$BE
Business
Bloom Energy sells on-site power systems using solid-oxide fuel cells, installs them and provides long-term service. Product shipments and acceptance drive most revenue; installation, service and electricity contribute different margins. Data-center demand expands the addressable market, but factory capacity, customer concentration, warranty performance and contract cash timing determine how much revenue becomes durable cash.
Three drivers
- Power-system deliveries and customer acceptance
- Product warranty costs and service profitability
- Manufacturing investment and net customer deposits
Thesis
Our view
Q2 showed a material increase in product revenue and operating profit. The research question is how much of that growth persists after delivery timing, warranty provisions and customer funding normalize. H1 CFO of $300.0M included $301.2M from net deferred revenue and customer deposits. That funding can be valuable, but it does not independently establish recurring cash generation. Product and service margins, GAAP expenses and deposit cash flows remain separate in the model.
What changes it
Track delivery timing against the $3.9B-$4.2B revenue range, product and service gross profit, warranty reserve usage and cash before net customer funding. Lower deposits without matching underlying cash conversion would weaken the funding picture.
Scenario ranges
Explicit downside/base/upside business assumptions; not price targets, probabilities or historical market-memory bands.
Model · 8 fiscal quarters (last eight)
| Fiscal quarter | 2024Q3 2024-09-30 | 2024Q4 2024-12-31 | 2025Q1 2025-03-31 | 2025Q2 2025-06-30 | 2025Q3 2025-09-30 | 2025Q4 2025-12-31 | 2026Q1 2026-03-31 | 2026Q2 2026-06-30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($M) | 330.41 | 572.4†2 | 326.03 | 401.24 | 519.01 | 777.7†2 | 751.13 | 1,065.45 |
| Gross profit ($M) | 78.76 | 219.3†7 | 88.78 | 107.19 | 151.76 | 239.9†7 | 225.58 | 355.610 |
| Operating income ($M) | -9.711 | 104.7†12 | -19.113 | -3.514 | 7.811 | 87.5†12 | 72.213 | 182.215 |
| Net income ($M) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 198.916 |
| EPS, diluted ($) | -60.0017 | — | -0.1018 | -0.1819 | -100.0017 | — | 0.2318 | 0.6220 |
| Diluted shares (M) | 228.021 | — | 230.222 | 232.523 | 234.921 | — | 319.722 | 323.324 |
| Cash ($M) | 495.725 | 802.926 | 794.827 | 574.828 | 595.129 | 2,454.130 | 2,491.430 | 2,666.931 |
| Long-term debt ($M) | 1,013.332 | 1,014.433 | 1,016.234 | 1,129.235 | 1,130.936 | 2,613.737 | 2,598.737 | 2,470.738 |
| Cash from operations ($M) | -69.5†39 | 484.2†40 | -110.741 | -213.1†42 | 19.7†39 | 418.1†40 | 73.641 | 226.443 |
| Capex ($M) | 14.3†44 | 11.1†45 | 14.346 | 7.2†47 | 12.3†44 | 23.0†45 | 26.246 | 51.648 |
| Free cash flow ($M) | -83.8†49 | 473.1†50 | -124.9†51 | -220.4†52 | 7.4†49 | 395.1†50 | 47.4†51 | 174.8†53 |
Estimates · base scenario
| Period | Revenue ($M) | EPS ($) | As of | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 1,027.4 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2026Q4 | 1,206.1 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q1 | 1,324.3 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance. |
| 2027Q2 | 1,444.7 | — | 2026-09-19 | Desk base scenario; calculated from the operating-model inputs below. Not consensus or company guidance. |
Product delivery, service margins and customer deposits
Anchor FY2026 revenue to the midpoint of the company range and vary delivery. Allocate remaining H2 revenue across product, installation, service and electricity; each has its own GAAP gross margin. FY2027 extends the H2 segment run rate with separate product and service growth assumptions. GAAP operating expense, noncash addbacks, cash taxes/interest and working capital bridge operating income to cash before net customer funding. Add deposits/deferred-revenue movements only to cash flow. FY2026 includes reported H1.
Reported anchors and guidance
| Measure | Period | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue guidance midpoint | FY2026 | 4,050.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| Non-GAAP operating income guidance midpoint | FY2026 | 850.00 | derived. Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. |
| June unrestricted cash | 2026Q2 | 2,666.86 | reported. Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Source · 2026-07-28 |
| June long-term recourse debt | 2026Q2 | 2,470.70 | reported. Long-term recourse debt excludes current debt and finance obligations. Source · 2026-07-28 |
| H1 CFO before net customer funding | H1 2026 | -1.19 | derived. Removes net deposits and deferred-revenue funding, not all customer receipts. |
| Q2 CFO before customer funding | 2026Q2 | 14.74 | derived. Quarterly cash before the net deferred-revenue and customer-deposit contribution. |
| Specific assurance warranty reserve | 2026Q2 | 58.30 | reported. Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Source · 2026-07-28 |
| H1 related-party revenue | H1 2026 | 376.08 | reported. Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Source · 2026-07-28 |
Downside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow ($M) | CFO less capex ($M) | Cash capex ($M) | Revenue ($M) | GAAP gross profit ($M) | Net customer funding ($M) | GAAP operating income ($M) | CFO before net customer funding ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 26.57 | -48.43 | 75.00 | 841.15 | 242.50 | 50.00 | 57.50 | -23.43 |
| 2026Q4 | -31.81 | -121.81 | 90.00 | 987.43 | 284.68 | -25.00 | 92.68 | -6.81 |
| 2027Q1 | -32.15 | -132.15 | 100.00 | 889.46 | 255.58 | 0.00 | 56.58 | -32.15 |
| 2027Q2 | -26.62 | -126.62 | 100.00 | 970.32 | 278.82 | 0.00 | 72.82 | -26.62 |
| FY2026 | 294.79 | 51.97 | 242.82 | 3,645.00 | 1,108.30 | 326.23 | 404.61 | -31.44 |
| FY2027 | -45.43 | -465.43 | 420.00 | 4,042.99 | 1,161.73 | 50.00 | 323.73 | -95.43 |
Base scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow ($M) | CFO less capex ($M) | Cash capex ($M) | Revenue ($M) | GAAP gross profit ($M) | Net customer funding ($M) | GAAP operating income ($M) | CFO before net customer funding ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 193.78 | 128.78 | 65.00 | 1,027.45 | 348.25 | 100.00 | 163.25 | 93.78 |
| 2026Q4 | 230.27 | 150.27 | 80.00 | 1,206.13 | 408.82 | 100.00 | 216.82 | 130.27 |
| 2027Q1 | 202.12 | 127.12 | 75.00 | 1,324.29 | 449.31 | 50.00 | 250.31 | 152.12 |
| 2027Q2 | 224.14 | 149.14 | 75.00 | 1,444.68 | 490.16 | 50.00 | 284.16 | 174.14 |
| FY2026 | 724.09 | 501.27 | 222.82 | 4,050.00 | 1,338.19 | 501.23 | 634.50 | 222.86 |
| FY2027 | 990.56 | 660.56 | 330.00 | 6,019.50 | 2,042.32 | 250.00 | 1,204.32 | 740.56 |
Upside scenario
| Period | Operating cash flow ($M) | CFO less capex ($M) | Cash capex ($M) | Revenue ($M) | GAAP gross profit ($M) | Net customer funding ($M) | GAAP operating income ($M) | CFO before net customer funding ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 | 323.08 | 263.08 | 60.00 | 1,139.23 | 422.82 | 150.00 | 232.82 | 173.08 |
| 2026Q4 | 373.74 | 298.74 | 75.00 | 1,337.35 | 496.36 | 150.00 | 298.36 | 223.74 |
| 2027Q1 | 435.87 | 365.87 | 70.00 | 1,730.16 | 644.98 | 100.00 | 438.98 | 335.87 |
| 2027Q2 | 474.49 | 404.49 | 70.00 | 1,887.45 | 703.61 | 100.00 | 489.61 | 374.49 |
| FY2026 | 996.86 | 784.04 | 212.82 | 4,293.00 | 1,500.30 | 601.23 | 785.61 | 395.63 |
| FY2027 | 2,025.22 | 1,725.22 | 300.00 | 7,864.38 | 2,931.73 | 450.00 | 2,059.73 | 1,575.22 |
All inputs and formulas — reproduce this model
| Input / calculation | Period / case | Value / unit | Evidence or assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| H1 revenue h1_revenue | H1 2026 / shared | 1,816.42 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| H1 GAAP gross profit h1_gross_profit | H1 2026 / shared | 581.12 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| H1 GAAP operating income h1_operating_income | H1 2026 / shared | 254.43 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| H1 net deferred revenue and customer deposits h1_customer_funding | H1 2026 / shared | 301.23 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| H1 GAAP operating cash flow h1_cfo | H1 2026 / shared | 300.04 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| H1 cash PP&E purchases h1_capex | H1 2026 / shared | 77.82 USD_millions | reported: 10-Q consolidated H1 amount converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| H1 depreciation and amortization h1_da | H1 2026 / shared | 27.02 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| H1 stock-based compensation h1_sbc | H1 2026 / shared | 100.43 USD_millions | reported: Reported consolidated amount, converted from thousands to millions. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| H1 depreciation and stock compensation h1_noncash | H1 2026 / shared | 127.46 USD_millions | derived: Two separately reported noncash expense lines. Formula: sum(h1_da, h1_sbc). |
| H1 CFO before net customer funding h1_cfo_before_customer_funding | H1 2026 / shared | -1.19 USD_millions | derived: Removes net deposits and deferred-revenue funding, not all customer receipts. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_customer_funding). |
| H1 CFO less capex h1_fcf | H1 2026 / shared | 222.22 USD_millions | derived: Cash flow from operations less purchases of PP&E. Formula: subtract(h1_cfo, h1_capex). |
| June unrestricted cash cash | 2026Q2 / shared | 2,666.86 USD_millions | reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| June restricted cash restricted | 2026Q2 / shared | 21.65 USD_millions | reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| June long-term recourse debt debt_long | 2026Q2 / shared | 2,470.70 USD_millions | reported: Long-term recourse debt excludes current debt and finance obligations. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| Q2 net customer funding q2_customer_funding | 2026Q2 / shared | 211.69 USD_millions | reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| Q2 GAAP CFO q2_cfo | 2026Q2 / shared | 226.43 USD_millions | reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| Specific assurance warranty reserve warranty | 2026Q2 / shared | 58.30 USD_millions | reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| H1 related-party revenue related_h1 | H1 2026 / shared | 376.08 USD_millions | reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| Q2 related-party revenue related_q2 | 2026Q2 / shared | 2.82 USD_millions | reported: Company disclosed amount; warranty reserve is not free cash. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| Q2 CFO before customer funding q2_cfo_ex_funding | 2026Q2 / shared | 14.74 USD_millions | derived: Quarterly cash before the net deferred-revenue and customer-deposit contribution. Formula: subtract(q2_cfo, q2_customer_funding). |
| Revenue guidance low revenue_guide_low | FY2026 / shared | 3,900.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| Revenue guidance high revenue_guide_high | FY2026 / shared | 4,200.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| Midpoint divisor two | Model / shared | 200.0% ratio | assumption: Arithmetic constant. |
| Revenue guidance endpoint sum revenue_guide_sum | FY2026 / shared | 8,100.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(revenue_guide_low, revenue_guide_high). |
| Revenue guidance midpoint revenue_guide | FY2026 / shared | 4,050.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(revenue_guide_sum, two). |
| Non-GAAP operating income guidance low non_gaap_op_guide_low | FY2026 / shared | 800.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| Non-GAAP operating income guidance high non_gaap_op_guide_high | FY2026 / shared | 900.00 USD_millions | management guidance: Company guidance; not a desk forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| Non-GAAP operating income guidance endpoint sum non_gaap_op_guide_sum | FY2026 / shared | 1,700.00 USD_millions | derived: Arithmetic intermediate. Formula: sum(non_gaap_op_guide_low, non_gaap_op_guide_high). |
| Non-GAAP operating income guidance midpoint non_gaap_op_guide | FY2026 / shared | 850.00 USD_millions | derived: Calculated midpoint of the company range; not an additional company forecast. Formula: divide(non_gaap_op_guide_sum, two). |
| Non-GAAP gross margin guidance non_gaap_gm_guide | FY2026 / shared | 34.0% ratio | management guidance: Company approximately 34% adjusted gross margin; not a GAAP margin forecast. Primary source · 2026-07-28 |
| H2 to full-year multiplier two_runrate | Model / shared | 200.0% ratio | assumption: Two half-years; annualizes modeled H2, not a company forecast. |
| FY2026 revenue versus guidance midpoint downside_delivery | FY2026 / downside | 90.0% ratio | assumption: Desk delivery sensitivity; downside and upside can lie outside the company range. |
| FY2026 revenue scenario downside_annual_revenue_reference | FY2026 / downside | 3,645.00 USD_millions | derived: Company guidance midpoint times desk realization. Formula: multiply(revenue_guide, downside_delivery). |
| H2 revenue scenario downside_h2_revenue | H2 2026 / downside | 1,828.58 USD_millions | derived: Full-year scenario less reported H1. Formula: subtract(downside_annual_revenue_reference, h1_revenue). |
| H2 product revenue mix downside_product_mix | H2 2026 / downside | 88.0% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| product revenue downside_h2_product | H2 2026 / downside | 1,609.15 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_revenue, downside_product_mix). |
| product annualized H2 run rate downside_product_runrate | FY2027 / downside | 3,218.30 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_product, two_runrate). |
| product growth versus annualized H2 downside_product_growth | FY2027 / downside | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| product annual revenue scenario downside_fy27_product | FY2027 / downside | 3,540.13 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(downside_product_runrate, downside_product_growth). |
| H2 installation revenue mix downside_installation_mix | H2 2026 / downside | 4.5% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| installation revenue downside_h2_installation | H2 2026 / downside | 82.29 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_revenue, downside_installation_mix). |
| installation annualized H2 run rate downside_installation_runrate | FY2027 / downside | 164.57 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_installation, two_runrate). |
| installation growth versus annualized H2 downside_installation_growth | FY2027 / downside | 110.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| installation annual revenue scenario downside_fy27_installation | FY2027 / downside | 181.03 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(downside_installation_runrate, downside_installation_growth). |
| H2 service revenue mix downside_service_mix | H2 2026 / downside | 6.5% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| service revenue downside_h2_service | H2 2026 / downside | 118.86 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_revenue, downside_service_mix). |
| service annualized H2 run rate downside_service_runrate | FY2027 / downside | 237.72 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_service, two_runrate). |
| service growth versus annualized H2 downside_service_growth | FY2027 / downside | 120.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| service annual revenue scenario downside_fy27_service | FY2027 / downside | 285.26 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(downside_service_runrate, downside_service_growth). |
| H2 electricity revenue mix downside_electricity_mix | H2 2026 / downside | 1.0% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| electricity revenue downside_h2_electricity | H2 2026 / downside | 18.29 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_revenue, downside_electricity_mix). |
