_profit, upside_2027q3_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost upside_2027q3_sbc | 2027Q3 / upside | 88.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A upside_2027q3_da | 2027Q3 / upside | 12.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q3_cash_adjustments | 2027Q3 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs upside_2027q3_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q3 / upside | 102.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_sbc, upside_2027q3_da, upside_2027q3_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / upside | 161.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income upside_2027q3_interest_income | 2027Q3 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income upside_2027q3_cash_earnings | 2027Q3 / upside | 268.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes upside_2027q3_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q3 / upside | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use upside_2027q3_wc | 2027Q3 / upside | 35.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital upside_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / upside | 50.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cash_adjustments, upside_2027q3_cash_interest_tax, upside_2027q3_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / upside | 218.30 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_earnings, upside_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments upside_2027q3_net_loan_funding | 2027Q3 / upside | 63.25 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash upside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 14.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets upside_2027q3_investment | 2027Q3 / upside | 77.25 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_net_loan_funding, upside_2027q3_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets upside_2027q3_cash_after_funding | 2027Q3 / upside | 141.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_investment). |
| Stride closing switch upside_2027q3_stride_closing | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash upside_2027q3_acquisition_cash | 2027Q3 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, upside_2027q3_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase upside_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q3 / upside | 141.05 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_after_funding, upside_2027q3_acquisition_cash). |
| Purchase volume upside_2027q4_purchase_volume | 2027Q4 / upside | 51,895.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Net payments yield upside_2027q4_payment_yield | 2027Q4 / upside | 1.1% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Payments revenue upside_2027q4_payments | 2027Q4 / upside | 593.85 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_purchase_volume, upside_2027q4_payment_yield). |
| Active-member exposure index upside_2027q4_member_index | 2027Q4 / upside | 115.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform monetization index upside_2027q4_platform_monetization | 2027Q4 / upside | 149.6% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Platform revenue upside_2027q4_platform | 2027Q4 / upside | 412.50 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(q2_platform, upside_2027q4_member_index, upside_2027q4_platform_monetization). |
| Revenue upside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 1,006.35 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_payments, upside_2027q4_platform). |
| Gross margin upside_2027q4_gross_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 89.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Gross profit after processing upside_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 895.65 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_revenue, upside_2027q4_gross_margin). |
| MyPay origination activity upside_2027q4_mypay_originations | 2027Q4 / upside | 7,260.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss rate upside_2027q4_mypay_loss_rate | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.8% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| MyPay loss allowance upside_2027q4_mypay_losses | 2027Q4 / upside | 54.45 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_mypay_originations, upside_2027q4_mypay_loss_rate). |
| Other lending, dispute and risk cost upside_2027q4_other_risk | 2027Q4 / upside | 83.43 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Transaction and risk loss allowance upside_2027q4_risk | 2027Q4 / upside | 137.88 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_mypay_losses, upside_2027q4_other_risk). |
| Transaction profit upside_2027q4_transaction_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 757.77 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_risk). |
| Adjusted product, sales and corporate cost upside_2027q4_adjusted_costs | 2027Q4 / upside | 465.87 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda | 2027Q4 / upside | 291.90 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_transaction_profit, upside_2027q4_adjusted_costs). |
| Total SBC and stock charitable cost upside_2027q4_sbc | 2027Q4 / upside | 92.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Total D&A upside_2027q4_da | 2027Q4 / upside | 13.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash costs excluded from adjusted EBITDA upside_2027q4_cash_adjustments | 2027Q4 / upside | 2.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| SBC D&A and cash excluded costs upside_2027q4_gaap_adjustments | 2027Q4 / upside | 107.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_sbc, upside_2027q4_da, upside_2027q4_cash_adjustments). |
| Operating income proxy upside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / upside | 184.90 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_gaap_adjustments). |
| Cash interest income upside_2027q4_interest_income | 2027Q4 / upside | 5.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Adjusted EBITDA plus cash interest income upside_2027q4_cash_earnings | 2027Q4 / upside | 296.90 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_interest_income). |
| Cash interest and taxes upside_2027q4_cash_interest_tax | 2027Q4 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Product collateral and net operating working-capital use upside_2027q4_wc | 2027Q4 / upside | 40.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Cash adjustments taxes interest and working capital upside_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / upside | 57.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cash_adjustments, upside_2027q4_cash_interest_tax, upside_2027q4_wc). |
| Operating cash flow proxy upside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / upside | 239.90 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_earnings, upside_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Loans purchased less repayments upside_2027q4_net_loan_funding | 2027Q4 / upside | 69.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| PP&E and purchased/internal software cash upside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 15.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption; not company guidance. |
