ALPHAFORGE RESEARCH · COMPANY FILE · AI INFRASTRUCTURE & POWER

$BE

Bloom Energy Corp · NYSE · SIC 3620 · CIK 1664703 · revision 4 as of 2026-09-19

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Business

Bloom Energy sells on-site power systems using solid-oxide fuel cells, installs them and provides long-term service. Product shipments and acceptance drive most revenue; installation, service and electricity contribute different margins. Data-center demand expands the addressable market, but factory capacity, customer concentration, warranty performance and contract cash timing determine how much revenue becomes durable cash.

Three drivers

  1. Power-system deliveries and customer acceptance
  2. Product warranty costs and service profitability
  3. Manufacturing investment and net customer deposits

Thesis

Our view

Q2 showed a material increase in product revenue and operating profit. The research question is how much of that growth persists after delivery timing, warranty provisions and customer funding normalize. H1 CFO of $300.0M included $301.2M from net deferred revenue and customer deposits. That funding can be valuable, but it does not independently establish recurring cash generation. Product and service margins, GAAP expenses and deposit cash flows remain separate in the model.

What changes it

Track delivery timing against the $3.9B-$4.2B revenue range, product and service gross profit, warranty reserve usage and cash before net customer funding. Lower deposits without matching underlying cash conversion would weaken the funding picture.

Scenario ranges

Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.

Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)

Fiscal quarter2024Q3
2024-09-30
2024Q4
2024-12-31
2025Q1
2025-03-31
2025Q2
2025-06-30
2025Q3
2025-09-30
2025Q4
2025-12-31
2026Q1
2026-03-31
2026Q2
2026-06-30
Revenue ($M)330.41572.4†2326.03401.24519.01777.7†2751.131,065.45
Gross profit ($M)78.76219.3†788.78107.19151.76239.9†7225.58355.610
Operating income ($M)-9.711104.7†12-19.113-3.5147.81187.5†1272.213182.215
Net income ($M)198.916
EPS, diluted ($)-60.0017-0.1018-0.1819-100.00170.23180.6220
Diluted shares (M)228.021230.222232.523234.921319.722323.324
Cash ($M)495.725802.926794.827574.828595.1292,454.1302,491.4302,666.931
Long-term debt ($M)1,013.3321,014.4331,016.2341,129.2351,130.9362,613.7372,598.7372,470.738
Cash from operations ($M)-69.5†39484.2†40-110.741-213.1†4219.7†39418.1†4073.641226.443
Capex ($M)14.3†4411.1†4514.3467.2†4712.3†4423.0†4526.24651.648
Free cash flow ($M)-83.8†49473.1†50-124.9†51-220.4†527.4†49395.1†5047.4†51174.8†53

† derived (Q4 = fiscal year minus the first three quarters; year-to-date cash flows differenced; FCF = CFO − capex). Superscripts are the provenance notes below.

Estimates · base scenario

PeriodRevenue ($M)EPS ($)As ofBasis
2026Q31,027.42026-09-19Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance.
2026Q41,206.12026-09-19Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q11,324.32026-09-19Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance.
2027Q21,444.72026-09-19Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance.

Product delivery, service margins and customer deposits

Operating scenarios · reviewed 2026-09-19 · USD millions unless labeled otherwise · our assumptions, not consensus

Anchor FY2026 revenue to the midpoint of the company range and vary delivery. Allocate remaining H2 revenue across product, installation, service and electricity; each has its own GAAP gross margin. FY2027 extends the H2 segment run rate with separate product and service growth assumptions. GAAP operating expense, noncash addbacks, cash taxes/interest and working capital bridge operating income to cash before net customer funding. Add deposits/deferred-revenue movements only to cash flow. FY2026 includes reported H1.

Reported anchors and guidance

MeasurePeriodValueBasis
Revenue guidance midpointFY20264,050.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
Non-GAAP operating income guidance midpointFY2026850.00derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast.
June unrestricted cash2026Q22,666.86reported. Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Source · 2026-07-28
June long-term recourse debt2026Q22,470.70reported. Long-term recourse debt excludes current debt and finance obligations. Source · 2026-07-28
H1 CFO before net customer fundingH1 2026-1.19derived. Removes net deposits and deferred-revenue funding, not all customer receipts.
Q2 CFO before customer funding2026Q214.74derived. Quarterly cash before the net deferred-revenue and customer-deposit contribution.
Specific assurance warranty reserve2026Q258.30reported. Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Source · 2026-07-28
H1 related-party revenueH1 2026376.08reported. Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Source · 2026-07-28

Downside scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow ($M)CFO less capex ($M)Cash capex ($M)Revenue ($M)GAAP gross profit ($M)Net customer funding ($M)GAAP operating income ($M)CFO before net customer funding ($M)
2026Q326.57-48.4375.00841.15242.5050.0057.50-23.43
2026Q4-31.81-121.8190.00987.43284.68-25.0092.68-6.81
2027Q1-32.15-132.15100.00889.46255.580.0056.58-32.15
2027Q2-26.62-126.62100.00970.32278.820.0072.82-26.62
FY2026294.7951.97242.823,645.001,108.30326.23404.61-31.44
FY2027-45.43-465.43420.004,042.991,161.7350.00323.73-95.43

Base scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow ($M)CFO less capex ($M)Cash capex ($M)Revenue ($M)GAAP gross profit ($M)Net customer funding ($M)GAAP operating income ($M)CFO before net customer funding ($M)
2026Q3193.78128.7865.001,027.45348.25100.00163.2593.78
2026Q4230.27150.2780.001,206.13408.82100.00216.82130.27
2027Q1202.12127.1275.001,324.29449.3150.00250.31152.12
2027Q2224.14149.1475.001,444.68490.1650.00284.16174.14
FY2026724.09501.27222.824,050.001,338.19501.23634.50222.86
FY2027990.56660.56330.006,019.502,042.32250.001,204.32740.56