| electricity annualized H2 run rate downside_electricity_runrate | FY2027 / downside | 36.57 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_electricity, two_runrate). |
| electricity growth versus annualized H2 downside_electricity_growth | FY2027 / downside | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| electricity annual revenue scenario downside_fy27_electricity | FY2027 / downside | 36.57 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(downside_electricity_runrate, downside_electricity_growth). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue downside_2026q3_weight | 2026Q3 / downside | 46.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue downside_2026q3_product_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 740.21 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_product, downside_2026q3_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin downside_2026q3_product_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit downside_2026q3_product_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / downside | 236.87 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_product_revenue, downside_2026q3_product_margin). |
| installation revenue downside_2026q3_installation_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 37.85 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_installation, downside_2026q3_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin downside_2026q3_installation_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | -8.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit downside_2026q3_installation_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / downside | -3.03 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_installation_revenue, downside_2026q3_installation_margin). |
| service revenue downside_2026q3_service_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 54.67 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_service, downside_2026q3_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin downside_2026q3_service_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit downside_2026q3_service_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / downside | 6.56 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_service_revenue, downside_2026q3_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue downside_2026q3_electricity_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 8.41 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_electricity, downside_2026q3_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin downside_2026q3_electricity_margin | 2026Q3 / downside | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit downside_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / downside | 2.10 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_electricity_revenue, downside_2026q3_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / downside | 841.15 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_product_revenue, downside_2026q3_installation_revenue, downside_2026q3_service_revenue, downside_2026q3_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit downside_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / downside | 242.50 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_product_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_installation_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_service_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses downside_2026q3_opex | 2026Q3 / downside | 185.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income downside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / downside | 57.50 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation downside_2026q3_noncash | 2026Q3 / downside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue downside_2026q3_wc_ratio | 2026Q3 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding downside_2026q3_other_wc | 2026Q3 / downside | 100.94 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q3_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses downside_2026q3_other | 2026Q3 / downside | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges downside_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / downside | 145.94 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_other_wc, downside_2026q3_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks downside_2026q3_cash_start | 2026Q3 / downside | 122.50 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q3_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding downside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2026Q3 / downside | -23.43 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cash_start, downside_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue downside_2026q3_customer_funding | 2026Q3 / downside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow downside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / downside | 26.57 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2026q3_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E downside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / downside | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex downside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / downside | -48.43 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q3_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue downside_2026q4_weight | 2026Q4 / downside | 54.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue downside_2026q4_product_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 868.94 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_product, downside_2026q4_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin downside_2026q4_product_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit downside_2026q4_product_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | 278.06 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_product_revenue, downside_2026q4_product_margin). |
| installation revenue downside_2026q4_installation_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 44.43 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_installation, downside_2026q4_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin downside_2026q4_installation_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | -8.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit downside_2026q4_installation_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | -3.55 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_installation_revenue, downside_2026q4_installation_margin). |
| service revenue downside_2026q4_service_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 64.18 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_service, downside_2026q4_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin downside_2026q4_service_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit downside_2026q4_service_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | 7.70 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_service_revenue, downside_2026q4_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue downside_2026q4_electricity_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 9.87 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_h2_electricity, downside_2026q4_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin downside_2026q4_electricity_margin | 2026Q4 / downside | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit downside_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | 2.47 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_electricity_revenue, downside_2026q4_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / downside | 987.43 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_product_revenue, downside_2026q4_installation_revenue, downside_2026q4_service_revenue, downside_2026q4_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit downside_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / downside | 284.68 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_product_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_installation_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_service_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses downside_2026q4_opex | 2026Q4 / downside | 192.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income downside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / downside | 92.68 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation downside_2026q4_noncash | 2026Q4 / downside | 67.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue downside_2026q4_wc_ratio | 2026Q4 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding downside_2026q4_other_wc | 2026Q4 / downside | 118.49 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2026q4_revenue, downside_2026q4_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses downside_2026q4_other | 2026Q4 / downside | 48.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges downside_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / downside | 166.49 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_other_wc, downside_2026q4_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks downside_2026q4_cash_start | 2026Q4 / downside | 159.68 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_operating_income, downside_2026q4_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding downside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2026Q4 / downside | -6.81 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cash_start, downside_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue downside_2026q4_customer_funding | 2026Q4 / downside | -25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow downside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / downside | -31.81 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2026q4_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E downside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / downside | 90.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex downside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / downside | -121.81 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2026q4_cfo, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue downside_2027q1_weight | 2027Q1 / downside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue downside_2027q1_product_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 778.83 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_product, downside_2027q1_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin downside_2027q1_product_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit downside_2027q1_product_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | 249.23 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_product_revenue, downside_2027q1_product_margin). |
| installation revenue downside_2027q1_installation_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 39.83 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_installation, downside_2027q1_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin downside_2027q1_installation_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | -8.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit downside_2027q1_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | -3.19 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_installation_revenue, downside_2027q1_installation_margin). |
| service revenue downside_2027q1_service_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 62.76 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_service, downside_2027q1_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin downside_2027q1_service_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit downside_2027q1_service_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | 7.53 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_service_revenue, downside_2027q1_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue downside_2027q1_electricity_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 8.05 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_electricity, downside_2027q1_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin downside_2027q1_electricity_margin | 2027Q1 / downside | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit downside_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | 2.01 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_electricity_revenue, downside_2027q1_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / downside | 889.46 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_product_revenue, downside_2027q1_installation_revenue, downside_2027q1_service_revenue, downside_2027q1_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit downside_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / downside | 255.58 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_product_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_installation_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_service_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses downside_2027q1_opex | 2027Q1 / downside | 199.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income downside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / downside | 56.58 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q1_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation downside_2027q1_noncash | 2027Q1 / downside | 69.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue downside_2027q1_wc_ratio | 2027Q1 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding downside_2027q1_other_wc | 2027Q1 / downside | 106.74 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q1_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses downside_2027q1_other | 2027Q1 / downside | 51.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges downside_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / downside | 157.74 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_other_wc, downside_2027q1_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks downside_2027q1_cash_start | 2027Q1 / downside | 125.58 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q1_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding downside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q1 / downside | -32.15 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cash_start, downside_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue downside_2027q1_customer_funding | 2027Q1 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / downside | -32.15 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q1_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E downside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / downside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex downside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / downside | -132.15 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q1_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue downside_2027q2_weight | 2027Q2 / downside | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue downside_2027q2_product_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 849.63 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_product, downside_2027q2_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin downside_2027q2_product_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit downside_2027q2_product_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | 271.88 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_product_revenue, downside_2027q2_product_margin). |
