All 10 historical matches declined, median -1.9%, packed into a narrow -3.8% to -1.0% band. Clear bearish consensus.
All 10 historical matches rose over 5 days, median +1.0%, within a tight +0.0% to +1.8% range. Strong consensus.
8 of 10 historically similar charts rose over the next 5 days, with returns spanning -0.2% to +0.4%. Tight clustering among matches suggests conviction.
9 of 10 historically similar charts rose over the next 5 days, with returns spanning -0.3% to +0.1%. Tight clustering among matches suggests conviction.
Mixed signals for VUSB — similar charts split roughly 6/4 on direction, range -0.3% to +0.1%.
7 of 10 similar charts gained over 5 days. Median +0.1% with a compact -0.2% to +0.1% range — relatively tight agreement.
8 of 10 historically similar charts rose over the next 5 days, with returns spanning -0.3% to +0.1%. Tight clustering among matches suggests conviction.
8 of 10 historically similar charts rose over the next 5 days, with returns spanning -0.2% to +0.1%. Tight clustering among matches suggests conviction.
9 of 10 historically similar charts rose over the next 5 days, with returns spanning -0.0% to +0.2%. Tight clustering among matches suggests conviction.
Mixed signals for FLRN — similar charts split roughly 5/5 on direction, range -0.4% to +0.2%.
Mixed signals for VTIP — similar charts split roughly 5/5 on direction, range -0.5% to +0.1%.
7 of 10 similar charts gained over 5 days. Median +0.2% with a compact -0.2% to +0.9% range — relatively tight agreement.
Mixed signals for IAGG — similar charts split roughly 6/4 on direction, range -0.2% to +0.7%.
Mixed signals for SRLN — similar charts split roughly 4/6 on direction, range -0.8% to +0.1%.
Mixed signals for SPIB — similar charts split roughly 6/4 on direction, range -0.6% to +0.4%.
Mixed signals for DBRG — similar charts split roughly 4/6 on direction, range -0.6% to +0.4%.
8 of 10 historically similar charts rose over the next 5 days, with returns spanning -0.3% to +0.9%. Tight clustering among matches suggests conviction.
7 of 10 similar charts gained over 5 days. Median +0.1% with a compact -0.7% to +0.5% range — relatively tight agreement.
9 of 10 historically similar charts rose over the next 5 days, with returns spanning -0.3% to +0.7%. Tight clustering among matches suggests conviction.
Mixed signals for SCHP — similar charts split roughly 5/5 on direction, range -0.9% to +0.6%.