Upside scenario

PeriodOperating cash flow ($M)CFO less capex ($M)Cash capex ($M)Revenue ($M)GAAP gross profit ($M)Net customer funding ($M)GAAP operating income ($M)CFO before net customer funding ($M)
2026Q3323.08263.0860.001,139.23422.82150.00232.82173.08
2026Q4373.74298.7475.001,337.35496.36150.00298.36223.74
2027Q1435.87365.8770.001,730.16644.98100.00438.98335.87
2027Q2474.49404.4970.001,887.45703.61100.00489.61374.49
FY2026996.86784.04212.824,293.001,500.30601.23785.61395.63
FY20272,025.221,725.22300.007,864.382,931.73450.002,059.731,575.22
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
Input / calculationPeriod / caseValue / unitEvidence or assumption
H1 revenue
h1_revenue
H1 2026 / shared1,816.42
USD_millions
reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28
H1 GAAP gross profit
h1_gross_profit
H1 2026 / shared581.12
USD_millions
reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28
H1 GAAP operating income
h1_operating_income
H1 2026 / shared254.43
USD_millions
reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28
H1 net deferred revenue and customer deposits
h1_customer_funding
H1 2026 / shared301.23
USD_millions
reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28
H1 GAAP operating cash flow
h1_cfo
H1 2026 / shared300.04
USD_millions
reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28
H1 cash PP&E purchases
h1_capex
H1 2026 / shared77.82
USD_millions
reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28
H1 depreciation and amortization
h1_da
H1 2026 / shared27.02
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28
H1 stock-based compensation
h1_sbc
H1 2026 / shared100.43
USD_millions
reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28
H1 depreciation and stock compensation
h1_noncash
H1 2026 / shared127.46
USD_millions
derived: Two separately reported noncash expense lines. Formula: sum(h1_da, h1_sbc).
H1 CFO before net customer funding
h1_cfo_before_customer_funding
H1 2026 / shared-1.19
USD_millions
derived: Removes net deposits and deferred-revenue funding, not all customer receipts. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_customer_funding).
H1 CFO less capex
h1_fcf
H1 2026 / shared222.22
USD_millions
derived: Cash flow from operations less purchases of PP&E. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_capex).
June unrestricted cash
cash
2026Q2 / shared2,666.86
USD_millions
reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28
June restricted cash
restricted
2026Q2 / shared21.65
USD_millions
reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28
June long-term recourse debt
debt_long
2026Q2 / shared2,470.70
USD_millions
reported: Long-term recourse debt excludes current debt and finance obligations. Primary source · 2026-07-28
Q2 net customer funding
q2_customer_funding
2026Q2 / shared211.69
USD_millions
reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28
Q2 GAAP CFO
q2_cfo
2026Q2 / shared226.43
USD_millions
reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28
Specific assurance warranty reserve
warranty
2026Q2 / shared58.30
USD_millions
reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28
H1 related-party revenue
related_h1
H1 2026 / shared376.08
USD_millions
reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28
Q2 related-party revenue
related_q2
2026Q2 / shared2.82
USD_millions
reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28
Q2 CFO before customer funding
q2_cfo_ex_funding
2026Q2 / shared14.74
USD_millions
derived: Quarterly cash before the net deferred-revenue and customer-deposit contribution. Formula: subtract(q2_cfo, q2_customer_funding).
Revenue guidance low
revenue_guide_low
FY2026 / shared3,900.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-28
Revenue guidance high
revenue_guide_high
FY2026 / shared4,200.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-28
Midpoint divisor
two
Model / shared200.0%
ratio
assumption: Arithmetic constant.
Revenue guidance endpoint sum
revenue_guide_sum
FY2026 / shared8,100.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(revenue_guide_low, revenue_guide_high).
Revenue guidance midpoint
revenue_guide
FY2026 / shared4,050.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(revenue_guide_sum, two).
Non-GAAP operating income guidance low
non_gaap_op_guide_low
FY2026 / shared800.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-28
Non-GAAP operating income guidance high
non_gaap_op_guide_high
FY2026 / shared900.00
USD_millions
management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-28
Non-GAAP operating income guidance endpoint sum
non_gaap_op_guide_sum
FY2026 / shared1,700.00
USD_millions
derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(non_gaap_op_guide_low, non_gaap_op_guide_high).
Non-GAAP operating income guidance midpoint
non_gaap_op_guide
FY2026 / shared850.00
USD_millions
derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(non_gaap_op_guide_sum, two).
Non-GAAP gross margin guidance
non_gaap_gm_guide
FY2026 / shared34.0%
ratio
management guidance: Company approximately 34% adjusted gross margin; not a GAAP margin forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-28
H2 to full-year multiplier
two_runrate
Model / shared200.0%
ratio
assumption: Two half-years; annualizes modeled H2, not a company forecast.
FY2026 revenue versus guidance midpoint
downside_delivery
FY2026 / downside90.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk delivery sensitivity; downside and upside can lie outside the company range.
FY2026 revenue scenario
downside_annual_revenue_reference
FY2026 / downside3,645.00
USD_millions
derived: Company guidance midpoint times desk realization. Formula: multiply(revenue_guide, downside_delivery).
H2 revenue scenario
downside_h2_revenue
H2 2026 / downside1,828.58
USD_millions
derived: Full-year scenario less reported H1. Formula: subtract(downside_annual_revenue_reference, h1_revenue).
H2 product revenue mix
downside_product_mix
H2 2026 / downside88.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
product revenue
downside_h2_product
H2 2026 / downside1,609.15
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_revenue, downside_product_mix).
product annualized H2 run rate
downside_product_runrate
FY2027 / downside3,218.30
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_product, two_runrate).
product growth versus annualized H2
downside_product_growth
FY2027 / downside110.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
product annual revenue scenario
downside_fy27_product
FY2027 / downside3,540.13
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(downside_product_runrate, downside_product_growth).
H2 installation revenue mix
downside_installation_mix
H2 2026 / downside4.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
installation revenue
downside_h2_installation
H2 2026 / downside82.29
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_revenue, downside_installation_mix).
installation annualized H2 run rate
downside_installation_runrate
FY2027 / downside164.57
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_installation, two_runrate).
installation growth versus annualized H2
downside_installation_growth
FY2027 / downside110.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
installation annual revenue scenario
downside_fy27_installation
FY2027 / downside181.03
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(downside_installation_runrate, downside_installation_growth).
H2 service revenue mix
downside_service_mix
H2 2026 / downside6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
service revenue
downside_h2_service
H2 2026 / downside118.86
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_revenue, downside_service_mix).
service annualized H2 run rate
downside_service_runrate
FY2027 / downside237.72
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_service, two_runrate).
service growth versus annualized H2
downside_service_growth
FY2027 / downside120.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
service annual revenue scenario
downside_fy27_service
FY2027 / downside285.26
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(downside_service_runrate, downside_service_growth).
H2 electricity revenue mix
downside_electricity_mix
H2 2026 / downside1.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
electricity revenue
downside_h2_electricity
H2 2026 / downside18.29
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_revenue, downside_electricity_mix).
electricity annualized H2 run rate
downside_electricity_runrate
FY2027 / downside36.57
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_electricity, two_runrate).
electricity growth versus annualized H2
downside_electricity_growth
FY2027 / downside100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
electricity annual revenue scenario
downside_fy27_electricity
FY2027 / downside36.57
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(downside_electricity_runrate, downside_electricity_growth).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
downside_2026q3_weight
2026Q3 / downside46.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
downside_2026q3_product_revenue
2026Q3 / downside740.21
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_product, downside_2026q3_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
downside_2026q3_product_margin
2026Q3 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
downside_2026q3_product_gross_profit
2026Q3 / downside236.87
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_product_revenue, downside_2026q3_product_margin).
installation revenue
downside_2026q3_installation_revenue
2026Q3 / downside37.85
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_installation, downside_2026q3_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
downside_2026q3_installation_margin
2026Q3 / downside-8.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
downside_2026q3_installation_gross_profit
2026Q3 / downside-3.03
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_installation_revenue, downside_2026q3_installation_margin).
service revenue
downside_2026q3_service_revenue
2026Q3 / downside54.67
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_service, downside_2026q3_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
downside_2026q3_service_margin
2026Q3 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
downside_2026q3_service_gross_profit
2026Q3 / downside6.56
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_service_revenue, downside_2026q3_service_margin).
electricity revenue
downside_2026q3_electricity_revenue
2026Q3 / downside8.41
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_electricity, downside_2026q3_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
downside_2026q3_electricity_margin
2026Q3 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
downside_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit
2026Q3 / downside2.10
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_electricity_revenue, downside_2026q3_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
downside_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / downside841.15
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_product_revenue, downside_2026q3_installation_revenue, downside_2026q3_service_revenue, downside_2026q3_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
downside_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / downside242.50
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_product_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_installation_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_service_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
downside_2026q3_opex
2026Q3 / downside185.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
downside_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / downside57.50
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
downside_2026q3_noncash
2026Q3 / downside65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2026q3_wc_ratio
2026Q3 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
downside_2026q3_other_wc
2026Q3 / downside100.94
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q3_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
downside_2026q3_other
2026Q3 / downside45.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
downside_2026q3_cash_uses
2026Q3 / downside145.94
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_other_wc, downside_2026q3_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
downside_2026q3_cash_start
2026Q3 / downside122.50
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q3_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
downside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding
2026Q3 / downside-23.43
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cash_start, downside_2026q3_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
downside_2026q3_customer_funding
2026Q3 / downside50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
downside_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / downside26.57
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2026q3_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
downside_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / downside75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
downside_2026q3_fcf
2026Q3 / downside-48.43
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
downside_2026q4_weight
2026Q4 / downside54.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
downside_2026q4_product_revenue
2026Q4 / downside868.94
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_product, downside_2026q4_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
downside_2026q4_product_margin
2026Q4 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
downside_2026q4_product_gross_profit
2026Q4 / downside278.06
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_product_revenue, downside_2026q4_product_margin).
installation revenue
downside_2026q4_installation_revenue
2026Q4 / downside44.43
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_installation, downside_2026q4_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
downside_2026q4_installation_margin
2026Q4 / downside-8.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
downside_2026q4_installation_gross_profit
2026Q4 / downside-3.55
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_installation_revenue, downside_2026q4_installation_margin).
service revenue
downside_2026q4_service_revenue
2026Q4 / downside64.18
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_service, downside_2026q4_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
downside_2026q4_service_margin
2026Q4 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
downside_2026q4_service_gross_profit
2026Q4 / downside7.70
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_service_revenue, downside_2026q4_service_margin).
electricity revenue
downside_2026q4_electricity_revenue
2026Q4 / downside9.87
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_electricity, downside_2026q4_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
downside_2026q4_electricity_margin
2026Q4 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
downside_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit
2026Q4 / downside2.47
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_electricity_revenue, downside_2026q4_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
downside_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / downside987.43
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_product_revenue, downside_2026q4_installation_revenue, downside_2026q4_service_revenue, downside_2026q4_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
downside_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / downside284.68
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_product_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_installation_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_service_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
downside_2026q4_opex
2026Q4 / downside192.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
downside_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / downside92.68
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
downside_2026q4_noncash
2026Q4 / downside67.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2026q4_wc_ratio
2026Q4 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
downside_2026q4_other_wc
2026Q4 / downside118.49
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_revenue, downside_2026q4_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
downside_2026q4_other