| installation revenue downside_2027q2_installation_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 43.45 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_installation, downside_2027q2_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin downside_2027q2_installation_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | -8.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit downside_2027q2_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | -3.48 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_installation_revenue, downside_2027q2_installation_margin). |
| service revenue downside_2027q2_service_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 68.46 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_service, downside_2027q2_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin downside_2027q2_service_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit downside_2027q2_service_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | 8.22 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_service_revenue, downside_2027q2_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue downside_2027q2_electricity_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 8.78 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_electricity, downside_2027q2_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin downside_2027q2_electricity_margin | 2027Q2 / downside | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit downside_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | 2.19 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_electricity_revenue, downside_2027q2_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / downside | 970.32 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_product_revenue, downside_2027q2_installation_revenue, downside_2027q2_service_revenue, downside_2027q2_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit downside_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / downside | 278.82 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_product_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_installation_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_service_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses downside_2027q2_opex | 2027Q2 / downside | 206.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income downside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / downside | 72.82 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation downside_2027q2_noncash | 2027Q2 / downside | 71.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue downside_2027q2_wc_ratio | 2027Q2 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding downside_2027q2_other_wc | 2027Q2 / downside | 116.44 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q2_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses downside_2027q2_other | 2027Q2 / downside | 54.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges downside_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / downside | 170.44 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_other_wc, downside_2027q2_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks downside_2027q2_cash_start | 2027Q2 / downside | 143.82 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q2_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding downside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q2 / downside | -26.62 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cash_start, downside_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue downside_2027q2_customer_funding | 2027Q2 / downside | 0.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / downside | -26.62 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q2_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E downside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / downside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex downside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / downside | -126.62 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q2_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue downside_2027q3_weight | 2027Q3 / downside | 26.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue downside_2027q3_product_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 920.43 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_product, downside_2027q3_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin downside_2027q3_product_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit downside_2027q3_product_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | 294.54 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_product_revenue, downside_2027q3_product_margin). |
| installation revenue downside_2027q3_installation_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 47.07 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_installation, downside_2027q3_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin downside_2027q3_installation_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | -8.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit downside_2027q3_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | -3.77 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_installation_revenue, downside_2027q3_installation_margin). |
| service revenue downside_2027q3_service_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 74.17 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_service, downside_2027q3_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin downside_2027q3_service_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit downside_2027q3_service_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | 8.90 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_service_revenue, downside_2027q3_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue downside_2027q3_electricity_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 9.51 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_electricity, downside_2027q3_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin downside_2027q3_electricity_margin | 2027Q3 / downside | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit downside_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | 2.38 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_electricity_revenue, downside_2027q3_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / downside | 1,051.18 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_product_revenue, downside_2027q3_installation_revenue, downside_2027q3_service_revenue, downside_2027q3_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit downside_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / downside | 302.05 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_product_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_installation_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_service_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses downside_2027q3_opex | 2027Q3 / downside | 213.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income downside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / downside | 89.05 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation downside_2027q3_noncash | 2027Q3 / downside | 73.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue downside_2027q3_wc_ratio | 2027Q3 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding downside_2027q3_other_wc | 2027Q3 / downside | 126.14 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q3_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses downside_2027q3_other | 2027Q3 / downside | 57.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges downside_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / downside | 183.14 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_other_wc, downside_2027q3_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks downside_2027q3_cash_start | 2027Q3 / downside | 162.05 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q3_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding downside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q3 / downside | -21.09 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cash_start, downside_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue downside_2027q3_customer_funding | 2027Q3 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / downside | 3.91 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q3_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E downside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / downside | 110.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex downside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / downside | -106.09 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q3_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue downside_2027q4_weight | 2027Q4 / downside | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue downside_2027q4_product_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 991.24 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_product, downside_2027q4_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin downside_2027q4_product_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 32.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit downside_2027q4_product_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | 317.20 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_product_revenue, downside_2027q4_product_margin). |
| installation revenue downside_2027q4_installation_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 50.69 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_installation, downside_2027q4_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin downside_2027q4_installation_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | -8.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit downside_2027q4_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | -4.06 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_installation_revenue, downside_2027q4_installation_margin). |
| service revenue downside_2027q4_service_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 79.87 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_service, downside_2027q4_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin downside_2027q4_service_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit downside_2027q4_service_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | 9.58 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_service_revenue, downside_2027q4_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue downside_2027q4_electricity_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 10.24 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(downside_fy27_electricity, downside_2027q4_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin downside_2027q4_electricity_margin | 2027Q4 / downside | 25.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit downside_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | 2.56 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_electricity_revenue, downside_2027q4_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue downside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / downside | 1,132.04 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_product_revenue, downside_2027q4_installation_revenue, downside_2027q4_service_revenue, downside_2027q4_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit downside_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / downside | 325.29 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_product_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_installation_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_service_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses downside_2027q4_opex | 2027Q4 / downside | 220.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income downside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / downside | 105.29 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation downside_2027q4_noncash | 2027Q4 / downside | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue downside_2027q4_wc_ratio | 2027Q4 / downside | 12.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding downside_2027q4_other_wc | 2027Q4 / downside | 135.84 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(downside_2027q4_revenue, downside_2027q4_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses downside_2027q4_other | 2027Q4 / downside | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges downside_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / downside | 195.84 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_other_wc, downside_2027q4_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks downside_2027q4_cash_start | 2027Q4 / downside | 180.29 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_operating_income, downside_2027q4_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding downside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q4 / downside | -15.56 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cash_start, downside_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue downside_2027q4_customer_funding | 2027Q4 / downside | 25.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow downside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / downside | 9.44 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(downside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q4_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E downside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / downside | 110.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex downside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / downside | -100.56 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(downside_2027q4_cfo, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| Revenue ($M) downside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / downside | 3,645.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, downside_2026q3_revenue, downside_2026q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) downside_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / downside | 1,108.30 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, downside_2026q3_gross_profit, downside_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income ($M) downside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / downside | 404.61 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, downside_2026q3_operating_income, downside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| CFO before net customer funding ($M) downside_fy2026_cfo_before_customer_funding | FY2026 / downside | -31.44 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding). |
| Net customer funding ($M) downside_fy2026_customer_funding | FY2026 / downside | 326.23 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_customer_funding, downside_2026q3_customer_funding, downside_2026q4_customer_funding). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) downside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / downside | 294.79 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, downside_2026q3_cfo, downside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Cash capex ($M) downside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / downside | 242.82 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, downside_2026q3_capex, downside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less capex ($M) downside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / downside | 51.97 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, downside_2026q3_fcf, downside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Revenue ($M) downside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / downside | 4,042.99 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_revenue, downside_2027q2_revenue, downside_2027q3_revenue, downside_2027q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) downside_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / downside | 1,161.73 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_gross_profit, downside_2027q2_gross_profit, downside_2027q3_gross_profit, downside_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income ($M) downside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / downside | 323.73 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_operating_income, downside_2027q2_operating_income, downside_2027q3_operating_income, downside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| CFO before net customer funding ($M) downside_fy2027_cfo_before_customer_funding | FY2027 / downside | -95.43 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, downside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding). |