| Loans and assets upside_2027q4_investment | 2027Q4 / upside | 84.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_net_loan_funding, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash after loan funding and assets upside_2027q4_cash_after_funding | 2027Q4 / upside | 155.90 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_investment). |
| Stride closing switch upside_2027q4_stride_closing | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.0% ratio | assumption: Conditional quarter placement; expected H1 2027, downside assumes delay. No acquired operations or synergy booked. |
| Conditional Stride purchase cash upside_2027q4_acquisition_cash | 2027Q4 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: multiply(stride_price, upside_2027q4_stride_closing). |
| Cash after proposed bank purchase upside_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition | 2027Q4 / upside | 155.90 USD_millions | derived: Calculated from the named operating assumptions. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_after_funding, upside_2027q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / upside | 2,882.18 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue). |
| Payments revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_payments | FY2026 / upside | 1,847.07 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_payments, upside_2026q3_payments, upside_2026q4_payments). |
| Platform revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_platform | FY2026 / upside | 1,035.11 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_platform, upside_2026q3_platform, upside_2026q4_platform). |
| Transaction profit proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_transaction_profit | FY2026 / upside | 2,155.97 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_transaction_profit, upside_2026q3_transaction_profit, upside_2026q4_transaction_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_adj_ebitda | FY2026 / upside | 568.58 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2026q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / upside | 246.85 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) upside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / upside | 608.32 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Loan purchases less repayments ($M) upside_fy2026_net_loan_funding | FY2026 / upside | 140.15 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_net_loan_funding, upside_2026q3_net_loan_funding, upside_2026q4_net_loan_funding). |
| PP&E and software cash ($M) upside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / upside | 38.39 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| Cash after loans and capex ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_after_funding | FY2026 / upside | 429.78 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_funding, upside_2026q3_cash_after_funding, upside_2026q4_cash_after_funding). |
| Conditional Stride cash price ($M) upside_fy2026_acquisition_cash | FY2026 / upside | 0.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_acquisition_cash, upside_2026q3_acquisition_cash, upside_2026q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Cash after conditional acquisition ($M) upside_fy2026_cash_after_acquisition | FY2026 / upside | 429.78 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cash_after_acquisition, upside_2026q3_cash_after_acquisition, upside_2026q4_cash_after_acquisition). |
| Revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / upside | 3,705.55 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue). |
| Payments revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_payments | FY2027 / upside | 2,209.55 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_payments, upside_2027q2_payments, upside_2027q3_payments, upside_2027q4_payments). |
| Platform revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_platform | FY2027 / upside | 1,496.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_platform, upside_2027q2_platform, upside_2027q3_platform, upside_2027q4_platform). |
| Transaction profit proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_transaction_profit | FY2027 / upside | 2,784.76 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_transaction_profit, upside_2027q2_transaction_profit, upside_2027q3_transaction_profit, upside_2027q4_transaction_profit). |
| Adjusted EBITDA proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_adj_ebitda | FY2027 / upside | 1,017.02 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q2_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q3_adj_ebitda, upside_2027q4_adj_ebitda). |
| Operating income proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / upside | 619.02 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| Operating cash flow proxy ($M) upside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / upside | 854.02 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Loan purchases less repayments ($M) upside_fy2027_net_loan_funding | FY2027 / upside | 241.50 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_net_loan_funding, upside_2027q2_net_loan_funding, upside_2027q3_net_loan_funding, upside_2027q4_net_loan_funding). |
| PP&E and software cash ($M) upside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / upside | 54.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| Cash after loans and capex ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_after_funding | FY2027 / upside | 558.52 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_funding, upside_2027q2_cash_after_funding, upside_2027q3_cash_after_funding, upside_2027q4_cash_after_funding). |
| Conditional Stride cash price ($M) upside_fy2027_acquisition_cash | FY2027 / upside | 590.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_acquisition_cash, upside_2027q2_acquisition_cash, upside_2027q3_acquisition_cash, upside_2027q4_acquisition_cash). |
| Cash after conditional acquisition ($M) upside_fy2027_cash_after_acquisition | FY2027 / upside | -31.48 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cash_after_acquisition, upside_2027q2_cash_after_acquisition, upside_2027q3_cash_after_acquisition, upside_2027q4_cash_after_acquisition). |
Model boundaries
- September 8 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance supersedes August earnings guidance. Base Q3 revenue $705M, EBITDA $118.5M and FY2026 revenue $2.765B/EBITDA $485M are calibrated to that update.
- Platform revenue and risk-loss decomposition are desk assumptions. Reported ARPAM is annualized and cannot be multiplied by closing members as if all were present for the whole quarter.
- MyPay origination volume is not revenue or owned loan assets. The model separately estimates expected losses; historical noncash product-obligation fair-value adjustments are not treated as recurring new cash earnings.