2026Q4 / downside48.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
downside_2026q4_cash_uses
2026Q4 / downside166.49
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_other_wc, downside_2026q4_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
downside_2026q4_cash_start
2026Q4 / downside159.68
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_operating_income, downside_2026q4_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
downside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding
2026Q4 / downside-6.81
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cash_start, downside_2026q4_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
downside_2026q4_customer_funding
2026Q4 / downside-25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
downside_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / downside-31.81
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2026q4_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
downside_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / downside90.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
downside_2026q4_fcf
2026Q4 / downside-121.81
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
downside_2027q1_weight
2027Q1 / downside22.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
downside_2027q1_product_revenue
2027Q1 / downside778.83
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_product, downside_2027q1_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q1_product_margin
2027Q1 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q1_product_gross_profit
2027Q1 / downside249.23
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_product_revenue, downside_2027q1_product_margin).
installation revenue
downside_2027q1_installation_revenue
2027Q1 / downside39.83
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_installation, downside_2027q1_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q1_installation_margin
2027Q1 / downside-8.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q1_installation_gross_profit
2027Q1 / downside-3.19
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_installation_revenue, downside_2027q1_installation_margin).
service revenue
downside_2027q1_service_revenue
2027Q1 / downside62.76
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_service, downside_2027q1_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q1_service_margin
2027Q1 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q1_service_gross_profit
2027Q1 / downside7.53
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_service_revenue, downside_2027q1_service_margin).
electricity revenue
downside_2027q1_electricity_revenue
2027Q1 / downside8.05
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_electricity, downside_2027q1_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q1_electricity_margin
2027Q1 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q1 / downside2.01
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_electricity_revenue, downside_2027q1_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
downside_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / downside889.46
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_product_revenue, downside_2027q1_installation_revenue, downside_2027q1_service_revenue, downside_2027q1_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / downside255.58
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_product_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_installation_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_service_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
downside_2027q1_opex
2027Q1 / downside199.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
downside_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / downside56.58
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
downside_2027q1_noncash
2027Q1 / downside69.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2027q1_wc_ratio
2027Q1 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
downside_2027q1_other_wc
2027Q1 / downside106.74
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q1_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
downside_2027q1_other
2027Q1 / downside51.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
downside_2027q1_cash_uses
2027Q1 / downside157.74
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_other_wc, downside_2027q1_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
downside_2027q1_cash_start
2027Q1 / downside125.58
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q1_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
downside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q1 / downside-32.15
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_start, downside_2027q1_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
downside_2027q1_customer_funding
2027Q1 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
downside_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / downside-32.15
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q1_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
downside_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / downside100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
downside_2027q1_fcf
2027Q1 / downside-132.15
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
downside_2027q2_weight
2027Q2 / downside24.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
downside_2027q2_product_revenue
2027Q2 / downside849.63
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_product, downside_2027q2_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q2_product_margin
2027Q2 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q2_product_gross_profit
2027Q2 / downside271.88
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_product_revenue, downside_2027q2_product_margin).
installation revenue
downside_2027q2_installation_revenue
2027Q2 / downside43.45
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_installation, downside_2027q2_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q2_installation_margin
2027Q2 / downside-8.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q2_installation_gross_profit
2027Q2 / downside-3.48
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_installation_revenue, downside_2027q2_installation_margin).
service revenue
downside_2027q2_service_revenue
2027Q2 / downside68.46
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_service, downside_2027q2_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q2_service_margin
2027Q2 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q2_service_gross_profit
2027Q2 / downside8.22
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_service_revenue, downside_2027q2_service_margin).
electricity revenue
downside_2027q2_electricity_revenue
2027Q2 / downside8.78
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_electricity, downside_2027q2_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q2_electricity_margin
2027Q2 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q2 / downside2.19
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_electricity_revenue, downside_2027q2_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
downside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / downside970.32
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_product_revenue, downside_2027q2_installation_revenue, downside_2027q2_service_revenue, downside_2027q2_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / downside278.82
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_product_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_installation_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_service_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
downside_2027q2_opex
2027Q2 / downside206.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
downside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / downside72.82
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
downside_2027q2_noncash
2027Q2 / downside71.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2027q2_wc_ratio
2027Q2 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
downside_2027q2_other_wc
2027Q2 / downside116.44
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
downside_2027q2_other
2027Q2 / downside54.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
downside_2027q2_cash_uses
2027Q2 / downside170.44
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_other_wc, downside_2027q2_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
downside_2027q2_cash_start
2027Q2 / downside143.82
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q2_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
downside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q2 / downside-26.62
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_start, downside_2027q2_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
downside_2027q2_customer_funding
2027Q2 / downside0.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
downside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / downside-26.62
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q2_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
downside_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / downside100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
downside_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / downside-126.62
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
downside_2027q3_weight
2027Q3 / downside26.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
downside_2027q3_product_revenue
2027Q3 / downside920.43
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_product, downside_2027q3_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q3_product_margin
2027Q3 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q3_product_gross_profit
2027Q3 / downside294.54
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_product_revenue, downside_2027q3_product_margin).
installation revenue
downside_2027q3_installation_revenue
2027Q3 / downside47.07
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_installation, downside_2027q3_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q3_installation_margin
2027Q3 / downside-8.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q3_installation_gross_profit
2027Q3 / downside-3.77
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_installation_revenue, downside_2027q3_installation_margin).
service revenue
downside_2027q3_service_revenue
2027Q3 / downside74.17
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_service, downside_2027q3_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q3_service_margin
2027Q3 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q3_service_gross_profit
2027Q3 / downside8.90
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_service_revenue, downside_2027q3_service_margin).
electricity revenue
downside_2027q3_electricity_revenue
2027Q3 / downside9.51
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_electricity, downside_2027q3_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q3_electricity_margin
2027Q3 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q3 / downside2.38
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_electricity_revenue, downside_2027q3_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
downside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / downside1,051.18
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_product_revenue, downside_2027q3_installation_revenue, downside_2027q3_service_revenue, downside_2027q3_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / downside302.05
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_product_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_installation_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_service_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
downside_2027q3_opex
2027Q3 / downside213.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
downside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / downside89.05
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
downside_2027q3_noncash
2027Q3 / downside73.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2027q3_wc_ratio
2027Q3 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
downside_2027q3_other_wc
2027Q3 / downside126.14
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q3_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
downside_2027q3_other
2027Q3 / downside57.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
downside_2027q3_cash_uses
2027Q3 / downside183.14
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_other_wc, downside_2027q3_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
downside_2027q3_cash_start
2027Q3 / downside162.05
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q3_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
downside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q3 / downside-21.09
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_start, downside_2027q3_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
downside_2027q3_customer_funding
2027Q3 / downside25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
downside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / downside3.91
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q3_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
downside_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / downside110.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
downside_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / downside-106.09
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
downside_2027q4_weight
2027Q4 / downside28.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
downside_2027q4_product_revenue
2027Q4 / downside991.24
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_product, downside_2027q4_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q4_product_margin
2027Q4 / downside32.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q4_product_gross_profit
2027Q4 / downside317.20
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_product_revenue, downside_2027q4_product_margin).
installation revenue
downside_2027q4_installation_revenue
2027Q4 / downside50.69
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_installation, downside_2027q4_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q4_installation_margin
2027Q4 / downside-8.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q4_installation_gross_profit
2027Q4 / downside-4.06
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_installation_revenue, downside_2027q4_installation_margin).
service revenue
downside_2027q4_service_revenue
2027Q4 / downside79.87
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_service, downside_2027q4_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q4_service_margin
2027Q4 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q4_service_gross_profit
2027Q4 / downside9.58
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_service_revenue, downside_2027q4_service_margin).
electricity revenue
downside_2027q4_electricity_revenue
2027Q4 / downside10.24
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_electricity, downside_2027q4_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
downside_2027q4_electricity_margin
2027Q4 / downside25.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q4 / downside2.56
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_electricity_revenue, downside_2027q4_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
downside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / downside1,132.04
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_product_revenue, downside_2027q4_installation_revenue, downside_2027q4_service_revenue, downside_2027q4_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
downside_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / downside325.29
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_product_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_installation_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_service_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
downside_2027q4_opex
2027Q4 / downside220.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
downside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / downside105.29
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
downside_2027q4_noncash
2027Q4 / downside75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
downside_2027q4_wc_ratio
2027Q4 / downside12.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
downside_2027q4_other_wc
2027Q4 / downside135.84