| Net customer funding ($M) downside_fy2027_customer_funding | FY2027 / downside | 50.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_customer_funding, downside_2027q2_customer_funding, downside_2027q3_customer_funding, downside_2027q4_customer_funding). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) downside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / downside | -45.43 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_cfo, downside_2027q2_cfo, downside_2027q3_cfo, downside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Cash capex ($M) downside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / downside | 420.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_capex, downside_2027q2_capex, downside_2027q3_capex, downside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less capex ($M) downside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / downside | -465.43 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(downside_2027q1_fcf, downside_2027q2_fcf, downside_2027q3_fcf, downside_2027q4_fcf). |
| FY2026 revenue versus guidance midpoint base_delivery | FY2026 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk delivery sensitivity; downside and upside can lie outside the company range. |
| FY2026 revenue scenario base_annual_revenue_reference | FY2026 / base | 4,050.00 USD_millions | derived: Company guidance midpoint times desk realization. Formula: multiply(revenue_guide, base_delivery). |
| H2 revenue scenario base_h2_revenue | H2 2026 / base | 2,233.58 USD_millions | derived: Full-year scenario less reported H1. Formula: subtract(base_annual_revenue_reference, h1_revenue). |
| H2 product revenue mix base_product_mix | H2 2026 / base | 88.0% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| product revenue base_h2_product | H2 2026 / base | 1,965.55 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(base_h2_revenue, base_product_mix). |
| product annualized H2 run rate base_product_runrate | FY2027 / base | 3,931.10 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(base_h2_product, two_runrate). |
| product growth versus annualized H2 base_product_growth | FY2027 / base | 135.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| product annual revenue scenario base_fy27_product | FY2027 / base | 5,306.99 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(base_product_runrate, base_product_growth). |
| H2 installation revenue mix base_installation_mix | H2 2026 / base | 4.5% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| installation revenue base_h2_installation | H2 2026 / base | 100.51 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(base_h2_revenue, base_installation_mix). |
| installation annualized H2 run rate base_installation_runrate | FY2027 / base | 201.02 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(base_h2_installation, two_runrate). |
| installation growth versus annualized H2 base_installation_growth | FY2027 / base | 130.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| installation annual revenue scenario base_fy27_installation | FY2027 / base | 261.33 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(base_installation_runrate, base_installation_growth). |
| H2 service revenue mix base_service_mix | H2 2026 / base | 6.5% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| service revenue base_h2_service | H2 2026 / base | 145.18 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(base_h2_revenue, base_service_mix). |
| service annualized H2 run rate base_service_runrate | FY2027 / base | 290.37 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(base_h2_service, two_runrate). |
| service growth versus annualized H2 base_service_growth | FY2027 / base | 140.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| service annual revenue scenario base_fy27_service | FY2027 / base | 406.51 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(base_service_runrate, base_service_growth). |
| H2 electricity revenue mix base_electricity_mix | H2 2026 / base | 1.0% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| electricity revenue base_h2_electricity | H2 2026 / base | 22.34 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(base_h2_revenue, base_electricity_mix). |
| electricity annualized H2 run rate base_electricity_runrate | FY2027 / base | 44.67 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(base_h2_electricity, two_runrate). |
| electricity growth versus annualized H2 base_electricity_growth | FY2027 / base | 100.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| electricity annual revenue scenario base_fy27_electricity | FY2027 / base | 44.67 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(base_electricity_runrate, base_electricity_growth). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue base_2026q3_weight | 2026Q3 / base | 46.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue base_2026q3_product_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 904.15 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_product, base_2026q3_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin base_2026q3_product_margin | 2026Q3 / base | 37.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit base_2026q3_product_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / base | 334.54 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_product_revenue, base_2026q3_product_margin). |
| installation revenue base_2026q3_installation_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 46.24 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_installation, base_2026q3_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin base_2026q3_installation_margin | 2026Q3 / base | -3.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit base_2026q3_installation_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / base | -1.39 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_installation_revenue, base_2026q3_installation_margin). |
| service revenue base_2026q3_service_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 66.78 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_service, base_2026q3_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin base_2026q3_service_margin | 2026Q3 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit base_2026q3_service_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / base | 12.02 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_service_revenue, base_2026q3_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue base_2026q3_electricity_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 10.27 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_electricity, base_2026q3_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin base_2026q3_electricity_margin | 2026Q3 / base | 30.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit base_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / base | 3.08 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_electricity_revenue, base_2026q3_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / base | 1,027.45 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_product_revenue, base_2026q3_installation_revenue, base_2026q3_service_revenue, base_2026q3_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit base_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / base | 348.25 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_product_gross_profit, base_2026q3_installation_gross_profit, base_2026q3_service_gross_profit, base_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses base_2026q3_opex | 2026Q3 / base | 185.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income base_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / base | 163.25 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q3_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation base_2026q3_noncash | 2026Q3 / base | 68.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue base_2026q3_wc_ratio | 2026Q3 / base | 9.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding base_2026q3_other_wc | 2026Q3 / base | 92.47 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q3_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses base_2026q3_other | 2026Q3 / base | 45.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges base_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / base | 137.47 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_other_wc, base_2026q3_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks base_2026q3_cash_start | 2026Q3 / base | 231.25 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q3_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding base_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2026Q3 / base | 93.78 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cash_start, base_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue base_2026q3_customer_funding | 2026Q3 / base | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow base_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / base | 193.78 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2026q3_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E base_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / base | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex base_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / base | 128.78 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q3_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue base_2026q4_weight | 2026Q4 / base | 54.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue base_2026q4_product_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 1,061.40 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_product, base_2026q4_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin base_2026q4_product_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 37.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit base_2026q4_product_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 392.72 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_product_revenue, base_2026q4_product_margin). |
| installation revenue base_2026q4_installation_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 54.28 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_installation, base_2026q4_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin base_2026q4_installation_margin | 2026Q4 / base | -3.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit base_2026q4_installation_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / base | -1.63 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_installation_revenue, base_2026q4_installation_margin). |
| service revenue base_2026q4_service_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 78.40 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_service, base_2026q4_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin base_2026q4_service_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit base_2026q4_service_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 14.11 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_service_revenue, base_2026q4_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue base_2026q4_electricity_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 12.06 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_h2_electricity, base_2026q4_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin base_2026q4_electricity_margin | 2026Q4 / base | 30.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit base_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 3.62 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_electricity_revenue, base_2026q4_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / base | 1,206.13 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_product_revenue, base_2026q4_installation_revenue, base_2026q4_service_revenue, base_2026q4_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit base_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / base | 408.82 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_product_gross_profit, base_2026q4_installation_gross_profit, base_2026q4_service_gross_profit, base_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses base_2026q4_opex | 2026Q4 / base | 192.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income base_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / base | 216.82 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_gross_profit, base_2026q4_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation base_2026q4_noncash | 2026Q4 / base | 70.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue base_2026q4_wc_ratio | 2026Q4 / base | 9.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding base_2026q4_other_wc | 2026Q4 / base | 108.55 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2026q4_revenue, base_2026q4_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses base_2026q4_other | 2026Q4 / base | 48.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges base_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / base | 156.55 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_other_wc, base_2026q4_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks base_2026q4_cash_start | 2026Q4 / base | 286.82 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_operating_income, base_2026q4_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding base_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2026Q4 / base | 130.27 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cash_start, base_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue base_2026q4_customer_funding | 2026Q4 / base | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow base_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / base | 230.27 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2026q4_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E base_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / base | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex base_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / base | 150.27 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2026q4_cfo, base_2026q4_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue base_2027q1_weight | 2027Q1 / base | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue base_2027q1_product_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 1,167.54 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_product, base_2027q1_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin base_2027q1_product_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 37.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit base_2027q1_product_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / base | 431.99 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_product_revenue, base_2027q1_product_margin). |