- CFO excludes loan purchases net of repayments classified in investing. Cash after funding also deducts that loan investment and both purchased and internally developed software.
- Chime remains a fintech using bank partners pending closing. Member deposits at partners and restricted cash are not Chime corporate cash. Stride would require a bank-specific balance-sheet and capital model after completion.
- The $590M Stride acquisition is conditional on regulatory approvals, with H1 2027 expected closing. Quarter placement is a timing sensitivity. No acquired revenue, deposits or $100M-plus expected net synergies are booked as already earned.
- Cash after acquisition excludes discretionary repurchases, principal repayments and new warehouse financing. It is not a forecast parent cash balance or distributable cash.
- No EPS forecast: SBC, buybacks, treasury shares, acquisition accounting and bank capital need a complete ownership bridge.
Member economics and cash before becoming a bank owner
Can Chime grow member profitability while funding lending and the proposed Stride acquisition?
Q2 revenue was $669.8M, including $430.0M payments and $239.7M platform revenue. Transaction profit was $491.6M and adjusted EBITDA $101.6M. Active Members reached 10.4M; purchase volume was $38B and MyPay originations $4.5B with a 0.9% loss rate. H1 CFO $295.0M falls to $223.7M after $53.9M net loan purchases and $17.4M PP&E/software cash, before $222.1M buybacks. September 8 superseding guidance raises Q3 revenue to $705M and FY2026 revenue/EBITDA to $2.76-2.77B/$481-489M. The proposed $590M cash purchase of Stride targets H1 2027 closing; expected net synergies above $100M are not current profit.
The competing explanation
Faster credit growth may increase loss and funding needs before member economics mature. Regulatory delay or additional bank capital requirements could reduce acquisition benefits and cash flexibility.
Risks to track
- Credit, fraud and transaction dispute losses.
- Member acquisition cost and payment yield.
- Bank-partner concentration and network rules.
- Stride regulatory approval, integration and bank capital.
- SBC and buybacks obscure the per-share cash bridge.
Next checkpoints
- Q3 revised guidance · Next results; date unconfirmed (estimated). Use September $705M revenue/$117-120M EBITDA outlook, not superseded August ranges.
- Stride approval and closing · H1 2027 company expectation (estimated). Confirm regulatory approvals, final consideration and required capital before consolidating the bank.
- Lending cash and loss performance · Each quarterly filing (estimated). Track origination versus revenue, credit/dispute losses, net loan purchases and collateral.
Data coverage and open work
- September 8 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance supersedes August earnings guidance. Base Q3 revenue $705M, EBITDA $118.5M and FY2026 revenue $2.765B/EBITDA $485M are calibrated to that update.
- Platform revenue and risk-loss decomposition are desk assumptions. Reported ARPAM is annualized and cannot be multiplied by closing members as if all were present for the whole quarter.
- MyPay origination volume is not revenue or owned loan assets. The model separately estimates expected losses; historical noncash product-obligation fair-value adjustments are not treated as recurring new cash earnings.
- CFO excludes loan purchases net of repayments classified in investing. Cash after funding also deducts that loan investment and both purchased and internally developed software.
- Chime remains a fintech using bank partners pending closing. Member deposits at partners and restricted cash are not Chime corporate cash. Stride would require a bank-specific balance-sheet and capital model after completion.
- The $590M Stride acquisition is conditional on regulatory approvals, with H1 2027 expected closing. Quarter placement is a timing sensitivity. No acquired revenue, deposits or $100M-plus expected net synergies are booked as already earned.
- Cash after acquisition excludes discretionary repurchases, principal repayments and new warehouse financing. It is not a forecast parent cash balance or distributable cash.
- No EPS forecast: SBC, buybacks, treasury shares, acquisition accounting and bank capital need a complete ownership bridge.
What the memory says
State as of the 2026-09-25 close: in a 120-day uptrend, above its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, quiet volume, closed weak, and peers quiet
| Vs the market, in points | Low | Middle | High | Share up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | -2.1 | +0.0 | +2.1 | 51% |
| 5 sessions | -5.5 | +0.3 | +5.7 | 53% |
| 10 sessions | -7.2 | +0.4 | +10.0 | 54% |
| 1 month (21 sessions) | -12.9 | +0.6 | +15.3 | 52% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -23.7 | -0.7 | +31.5 | 49% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -30.3 | +1.0 | +35.2 | 54% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -44.3 | +2.6 | +55.7 | 54% |
Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side. In the D7 test (403 anchors, 2023-2025) the 1-month band held 76% of outcomes, 3-month 77%, 6-month 76%, 1-year 75%, against a nominal 80%; the analog pool under-represents names that later delisted.