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_revenue, downside_2027q4_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
downside_2027q4_other
2027Q4 / downside60.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
downside_2027q4_cash_uses
2027Q4 / downside195.84
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_other_wc, downside_2027q4_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
downside_2027q4_cash_start
2027Q4 / downside180.29
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_operating_income, downside_2027q4_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
downside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q4 / downside-15.56
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_start, downside_2027q4_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
downside_2027q4_customer_funding
2027Q4 / downside25.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
downside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / downside9.44
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q4_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
downside_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / downside110.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
downside_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / downside-100.56
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capex).
Revenue ($M)
downside_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / downside3,645.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue).
GAAP gross profit ($M)
downside_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / downside1,108.30
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_gross_profit).
GAAP operating income ($M)
downside_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / downside404.61
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income).
CFO before net customer funding ($M)
downside_fy2026_cfo_before_customer_funding
FY2026 / downside-31.44
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding).
Net customer funding ($M)
downside_fy2026_customer_funding
FY2026 / downside326.23
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_customer_funding, downside_2026q3_customer_funding, downside_2026q4_customer_funding).
Operating cash flow ($M)
downside_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / downside294.79
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo).
Cash capex ($M)
downside_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / downside242.82
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex).
CFO less capex ($M)
downside_fy2026_fcf
FY2026 / downside51.97
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q4_fcf).
Revenue ($M)
downside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / downside4,042.99
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue).
GAAP gross profit ($M)
downside_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / downside1,161.73
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_gross_profit).
GAAP operating income ($M)
downside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / downside323.73
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income).
CFO before net customer funding ($M)
downside_fy2027_cfo_before_customer_funding
FY2027 / downside-95.43
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding).
Net customer funding ($M)
downside_fy2027_customer_funding
FY2027 / downside50.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_customer_funding, downside_2027q2_customer_funding, downside_2027q3_customer_funding, downside_2027q4_customer_funding).
Operating cash flow ($M)
downside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / downside-45.43
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo).
Cash capex ($M)
downside_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / downside420.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex).
CFO less capex ($M)
downside_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / downside-465.43
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q4_fcf).
FY2026 revenue versus guidance midpoint
base_delivery
FY2026 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk delivery sensitivity; downside and upside can lie outside the company range.
FY2026 revenue scenario
base_annual_revenue_reference
FY2026 / base4,050.00
USD_millions
derived: Company guidance midpoint times desk realization. Formula: multiply(revenue_guide, base_delivery).
H2 revenue scenario
base_h2_revenue
H2 2026 / base2,233.58
USD_millions
derived: Full-year scenario less reported H1. Formula: subtract(base_annual_revenue_reference, h1_revenue).
H2 product revenue mix
base_product_mix
H2 2026 / base88.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
product revenue
base_h2_product
H2 2026 / base1,965.55
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(base_h2_revenue, base_product_mix).
product annualized H2 run rate
base_product_runrate
FY2027 / base3,931.10
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(base_h2_product, two_runrate).
product growth versus annualized H2
base_product_growth
FY2027 / base135.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
product annual revenue scenario
base_fy27_product
FY2027 / base5,306.99
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(base_product_runrate, base_product_growth).
H2 installation revenue mix
base_installation_mix
H2 2026 / base4.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
installation revenue
base_h2_installation
H2 2026 / base100.51
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(base_h2_revenue, base_installation_mix).
installation annualized H2 run rate
base_installation_runrate
FY2027 / base201.02
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(base_h2_installation, two_runrate).
installation growth versus annualized H2
base_installation_growth
FY2027 / base130.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
installation annual revenue scenario
base_fy27_installation
FY2027 / base261.33
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(base_installation_runrate, base_installation_growth).
H2 service revenue mix
base_service_mix
H2 2026 / base6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
service revenue
base_h2_service
H2 2026 / base145.18
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(base_h2_revenue, base_service_mix).
service annualized H2 run rate
base_service_runrate
FY2027 / base290.37
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(base_h2_service, two_runrate).
service growth versus annualized H2
base_service_growth
FY2027 / base140.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
service annual revenue scenario
base_fy27_service
FY2027 / base406.51
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(base_service_runrate, base_service_growth).
H2 electricity revenue mix
base_electricity_mix
H2 2026 / base1.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
electricity revenue
base_h2_electricity
H2 2026 / base22.34
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(base_h2_revenue, base_electricity_mix).
electricity annualized H2 run rate
base_electricity_runrate
FY2027 / base44.67
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(base_h2_electricity, two_runrate).
electricity growth versus annualized H2
base_electricity_growth
FY2027 / base100.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
electricity annual revenue scenario
base_fy27_electricity
FY2027 / base44.67
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(base_electricity_runrate, base_electricity_growth).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
base_2026q3_weight
2026Q3 / base46.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
base_2026q3_product_revenue
2026Q3 / base904.15
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_product, base_2026q3_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
base_2026q3_product_margin
2026Q3 / base37.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
base_2026q3_product_gross_profit
2026Q3 / base334.54
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_product_revenue, base_2026q3_product_margin).
installation revenue
base_2026q3_installation_revenue
2026Q3 / base46.24
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_installation, base_2026q3_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
base_2026q3_installation_margin
2026Q3 / base-3.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
base_2026q3_installation_gross_profit
2026Q3 / base-1.39
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_installation_revenue, base_2026q3_installation_margin).
service revenue
base_2026q3_service_revenue
2026Q3 / base66.78
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_service, base_2026q3_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
base_2026q3_service_margin
2026Q3 / base18.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
base_2026q3_service_gross_profit
2026Q3 / base12.02
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_service_revenue, base_2026q3_service_margin).
electricity revenue
base_2026q3_electricity_revenue
2026Q3 / base10.27
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_electricity, base_2026q3_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
base_2026q3_electricity_margin
2026Q3 / base30.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
base_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit
2026Q3 / base3.08
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_electricity_revenue, base_2026q3_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
base_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / base1,027.45
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_product_revenue, base_2026q3_installation_revenue, base_2026q3_service_revenue, base_2026q3_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
base_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / base348.25
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_product_gross_profit, base_2026q3_installation_gross_profit, base_2026q3_service_gross_profit, base_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
base_2026q3_opex
2026Q3 / base185.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
base_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / base163.25
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q3_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
base_2026q3_noncash
2026Q3 / base68.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2026q3_wc_ratio
2026Q3 / base9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
base_2026q3_other_wc
2026Q3 / base92.47
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q3_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
base_2026q3_other
2026Q3 / base45.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
base_2026q3_cash_uses
2026Q3 / base137.47
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_other_wc, base_2026q3_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
base_2026q3_cash_start
2026Q3 / base231.25
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q3_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
base_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding
2026Q3 / base93.78
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cash_start, base_2026q3_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
base_2026q3_customer_funding
2026Q3 / base100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
base_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / base193.78
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2026q3_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
base_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / base65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
base_2026q3_fcf
2026Q3 / base128.78
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
base_2026q4_weight
2026Q4 / base54.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
base_2026q4_product_revenue
2026Q4 / base1,061.40
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_product, base_2026q4_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
base_2026q4_product_margin
2026Q4 / base37.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
base_2026q4_product_gross_profit
2026Q4 / base392.72
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_product_revenue, base_2026q4_product_margin).
installation revenue
base_2026q4_installation_revenue
2026Q4 / base54.28
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_installation, base_2026q4_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
base_2026q4_installation_margin
2026Q4 / base-3.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
base_2026q4_installation_gross_profit
2026Q4 / base-1.63
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_installation_revenue, base_2026q4_installation_margin).
service revenue
base_2026q4_service_revenue
2026Q4 / base78.40
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_service, base_2026q4_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
base_2026q4_service_margin
2026Q4 / base18.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
base_2026q4_service_gross_profit
2026Q4 / base14.11
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_service_revenue, base_2026q4_service_margin).
electricity revenue
base_2026q4_electricity_revenue
2026Q4 / base12.06
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_electricity, base_2026q4_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
base_2026q4_electricity_margin
2026Q4 / base30.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
base_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit
2026Q4 / base3.62
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_electricity_revenue, base_2026q4_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
base_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / base1,206.13
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_product_revenue, base_2026q4_installation_revenue, base_2026q4_service_revenue, base_2026q4_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
base_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / base408.82
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_product_gross_profit, base_2026q4_installation_gross_profit, base_2026q4_service_gross_profit, base_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
base_2026q4_opex
2026Q4 / base192.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
base_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / base216.82
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_gross_profit, base_2026q4_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
base_2026q4_noncash
2026Q4 / base70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2026q4_wc_ratio
2026Q4 / base9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
base_2026q4_other_wc
2026Q4 / base108.55
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_revenue, base_2026q4_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
base_2026q4_other
2026Q4 / base48.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
base_2026q4_cash_uses
2026Q4 / base156.55
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_other_wc, base_2026q4_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
base_2026q4_cash_start
2026Q4 / base286.82
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_operating_income, base_2026q4_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
base_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding
2026Q4 / base130.27
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cash_start, base_2026q4_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
base_2026q4_customer_funding
2026Q4 / base100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
base_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / base230.27
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2026q4_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
base_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / base80.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
base_2026q4_fcf
2026Q4 / base150.27
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
base_2027q1_weight
2027Q1 / base22.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
base_2027q1_product_revenue
2027Q1 / base1,167.54
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_product, base_2027q1_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
base_2027q1_product_margin
2027Q1 / base37.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
base_2027q1_product_gross_profit
2027Q1 / base431.99
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_product_revenue, base_2027q1_product_margin).
installation revenue
base_2027q1_installation_revenue
2027Q1 / base57.49
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_installation, base_2027q1_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