| installation revenue base_2027q1_installation_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 57.49 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_installation, base_2027q1_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin base_2027q1_installation_margin | 2027Q1 / base | -3.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit base_2027q1_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / base | -1.72 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_installation_revenue, base_2027q1_installation_margin). |
| service revenue base_2027q1_service_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 89.43 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_service, base_2027q1_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin base_2027q1_service_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit base_2027q1_service_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / base | 16.10 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_service_revenue, base_2027q1_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue base_2027q1_electricity_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 9.83 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_electricity, base_2027q1_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin base_2027q1_electricity_margin | 2027Q1 / base | 30.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit base_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / base | 2.95 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_electricity_revenue, base_2027q1_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / base | 1,324.29 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_product_revenue, base_2027q1_installation_revenue, base_2027q1_service_revenue, base_2027q1_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit base_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / base | 449.31 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_product_gross_profit, base_2027q1_installation_gross_profit, base_2027q1_service_gross_profit, base_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses base_2027q1_opex | 2027Q1 / base | 199.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income base_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / base | 250.31 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q1_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation base_2027q1_noncash | 2027Q1 / base | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue base_2027q1_wc_ratio | 2027Q1 / base | 9.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding base_2027q1_other_wc | 2027Q1 / base | 119.19 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q1_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses base_2027q1_other | 2027Q1 / base | 51.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges base_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / base | 170.19 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_other_wc, base_2027q1_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks base_2027q1_cash_start | 2027Q1 / base | 322.31 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q1_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding base_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q1 / base | 152.12 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cash_start, base_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue base_2027q1_customer_funding | 2027Q1 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / base | 202.12 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q1_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E base_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex base_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / base | 127.12 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q1_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue base_2027q2_weight | 2027Q2 / base | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue base_2027q2_product_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 1,273.68 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_product, base_2027q2_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin base_2027q2_product_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 37.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit base_2027q2_product_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / base | 471.26 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_product_revenue, base_2027q2_product_margin). |
| installation revenue base_2027q2_installation_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 62.72 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_installation, base_2027q2_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin base_2027q2_installation_margin | 2027Q2 / base | -3.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit base_2027q2_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / base | -1.88 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_installation_revenue, base_2027q2_installation_margin). |
| service revenue base_2027q2_service_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 97.56 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_service, base_2027q2_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin base_2027q2_service_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit base_2027q2_service_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / base | 17.56 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_service_revenue, base_2027q2_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue base_2027q2_electricity_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 10.72 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_electricity, base_2027q2_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin base_2027q2_electricity_margin | 2027Q2 / base | 30.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit base_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / base | 3.22 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_electricity_revenue, base_2027q2_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / base | 1,444.68 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_product_revenue, base_2027q2_installation_revenue, base_2027q2_service_revenue, base_2027q2_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit base_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / base | 490.16 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_product_gross_profit, base_2027q2_installation_gross_profit, base_2027q2_service_gross_profit, base_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses base_2027q2_opex | 2027Q2 / base | 206.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income base_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / base | 284.16 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q2_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation base_2027q2_noncash | 2027Q2 / base | 74.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue base_2027q2_wc_ratio | 2027Q2 / base | 9.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding base_2027q2_other_wc | 2027Q2 / base | 130.02 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q2_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses base_2027q2_other | 2027Q2 / base | 54.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges base_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / base | 184.02 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_other_wc, base_2027q2_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks base_2027q2_cash_start | 2027Q2 / base | 358.16 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q2_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding base_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q2 / base | 174.14 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cash_start, base_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue base_2027q2_customer_funding | 2027Q2 / base | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / base | 224.14 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q2_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E base_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex base_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / base | 149.14 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q2_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue base_2027q3_weight | 2027Q3 / base | 26.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue base_2027q3_product_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 1,379.82 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_product, base_2027q3_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin base_2027q3_product_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 37.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit base_2027q3_product_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / base | 510.53 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_product_revenue, base_2027q3_product_margin). |
| installation revenue base_2027q3_installation_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 67.95 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_installation, base_2027q3_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin base_2027q3_installation_margin | 2027Q3 / base | -3.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit base_2027q3_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / base | -2.04 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_installation_revenue, base_2027q3_installation_margin). |
| service revenue base_2027q3_service_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 105.69 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_service, base_2027q3_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin base_2027q3_service_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit base_2027q3_service_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / base | 19.02 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_service_revenue, base_2027q3_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue base_2027q3_electricity_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 11.61 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_electricity, base_2027q3_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin base_2027q3_electricity_margin | 2027Q3 / base | 30.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit base_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / base | 3.48 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_electricity_revenue, base_2027q3_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / base | 1,565.07 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_product_revenue, base_2027q3_installation_revenue, base_2027q3_service_revenue, base_2027q3_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit base_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / base | 531.00 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_product_gross_profit, base_2027q3_installation_gross_profit, base_2027q3_service_gross_profit, base_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses base_2027q3_opex | 2027Q3 / base | 213.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income base_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / base | 318.00 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q3_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation base_2027q3_noncash | 2027Q3 / base | 76.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue base_2027q3_wc_ratio | 2027Q3 / base | 9.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding base_2027q3_other_wc | 2027Q3 / base | 140.86 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q3_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses base_2027q3_other | 2027Q3 / base | 57.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges base_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / base | 197.86 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_other_wc, base_2027q3_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks base_2027q3_cash_start | 2027Q3 / base | 394.00 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q3_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding base_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q3 / base | 196.15 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cash_start, base_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue base_2027q3_customer_funding | 2027Q3 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / base | 271.15 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q3_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E base_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / base | 90.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex base_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / base | 181.15 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q3_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue base_2027q4_weight | 2027Q4 / base | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue base_2027q4_product_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 1,485.96 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_product, base_2027q4_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin base_2027q4_product_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 37.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit base_2027q4_product_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / base | 549.80 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_product_revenue, base_2027q4_product_margin). |
| installation revenue base_2027q4_installation_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 73.17 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_installation, base_2027q4_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin base_2027q4_installation_margin | 2027Q4 / base | -3.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit base_2027q4_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / base | -2.20 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_installation_revenue, base_2027q4_installation_margin). |
