{"schema":"college_class.v1","pattern":{"slug":"quiet-drift-above-200-day","name":"The quiet uptrend above the 200-day","folk":"A stock in a quiet uptrend above its 200-day average keeps drifting up: the trend is your friend.","screen":"s.ret_120d >= 20 AND s.vs_ma200 >= 5 AND s.rvol <= 0.8 AND abs(s.intraday_pct) <= 1","reads":["How often was it higher a month later, and by how much?","How does that compare with the base rate of all liquid days?"]},"evidence":{"pattern":{"instances":102727,"symbols":2592,"first":"2019-01-02","last":"2026-09-18","n_1d":102697,"up_1d":0.510131746789098,"med_1d":0.03450655624567981,"p10_1d":-2.2602953266637513,"p90_1d":2.224517200879581,"exmed_1d":0.0055459196771179,"exup_1d":0.5023018551391842,"n_5d":102381,"up_5d":0.5224211523622547,"med_5d":0.15186028853454497,"p10_5d":-5.41020437744601,"p90_5d":5.444865693312898,"exmed_5d":0.027861826618785945,"exup_5d":0.5044393002607905,"n_21d":100157,"up_21d":0.5313657557634514,"med_21d":0.5134788189987053,"p10_21d":-11.76015905397962,"p90_21d":12.652556522169952,"exmed_21d":0.1038927134872265,"exup_21d":0.506514771808261,"n_63d":95613,"up_63d":0.5590139416188176,"med_63d":1.8932222642938281,"p10_63d":-19.40546621360442,"p90_63d":25.342836405104315,"exmed_63d":0.34624116738217525,"exup_63d":0.5107359877840879,"n_126d":89816,"up_126d":0.5963080074819631,"med_126d":4.965713898956503,"p10_126d":-24.753689300740604,"p90_126d":38.53544868460219,"exmed_126d":1.82483191923709,"exup_126d":0.5406497728689765,"n_252d":77770,"up_252d":0.5753761090394753,"med_252d":6.408754598142357,"p10_252d":-34.838143883026135,"p90_252d":59.88714500180369,"exmed_252d":2.9646305712095167,"exup_252d":0.544027259868844},"base":{"instances":120400,"symbols":4217,"first":"2019-01-02","last":"2026-09-02","n_1d":120367,"up_1d":0.5134131447988236,"med_1d":0.040584415584417124,"p10_1d":-3.0055182288869875,"p90_1d":2.859972340405636,"exmed_1d":0.0,"exup_1d":0.49953060224147816,"n_5d":120298,"up_5d":0.5470082628140118,"med_5d":0.3165105887777625,"p10_5d":-6.114325811682994,"p90_5d":6.751228011592453,"exmed_5d":0.0,"exup_5d":0.4998171208166387,"n_21d":118307,"up_21d":0.5276357273872214,"med_21d":0.36250647332988234,"p10_21d":-12.648302966365407,"p90_21d":13.453646095803082,"exmed_21d":0.0,"exup_21d":0.4998098168324782,"n_63d":113868,"up_63d":0.5410387466188921,"med_63d":1.1524622427337112,"p10_63d":-19.933788559710276,"p90_63d":24.84623781038835,"exmed_63d":0.0,"exup_63d":0.4997716654371729,"n_126d":107445,"up_126d":0.5540136814184001,"med_126d":2.194787379972567,"p10_126d":-27.62339576575838,"p90_126d":35.740362265662206,"exmed_126d":0.0,"exup_126d":0.4998092047093862,"n_252d":95398,"up_252d":0.5623388330992264,"med_252d":3.9340480220127096,"p10_252d":-38.154341101258,"p90_252d":58.21704299553057,"exmed_252d":0.0,"exup_252d":0.4997484223987924}},"lessons":["The next session was close to a coin flip: 49% of 102,697 closed below the anchor, against 49% on an ordinary day. Median next-session move +0.0%.","A week on, 52% were above the anchor (ordinary day: 55%); median +0.2%, and the middle 80% ran from -5.4% to +5.4% (an ordinary day: -6.1% to +6.8%).","A month on, 53% were above the anchor (ordinary day: 53%); median +0.5%, and the middle 80% ran from -11.8% to +12.7% (an ordinary day: -12.6% to +13.5%).","Three months on, 56% were above the anchor (ordinary day: 54%); median +1.9%, and the middle 80% ran from -19.4% to +25.3% (an ordinary day: -19.9% to +24.8%).","A year on, 58% were above the anchor (ordinary day: 56%); median +6.4%, and the middle 80% ran from -34.8% to +59.9% (an ordinary day: -38.2% to +58.2%).","The week after this pattern is 0.8 times as wide as an ordinary week. That spread, not the median, is what the pattern tells you."],"gallery":[{"symbol":"ESV","session":"2019-06-27","company":"Ensco Rowan 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