base_2027q1_installation_margin
2027Q1 / base-3.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
base_2027q1_installation_gross_profit
2027Q1 / base-1.72
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_installation_revenue, base_2027q1_installation_margin).
service revenue
base_2027q1_service_revenue
2027Q1 / base89.43
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_service, base_2027q1_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
base_2027q1_service_margin
2027Q1 / base18.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
base_2027q1_service_gross_profit
2027Q1 / base16.10
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_service_revenue, base_2027q1_service_margin).
electricity revenue
base_2027q1_electricity_revenue
2027Q1 / base9.83
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_electricity, base_2027q1_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
base_2027q1_electricity_margin
2027Q1 / base30.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
base_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q1 / base2.95
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_electricity_revenue, base_2027q1_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
base_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / base1,324.29
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_product_revenue, base_2027q1_installation_revenue, base_2027q1_service_revenue, base_2027q1_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
base_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / base449.31
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_product_gross_profit, base_2027q1_installation_gross_profit, base_2027q1_service_gross_profit, base_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
base_2027q1_opex
2027Q1 / base199.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
base_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / base250.31
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q1_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
base_2027q1_noncash
2027Q1 / base72.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2027q1_wc_ratio
2027Q1 / base9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
base_2027q1_other_wc
2027Q1 / base119.19
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q1_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
base_2027q1_other
2027Q1 / base51.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
base_2027q1_cash_uses
2027Q1 / base170.19
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_other_wc, base_2027q1_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
base_2027q1_cash_start
2027Q1 / base322.31
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q1_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
base_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q1 / base152.12
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_start, base_2027q1_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
base_2027q1_customer_funding
2027Q1 / base50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
base_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / base202.12
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q1_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
base_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / base75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
base_2027q1_fcf
2027Q1 / base127.12
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
base_2027q2_weight
2027Q2 / base24.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
base_2027q2_product_revenue
2027Q2 / base1,273.68
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_product, base_2027q2_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
base_2027q2_product_margin
2027Q2 / base37.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
base_2027q2_product_gross_profit
2027Q2 / base471.26
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_product_revenue, base_2027q2_product_margin).
installation revenue
base_2027q2_installation_revenue
2027Q2 / base62.72
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_installation, base_2027q2_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
base_2027q2_installation_margin
2027Q2 / base-3.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
base_2027q2_installation_gross_profit
2027Q2 / base-1.88
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_installation_revenue, base_2027q2_installation_margin).
service revenue
base_2027q2_service_revenue
2027Q2 / base97.56
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_service, base_2027q2_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
base_2027q2_service_margin
2027Q2 / base18.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
base_2027q2_service_gross_profit
2027Q2 / base17.56
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_service_revenue, base_2027q2_service_margin).
electricity revenue
base_2027q2_electricity_revenue
2027Q2 / base10.72
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_electricity, base_2027q2_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
base_2027q2_electricity_margin
2027Q2 / base30.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
base_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q2 / base3.22
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_electricity_revenue, base_2027q2_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
base_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / base1,444.68
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_product_revenue, base_2027q2_installation_revenue, base_2027q2_service_revenue, base_2027q2_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
base_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / base490.16
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_product_gross_profit, base_2027q2_installation_gross_profit, base_2027q2_service_gross_profit, base_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
base_2027q2_opex
2027Q2 / base206.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
base_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / base284.16
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q2_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
base_2027q2_noncash
2027Q2 / base74.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2027q2_wc_ratio
2027Q2 / base9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
base_2027q2_other_wc
2027Q2 / base130.02
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q2_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
base_2027q2_other
2027Q2 / base54.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
base_2027q2_cash_uses
2027Q2 / base184.02
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_other_wc, base_2027q2_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
base_2027q2_cash_start
2027Q2 / base358.16
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q2_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
base_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q2 / base174.14
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_start, base_2027q2_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
base_2027q2_customer_funding
2027Q2 / base50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
base_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / base224.14
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q2_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
base_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / base75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
base_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / base149.14
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
base_2027q3_weight
2027Q3 / base26.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
base_2027q3_product_revenue
2027Q3 / base1,379.82
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_product, base_2027q3_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
base_2027q3_product_margin
2027Q3 / base37.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
base_2027q3_product_gross_profit
2027Q3 / base510.53
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_product_revenue, base_2027q3_product_margin).
installation revenue
base_2027q3_installation_revenue
2027Q3 / base67.95
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_installation, base_2027q3_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
base_2027q3_installation_margin
2027Q3 / base-3.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
base_2027q3_installation_gross_profit
2027Q3 / base-2.04
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_installation_revenue, base_2027q3_installation_margin).
service revenue
base_2027q3_service_revenue
2027Q3 / base105.69
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_service, base_2027q3_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
base_2027q3_service_margin
2027Q3 / base18.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
base_2027q3_service_gross_profit
2027Q3 / base19.02
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_service_revenue, base_2027q3_service_margin).
electricity revenue
base_2027q3_electricity_revenue
2027Q3 / base11.61
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_electricity, base_2027q3_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
base_2027q3_electricity_margin
2027Q3 / base30.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
base_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q3 / base3.48
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_electricity_revenue, base_2027q3_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
base_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / base1,565.07
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_product_revenue, base_2027q3_installation_revenue, base_2027q3_service_revenue, base_2027q3_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
base_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / base531.00
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_product_gross_profit, base_2027q3_installation_gross_profit, base_2027q3_service_gross_profit, base_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
base_2027q3_opex
2027Q3 / base213.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
base_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / base318.00
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q3_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
base_2027q3_noncash
2027Q3 / base76.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2027q3_wc_ratio
2027Q3 / base9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
base_2027q3_other_wc
2027Q3 / base140.86
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q3_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
base_2027q3_other
2027Q3 / base57.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
base_2027q3_cash_uses
2027Q3 / base197.86
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_other_wc, base_2027q3_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
base_2027q3_cash_start
2027Q3 / base394.00
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q3_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
base_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q3 / base196.15
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_start, base_2027q3_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
base_2027q3_customer_funding
2027Q3 / base75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
base_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / base271.15
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q3_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
base_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / base90.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
base_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / base181.15
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
base_2027q4_weight
2027Q4 / base28.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
base_2027q4_product_revenue
2027Q4 / base1,485.96
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_product, base_2027q4_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
base_2027q4_product_margin
2027Q4 / base37.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
base_2027q4_product_gross_profit
2027Q4 / base549.80
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_product_revenue, base_2027q4_product_margin).
installation revenue
base_2027q4_installation_revenue
2027Q4 / base73.17
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_installation, base_2027q4_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
base_2027q4_installation_margin
2027Q4 / base-3.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
base_2027q4_installation_gross_profit
2027Q4 / base-2.20
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_installation_revenue, base_2027q4_installation_margin).
service revenue
base_2027q4_service_revenue
2027Q4 / base113.82
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_service, base_2027q4_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
base_2027q4_service_margin
2027Q4 / base18.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
base_2027q4_service_gross_profit
2027Q4 / base20.49
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_service_revenue, base_2027q4_service_margin).
electricity revenue
base_2027q4_electricity_revenue
2027Q4 / base12.51
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_electricity, base_2027q4_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
base_2027q4_electricity_margin
2027Q4 / base30.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
base_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q4 / base3.75
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_electricity_revenue, base_2027q4_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
base_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / base1,685.46
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_product_revenue, base_2027q4_installation_revenue, base_2027q4_service_revenue, base_2027q4_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
base_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / base571.85
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_product_gross_profit, base_2027q4_installation_gross_profit, base_2027q4_service_gross_profit, base_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
base_2027q4_opex
2027Q4 / base220.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
base_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / base351.85
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_gross_profit, base_2027q4_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
base_2027q4_noncash
2027Q4 / base78.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
base_2027q4_wc_ratio
2027Q4 / base9.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
base_2027q4_other_wc
2027Q4 / base151.69
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_revenue, base_2027q4_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
base_2027q4_other
2027Q4 / base60.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
base_2027q4_cash_uses
2027Q4 / base211.69
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_other_wc, base_2027q4_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
base_2027q4_cash_start
2027Q4 / base429.85
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_operating_income, base_2027q4_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
base_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q4 / base218.16
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_start, base_2027q4_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
base_2027q4_customer_funding
2027Q4 / base75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
base_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / base293.16
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q4_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
base_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / base90.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
base_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / base203.16
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capex).
Revenue ($M)
base_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / base4,050.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue).
GAAP gross profit ($M)
base_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / base1,338.19
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q4_gross_profit).
GAAP operating income ($M)
base_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / base634.50
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income).