| service revenue base_2027q4_service_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 113.82 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_service, base_2027q4_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin base_2027q4_service_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 18.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit base_2027q4_service_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / base | 20.49 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_service_revenue, base_2027q4_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue base_2027q4_electricity_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 12.51 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(base_fy27_electricity, base_2027q4_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin base_2027q4_electricity_margin | 2027Q4 / base | 30.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit base_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / base | 3.75 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_electricity_revenue, base_2027q4_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue base_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / base | 1,685.46 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_product_revenue, base_2027q4_installation_revenue, base_2027q4_service_revenue, base_2027q4_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit base_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / base | 571.85 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_product_gross_profit, base_2027q4_installation_gross_profit, base_2027q4_service_gross_profit, base_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses base_2027q4_opex | 2027Q4 / base | 220.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income base_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / base | 351.85 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_gross_profit, base_2027q4_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation base_2027q4_noncash | 2027Q4 / base | 78.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue base_2027q4_wc_ratio | 2027Q4 / base | 9.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding base_2027q4_other_wc | 2027Q4 / base | 151.69 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(base_2027q4_revenue, base_2027q4_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses base_2027q4_other | 2027Q4 / base | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges base_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / base | 211.69 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_other_wc, base_2027q4_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks base_2027q4_cash_start | 2027Q4 / base | 429.85 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_operating_income, base_2027q4_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding base_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q4 / base | 218.16 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cash_start, base_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue base_2027q4_customer_funding | 2027Q4 / base | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow base_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / base | 293.16 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(base_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q4_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E base_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / base | 90.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex base_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / base | 203.16 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(base_2027q4_cfo, base_2027q4_capex). |
| Revenue ($M) base_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / base | 4,050.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, base_2026q3_revenue, base_2026q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) base_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / base | 1,338.19 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, base_2026q3_gross_profit, base_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income ($M) base_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / base | 634.50 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, base_2026q3_operating_income, base_2026q4_operating_income). |
| CFO before net customer funding ($M) base_fy2026_cfo_before_customer_funding | FY2026 / base | 222.86 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding). |
| Net customer funding ($M) base_fy2026_customer_funding | FY2026 / base | 501.23 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_customer_funding, base_2026q3_customer_funding, base_2026q4_customer_funding). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) base_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / base | 724.09 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, base_2026q3_cfo, base_2026q4_cfo). |
| Cash capex ($M) base_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / base | 222.82 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, base_2026q3_capex, base_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less capex ($M) base_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / base | 501.27 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, base_2026q3_fcf, base_2026q4_fcf). |
| Revenue ($M) base_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / base | 6,019.50 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_revenue, base_2027q2_revenue, base_2027q3_revenue, base_2027q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) base_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / base | 2,042.32 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_gross_profit, base_2027q2_gross_profit, base_2027q3_gross_profit, base_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income ($M) base_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / base | 1,204.32 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_operating_income, base_2027q2_operating_income, base_2027q3_operating_income, base_2027q4_operating_income). |
| CFO before net customer funding ($M) base_fy2027_cfo_before_customer_funding | FY2027 / base | 740.56 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, base_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding). |
| Net customer funding ($M) base_fy2027_customer_funding | FY2027 / base | 250.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_customer_funding, base_2027q2_customer_funding, base_2027q3_customer_funding, base_2027q4_customer_funding). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) base_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / base | 990.56 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_cfo, base_2027q2_cfo, base_2027q3_cfo, base_2027q4_cfo). |
| Cash capex ($M) base_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / base | 330.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_capex, base_2027q2_capex, base_2027q3_capex, base_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less capex ($M) base_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / base | 660.56 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(base_2027q1_fcf, base_2027q2_fcf, base_2027q3_fcf, base_2027q4_fcf). |
| FY2026 revenue versus guidance midpoint upside_delivery | FY2026 / upside | 106.0% ratio | assumption: Desk delivery sensitivity; downside and upside can lie outside the company range. |
| FY2026 revenue scenario upside_annual_revenue_reference | FY2026 / upside | 4,293.00 USD_millions | derived: Company guidance midpoint times desk realization. Formula: multiply(revenue_guide, upside_delivery). |
| H2 revenue scenario upside_h2_revenue | H2 2026 / upside | 2,476.58 USD_millions | derived: Full-year scenario less reported H1. Formula: subtract(upside_annual_revenue_reference, h1_revenue). |
| H2 product revenue mix upside_product_mix | H2 2026 / upside | 88.0% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| product revenue upside_h2_product | H2 2026 / upside | 2,179.39 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_revenue, upside_product_mix). |
| product annualized H2 run rate upside_product_runrate | FY2027 / upside | 4,358.78 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_product, two_runrate). |
| product growth versus annualized H2 upside_product_growth | FY2027 / upside | 160.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| product annual revenue scenario upside_fy27_product | FY2027 / upside | 6,974.05 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(upside_product_runrate, upside_product_growth). |
| H2 installation revenue mix upside_installation_mix | H2 2026 / upside | 4.5% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| installation revenue upside_h2_installation | H2 2026 / upside | 111.45 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_revenue, upside_installation_mix). |
| installation annualized H2 run rate upside_installation_runrate | FY2027 / upside | 222.89 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_installation, two_runrate). |
| installation growth versus annualized H2 upside_installation_growth | FY2027 / upside | 145.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| installation annual revenue scenario upside_fy27_installation | FY2027 / upside | 323.19 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(upside_installation_runrate, upside_installation_growth). |
| H2 service revenue mix upside_service_mix | H2 2026 / upside | 6.5% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| service revenue upside_h2_service | H2 2026 / upside | 160.98 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_revenue, upside_service_mix). |
| service annualized H2 run rate upside_service_runrate | FY2027 / upside | 321.96 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_service, two_runrate). |
| service growth versus annualized H2 upside_service_growth | FY2027 / upside | 160.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| service annual revenue scenario upside_fy27_service | FY2027 / upside | 515.13 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(upside_service_runrate, upside_service_growth). |
| H2 electricity revenue mix upside_electricity_mix | H2 2026 / upside | 1.0% ratio | assumption: Desk segment mix; four components sum to one. |
| electricity revenue upside_h2_electricity | H2 2026 / upside | 24.77 USD_millions | derived: H2 total times segment share. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_revenue, upside_electricity_mix). |
| electricity annualized H2 run rate upside_electricity_runrate | FY2027 / upside | 49.53 USD_millions | derived: Annualizes modeled H2, including its revenue-recognition mix. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_electricity, two_runrate). |
| electricity growth versus annualized H2 upside_electricity_growth | FY2027 / upside | 105.0% ratio | assumption: Desk growth multiplier; not company guidance or disclosed backlog. |
| electricity annual revenue scenario upside_fy27_electricity | FY2027 / upside | 52.01 USD_millions | derived: Separate segment growth applied to modeled H2 annual run rate. Formula: multiply(upside_electricity_runrate, upside_electricity_growth). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue upside_2026q3_weight | 2026Q3 / upside | 46.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue upside_2026q3_product_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 1,002.52 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_product, upside_2026q3_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin upside_2026q3_product_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 40.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit upside_2026q3_product_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / upside | 401.01 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_product_revenue, upside_2026q3_product_margin). |
| installation revenue upside_2026q3_installation_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 51.27 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_installation, upside_2026q3_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin upside_2026q3_installation_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 2.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit upside_2026q3_installation_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / upside | 1.03 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_installation_revenue, upside_2026q3_installation_margin). |
| service revenue upside_2026q3_service_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 74.05 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_service, upside_2026q3_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin upside_2026q3_service_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit upside_2026q3_service_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / upside | 17.03 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_service_revenue, upside_2026q3_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue upside_2026q3_electricity_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 11.39 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_electricity, upside_2026q3_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin upside_2026q3_electricity_margin | 2026Q3 / upside | 33.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit upside_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / upside | 3.76 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_electricity_revenue, upside_2026q3_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2026q3_revenue | 2026Q3 / upside | 1,139.23 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_product_revenue, upside_2026q3_installation_revenue, upside_2026q3_service_revenue, upside_2026q3_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit upside_2026q3_gross_profit | 2026Q3 / upside | 422.82 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_product_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_installation_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_service_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses upside_2026q3_opex | 2026Q3 / upside | 190.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income upside_2026q3_operating_income | 2026Q3 / upside | 232.82 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation upside_2026q3_noncash | 2026Q3 / upside | 70.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue upside_2026q3_wc_ratio | 2026Q3 / upside | 7.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding upside_2026q3_other_wc | 2026Q3 / upside | 79.75 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q3_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses upside_2026q3_other | 2026Q3 / upside | 50.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges upside_2026q3_cash_uses | 2026Q3 / upside | 129.75 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_other_wc, upside_2026q3_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks upside_2026q3_cash_start | 2026Q3 / upside | 302.82 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q3_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding upside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2026Q3 / upside | 173.08 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cash_start, upside_2026q3_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue upside_2026q3_customer_funding | 2026Q3 / upside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow upside_2026q3_cfo | 2026Q3 / upside | 323.08 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2026q3_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E upside_2026q3_capex | 2026Q3 / upside | 60.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex upside_2026q3_fcf | 2026Q3 / upside | 263.08 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q3_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue upside_2026q4_weight | 2026Q4 / upside | 54.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue upside_2026q4_product_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 1,176.87 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_product, upside_2026q4_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin upside_2026q4_product_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 40.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit upside_2026q4_product_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 470.75 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_product_revenue, upside_2026q4_product_margin). |
| installation revenue upside_2026q4_installation_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 60.18 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_installation, upside_2026q4_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin upside_2026q4_installation_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 2.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit upside_2026q4_installation_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 1.20 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_installation_revenue, upside_2026q4_installation_margin). |