CFO before net customer funding ($M)
base_fy2026_cfo_before_customer_funding
FY2026 / base222.86
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding).
Net customer funding ($M)
base_fy2026_customer_funding
FY2026 / base501.23
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_customer_funding, base_2026q3_customer_funding, base_2026q4_customer_funding).
Operating cash flow ($M)
base_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / base724.09
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo).
Cash capex ($M)
base_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / base222.82
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex).
CFO less capex ($M)
base_fy2026_fcf
FY2026 / base501.27
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q4_fcf).
Revenue ($M)
base_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / base6,019.50
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue).
GAAP gross profit ($M)
base_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / base2,042.32
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q4_gross_profit).
GAAP operating income ($M)
base_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / base1,204.32
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income).
CFO before net customer funding ($M)
base_fy2027_cfo_before_customer_funding
FY2027 / base740.56
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding).
Net customer funding ($M)
base_fy2027_customer_funding
FY2027 / base250.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_customer_funding, base_2027q2_customer_funding, base_2027q3_customer_funding, base_2027q4_customer_funding).
Operating cash flow ($M)
base_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / base990.56
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo).
Cash capex ($M)
base_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / base330.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex).
CFO less capex ($M)
base_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / base660.56
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q4_fcf).
FY2026 revenue versus guidance midpoint
upside_delivery
FY2026 / upside106.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk delivery sensitivity; downside and upside can lie outside the company range.
FY2026 revenue scenario
upside_annual_revenue_reference
FY2026 / upside4,293.00
USD_millions
derived: Company guidance midpoint times desk realization. Formula: multiply(revenue_guide, upside_delivery).
H2 revenue scenario
upside_h2_revenue
H2 2026 / upside2,476.58
USD_millions
derived: Full-year scenario less reported H1. Formula: subtract(upside_annual_revenue_reference, h1_revenue).
H2 product revenue mix
upside_product_mix
H2 2026 / upside88.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
product revenue
upside_h2_product
H2 2026 / upside2,179.39
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_revenue, upside_product_mix).
product annualized H2 run rate
upside_product_runrate
FY2027 / upside4,358.78
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_product, two_runrate).
product growth versus annualized H2
upside_product_growth
FY2027 / upside160.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
product annual revenue scenario
upside_fy27_product
FY2027 / upside6,974.05
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(upside_product_runrate, upside_product_growth).
H2 installation revenue mix
upside_installation_mix
H2 2026 / upside4.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
installation revenue
upside_h2_installation
H2 2026 / upside111.45
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_revenue, upside_installation_mix).
installation annualized H2 run rate
upside_installation_runrate
FY2027 / upside222.89
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_installation, two_runrate).
installation growth versus annualized H2
upside_installation_growth
FY2027 / upside145.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
installation annual revenue scenario
upside_fy27_installation
FY2027 / upside323.19
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(upside_installation_runrate, upside_installation_growth).
H2 service revenue mix
upside_service_mix
H2 2026 / upside6.5%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
service revenue
upside_h2_service
H2 2026 / upside160.98
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_revenue, upside_service_mix).
service annualized H2 run rate
upside_service_runrate
FY2027 / upside321.96
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_service, two_runrate).
service growth versus annualized H2
upside_service_growth
FY2027 / upside160.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
service annual revenue scenario
upside_fy27_service
FY2027 / upside515.13
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(upside_service_runrate, upside_service_growth).
H2 electricity revenue mix
upside_electricity_mix
H2 2026 / upside1.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one.
electricity revenue
upside_h2_electricity
H2 2026 / upside24.77
USD_millions
derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_revenue, upside_electricity_mix).
electricity annualized H2 run rate
upside_electricity_runrate
FY2027 / upside49.53
USD_millions
derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_electricity, two_runrate).
electricity growth versus annualized H2
upside_electricity_growth
FY2027 / upside105.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog.
electricity annual revenue scenario
upside_fy27_electricity
FY2027 / upside52.01
USD_millions
derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(upside_electricity_runrate, upside_electricity_growth).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
upside_2026q3_weight
2026Q3 / upside46.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
upside_2026q3_product_revenue
2026Q3 / upside1,002.52
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_product, upside_2026q3_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
upside_2026q3_product_margin
2026Q3 / upside40.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
upside_2026q3_product_gross_profit
2026Q3 / upside401.01
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_product_revenue, upside_2026q3_product_margin).
installation revenue
upside_2026q3_installation_revenue
2026Q3 / upside51.27
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_installation, upside_2026q3_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
upside_2026q3_installation_margin
2026Q3 / upside2.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
upside_2026q3_installation_gross_profit
2026Q3 / upside1.03
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_installation_revenue, upside_2026q3_installation_margin).
service revenue
upside_2026q3_service_revenue
2026Q3 / upside74.05
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_service, upside_2026q3_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
upside_2026q3_service_margin
2026Q3 / upside23.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
upside_2026q3_service_gross_profit
2026Q3 / upside17.03
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_service_revenue, upside_2026q3_service_margin).
electricity revenue
upside_2026q3_electricity_revenue
2026Q3 / upside11.39
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_electricity, upside_2026q3_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
upside_2026q3_electricity_margin
2026Q3 / upside33.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
upside_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit
2026Q3 / upside3.76
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_electricity_revenue, upside_2026q3_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
upside_2026q3_revenue
2026Q3 / upside1,139.23
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_product_revenue, upside_2026q3_installation_revenue, upside_2026q3_service_revenue, upside_2026q3_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
upside_2026q3_gross_profit
2026Q3 / upside422.82
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_product_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_installation_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_service_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
upside_2026q3_opex
2026Q3 / upside190.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
upside_2026q3_operating_income
2026Q3 / upside232.82
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
upside_2026q3_noncash
2026Q3 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2026q3_wc_ratio
2026Q3 / upside7.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
upside_2026q3_other_wc
2026Q3 / upside79.75
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q3_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
upside_2026q3_other
2026Q3 / upside50.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
upside_2026q3_cash_uses
2026Q3 / upside129.75
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_other_wc, upside_2026q3_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
upside_2026q3_cash_start
2026Q3 / upside302.82
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q3_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
upside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding
2026Q3 / upside173.08
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cash_start, upside_2026q3_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
upside_2026q3_customer_funding
2026Q3 / upside150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
upside_2026q3_cfo
2026Q3 / upside323.08
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2026q3_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
upside_2026q3_capex
2026Q3 / upside60.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
upside_2026q3_fcf
2026Q3 / upside263.08
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
upside_2026q4_weight
2026Q4 / upside54.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
upside_2026q4_product_revenue
2026Q4 / upside1,176.87
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_product, upside_2026q4_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
upside_2026q4_product_margin
2026Q4 / upside40.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
upside_2026q4_product_gross_profit
2026Q4 / upside470.75
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_product_revenue, upside_2026q4_product_margin).
installation revenue
upside_2026q4_installation_revenue
2026Q4 / upside60.18
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_installation, upside_2026q4_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
upside_2026q4_installation_margin
2026Q4 / upside2.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
upside_2026q4_installation_gross_profit
2026Q4 / upside1.20
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_installation_revenue, upside_2026q4_installation_margin).
service revenue
upside_2026q4_service_revenue
2026Q4 / upside86.93
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_service, upside_2026q4_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
upside_2026q4_service_margin
2026Q4 / upside23.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
upside_2026q4_service_gross_profit
2026Q4 / upside19.99
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_service_revenue, upside_2026q4_service_margin).
electricity revenue
upside_2026q4_electricity_revenue
2026Q4 / upside13.37
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_electricity, upside_2026q4_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
upside_2026q4_electricity_margin
2026Q4 / upside33.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
upside_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit
2026Q4 / upside4.41
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_electricity_revenue, upside_2026q4_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
upside_2026q4_revenue
2026Q4 / upside1,337.35
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_product_revenue, upside_2026q4_installation_revenue, upside_2026q4_service_revenue, upside_2026q4_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
upside_2026q4_gross_profit
2026Q4 / upside496.36
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_product_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_installation_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_service_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
upside_2026q4_opex
2026Q4 / upside198.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
upside_2026q4_operating_income
2026Q4 / upside298.36
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
upside_2026q4_noncash
2026Q4 / upside72.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2026q4_wc_ratio
2026Q4 / upside7.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
upside_2026q4_other_wc
2026Q4 / upside93.61
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_revenue, upside_2026q4_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
upside_2026q4_other
2026Q4 / upside53.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
upside_2026q4_cash_uses
2026Q4 / upside146.61
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_other_wc, upside_2026q4_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
upside_2026q4_cash_start
2026Q4 / upside370.36
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_operating_income, upside_2026q4_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
upside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding
2026Q4 / upside223.74
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cash_start, upside_2026q4_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
upside_2026q4_customer_funding
2026Q4 / upside150.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
upside_2026q4_cfo
2026Q4 / upside373.74
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2026q4_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
upside_2026q4_capex
2026Q4 / upside75.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
upside_2026q4_fcf
2026Q4 / upside298.74
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
upside_2027q1_weight
2027Q1 / upside22.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
upside_2027q1_product_revenue
2027Q1 / upside1,534.29
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_product, upside_2027q1_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q1_product_margin
2027Q1 / upside40.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q1_product_gross_profit
2027Q1 / upside613.72
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_product_revenue, upside_2027q1_product_margin).
installation revenue
upside_2027q1_installation_revenue
2027Q1 / upside71.10
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_installation, upside_2027q1_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q1_installation_margin
2027Q1 / upside2.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q1_installation_gross_profit
2027Q1 / upside1.42
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_installation_revenue, upside_2027q1_installation_margin).
service revenue
upside_2027q1_service_revenue
2027Q1 / upside113.33
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_service, upside_2027q1_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q1_service_margin
2027Q1 / upside23.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q1_service_gross_profit
2027Q1 / upside26.07
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_service_revenue, upside_2027q1_service_margin).
electricity revenue
upside_2027q1_electricity_revenue
2027Q1 / upside11.44
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_electricity, upside_2027q1_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q1_electricity_margin
2027Q1 / upside33.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q1 / upside3.78
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_electricity_revenue, upside_2027q1_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
upside_2027q1_revenue
2027Q1 / upside1,730.16
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_product_revenue, upside_2027q1_installation_revenue, upside_2027q1_service_revenue, upside_2027q1_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q1_gross_profit
2027Q1 / upside644.98
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_product_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_installation_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_service_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
upside_2027q1_opex
2027Q1 / upside206.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
upside_2027q1_operating_income