| service revenue upside_2026q4_service_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 86.93 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_service, upside_2026q4_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin upside_2026q4_service_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit upside_2026q4_service_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 19.99 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_service_revenue, upside_2026q4_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue upside_2026q4_electricity_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 13.37 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_h2_electricity, upside_2026q4_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin upside_2026q4_electricity_margin | 2026Q4 / upside | 33.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit upside_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 4.41 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_electricity_revenue, upside_2026q4_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2026q4_revenue | 2026Q4 / upside | 1,337.35 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_product_revenue, upside_2026q4_installation_revenue, upside_2026q4_service_revenue, upside_2026q4_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit upside_2026q4_gross_profit | 2026Q4 / upside | 496.36 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_product_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_installation_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_service_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses upside_2026q4_opex | 2026Q4 / upside | 198.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income upside_2026q4_operating_income | 2026Q4 / upside | 298.36 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation upside_2026q4_noncash | 2026Q4 / upside | 72.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue upside_2026q4_wc_ratio | 2026Q4 / upside | 7.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding upside_2026q4_other_wc | 2026Q4 / upside | 93.61 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2026q4_revenue, upside_2026q4_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses upside_2026q4_other | 2026Q4 / upside | 53.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges upside_2026q4_cash_uses | 2026Q4 / upside | 146.61 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_other_wc, upside_2026q4_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks upside_2026q4_cash_start | 2026Q4 / upside | 370.36 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_operating_income, upside_2026q4_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding upside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2026Q4 / upside | 223.74 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cash_start, upside_2026q4_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue upside_2026q4_customer_funding | 2026Q4 / upside | 150.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow upside_2026q4_cfo | 2026Q4 / upside | 373.74 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2026q4_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E upside_2026q4_capex | 2026Q4 / upside | 75.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex upside_2026q4_fcf | 2026Q4 / upside | 298.74 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2026q4_cfo, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue upside_2027q1_weight | 2027Q1 / upside | 22.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue upside_2027q1_product_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 1,534.29 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_product, upside_2027q1_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin upside_2027q1_product_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 40.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit upside_2027q1_product_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 613.72 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_product_revenue, upside_2027q1_product_margin). |
| installation revenue upside_2027q1_installation_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 71.10 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_installation, upside_2027q1_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin upside_2027q1_installation_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 2.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit upside_2027q1_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 1.42 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_installation_revenue, upside_2027q1_installation_margin). |
| service revenue upside_2027q1_service_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 113.33 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_service, upside_2027q1_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin upside_2027q1_service_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit upside_2027q1_service_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 26.07 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_service_revenue, upside_2027q1_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue upside_2027q1_electricity_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 11.44 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_electricity, upside_2027q1_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin upside_2027q1_electricity_margin | 2027Q1 / upside | 33.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit upside_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 3.78 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_electricity_revenue, upside_2027q1_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q1_revenue | 2027Q1 / upside | 1,730.16 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_product_revenue, upside_2027q1_installation_revenue, upside_2027q1_service_revenue, upside_2027q1_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit upside_2027q1_gross_profit | 2027Q1 / upside | 644.98 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_product_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_installation_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_service_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses upside_2027q1_opex | 2027Q1 / upside | 206.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income upside_2027q1_operating_income | 2027Q1 / upside | 438.98 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q1_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation upside_2027q1_noncash | 2027Q1 / upside | 74.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue upside_2027q1_wc_ratio | 2027Q1 / upside | 7.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding upside_2027q1_other_wc | 2027Q1 / upside | 121.11 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q1_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses upside_2027q1_other | 2027Q1 / upside | 56.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges upside_2027q1_cash_uses | 2027Q1 / upside | 177.11 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_other_wc, upside_2027q1_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks upside_2027q1_cash_start | 2027Q1 / upside | 512.98 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q1_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding upside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q1 / upside | 335.87 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cash_start, upside_2027q1_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue upside_2027q1_customer_funding | 2027Q1 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q1_cfo | 2027Q1 / upside | 435.87 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q1_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E upside_2027q1_capex | 2027Q1 / upside | 70.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex upside_2027q1_fcf | 2027Q1 / upside | 365.87 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q1_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue upside_2027q2_weight | 2027Q2 / upside | 24.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue upside_2027q2_product_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 1,673.77 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_product, upside_2027q2_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin upside_2027q2_product_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 40.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit upside_2027q2_product_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 669.51 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_product_revenue, upside_2027q2_product_margin). |
| installation revenue upside_2027q2_installation_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 77.57 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_installation, upside_2027q2_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin upside_2027q2_installation_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 2.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit upside_2027q2_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 1.55 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_installation_revenue, upside_2027q2_installation_margin). |
| service revenue upside_2027q2_service_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 123.63 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_service, upside_2027q2_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin upside_2027q2_service_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit upside_2027q2_service_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 28.44 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_service_revenue, upside_2027q2_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue upside_2027q2_electricity_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 12.48 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_electricity, upside_2027q2_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin upside_2027q2_electricity_margin | 2027Q2 / upside | 33.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit upside_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 4.12 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_electricity_revenue, upside_2027q2_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q2_revenue | 2027Q2 / upside | 1,887.45 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_product_revenue, upside_2027q2_installation_revenue, upside_2027q2_service_revenue, upside_2027q2_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit upside_2027q2_gross_profit | 2027Q2 / upside | 703.61 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_product_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_installation_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_service_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses upside_2027q2_opex | 2027Q2 / upside | 214.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income upside_2027q2_operating_income | 2027Q2 / upside | 489.61 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation upside_2027q2_noncash | 2027Q2 / upside | 76.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue upside_2027q2_wc_ratio | 2027Q2 / upside | 7.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding upside_2027q2_other_wc | 2027Q2 / upside | 132.12 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q2_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses upside_2027q2_other | 2027Q2 / upside | 59.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges upside_2027q2_cash_uses | 2027Q2 / upside | 191.12 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_other_wc, upside_2027q2_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks upside_2027q2_cash_start | 2027Q2 / upside | 565.61 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q2_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding upside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q2 / upside | 374.49 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cash_start, upside_2027q2_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue upside_2027q2_customer_funding | 2027Q2 / upside | 100.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q2_cfo | 2027Q2 / upside | 474.49 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q2_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E upside_2027q2_capex | 2027Q2 / upside | 70.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex upside_2027q2_fcf | 2027Q2 / upside | 404.49 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q2_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue upside_2027q3_weight | 2027Q3 / upside | 26.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue upside_2027q3_product_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 1,813.25 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_product, upside_2027q3_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin upside_2027q3_product_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 40.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit upside_2027q3_product_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 725.30 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_product_revenue, upside_2027q3_product_margin). |
| installation revenue upside_2027q3_installation_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 84.03 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_installation, upside_2027q3_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin upside_2027q3_installation_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 2.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit upside_2027q3_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 1.68 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_installation_revenue, upside_2027q3_installation_margin). |
| service revenue upside_2027q3_service_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 133.93 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_service, upside_2027q3_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin upside_2027q3_service_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit upside_2027q3_service_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 30.80 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_service_revenue, upside_2027q3_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue upside_2027q3_electricity_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 13.52 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_electricity, upside_2027q3_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin upside_2027q3_electricity_margin | 2027Q3 / upside | 33.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit upside_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 4.46 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_electricity_revenue, upside_2027q3_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q3_revenue | 2027Q3 / upside | 2,044.74 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_product_revenue, upside_2027q3_installation_revenue, upside_2027q3_service_revenue, upside_2027q3_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit upside_2027q3_gross_profit | 2027Q3 / upside | 762.25 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_product_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_installation_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_service_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses upside_2027q3_opex | 2027Q3 / upside | 222.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income upside_2027q3_operating_income | 2027Q3 / upside | 540.25 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation upside_2027q3_noncash | 2027Q3 / upside | 78.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue upside_2027q3_wc_ratio | 2027Q3 / upside | 7.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding upside_2027q3_other_wc | 2027Q3 / upside | 143.13 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q3_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses upside_2027q3_other | 2027Q3 / upside | 62.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges upside_2027q3_cash_uses | 2027Q3 / upside | 205.13 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_other_wc, upside_2027q3_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks upside_2027q3_cash_start | 2027Q3 / upside | 618.25 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q3_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding upside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q3 / upside | 413.12 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cash_start, upside_2027q3_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue upside_2027q3_customer_funding | 2027Q3 / upside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q3_cfo | 2027Q3 / upside | 538.12 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q3_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E upside_2027q3_capex | 2027Q3 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex upside_2027q3_fcf | 2027Q3 / upside | 458.12 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q3_capex). |