2027Q1 / upside438.98
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
upside_2027q1_noncash
2027Q1 / upside74.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2027q1_wc_ratio
2027Q1 / upside7.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
upside_2027q1_other_wc
2027Q1 / upside121.11
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q1_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
upside_2027q1_other
2027Q1 / upside56.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
upside_2027q1_cash_uses
2027Q1 / upside177.11
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_other_wc, upside_2027q1_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
upside_2027q1_cash_start
2027Q1 / upside512.98
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q1_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
upside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q1 / upside335.87
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_start, upside_2027q1_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
upside_2027q1_customer_funding
2027Q1 / upside100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
upside_2027q1_cfo
2027Q1 / upside435.87
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q1_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
upside_2027q1_capex
2027Q1 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
upside_2027q1_fcf
2027Q1 / upside365.87
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
upside_2027q2_weight
2027Q2 / upside24.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
upside_2027q2_product_revenue
2027Q2 / upside1,673.77
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_product, upside_2027q2_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q2_product_margin
2027Q2 / upside40.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q2_product_gross_profit
2027Q2 / upside669.51
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_product_revenue, upside_2027q2_product_margin).
installation revenue
upside_2027q2_installation_revenue
2027Q2 / upside77.57
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_installation, upside_2027q2_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q2_installation_margin
2027Q2 / upside2.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q2_installation_gross_profit
2027Q2 / upside1.55
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_installation_revenue, upside_2027q2_installation_margin).
service revenue
upside_2027q2_service_revenue
2027Q2 / upside123.63
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_service, upside_2027q2_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q2_service_margin
2027Q2 / upside23.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q2_service_gross_profit
2027Q2 / upside28.44
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_service_revenue, upside_2027q2_service_margin).
electricity revenue
upside_2027q2_electricity_revenue
2027Q2 / upside12.48
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_electricity, upside_2027q2_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q2_electricity_margin
2027Q2 / upside33.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q2 / upside4.12
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_electricity_revenue, upside_2027q2_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
upside_2027q2_revenue
2027Q2 / upside1,887.45
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_product_revenue, upside_2027q2_installation_revenue, upside_2027q2_service_revenue, upside_2027q2_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q2_gross_profit
2027Q2 / upside703.61
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_product_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_installation_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_service_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
upside_2027q2_opex
2027Q2 / upside214.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
upside_2027q2_operating_income
2027Q2 / upside489.61
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
upside_2027q2_noncash
2027Q2 / upside76.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2027q2_wc_ratio
2027Q2 / upside7.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
upside_2027q2_other_wc
2027Q2 / upside132.12
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
upside_2027q2_other
2027Q2 / upside59.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
upside_2027q2_cash_uses
2027Q2 / upside191.12
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_other_wc, upside_2027q2_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
upside_2027q2_cash_start
2027Q2 / upside565.61
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q2_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
upside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q2 / upside374.49
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_start, upside_2027q2_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
upside_2027q2_customer_funding
2027Q2 / upside100.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
upside_2027q2_cfo
2027Q2 / upside474.49
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q2_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
upside_2027q2_capex
2027Q2 / upside70.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
upside_2027q2_fcf
2027Q2 / upside404.49
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
upside_2027q3_weight
2027Q3 / upside26.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
upside_2027q3_product_revenue
2027Q3 / upside1,813.25
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_product, upside_2027q3_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q3_product_margin
2027Q3 / upside40.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q3_product_gross_profit
2027Q3 / upside725.30
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_product_revenue, upside_2027q3_product_margin).
installation revenue
upside_2027q3_installation_revenue
2027Q3 / upside84.03
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_installation, upside_2027q3_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q3_installation_margin
2027Q3 / upside2.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q3_installation_gross_profit
2027Q3 / upside1.68
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_installation_revenue, upside_2027q3_installation_margin).
service revenue
upside_2027q3_service_revenue
2027Q3 / upside133.93
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_service, upside_2027q3_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q3_service_margin
2027Q3 / upside23.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q3_service_gross_profit
2027Q3 / upside30.80
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_service_revenue, upside_2027q3_service_margin).
electricity revenue
upside_2027q3_electricity_revenue
2027Q3 / upside13.52
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_electricity, upside_2027q3_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q3_electricity_margin
2027Q3 / upside33.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q3 / upside4.46
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_electricity_revenue, upside_2027q3_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
upside_2027q3_revenue
2027Q3 / upside2,044.74
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_product_revenue, upside_2027q3_installation_revenue, upside_2027q3_service_revenue, upside_2027q3_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q3_gross_profit
2027Q3 / upside762.25
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_product_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_installation_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_service_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
upside_2027q3_opex
2027Q3 / upside222.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
upside_2027q3_operating_income
2027Q3 / upside540.25
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
upside_2027q3_noncash
2027Q3 / upside78.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2027q3_wc_ratio
2027Q3 / upside7.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
upside_2027q3_other_wc
2027Q3 / upside143.13
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q3_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
upside_2027q3_other
2027Q3 / upside62.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
upside_2027q3_cash_uses
2027Q3 / upside205.13
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_other_wc, upside_2027q3_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
upside_2027q3_cash_start
2027Q3 / upside618.25
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q3_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
upside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q3 / upside413.12
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_start, upside_2027q3_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
upside_2027q3_customer_funding
2027Q3 / upside125.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
upside_2027q3_cfo
2027Q3 / upside538.12
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q3_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
upside_2027q3_capex
2027Q3 / upside80.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
upside_2027q3_fcf
2027Q3 / upside458.12
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capex).
Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue
upside_2027q4_weight
2027Q4 / upside28.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one.
product revenue
upside_2027q4_product_revenue
2027Q4 / upside1,952.73
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_product, upside_2027q4_weight).
product GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q4_product_margin
2027Q4 / upside40.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
product GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q4_product_gross_profit
2027Q4 / upside781.09
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_product_revenue, upside_2027q4_product_margin).
installation revenue
upside_2027q4_installation_revenue
2027Q4 / upside90.49
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_installation, upside_2027q4_weight).
installation GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q4_installation_margin
2027Q4 / upside2.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
installation GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q4_installation_gross_profit
2027Q4 / upside1.81
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_installation_revenue, upside_2027q4_installation_margin).
service revenue
upside_2027q4_service_revenue
2027Q4 / upside144.24
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_service, upside_2027q4_weight).
service GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q4_service_margin
2027Q4 / upside23.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
service GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q4_service_gross_profit
2027Q4 / upside33.17
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_service_revenue, upside_2027q4_service_margin).
electricity revenue
upside_2027q4_electricity_revenue
2027Q4 / upside14.56
USD_millions
derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_electricity, upside_2027q4_weight).
electricity GAAP gross margin
upside_2027q4_electricity_margin
2027Q4 / upside33.0%
ratio
assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion.
electricity GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit
2027Q4 / upside4.81
USD_millions
derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_electricity_revenue, upside_2027q4_electricity_margin).
Consolidated revenue
upside_2027q4_revenue
2027Q4 / upside2,202.03
USD_millions
derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_product_revenue, upside_2027q4_installation_revenue, upside_2027q4_service_revenue, upside_2027q4_electricity_revenue).
GAAP gross profit
upside_2027q4_gross_profit
2027Q4 / upside820.88
USD_millions
derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_product_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_installation_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_service_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit).
GAAP operating expenses
upside_2027q4_opex
2027Q4 / upside230.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
GAAP operating income
upside_2027q4_operating_income
2027Q4 / upside590.88
USD_millions
derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_opex).
Noncash depreciation and stock compensation
upside_2027q4_noncash
2027Q4 / upside80.00
USD_millions
assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings.
Other working-capital cash use / revenue
upside_2027q4_wc_ratio
2027Q4 / upside7.0%
ratio
assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance.
Working-capital cash use excluding funding
upside_2027q4_other_wc
2027Q4 / upside154.14
USD_millions
derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_revenue, upside_2027q4_wc_ratio).
Net cash tax, interest and other uses
upside_2027q4_other
2027Q4 / upside65.00
USD_millions
assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated.
Other working capital and cash charges
upside_2027q4_cash_uses
2027Q4 / upside219.14
USD_millions
derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_other_wc, upside_2027q4_other).
Operating income plus noncash addbacks
upside_2027q4_cash_start
2027Q4 / upside670.88
USD_millions
derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_operating_income, upside_2027q4_noncash).
CFO before net customer funding
upside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding
2027Q4 / upside451.74
USD_millions
derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_start, upside_2027q4_cash_uses).
Net customer deposits and deferred revenue
upside_2027q4_customer_funding
2027Q4 / upside125.00
USD_millions
assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit.
Operating cash flow
upside_2027q4_cfo
2027Q4 / upside576.74
USD_millions
derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q4_customer_funding).
Cash purchases of PP&E
upside_2027q4_capex
2027Q4 / upside80.00
USD_millions
assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash.
CFO less capex
upside_2027q4_fcf
2027Q4 / upside496.74
USD_millions
derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capex).
Revenue ($M)
upside_fy2026_revenue
FY2026 / upside4,293.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue).
GAAP gross profit ($M)
upside_fy2026_gross_profit
FY2026 / upside1,500.30
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_gross_profit).
GAAP operating income ($M)
upside_fy2026_operating_income
FY2026 / upside785.61
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income).
CFO before net customer funding ($M)
upside_fy2026_cfo_before_customer_funding
FY2026 / upside395.63
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding).
Net customer funding ($M)
upside_fy2026_customer_funding
FY2026 / upside601.23
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_customer_funding, upside_2026q3_customer_funding, upside_2026q4_customer_funding).
Operating cash flow ($M)
upside_fy2026_cfo
FY2026 / upside996.86
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo).
Cash capex ($M)
upside_fy2026_capex
FY2026 / upside212.82
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex).
CFO less capex ($M)
upside_fy2026_fcf
FY2026 / upside784.04
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q4_fcf).
Revenue ($M)
upside_fy2027_revenue
FY2027 / upside7,864.38
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue).
GAAP gross profit ($M)
upside_fy2027_gross_profit
FY2027 / upside2,931.73
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_gross_profit).
GAAP operating income ($M)
upside_fy2027_operating_income
FY2027 / upside2,059.73
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income).
CFO before net customer funding ($M)
upside_fy2027_cfo_before_customer_funding
FY2027 / upside1,575.22
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding).
Net customer funding ($M)
upside_fy2027_customer_funding
FY2027 / upside450.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_customer_funding, upside_2027q2_customer_funding, upside_2027q3_customer_funding, upside_2027q4_customer_funding).
Operating cash flow ($M)
upside_fy2027_cfo
FY2027 / upside2,025.22
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo).
Cash capex ($M)
upside_fy2027_capex
FY2027 / upside300.00
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex).
CFO less capex ($M)
upside_fy2027_fcf
FY2027 / upside1,725.22
USD_millions
derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q4_fcf).

Model boundaries

From fuel-cell deliveries to cash without deposit support

Research reviewed 2026-09-19

Can rising power-system shipments produce durable cash after warranty, manufacturing and working-capital needs?

H1 revenue reached $1,816.4M and GAAP operating income $254.4M. Q2 product revenue was $935.4M, while service generated $12.9M gross profit and installation remained slightly loss-making. The company raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $3.9B-$4.2B; its approximately 34% margin and $800M-$900M operating-income targets are non-GAAP. H1 CFO before the $301.2M net customer-funding contribution was negative $1.2M. Q2 alone generated $14.7M before that line. A specific $58.3M assurance warranty reserve and related-party revenue concentration require attention: H1 related-party revenue was $376.1M, but only $2.8M occurred in Q2. June unrestricted cash was $2,666.9M against $2,470.7M long-term recourse debt, with additional current debt and finance obligations.

The competing explanation

Power scarcity can support strong demand while delivery or warranty execution disappoints. Deposits can reverse, high product growth can require inventory and factory spending, and related-party arrangements can complicate the relationship between recognized revenue and cash.

Risks to track

Next checkpoints

Data coverage and open work

This review: First sourced segment and cash model. Adds the June financial quarter absent from the generic feed and explicitly separates non-GAAP company guidance from GAAP desk scenarios.

What the memory says

State as of the 2026-09-18 close: in a 120-day uptrend, above its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, heavy volume, closed weak, and some peers moving

300 similar days

Vs the market, in pointsLowMiddleHighShare up
1 session-5.1+0.0+3.851%
5 sessions-7.6+0.0+9.950%
10 sessions-10.3-0.3+14.046%

Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side.

Notes on this name

Scorecard: 1 note scored; 1 inside the 5-session band (100% coverage)

Next report date: not dated. Undated in the latest note (https://chartlibrary.io/research/views/be-power-growth-expectations-powl-20260913): Revisit after Monday's completed session, then following the September 15-16 FOMC meeting and Friday's close

Provenance

  1. [1] reported: Revenues, accession 0001628280-25-046844, 10-Q filed 2025-10-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  2. [2] derived: Revenues, accession 0001628280-26-006516, 10-K filed 2026-02-09; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  3. [3] reported: Revenues, accession 0001628280-26-028021, 10-Q filed 2026-04-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  4. [4] reported: Revenues, accession 0001628280-25-037074, 10-Q filed 2025-07-31; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  5. [5] reported: Q2 reported revenue; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx
  6. [6] reported: GrossProfit, accession 0001628280-25-046844, 10-Q filed 2025-10-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  7. [7] derived: GrossProfit, accession 0001628280-26-006516, 10-K filed 2026-02-09; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  8. [8] reported: GrossProfit, accession 0001628280-26-028021, 10-Q filed 2026-04-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  9. [9] reported: GrossProfit, accession 0001628280-25-037074, 10-Q filed 2025-07-31; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  10. [10] reported: Q2 reported gross_profit; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx
  11. [11] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001628280-25-046844, 10-Q filed 2025-10-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  12. [12] derived: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001628280-26-006516, 10-K filed 2026-02-09; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  13. [13] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001628280-26-028021, 10-Q filed 2026-04-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  14. [14] reported: OperatingIncomeLoss, accession 0001628280-25-037074, 10-Q filed 2025-07-31; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  15. [15] reported: Q2 reported operating_income; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx
  16. [16] reported: Q2 reported net_income; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx
  17. [17] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001628280-25-046844, 10-Q filed 2025-10-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  18. [18] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001628280-26-028021, 10-Q filed 2026-04-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  19. [19] reported: EarningsPerShareDiluted, accession 0001628280-25-037074, 10-Q filed 2025-07-31; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  20. [20] reported: Q2 reported eps_diluted; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx
  21. [21] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001628280-25-046844, 10-Q filed 2025-10-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  22. [22] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001628280-26-028021, 10-Q filed 2026-04-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  23. [23] reported: WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding, accession 0001628280-25-037074, 10-Q filed 2025-07-31; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  24. [24] reported: Q2 reported shares_diluted; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx
  25. [25] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001628280-24-046411, 10-Q filed 2024-11-07; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  26. [26] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001628280-26-006516, 10-K filed 2026-02-09; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  27. [27] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001628280-25-021160, 10-Q filed 2025-04-30; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  28. [28] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001628280-25-037074, 10-Q filed 2025-07-31; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  29. [29] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001628280-25-046844, 10-Q filed 2025-10-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  30. [30] reported: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue, accession 0001628280-26-028021, 10-Q filed 2026-04-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  31. [31] reported: Q2 reported cash; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx
  32. [32] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001628280-24-046411, 10-Q filed 2024-11-07; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  33. [33] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001628280-26-006516, 10-K filed 2026-02-09; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  34. [34] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001628280-25-021160, 10-Q filed 2025-04-30; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  35. [35] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001628280-25-037074, 10-Q filed 2025-07-31; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  36. [36] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001628280-25-046844, 10-Q filed 2025-10-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  37. [37] reported: LongTermDebtNoncurrent, accession 0001628280-26-028021, 10-Q filed 2026-04-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  38. [38] reported: Q2 reported debt_long_term; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx
  39. [39] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001628280-25-046844, 10-Q filed 2025-10-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  40. [40] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001628280-26-006516, 10-K filed 2026-02-09; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  41. [41] reported: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001628280-26-028021, 10-Q filed 2026-04-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  42. [42] derived: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities, accession 0001628280-25-037074, 10-Q filed 2025-07-31; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  43. [43] reported: Q2 reported cfo; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx
  44. [44] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001628280-25-046844, 10-Q filed 2025-10-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  45. [45] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001628280-26-006516, 10-K filed 2026-02-09; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  46. [46] reported: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001628280-26-028021, 10-Q filed 2026-04-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  47. [47] derived: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment, accession 0001628280-25-037074, 10-Q filed 2025-07-31; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  48. [48] reported: Q2 reported capex; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx
  49. [49] derived: CFO - capex; NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json; filed 2025-10-28] ; PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json; filed 2025-10-28], accession 0001628280-25-046844, 10-Q filed 2025-10-28; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  50. [50] derived: CFO - capex; NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json; filed 2026-02-09] ; PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json; filed 2026-02-09], accession 0001628280-26-006516, 10-K filed 2026-02-09; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  51. [51] derived: CFO - capex; NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json; filed 2026-04-29] ; PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json; filed 2026-04-29], accession 0001628280-26-028021, 10-Q filed 2026-04-29; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  52. [52] derived: CFO - capex; NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json; filed 2025-07-31] ; PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment [https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json; filed 2025-07-31], accession 0001628280-25-037074, 10-Q filed 2025-07-31; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:38:35+00:00 from https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001664703.json
  53. [53] derived: CFO - capex; Q2 reported cfo [https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx; filed 2026-07-28] ; Q2 reported capex [https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx; filed 2026-07-28]; retrieved 2026-09-19T18:30:00+00:00 from https://investor.bloomenergy.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/Bloom-Energy-Reports-Record-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Raises-Full-Year-2026-Guidance/default.aspx

What the author read

Compiled 2026-09-19T18:38:35.975755+00:00 · authored 64f657e421ba · generated 58b90e84e06c · JSON

Daily notes · Scorecard