| Share of H2 or FY2027 segment revenue upside_2027q4_weight | 2027Q4 / upside | 28.0% ratio | assumption: Desk phasing; H2 shares and four FY2027 shares each sum to one. |
| product revenue upside_2027q4_product_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 1,952.73 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_product, upside_2027q4_weight). |
| product GAAP gross margin upside_2027q4_product_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 40.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| product GAAP gross profit upside_2027q4_product_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 781.09 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_product_revenue, upside_2027q4_product_margin). |
| installation revenue upside_2027q4_installation_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 90.49 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_installation, upside_2027q4_weight). |
| installation GAAP gross margin upside_2027q4_installation_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 2.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| installation GAAP gross profit upside_2027q4_installation_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 1.81 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_installation_revenue, upside_2027q4_installation_margin). |
| service revenue upside_2027q4_service_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 144.24 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_service, upside_2027q4_weight). |
| service GAAP gross margin upside_2027q4_service_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 23.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| service GAAP gross profit upside_2027q4_service_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 33.17 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_service_revenue, upside_2027q4_service_margin). |
| electricity revenue upside_2027q4_electricity_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 14.56 USD_millions | derived: Segment period reference times quarter allocation. Formula: multiply(upside_fy27_electricity, upside_2027q4_weight). |
| electricity GAAP gross margin upside_2027q4_electricity_margin | 2027Q4 / upside | 33.0% ratio | assumption: Includes expected warranty/product costs; no reserve reversal or stock-compensation exclusion. |
| electricity GAAP gross profit upside_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 4.81 USD_millions | derived: Revenue times segment GAAP gross margin. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_electricity_revenue, upside_2027q4_electricity_margin). |
| Consolidated revenue upside_2027q4_revenue | 2027Q4 / upside | 2,202.03 USD_millions | derived: Four revenue categories, including installation and service. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_product_revenue, upside_2027q4_installation_revenue, upside_2027q4_service_revenue, upside_2027q4_electricity_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit upside_2027q4_gross_profit | 2027Q4 / upside | 820.88 USD_millions | derived: Sum of segment gross profits, retaining installation losses. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_product_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_installation_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_service_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_electricity_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating expenses upside_2027q4_opex | 2027Q4 / upside | 230.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| GAAP operating income upside_2027q4_operating_income | 2027Q4 / upside | 590.88 USD_millions | derived: Includes stock compensation in GAAP expense; not adjusted guidance. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_opex). |
| Noncash depreciation and stock compensation upside_2027q4_noncash | 2027Q4 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Desk noncash addback informed by $127.457M H1 combined D&A and SBC. Not economic owner earnings. |
| Other working-capital cash use / revenue upside_2027q4_wc_ratio | 2027Q4 / upside | 7.0% ratio | assumption: Desk assumption, not company guidance. |
| Working-capital cash use excluding funding upside_2027q4_other_wc | 2027Q4 / upside | 154.14 USD_millions | derived: Inventory, receivables, payables and warranty settlement allowance; deposits are separate. Formula: multiply(upside_2027q4_revenue, upside_2027q4_wc_ratio). |
| Net cash tax, interest and other uses upside_2027q4_other | 2027Q4 / upside | 65.00 USD_millions | assumption: Net cash allowance after interest income; nonoperating valuation gains are not extrapolated. |
| Other working capital and cash charges upside_2027q4_cash_uses | 2027Q4 / upside | 219.14 USD_millions | derived: Excludes separately modeled customer funding. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_other_wc, upside_2027q4_other). |
| Operating income plus noncash addbacks upside_2027q4_cash_start | 2027Q4 / upside | 670.88 USD_millions | derived: Starting cash bridge, not EBITDA guidance. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_operating_income, upside_2027q4_noncash). |
| CFO before net customer funding upside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding | 2027Q4 / upside | 451.74 USD_millions | derived: Removes modeled net deposits and deferred revenue from CFO. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cash_start, upside_2027q4_cash_uses). |
| Net customer deposits and deferred revenue upside_2027q4_customer_funding | 2027Q4 / upside | 125.00 USD_millions | assumption: Cash timing only; negative means net release. Not incremental revenue or profit. |
| Operating cash flow upside_2027q4_cfo | 2027Q4 / upside | 576.74 USD_millions | derived: Cash before customer funding plus net funding contribution. Formula: sum(upside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q4_customer_funding). |
| Cash purchases of PP&E upside_2027q4_capex | 2027Q4 / upside | 80.00 USD_millions | assumption: Manufacturing expansion and maintenance cash spending assumption; no acquisition cash. |
| CFO less capex upside_2027q4_fcf | 2027Q4 / upside | 496.74 USD_millions | derived: Includes net customer funding; compare the separately visible unfunded operating cash measure. Formula: subtract(upside_2027q4_cfo, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| Revenue ($M) upside_fy2026_revenue | FY2026 / upside | 4,293.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_revenue, upside_2026q3_revenue, upside_2026q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) upside_fy2026_gross_profit | FY2026 / upside | 1,500.30 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_gross_profit, upside_2026q3_gross_profit, upside_2026q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income ($M) upside_fy2026_operating_income | FY2026 / upside | 785.61 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_operating_income, upside_2026q3_operating_income, upside_2026q4_operating_income). |
| CFO before net customer funding ($M) upside_fy2026_cfo_before_customer_funding | FY2026 / upside | 395.63 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2026q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2026q4_cfo_before_customer_funding). |
| Net customer funding ($M) upside_fy2026_customer_funding | FY2026 / upside | 601.23 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_customer_funding, upside_2026q3_customer_funding, upside_2026q4_customer_funding). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) upside_fy2026_cfo | FY2026 / upside | 996.86 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_cfo, upside_2026q3_cfo, upside_2026q4_cfo). |
| Cash capex ($M) upside_fy2026_capex | FY2026 / upside | 212.82 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_capex, upside_2026q3_capex, upside_2026q4_capex). |
| CFO less capex ($M) upside_fy2026_fcf | FY2026 / upside | 784.04 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(h1_fcf, upside_2026q3_fcf, upside_2026q4_fcf). |
| Revenue ($M) upside_fy2027_revenue | FY2027 / upside | 7,864.38 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_revenue, upside_2027q2_revenue, upside_2027q3_revenue, upside_2027q4_revenue). |
| GAAP gross profit ($M) upside_fy2027_gross_profit | FY2027 / upside | 2,931.73 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_gross_profit, upside_2027q2_gross_profit, upside_2027q3_gross_profit, upside_2027q4_gross_profit). |
| GAAP operating income ($M) upside_fy2027_operating_income | FY2027 / upside | 2,059.73 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_operating_income, upside_2027q2_operating_income, upside_2027q3_operating_income, upside_2027q4_operating_income). |
| CFO before net customer funding ($M) upside_fy2027_cfo_before_customer_funding | FY2027 / upside | 1,575.22 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q2_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q3_cfo_before_customer_funding, upside_2027q4_cfo_before_customer_funding). |
| Net customer funding ($M) upside_fy2027_customer_funding | FY2027 / upside | 450.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_customer_funding, upside_2027q2_customer_funding, upside_2027q3_customer_funding, upside_2027q4_customer_funding). |
| Operating cash flow ($M) upside_fy2027_cfo | FY2027 / upside | 2,025.22 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_cfo, upside_2027q2_cfo, upside_2027q3_cfo, upside_2027q4_cfo). |
| Cash capex ($M) upside_fy2027_capex | FY2027 / upside | 300.00 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_capex, upside_2027q2_capex, upside_2027q3_capex, upside_2027q4_capex). |
| CFO less capex ($M) upside_fy2027_fcf | FY2027 / upside | 1,725.22 USD_millions | derived: Reported year-to-date amount plus remaining forecast quarters, or sum of four forecast quarters. Formula: sum(upside_2027q1_fcf, upside_2027q2_fcf, upside_2027q3_fcf, upside_2027q4_fcf). |
Model boundaries
- Desk scenarios are not company guidance, paid consensus, a complete balance sheet or an equity valuation. Forecast EPS is omitted because converts, dilution and noncontrolling interests require a separate ownership model.
- The company margin, operating-income and EPS guidance is non-GAAP. The modeled gross profit and operating income are GAAP scenarios and are not forced to equal those adjusted targets.
- Cash before customer funding removes the net deferred-revenue/customer-deposit cash-flow line, not all customer receipts. Other working capital and warranty cash spending remain separate assumptions.
- Product gross margins include warranty economics; no automatic reserve reversal or non-GAAP addback is assumed. Related-party revenue and deferred JV profit can alter recognition and cash timing.
- FY2027 segment growth and capex are desk assumptions. Marketing comparisons of future power-system cost do not become contracted orders or modeled revenue.
From fuel-cell deliveries to cash without deposit support
Can rising power-system shipments produce durable cash after warranty, manufacturing and working-capital needs?
H1 revenue reached $1,816.4M and GAAP operating income $254.4M. Q2 product revenue was $935.4M, while service generated $12.9M gross profit and installation remained slightly loss-making. The company raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $3.9B-$4.2B; its approximately 34% margin and $800M-$900M operating-income targets are non-GAAP. H1 CFO before the $301.2M net customer-funding contribution was negative $1.2M. Q2 alone generated $14.7M before that line. A specific $58.3M assurance warranty reserve and related-party revenue concentration require attention: H1 related-party revenue was $376.1M, but only $2.8M occurred in Q2. June unrestricted cash was $2,666.9M against $2,470.7M long-term recourse debt, with additional current debt and finance obligations.
The competing explanation
Power scarcity can support strong demand while delivery or warranty execution disappoints. Deposits can reverse, high product growth can require inventory and factory spending, and related-party arrangements can complicate the relationship between recognized revenue and cash.
Risks to track
- Large deployments create customer and delivery concentration.
- Warranty performance can consume future cash even after a reserve is recorded.
- Deposits and deferred revenue are temporary funding, not incremental profit.
- Service profitability depends on fleet reliability and contract pricing.
- Related-party and joint-venture arrangements can defer profit or change cash timing.
- Convertible debt and equity compensation can dilute per-share outcomes.
Next checkpoints
- Next results · Q3 2026; release date unconfirmed (estimated). Check product acceptance, service gross profit and GAAP versus adjusted expenses.
- Customer-funding bridge · Each quarterly cash-flow release (estimated). Separate deposit/deferred revenue changes from other operating cash.
- Manufacturing and warranty execution · FY2026-27 expansion period (estimated). Compare capacity spending, product costs and actual reserve payments with revenue growth.
Data coverage and open work
- Desk scenarios are not company guidance, paid consensus, a complete balance sheet or an equity valuation. Forecast EPS is omitted because converts, dilution and noncontrolling interests require a separate ownership model.
- The company margin, operating-income and EPS guidance is non-GAAP. The modeled gross profit and operating income are GAAP scenarios and are not forced to equal those adjusted targets.
- Cash before customer funding removes the net deferred-revenue/customer-deposit cash-flow line, not all customer receipts. Other working capital and warranty cash spending remain separate assumptions.
- Product gross margins include warranty economics; no automatic reserve reversal or non-GAAP addback is assumed. Related-party revenue and deferred JV profit can alter recognition and cash timing.
- FY2027 segment growth and capex are desk assumptions. Marketing comparisons of future power-system cost do not become contracted orders or modeled revenue.
What the memory says
State as of the 2026-09-18 close: in a 120-day uptrend, above its 200-day, off the 52-week high, with overhead supply, heavy volume, closed weak, and some peers moving
| Vs the market, in points | Low | Middle | High | Share up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | -5.1 | +0.0 | +3.8 | 51% |
| 5 sessions | -7.6 | +0.0 | +9.9 | 50% |
| 10 sessions | -10.3 | -0.3 | +14.0 | 46% |
Historical distributions of what followed similar states, measured before today's news. Not a forecast; no side.